The Confirmation Bias

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  • Опубликовано: 27 июл 2024
  • Confirmation bias is a tendency to look for, interpret, and recall information in ways that affirm our preconception. Whenever we encounter objective facts on an issue we look at them through the lens of our own beliefs. As a result, we see and overrate where the two intercept. The bias is strongest for emotionally charged issues or when we search for desired outcomes. This joke illustrates it quite well...
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    Read the entire script here:
    docs.google.com/document/d/1-...
    SOURCES:
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-se...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsig...
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirm...
    Classroom activity:
    www.devpsy.org/teaching/method...
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Комментарии • 481

  • @sprouts
    @sprouts  2 года назад +12

    Help us make more people learn about mental biases: patreon.com/sprouts

  • @drachaksakcha
    @drachaksakcha 4 года назад +632

    I always knew confirmation bias was a thing and now this video proves it!

  • @battleframestudios8989
    @battleframestudios8989 3 года назад +185

    "Familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth." That right there is the most important thing in this video. We see it everywhere nowadays. Everyone jumps on a bandwagon just because they've heard the same few phrases or sentiments uttered over and over and never questioned them. The way Daniel said it was so beautifully simple and easy to understand. I applaud him for that.

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  3 года назад +10

      Yes!

    • @thomasjamison2050
      @thomasjamison2050 2 года назад +1

      The best word of caution there is as we are now in a situation where the recognized as free press is no longer a free press because it is owned by only a very few individuals who aren't afraid to push their personal biases on the public. The Nazi's did it and it can really be effective. .

    • @gray12566
      @gray12566 Год назад

      I think it's more complicated then that. 😂

  • @srijasarkar3382
    @srijasarkar3382 2 года назад +40

    I'm a Psychology Masters student and I cannot thank this channel enough! LOVE IT ♥️

  • @Ricky-nn3be
    @Ricky-nn3be 4 года назад +129

    3:52 tell me I'm not the only one who thought his nostril is his left eye...

    • @ozzyzee1770
      @ozzyzee1770 4 года назад +6

      Looking at it through that perspective makes the face look so creepy lol

    • @cyb3rspac351
      @cyb3rspac351 4 года назад +4

      Maybe it is intended to be an ambiguous image.

    • @martincattell6820
      @martincattell6820 4 года назад +4

      He looks like a devious frog-man

    • @halicusnguyen8864
      @halicusnguyen8864 4 года назад +1

      I CAN'T UNSEE IT FRIGG

    • @Ricky-nn3be
      @Ricky-nn3be 4 года назад

      @@halicusnguyen8864 yw :3

  • @TheRealGuywithoutaMustache
    @TheRealGuywithoutaMustache 4 года назад +65

    The perfect way to end the year. This is a surprise and a good one at that.

  • @PlanetSenzu
    @PlanetSenzu 4 года назад +86

    Just being honest - - I have a very negative confirmation Bias. My mom brought me up to expect the worst of people and growing up I have had more of the negative actions confirmed than the positives. Super simple example "Joe says "anytime you need me i'll be there no matter what." I have learned that people say things like that without any actual substance so naturally I write it off as "yeah right". I'm a very independent person and do my best to handle situations on my own but one day I really needed "Joe" so I reached out to him telling myself he wont be able to help. Sure enough Joe 100% says he cant help nor does he even provide any type of alternative answer. I'm not saying by any means EVERY single person is like this but chances are 9 times out of 10 I expect that type of result. I'm trying to change my mindset on this and its a long journey in the making. I'm 28.

    • @iliasepit7385
      @iliasepit7385 4 года назад +20

      since you have identified the problem its 50% solved already

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  4 года назад +25

      The fact that you are aware of this is a big first step towards change already! All the best to you!

    • @norwegiannignog2470
      @norwegiannignog2470 4 года назад +13

      Dont be like this because people who genuinely care about you will be turned off.
      Maybe one person (could be joe could not be joe) iust happened to be caught up with his own problems and genuinely couldnt help you
      Its a confirmation bias to say he was a dick, or to say confidently, oh he was just busy, bias itself is leaning too far into one side so as to close your head to another perspective. But theorizing he couldve been busy is not so much a bias but a more positive rationale which can navigate your way until you actually find out what happened. Again, not talking about your joe friend specifically, just making an example

    • @jyot17
      @jyot17 4 года назад +3

      I am the same but it stems from emotional neglect as a kid. It took slow retraining of my mind after marriage (my husband is very caring) to realise my own needs. I still struggle with asking for help as I feel I will be rejected, I am not worth anybody's time and effort.

    • @greylatern
      @greylatern 4 года назад +6

      Don't depend on inconsistant people. Don't allow inconsistant people to have a position of importance in your life. At the same time if you come at people with a negative mindset you will come off negetively yourself. It could repeal good people and attract bad. It's a mind trap. I had a friend who had a similar issue and her nasty attitude was a huge put off.It's hard to bring yourself to go out of your way for someone like that. To top it off she would ask for help last minute which greatly increased the chances of a no.A Self-fulling prophency?

  • @itWouldBeWise
    @itWouldBeWise 4 года назад +31

    This is a fundamentally important concept to understand before critical thinking can even BEGIN.

  • @acoolducksloveryeahweexist
    @acoolducksloveryeahweexist 2 года назад +43

    Psychologist and Nobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman said "A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition. Because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth"

    • @ukrainetoday960
      @ukrainetoday960 9 месяцев назад

      That's why that no one can't distinguished Daniel Kahneman speech from truth?

  • @kirkury
    @kirkury 4 года назад +50

    2,_4_ 6_ as a sequence is ambiguous. Detecting a specific pattern or sequence depends on what mathematical principle relates the first 3 numbers. It is intentionally undefined here, so each person applies their own interpretation.

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  4 года назад +7

      Yes !!!

    • @luamfernandez6031
      @luamfernandez6031 2 года назад +12

      Yeah, it may be a repeated +2 or the sum of the antecedent numbers determining the next one.

    • @truefilm6991
      @truefilm6991 2 года назад +2

      @@luamfernandez6031 that is the best answer I found so far! I was searching for another rule besides +2 and you found it. If course we need to go about it: what rule is LIKELY being implied here, otherwise it could be an infinite number of rules, including: increasing by any amount, increasing by an even number, increasing by a whole number.... Anything that doesn't contradict this sequence if three numbers.

    • @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS
      @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS 2 года назад +1

      @@luamfernandez6031 or multiplying numbers and then subtracting 2. i.e. (2 x 4) - 2 = 6; (4 x 6) - 2 = 22

    • @HandbrakeBiscuit
      @HandbrakeBiscuit Год назад +2

      @@sprouts The rule that defines the sequence may even be as simple as the next number is bigger than the current one. 2, 4, 6, 7, 112, 200, 309, 415...
      [Edit: tried to include a non-conforming number in strikethrough text, but the formatting wouldn't show up properly...]

  • @osse1n
    @osse1n 4 года назад +56

    Confirmation Bias - survival of the Ego
    If I am aware of judging for the sake of being right, I have taken a big step towards open mindedness.

    • @kevper96
      @kevper96 4 года назад +1

      Wow you’re everywhere aren’t you?

    • @yoosh9034
      @yoosh9034 4 года назад +4

      Right...
      Actually, I believe that the "ego", was Freud's way of describing the outcome of our most primal and base desires (id) as conflicting with our learnt behaviours which we participate in out of social obligation and expectation (superego). The ego in that context (i.e. its academic psychological context and the context of this video) isn't really a negative thing at all, and certainly not something that should be stopped from "surviving". It isn't a negative aspect of one's psychology, nor a positive one. It is an entirely neutral psychological description of the balance between our primal desires and our learnt behaviours. At least in its original academic sense (as opposed to the honestly pretty obnoxious and airy spiritualist co-opted understanding that has become popular), you literally can't be without an ego - it is an integral and entirely necessary part of your psychology without which you would be essentially braindead. If that's what you mean by "open minded", I'm not sure that's a great goal to be striving towards. Not to come off as aggressive or anything, I don't have anything at all against you - but this idea you're attempting to propagate has literally nothing to do with this video, and is actually based on a totally inaccurate and misleading understanding of psychological sciences. Cheers.

    • @AbdurraheemGreenReal
      @AbdurraheemGreenReal 2 года назад

      @@yoosh9034 interesting. I was following Buddhism for a while as a youth and although I thought it had many useful and salient elements I realised the basic underpinning of the whole philosophy was wrong. I never been able to articulate it quite as comprehensively as did in this comment. I do think that our primal desires often can get the better of us to our detriment and we are not always successful enough at employing our willpower intact (as Kelly McGonigal calls it)…so perhaps its not completely neutral in one sense. It can often be a real enemy.

    • @Counter-Intuitive
      @Counter-Intuitive 5 месяцев назад

      The Priest was practicing confirmation bias in this story

  • @HumansOfVR
    @HumansOfVR 4 года назад +34

    *_Always happy to see you upload sprouts!_*
    Addicted to these illustrations

  • @Yui714
    @Yui714 4 года назад +123

    Confirmation bias is less predominate in people who genuinely don't care either way. The more someone cares about a subject the more skeptical you should be about what they tell you. If someone cares a lot about an issue then you can bet that they've ignored opposition the whole time while allowing all support to build up their tower of ignorance higher. These are people with decades of tower building who don't even have the capacity to imagine what it's like to be on any other team and their likelihood of changing their mind is a strong 0%. They've grown old, their lives stable, their social circles locked in place, and changing what they think now is too radical and risky for their comfortable lives.
    It's also worth noting that a large undetermined percentage of the population has a wildly different approach to beliefs. Instead of using their own mental ability to form beliefs, they simply preserve energy by adopting whatever beliefs are most popular in their desired circles. These are the same kinds of people who fail to understand that having social approval for a belief isn't the same thing as that belief actually being true. They just lack the ability to process information so the best they can do is copy what other people think. To them, there is no difference between people thinking they are right and actually knowing the truth. This fault has led to popularized immorality throughout our history as a species.

    • @charldutoit9994
      @charldutoit9994 4 года назад +3

      Your words are as insightful as the video itself.

    • @j.m7555
      @j.m7555 4 года назад +9

      Very accurate, it seems to me that the average human could care less if they are being lied to, as long as the lie keeps them comfortable or gives them temporary satisfaction.

    • @SnootchieBootchies27
      @SnootchieBootchies27 4 года назад +2

      All true stuff. At least thats what my brain tells me... 😉

    • @raefmitchell6161
      @raefmitchell6161 4 года назад +28

      But you would be engaging your own confirmation bias if making generalised assertions about other's confirmation bias. E.g. it is not always true that anyone who cares deeply about a subject is necessarily ignoring opposing views or contradictory evidence. After all, it is possible to care about something deeply and acknowledge POV's different to your own.

    • @javierborda8684
      @javierborda8684 4 года назад +5

      @@raefmitchell6161 You're right. And I think caring is absolutely paramount. He says that confirmation bias predominates less in people who don't care either way. Maybe he means that since you must care about something, the highest form of care would be for the truth, which must be precisely linked to morality, which is what he condemns about those who vehemently care about keeping their own opinion. In that case he'd be right. Care must be placed somewhere though, or there would be no point on believing anything (nihilism). Care for truth regardless of what one might initially believe is the highest form of avoiding confirmation bias, and indeed takes incredible courage in many situations. Many academics for example suffer from this "indifference bias" and call themselves skeptics, but use it as an excuse to never look further. Truth requires deep care, even passion I would say.

  • @ohnoknux4163
    @ohnoknux4163 4 года назад +74

    reddit in a nutshell

    • @ralfbond258
      @ralfbond258 3 года назад +1

      agreed

    • @edba1.037
      @edba1.037 Месяц назад +1

      and twitter, i considered twitter to be worst, based on personal experience, i also have similar experience in reddit, but i'd rather be dealing with reddit users than twitter

  • @Zekr0_
    @Zekr0_ 4 года назад +7

    Thank You for explaining such a wonderful topic. I am disappointed that it doesn't have much views as it is something i would consider as eye opener

  • @mueezadam8438
    @mueezadam8438 4 года назад +9

    2:13 An atheist doesn’t have to be raised in a family that is atheistic to be able to reach an apistivist outlook. However, to become a Christian, or a follower of any other Abrahamic faith, you need first be exposed to the mythos in order to even be able to accept it.
    What I mean is this: How was a Polynesian living all the way on the other side of the world during the spread of Christianity ever expected to convert within his lifetime?
    Anyway, your video was a beautifully concise explanation of the topic and major kudos to the illustrator!

    • @georgios_5342
      @georgios_5342 4 года назад +1

      That isn't true. It still could happen, and it would be false to assume that one of the two sides is wrong just because it is less probable.

    • @peakjvs4967
      @peakjvs4967 4 года назад +3

      Incorrect. If an individual is born and raised in a family with an atheistic outlook on life, he/she will most likely continue to be an atheist. The same applies to people who are brought up in a religious family. This does not mean that an atheist person cannot convert to a religion, just as a religious individual cannot renounce a religion.
      What you are thinking about in relation to Christianity in e.g Polynesian is that it is correct that exactly this interpretation of God (Christianity) was initially not known everywhere in the world, but came around due to missionaries. But this does not exclude that people in Polynesian did not believe in a god(s), but their interpretation of god(s) was just different.
      All countries in the world have/had a belief in god(s), some interpretations were less logical, while other interpretations were more logical, and as time has progressed, the more logical interpretations have become mainstream (Abrahamic faith).

    • @suleymanbabak1973
      @suleymanbabak1973 5 месяцев назад +1

      ​@@peakjvs4967what's logical about a god sacrificing himself to himself to create a loophole for a rule he created?
      Also I was raised in a religious family and that didn't give me any confirmation bias towards religious interpretation of events.

  • @freevideoservice
    @freevideoservice 4 года назад +6

    The missing number is unknown, because only that solution makes this riddle sensible.

  • @shivamgupta-tk2dd
    @shivamgupta-tk2dd 4 года назад +7

    A very informative video . Great work pal 👍

  • @tanjapeters6516
    @tanjapeters6516 2 года назад +13

    2 - 4 - 6 - 2 (repeat) / 2 4 7 (comes after 2 4 6) / 2 - 4 - 6 - 0 (when the original sequence starts with 0 and repeats) / 2 - 4 - 6 - 6 (when the last number becomes first of the next sequel)/ 2 - 4 - 6 - 8 (repetition plus 2) / 2 - ( 4 - 6 ) - 8 (equals - 8: as a math problem) et cetera. Let us please ad the context to an equation.

    • @ayushvishwakarma3547
      @ayushvishwakarma3547 2 года назад +3

      And may be the rule is the next number must always be greater then the previous one like it could be 7 or 8 or may 10 but not less than the previous one

  • @jijov.j1545
    @jijov.j1545 4 года назад +11

    Pls, make a video about "productivity"

  • @mangalpuri2001
    @mangalpuri2001 4 года назад +3

    Your sketches are awesome...

  • @cathjimin
    @cathjimin 4 года назад +14

    My first thought was 8, because pairs.. but then I thought about 10, because you add the numbers too...

    • @Antiqvity
      @Antiqvity 4 года назад

      When they said the correct number it made me think there was only one answer so I thought well then it has to be 8.

    • @gernottiefenbrunner172
      @gernottiefenbrunner172 4 года назад

      @@Antiqvity the video misrepresented this test. iirc the correct answer was "three numbers in ascending order", but originally you got to guess a few numbers before locking in your answer and the thing was, people only guessed numbers that they expected to pass, not any they expected to fail, so most got "n, n+2, n+4" as their answer, which always produced three numbers in ascending order, but was still wrong as a rule.
      which would make perfect sense if you got evaluated on how many numbers you got right, but that wasn't the case.

    • @jarrod752
      @jarrod752 4 года назад +2

      2, 4, and 6 don't equal 10.

    • @VeraDragon
      @VeraDragon 4 года назад +3

      Jarrod 2+4 = 6, 4+6=10

    • @jarrod752
      @jarrod752 4 года назад

      @@VeraDragon I was wondering how long it would take for someone to call me out on bad math...

  • @MC-go3sx
    @MC-go3sx 4 года назад +4

    Can u please do a video on monocular and binocular perception..

  • @khanzara9329
    @khanzara9329 3 года назад +3

    Finally I got the concept of confirmation bias after seeing more vdos abt it... Damn great teaching standard 👍👍👍

  • @ehpg120988
    @ehpg120988 3 года назад

    What an art!! Stunning!

  • @user-lw8im7jn3v
    @user-lw8im7jn3v 4 года назад +9

    well, it could have been a coincidence that 2 4 6 have some rule behind them, so I suggest that the answer is any random number.

  • @amyj.4992
    @amyj.4992 Год назад +2

    Just learned this term, in my psychology lecture this past week

  • @abhimanyusingh7163
    @abhimanyusingh7163 4 года назад +8

    The best channel on YT!

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  4 года назад +1

      Thank you, Abhimanyu!

    • @abhimanyusingh7163
      @abhimanyusingh7163 4 года назад +1

      Sprouts You're welcome.
      And thank you for such amazing videos! 🍻

  • @MaryJaneHancock
    @MaryJaneHancock 4 года назад +2

    Good presentation.

  • @omerd602
    @omerd602 4 года назад +11

    2, 4, 6, 163998.
    Take OEIS series A258107 (2, 3, 4, 82000), double each term, and subtract 2.
    Obviously.
    :)

    • @traininggrounds9450
      @traininggrounds9450 4 года назад +3

      Due to the amount of time we were given in the video to determine a number that went with the sequence it would be MORE obvious to say "8" since it would take less processing to come to that conclusion which is also obvious. But for some reason you felt the need to confirm the bias of this video as if you were understanding the concept. So in this case it is clear that there are many rules that would establish many different answers but the most obvious one is obvious and the fact that it is obvious is proof that this video is confirming its own bias and is wrong.

    • @omerd602
      @omerd602 4 года назад

      @@traininggrounds9450 It was a joke. Don't take it seriously.

    • @traininggrounds9450
      @traininggrounds9450 4 года назад

      @@omerd602 I did not not know that

  • @Kam1kaz3dreamer
    @Kam1kaz3dreamer 2 года назад +5

    It would be appreciated if you guys could do a video on as many Logical Fallacies and bias issues as you can fit into your schedule

  • @TorgerVedeler
    @TorgerVedeler 10 месяцев назад +2

    Confirmation bias is also influenced by desire. If you want to believe something is true, or not true, then you are more likely to hold that belief. And since we need our social support network to survive, we are also more likely to agree with our peers even if we know they are wrong.

  • @beverywhereyouare
    @beverywhereyouare 3 года назад +1

    Had to look up the rule ... thank for the challenge :o)

  • @augustinpol
    @augustinpol 4 года назад +24

    It might be 8 for pair numbers as well as 10
    None=0, 0+2=2, 2+4=6, 4+6=10

    • @sixtoewolf2
      @sixtoewolf2 4 года назад +7

      2_4_6_ X
      2 3 4 5 6 7
      2_4_6_8
      X=7 or 8

    • @eugenevaticinator4540
      @eugenevaticinator4540 4 года назад +11

      1X4-2= 2
      2X3-2=4
      4X2-2= 6
      6X1-2 = 4
      Sequence could go...
      2_4_6_4

    • @sixtoewolf2
      @sixtoewolf2 4 года назад +5

      @@eugenevaticinator4540
      You're right. It's the patterns that you are most familiar with. Your answer and how you got to it as more of a self description of your own habits

    • @augustinpol
      @augustinpol 4 года назад +3

      Really nice and interesting! All the answers we got for now are
      4, 7, 8, 10 and 12

    • @gonzapra1
      @gonzapra1 4 года назад +2

      The answer could perfectly be "38" or "0.5" for all we know. Thats the idea of the experiment.

  • @diwakarkumargupta1550
    @diwakarkumargupta1550 4 года назад

    Which software/ website do you use to create videos?

  • @migueldejesus8344
    @migueldejesus8344 4 года назад +2

    Can somebody tell what program is used to make this animations?

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  4 года назад +2

      Drawings on iPod using a Hand

  • @myysterio2
    @myysterio2 4 года назад +7

    Well, it can at least be 2,4,6,8 or 2,4,6,10. There might be other options, but I'm not going to be figuring them out today

    • @chadliampearcy
      @chadliampearcy 4 года назад

      Compromise and say 9. Lmao. Actually for real through. The difference of the terms increase by 1. Modify this slightly and get 12 because the difference f(x) of the terms x increase by 1 f(x) = x!

    • @chadliampearcy
      @chadliampearcy 4 года назад

      @@ozzyfromspace Uh.. Bias? Why does that apply?? This is just supposed to be a fun missing term in a sequence game. It's not about being open minded or closed minded. Any function is just the same. Missing term games are not a real or valid problem. Not this. Sure you can make problems of the games. But this is not it.

    • @chadliampearcy
      @chadliampearcy 4 года назад +1

      @bad1dobby You are right. My mistake. Thank-you.

  • @dennisuvokeke6699
    @dennisuvokeke6699 4 года назад

    Hello, please how did you create this animation? Which application? Anyone can kindly tell me, please

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  4 года назад +3

      Hand drawn sketches, recorded with MinuteVideos.

  • @ministermichael7243
    @ministermichael7243 4 года назад +46

    2, 4, 6, whats next?
    There is not enough information to figure that out with any amount of certainty:
    Could be 8 - counting by 2's
    Could be 5 to infinity - Ascending numbers.
    Could be and even number- even numbers only.
    Could be any number( or nothing )- A rule made up by a smock for the video? Hehe
    There is no way of knowing for sure with the information we have. Was that it? A question that by the very nature of the problem has many valid anwers to show our human biases. Mmmmmmmm

    • @driftking062
      @driftking062 4 года назад +2

      Man, why do you complicate that much? It's simple arithmetical row, difference equals 2 😜

    • @JohnVDenley
      @JohnVDenley 4 года назад +7

      Here's a better version of that question!! ruclips.net/video/vKA4w2O61Xo/видео.html
      After all the right answer could be 7 (numbers increasing) and it could be 10, adding up the two numbers before it (2+4=6, 4+6=10) we need to find out what the wrong options are to be able to work out the correct rule

    • @traininggrounds9450
      @traininggrounds9450 4 года назад +13

      This statement invalidates everything that the IQ test is founded upon. Being able to recognize patterns is a fundamental component to intelligence. Being able to recognize contexts and overlaying realities is another component to intelligence. But now, you are literally doing what the video is talking about because you are trying to validate the video instead of thinking in terms of the bigger context which is life itself. Just because we all obviously recognize the pattern of counting by even numbers doesn't mean this is a bias. It means we can follow our gut to arrive at a conclusion for information we do not know. Albert Einstein did it spectacularly and we call him a genius for it but now for some reason this one video you want to confirm it? But for what reason?

    • @neilh4443
      @neilh4443 4 года назад

      @@traininggrounds9450 As long as it's the same one *you* recognise? That immediately casts some doubt on your own ability to approach this question intelligently. The implication of the presenter's request for us to note our answers here is in itself part of a 'pattern' (behavioral) in that it may be inferred that the answer is not an absolute given. :)

    • @traininggrounds9450
      @traininggrounds9450 4 года назад +2

      @@neilh4443 Context dude. Don't lose yourself. Don't miss the wood through the trees or throw out the baby with the bath water. Don't strain a gnat and swallow a camel. Don't forget the big picture when you look through a microscope. Does any of this resonate with you?
      Just because people may see different avenues or paths to get from A-B, doesn't mean that the given context of A-B doesn't have what is called a "least path". In this instance, 8 is the least path to arrive at and make any continuation of the pattern and its this basic skill that is almost entirely what the IQ test is founded upon to determine some metric of intelligence. So the point of the video is very "use-case" in that it doesn't really pan out in life that we need to think of all the paths from any given A-B scenario but that we only need a path that works with what we have on hand. In general, people get by with that level of intelligence and that's ok.
      The least path is generally the most obvious or simple solution and sometimes it's actually hard to see that through the trees.

  • @AnirudhJas
    @AnirudhJas Год назад +1

    My thought was 2-4-6-8, successive even numbers. But I saw some good alternate sequences in the comments. Good one!

  • @stevesmith4374
    @stevesmith4374 4 года назад +31

    Another possible solution:
    The numbers are in increasing order. Any number above 6 would fit the pattern. Including 42069

    • @vurk2crzy
      @vurk2crzy 3 года назад +2

      Nice

    • @omkarajagunde4175
      @omkarajagunde4175 2 года назад +2

      The numbers can also be any even number but mostly at first sight we believe it would be the arithmetic progression with distance of 2

  • @avishiperera7767
    @avishiperera7767 2 года назад +1

    Is bias assimilation and confirmation bias the same thing?

  • @HrabiaVulpes
    @HrabiaVulpes Год назад

    Probably the best thing for those reliant on confirmation bias is something that can be even fount on sprouts channel itself - no matter what your views are, you can probably find psychologist, sociologist or philosopher sharing those views.

  • @DerrickJones19
    @DerrickJones19 2 года назад +1

    I think I read somewhere where it said if you can't clearly explain it to a three-year-old that means you don't understand it.

  • @sohtech7723
    @sohtech7723 5 месяцев назад

    this is good. thank you very much.

  • @PopovSB
    @PopovSB Год назад

    If 2_4_6 are musical degrees, then I assume the sequence is 2-4-6-1-3-5-7

  • @M.S.K-es2cw
    @M.S.K-es2cw 5 месяцев назад

    For me: Not listening to diverse opinions, not considering different options from the one you have, is a weakness, better described as CONFIRMATION BIAS.

  • @orange-vlcybpd2
    @orange-vlcybpd2 5 месяцев назад

    Best example i found so far to convey the topic in a such concise manner. @sprouts Did you create the illustrative story yourself, just for the video, or where is it originating from or what was the source of inspiration?
    Also surprising for me was the moment where the priest recognized the divine intervention, he didnt even ask for how it happened exactly. And this is one very important part of the bias, you stop to search for further evidence once you got your confirmation.

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  5 месяцев назад +1

      Yes, our artist Pascal Gaggelli, draws all our videos by hand and David Foster Wallace tells this story in his great speech “This is Water”: ruclips.net/video/DCbGM4mqEVw/видео.html

  • @imjustagirl18
    @imjustagirl18 Месяц назад

    aint no way i thought abt this during dinner and this video appears on my fyp 😭

  • @indviduation
    @indviduation 3 года назад +2

    God used the weather to steer the eskimo's to find the lost hiker. This should have been the argument by the preacher.

  • @FarQuZeDesigns
    @FarQuZeDesigns 4 года назад +12

    3:43 There you have it. Whatever you‘ve been told in your entire life, it just has to be told enough times for you to believe it.

    • @Chiqsan
      @Chiqsan 4 года назад

      Wow your comment just helped me out. I couldn't grasp the concept. I said ohhhh ok aha! So TY! 😄

    • @Seductus99
      @Seductus99 Год назад

      Lik safe and effective?

  • @joenefercarique8124
    @joenefercarique8124 3 года назад

    Is this the same with selective criticism?

  • @tonybuzantraining
    @tonybuzantraining 7 месяцев назад

    Numbers are in ascending sequence. Therefore, any number could be next.

  • @livenfree
    @livenfree 10 месяцев назад +1

    I was watching how confirmation biased cause two pilots to land in the wrong runway that they were convinced was the right one despite all the red flags and warnings going off on their instrument panel... And it occurred to me. This is perhaps what can happen when we are emotionally and intellectually motivated to get married ... We overlook all the red flags and warning lights telling us this isn't a healthy person to marry.

  • @Hampsteadnw3London
    @Hampsteadnw3London 2 месяца назад

    Could someone please let me know what software program is used to do the animation for these videos would really appreciate it. Thank you

  • @singhstar5883
    @singhstar5883 2 года назад

    Masterpiece

  • @Akoalawithshades
    @Akoalawithshades 3 года назад

    omg, could not figure out that last picture for the longest time, I thought it was a frog face man.

  • @pihi42
    @pihi42 2 года назад +1

    Next number in unknown sequence 2,4,6,? could be ANY number. BUT the most important sequence in mathematics that fits the pattern is 2,4,6,8, ..n, (n+2), .. It is not about guessing which is the next number but about recognizing the sequence, the rule. If you live in a world where the most important sequence is a(n+1) = a(n)+a(n-1), you should answer 10. You should also be able to understand how to make up the rule given any number in place of ?, for example: find the rule for 2,4,6,11. Confirmation bias has NOTHING TO DO with 2,4,6,? whatsoever.

    • @notes2self
      @notes2self Год назад

      Thank God I'm not the only one who doesn't agree. That was not an example of confirmation bias.

  • @archhangell
    @archhangell 4 года назад +1

    Various possibilities for that followup number...it could either be "8" or "10"...or something completely not considered by me.

  • @mobilephil244
    @mobilephil244 11 месяцев назад

    This is a variation on the fact that habit is necessary. Ok, sometimes it backfires and makes an animal predictable to a predator but mostly habit is what has always worked, it is the safe route to the waterhole, it is the safe food to eat, it is the noise to run away from. If that is bias then I am biassed and so is the entire animal kingdom.

  • @pyschologygeek
    @pyschologygeek 4 года назад +11

    HAPPINESS starts with you. You can be happy with little or miserable with much. It doesn't depend on what you have, rather WHO YOU

  • @ukrainetoday960
    @ukrainetoday960 9 месяцев назад

    To say that a person has confirmation bias is pure bias, it is accusing a person based on facts of bias without any evidence (confirmation) of this.

  • @biggestnormieever4322
    @biggestnormieever4322 4 года назад

    for some reason i feel like the rule and sequence is just: the numbers must get bigger. i think we’re being tricked into doing all this math but rlly it’s much simpler

  • @Carabas72
    @Carabas72 4 года назад

    That's a neat trick you go there to make people leave a comment and play the algorithm game.

  • @alan2here
    @alan2here 4 года назад +6

    There are infinite endless continuations, evens yield (8, 10, …), while for composites the answer would be (8, 9, 10, …). Both are reasonably (mathematically, regarding the abstract world) natural, while many are probably not.

    • @dieselguitar1440
      @dieselguitar1440 4 года назад

      2 is not composite though. But yes, there are an infinite number of sequences with 2, 4, 6. However I think it's fair to say that 8 is the least complicated answer.

  • @traininggrounds9450
    @traininggrounds9450 4 года назад +4

    Due to the amount of time we were given in the video to determine a
    number that went with the sequence it would be MORE obvious to say "8"
    since it would take less processing to come to that conclusion which is
    also obvious. But for some reason you felt the need to confirm the bias
    of this video as if you were understanding the concept. So in this case
    it is clear that there are many rules that would establish many
    different answers but the most obvious one is obvious and the fact that
    it is obvious is proof that this video is confirming its own bias and is
    wrong.
    What makes an associative rule more obvious than another is directly dependent on the complexity of the logic of the association. Once something becomes communally well established or a "meme" then the level of complexity is smudged. But before knowledge becomes well established in the community, all people are statistically bound to adhere to making simple associations because they are easier to associate.

  • @moonknight_666
    @moonknight_666 2 года назад +1

    3:39 is it 8?

  • @serenasibani6078
    @serenasibani6078 Год назад

    Thank you

  • @darsruiz
    @darsruiz 4 года назад +10

    I was pretty sure its 2,3,4,5,6,7 but now I'm doubting

    • @ozzyfromspace
      @ozzyfromspace 4 года назад +2

      Diego Ruiz there are 5625 registered functions that generate 2,3,4,5,6. Google OEIS and search said sequence :)
      99/100 times, your response works, but it just shows that WE have predetermined solutions for a lot of things. Catching yourself applying functions to logic and reasoning is so satisfying 😊🤓🍾

    • @halleffect5439
      @halleffect5439 4 года назад +3

      Wasnt the questio 2,4,6,X
      Do we ask for x?
      However, we can never be sure if its 8 or 7 or something else. Maybe its not even a number...

  • @Georgia-Vic
    @Georgia-Vic 8 месяцев назад

    Confirmation Bias is: Preconceived Outcomes resulting in Self- fulfilling Prophesies!

  • @aratrikasarkar6203
    @aratrikasarkar6203 2 года назад

    Is confirmation bias and belief perseverance the same thing?

  • @edenoniel3541
    @edenoniel3541 4 года назад

    7?

  • @dazedazed
    @dazedazed 3 года назад +2

    I wanted to use this video in a media literacy class until I came to the part where you refer to "Eskimos". This is a deeply offensive term. The correct usage is Inuit.

  • @adventureswithfrodo2721
    @adventureswithfrodo2721 9 месяцев назад

    Each number is larger then the preceding number.

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  9 месяцев назад

      Correct

  • @trainsareepiv
    @trainsareepiv 9 месяцев назад

    0:54 Bro became prime Eden Hazard

  • @oloruntobaettu5756
    @oloruntobaettu5756 4 года назад

    8
    Rule is addition of 2 to the previous number

  • @alexcringes9740
    @alexcringes9740 2 года назад

    Why was the script deleted? UnU

  • @alexkumarsingh2805
    @alexkumarsingh2805 4 года назад +1

    2_4_6_? Maybe 8 or 10
    8= 2*4 or 10 = 4+6

  • @vyominidevadiga5289
    @vyominidevadiga5289 4 года назад

    Add by 2 for each term, next term's 8

  • @MS-ll9qb
    @MS-ll9qb 7 месяцев назад

    Very powerful, now apply it to religion and science

  • @ocean8784
    @ocean8784 3 года назад

    I already know it by my social experience but later I came to know it have some scientific name.

  • @carol-us4xn
    @carol-us4xn 11 месяцев назад

    Familiarity is easy mirrored, not necessarily a good idea or thought, but a design for a particular outcome by manipulation will prompt a person to adopt an idea as their own. This can prove dangerous as well as senseless.

  • @lupushominarius7615
    @lupushominarius7615 4 года назад +4

    The follow-up number is 42.
    The rule is: write a list of even number more than 0 and less than 7 and, after that, even number bigger than 41.

    • @bryanbagni647
      @bryanbagni647 2 года назад

      Ooops, i thought cause 42 is the response to Life, the universe and everything

  • @kra4687
    @kra4687 2 года назад

    3:38 Maths wise it would be 8 as all the numbers are multiples of 2, each number is increase by 2 as well, all of them being even, but there is no definitive answer for this, is not like there is a rule something fixed in place, if the number is 9 or 6 or 112 there is nothing that says it can't be, depends on what you choose here.

    • @jimhurt9343
      @jimhurt9343 2 года назад

      or 2 plus 4 is 6 plus 4 is 10.

  • @walterkersting1362
    @walterkersting1362 4 года назад +1

    Believers are chosen.

  • @manikantacharanmasineni7493
    @manikantacharanmasineni7493 2 года назад

    The answer is 10
    Cause 2-4-6 is organised by 2+2=4,2+4=6,4+6=10.
    It's my perception it might differ from person to person

  • @curioussrinija8738
    @curioussrinija8738 Год назад +2

    Even numbers in Natural No. Set ....
    2_4_6_?
    The next no. Is 8✨
    But ya !
    Confirmation Bias..... Explains a pot of things😅

  • @knowledgeable832
    @knowledgeable832 2 года назад

    The rule is this: the next number must be higher than
    the previous one.

  • @Luxiel610
    @Luxiel610 2 года назад

    what you see is what you see..

  • @isaiahlozano5301
    @isaiahlozano5301 Год назад

    alright, the numbers are 3,5, and 7 since they are primary numbers where as 2, 4, and 6 are even numbers

  • @sohtech7723
    @sohtech7723 5 месяцев назад

    very nice!!!!!!!

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  5 месяцев назад

      Thanks!!

  • @TheGreenPig321
    @TheGreenPig321 4 года назад +3

    3:32 I came from nexpo, so obviously 21

    • @andjelakrstic139
      @andjelakrstic139 3 года назад

      me too and in your user name you have number 21

  • @OliviaWiley
    @OliviaWiley Год назад +1

    8 even numbers

  • @jakeislavic3024
    @jakeislavic3024 4 года назад +2

    Xn = Xn-1 + 2
    Next number = 8

  • @Marylandbrony
    @Marylandbrony 3 года назад

    The answer would be 10 as the next number should be the previous two added up.

  • @bryanbagni647
    @bryanbagni647 2 года назад

    Or It could be the sum of every number which was written before.
    Assuming there is a zero
    0+2=2
    2+2=4
    2+4+6=12
    Not assuming a zero and 2 being the First
    2
    2+2=4
    2+4+6=12

  • @Sector13full
    @Sector13full 4 года назад +1

    numbers in an ascending order so the next number must be greater than 6

  • @MrBurns.
    @MrBurns. Год назад +1

    This is a good one. Unless you’re the enemy of critical thinking; which I’m still trying to find the definition of. The ones I have might be bias.

  • @BlairOReilly
    @BlairOReilly 4 года назад

    David Foster Wallace?

    • @sprouts
      @sprouts  4 года назад

      Where? Love him!

  • @renessanssimies384
    @renessanssimies384 4 года назад

    The prayer thing can be turned in a scientific test.
    To know if God is behind eskimos, there must be two groups. One who pray and one which just jell random things.
    Then we count those who die and who are rescued. If bigger % of prayers survive then prayer have effect and we have some real thing which need explanation. If % is same (like it is) then the God is out of window.

    • @Hello_Chibi
      @Hello_Chibi 4 года назад +1

      People can " pray " all they want ... that's not what makes a pray be answered you REALLY have to have faith and actually TRUST in God . Oh and you will be tested in your faith so don't think that just because you do it a few times your pray will be answered. That's why people give up on God so easily they choose to just live their life to the fullest and not give anything in return .Selfish human beings is what we. Turn away from your sin and repent so you all who don't believe in God shall TRULY be saved. God speed to all.