I pray that at a certain point in the race a big break goes and Jorgensen, Landa, Vlasov, almeida are all represented and there is a staring contest between al teams. Imagine the scenes with kuss but at all teams at the same time. Funny thing is the second leader strategy has been so mainstream it actually might happen too.
Soudal-Quickstep would just sit back in the Peloton and look at the other 3 Teams because Remco has the least amount of internal pressure in my eyes. Jumbo can say to themselve that it worked at the Vuelta and Jonas isnt in peak shape probably. Roglic and UAE would be panicking is my guess.
They climb and descend Galibier in the direction they took it when tom pidcock did that daredevil descent and then won on alpe d'huez from the break ahead of Meintjes and froome.
I could fully understand if Vingo is not (yet) the same rider and i would not blame him if his handling takes time to get back to his normal excellent level. His ITT in the TdF in rainy Kopenhagen, 2 years ago, impressed me a lot . You can plan a lot in cycling but coming out of a serious injury both physically and mentally is something else. Godspeed you Viking Emperor
I think UAE are going to do the train, Sivakov > Soler > Ayuso > Almeida. I think at this point Almeida has it in him to drop every other GC rider off the wheel of Yates and Pogi. If they do, they will cruise to the finish. If they don’t, you can be for sure it will only be Roglic and Vingegaard left after a hard Almeida pull. Yates has shown his power and could be pretty much red line those two before Pogi attacks and no one will be able to follow him
I Predict Jonas does not make the top 3. I am lying in the hospital with broken ribs, broken scapula. Some hurt vertebrae and lots of skin. missing. I cannot believe now that Jonas is going to podium
yeah i feel like they're extremely positive he'll be in top form when I'm thinking about evenepoel who's finally getting back to similar strength before his crash, but that took half a year. Jonas had two months. Really like the guy but I feel like pressure is mounting to a completely unrealistic degree, if he can finish in reasonable shape without losing too much time I feel like it'd already be an achievement but maybe I'm too pessimistic on the other end. Also hope your recovery is as quick as Jonas' will hopefully be 🙏 stay strong mate
Stage 4 is actually the way it was in the Alpe d'Huez stage in 2022, not the Granon one, so the descent into the finish is the one Pidcock bombed down. Makes his bid for the stage win even more possible tho
I think this tour will be easy for Primoz, only two objectives. Stay on the bike and follow his former teammates. And then well as he says himself all the time: We will see huh?
If you told me 5 years ago that I'd be refreshing a Podcast waiting on a Tour de France preview. I would of called you crazy 😂 LRCP got me hooked on cycling.
Unless Jonas can compete, it will be rinse and repeat. Giro 2.0. Pog by a mile. I don't like saying it. I actually hate the thought of yet another GC snooze.
There's enough GC guys in this race to keep it interesting. If you have two teams attacking you consistently up a climb you're going to struggle even on the form of your life. Roglic and Jorgenson both have that capability, Evenopoel too.
Not having (a fit) Kuss weakens the visma team climbing wise so now UAE is by far the strongest climbing team. But they are indeed unbalanced, if Pogacar takes yellow early on controlling the race (espescially the flat/classic parts) would take a LOT out of their climbers. It will all boil down to individual strength of the anorexic gladiators. Let the hunger games begin.
Benji nailed it - TBH i just want the exciting riders to animate the race for 3 weeks, not too fussed who wins. Cracking route that deserves a classic reputation in the future. Random top 10 - Bruno Amirail. Hot take - Vingegaard & Roglic both miss the podium places. GC top 3:- 3rd). Bernal, 2) Remco, 1). Pogi.
Haven't watched yet, here to comment that the parcours looks like it's heavy towards the end and could actually favour Jonas' development throughout the Tour back to full fitness, preventing a pogacar-style blow-up like last year.
Stage 4 is the easy side but it’s not the side Jonas and Roglic attacked Pogi. They go down the same way as Pidocks attack, top half is technical bottom half is straight line to finish
I dont understand why no one is considering that giro might influence Pogacar form during the TDF. He won it easily that's true but still he had to prepare a peak form for the giro and then for TDF I'm not so sure he will be 100% during TDF.
Totally agree. No one could do it since pumpedup Pantani, noone. People really underestimating the MENTAL fatique a 3 week long race can cause! Phisically maybe not as much since it was "easy" but it is 5 weeks (2 week before for scouting and 3 weeks race) total focus. And people talking about it as optimal training, like wtf theny why noone ever does it lol
I want to pull for Jonas, however, with GC Kuss now out and the significant injuries of Jonas, I just can't see him making it all the way through 3-weeks at a high-level. If/when Jonas faulters, I hope that Visma will quickly switch support to Mateo to give him a legit shot. I don't believe in Remco having the ability to ride a clean 3-weeks, he will flame-out at some point and then stage hunt. The form of Roglic looks the best of the top contenders (who are not Pogi) coming into the race. For me the key with Roglic will be staying upright (not crashing) and having good team support so that he does not always have to work hard himself. If Roglic stays healthy, he can contend for the podium, but I don't see him winning. I believe that UAE will have the team under control and dialed-in for the race. The slight soft-spot of not having strong rouleur support will be noticed, however, the strength of Pogi along with the incredible climbing support that UAE is brining will more than make up for that slight weakness. I am looking at Carlos R from Ineos to be a surprise 2nd place behind Pogi with Roglic in 3rd. Pogi will win by more than 5 minutes. Cav will win 2 stages and Mads Pederson will take Green.
I was waiting for this! Did not disappoint. I'm looking forward to this tour but mostly because I think there are question marks next to several names: Roglic, Remco, Bernal, etc. I liked the drama within the teams hot takes. I think any of those could happen. If the GC looks settled early, I can start "analyzing" team dynamics. Could be fun... Great pod, as always. Love the shades, Benji.
It would be awesome with a 4-way competitive race, but I could see Pogacar with a 3 minute lead after stage 4. Hopefully that won't happen, but the other 3 favorites have all had less than ideal preparation for the race.
Fantastic preview gents, well done. Imho, I don't think it's going to be the amazing tour battle, cycling fans have so desperately yearned for. Remco and jonas have been too long injured to be in peak condition. Roglic's best days are behind him. No, this race will be over after the first week with pogi in yellow until Nice. My dark horse and the only challenge to Pogi is Carlos Rodriguez. Ineos have an excellent team around him....imho.
I wish SQS had brought Merlier. Even with just a single readout man for him, I don’t think SQS would really be jeopardizing Remco’s GC but could still reasonably win at least one sprint stage. Other teams are going to be controlling for both mountain and sprint stages, so I think Remco and Merlier could easily ride other teams’ wheels and get some good results. Merlier and a lead out man like BvL wouldn’t be bad rouleurs in emergency scenarios either.
I think remco will upset some people this year. I don’t think he’s enough to take pogi but I think he will take a podium spot. We will know for sure by stage 3 if vingo is feeling good or bad.
This tdf can theoretically deliver anything from essentially last year, vinegaard winning in front of pogi or roglic and ayuso cracking on the first speed bump, to vinegaard full cracking and UAE splitting the entire podium between them
It will be interesting to see what Team UAE are going to do. They have not shown any real tactical insight in the past. It was more like, well Tadej is here, we ride for him and sometimes that worked tactically and more often it went into what looked more like utter chaos. I am specifically interested in what happens when Ayuso or even more Almeida gets granted a bunch of minutes by the other teams. The same goes for for instance Jorgenson. What will TEAM Visma Lab do if the rest hands him a 2 or 3-minute advantage?
Sadly without Kuss the visma team has less strength so this also takes away some possibilities to use their tactics. 100% agreed on your view of UAE, i do hope there will be teams challenging them on the flatter/classic stages, except for Politt UAE mostly has climbers and they will have to offer them in a scenario where a big breakaway gets some time. Your specific interest (what if Almeida ,Ayuso or Jorgensen gets granted minutes) is an interesting one. Let's hope for the best ,in my own personal preference this means any scenario where Rogla gets to win the tour 😃
Okay hear me out for side content on LRCP LRCP race each other with their wife's in a support car for each rider. Handicap may be needed. Recommended to do it as a ratio of FTP of the two riders or the ratio of GDP per capita of Belgium and Australia. May need some tweaking. Luke could be swapped if Benji's wife doesn't go to Andorra (IDK I don't follow you guys on twitter). Alternatively get some world tour riders not at the Tour to be involved with shoulder content.
Pogi is going to win. The others are not in optimum condition to challenge him. But if Pogi play games and the other come into form in the third week, it will get interesting
Not sure UAE has the same team-aligned focus that Visma lab has brought to the tour the last few years. UAE has the guns, no denying that, but will pog also have the maturity to save watts instead of sprinting at the end?
Barbotto has 1K at 11,5% in it that can be used as a launchpad, then the road keeps going up and down but still uphill to Perticara for about 5-6 Km. After the downhill there's only about 5K valley slighlty downhill, then you have San Leo with the last 3Kms at about 8,5% avg. I reckon anyone who wants to try and make a difference should do it from long range, either on Barbotto or San Leo. Last 2 climbs are just not hard enough, then there's a long descent that resembles the Lautaret descent sort of.. an organized group or even a Van Aert, could single handendly take 30-40 seconds off the lead anyone might have on top of San Marino. To me 1 minute advantage is the comfortable lead for a solo rider on top of the last climb.
Patrick with the hottest of takes that last year's 3rd place is the 3rd best gc rider in the race 😂
@@josephsong8911 Remco has nothing on Yates at a grand tour but Roglic smokes him if he doesn't crash out
@@josephsong8911 Yeah, that's one of the worse takes. @jordi33 has no idea what he's talking about.
@@Kazzimirski this was actually the coldest take of 2024
@@Slow.Smooth Not cold enough to keep it fresh, apparently, because three days later this take has aged like sour milk in the sun. Lmfao
Benji looking like a banana-republic dictator. 😎
So Belgium 😂😬
Benji Amin Dada
El Jefe
A gold chain necklace would finish the whole look off
You know you are addicted to LRCP when you check in everyday for the past week waiting for the TDF preview 🤪
2 hours+ of LRCP? I'm down
I feel like benji is on his way to meet the other mafiosos in Havana
El Jaguar del Flandes
more in his way to kamping Kitsch
Your Itzulia Basque Country 2024, whatever happened there
Benji looking like he’s ready to start a 70s era cult in Guyana. 😎 🍷
Maybe he is
Stage-length podcast!
I pray that at a certain point in the race a big break goes and Jorgensen, Landa, Vlasov, almeida are all represented and there is a staring contest between al teams. Imagine the scenes with kuss but at all teams at the same time. Funny thing is the second leader strategy has been so mainstream it actually might happen too.
Soudal-Quickstep would just sit back in the Peloton and look at the other 3 Teams because Remco has the least amount of internal pressure in my eyes. Jumbo can say to themselve that it worked at the Vuelta and Jonas isnt in peak shape probably. Roglic and UAE would be panicking is my guess.
This is my MrBeast
the only yapanese i will forever tune into
2 and half hours of cycling yap I’m ready
They climb and descend Galibier in the direction they took it when tom pidcock did that daredevil descent and then won on alpe d'huez from the break ahead of Meintjes and froome.
Appreciate the time stamps LR
Appreciate the time stamps Luc
I could fully understand if Vingo is not (yet) the same rider and i would not blame him if his handling takes time to get back to his normal excellent level. His ITT in the TdF in rainy Kopenhagen, 2 years ago, impressed me a lot . You can plan a lot in cycling but coming out of a serious injury both physically and mentally is something else. Godspeed you Viking Emperor
Just in case you don’t know by now Kuss is out COVID
@kayhayes5what? Really???114
@@LarsRyeJeppesen yes announced this morning I’m afraid.
@@kayhayes5114 so sad
Best RUclips vid of the year... looking forward to it!!!
the goats
I think UAE are going to do the train, Sivakov > Soler > Ayuso > Almeida. I think at this point Almeida has it in him to drop every other GC rider off the wheel of Yates and Pogi. If they do, they will cruise to the finish. If they don’t, you can be for sure it will only be Roglic and Vingegaard left after a hard Almeida pull. Yates has shown his power and could be pretty much red line those two before Pogi attacks and no one will be able to follow him
Nah
@@5508Vanderdekkenwhat do you mean nah, it’s very possible that they have the hierarchy all set out and will make the competition hurt badly
I think Almeida will under-perform… Yates is pretty stable, Ayuso need to show something and Soler will have his moments… but watch for Jorgenson UAE!
I Predict Jonas does not make the top 3. I am lying in the hospital with broken ribs, broken scapula. Some hurt vertebrae and lots of skin. missing. I cannot believe now that Jonas is going to podium
godspeed bro.
Wishing you a speedy recovery.
yeah i feel like they're extremely positive he'll be in top form when I'm thinking about evenepoel who's finally getting back to similar strength before his crash, but that took half a year. Jonas had two months. Really like the guy but I feel like pressure is mounting to a completely unrealistic degree, if he can finish in reasonable shape without losing too much time I feel like it'd already be an achievement but maybe I'm too pessimistic on the other end.
Also hope your recovery is as quick as Jonas' will hopefully be 🙏 stay strong mate
The show the world has been waiting for.
Remco is his own backup. If he is not competitive as GC rider he switches to winning stages. He has shown he can.
Remco can still go for white jersey.
We want the fireworks to start🎇🔥
One problem for Jonas will be descending, I think the crash will effect him with no race days since to be comfortable
Hot take: Cavendish gets his 35th stage win, but it's from a breakaway, not a sprint.
That is a very hot take.
I am going to take the whole week to digest this one!!!!
Stage 4 is actually the way it was in the Alpe d'Huez stage in 2022, not the Granon one, so the descent into the finish is the one Pidcock bombed down. Makes his bid for the stage win even more possible tho
I think this tour will be easy for Primoz, only two objectives. Stay on the bike and follow his former teammates. And then well as he says himself all the time: We will see huh?
Brain says Pog, hearts says Rog. Thank you for the great preview guys!
I love your podcasts and especially your chemistry!
Please keep it up for decades! ❤
If you told me 5 years ago that I'd be refreshing a Podcast waiting on a Tour de France preview. I would of called you crazy 😂 LRCP got me hooked on cycling.
Olympic Roglic turns up takes 3 minutes out of everyone on the final tt and wins the tour avenging 2020
On the tt? Wild
Was wondering if you guys would go live for last 3 climbs of stage 1?
It’s the 1st stage, a great stage, and most importantly… a Saturday lol.
Amazing! 2,5 hours! I am proud of you guys!
stage 4 was the other side of the galibier when visma attacked pogi with the telegraph :) Great podcast as always.
Summing up Jonas's injuries and then stating that they probably hindered his Tour preparation must be the top understatement of the year. 🙂
Galibier is also 40 points because it's the Henri Desgrange monument 1:21:55
I’d love a 1-pager on all the special jerseys in the tour this year. Which world and national/continental champs are on the start list?
Gen. Majka should be here as you said it
Unless Jonas can compete, it will be rinse and repeat. Giro 2.0. Pog by a mile. I don't like saying it. I actually hate the thought of yet another GC snooze.
There's enough GC guys in this race to keep it interesting. If you have two teams attacking you consistently up a climb you're going to struggle even on the form of your life. Roglic and Jorgenson both have that capability, Evenopoel too.
Not having (a fit) Kuss weakens the visma team climbing wise so now UAE is by far the strongest climbing team. But they are indeed unbalanced, if Pogacar takes yellow early on controlling the race (espescially the flat/classic parts) would take a LOT out of their climbers. It will all boil down to individual strength of the anorexic gladiators. Let the hunger games begin.
Kuss is not going now:(
@@hutchy_4297 Yeah, really sad news. Team Visma has never won a GT without him being on the team.
Due to the route and lead riders this will be the grand tour with the highest total KJs in history
The Tour De France can officially begin now!
Let’s GOOOOOOOO!!!!!🤩💛🇫🇷
Loads of very strong breakaway riders this year. Will be a lot of Fights between break and peloton.
If you're going for a board game night, I think Flamme Rouge is the go to for a cycling pod.
Hundred percent agree. Definitely the best cycling board game out there.
10pm 😢 gonna have to watch it tomorrow
54:18
Any other sprinter I've missed, Benji?
Well, Lidl-Trek with Pederson, I think is an important one.
He's pretty good, yeah.
The most serious podcast on the planet, well except for the Tug Buddy T-shirt LR is wearing
Hot take: G will lead out Cav on every sprint stage
🥰
Benji nailed it - TBH i just want the exciting riders to animate the race for 3 weeks, not too fussed who wins. Cracking route that deserves a classic reputation in the future.
Random top 10 - Bruno Amirail.
Hot take - Vingegaard & Roglic both miss the podium places.
GC top 3:- 3rd). Bernal, 2) Remco, 1). Pogi.
enjoy the tour, can’t wait to for the show on the road + the show on the pod!! keep up
I think you guys are way too low on Roglič. He will be a competitor for at least first 14 days. Biggest concern are crashes of course.
Haven't watched yet, here to comment that the parcours looks like it's heavy towards the end and could actually favour Jonas' development throughout the Tour back to full fitness, preventing a pogacar-style blow-up like last year.
Stage 4 is the easy side but it’s not the side Jonas and Roglic attacked Pogi. They go down the same way as Pidocks attack, top half is technical bottom half is straight line to finish
Jelle Vanendert's victory has a special place in my hearth. Brought my dad to tears
I dont understand why no one is considering that giro might influence Pogacar form during the TDF. He won it easily that's true but still he had to prepare a peak form for the giro and then for TDF I'm not so sure he will be 100% during TDF.
Totally agree. No one could do it since pumpedup Pantani, noone. People really underestimating the MENTAL fatique a 3 week long race can cause! Phisically maybe not as much since it was "easy" but it is 5 weeks (2 week before for scouting and 3 weeks race) total focus. And people talking about it as optimal training, like wtf theny why noone ever does it lol
the roglic hate and the yates love holy shit
Kuss out. Doing a preview is like hitting the proper break. Darn it.
I want to pull for Jonas, however, with GC Kuss now out and the significant injuries of Jonas, I just can't see him making it all the way through 3-weeks at a high-level. If/when Jonas faulters, I hope that Visma will quickly switch support to Mateo to give him a legit shot.
I don't believe in Remco having the ability to ride a clean 3-weeks, he will flame-out at some point and then stage hunt.
The form of Roglic looks the best of the top contenders (who are not Pogi) coming into the race. For me the key with Roglic will be staying upright (not crashing) and having good team support so that he does not always have to work hard himself. If Roglic stays healthy, he can contend for the podium, but I don't see him winning.
I believe that UAE will have the team under control and dialed-in for the race. The slight soft-spot of not having strong rouleur support will be noticed, however, the strength of Pogi along with the incredible climbing support that UAE is brining will more than make up for that slight weakness.
I am looking at Carlos R from Ineos to be a surprise 2nd place behind Pogi with Roglic in 3rd. Pogi will win by more than 5 minutes.
Cav will win 2 stages and Mads Pederson will take Green.
Hello, this is Aranburu. I acknowledge your existence... Patrick.
Sheesh Two hours!
I was waiting for this! Did not disappoint.
I'm looking forward to this tour but mostly because I think there are question marks next to several names: Roglic, Remco, Bernal, etc.
I liked the drama within the teams hot takes. I think any of those could happen. If the GC looks settled early, I can start "analyzing" team dynamics. Could be fun...
Great pod, as always. Love the shades, Benji.
Amazing pod as always guys! So looking forward to the watchalongs
Just the sort of podcast you want before the Tour start.
Essential pre-tour ritual. Great video!
0:10 I'm not sure the time you're releasing it is the best for 'get yourself a coffee' gimmick
Wait. The gravel sections count UP from 1-14 and not down!? that’s illegal
It would be awesome with a 4-way competitive race, but I could see Pogacar with a 3 minute lead after stage 4. Hopefully that won't happen, but the other 3 favorites have all had less than ideal preparation for the race.
So hyped gor the start today!
Yeah, the Cime de la Bonette is definitely in the 'lower' alps! :P ;-)
And it's here!!! The most awaited podcast on Earth!😊 Thanks guys!
waited for this pod before picking my fantasy team
Fantastic preview gents, well done. Imho, I don't think it's going to be the amazing tour battle, cycling fans have so desperately yearned for. Remco and jonas have been too long injured to be in peak condition. Roglic's best days are behind him. No, this race will be over after the first week with pogi in yellow until Nice. My dark horse and the only challenge to Pogi is Carlos Rodriguez. Ineos have an excellent team around him....imho.
yes! lets GO! this will be EPIC!
I wish SQS had brought Merlier. Even with just a single readout man for him, I don’t think SQS would really be jeopardizing Remco’s GC but could still reasonably win at least one sprint stage. Other teams are going to be controlling for both mountain and sprint stages, so I think Remco and Merlier could easily ride other teams’ wheels and get some good results. Merlier and a lead out man like BvL wouldn’t be bad rouleurs in emergency scenarios either.
I would have always selected Merlier (and Kasper Asgreen as well).
I think remco will upset some people this year. I don’t think he’s enough to take pogi but I think he will take a podium spot.
We will know for sure by stage 3 if vingo is feeling good or bad.
Laterne, I miss a discussion about Top 10 GC fight! That plays out in the last week nicely.
This tdf can theoretically deliver anything from essentially last year, vinegaard winning in front of pogi or roglic and ayuso cracking on the first speed bump, to vinegaard full cracking and UAE splitting the entire podium between them
Bro, it's Tours de France. Otherwise, Laterne Rouge is the best source of bike racing info and analysis that has ever existed! Nice work, dudes!
All I need to listen to for today... MORE THAN 2HOURS AYEAH
It will be interesting to see what Team UAE are going to do. They have not shown any real tactical insight in the past. It was more like, well Tadej is here, we ride for him and sometimes that worked tactically and more often it went into what looked more like utter chaos. I am specifically interested in what happens when Ayuso or even more Almeida gets granted a bunch of minutes by the other teams. The same goes for for instance Jorgenson. What will TEAM Visma Lab do if the rest hands him a 2 or 3-minute advantage?
Sadly without Kuss the visma team has less strength so this also takes away some possibilities to use their tactics. 100% agreed on your view of UAE, i do hope there will be teams challenging them on the flatter/classic stages, except for Politt UAE mostly has climbers and they will have to offer them in a scenario where a big breakaway gets some time. Your specific interest (what if Almeida ,Ayuso or Jorgensen gets granted minutes) is an interesting one. Let's hope for the best ,in my own personal preference this means any scenario where Rogla gets to win the tour 😃
Almeida looked stronger than Yates at the end of the Swiss tour. Scary UAE team either way.
Benji needs to wear that shirt on every stage.
Yessirrrrski. Benji is different, look at this man ! Amazing style
Okay hear me out for side content on LRCP
LRCP race each other with their wife's in a support car for each rider. Handicap may be needed. Recommended to do it as a ratio of FTP of the two riders or the ratio of GDP per capita of Belgium and Australia. May need some tweaking.
Luke could be swapped if Benji's wife doesn't go to Andorra (IDK I don't follow you guys on twitter).
Alternatively get some world tour riders not at the Tour to be involved with shoulder content.
My favourite 2 hours of the year
hayter was never going to ride the TDF as his focus is the track at the Olympics.
Pogi is going to win. The others are not in optimum condition to challenge him. But if Pogi play games and the other come into form in the third week, it will get interesting
Preview bigger than Bardets Timegap after Stage 2
I want to apologize to the Emperor Romain Bardet
I am clearing my calendar to book a 2.30hr LRCP session. 😂
Guys, 2.5 hours. You are spoiling us
Who is watching on the 2nd rest day of the tour
Catan is more exciting than Monopoly. i vote Catan
I've been fiending for this episode for the past few days
i think you should believe in Roglic for top3, i think he will battle with Pogi e and Vingegaard
Amazing preview as always guys! Can't wait for the race
Roglic for the GC grand Slam. you heard it here first
Hot take - Jasper P DQed for sticking Cav into the barriers on the 2nd sprint.
Not sure UAE has the same team-aligned focus that Visma lab has brought to the tour the last few years. UAE has the guns, no denying that, but will pog also have the maturity to save watts instead of sprinting at the end?
Great preview. My heart sees Roglic mixing it up for the GC but my head does find it a stretch but go Froglic.
Barbotto has 1K at 11,5% in it that can be used as a launchpad, then the road keeps going up and down but still uphill to Perticara for about 5-6 Km. After the downhill there's only about 5K valley slighlty downhill, then you have San Leo with the last 3Kms at about 8,5% avg. I reckon anyone who wants to try and make a difference should do it from long range, either on Barbotto or San Leo. Last 2 climbs are just not hard enough, then there's a long descent that resembles the Lautaret descent sort of.. an organized group or even a Van Aert, could single handendly take 30-40 seconds off the lead anyone might have on top of San Marino. To me 1 minute advantage is the comfortable lead for a solo rider on top of the last climb.