Russian Forces Capture 75SQKM | AFU Risks COMPLETE COLLAPSE In The East
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- Опубликовано: 13 сен 2024
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Today there is not a single plant that has not been attacked by the Russian military. Due to these attacks, Ukrainian hydroelectric power plants have lost over 40% of their power generation capacity, while thermal power plants have suffered losses exceeding 80%. The Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant has been completely lost, the Dnipro HPP has sustained significant damage, and other hydroelectric plants are in the process of recovery (will take several years). Ukraine task is to recover as much as possible before the fall-winter period, but it is a challenging task today because of the constant missile strikes, which occur at least every week or month. Forecasting is very difficult at the moment.
Winter is coming.
Gazprom made "Winter is coming" ad for EU in 2022 or 2023. EU was fine but pipes were bursting and people were freezing in Russia and Gazprom is now losing money.
@@litchips Eu has been buying more gs from Russia....and more expensive Russian oil via india....and gas from usa
Eu has been bled dry for the last 2 years .to keep its citizen warm.. 🤷🏾♂️
All party must take action to stop this unwanted war.Too much damage..We love peace...
this is true...at the same time...all of the major russian oil fields have been hit...and now russia is asking for oil from other countries...and russia has the same issues you raised for the uks...the constant attacks don`t stop...it`s going to be very hard to find jet fuel in russia shortly...and of course their power plants are being hit also...be smart for russia to pack up and go home as kerch bridge is going to get hit again when those fuel trains start flowing across again
@@Gavin-ve3by xD
CNN and BBC told me that ukraine is winning?
Russia advanced probably 200 sqr km this week, and it’s only THURSDAY!?
@@Dimension37 BUT CNN AND BBC!@#!@#
*_URA_*_ !!!_
@hungaryhusar6567 you are too much pessimistic for CNN and BBC thoroughly.
Russia run away from zhitomir,Kiev Chernihiv,Sumy,kharkiv,Kherson
And after almost 3 years cant even control donbas
Strategicaly russia lost after 2 months of invasion.
They lost most lucrative markets in west for expoet.
Russia lost military export costumers like India ,Indonesia etc
Russian economy is in ruins 18% interst rates 9% inflation
Tacticaly they may take pokhrovsk and than what?
The momentum and speed at which the Russians are advancing is insane
If that speed continues - which is doubtful considering their heavy losses - Ruzzia might conquer all of Ukraine by 2070. But to keep the population from sabotage will be hard and expensive
@@jcreek3889 Агенты кгб уже направлены в ваш дом.
@@jcreek3889 does it hurt to know that Ukraine gave away 20% of its land for a few selfies in Kursk?
@@jcreek3889haha, "heavy losses" is that what BBC told you?😅
@@jcreek3889obviously if it continues at this speed it will increase exponentially
Ukraine gave up the Donbas front for a few selfies in Kursk
👉Kursk border
Who told you?
Gerasimov?!
@@michalzajic2555ukraines winning right? 😂🤦
@@michalzajic2555 Gerasimov?! SHOIGU!!? MY GIRLS ARE OUT OF SNACKS..
@@michalzajic2555u live in a bubble...
The problem for Ukraine isn’t particularly how much territory they have lost it is what is and isn’t BEHIND what they have lost. The Ukrainians have NOT prepared new defensive lines behind the ones they are currently losing. Once the Russians breach this last line of defense the operation goes from an attack to a pursuit. A pursuit means they are ignoring minor forces and simply moving to cut off and isolate formations of troops. It also means that enemy forces can be cut off from directions that they were never prepared to defend from. No defensive line is capable of defending itself 360 degrees.
Unless you are ISIS, why defending when you can advance in everywhere simultaneously.
@@ElfinHat96
I am NOT a Military Expert,
however I have been closely following
The Russo-Ukraine Conflict.
I do not believe, Z has enough Soldiers in this area,
as he has sent a large number, including Elite Forces
to The Kursk Oblast.
Once this happens, AFU armies are going to be routed and chased into the river. Russia will probably already have bombed out the bridges. AFU could lose massive amounts of weapons, vehicles, and soldiers. They wont retreat in time because their generals and Zelensky are delusional and terrible tacticians. The AFU commander told Zelensky that the last line is about to break and the line is about to collapse. He said that they need to pull the soldiers out of Kursk and reinforce the East. Zelensky said no, he is going to die on the Kursk hill.
Also side note the Kursk incursion is beyond dumb. Its like the Battle of the Bulge but with no objective
A well thought comment, as always!
same for russia...now i`ts been invaded as well it is taking hits to its refineries and power stations as well...refinery fires are not being extinguished...and when kerch takes trains of fuel again it to will go down...russia isn`t walking through this without bleeding either...winter will suck for so many people for no reason...except one mans ego
It looks like pokorovsk will be captured by end of September. Not Christmas
Right, I respect Weeb but I do not get what he knows that the Ukrainians, ordering mandatory evacuation NOW, do not
Hard to say the Ukrainian fron is practically collapsed but if they regroup they can hold the line for another 2 months they are waiting for November election but time is not on their side.
Russian forces are advancing to pokorovsk but even they got slowed down there they practically flanked the whole Ukrainian line so they can advance in other directions and grind pokorovsk with time.
Pokorovsk is a logistical hub but wjat is the logistical hub goimg to do for you if you don't have anything to supply to.
This is sad and need to end the out come is clear just end it already no more blood need to be shed.
@@brianrasmussen2956 Time tells everything indeed. So far, time has told Russia is laying hands on Pokrovsk.
@@Lina_Antoniou it also told that ukraniens are laying hands on koronevo.
@@MrRoyalbeers With exactly 0 amount of success. Tried to assault it head on: failed. Tried to outflank it from the north, failed. Now they are trying their luck from the south. They are running out of time and manpower to do so.
Pokrovsk was looking so far-far away just a few weeks ago, I was even wondering is it worth talking about it so much. And now it looks like next week the front line can move right into Pokrovsk.
Ever since the Russians renamed that part of the front into "Pokrovsk front", apparently it has been worth talking about. We 're most likely seeing yet another evidence that the Russians know what they 're doing.
I'm really curious at how this will unfold
It was plausible that AFU's defences would hold up until well into winter and maybe even next year, but...looking at things, it seems the Kursk Mistake was--like a war some 80 years before--what broke the back of the West's defences.
@@entropybear5847 Or at least one of the factors, the other being Russia's attrition tactics.
You know what's funny? Ukraine lost more ground under the command of Syrski than compared to Zaluzhnyi.
General 200
They lost like 20% of their territory under zaluzhny if I'm not mistaken
Anyone that's been noting what's happened so far is not suprised. Ukrainians in Zaluzknyi had someone in charge who wouldn't just pull off whatever stunt Zelensky wants to do to get some PR. I'd often seems like Zelensky still thinks he's the star who's runniung his own TV comedy show while you have to say it looks like all the praise from NATO Presidesn'ts and PM's has just gone to his head. Maybe the only hope for Ukraine is actually the one thing they don't want to happen in that Trump gets elected and basically forces them to stop all this nonsense as on the Pokrovsk gains for the Russians I don't really know how that whole situation could get any better for them? Maybe they could have welcome parties for the Russians when they capture each village and town with party hats with Putins face on them, who by the way whether you love or loathe him must be laughing right now.
@@D4NK1 Sorry I meant when the frontline was actually established.
@@D4NK1 true but he is also the one who managed the successful Kherson and karkhiv offensives, as well as held the line to many places, the front was arguably more stable under his command than Syrsky's.
Most of the losses under his command occurred at the beginning of the war, before the frontline positions were established, then it moved to the war of attrition. He also benefited from more stable supplies than Syrsky so I guess both their command are not too comparable
Before all the trenches were marked, it was not entirely clear why the attacks were being slowed down in one direction or another. When the trenches were added, it became immediately clear that the attack rested on the fortifications. I wish the rivers were also marked on the map, otherwise it is unclear why the Russians are attacking this way and not otherwise.
Well there are more reasons to why one way and not the other... It also depends on the objectives, weather conditions, Aviation support and many other considerations.
People think strategic war planing is all about chess moves but honestly from my own knowledge and experience from the army its more about how organized one side is.
Its not really all about the terrain and land, Its how organized you attack or defend. When your enemy doesn't know what his left arm and right legs are doing its much easier to disorient the enemy and break through even well made fortifications... Intelligence, digital and psychological warfare is very important. But most of all the most important thing I think is competence. The Russians are VERY competent warriors in general.
Landscape and elevation are also factors.
Additionally, I think marking the highways and railroads also helps a lot. It was surprisingly annoying to find a railroad map of Ukraine that was easy to read but it made everything more clear. This entire Adevka breakout to where we are now has essentially been following a rail line to Pokrovsk. There is also a highway that now connects it to Pokrovsk south of the reservoir. Those things being marked would make this better imo.
It also depends on which ukrainian logistics and materiel were hampered by Russian attacks in the rear and therefore not received in a timely manner by ukrainian forces.
"Ukraine wasn't of much of strategical importance" ...Kursk is 😂
Ukrie bloggers write about how the Russians move through almost undefended fortifications. And towns with practically no fortifications. On the way to Pokrovsk. That's where supplies are moved by Ukraine to the Donbass front, via the highway and railroad from west of the Dniepr. West of Pokrovsk the map is empty all the way to the Dniepr.
I wonder if they still can move with railroad after the latest air strikes? The energy generation sector is in tatters.
@@bluikkso Diesel locomotives have been utilised Tsk tsk tsk...don't they know co2 is destroying the earth! Send Greta in :-)
@@mal6232 I now channel Greta. "How dare You!"
it will be interesting if this could escalte into a war of movment again where tousends of km² are captured in a day
@@christian9125abdnot enough troops
Yall gotta realize Germany attacked with over 10 million men
Those are the numbers it takes to cover that massive country
Histoty will show Kursk was One of the worst decisions ever in War
Yes, terrible strategy but Kiev felt they needed to get back into the headlines. They are wasting valuable troops and a great deal of expensive western armament for, essentially, a media stunt.
Maybe not "ever" ... but sure, it will easily be in top 10.
Absolutely
A random ideologically motivated German would say "Never attack Kursk!"
is already showing*
The big red arrows are here!
yea, and the red pistols are so many now :D :D
Is that the last remnants of Britain's RAF?🤣
Big if true
In Italia abbiamo un modo di dire che descrive perfettamente la situazione: la coperta è corta.
Se hai una coperta corta puoi coprire i piedi o il corpo ma non entrambi. Gli ukraini non possono proseguire l'attacco a Kursk e proteggere adeguatamente il Donbass.
Marino ,👍👏😂.
@@MarinoSona Bellissimo! The Russians have that same saying.
Meanwhile in Kursk some Ukrainians are sniffing gas and doing spinnies in a car park.
Emma Stone vibes from film _Kinds of Kindness,_ spinning car in a motel parking lot
According to information from the Russian national districts, the collection points of the national army, thousands of people are showing up for conscription, the speakers are asking the government for clarifications on the actual implementation and a presidential order for enlistment. In the total count, the volunteers at the moment are around 800,000 - 1,000,000 elements. The clumsy attack on Kursk, has awakened the famous patriotism in Russians, and everyone wants to save their country.💪💪💪💪
Quelle surprise! Who would have thought that happen, strange!
Every single Russian that wants to live should mobilize. Their life literally depends on them.
@@cotizacionesequipo1719I think they're starting to grasp the danger the West poses, we have unhinged psychopathic control freaks in charge
Big if true.
These guys mustered over 17 million in the great patriotic war
16x what America fielded in ww2
NATO has no idea what they’re dealing with
The one thing I would add to your thoughts on the second choice Ukraine has with the Kursk front is by invading Kursk the Ukrainians caused Russia to bring in tens of thousands of troops that were otherwise doing nothing. If Ukraine pulls from that front it will automatically become an offensive for Russia now that the everything necessary for an offensive has been brought into place. If Ukraine continues to push in the Kursk front too much blood will be spilled and that will be the end of Ukraine as a nation. If Ukraine withdraws to shore up their eastern front, Russia will move in and take Sumy and Kharkav, this scenario will save many more lives and maybe even the nation of Ukraine. The best scenario Ukraine had was the offer that was put forth by Putin that would of saved everyman's life that has been lost since then.
Logical reasoning is essentially what Ukraine and West ran out of around 2014.
The whole thing is psychotic and kinda evil.
My point exactly. NATO should have listened to Putin.
@@Lina_Antoniou And ukraine should have never listened to NATO. The moment it did that it lost the conflict.
Retreating is always a manouever that entails casualties ... some have to sacrifice themselves to hold the line for the bulf to retreat. Contrary to attack which may entail a surprise, in retreat this factor is not present. One trend that differes regarding previous wars is the high number of casualties "ad itinere", that is going to and from the battle-front due to the numerous surveillance that renders it almost impossible for any significant move to be unnoticed.
@@santoriniblue8413 you could retreat at night and hope the enemy does not notice fast enough.
Synkivka has also fallen as of writing this! Kup’yank lies wide open!
What's your source on this? Haven't heard anything about it from reliable milbloggers. Thanks.
@@jonshive5482 suriyak maps and weeb unions map currently
@@jonshive5482it was geolocated already
@@Lomprouser Sources 👀?, do you know something on Belgorod attacks?
"The Russians are running out of men, ammunition and vehicles!"
No, but Ukraine is running out of territory
ur half right.
the russians are running out of men, ammunition, vehicles and have resorted to using shovels and washing machines..
and as a result ukraine is winning by losing their territory.. and soon russia will lose the war by taking more territory from ukraine..
remember ukriane is winning..
@@darknesschilled
Oh, what a brilliant military strategy Putin has! He launched a 'special operation' to take over Ukraine, marched into Kiev, and then... retreated. Yeah, that's right, a real show of strength. And now, two and a half years later, the Russians are still 'crawling forward,' making tremendous progress (not really).
But hey, Ukraine has somehow managed to get their hands on some decent military gear, and now they're actually fighting back! What a shock! I mean, who could have predicted that? Certainly not Putin, who expected Ukraine to just roll over and surrender.
And let's be real, Putin's plan was totally working... who needs to actually win a war ooops a special military operation when you can just claim victories on the front and pretend like everything is going according to plan? It's not like Ukraine is destroying Russian oil installations, or capturing Russian conscripts, or even threatening Moscow. Nope, that's just crazy talk!
So, here's to Putin's genius military strategy: may it continue to 'crawl forward' and achieve all its totally-not-made-up goals, as risdia oil, gas and economy burn. 😉
Just like Russia lost so much territory in WW2. We all know how this story ends. Except by now the Nazis have surrounded Moscow.
Ukraine is running out of territory and men, and ammunition, and money, and energy...
@@themanfromdystopia807 Also they are running out of allies as western support for them is dwindling.
“Russia is running out of ammo & aircraft” - 2022
“Russia is taking adivvika but don’t worry, they will run out of ammo after this” - 2024 January
“Russia is taking ukraine, but don’t worry soon they will run out of ammo & airforce! Slava Ukraini!” - 2025
You forgot about the "Russia's defenders in Horlivka are conscripts so there's no attack will happen".
Ukraine total collapse info i can hear since 1st week of invasion until today.
Änd yet almost 3 years later russian red army dont even have under controll just donbass
Russia don't need that crap. They have tactical assault shovles and washing machines.
kursk same for the uks...3 oil fields on fire in russia mean the loss of jet fuel as they can`t put out these fires...as well as having their power plants being hit this means it`s very much tit for tat and both countries are going to have serious issues during winter
@@Gavin-ve3by 面白いですＷＷＷ
Russians retreating towards kiev uraaa
Im pretty sure you mean kursk.
@@MrRoyalbeers kursk selfie adventure failed.
@@MrRoyalbeers Who is going to tell him that the 2 days to Kursk offensive failed?
@@pacivalmuller9333 if by failed you mean occupied russia you are 100% correct. im pretty sure the RU milbloggers are in the loop more than you loool
Do they took drakars so it look likes new Rus of Kiev ?
september will be interesting...
It will be very interesting what happens to Ukraine's Kursk safari when autumn rain starts. Ukrainians don't control many of the major roads, and have been playing cat and mouse with Russians by advancing cross-country. When the Rasputitsa season starts, it will be very interesting what will happen to Ukrainians who are hiding off road. This is less of a problem in Donbass as it is much more urban, and there are many more paved roads that can still be used for resupply.
I think Russians taking donbass is highely likely
Yes, it certainly seems that way. The U.S. has deployed additional destroyers to the Eastern Mediterranean, under the false pretense to protect Israel against Iran, but the real target appears to be Russia. In the past few months, two nuclear radar systems have been destroyed, one of which was taken out by Norway. Pay attention to what happens when the Kursk incursion escalates. We could be looking at preemptive nuclear strikes, potentially from the U.S., but possibly from Russia as well.
I think they will simply retreat before that.@@pineapplesareyummy6352
The Russian army liberated Stelmakhovka on the border with the Kharkiv region
▪️During the offensive in the Kupyansk direction, units of the "West" group of troops occupied the settlement of Stelmakhovka, the Russian Defense Ministry reported.
▪️The settlement is located on the border of the LPR and the Kharkiv region.
I feel so bad for Ukrainian soldiers fighting for Black rock and the Nato Warmongers
If fighting against their will..
Many don't want to be on the front lines fighting Russia, that's why now we see so many retreating or surrendering
@@Theone-bc7tr especially when their church in the rear forbids Zelensky. A huge number of Ukrainian soldiers are Orthodox and their church was banned by Zelensky.
Only for the forced conscripts. No sympathy for the volunteer meats.
@@efghggdxlmfn33The current Kyiv regime did not ban the Ortodox church which has many patriarchates in Constatinople/Istanbul as the seat of eastern orthodox church, others being in Moscow, Athens and elsewhere. The Ukrainian parliament voted last week to ban the eastern Orthodox church that still uses the Gregorian calendar, saying it id Russian affialiated. Still, a meaningful move, because the Kyiv monastry Lavra and the Kyiv patriarchate is veneered for their role in defeating nazism and Germans in WWII. And most Ukrainians are observing the Gregorian calendar for holidays etc. For example, the Pope has critized this move rather strongly. IMO, no democratic state should dictate people’s beliefs/faiths, or non-beliefs/faiths. 😢
The relatively slow and mild Russian response to the Ukrainian Kursk offensive may have been the reason why Ukraine committed to it, and it may be the reason why Ukraine ends up losing Pokrovsk. One can only imagine how the Ukrainians would have responded if they would have ran into a brick wall after the first days of the Kursk offensive. They could have decided to abandon the offensive and commit the remaining reserves to the Pokrovsk section.
It didn't seem a rushed panicked response, clearly the Russian leadership are cool headed and merciless enough to not worry too much about a relative tiny patch of border-country if it means sucking in the best of Ukraine's remaining forces for a nice fire control cauldron. Compare this to Ukraine that overreacted to every lost piece of territory, and poured countless manpower and resources into bad fights just to hold/retake relatively insignificant ground.
Thanks!
Tyvm for the donation I really appreciate it
Winter will be bloody😢
Let's hope Elensky and Kuleba won't be around in power by Christmas.
Ukraine would have a new problem if they pull troops from Kursk to support the east. Russia has established new army groupings there now to counter the offensive, so if Ukraine pulls back their offensive units and send them to the east instead, then Russia could just use their new army groupings to enter Sumy. So Ukraine is literally stuck between a rock and a hard place, a situation they put themselves in.
I agree completely with your middle ground theory. The Ukrainians Absolute need their PR, so they won't shut down Kursk, but they must divert some reinforcements to help the eastern front that is collapsing. Unfortunately, this strategy makes losing the war almost a certainty in the long run.
That is unless something else is done by the West.
The west is going to escalate with the Kursk offensive, they will eventually authorize ukraine to use long range missiles inside Russia, that means factories, nuclear plants, bridges, whatever. The goal is to force Russia into an escalation that justifies the entering of NATO officially into the conflict.
The Paralympics start today. Ukraine should have far more success in Paris than on the battlefield. In fact, Ukraine might finally dethrone China from the top of the medals table (a position China held every tournament since 2004) and win the Paralympics outright this year!
because of many 300?
Brutal comment 😢
Tis a brutal world.
Ooooooof loooool
Bruh, but on twitter NAFO acts like nothing is happening and talking about Ukrainian ballistic modules and Kursk…
Some months ago, I actually made the prediction that UA would collapse completely by end of August. I'm neutral and not necessarily 'rooting' for the Russians, but I can't help noticing that my prediction appears to have been eerily prescient.
I knew already as the much hyped-up Ukrainian SCO last summer was starting (by May/early June) that it was going to be a failure, and it wasn't hard to fiure out why, or roughly what directions it was going to take. The big surprise was just how bad a failure it actually did become.
Remember how Elensky boasted that he was going to take a bath in Crimea in the summer of 2023?
What was your prediction based on?
@@apostolosderakis9840 Honestly not very much. Just a sense of how long UA would be able to hold out, which I got from watching these and other videos.
I have no special insights into anything. It's just weird how my educated guess is turning out to be pretty accurate.
@@grahamstull2330 my definition of an educated guess is one based on firmer ground 😊 do you have a hunch on whether they will clean up Donbass or speed up to Dnieper?
@@apostolosderakis9840 For my part, some of the key weaknesses I could see before the SCO last year were overstretching - I knew they were going to make a three-pronged offensive to try to impress the West, but that was way above their level of resources - and the lack of air support. The US never does offensives of this kind without a powerful aircraft shield to protect their own troops and suppress the enemy's aircraft and air defences (even before the ground campaign kicks off), but NATO have been very unwilling/ slow to offer any of that kind of strategic air power resources to Ukraine in this war.
Ukraine exposed their army without an airshield last summer, and had to pay a very steep price.And it seems they are still made to commit the same mistake - NATO doesn't have any serious aircraft presence in the Kursk region.
I just realised how close Kyiv is to the border of Belarus 😋
For the scale of all this scenery, indeed it is close.
Yep, and they still couldn't take it
cos they dont want it npc7071
@@hksp They went for Kyiv the first few weeks and had to withdraw... The entire war could have been won by taking the capital and replacing the government with a pro-Russian one. But they couldn't.
@@davidh7071it was close though. Had the battle of Hostomel been a win for the Russians the siege of Kiev might have turned out for the Russians. Kudos to a quick defense by Ukrainians
F16 will not save or change the outcome of the war
Don't underestimate the F-16! One of these have already managed to intercept a Russian missile at Ivano-Frankivsk airport while operating on the ground.
@@pineapplesareyummy6352 lol , that's funny
@@pineapplesareyummy6352 Yeah, this helps a lot to the guys in Pokrovsk. Literally game changer.
@@SonHoang-jr4pl Elensky actually said yesterday that "we've been using some of our F-16's to divert or take down the Russian drones". To anyone with some knowledge of air defence that's a nutter claim: ypu don't send an expensive aircraft up right in the middle of an incoming burst of drones and rockets to try to shoot dome of those down or "mislead them". That would be a waste of valuable hardware, wouldn't it?
@@pineapplesareyummy6352 パイロットを一人失ったそうで、飛ぶ前に落とされました
Another idea. If Ukraine is taking the troops from Kursk to the East, then what or who will stop Russia to attack in Sumi? Ukraine have no other choice now, but to keep those forces there. From there they have 2 options. 1 To retreat and fight on Ukraine territory to minimize the loses or to keep fight in Russia territory, but with higher casualties. Just think about this.
Thanks Weeb 🙏. I will watch this update properly later as I'm late for work 😞
Rule number 1: If your "allies" don't dare to fight, but they ask you to fight. Something is wrong. They are not your allies. You should not fight their proxy war.
It's not worth dying for US/NATO/globalist interests.
Rule number 2: Never forget rule number 1
GAME OVER. 2nd line ,3rd line of defences all crumpling. Zelensky ,are you ready to flee already ?? get ready.
I wonder where he will go ... if not to Moscow in chains.
@@ZappyOhThat's exactly where he will end up. In lefortovo.
He should avoid neckties and going on live television 😂
I am afraid it doesnt even start yet - at most we are at prologue.
He has a villa and a bank account in Tel Aviv
Putin: "protect Sirski with all cost! His decisions help us like nothing else!"
I believe Syrski is just a figurehead. The decisions are being made by so called Nato advisors.
Mantap lanjutkan perjuanganmu tentara russia
Congratulations to Russia for protecting its own people.
I don't think that the city Pokrovsk itself must be the most important goal for the Russians for now. It is too large, en it will take too much time, you can see it now at Toretsk.
The cities Selydove, Ukrainsk and Hirmyk are more important now. If you can capture these cities (previously a total population of 45,000) in the next weeks, you will have achieved more than, for example the whole capture of Avdiivka
To me it appears they know full well where to go each time.
Ive had a theory for several months which is that one reason for the excruciatingly slow bite and hold gains is that this way the Western Media are hobbled simply by boredom and a lack of an obvious immediate threat.
This may just be unintended. Russians were advancing pretty quickly in February and March 2022, before a Ukrainian line has formed to contain the initial Russian advance. Since then, Russia had been fighting a war of attrition for the vast majority of that time. Russia has overwhelming advantages in manpower and equipment. As long as Ukraine has enough soldiers to sufficiently man the entire front, Russia can't break through and can only chip away. Eventually, Ukraine has been attrited so much (exacerbated by the Kursk adventure) they just break under a Russian advance with overwhelming superiority in numbers.
Not really. These defensive positions are 10 years old. Two things happen with defensive positions as they age. The ones you actively occupy become better and better because you add to them and the ones you aren’t occupying begin to degrade almost immediately. It is like the difference between a house that people live in and maintain versus one that has been abandoned and isn’t being maintained. The forward lines have been occupied since 2014-15 but the rear lines were not. As the Russians have severely attrited the Ukrainian manpower they no longer have people to bring those rear positions up to snuff to conduct a defense from.
This was my theory too. As far as the RF are concerned, this is not s war against UKR: the enemy is NATO and there is s longer game going on. No point in defeating UKR if you get exhausted and get defeated direct afterwards
@@apostolosderakis9840 yup. Putin himself admitted that NATO's control of Western Media was a problem/challenge for Russia. So the trick is to be so dull and boring that you slip under the Media Radar thanks to the Media's short attention span
Look at that map... soon the city that was founded in 2 September 1794 will be liberated... I guess Ukrainians will need to travel far to enjoy a beach...
This is a lot like the collapse of a large dam where a small hole starts suddenly enlarging. Inexorable inevitable collapse in short time. Terracon strongholds R flattened after two or three 1500 FABs
It seems that there is some kind of agreement between the Russians and the normal Ukrainian units that remained in the Donbass after the Nazis left for Kursk. Towns and villages are abandoned unscathed and those retreating are not bombarded. Building trust, maybe…
Not entirely crazy since most of the ukranians defending that part are russian ethnics.
Those retreating are not bombarded? have you not seen the RF bombing supply roads , prioritising this to capturing empty settlements?
They are picked of by russian arty, airforce , lancet and rpv drones when they leave the fortifications and going west. If they stay they get the same treatment
Could be.
Its more like a lot of the soldiers there are freshly "mobilized" from the streets and have no interest in fihting
The situation in Soledar is difficult.
Avdeevka and Bakhmut will never fall.
If the day before yesterday was" Damn"
And yesterday was "wtf"
Today was "............"?
Holy shit😂
"Oof"
I guess he isn't sure what it was, so he didn't bother trying to think about it on his feet, in order to not hamper what he knew he 'd have to say anyway.
HOLY MOTHER OF GOD!!!
@@Lina_Antoniouwe need a Greek scholar to explain the subtle differences between scatology and eschatology (tip: in our context, there are not any)
They risking losing East, but they decided long time ago to prioritize Kursk.
Do you think Kursk was a trap for Ukraine?
Yes, this is what makes most sense. Even just logically it is thinkable: Russia is interfering in Ukraine's civil war that has been caused by NATO, so it would make no sense to think Russia would not expect some attempt of response. The idea that "the Russians are incompetent and were caught pants down" is nothing but racism.
Thanks for the update Weeb!
Donbass will fall at this rate by October when the bad weather sets in 😮
Suddenly no one is talking about Denys...
We forgot about him.
Denys..you mean ''Ukraine's Bagdad Bob''?😆
@@Lina_Antoniou He started to talk abotu some Belgorod incursion in the past few days, and act like Ukraine will take belgorod. I checked the map multiple times and nobody reports it except the very far away from reality pro-ukrainians.
In the long term, would Ukraine be non stop unstable ( like the Middle East) ?
Because both US/West and Russia won’t (never) give up their influence there
That's exactly where the problem lies. You placing same importance to usa security concerns as to rusian ones. Yet Ukraine has direct border with rusia and us is on other side of planet.
Therefore Russia has legit concerns while usa is warmongering and medling half way across the world to make more money
Thank you for update. How much more land russia has to take in order to complete the special military operation?
9700sqkm in the Donbass region remains under Ukrainian control.
That means if the current rate continues Russia would control the Donbass region in 130 days
Wait, Robotyne was captured? Deepstate says otherwise..
They’ve coped like that for MONTHS, every other map say otherwise
@@Dimension37 what a bunch of clowns then
DS lie quite a lot
also according to deep state, the russians have been encircled in the volchansk factory for a month if not more, they only report stuff which is greenlit by the ukrainian government.
🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺🍀🍀🍀💪💪💪
I remember when Putin said about a month ago or so that "there would come a time where we have to speed up"
Guess he was right
I hope you continue providing information on how much land Russia or Ukraine has captured in a day.
That is also one important metric. So 75 km in a day is a pretty significant gains.
But it will be interesting to see the gains/loss in a week, so speed of gains can be analyzed too and claims like Russians offense is speeding up can be accepted or debunked based on actual data.
Has anyone here mentioned it's now being reported that an F16 has crased on monday? New York Times had an aricle on thursday, calling it "pilot error", without going into details. One of their better pilots, too.
Goodmorning 💪🏼
Good evening it's 7.00 pm 29th of August here in Auckland New Zealand were in the future 😊😊😊
@@alastairdow4400its 1 am 29th of august in canada
7:44 am EDT Michigan USA
Capitulation late this winter.
Any bets?
They're not allowed to.... Fighting MUST go on. Petraeus said recently that the US would lose its crediblity regarding Taiwan, if they gave up in Ukraine.
I think the US created so many adversaries (that are uniting now), that they can't control them anymore. Divide and conquer doesn't work, because the diveded join forces.
The enemy of my enemy is my friend.
No bets, but I 'm not ruling it out as a possibility. Exact time doesn't matter that much, as things are going NATO will sooner or later have to capitulate.
зимой? я не думаю что это возможно
“Where is Steiner!?”
Ukrainians, we took the penthouse the Russians, we have the basement 😂😂😂
@momomama2587
So, you're trapped in the penthouse, huh?
@@BillMartin-h2g do you understand sarcasm?
@momomama2587
Are you capable of conveying sarcasm?
If that's meant to be sarcasm, you failed in the attempt.
Russia is still unable or unwilling to deploy more than 5000 soldiers in the Kursk. Maybe they want to entice Ukraine in that direction and expand in the Donbass.
Yeah that was what I thought. They keep them in Kursk and stabilized the situation so nothing like disaster will not happen, and so troops at Donbass can to advance further and further.
My guess has been from the beginning that the situation in Kursk was planned all along to be a fire pocket, a trap. So maybe the Russians don't need more than 5000 to keep it going until it does the job?
It’s 30k
@@MistiDonaldo Even so, it seems Russia could have crushed the Kursk incursion if it wanted to. I think they are allowing Ukraine false hope so they will commit more of their forces to it, or at least not withdraw the ones they have there already.
Tak for opdatering
I don’t know what victory is Zelensky talking about when the Russians are advancing on pokrovsk direction each day!
Not exactly sure how Ukraine thinks that threatening Belarus is going to help their situation.
Great report thanks Weeb
Ukraine pulled its best troops out of the Eastern front and sent them to the Kursk offensive. The troops that were left on the Eastern Front are like a team ready to play a tough competitor but none of their best players showed up for the game.
Cheers Weeb.
Will RU stop a liberating all DPR territory or keep going? Is the army in Belarus going to move or just a threat to tie up AFU forces?
We 'll see.
This kursk incursion will go down as the dumbest military mission in history.
Nothing bad ever happened after predicting key military objectives be completed before Christmas
Ukraine attacking the Kursk region, with not enough force to actually take the city of Kursk, would be like the Russians now trying to take the Kharkov region without enough force to take the city of Kharkov. The Russians won't do that, as it serves no strategic purpose unless you can take the actual city with its economy and where enemy supplies and forces can gather, so they focus on the all-important Donbass front.
Thanks :)
For scale 75 sq km is not quite half the size of Gaza.
"some sort of middle ground"
Ah, the absolutely WORST POSSIBLE option...
*lol*
I ques, Pokrovsk is not a top priority for RU for now - in this moment main axis is moving south-west and it will kolaps all defense lines and allow RU to operate in much more favorable area
Does burning NATO armor count as occupying a position?
Edit: You're forgetting that it's also difficult to disengage from Kursk without taking massive losses. The AFU's chance for a clean and quick exist from Kursk was about the initial stages when it still counted as essentially a raid-in-force. Now they're stuck in a semi-cauldron where moving--especially in daylight--is as dangerous as it is for AFU forces in the Donbass.
Mornin'.
If the day before yesterday was “Damn”,
And yesterday was “WTF”,
Then today is “HOLY MOTHER OF GOD!!”
West allways was more efficient in summer, while Russia was on defence. And in winter Russia pushed to some big goal like Bakhmut or Avdeyevka and the west was retreating.
This year, winter is coming early.
So now Russia is pretty much at the gates of Pokrovsk. Man that was fast.
Thanks
Moving Ukrainian troops from Kursk and spreading them thinly across the East and South isn't going to help them much. It might slow the Russian advance, but it won't stop it.
Having failed to draw the rest of the planet into WWIII, Zelensky is getting desperate. The move into Russia is basically a PR exercise where he's trying to improve his hand before the upcoming peace deal.
Personally I think he's miscalculated. Experienced politicians and military leaders around the globe, who can see the futility of the incursion, are probably furious. A peace deal, pencilled in for November, will probably now have to wait until the Spring.
Technically: FAB is not something new it stands for HE Aviation Bomb.
The new component is the add on UMPK glide kit, which allows for stand off use.
Yeah but the point was it started being used extensively last summer not prior to it.
@@WeebUnionWUthanks for taking time to respond to nitpicking.
Everybody knows what you meant, everybody is using FAB in this context, it has become the standard expression.
Keep up the good work, always to the point and without too much speculation.
Any news about the Ukrainian f16. There are rumors saying they we of the F16 crashed and the pilot died?
Yeah it crashed the day Russia launched missiles
It's pretty clear now that Kursk is a genius PR move that drawn everyone attention for a while. But still not change the flow of the war entirely. And now Ukrainian are stuck in very hot water. Should they give up their actual territory for Kursk just to at least beg for more weapons (and moneys) or pull back from Kursk and then defend everything just like before but still lose everything. Maybe Sryskii is a genius all along since his plan is too much for us to comprehen. We might never know anyway
here we go !
NATO is waisting Ukraine...😢
Yeah the speed at which Russia is pushinng in east and Ukraine in north is crazy
I want to see an accurate update on the situation in Kursk. French media here keeps telling us that Ukraine is doing extremely well there and that Russia is losing badly. So, it's difficult to know who's winning exactly.
Just look at the map and what's in that territory, tells you all you need to know
Based on geo-location , Ukraine didn’t made any additional gain in few days.
U can look at military summary channel, he only updates maps after confirming from geo - location.
Well one thing is for Ukraine is losing.
Just yesterday Gen. Syrski admitted that the Kursk incursion has failed. It's pointless listening to the MSM any more, except to find out what it is the authorities want us to think. 🫤
Based on satellite imagery ukraf stalled about three days ago and since then they just running around 2% of captured kursk region trying to hide from rusian artillery drones and airplanes. Effectively they have zero control over the territory I kursk they claim captured.
Even ukraf itself admits that they can't get steady resupply there and have to rely on scavenging (stealing) resources like fuel, food and ammo. Sky very proudly shown ukraf trying to refuel tank at rusian petrol station. they failed even that (all the pumps were unleaded, no diesel at that petrol station) but still pretended they refuelled
Shovel brigade taking over Donbass.
very effective shovels, they must be prohibited in Canada.😆
do the russians use the yasynuvata-ocheretyne-pokrovsk railway for supplies?
also will the russian advance on konstantinivka-vuhledar axis make the luhanske-volnovakha railway usable for russians to supply zaporojie and herson frontlines from the mainland without the need of the crimean bridge?
ItZover
Question: we can see lots of fortifications. So, I wounder if every each one are manned ??? And if manned, are the troops of what quality ???
And 1000 lost in kursk area? Humiliation.
Ukraine lost 1000 soldiers in Kursk in 3 days. I agree. Total humiliation
Russian blogger Yuri Podolyaka is wary about the northern and southern flanks of the Pokrovsk direction. AFU grabbed hold of Karlovka and Nevelskoye and are holding on despite the obvious threat of encirclement. To the north, in Toretsk, battles are taking place for every house and street. To the north of Ocheretino no active hostilities have been seen for a long time. While in the center, the AFU are retreating from cities that they could hold for months. Very suspicious. This may turn out to be a trap that will have to collapse near Progress. This is just a guess, but still...
Would they risk Pokrovsk for that? I don't think so. Russians are careful about their flanks anyway, in every update I watch it seems they 've studied the ground very well before committing their moves.
It's not suspicious at all, ukrainian soldiers themselves on that front has said that Russia are moving so fast that it's hard for the ukrainian command to re-establish cohesion.
Selydove and Novohrodivka had been prepared for a long time with fortifications and trench lines, with established supply lines and everything. Letting Russia capture those areas because it's a "trap" is insane.
I think your analysis is correct, except I wonder if Russia could just encircle Vuhledar rather than attack it head on, even if from 3 sides?
But regardless, the Ukrainians are collapsing in southern Donbass while they are making insignificant changes in Kursk and taking big losses there . The PR loss in Donbass will overwhelm any PR victory in Kursk!!!