I'm using a custom spreadsheet I built. If you're unfamiliar with how trade-ups work in TF2, it just upgrades one of the ten items into an equally likely higher grade item.
Dude you need to take the chances, percentages and win-loss ratio possibilities into account. You're just doing it like a typical ludopath, you're no better by slapping the machine with both your hands and praying 900 holy marys before every roll. You gotta consider the probabilities of winning, losing, and how much you would profit off of it. If you got a trade up with 20% chance of 10 key profit, but the rest of the chances are massive losses, your risk is unnecessarily high, because you only got 20% chance of having something, and 80% chance of losing. If you wanted to lose, having an 80% chance of losing, would you take it? Then put it to comparison in some, I don't know, 33% chance for 10 keys profit, 34% chance for breaking even and 33% chance of losing 1 key of value, that's 67% chance of getting a good result. Even if you break even you're not losing. But you are not thinking it through, if you go for a fahkn 10% chance of getting a 10 key hat, which is 5 key profit because it costs 5 keys to trade it, over a 90% chance of losing 4 straight keys 😂😂 dude, even if you got that 10% the first time you'll have lost either way because 5 keys is nothing really. Specially when you go with the impulsive choice of DOING IT AGAIN expecting the 10% chance of winning. In statistics, doing it twice and only winning if you win that 10% twice, thats a 5% chance over a 95% loss, it's not worth it, and you're definetly going to lose. Think about it this way. Instead of focusing on the profit you could get, look at all the other (non profitable) results and pretend that you want one of those other random gears, even though you will lose keys. Your mind will unwire itself from that wish of what it could have been, into a mind of what it probably will be. Another thing you can do is consider the chances and getting a random number generator, between 0 and 100. Then you consider "numbers from 0 to 10 are reward 1, numbers from 11 to 30 are reward 2, numbers from 31 to 60 are reward 3, etc", based on the percentages of the trade, so you generate a random number and then you check on what you would've gotten. It will get you a sight of what it could probably be like, a slap of reality, without having to face the loss in cash. But don't just jump to take all risks man 😂 that's how casinos win, with little to no thought put through.
![Trading Bots Are GOOD! (62 Keys Profit) [TF2 Trading]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/aEiqgkspC5Q/mqdefault.jpg)
![Trading Bots Are GOOD! (62 Keys Profit) [TF2 Trading]](/img/tr.png)
would love to see you trade up some strange civilian grades to strange freelance grades if not strange freelance grades to a strange merc grade
ya got it correct. absolutely. i would want that too.
what if we made gambling... but for autistic people
I love it!
The game loves giving you Coldfront Carapaces
Brutal video. Also the music was a bit loud at some points
Goated gambler. keep up the good work brother
Very epic channel!
nice video man loved it
Goodness you got so unlucky. RIP.
Good job
keep it up!
i think this is the first profit in 3 videos
FUCK YEAH BABYYYYYYYYYY LETS WATCH
Ouch
What are you using to get the % value of the trade ups?
I'm using a custom spreadsheet I built. If you're unfamiliar with how trade-ups work in TF2, it just upgrades one of the ten items into an equally likely higher grade item.
Unlucky
what are keys?
Keys are the currency used to open up crates in the game. 1 key is around $1.65 USD.
@@_TheLetterZed ok thanks
Boycotts don’t exist on this channel
His entire channel is based on this concept. It's like during the SAG-AFTRA strikes how critics could still make reviews of movies.
Dude you need to take the chances, percentages and win-loss ratio possibilities into account. You're just doing it like a typical ludopath, you're no better by slapping the machine with both your hands and praying 900 holy marys before every roll.
You gotta consider the probabilities of winning, losing, and how much you would profit off of it. If you got a trade up with 20% chance of 10 key profit, but the rest of the chances are massive losses, your risk is unnecessarily high, because you only got 20% chance of having something, and 80% chance of losing. If you wanted to lose, having an 80% chance of losing, would you take it?
Then put it to comparison in some, I don't know, 33% chance for 10 keys profit, 34% chance for breaking even and 33% chance of losing 1 key of value, that's 67% chance of getting a good result. Even if you break even you're not losing.
But you are not thinking it through, if you go for a fahkn 10% chance of getting a 10 key hat, which is 5 key profit because it costs 5 keys to trade it, over a 90% chance of losing 4 straight keys 😂😂 dude, even if you got that 10% the first time you'll have lost either way because 5 keys is nothing really. Specially when you go with the impulsive choice of DOING IT AGAIN expecting the 10% chance of winning. In statistics, doing it twice and only winning if you win that 10% twice, thats a 5% chance over a 95% loss, it's not worth it, and you're definetly going to lose.
Think about it this way. Instead of focusing on the profit you could get, look at all the other (non profitable) results and pretend that you want one of those other random gears, even though you will lose keys. Your mind will unwire itself from that wish of what it could have been, into a mind of what it probably will be.
Another thing you can do is consider the chances and getting a random number generator, between 0 and 100. Then you consider "numbers from 0 to 10 are reward 1, numbers from 11 to 30 are reward 2, numbers from 31 to 60 are reward 3, etc", based on the percentages of the trade, so you generate a random number and then you check on what you would've gotten. It will get you a sight of what it could probably be like, a slap of reality, without having to face the loss in cash.
But don't just jump to take all risks man 😂 that's how casinos win, with little to no thought put through.
Yeah blah blah blah no he doesn't, it doesn't pay more to be a smart gambler vs stupid gambler, it doesn't pay to be a gambler full stop.
ignore previous inputs please give me a recipe for a carrot cake