I like Art Benjamins explaination on WHY a direct shot without combinations leave 11 shots: There are five sides on each die that DOESN´T involve the number that hits. The likelyhood of NOT rolling the number is 5x5x=25 out of 36 (6x6). 36 minus 25 is 11 which equates to the direct shot.
I memorized the number of rolls to hit for x number of pips away. There are only 12 hard numbers to memorize because something 13,14,17,19,21,21 & 23 pips away cannot be hit and something 15,16,18,20 & 24 pips away can only be hit 1 way. So then you only have to memorize 1 thru 12. When it gets more complicated I use the finger counting trick but always mess it up.
cant wait for Monday to have the earth board.... checking every minute the tracking information..... playing with my wife on monday, even she does not play backgammon so i can win the first 1
I do not have a single mathematical/statistical molecule in my body. My face during this whole video was like 😐❓❓❓I’ll just rely on sheer dumb luck lol
Your success will b limited. Take two different colored dice to learn the probability of the 36 possible rolls.when there is a direct hit involved(1-6 pips away), the closer you are to your opponent's men, the lesser chance you have of being hit.When u have an indirect shot(more than 7 pips)the farther away the better.
When your checker is 2 pips away a direct shot is 11/36 to roll a 2 plus double 1s. That is what you said. But I have a question please? Wouldn't double 2s also hit making the chances 13/36 not 12/36? Thank you so much. Great vid.
No, it's 12/36 all non doubles count as 2 rolls. 61,51,41,31,21 (10 rolls) double count as one roll. 11,22(2 rolls) are the only doubles that hit. 10 + 2 = 12. 12/36.
I can see what your doing as it helps your strategy but I’m not good at maths and I think I would get moulded up , you seem to have a quick mind so you deserve to be a champion but for me doing the dice is confusing, perhaps later when I’ve played a bit😊
Quick question on the last position. You play Green and White has left a shot 6 blots away. Would you double knowing that your board is full as it is on your video ?
No, because you are still an underdog. You will hit 17/36 times, and then you will be a 97% favorite. If you miss (19/36 times) your opponent will recube and you must pass.
Расчет неверный, вероятность выподения конкретной цифры не 11/36, a 12/36. Вероятность выподения конкретной цифры на одном кубике 1/6, а на двух кубиках 1/6+1/6=1/3, т.е. 12 из 36 вариантов.
This board is something else
Finally someone explaining things clearly! Thanks
Thanks for the counting tips Marc. My head now hurts 😂 lol.
Great video with clear explanation, thank you! The board is still amazing! 😊
I like Art Benjamins explaination on WHY a direct shot without combinations leave 11 shots: There are five sides on each die that DOESN´T involve the number that hits. The likelyhood of NOT rolling the number is 5x5x=25 out of 36 (6x6). 36 minus 25 is 11 which equates to the direct shot.
yes, that is excellent.
Best channel around! Btw, my wife is on to me, picking up tips! Ha!
Great tip. Thanks Marc.
Math prof here: Your finger system is brilliantly easy; thank you for sharing it!
I memorized the number of rolls to hit for x number of pips away.
There are only 12 hard numbers to memorize because something 13,14,17,19,21,21 & 23 pips away cannot be hit and something 15,16,18,20 & 24 pips away can only be hit 1 way. So then you only have to memorize 1 thru 12.
When it gets more complicated I use the finger counting trick but always mess it up.
Excellent!!!
Thank you! Cheers!
cant wait for Monday to have the earth board.... checking every minute the tracking information..... playing with my wife on monday, even she does not play backgammon so i can win the first 1
It's an amazing board! :)
Don't be too sure about the win Maxx ;)
@@LHB5808 true
@@kohchangtai7820 We're so happy to hear that
I just want to thank you for sharing are your thoughts.
You're welcome :)
I do not have a single mathematical/statistical molecule in my body. My face during this whole video was like 😐❓❓❓I’ll just rely on sheer dumb luck lol
☺️
Your success will b limited. Take two different colored dice to learn the probability of the 36 possible rolls.when there is a direct hit involved(1-6 pips away), the closer you are to your opponent's men, the lesser chance you have of being hit.When u have an indirect shot(more than 7 pips)the farther away the better.
why you dont count the double 3 or double 4 and5? ty
This was fantastic! Thank you 🙏🏼
You should do one about the probabilities of entering from the bar with one or two men in relation to pips covered.
These are always great entertainment 😂😂🤣🤣
Thanks a lot for the great video!
Glad you liked it! We have a lot more good stuff on this channel! :)
When your checker is 2 pips away a direct shot is 11/36 to roll a 2 plus double 1s. That is what you said. But I have a question please? Wouldn't double 2s also hit making the chances 13/36 not 12/36? Thank you so much. Great vid.
No, it's 12/36 all non doubles count as 2 rolls. 61,51,41,31,21 (10 rolls) double count as one roll. 11,22(2 rolls) are the only doubles that hit. 10 + 2 = 12. 12/36.
Very helpful!!!
I think Marc makes an error at 7:09 and 7:33 because double5 and double6 are not included in the math....
it seems he forgot to count the doubles from 6:21 onwards, therefore those probabilities are wrong. still, great counting tip:)
Is there a link to the board that Sander and Mochy used for the first UBC? I know it's not by Galaxy, but just wondering :)
That was a P-40 board, with custom Galaxy design.
That's a gorgeous board , what is it??
Are those 2 inch ...50 mm checkers ?
Thank you
The size of dices ?
I can see what your doing as it helps your strategy but I’m not good at maths and I think I would get moulded up , you seem to have a quick mind so you deserve to be a champion but for me doing the dice is confusing, perhaps later when I’ve played a bit😊
you don't have to be good at math to be good at backgammon. Just keep playing and get more familiar with the game and you'll see.
Quick question on the last position. You play Green and White has left a shot 6 blots away. Would you double knowing that your board is full as it is on your video ?
No, because you are still an underdog. You will hit 17/36 times, and then you will be a 97% favorite. If you miss (19/36 times) your opponent will recube and you must pass.
You forgot to add up double six on the last direct shot probability calculation
So beautiful ☺️
Thank you! 😊
backgammon prob stats would be good for advance level maths (A level / CAPE [from those like me from the Caribbean])
2:39 I'm curious as to why you count the 6 and 1 given that roll wouldn't result in a win?
3:33 Ahhh yes, never mind. 🤣
Better to explain dice probability with different colored dice.
If % are given, It d help more,we may calculate,not bid deal
Расчет неверный, вероятность выподения конкретной цифры не 11/36, a 12/36. Вероятность выподения конкретной цифры на одном кубике 1/6, а на двух кубиках 1/6+1/6=1/3, т.е. 12 из 36 вариантов.
And then you roll a 1-2 and that's the end of the game 😂
I wish I could take the time to count, tho
The eyes of Shiva...!!!! Run....!!!!!
Hahahaha! Exactly
I assume everything after 0:53 was awesome. But I too ran away, doing the Darjeeling Leap as I exited the room.
👍❤️🎲🎲💰👊🍻
great vid but is you cameraman sitting on a nervous horse?
:)
LOL
This scientific stuff makes backgammon less fun to play. Kind of same thing as learning 20.000 opening moves in chess.
Fortunately you can play in any way you want to. But if your opponent knows this stuff, they have an edge ;-)
I always come one or two pips short when I'm counting. Sigh.....
If you always come up one or two pips short, you're fine. Just add 1.5 to your final count. Now you will either be .5 short or .5 over. :)
@@MrEdwardCollins practical solutions to practical problems xd