I deliver to DG in six states. Dollar General is opening many new stores, but more importantly they are investing in renovation of their existing stores as well. They are also investing heavily in their new model "DG Market" which has more fresh food options. They are looking to change their image similarly to how Target did it.
Dollar general is quite a surprise considering they can be found along roadsides in small communities. I have one near me. I am always puzzled how they can stay in operation like this, but I do like how they are more location flexible than your standard Walmart and Kroger.
Thanks for this great vid, would love to see more comparisons with competitor companies in these vids. Eg 3 companies who are in the same field and how you measure against each other.
Hello I had bought stocks of coca-cola, apple, amazon , bank of America, Pfizer, Paypal, general motors ( those stocks are the main part of my portfolio) and stocks of Verv therapeutics,teradyne , twllo, robin hood ( the smaller part of my portfolio. Unfortunately since buying those stocks their prices are significantly decreasing for example GM,PYYPL and Pfizer had decreased more than 20% and my total portfolio loss is about 15%. Another problem is I used margin by a percentage of 50% of my money meaning that one third of my stocks is by margin. What can I do in this hard situation? Should I just be patient and everything will be ok in the future and make for my losses or shall I sell one third of my stocks and close the margin suddenly or decrease it gradually? Is there any advice in this hard situation ?
Requesting CCL... they had a ton of debt and share offerings but they were on a strong uptrend for a while... Curious as to what your buy in might be or requires it to improve first...
I heard somewhere that when comparing a basket of products between Walmart and DG , Walmart was cheaper,not sure what was in the basket, means that have no competitive edge
Yes that's true, but Dollar General locations go where Walmart is not. It's extremely out of the way for me to drive to Walmart or HEB here in Texas when Dollar General is 5minutes away and I just ran out of detergent. Detergent at DG is like 1.70$ more than at Walmart. I think everybody I live by does the same since I see them there buying 1 to 5 items a pop. I probably go to DG about 5 times a week and go to walmart once every 2 weeks.
...The income statement, there's interest expense, which also comes out before earnings. This increased roughly 95% year over year in the quarter. A shocking increase and one that should cause investors to pause and take notice. To be fair, the absolute interest cost isn't outlandish, but something is going on that has to be monitored.... rising interest expense will remain a big headwind to earnings, presenting a four-percentage-point negative throughout the year. That's a sizable problem to overcome at a time when a company's margins are under pressure and it has to face higher costs for employees...
Their stock is declining because they are taking on high interest debt to expand instead of paying off their debts in a high interest environment, and their profits have decreased because of this as their debts have little more than doubled on quarterly basis hurting their future growth potential.
Target is heavily overvalued as well, their PE needs to go below 10 to be looked at seriously, most stocks are going to come down now that the stock market hype is over from the pandemic and the recession looming over so closer which will hurt the bottom line of all retail like target. I can see target going back to 50 to 70 dollars a share easily next year.@@muradshawar
Also in the short term all those numbers mean nothing you should incorporate some Technical analysis you be ok, if fundamentals mattered in this market apple would be like 80 bucks tops not near 180
As someone who has worked for Dollar general for 10 years, I have to say the internal parts of the company are NOT working properly. I would not invest until the turmoil the company is in is fixed.
Anything times a negative number is still a negative number. Therefore, why invest in a company that looses money every single quarter? Stop following hype EV bullshit and learn how to value cash flowing businesses.
Unfortunately DF will not be repurchasing any more shares probably for the next year. They have almost 1.5 billion in debt maturing in their he next 2 years
I had to facepalm when he is checking out the FCF and asks what happened to cause the drop, it's staring him right in the face. Changes in Working Capital accounts for the entire difference, specifically inventories. That is something stores have done is either wait to long to restock (we saw the repercussions of that during covid) or restock all at once and have a one-off large negative cash charge. Almost all stores have had to do this since covid and it seems like it is a large one-time shock to the cash flow statement, look at DLTR, WMT, TGT last year.
look at the crazy debt to cash ratio. what happens when they have to refinance at high rates as rate stay high for longer, their skinny margins wont be able to take it. great reset coming for over leveraged company.
Dollar general could fall 50 more % my guy maybe you should look back more then a few years to times where rates were higher for longer as well as QT and not QE if you trying to catch a 105 dollar per share falling knife have at it, but I warn you stocks often go to 0 and crash from over sold levels remember sizzler steak house? Exactly!
Your insights are fascinating. Our faith-based channel, focused on Airbnb passive income, shares a similar audience. I really think a collaboration could be mutually beneficial. Let's discuss it further! 🏡🙏
They sell a bunch of junk is this the life you want to live? They have no patents, anyone can sell stuff you need to invest in a company that has special patents and special skills.
I deliver to DG in six states. Dollar General is opening many new stores, but more importantly they are investing in renovation of their existing stores as well. They are also investing heavily in their new model "DG Market" which has more fresh food options. They are looking to change their image similarly to how Target did it.
i really like how you guys added the popups with definitions. nice little touch adds a ton of value to the viewer. thanks
Dollar general is quite a surprise considering they can be found along roadsides in small communities. I have one near me. I am always puzzled how they can stay in operation like this, but I do like how they are more location flexible than your standard Walmart and Kroger.
Great video, the current price is good enough to start a small position.
Hope so my man! Best of luck😉 - GC
Thank you so much Paul for the vid on DG.
Our pleasure!AP
Thanks for this great vid, would love to see more comparisons with competitor companies in these vids. Eg 3 companies who are in the same field and how you measure against each other.
Great suggestion! Coming soon - GC
i just got to pick up 50 shares at 80$ average. will add 50 more if they hit 70$ as long as the company profits dont drop more in the future.
@maddstaxx it’s at $72.45 today
@saulmarquez8989 thanks for the heads up. I sold my shares when it hit 87$. Time to buy a few back 😂
Great breakdown on this company I would love to hear your feedback on this earnings drop 30% thanks
Wow update on Dg must needed 1:00
Really hoping for this vid Uncle Paul!
Is there a way to use the software to find stocks with dividend growth over the last 3 to 5 years or longer? Is that one of the pillars?
Yes...hundreds of diffrent combination including dividends.
Feel free to join our community to learn more - GC
What about Texas Roadhouse? Seems like a good deal at current prices
Thanks for sharing , we will check it out .AP
Hello
I had bought stocks of coca-cola, apple, amazon , bank of America, Pfizer, Paypal, general motors ( those stocks are the main part of my portfolio) and stocks of Verv therapeutics,teradyne , twllo, robin hood ( the smaller part of my portfolio.
Unfortunately since buying those stocks their prices are significantly decreasing for example GM,PYYPL and Pfizer had decreased more than 20% and my total portfolio loss is about 15%.
Another problem is I used margin by a percentage of 50% of my money meaning that one third of my stocks is by margin.
What can I do in this hard situation?
Should I just be patient and everything will be ok in the future and make for my losses or shall I sell one third of my stocks and close the margin suddenly or decrease it gradually?
Is there any advice in this hard situation ?
Could the difference between free cash flow and net profit be the investment in new stores and renovations?
December 2024 at 75 dollars a share wow. Going to buy in soon
Cashflow is EVERYTHING! I like them but they have to find a way to improve FCF.
Totally agree! One of the most important metric.
Thanks for following us - GC
Requesting CCL... they had a ton of debt and share offerings but they were on a strong uptrend for a while... Curious as to what your buy in might be or requires it to improve first...
Yea have look at this one in the past , will revise it again , thanks .AP
back to trend line? I am very interested. Thanks for the speedy request.
What do you think of dividends when DRIP is set up?
I heard somewhere that when comparing a basket of products between Walmart and DG , Walmart was cheaper,not sure what was in the basket, means that have no competitive edge
That’s crazy , remember this company will do good on bad times , and and bad on good times .AP
Yes that's true, but Dollar General locations go where Walmart is not. It's extremely out of the way for me to drive to Walmart or HEB here in Texas when Dollar General is 5minutes away and I just ran out of detergent. Detergent at DG is like 1.70$ more than at Walmart. I think everybody I live by does the same since I see them there buying 1 to 5 items a pop. I probably go to DG about 5 times a week and go to walmart once every 2 weeks.
Competitive edge is locations. I think they noticed the “food desert” phenomenon and are attempting to step into that void
Great video! Thanks
Glad you liked it! 😉- GC
Thanks for the video. Need a video on $RMD, $UNH
Thanks for the support , we will give it a look .AP
Started a position today @ $87.75/share.
me too, and I have absolutely the same average price 87.75 , seems too cheap to ignore, let`s see what happens.
Thinking about doing that too
It can go to $70, but bounce back very fast.
I am starting a position now 01/17/2025 @ $68.68 a share
I'm a little late to the video but DG has been opening new locations for a solid 2 years now in our region in Eastern North Carolina.
Jim Cramer was panning this company that is a big sign to BUY!
MPW review please!!
Sure thing - GC
...The income statement, there's interest expense, which also comes out before earnings. This increased roughly 95% year over year in the quarter. A shocking increase and one that should cause investors to pause and take notice. To be fair, the absolute interest cost isn't outlandish, but something is going on that has to be monitored.... rising interest expense will remain a big headwind to earnings, presenting a four-percentage-point negative throughout the year. That's a sizable problem to overcome at a time when a company's margins are under pressure and it has to face higher costs for employees...
Thanks for sharing your view - GC
OOPS......
This Didn't AGE WELL !
Closing Price 8/30/24 ... $82.97
Timmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmberrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
Their stock is declining because they are taking on high interest debt to expand instead of paying off their debts in a high interest environment, and their profits have decreased because of this as their debts have little more than doubled on quarterly basis hurting their future growth potential.
Ill stick to TGT way higher quality and same risk vs reward and TGT is a dividend King .
Target is heavily overvalued as well, their PE needs to go below 10 to be looked at seriously, most stocks are going to come down now that the stock market hype is over from the pandemic and the recession looming over so closer which will hurt the bottom line of all retail like target. I can see target going back to 50 to 70 dollars a share easily next year.@@muradshawar
Maybe they can get better returns on new stores than what they pay on their debt.
Bought 5,200 shares 8/29/24. SOLD 8/30.... Bought at $86.32, SOLD At $87.18.
CLOSED Today (8/30) At $82.97 !
I Was VERY LUCKY TO........GET OUT !
Also in the short term all those numbers mean nothing you should incorporate some Technical analysis you be ok, if fundamentals mattered in this market apple would be like 80 bucks tops not near 180
Be greedy when others are fearfull.
Absolutely 😉- GC
still greedy?
they're a great company.. I have them valued at 99 with a 50% MOS.. but I hate their margins.. you could find better margins out there.
Great point...thanks for the note - GC
They have better than average margins compared to grocery stores.
I bought in at 112.80
Hope you do good ! AP
Their stores are failing their closing about 800 stores this year. They have the craziest glitches on products and let stuff go out the door for free
No, dg is planning to OPEN 800 stores this year.
@@AyjayAlleyway their 40% stock market drop says otherwise
What about ADYEN?
Thanks for the suggestion - GC
The SW doesn’t cover stocks outside US.
As someone who has worked for Dollar general for 10 years, I have to say the internal parts of the company are NOT working properly. I would not invest until the turmoil the company is in is fixed.
Please explain
What’s the deal with General Mills? Their stock is down significantly since last year.
Have you looked into the news ? AP
@@EverythingMoney I wish I was that smart. I guess I have some digging to do.
WBA (REQUESTED)
Chewy next
Can we get a review on any of these - TXN, CDNS, AMAT, WM
Thanks foir the suggestions mate...we'll do our best - GC
Any chance you can review CHPT. Or is that clearly a bad stock even though it's so cheap right now?
Anything times a negative number is still a negative number.
Therefore, why invest in a company that looses money every single quarter?
Stop following hype EV bullshit and learn how to value cash flowing businesses.
@@cbasiletti7441 appreciate the advice.
Sure thing...thanks for the suggestion - GC
It’s on $75 today
Unfortunately DF will not be repurchasing any more shares probably for the next year. They have almost 1.5 billion in debt maturing in their he next 2 years
I had to facepalm when he is checking out the FCF and asks what happened to cause the drop, it's staring him right in the face. Changes in Working Capital accounts for the entire difference, specifically inventories. That is something stores have done is either wait to long to restock (we saw the repercussions of that during covid) or restock all at once and have a one-off large negative cash charge. Almost all stores have had to do this since covid and it seems like it is a large one-time shock to the cash flow statement, look at DLTR, WMT, TGT last year.
Whatever you doing is wrong. 1 year later DG 78 bucks. I lost half my investment while market going up.
$260 a share end of 2022, $87 a share August 2024.
I’ll buy at $72-74 (hopefully)
@kalebnotman235 so you’re buying today $72.61
📃🖊💎
look at the crazy debt to cash ratio. what happens when they have to refinance at high rates as rate stay high for longer, their skinny margins wont be able to take it. great reset coming for over leveraged company.
It’s 68 now
Reallyyyyy........
More or less 😉
Thanks for the note - GC
Current price today, $80.60. 10/20/24.
terrible earning today 8/29/24 dropped 32%!!!
Make more minimalist clothing. I wanna buy stuff but I’ll get Bullied if I wear a “Paul loves Cathie Wood” shirt 😭
Hahah .AP
Dollar general could fall 50 more % my guy maybe you should look back more then a few years to times where rates were higher for longer as well as QT and not QE if you trying to catch a 105 dollar per share falling knife have at it, but I warn you stocks often go to 0 and crash from over sold levels remember sizzler steak house? Exactly!
Buyer beware!!!!
Your insights are fascinating. Our faith-based channel, focused on Airbnb passive income, shares a similar audience. I really think a collaboration could be mutually beneficial. Let's discuss it further! 🏡🙏
Thanks for sharing! - GC
Temu is taking away DG market share very quickly.
They sell a bunch of junk is this the life you want to live? They have no patents, anyone can sell stuff you need to invest in a company that has special patents and special skills.
Good thing I didn’t buy it at 114
Are you thinking about buying it now. I am starting a small position soon
Yes I got a substantial position at $70 and plan on holding it through the next 3 years.
the company treats in employees like shit, uninvestable as there high margins are based on juicing employees
Thanks for sharing that .AP