The Most Accurate Housing Market Forecast 2024

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  • Опубликовано: 11 май 2024
  • While most industry experts predicted US home prices would fall anywhere from 10-20% for 2023, there were a few who remained bullish, and now looking back, they were closer to the mark.Today, we’ll take a look at an interview between Lambert and Shah for Resiclub to see his 2024 forecast, as well as some recent data from Redfin that shows the “lock-in” effect, which refers to homeowners refusing to sell their homes for fear of losing their low mortgage rates, seems to be showing signs of easing, as existing-home sales rose in November after five consecutive monthly declines.
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Комментарии • 30

  • @LearningFast
    @LearningFast 3 месяца назад +4

    It all depends on what the Fed does. If the Fed doesn’t lower the interest rate then home prices will remain high. If the Fed lowers the rates enough then demand will increase and new listings will increase as well.

    • @vancouverlife1040
      @vancouverlife1040 3 месяца назад +1

      I thought the market working the opposite if what you just said....

    • @samnellis1558
      @samnellis1558 3 месяца назад

      Normally it does, but people are banking on a surplus of inventory to make it a buyers' market over time rather than a sellers market. I am indifferent @@vancouverlife1040

  • @TheWhitechocolit18
    @TheWhitechocolit18 3 месяца назад +2

    Prices already creeping down in Arizona

  • @BobDobbs681
    @BobDobbs681 3 месяца назад +3

    Very interesting analysis. I'm not sure what to think. I guess think long term and don't get caught up in the news,. Most economists predicted a recession for 2023 and that didn't happen. I'd like to see Mr. Shah's predictions, and the outcomes, for several years in a row.

  • @Rosinsky88
    @Rosinsky88 3 месяца назад

    How many months of supply with new builds?, 10?

  • @charlescampa3363
    @charlescampa3363 3 месяца назад +1

    You failed to mention that Austin and Phoenix are high because of high crime and homeless camps. Doesn’t surprise me that people in those areas are trying to get out.

  • @jameslocklear5298
    @jameslocklear5298 3 месяца назад +2

    At least DMV housing market would be ok for sure...

  • @BY-rl7sk
    @BY-rl7sk 3 месяца назад +3

    Well according to the prediction people who want to buy more affordable houses can patiently till the 2030s when price is lower by then

  • @hernandez-perezandroid5983
    @hernandez-perezandroid5983 3 месяца назад +5

    I live in the 🇺🇸 Territory 🇵🇷 and all real estate property prices skyrocketed, specifically housing over $50k, basically overnight, thanks to government incentives to new home buyers 😅. The intention to offer these New Home Buyers incentives of $55k was to minimize the impact of the increased interest rate by helping New Buyers in their closing cost and lowering the amount of $$$ been finance, What happened is that all properties increased that amount been offered by the government 😂.

    • @hernandez-perezandroid5983
      @hernandez-perezandroid5983 3 месяца назад

      @jeremyroper7273 We can't never underestimate the Power of Government to F🤬ck things up big time. Even former president Regan made a joke about it, The scariest words you can ever hear from someone is: I am from the Government and I come to help.

    • @CarynGardiner
      @CarynGardiner  3 месяца назад +2

      🤦🏼‍♀️

  • @ca8a
    @ca8a 3 месяца назад +2

    I agree with Shah prediction of home prices for the 2020s and rates will go as low as 5% percent by the very end of this year. I think in the 2030s when demand decreases rapidly rates will drop as low as 2021 rates maybe lower.

  • @user-oi5sj8zl3t
    @user-oi5sj8zl3t 3 месяца назад

    Dreams

  • @user-ob4em4ge6c
    @user-ob4em4ge6c 3 месяца назад +1

    The reason home values are declining is that there is just no demand. Home values will continue to decline well into the 2030's. In Florida, condo values are declining fast.

  • @user-ew6qp6sk6o
    @user-ew6qp6sk6o 3 месяца назад

    😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
    Mortgage 5000
    Utilities 600
    Car insurance 2000/y
    Health insurance 1500/m
    Groceries 2000
    Phone + internet 250
    Car payment 500
    You name it and continue who is going to afford 😂😂😂😂😂😂🇺🇸🇺🇸🙊🙉🙊🙉🙊🙉🙊🙉worst than 2008

  • @fernandochen7906
    @fernandochen7906 3 месяца назад +4

    You need to learn to get to the point.

  • @memecat84
    @memecat84 3 месяца назад

    Don't worry everyone, just buy SPY and sell contracts daily. Rent free for life 🙉😂. Don't buy a house, it is a liability. Pay rent and invest.

    • @vancouverlife1040
      @vancouverlife1040 3 месяца назад

      Wish you knew about the leverage of mortgagae.

  • @henrybiernacki3690
    @henrybiernacki3690 3 месяца назад

    Boredom...... who is posting you to spout out this rubbish. It is geographical, and CA is dropping.

    • @CarynGardiner
      @CarynGardiner  3 месяца назад

      If you watch the whole video you would see that I say real estate is very localized as well as more data points 🙄

    • @ia6980
      @ia6980 3 месяца назад

      ca is dropping