Hurricane Ernesto Update! Next Atlantic Tropical Storm Around Cape Verde Aug 23-31? Tropical Update
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- Опубликовано: 10 сен 2024
- ***Tropical Update , Full Update on Hurricane Ernesto as it bears down on Bermuda, and could Ernesto still brush parts of Southeast Canada from Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island & Newfoundland? Tropics explode August 23-31 as we could very well be looking at our next tropical storm somewhere near the Cape Verde area of the Atlantic? A huge tropical moisture surge from the Western Caribbean into the Gulf & Southeast Coast August 25-31 could increase tropical activity as well. I have full details on what is likely to become a very active late August tropics!
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Video Contents & Chapters:
0:03 - Intro Tropical Update to Hurricane Ernesto, Next Cape Verde Storm
1:07 - Satellite Loop of Ernesto Rapidly Intensification
1:55 - Tropical Storm Ernesto Analysis of Atlantic - Euro & GFS Model
8:32 - Hurricane Model HWRF Analysis of Hurricane Ernesto
9:35 - Hurricane Ernesto Intensity Model Forecast TropicalTidbits.com
10:02 - Tropical Forecast Models Mid Levels thanks to TropicalTidbits
12:15 - Caribbean & Central America Rainfall Totals thru Late August
13:29 - Western Pacific Typhoon Ampil impacts on Japan & Tokyo Area
15:13 - Severe Weather Outlook For August 16-17, 2024
15:37 - Future Radar Aug 15-18 using NAM3KM
17:25 - Synoptic Scale Forecast through Late August 2024
18:26 - Total Rainfall Amounts North America Update through late Aug
19:14 - Wildfire Smoke Forecast Path August 15-17, 2024
20:17 - Canadian Weather Outlook through Late August
23:59 - Trilogy Maps Affiliate Information!! - Check Out Awesome maps!
24:55 - Temperature Forecast Aug 16-21, 2024
25:56 - Extended Forecast for Binghamton, NY To Scranton, PA
26:44 - Finale, Please Share, Like, Subscribe to MeteoMark Social Media!
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Prayers for Bermuda from the U.S. Virgin Islands! We were really Blessed!❤🙏
Well said, thoughts and prayers for Bermuda are needed, going to be a really rough Saturday for them.
Thank U, we appreciate you Mark & all the other weather Channels for keeping us informed!❤🙏
Thank you so much, always glad to provide good life saving weather information and it’s great to have you on the channel! I will keep the updates coming.
Love your channel
Thank you for the update
Thank you, I am really glad you like it, welcome and it’s great to have you on the channel. I will keep the updates coming for you for Nova Scotia.
Thank you, Mark! 😊
Always Glad to keep the weather updates coming.
Great video; thanks😁
Thanks for watching, glad to keep you ahead of the storms and weather.
It only just begun... Maybe late August or mid September is likely the best chance for a potential severe hurricane at category 1-2 to finally strike New York. Wonder what name on the list will take it's opportunity to do so? I think Issac may be the one. Who knows. 🤷
yea Isaac sounds like the one
I agree, Chances go up crazy during that time frame of late August through mid September. We may be looking at multiple active named storms at once on many days.
@@Meteomark absolutely. Almost every year of September has like 4-5 named storms becomes active on wherever it is impacting many parts of the u.s mainland, Caribbean islands, Mexican coastline, and central america at the same time, simoneanously. with this season? There could be like 4 major hurricanes running around the Atlantic and couple of tropical storms too. Very soon the Atlantic will best the Pacific quickly and become ahead of them after the Pacific season bested the Atlantic throughout the entire summer which is impressive for a below average season. Let's brace for the super active September. 🌀🌀🌀
From what I heard, Tropical tidbits may show in the next couple of days that nothing is forming until late August or early September. Just give it a few couple of days for model updates, then this all will change its predictions of tropical low pressure systems faster than anticipated. With 2-3 storms forming to forecast a hurricane or something stronger whether they hit the gulf coast and east coast or not. Pretty crazy how tropical tidbits are kinda saving us of tropical awareness as it helps many meteorologists (including yourself mark) to be alert of any system formations while NHC posts an area of disturbance or more than one whether they are conductive for development during the next week or two. Gotta love technology.
I definitely agree, watching these waves closely and the trends, as I think we could be looking at a major explosion of the ITCZ in a big way just a week or two out.
I have a Sunday night 2-hour cruise off of Plymouth Massachusetts. Seems like the timing might be an issue. Do you have any idea what the nautical conditions would be Sunday night off of Massachusetts? Specifically 8 to 10:00 p.m.
Great question, although Hurricane Ernesto will be passing safely to the east of that stretch of ocean off of Plymouth Massachusetts, there still will be North wind around 15-30 mph and some waves running about 9-14 feet. Thankfully this shouldn’t be too bad as most cruises can handle this with only slight movement and or impacts. Beyond 15 foot waves is when it would become a bigger issue, but it will be close at times.
I think August and September will be gulf of mexico time .whiy mean the gulf states need to watch.maybe new York but i don't think so
I agree, the Gulf could very well be looking much more active late August into September, watching closely as the Euro is really hinting at it after August 25.
Will we see a hurricane threat August 30 need to know got a big cookout that day here grandy nc will it happen hope weather is dry
You will likely be ok around August 30 in Grandy NC as most of the storm action will likely still be developing in the open Atlantic. I will keep you posted though as things change very rapidly in the heart of hurricane season.
What about the southern caribbean Islands from the st Vincent and down to trinidad and tobago ??
Great question, most of the tropical wave action and gusty showers will remain north of St Vincent down to Trinidad and Tobago. As we get beyond August 25, I do expect some of these waves to start impacting St Vincent, and a few gusty showers as far south as Trinidad and Tobago. I am watching the area around and west of Cape Verde for big developments around 25-31, and some of these storm may head in the direction of the Caribbean Islands. Still think there’s a good likelihood these stay north given the flow pattern, but I will watch is closely and keep you posted as I still think before the season is out that one storm could make it down between St Vincent and Trinidad and Tobago. After August 24, a lot of tropical moisture will be moving through St Vincent down to Trinidad and Tobago. I will definitely mention St Vincent down to Trinidad and Tobago my next update, and keep you updated.
I would extend the end date for the Cabo Verde storm from August 31st to September 3rd. But as summer vacation draws to close and with people going back to work and kids going back to school and college we had to remain vigilant as we go into the remainder of August, September and into early October. Like I said, we are entering prime time in the hurricane season. And with relation to the United States, had to land falling hurricanes Beryl in Texas and Debby in Florida. So would not be surprised if there’s another Florida or Texas landfall. And i’m not sure if you heard it if we have another tropical storm or hurricane hit continental United States state and local governments may have the cover disaster related costs as the Federal Emergency Management Agency or FEMA has ran out of disaster relief funding for the second time in a row before the peak of hurricane season. We already had 19 major disasters that have a cost an excessive for $1 billion. With the first being the storm complex that happened on January 8 through the 10th and not to forget we had an El Niño winter. It really is goninv be important when the Congress comes back from their August recess to greenlight the funding for this because it’s only a matter of time when the United States will get hit next. It’s like a ticking time bomb that could go off anytime. After storm passes if there’s nowhere with electricity, you may have to go to facility where they have a standby generator especially on a hot day to cool off. No new activities expected in the MDR for the next 7 to 10 days. And we should be lucky that a rare cold front has prevented Ernesto from coming to the United States directly. We can’t stop a tropical cyclone. But we can prepared and ready one!
Very well said and great info. I agree, we are headed into a very dangerous time, especially with lack of potential emergency funding. I am really hoping everyone is preparing as best they can, as I do have a feeling too that we could have multiple landfalls in the coming weeks. We may have some days where we have multiple active named storms at once to track.
Robinson George Lewis Robert Williams Richard