(EViews10) - How to Estimate ARCH Models

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  • Опубликовано: 21 авг 2024

Комментарии • 53

  • @CrunchEconometrix
    @CrunchEconometrix  5 лет назад +2

    Beloved guest/subscriber, you have discovered my amazing RUclips Channel tailored specifically for you and other beginners and intermediate users. Please do not keep me to yourself (lol). Kindly share my videos and links with your students, colleagues and academic community so that they too can SUBSCRIBE and learn with ease….and for the global community to be aware that applied econometrics can be simplified. My teaching approach is very practical. I adopt a do-as-I-do style. Many thanks to those who have supported me by telling others. Once again, CrunchEconometrix loves to teach, support my Channel with your subscription, likes, feedbacks and sharing my videos with your cohorts. Follow me on Facebook, Twitter and Reddit. Love you all, greatly!!!

  • @babarahmad3936
    @babarahmad3936 3 года назад +4

    Saving my Masters degree question by question. GOD BLESS

  • @shashankvishnoi91
    @shashankvishnoi91 5 лет назад +1

    Very informative video (y)

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  5 лет назад

      Thanks for the positive feedback, Shashank...deeply appreciated! May I know from where(location) you are reaching me?

    • @shashankvishnoi91
      @shashankvishnoi91 5 лет назад +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix India- Mumbai

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  5 лет назад +1

      @@shashankvishnoi91 Wow! Please spread the word about my videos to your students and academic community in India 🇮🇳! 💕 😊

  • @dioumakamara1642
    @dioumakamara1642 3 года назад +1

    Thank you

  • @adisuabebaw5518
    @adisuabebaw5518 4 года назад +1

    I thank You very much for your supportive videos. But i would like to ask you a question. How can we measure the level of Volatility and use it for regression purpose?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      That is what this ARCH videos are about. Measuring the volatility of a series.

  • @moonsafar5718
    @moonsafar5718 4 года назад

    Thank you very much, could recored another video talking about the treatment with data from A to Z ( how can applying the model to decrease the errors)

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад +1

      I'll do my best, Moon. May I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @moonsafar5718
      @moonsafar5718 4 года назад +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Thank you very much and appreciate your hard work, I am DBA Student and have two master degree, I am working on my Doctorate Thesis so I am looking for enhance my results by Eviews program.

  • @estevaomcs
    @estevaomcs 3 года назад +1

    Always a great explanation, congratulations! Now, what if the coeficiente B1 is greater than 1, what should i do?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 года назад +1

      Hi Estevao, kindly watch the videos on "Basics of ARCH modeling"' for the response to your query. Thanks.

    • @estevaomcs
      @estevaomcs 3 года назад +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix thanks

  • @__DeaMelindaSimamora
    @__DeaMelindaSimamora 10 месяцев назад +1

    Hai ma'am
    I wanna ask, if we are estimating models to find the best model, but of all those models, the probability is not significant
    Can the model still be used for forecasting?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  10 месяцев назад

      You need models with significant p-values for forecasting.

  • @kritikaagarwal6308
    @kritikaagarwal6308 Год назад +1

    From the analysis how can we analyse the volatilty.. How volatile is the data.

  • @kingsleyohanmo2507
    @kingsleyohanmo2507 Год назад +1

    please can you explain what you mean by 11 iterations before convergence

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Год назад

      Hi Kingsley, iterations are the different models undertaken in the background by the software before the FINAL model displayed on the screen.

  • @shaydenrobinsonmcse7324
    @shaydenrobinsonmcse7324 2 года назад +1

    If your data does not show any arch effects does that mean you cannot estimate an arch model from it?

  • @waqarkhalid5854
    @waqarkhalid5854 2 года назад +1

    I have the real exchange rate data on an yearly basis. Could you please please tell me how to find the exchange rate volatility and its figure??? Any supporting video link? Eviews application etc?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  2 года назад

      Hi Waqar, ARCH is for high frequency data just as I explained.

    • @waqarkhalid5854
      @waqarkhalid5854 2 года назад

      @@CrunchEconometrix What is the solution to my problem?

  • @poppyblop484
    @poppyblop484 3 года назад +1

    How do we know how many ARCH lag we need? How do we know we only need ARCH(1) and not ARCH(2), or AR(1) only etc...?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 года назад

      Hi Poppy, please watch the prerequisite ARCH videos as advised before watching this. thanks.

    • @poppyblop484
      @poppyblop484 3 года назад

      @@CrunchEconometrix hi I have watched them all, can you please advice me which one it is please?

  • @TheLittleTurtle-tu1vy
    @TheLittleTurtle-tu1vy 2 года назад +1

    could you explain what does it mean of "11 iteration to reach convergence"

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  2 года назад

      Hi Mohammed, that's the number of times the algorithm takes to generate the result. You shouldn't concern yourself with that. Not really important. Thanks

    • @TheLittleTurtle-tu1vy
      @TheLittleTurtle-tu1vy 2 года назад +1

      thanks, I’m just curious

  • @asmarita9485
    @asmarita9485 3 года назад

    want to ask, if the arima model is not normally distributed, can we continue to the GARCH model?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 года назад

      Kindly watch my GARCH videos to understand the fundamentals.

  • @cssunita3463
    @cssunita3463 10 месяцев назад

    is it necessary to check serial correlation for building arch model?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  10 месяцев назад

      The presence of heteroscedasticity is what you need to engage ARCH techniques.

  • @kishanpatel-uc2gx
    @kishanpatel-uc2gx 4 года назад

    Hi, can you please explain what you mean by the model is explosive if b1>1. its at 6mins 13 seconds into the video. Thanks

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      Hi Kishan, if you follow the prerequisite videos b11 then the model becomes explosive. I advise you watch the entire series if you haven't. Thanks.

  • @dasundesilva5588
    @dasundesilva5588 3 года назад

    What does the mean equation tell us and can you specify what the mean equations formula please?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 года назад

      I gave the interpretation. You may need to watch my ARCH vids from the beginning.

  • @mmmmjjjjkk
    @mmmmjjjjkk 4 года назад

    thanks a lot. how can we estimate the arch model with more than one variable? is it possible?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      Perhaps, you may have to seek further online information.

  • @PhuPham-gj7ls
    @PhuPham-gj7ls 5 лет назад

    I have a question, how can I calculate the returns for a particular index given that I have the closing prices?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      Hi Phu, pardon my late response. Kindly check other online resources for that. Thanks.

  • @nagarajnaik5755
    @nagarajnaik5755 4 года назад

    any video on GARCH MODEL

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      Not yet, Nagaraj. But it's on my to-do-list. Thanks for watching my videos. May I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

  • @randomYtuberr
    @randomYtuberr 4 года назад

    When i click "ok" button at @2.41 is get error saying "ARCH estimation requires a continuous sample". Im currently working on 5 year daily data from today downloaded for indian stock index called Nifty50 from yahoo. I have learnt from another youtube video that presence of break-through point matters.? am i getting error message bcoz of that? can u please guide!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      What do you mean by @2.41?

    • @randomYtuberr
      @randomYtuberr 4 года назад

      @@CrunchEconometrix it means at time 2 minutes 41 seconds in the above video, Thx

    • @randomYtuberr
      @randomYtuberr 4 года назад

      But the problem is solved now. There were some missing data in the set downloaded from yahoo.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 года назад

      Oh, okay. Glad you resolved it.