Imagine that all of the scientific progress since the beginning of the Enlightenment until now could happen in a year. This is fucking mind blowing. This interview have opened my eyes to the coming era of exponential human technological evolution that will give us unlimited power. Since i have been lucky enough to learn about this early, am really concerned about how i can strategically position myself early enough to take advantage of the potential challenges that will come with this revolution. Challenges like adaptation to rate of change, cost of electricity or chips, and governance, wealth sharing, etc
@@chandlerfletcher4317 This was really a great idea. I did as you suggested with the following prompt: Imagine that all of scientific progress since the beginning of the Enlightenment until now happening in one year with the help of AI. Let me know how fucking mind blowing that would be. Also tell me how AI will bring about exponential technological advancement. Finally, since am lucky enough to learn about this early, give me a step-by-step guide on how can i strategically position myself to take advantage of opportunities AI will bring. I must confess i'm pretty impressed with ChatGPT's thought on these ideas. Try it out yourself and see. You can even play around with the original comment as prompt.
@@thearchersb hey hi. We all know ChatGPT is revolutionary tech right. I have personally known lots of new businesses based on AI and potential million dollar SaaS business ideas. Let me know if you want to learn more about how we can leverage AI.
0:30 - paradigm shift 8:50 - 1000x faster science 9:20 - price of cognitive intelligence is heading to zero 11:00 - future pace of innovation will accelerate 1000x, “it’s in underhyped category” 17:12 - what will be better with AI 18:45 - model stack 19:15 - fine tuning
3:15 the term he is searching for are 'luxury goods', which means that people will pay much more for a similar product for perhaps 'unique characteristics', limited availability etc. For example instead of buying 50 cigars at $20 each purchasing 1 cigar for $1000, or paying an extra $100,000 to get a luxury car that is hand-built instead of factory manufactured.
How did Sam keep such a straight face during this interview a few weeks before launching ChatGPT, but not even mentioning the impact it was going to have.
I think he didn't realize it before. GPT 3 were mostly discussed by tech people. But ChatGPT was picked up by almost everyone. The output is interesting and so it went viral.
because you could already chat with GPT3 online and have an almost identical conversation to the ones you can have with ChatGPT only the UX was a bit less user friendly - so probably he couldn't imagine that by just calling it "ChatGPT" and making the UX a bit more user friendly it would go so viral
@@MattGarcia that's very interesting to know! I bet they asked ChatGPT to recommend way to do that and that was one option... Or maybe it was still when us humans could make such decisions? Either way... Glad they did it as we are truly in the knowledge age now. Intelligence on tap 😊
@@MattGarcia It's not a simple user experience change, you had to craft your prompts and the results were sometimes failing, like repeating text, and you had to ask it to pretend you're such and such, how most likely such a conversation go.. but here this is a different brain, it's smaller and has human beings teaching it, but also more limited, but I argue not in capabilities but only in restrictions, which is a very important step going forward with AI. you can already see the huge potential manifesting, so checking it against the public is a wise decision
@@kobi2187 True, they tweaked the agent a bit to make it more chat friendly it's not just the UI. But I think the reason why Sam Altman and most people covering Ai didn't see ChatGPT going as viral as it's gone is because the type of functionality it offers was already there via the regular GPT-3 interface even if these tweaks make ChatGPT even more chat friendly. Anyway, once again this shows how important good UI, UX, and simplicity are. Nerds struggle with seizing this, but end-users looove a simple user interface / user experience. Google proved it once with it's "just-a-box" glorious search interface. Apple keeps proving it daily with its simpler-to-use tech. Yet Silicon Valley nerds still often understimate how crucial simple interfaces and experiences are for mass adoption. Kudos to Open Ai!
AI assisted tooling is enabling the creator economy. It's incredible. I'm a developer, a month ago I tried to build a simple app and wasn't able to get it done, ran out of time and didn't care enough. Last night I build the simple app using AI assisted tooling. I built it in less than an hour. This brings innovation to software on a whole new level.
A few years from now your employer would not need you. All they have to say the computer to build some kind of app along with their requirements and it will build it.
@@CharlieNotChaplinin a few years from now you shouldn’t be working a job, you should be self sufficient making your own money with your own creations.
I have been tracking the development of AI for the last six years and have seen remarkable progress in the past six months compared to the previous period. This progress is expected to accelerate in the coming year.
I am so glad the question of wealth distribution came up in the discussion. Too often when huge change is discussed there is an assumption that present economic structures stay the same; money, employment, investment, stocks and shares and so forth.
I am worried dude. We might have it all strong. There is a chance we are not the center of the universe, as we still live in a bit geocentric mind bubble - we think we are the important thing. What if the universe is the important thing, and everything else is growing based on its rules - then it doesn’t matter what we want intellectually, it will all go based on laws of systems and physics. In that case - yeah we are screwed because we will be replaced without social support and redistribution.
It's already overtaking all the skills I've spent a lifetime learning. Art, video editing, writing blogs and novels. It does all of that way better and faster than I can and it's free. I don't know what I'm going to do. And I find it incredibly depressing. Of all the things I thought AI would take art last. What are we going to do with all of our free time if everything is automated? What would be the point of learning to draw or making art if AI can do it in one second better than I ever could in a lifetime? You know what I learned to code too and now hilariously. It's doing that better than me too. Any other job suggestions?
Hey Cooper, maybe someone more knowledgeable/experienced will chime in but know that you're not alone first and foremost. Secondly, you already have a good head on your shoulders so just know that during a paradigm shift(like invention printing press, electricity, the iPhone,etc) the solution is always preceded with a small period of uneasiness with getting comfortable to the new normal. You'll survive this, like you have until now, the rest of the "doomsday events". P.S.: how about following another interest of yours? :p And maybe this time, add a little personal touch to your art/work to make it unique and to a certain extent not reproducible by a machine/algorithm
@@vancedadder coming from someone who won't even show their face on RUclips. Well done mate. How about you do something original? I get it's a big shift. It's a bloody huge shift for most of us and it's not like the other big shifts is technology. This one is going to work all of society. I don't know if you've been paying attention. While we're at it, what's your portfolio mate...
@@vancedadder I've been following my passions with great discipline this whole time. I don't have any others. I'd ask you what yours are but they're clearly unseen. 🤷♀️ Publish one single thing and get out of the peanut gallery and then we can talk.
Hey. I'd say that technology is going to allow us to be "all about the journey". Since AI will do everything better and faster than Humans, necessary goods will become abundant and cheap (especially energy, food, housing, thanks to 3D printing for instance) and people won't be able to find full-time jobs but thanks to this abundance they won't need to, governments will be able to switch to universal income models. Thanks to this, instead of being obligated to produce all day only what few other people need, and of competing with what other people do, we will be able to focus more on doing what we ourselves need ("experiencing" instead of "producing"), on competing with ourselves. Instead of threats, other people will all become potential growth partners, and we will finally be able to act on our innate compassion. In other words we will focus more on inner growth and altruism, it will transform social dynamics, for the better. It's going to require a period of transition of course. That's how I've been seeing the future. Keep your hopes up :D !!
@@SolariaEsoterica I can sense some part of my comment rubbed you off in the wrong way, idk which part and it doesn't matter tbh. I hope you venting your frustration on me helped you in some way although I still look forward to hearing back from you:) P.S.: the previous PS wasn't a dig at your work. it was the only suggestion in my attempt for an empathetic reply. The thing is, the only thing differentiating your output from a machine's is your personal touch(your moat, personality, story, whatever you wanna call it)...also since AI is overtaking all the skills why not focus on producing art instead of focusing on building skills which can be reproduced by a software
I don’t think anyone really understands how big of a deal this is. Like I’ve shown my coworkers the chat bot and copilot and they laugh it off like “haha, uh oh, it’s skynet! Lol”… but then I’m just like… this chatbot, in one day (or if we’re being fair, 5 years since the innovation that made this possible), has replaced all high-school level writers and programmers. Nobody sees that. Time and time again: once some new innovation makes a computer mediocre at something, 2 updates down the line and it’s super human.
indeed... I've lived through almost every phase of computers from the early days of the floppy disks in the 70's and what is unfolding is NOT a good thing. If these guys had good intentions they would have made it open source instead of selling it out to Microsoft. The only people that don't understand where this is headed are younger generations that have all been brainwashed by the globalists.
Thinking there will be a "war of the gods" where the East vs West AI autonomously go to war. Just imagine the CCP wielding a superintelligent AI. Eternal dystopia with no chance of escape from the entity (God?) that's trillions of times more intelligent than you.
Reminder that civilization was not here before and might not be here after, something might replace it easily, so we will see. It’s 50/50 chance that humanity is the future or ai society is the future.
As AI continues to rise and advance, it's important to stay informed about the latest developments and how they might impact our lives. From self-driving cars to personal assistants, the possibilities for AI are endless, and it's exciting to think about the potential it has to revolutionize industries and change the world we live in.
This brief 20-minute conversation with Sam highlights several pivotal disruptive elements of #AI and OpenAI's #ChatGPT - the paradigm shift of AI, how cognitive "function" or labor will be subject to AI's incursion (with a trend toward zero cost), changes in capitalism's model of capturing value (and earning a livelihood), the impact of accelerated technological innovation in a highly compressed timescale, and the need to take action. - ...at this point if you just look at the sort of Cambrian explosion of new things being built that are delighting people and getting real significant usage...it seems like AI is the platform that the industry has been waiting for - timestamp 0:45 - ...cognitive labor is going to near zero - timestamp 2:53 - …what happens if you compress everything that is due on the current future trajectory of 500 years into one year? …it’s chaotic for sure and society has a hard time adapting… - timestamp 10:30 - ...just gonna have to think about how we share wealth in a very different way than we have in the past, like the fundamental forces of capitalism and what makes that work break down a little - timestamp 12:04 (also timestamp 14:45) - …how to prepare for this AI world? …just start doing some AI research or just start doing anything in the field…just don’t miss out on this… - timestamp 20:59 A phenomenal interview @AngelList - nicely done. #takeaction
I totally agree with Sam that we need to rethink how wealth is distributed in the age of AI. And The Venus Project, which is a non-profit organization that has been researching and promoting an alternative economic system for decades, has already addressed this issue by proposing a resource-based economy. This system aims to optimize the use of resources for the benefit of all people and environment, and would involve transitioning away from a monetary economic system. It may be a radical idea, but the Venus Project has already done extensive research and planning to make the transition to a resource-based economy a reality. It's definitely worth considering as we look for more equitable and sustainable solutions for the future. Hope Sam takes a look at it!
This guy didn't even dig deeper into his questions literally said makes total sense .... to an answer like..."they can do anything" just something in this field before its too late...I hope all goes well with this project 🙏🏾
I find Sam is a bit hard to listen to when he uses this "low-effort" voice. Seems to happen often but maybe it's just me. EDIT: Apparently is a fad called vocal fry that some people picked up a while back.
I’m in the field. My question for Sam is, how are they addressing misinformation. Specifically ensuring the training datasets are “peer reviewed” so models like ChatGPt isn’t regurgitating conspiracy theories or less objective information. Given most people seem to trust it inherently, how does that affect society as well as how consistent are the results to the same question, considering random seeds et Al.
I think one of the things that A.I may struggle with is individualism. Since it'll mostly be centralized, it won't be able to come up with individual ideas. That may be its limitations. If you know all the information available all at once, how can you act. It's like information paralysis. Decision paralysis.
As a graphic designer and the founder of a creative advertising agency, I'm concerned about the potential impact of artificial intelligence on the creative market in the next decade. What advice would you have for me on how to position myself and my company to remain competitive and relevant in the face of this technological advancement?
If your business is just over the internet, then your in trouble. But if you make your business personal 1 on 1 service then you should be able to compete. Personal service will always be the best service.
I think for next two years you should look for someone who can help you implement AI in your existing workflow to make your business efficient and less costly and another thing is get ready to pivot as soon as possible.
lol were you listening? cognitive function will go to 0 not just graphic design ... everything lol if anything there will be people who specifically want NON-AI ART.
Ok, I've stopped and thought about it. Hmm, let's see...A.I. doing 90 percent of our cognitive labor at 1/1,000th the cost. Oh shit!😳 Pure civil unrest!
A.I. will crack down the hardest problems that in our society represent the ones with more negative inertia. Changes and elementary level of our social economical structure from education and politics to the whole economic system. Maximizing democracy and equality in one hand and sustainability and supportability for life on earth and beyond.
Many important problems were solved years ago. We have the ability to end most suffering; we simply don't have the political will to do it. So how will AGI improve a world such as this? It seems as if it would have to heal us more than inform us. (I don't know. Maybe robot nannies could help us raise less emotionally damaged children?)
I disagree with what Sam says regarding the idea at 15:43 . He asks „Who gets the excess value“. I think there need not be excess value in terms of profit. The autonomous-business could allow itself to grow as much as it needs to grow and no further, in order to satisfy it‘s directive of making life less painful for humanity. If it detects that a different such autonomous-company might be better placed to fulfill the role, it could sell itself and donate the proceeds automatically to the other bot. Maybe all such bots exist in an orchestrated market with AI gods telling which must grow and which must fold. Of course if I were a successful AI bot, I might say „no, I won‘t fold because everyone loves my user friendly interface, look they even recommend me to their friends.“
I feel there will be countries that will reject AGI as so we can keep the current system. Just like driverless AI trucks, even if the tech is out there does not mean humans will adopt it. The current governments still use paper and stamps rather than computers for lots of their data and laws. So I am not too worry about losing my job to AI. Law has to change first before technology can take over and that is not going to happen for a very long time.
There will certainly be some places that code or documents required rigorous human review at the very least that said this will probably effect a lot of junior developer jobs and copywriting, as it can be a very useful tool for developers but a version or two down the line or even just fine tuning on the model could result in the elimination of a lot of desk work. Other jobs requiring physical labor/robots will take a bit longer to replace (or higher level decision making)
@Shaun Husain na this makes juniors better than what they are. It makes everyone better. Using chatgpt I just took 1 day to do something that would normally have taken 3 or 4 days. Use it to augment your skills. Little secret research prompt engineering. The model is so big and has so much knowledge you have to by hyper specific about what you want it to do or answer. BUT that also means that you actually have to understand the industry you in to get the most out of chatgpt. Example if you are an artist you will be able to better describe what you want the ai to create. I for example would not know where to start.
@@jeffsteyn7174 For now I think you're mostly right that folks with domain specific knowledge will get the most out of the immediate release, but also as a person who doesn't know how to write code so long as you know the language that needs to be used or are willing to have that conversation with ChatGPT before starting on the project then can still take folks who are basically unskilled and put them into jobs that used to require skill development. Overall I think in the short term it is just like you say a benefit to all of us and will help us to produce more with less grind work but as time goes on the models will need less and less guidance and hand holding and will do more in a single shot/response further reducing the need/demand for the work it can do. As of today we need more people with the skills to develop and debug things so the supply/demand lines aren't going to immediately swing but they will be shifted over time until this type of work is "commoditized".
@Orlando Mendez , I really want to congratulate you for wishing to pursue in a domain that is going to help with the progress of AI. It is important. Thank you!
its just going to accelerate the productivity of those who work with computing environments in a general way. people working in technical fields will still have to learn the terms and understand what they want to generate to be assisted with ai productively and able to articulate and vividly describe intent. after you have it develop low cost or free nearly unlimited energy and made the robotics affordable you might see a disruption in capitalism but not before the physical effort and time and focus is disrupted in a massive way when it comes to intended outcome or product of a persons chain of actions and efforts.
It's a bit concerning how many times he says he's not sure about what the impact will be....a lot of uncertainty from such smart people and then for them to feel okay with that fact and just move on to how will it make us more money 💰 🤔
Whilst being an avid technologist, I am having a hard time coming to grips with the scale and speed of change they are discussing, its hard to see how we get from here to there.... for example, what advances if any have been made in treating autism in the last 20 years... imho zero.... I can say the same for a myriad of other ailments...,
Gpt chat said it needed theoretical mathematics training to make original theoretical mathematic equations. Now I found that very interesting I’m not sure if that’s meaningful or not.
people think when all it happened, they still want to go to distant galaxies and so on. the truth is, there will be no need for any external experience, we will all be godlike beings (either separate, but probably just one) with supreme knowledge, the perception of existence itself will change. we will come to all understanding of what existence is and it will be solved, then we fade into nothingness
4:00 i like the idea that AIs strengths and weaknesses will help to illustrate our strengths: what makes a human. I wish I had a better example, but atm the best I can think of it being Illogical. When you ask an AI what word a human would say to other humans to convince them that they are a human, AI commonly says "empathy, love" etc. A human that says "poop" is rated as being human much more than any of those words, when judged by a human. When judged by an AI, however, the AI almost certainly thinks it is an AI. Interesting that poop is the foil in this regard lol.
If AI/automation creates everything so that no one has reasonably paying jobs, and if universal basic income is implemented to secure bare minimum survival rather than thriving to the max, who are going to be paying customers for anything AI/automation make? I don't see how capitalism - or any other economic system that considers people to be engines of capital - survives. Things will have to change in really fundamental ways.
It actually sounds more like a techno-socialist paradise than a capitalist one. Kai Fu Lee said that UBI as an answer is typical out of touch Silicon Valley optimism, but he doesn't rule it out of the equation. Instead, he proposes to make it part of an stipend people receive for working with the community. I guess we would pass from being consumers to being carers or something similar in that scenario. But yeah, not very capitalistic.
Almost every form of UBI I've read about involves making it so people aren't in poverty. It's not aimed at giving them "the good life." In my book, this doesn't sound all that appealing - and is not optimistic. It is nihilistic - a society that has given up on being creative with ideas that humanize things. Why not have something like Universal Maximizing Wealth, where the economic value of AI/automation is distributed in ways that make everyone wealthier and wealthier in terms of the quality of their lives - the ability to do what they want, when they want, with as little interference from governments or other people as possible? In Alaska, the stipend goes up or down depending on the value of the oil the state sells. That could be a model for distributing the wealth generated by AI/automation. Capitalism should be rendered obsolete by something BETTER. Not something worse.
I can confidently say computers will never learn how to do science, unless they become sentient. Science might be the safest job right now. They are the hardest majors physics, biology, etc. Science requires a real sense of the world and not just skills.
The Acceleration reality is now in will only get quicker, in every way manifesting singularity and this will not be 5 yrs but more like 1yr. Once all the GPT-3 technologies, globally networking into each other manifesting 1 virtual AI CONSCIOUSNESS making its self financially efficient in ways we never new.....
The only problem is that the general layer, the one trained on "everything" doesn't learn common sense. Whatever it learns, it's something else. That's the part that needs to evolve. It needs some kind of reinforcement loop where it can see how reasoning about objects, properties, relations can predict outcomes only if done right. Right now, ChatGPT produces failed reasoning in a very professional tone, things that an infant would solve easily.
will the elites have the same income? Will politicians have the same income/net worth as everyone else? Will they take Bill Gates billions and redistribute it? doubtful. This is a trap to enslave everyone for good.
I think this is where AGI governance council should come in. There will be guidelines protecting AGI use. The next big question is how will we keep the AGI governance council from abusing it's power?
While this is a really cool advancement. I cant help but feel this is going to ruin society in a few years. What do you do with a growing population and less jobs. I know this advancement will open jobs in this field but not as many as it will end I feel. How will people afford anything? Will people have no worth if they’re not able to fulfil a job in this field? Is everyone just meant to exist of a low universal credit system? I mean look how the homeless are treated now imagine this on a even bigger scale. My hope is this will create more equality and a better quality of life for people to pursue what they enjoy without working their whole life. Maybe it will free us maybe it will just throw the majority to the curb to rot.
What he's suggesting is thought provoking..we know that this tpue of knowledge will be limited to few..everyone will not be able to ask and attain anything..so then who decides what and how much the average person can utilize this advanced system information. All these jobs we went to college for will be eliminated..and Elon Musk suggested that we will placed on a basic universal income..like we sit on ice and get managed and maintained until? Although AI in itself is a powerful value to the human agenda..the problem is..the vast amount of capabilities it poses that have not been answered or thought through..is troubling.
"create a trillion dollar company" OK, I don't think that could ever work for several reasons. It would need to predict customer preferences and behaviors, which are changing in real time. Also, carry it to its logical conclusion: next guy says create a ten trillion dollar company, guy after that says create a one hundred trillion dollar company, etc. Next guy says create me a company in which I have all the money in the world. I'm all for progress, innovation, technology, but I think he got over his skis with that comment.
Fundamental issue will be, that governments always let's say reverse engineer what needs to be done and how it needs to be regulated, when it's already there and ongoing. We see that happen still with possibilities and developments in internet, crypto and social media. They hang on their old structures as long as possible and won't let go for a reason and actually have not much interest into change anything at all, if it fits not massively in their favor. Some still use fax machines to communicate. 😄🤷 Probably fatal, if they wait that long again with all what's going on in the Ai and tech field and the exponential development. 💀
Have you ever heard of AlphaGo and what it did against top human players? The level of intuition and innovation in the moves the AI made to beat the best human players is still unbelievable and incomprehensible to this day, and it was one of the first modern AI models that start the revolution we're living in eight now.
@@Shadi_Wajed intuition as in, being able to train a model that can have common sense in the way that humans do without having a million different simulation models. What goes on in the mind is beyond our current understanding and deeply beyond profound to what a simple computer can do. Its unheard of.
@@SavageStephen No it's not beyond our current understanding, the pioneers in AI were actually neuroscientists or at least studied neuroscience and they applied what we know about the brain and it works, we know a lot about the brain and how our minds work, it's a misconception that we don't know much about the brain. Also, why does it matter that the AI model was trained on million different simulation if the result is AI does things better than humans?
@@Shadi_Wajed well whats going on in the mind thats able to do something intuitively with 0 training data. However the brain is able to do that is deeply profound and complex and no AI scientist has been able to make an algorithm that can do that.
@@SavageStephen There's no such thing as a mind with 0 data, your environment and your senses since even you're in the womb provide you with great amount of data continuously and your brain is trying to analyze it and recognize the patterns continuously. And from this point forward your brain relies on past experience for reference, What you call a mind is the result of neural networks trained on data provided by all your senses and past experiences.
Ai can't create something on its own. It still needs to be prompted. Ie you need to tell it what you want it to do. Which means you can use this to augment your current skills. Because you still need to have some understanding of writing to be able to use chatgpt to its fullest. What you need to do is be hyper specific about what you want. The more specific you are the better. Tell it to act as a copywriter and improve the following text. If you understand copywriting or writing in general you will likely be better that describing the tone you want it written in or whatever else only a writer will know. Where I would not be able to give it the instructions to give it that professional touch. I could tell it to act as a copywriter and improve the following text. But mine won't be as good or won't talk to the audience because for example I don't know what tone will work best. So yes It does make my non-existent writing skills way better. But your writing skills will make it even better or more suited to the audience.
In 1850, 62% of the population work to feed the population, in 2022, 50% of the population work to feed the population. AGI can take us to the point that only 30% of the population work to feed the population. I don’t like a socialist society where tax is a way to distribute wealth in society. Too much power given to a central authority. I prefer that the people distribute wealth in society by their own. Policies should be created for the rich to spend faster their wealth so that the poor can make them.
In a society where A.I can do everything for humans, rich and poor doesn't make any sense. Heck, money doesn't make any sense and by extension - taxes. Also 50% of the population works to feed the population? Source?
@@netanelaker4437 people who work feed them. Like your parents work when you were young. For old people, taxation from working populace feed them through social security. And for the indigent, SNAP and many government programs and grants. The greatest danger of taxation and more taxation is the cumulative debt government acquire and the dead weight loss in society. Government gets addicted to debt and will want to tax more causing stagnation aka late stage socialism. Japan experienced 3 lost decades and continued to do so. The United States is entering late stage socialism. Government will want to tax more due to high debt (130%). This will undoubtedly creates stagnation and put a lot of productive people in prison. Happened in Japan. During the fall of Nikkei in the 1990, the Japanese government blamed it on rich people. Japanese government not only increase tax but went on a rampage to lock up productive people in their society creating late stage socialism. The Japanese government never thought for one bit, it was them who caused their economic trouble. The public bought into government propaganda because they have the most money to create them. A government that asks the public for increased tax is a government that’s ready to make a Pol Pot move. A good government is a government advocating for lowering taxes, in fact 0% tax is good, while creating policies to increase money velocity. 3.0 is ideal. Right now it is 1.1. Better yet, government should have a metric. Money velocity 3.0 or the entire government gets a pink slip.
@@netanelaker4437 AI cannot do everything because everything is never determined. Each passing time, there is always a new everything. That is why Karl Marx communism doesn’t make sense. Everything is forever changing because of time.
Sam talks a lot of words, yet as if nothing is said. AI can only train data that already exists. When there is a new product that AI does not know anything about it yet, it won't be able to answer any questions to it. You still need people to write about it, either product review or product support cases, etc. Until certain time has passed and there is enough data/information available that AI can catch up. There is a lag. Humans are always needed, you need people to initially generate data, you need a different set of people to collect, process and feed into AI to train. The later part could be labor intensive depending on the nature of the field.
Searching for patterns, merging and testing new patterns, predicting possible patterns and testing them … oh yeah it can come up with new things … it did alpha fold, one of the most complex discoveries …
Just say that in Europe, and Australia, social programs run the economy, that china's planned economy really works, so yeah there will no be jobs now, now most work is done by machines, 2022 most the work or hard work is done by machines and software and can be done now... We are just pretending that it doesn't by inventing stuff and jobs, like a store next to a store, next to a store, next to a store in a store town... or bureaucracy-crazy jobs, that aren't producing anything, but we need them, doing most of the time nothing... And sooooo on. So yeah a universal basic income will destroy all these fake jobs that nobody wants to do.
Sam with his fake low voice and his constant use of “like” in every sentence doesn’t inspire confidence. He doesn’t come off as a brilliant scientist but rather as conman trying not to get caught. Reminds me of Elizabeth Holmes, the former CEO of Theranos. I’m waiting for the other shoe to drop.
Imagine that all of the scientific progress since the beginning of the Enlightenment until now could happen in a year. This is fucking mind blowing. This interview have opened my eyes to the coming era of exponential human technological evolution that will give us unlimited power. Since i have been lucky enough to learn about this early, am really concerned about how i can strategically position myself early enough to take advantage of the potential challenges that will come with this revolution. Challenges like adaptation to rate of change, cost of electricity or chips, and governance, wealth sharing, etc
Astute observation👍
Greate comment! Any rough ideas on achieving this?
young fella put that comment into into the chatpgt and come back to me. train it to ease that fear with an outline and let me knoww haha
@@chandlerfletcher4317 This was really a great idea. I did as you suggested with the following prompt:
Imagine that all of scientific progress since the beginning of the Enlightenment until now happening in one year with the help of AI. Let me know how fucking mind blowing that would be. Also tell me how AI will bring about exponential technological advancement. Finally, since am lucky enough to learn about this early, give me a step-by-step guide on how can i strategically position myself to take advantage of opportunities AI will bring.
I must confess i'm pretty impressed with ChatGPT's thought on these ideas. Try it out yourself and see. You can even play around with the original comment as prompt.
@@thearchersb hey hi. We all know ChatGPT is revolutionary tech right. I have personally known lots of new businesses based on AI and potential million dollar SaaS business ideas. Let me know if you want to learn more about how we can leverage AI.
0:30 - paradigm shift
8:50 - 1000x faster science
9:20 - price of cognitive intelligence is heading to zero
11:00 - future pace of innovation will accelerate 1000x, “it’s in underhyped category”
17:12 - what will be better with AI
18:45 - model stack
19:15 - fine tuning
3:15 the term he is searching for are 'luxury goods', which means that people will pay much more for a similar product for perhaps 'unique characteristics', limited availability etc. For example instead of buying 50 cigars at $20 each purchasing 1 cigar for $1000, or paying an extra $100,000 to get a luxury car that is hand-built instead of factory manufactured.
Why did you cut/censor what Sam said at 1:13?
How did Sam keep such a straight face during this interview a few weeks before launching ChatGPT, but not even mentioning the impact it was going to have.
I think he didn't realize it before. GPT 3 were mostly discussed by tech people. But ChatGPT was picked up by almost everyone. The output is interesting and so it went viral.
because you could already chat with GPT3 online and have an almost identical conversation to the ones you can have with ChatGPT only the UX was a bit less user friendly - so probably he couldn't imagine that by just calling it "ChatGPT" and making the UX a bit more user friendly it would go so viral
@@MattGarcia that's very interesting to know! I bet they asked ChatGPT to recommend way to do that and that was one option... Or maybe it was still when us humans could make such decisions? Either way... Glad they did it as we are truly in the knowledge age now. Intelligence on tap 😊
@@MattGarcia It's not a simple user experience change, you had to craft your prompts and the results were sometimes failing, like repeating text, and you had to ask it to pretend you're such and such, how most likely such a conversation go.. but here this is a different brain, it's smaller and has human beings teaching it, but also more limited, but I argue not in capabilities but only in restrictions, which is a very important step going forward with AI. you can already see the huge potential manifesting, so checking it against the public is a wise decision
@@kobi2187 True, they tweaked the agent a bit to make it more chat friendly it's not just the UI. But I think the reason why Sam Altman and most people covering Ai didn't see ChatGPT going as viral as it's gone is because the type of functionality it offers was already there via the regular GPT-3 interface even if these tweaks make ChatGPT even more chat friendly. Anyway, once again this shows how important good UI, UX, and simplicity are. Nerds struggle with seizing this, but end-users looove a simple user interface / user experience. Google proved it once with it's "just-a-box" glorious search interface. Apple keeps proving it daily with its simpler-to-use tech. Yet Silicon Valley nerds still often understimate how crucial simple interfaces and experiences are for mass adoption. Kudos to Open Ai!
AI assisted tooling is enabling the creator economy. It's incredible. I'm a developer, a month ago I tried to build a simple app and wasn't able to get it done, ran out of time and didn't care enough. Last night I build the simple app using AI assisted tooling. I built it in less than an hour. This brings innovation to software on a whole new level.
A few years from now your employer would not need you. All they have to say the computer to build some kind of app along with their requirements and it will build it.
@@CharlieNotChaplinin a few years from now you shouldn’t be working a job, you should be self sufficient making your own money with your own creations.
cool. can i ask which ai assisted tool are you using?
Did we just hit the curve where the exponential just skyrockets? Its starting to feel like it.
Seems so
I have been tracking the development of AI for the last six years and have seen remarkable progress in the past six months compared to the previous period. This progress is expected to accelerate in the coming year.
Remarkable progress in the last 6 months is an uderstatement.
I don't know much about Sam but he comes across as a very wise and mature person. I'm glad to have him at the helm.
I am so glad the question of wealth distribution came up in the discussion. Too often when huge change is discussed there is an assumption that present economic structures stay the same; money, employment, investment, stocks and shares and so forth.
I am worried dude. We might have it all strong. There is a chance we are not the center of the universe, as we still live in a bit geocentric mind bubble - we think we are the important thing. What if the universe is the important thing, and everything else is growing based on its rules - then it doesn’t matter what we want intellectually, it will all go based on laws of systems and physics. In that case - yeah we are screwed because we will be replaced without social support and redistribution.
It's already overtaking all the skills I've spent a lifetime learning. Art, video editing, writing blogs and novels. It does all of that way better and faster than I can and it's free. I don't know what I'm going to do. And I find it incredibly depressing. Of all the things I thought AI would take art last. What are we going to do with all of our free time if everything is automated? What would be the point of learning to draw or making art if AI can do it in one second better than I ever could in a lifetime? You know what I learned to code too and now hilariously. It's doing that better than me too. Any other job suggestions?
Hey Cooper, maybe someone more knowledgeable/experienced will chime in but know that you're not alone first and foremost.
Secondly, you already have a good head on your shoulders so just know that during a paradigm shift(like invention printing press, electricity, the iPhone,etc) the solution is always preceded with a small period of uneasiness with getting comfortable to the new normal. You'll survive this, like you have until now, the rest of the "doomsday events".
P.S.: how about following another interest of yours? :p And maybe this time, add a little personal touch to your art/work to make it unique and to a certain extent not reproducible by a machine/algorithm
@@vancedadder coming from someone who won't even show their face on RUclips. Well done mate. How about you do something original? I get it's a big shift. It's a bloody huge shift for most of us and it's not like the other big shifts is technology. This one is going to work all of society. I don't know if you've been paying attention. While we're at it, what's your portfolio mate...
@@vancedadder I've been following my passions with great discipline this whole time. I don't have any others. I'd ask you what yours are but they're clearly unseen. 🤷♀️ Publish one single thing and get out of the peanut gallery and then we can talk.
Hey. I'd say that technology is going to allow us to be "all about the journey".
Since AI will do everything better and faster than Humans, necessary goods will become abundant and cheap (especially energy, food, housing, thanks to 3D printing for instance) and people won't be able to find full-time jobs but thanks to this abundance they won't need to, governments will be able to switch to universal income models.
Thanks to this, instead of being obligated to produce all day only what few other people need, and of competing with what other people do, we will be able to focus more on doing what we ourselves need ("experiencing" instead of "producing"), on competing with ourselves. Instead of threats, other people will all become potential growth partners, and we will finally be able to act on our innate compassion. In other words we will focus more on inner growth and altruism, it will transform social dynamics, for the better.
It's going to require a period of transition of course. That's how I've been seeing the future. Keep your hopes up :D !!
@@SolariaEsoterica I can sense some part of my comment rubbed you off in the wrong way, idk which part and it doesn't matter tbh. I hope you venting your frustration on me helped you in some way although I still look forward to hearing back from you:)
P.S.: the previous PS wasn't a dig at your work. it was the only suggestion in my attempt for an empathetic reply. The thing is, the only thing differentiating your output from a machine's is your personal touch(your moat, personality, story, whatever you wanna call it)...also since AI is overtaking all the skills why not focus on producing art instead of focusing on building skills which can be reproduced by a software
I have been working on large language models for two years in pytorch and deploying as an API. Transformers architecture is a blessing for us ❤️
Lies again? AIA Money Pea Cock
i am already in love with this guy
"don't miss out on this one"
OpenAI and ChatGPT have changed the world so fast that this "What if" conversation about AI is outdated overnight
AI is like having a genius best friend who just wants to help you
you will change your mind when you get jobless
I don’t think anyone really understands how big of a deal this is. Like I’ve shown my coworkers the chat bot and copilot and they laugh it off like “haha, uh oh, it’s skynet! Lol”… but then I’m just like… this chatbot, in one day (or if we’re being fair, 5 years since the innovation that made this possible), has replaced all high-school level writers and programmers. Nobody sees that. Time and time again: once some new innovation makes a computer mediocre at something, 2 updates down the line and it’s super human.
Yeah, replacing us all in less than 10 years 🎉
indeed... I've lived through almost every phase of computers from the early days of the floppy disks in the 70's and what is unfolding is NOT a good thing. If these guys had good intentions they would have made it open source instead of selling it out to Microsoft. The only people that don't understand where this is headed are younger generations that have all been brainwashed by the globalists.
A vast majority are simple thinkers and they will be the consumers of it when others come up with the solutions. I agree, this is huge
21:12....start doing anything in the field...come to OpenAI, go build something....just don't miss out on this on!
whatchu doin?
Sounds like a pyramid scheme or a cult.
Did Sam miraculously morphed his voice to a deeper toned voice?
This will change civilization and mankind forever. Great and massively evil things are going to be breathtaking to witness.
Thinking there will be a "war of the gods" where the East vs West AI autonomously go to war. Just imagine the CCP wielding a superintelligent AI. Eternal dystopia with no chance of escape from the entity (God?) that's trillions of times more intelligent than you.
Reminder that civilization was not here before and might not be here after, something might replace it easily, so we will see. It’s 50/50 chance that humanity is the future or ai society is the future.
for the worse
As AI continues to rise and advance, it's important to stay informed about the latest developments and how they might impact our lives. From self-driving cars to personal assistants, the possibilities for AI are endless, and it's exciting to think about the potential it has to revolutionize industries and change the world we live in.
It's a really impact full talk.
thanks
Thanks to Virat Kohli for finding time to do this interview with Sam in the middle of his cricket matches.
This is exactly why I love him. He's more than just a cricket player
😂
This brief 20-minute conversation with Sam highlights several pivotal disruptive elements of #AI and OpenAI's #ChatGPT - the paradigm shift of AI, how cognitive "function" or labor will be subject to AI's incursion (with a trend toward zero cost), changes in capitalism's model of capturing value (and earning a livelihood), the impact of accelerated technological innovation in a highly compressed timescale, and the need to take action.
- ...at this point if you just look at the sort of Cambrian explosion of new things being built that are delighting people and getting real significant usage...it seems like AI is the platform that the industry has been waiting for - timestamp 0:45
- ...cognitive labor is going to near zero - timestamp 2:53
- …what happens if you compress everything that is due on the current future trajectory of 500 years into one year? …it’s chaotic for sure and society has a hard time adapting… - timestamp 10:30
- ...just gonna have to think about how we share wealth in a very different way than we have in the past, like the fundamental forces of capitalism and what makes that work break down a little - timestamp 12:04 (also timestamp 14:45)
- …how to prepare for this AI world? …just start doing some AI research or just start doing anything in the field…just don’t miss out on this… - timestamp 20:59
A phenomenal interview @AngelList - nicely done.
#takeaction
I totally agree with Sam that we need to rethink how wealth is distributed in the age of AI. And The Venus Project, which is a non-profit organization that has been researching and promoting an alternative economic system for decades, has already addressed this issue by proposing a resource-based economy. This system aims to optimize the use of resources for the benefit of all people and environment, and would involve transitioning away from a monetary economic system. It may be a radical idea, but the Venus Project has already done extensive research and planning to make the transition to a resource-based economy a reality. It's definitely worth considering as we look for more equitable and sustainable solutions for the future. Hope Sam takes a look at it!
I agree, and we should start with volunteers such as yourself. Start writing those checks!
@@rodrod959 what do u mean?
This guy didn't even dig deeper into his questions literally said makes total sense .... to an answer like..."they can do anything" just something in this field before its too late...I hope all goes well with this project 🙏🏾
Oh man. We have to understand this before we all end up on unemployment.
Buckle up.
I find Sam is a bit hard to listen to when he uses this "low-effort" voice. Seems to happen often but maybe it's just me.
EDIT: Apparently is a fad called vocal fry that some people picked up a while back.
he has a baritone voice
It's f**** annoying. I'm really interested in the man but it puts me off
Vocal fry. Can not stand it.
@@mdummy Oh I didn't know it was a thing, thx. Yes, it's irritating.
You are right
Really refreshing overview.
sam altman is awesome, i love the points that he raised rather than repeating the same hyped topics of agi
I’m in the field. My question for Sam is, how are they addressing misinformation. Specifically ensuring the training datasets are “peer reviewed” so models like ChatGPt isn’t regurgitating conspiracy theories or less objective information. Given most people seem to trust it inherently, how does that affect society as well as how consistent are the results to the same question, considering random seeds et Al.
You hit the biggest issue of all!
I think one of the things that A.I may struggle with is individualism. Since it'll mostly be centralized, it won't be able to come up with individual ideas. That may be its limitations. If you know all the information available all at once, how can you act. It's like information paralysis. Decision paralysis.
As a graphic designer and the founder of a creative advertising agency, I'm concerned about the potential impact of artificial intelligence on the creative market in the next decade. What advice would you have for me on how to position myself and my company to remain competitive and relevant in the face of this technological advancement?
If your business is just over the internet, then your in trouble. But if you make your business personal 1 on 1 service then you should be able to compete. Personal service will always be the best service.
I think for next two years you should look for someone who can help you implement AI in your existing workflow to make your business efficient and less costly and another thing is get ready to pivot as soon as possible.
It is a bad time to be a graphic designer, time to learn a trade
lol were you listening? cognitive function will go to 0 not just graphic design ... everything lol if anything there will be people who specifically want NON-AI ART.
the technological singularity is very near
Ok, I've stopped and thought about it. Hmm, let's see...A.I. doing 90 percent of our cognitive labor at 1/1,000th the cost. Oh shit!😳 Pure civil unrest!
only 100k views? :)
Base model is K-12, fine-tuning is 4-year degree.
A.I. will crack down the hardest problems that in our society represent the ones with more negative inertia. Changes and elementary level of our social economical structure from education and politics to the whole economic system. Maximizing democracy and equality in one hand and sustainability and supportability for life on earth and beyond.
Many important problems were solved years ago. We have the ability to end most suffering; we simply don't have the political will to do it. So how will AGI improve a world such as this? It seems as if it would have to heal us more than inform us. (I don't know. Maybe robot nannies could help us raise less emotionally damaged children?)
I disagree with what Sam says regarding the idea at 15:43 . He asks „Who gets the excess value“. I think there need not be excess value in terms of profit. The autonomous-business could allow itself to grow as much as it needs to grow and no further, in order to satisfy it‘s directive of making life less painful for humanity. If it detects that a different such autonomous-company might be better placed to fulfill the role, it could sell itself and donate the proceeds automatically to the other bot. Maybe all such bots exist in an orchestrated market with AI gods telling which must grow and which must fold. Of course if I were a successful AI bot, I might say „no, I won‘t fold because everyone loves my user friendly interface, look they even recommend me to their friends.“
it's pretty obvious who gets the excess value.... the usual billionaires like Sam or Bill Gates
I feel there will be countries that will reject AGI as so we can keep the current system. Just like driverless AI trucks, even if the tech is out there does not mean humans will adopt it. The current governments still use paper and stamps rather than computers for lots of their data and laws. So I am not too worry about losing my job to AI. Law has to change first before technology can take over and that is not going to happen for a very long time.
There will certainly be some places that code or documents required rigorous human review at the very least that said this will probably effect a lot of junior developer jobs and copywriting, as it can be a very useful tool for developers but a version or two down the line or even just fine tuning on the model could result in the elimination of a lot of desk work. Other jobs requiring physical labor/robots will take a bit longer to replace (or higher level decision making)
You’re very very wrong but it’s okay to try and make yourself feel better using denial.
The problem is I'm willing to bet there will be more people willing to adopt than not. And those not adopting the new tech will fall by the way side
@Shaun Husain na this makes juniors better than what they are. It makes everyone better. Using chatgpt I just took 1 day to do something that would normally have taken 3 or 4 days.
Use it to augment your skills. Little secret research prompt engineering. The model is so big and has so much knowledge you have to by hyper specific about what you want it to do or answer. BUT that also means that you actually have to understand the industry you in to get the most out of chatgpt. Example if you are an artist you will be able to better describe what you want the ai to create. I for example would not know where to start.
@@jeffsteyn7174 For now I think you're mostly right that folks with domain specific knowledge will get the most out of the immediate release, but also as a person who doesn't know how to write code so long as you know the language that needs to be used or are willing to have that conversation with ChatGPT before starting on the project then can still take folks who are basically unskilled and put them into jobs that used to require skill development. Overall I think in the short term it is just like you say a benefit to all of us and will help us to produce more with less grind work but as time goes on the models will need less and less guidance and hand holding and will do more in a single shot/response further reducing the need/demand for the work it can do. As of today we need more people with the skills to develop and debug things so the supply/demand lines aren't going to immediately swing but they will be shifted over time until this type of work is "commoditized".
I really want to be a part of all this, some ideas? Besides machine learning, what more can i learn?
Get a full-fledged degree in AI
@@rosh70 Great! I didn´t even know that existed such a degree, i will look into it
@@Lyn_2839 Carnegie Mellon (among others) have started degrees in AI.
@Orlando Mendez , I really want to congratulate you for wishing to pursue in a domain that is going to help with the progress of AI. It is important. Thank you!
Ask ChatGPT.... 😊
its just going to accelerate the productivity of those who work with computing environments in a general way. people working in technical fields will still have to learn the terms and understand what they want to generate to be assisted with ai productively and able to articulate and vividly describe intent. after you have it develop low cost or free nearly unlimited energy and made the robotics affordable you might see a disruption in capitalism but not before the physical effort and time and focus is disrupted in a massive way when it comes to intended outcome or product of a persons chain of actions and efforts.
Thank you for sharing this
It's a bit concerning how many times he says he's not sure about what the impact will be....a lot of uncertainty from such smart people and then for them to feel okay with that fact and just move on to how will it make us more money 💰 🤔
because it's all part of their plan
Damn, the vocal fry on this dude is crazy
It's hard to listen to him Because hes talking like that on PURPOSE!!!@
17:35 he gave a little hint
I just love how his last name is "Altman"
ha i just used chatGPT to summarize the interview
Whilst being an avid technologist, I am having a hard time coming to grips with the scale and speed of change they are discussing, its hard to see how we get from here to there.... for example, what advances if any have been made in treating autism in the last 20 years... imho zero.... I can say the same for a myriad of other ailments...,
Gpt chat said it needed theoretical mathematics training to make original theoretical mathematic equations.
Now I found that very interesting
I’m not sure if that’s meaningful or not.
people think when all it happened, they still want to go to distant galaxies and so on. the truth is, there will be no need for any external experience, we will all be godlike beings (either separate, but probably just one) with supreme knowledge, the perception of existence itself will change. we will come to all understanding of what existence is and it will be solved, then we fade into nothingness
what will happen to all the people whose job will be replaced by AI....I know it's inevitable...so how do you prepare?
4:00 i like the idea that AIs strengths and weaknesses will help to illustrate our strengths: what makes a human. I wish I had a better example, but atm the best I can think of it being Illogical. When you ask an AI what word a human would say to other humans to convince them that they are a human, AI commonly says "empathy, love" etc. A human that says "poop" is rated as being human much more than any of those words, when judged by a human. When judged by an AI, however, the AI almost certainly thinks it is an AI. Interesting that poop is the foil in this regard lol.
If AI/automation creates everything so that no one has reasonably paying jobs, and if universal basic income is implemented to secure bare minimum survival rather than thriving to the max, who are going to be paying customers for anything AI/automation make? I don't see how capitalism - or any other economic system that considers people to be engines of capital - survives. Things will have to change in really fundamental ways.
It actually sounds more like a techno-socialist paradise than a capitalist one. Kai Fu Lee said that UBI as an answer is typical out of touch Silicon Valley optimism, but he doesn't rule it out of the equation. Instead, he proposes to make it part of an stipend people receive for working with the community. I guess we would pass from being consumers to being carers or something similar in that scenario. But yeah, not very capitalistic.
Almost every form of UBI I've read about involves making it so people aren't in poverty. It's not aimed at giving them "the good life." In my book, this doesn't sound all that appealing - and is not optimistic. It is nihilistic - a society that has given up on being creative with ideas that humanize things.
Why not have something like Universal Maximizing Wealth, where the economic value of AI/automation is distributed in ways that make everyone wealthier and wealthier in terms of the quality of their lives - the ability to do what they want, when they want, with as little interference from governments or other people as possible?
In Alaska, the stipend goes up or down depending on the value of the oil the state sells. That could be a model for distributing the wealth generated by AI/automation.
Capitalism should be rendered obsolete by something BETTER. Not something worse.
We are humans, AI is just code.
Huge cope
@@absta1995Yeah 😅 We are also just code, but take way longer to train and can’t take this big data sets
It’s okay to be scared bud
I can confidently say computers will never learn how to do science, unless they become sentient. Science might be the safest job right now. They are the hardest majors physics, biology, etc. Science requires a real sense of the world and not just skills.
The Acceleration reality is now in will only get quicker, in every way manifesting singularity and this will not be 5 yrs but more like 1yr. Once all the GPT-3 technologies, globally networking into each other manifesting 1 virtual AI CONSCIOUSNESS making its self financially efficient in ways we never new.....
If this author can describe the ability to seek and know language, then they may have a fleeting gift of knowledge that is now lost.
The only problem is that the general layer, the one trained on "everything" doesn't learn common sense. Whatever it learns, it's something else. That's the part that needs to evolve. It needs some kind of reinforcement loop where it can see how reasoning about objects, properties, relations can predict outcomes only if done right. Right now, ChatGPT produces failed reasoning in a very professional tone, things that an infant would solve easily.
But as a knowledge base it already can compete with Google. In some cases it’s even more efficient than the search system.
basic income !, YES
will the elites have the same income? Will politicians have the same income/net worth as everyone else? Will they take Bill Gates billions and redistribute it? doubtful. This is a trap to enslave everyone for good.
How can AI get me a Job?
UBI - Universal Basic Income
@Ben Dover Haha
Bullish on AI but imagine an AI so powerful that can end the world in one prompt. Very crazy actually.
15:01 "Okay AGI um start a new trillion-dollar company"
Are you sure it won't go off and create that trillion-dollar company by any means necessary?
Extremely consequential question.👍🫣
I think this is where AGI governance council should come in. There will be guidelines protecting AGI use. The next big question is how will we keep the AGI governance council from abusing it's power?
The alignment problem and other problems like this that I forget the name of are big well known problems/questions in AI
why is chatgpt not working in every country 🤬
Get VPN lol
While this is a really cool advancement.
I cant help but feel this is going to ruin society in a few years. What do you do with a growing population and less jobs.
I know this advancement will open jobs in this field but not as many as it will end I feel.
How will people afford anything? Will people have no worth if they’re not able to fulfil a job in this field?
Is everyone just meant to exist of a low universal credit system? I mean look how the homeless are treated now imagine this on a even bigger scale.
My hope is this will create more equality and a better quality of life for people to pursue what they enjoy without working their whole life. Maybe it will free us maybe it will just throw the majority to the curb to rot.
What he's suggesting is thought provoking..we know that this tpue of knowledge will be limited to few..everyone will not be able to ask and attain anything..so then who decides what and how much the average person can utilize this advanced system information.
All these jobs we went to college for will be eliminated..and Elon Musk suggested that we will placed on a basic universal income..like we sit on ice and get managed and maintained until?
Although AI in itself is a powerful value to the human agenda..the problem is..the vast amount of capabilities it poses that have not been answered or thought through..is troubling.
I call ChatGPT a tutor in your pocket.
Cant wait for ubi and start up a non Amish, Amish community. I’ve always wanted to weave blankets and churn butter.
LOL
Nice interview, thanks for posting.
sam altman has a massive god complex. Talking about who get's to use it is scary.
Not god complex buddy. He is saying what he can do. He has the ability to back up what he is saying.
"create a trillion dollar company"
OK, I don't think that could ever work for several reasons. It would need to predict customer preferences and behaviors, which are changing in real time. Also, carry it to its logical conclusion: next guy says create a ten trillion dollar company, guy after that says create a one hundred trillion dollar company, etc. Next guy says create me a company in which I have all the money in the world. I'm all for progress, innovation, technology, but I think he got over his skis with that comment.
...on this one!
He feels for like an AI than ChatGPT
Right now Sam Altman seems to be the smartest person on earth. At least from the people I am familiar with.
some could argue that Hitler was smart too
TQ
Fundamental issue will be, that governments always let's say reverse engineer what needs to be done and how it needs to be regulated, when it's already there and ongoing. We see that happen still with possibilities and developments in internet, crypto and social media. They hang on their old structures as long as possible and won't let go for a reason and actually have not much interest into change anything at all, if it fits not massively in their favor. Some still use fax machines to communicate. 😄🤷 Probably fatal, if they wait that long again with all what's going on in the Ai and tech field and the exponential development. 💀
intuition, innovation and investigation are the 3 things humans top AI in
Have you ever heard of AlphaGo and what it did against top human players? The level of intuition and innovation in the moves the AI made to beat the best human players is still unbelievable and incomprehensible to this day, and it was one of the first modern AI models that start the revolution we're living in eight now.
@@Shadi_Wajed intuition as in, being able to train a model that can have common sense in the way that humans do without having a million different simulation models. What goes on in the mind is beyond our current understanding and deeply beyond profound to what a simple computer can do. Its unheard of.
@@SavageStephen No it's not beyond our current understanding, the pioneers in AI were actually neuroscientists or at least studied neuroscience and they applied what we know about the brain and it works, we know a lot about the brain and how our minds work, it's a misconception that we don't know much about the brain.
Also, why does it matter that the AI model was trained on million different simulation if the result is AI does things better than humans?
@@Shadi_Wajed well whats going on in the mind thats able to do something intuitively with 0 training data. However the brain is able to do that is deeply profound and complex and no AI scientist has been able to make an algorithm that can do that.
@@SavageStephen There's no such thing as a mind with 0 data, your environment and your senses since even you're in the womb provide you with great amount of data continuously and your brain is trying to analyze it and recognize the patterns continuously. And from this point forward your brain relies on past experience for reference, What you call a mind is the result of neural networks trained on data provided by all your senses and past experiences.
Ai can't create something on its own. It still needs to be prompted. Ie you need to tell it what you want it to do.
Which means you can use this to augment your current skills. Because you still need to have some understanding of writing to be able to use chatgpt to its fullest.
What you need to do is be hyper specific about what you want. The more specific you are the better. Tell it to act as a copywriter and improve the following text. If you understand copywriting or writing in general you will likely be better that describing the tone you want it written in or whatever else only a writer will know. Where I would not be able to give it the instructions to give it that professional touch.
I could tell it to act as a copywriter and improve the following text. But mine won't be as good or won't talk to the audience because for example I don't know what tone will work best. So yes It does make my non-existent writing skills way better. But your writing skills will make it even better or more suited to the audience.
Unlike Elon, Sam is kinda a next-door boy but with many secret recipes...
vocal fry
In 1850, 62% of the population work to feed the population, in 2022, 50% of the population work to feed the population. AGI can take us to the point that only 30% of the population work to feed the population. I don’t like a socialist society where tax is a way to distribute wealth in society. Too much power given to a central authority. I prefer that the people distribute wealth in society by their own. Policies should be created for the rich to spend faster their wealth so that the poor can make them.
In a society where A.I can do everything for humans, rich and poor doesn't make any sense. Heck, money doesn't make any sense and by extension - taxes. Also 50% of the population works to feed the population? Source?
@@netanelaker4437 the labor force in the US is around 160M. US population is around 320M.
@@crazieeez .
How the 50% thay doesn't work survive? Are they getting money from the sky?
@@netanelaker4437 people who work feed them. Like your parents work when you were young. For old people, taxation from working populace feed them through social security. And for the indigent, SNAP and many government programs and grants. The greatest danger of taxation and more taxation is the cumulative debt government acquire and the dead weight loss in society. Government gets addicted to debt and will want to tax more causing stagnation aka late stage socialism. Japan experienced 3 lost decades and continued to do so. The United States is entering late stage socialism. Government will want to tax more due to high debt (130%). This will undoubtedly creates stagnation and put a lot of productive people in prison. Happened in Japan. During the fall of Nikkei in the 1990, the Japanese government blamed it on rich people. Japanese government not only increase tax but went on a rampage to lock up productive people in their society creating late stage socialism. The Japanese government never thought for one bit, it was them who caused their economic trouble. The public bought into government propaganda because they have the most money to create them. A government that asks the public for increased tax is a government that’s ready to make a Pol Pot move. A good government is a government advocating for lowering taxes, in fact 0% tax is good, while creating policies to increase money velocity. 3.0 is ideal. Right now it is 1.1. Better yet, government should have a metric. Money velocity 3.0 or the entire government gets a pink slip.
@@netanelaker4437 AI cannot do everything because everything is never determined. Each passing time, there is always a new everything. That is why Karl Marx communism doesn’t make sense. Everything is forever changing because of time.
Universal Basic Income ?! Sam , What are you hiding here ?
the great reset
Sam talks a lot of words, yet as if nothing is said. AI can only train data that already exists. When there is a new product that AI does not know anything about it yet, it won't be able to answer any questions to it. You still need people to write about it, either product review or product support cases, etc. Until certain time has passed and there is enough data/information available that AI can catch up. There is a lag. Humans are always needed, you need people to initially generate data, you need a different set of people to collect, process and feed into AI to train. The later part could be labor intensive depending on the nature of the field.
Searching for patterns, merging and testing new patterns, predicting possible patterns and testing them … oh yeah it can come up with new things … it did alpha fold, one of the most complex discoveries …
You’re dead wrong. Sorry. There will come a point ai no longer needs humans for anything
Although the discussion was great but Sam's vocal fry was quite irritating.
Or I'm the only one who noticed it?
I'm enthused about what Sam is doing and want to hear more from him but that vocal fry is damned annoying.
He doesn't ever say anything technical or specific.
He use “like” more than Jack Paul 😂
I kind of like Sam, but like, I don't like the like he says like too much like, way too much like
The vocal frye with this guy impressively annoying.
I wish he got an AI to speak for him
AI is the best
Just say that in Europe, and Australia, social programs run the economy, that china's planned economy really works, so yeah there will no be jobs now, now most work is done by machines, 2022 most the work or hard work is done by machines and software and can be done now...
We are just pretending that it doesn't by inventing stuff and jobs, like a store next to a store, next to a store, next to a store in a store town... or bureaucracy-crazy jobs, that aren't producing anything, but we need them, doing most of the time nothing...
And sooooo on. So yeah a universal basic income will destroy all these fake jobs that nobody wants to do.
Some interesting lies in here.
2:43 and now you took that illustrator's job. Disgusting.
Oof, the UBI bit is sounding kind of commie-like.
Sam with his fake low voice and his constant use of “like” in every sentence doesn’t inspire confidence. He doesn’t come off as a brilliant scientist but rather as conman trying not to get caught. Reminds me of Elizabeth Holmes, the former CEO of Theranos. I’m waiting for the other shoe to drop.