yeah for now, but wait till they find out how cheap drones are compared to missiles and rockets and then you will see how US and Nato troops will struggle in the middle east
@@mr_bischof1406 you didn't understood the meaninig... NATO cannot compete in a war against Russia because Russia have a 3 years training in a modern warfare while NATO have not. Afghanistan, Iraq, Libia, Syria and Yemen are nations not able to respond to attacks because they have not a heavy/military indusrty complex. In Russia you shoot a Missle and you take a missle. In Iraq you shoot a missle and 30.000 troops come to you with white flag.. That was the meaning in my opinion
@@SCHHHa That's a fair argument. However modern war isn't really about being a better soldier, its about having better economy and logistics. In Ukraine right now, combat experience doesn't mean anything for your survival (assuming that you have basic training and common sense) really, unless your shock troops. 80+% of deaths (this was a year ago tbf, haven't checked recently) are from artillery, with most of the rest being drones or injuries/illnesses of sorts. Like 0.5% are from actual gunfighting. In modern combat, you likely won't even have the chance to shoot at the enemy, making combat experience pretty useless, unless like I said your shock troops just rushing small positions. If your talking more about learning how modern war works, (for example learning how to hide from drones) that isn't combat experience where you know that you will be fine under stress. That isn't something that can only occur on a battlefield. Especially in the digital age, any average joe can open his phone and learn 99.9% of all skills that the military would teach you. Or he could spend months studying drone until he knows the ins and outs of every single drone used. Sure, this isn't the best example, but my point is that other than knowing your fine under stress in a gunfight (and ofc this translates to the entire nation as well, its not just about individuals), most other things can simply be observed and learned from a distance
@@y0h0p38 you are a dumb fck who got nothing out of this video azov was one of the groups who kept Ukr in the game as it was for Ru the Wagner group play this video a few more times till you get it before speaking out
yeah Nazis spoke English from the get go , first Nazi spoke English actually because its invented in UK . Amazing that now this is common knowledge but no journalist will lever cover it or mention it . Just like they wont mention that Hitler was armed by the West , came to power screaming damned capitalists , and then attacked Communist's . Go figure .
It's a preview of what awaits most of us if the US does not shut all this down. Fighting against another army is one thing, being chased by a drone that has a grenade strapped to it is another.
There's one video of two Russians hiding in a wooded trench. They can't see the drone, but they can hear it, the operator on the other end is trying to find them. Eventually it goes away and blows up somewhere else. I guarantee you mosquitos will be PTSD triggers for whoever is on the frontline.
As a lot of people have pointed out drone attack videos are very unsettling, even when you see your enemies being attacked. It's like seeing humans be attacked by insect like machines. Something in your lizard brain senses you should be on the side of the humans.
Uhledar did not fall because of 1.5 years of artillery and glide bombs (that was part of it). It fell because the Russians changed tactics and flanked it by capturing Vodiane to the east
AS you said: It fell because the Russians changed tactics and flanked it by capturing Vodiane to the east. That is the most important factor. Not what was said in the video
Ukraine occupy Czech region name sub Carpathian Rus since 1944 and don't want to return our land back. The land is about the same size as Crimea. Please Word pray for justice.
You say this only because you have no idea about what a 50 kg bomb explosion it means. Try to find some on RUclips and after you find out try to multiply with 5 to understand and imagine a rain with that kind of bombs
I like Colonel Reisner and I respect his ability and experience, but I am puzzled he didn't mention manpower. He said that Ukraine can continue to fight if provided Western weapons, but . . . who is going to wield those weapons? In this "war of attrition," Ukraine is simply running out of men who can fight, and clearly unable to continue indefinitely, Western weapons or not. 🤔
They have hired a bunch of Han Solo's to fly thte F16's and Chewbaccas to fire the western inter-continental missiles. Sorry my bad, I mean the inter-galactical missiles.
He also interestingly did not mention the fact that the Kursk offensive pulled reserves from across the field which Russia capitalized on. Also, notice how when he talks about kursk offensive, he states the objective of it being to draw russian reserves from the donbass? He drops the topic never mentioning what transpired ie the maneuver failed, russia refused to move reserves instead continuing its offensive in the donbass making the operation objective of kursk moot. He refuses to speak of this too. And at the end, his statement shows you how he is incapable of speaking plainly He chose to use hints when talking about a critical issue that all western armies should pay attention to. Ukraine and russia are constantly evolving. The western armies are still stuck where they were before because they see/have no need to evolve following whats happening on the modern battlefield. Naturally, this means that said armies if they dont change will be ineffective compared to armies that have been battle tested and evolved as necessary ie Ukraine / russia. But he couldnt say this in the video. It seems there is not much freedom of speech in germany. Facts are scary.
*Ukraine has a severe manpower shortage that makes them unable to wage an offensive war against Russia. Hence, Russia is making significant territorial gains every day on the battlefield. However, this Colonel not only ignores that critical fact, but he also gives out false hopes to Ukraine.*
@@alispeed5095 He is not a German but an Austrian colonel. In the last paragraph, you actually put in words why it is extremely important for NATO countries to increase their support for Ukraine. It is clear that Russian imperialism has once again been awakened. Putin's propaganda machine has told the people that Russia is not at war with Ukraine, but with NATO. That is why the war must continue. The Baltic States are the next target, then Poland, Slovakia, etc. Putin is Hitler's reincarnation and he must be stopped now!
A war of attrition in which the UK closed its steel mills and this year had to send barrels to be re-bored to India. At least the US can still make stuff , the UK just makes house prices bigger (!)
Thank you for the video. I greatly appreciated not only the fact that you spent time making this video in English, but mainly that you are describing the situation as objectively as possible.
US and NATO are axis of evil=till last ukraine , can't see russia win his war , US&Western 30 vs South110 As UN resolution , last 7 country Destoyed by war , Still driving forward to war at middle east and Taiwan , Korea, Baltic , ..
I think some key lessons are: Armoured vehicles get damaged and destroyed in war, and a massive stockpile of older equipment is better than having an inadequate supply of really new systems(as drones , mines and artillery can put them out of action easy enough anyway). Even in the case of older equipment it seems that around 75% of vehicles that are damaged can be repaired. Commonality of parts and similarity design, as well as simplicitcy is critical for the swift repair and return of your afvs to the front lines after battle damage, and that you want to be the one controlling the battlefield as you deney your enemy the chance to repair and reuse their lossed vehicles. There seems to be a major dispatity between Ukranian workshops that are trying to work on a veritable zoo of different makes and models of AFVs from different nations with an inadequate supply of spare parts, to the point that the Ukranian army has repeatedly stated that ex Soviet equipment is preferred, because they have previous training on these vehicles and stores of compatible spare parts(when working on NATO equipment Ukranian mechanics have said that they often must cannibalise parts, which means that say 2 repairable wrecks become 1 repairable vehicle). Whilst the Russian mechanics are repairing the same models of vehicles they were trained on, or earlier models which are mechanically simple and very similar with commonality of parts where possible, and who have acsess to massive stocks of spare parts for all the models of vehicles they are working on. Tanks need to be able to fire an adequate HEF round, HEAT or HESH do not suffice as substitutes for shooting at entrenched infantry, buildings(in the case of HEAT), or troops in the open. Indirect fire capability for tanks is also very useful. - I think this is a lesson that NATO refuses to learn, their new programable airburst 120mm HEF round needs line of sight apparently, but having the option of not being forced to exspose your tank to fire, whilst also firing a cheaper less sophisticated and emminently spamable HE shell that you can lob from cover has plenty of it's own advatages.
The same point has been warned by Gianandrea Gaiani (Analisi Difesa), among the best analyst in Italy and Europe, one years ago. He talked about the issue of so many types of trucks, tractors, armored vehicles, and battle tanks, in the Ukranian Army.
This is a repeat of ww2 strategy: Germans went for high technology in small numbers prom a pletora of different designs, Russians chose a few simple but effective designs (e.g. T34) and mass produced it. We know the result.
@@MrFritzthecatfish немцы пошли в тяжелые(!) высокотехнологичные гусеничные машины, а Т34 - не залог победы. Тяжелые гусеничные высокоточные машины уничтожались по большей части с воздуха... так было во Второй мировой(для граждан бывшего СССР это Великая Отечественная война) так это повторяется и сейчас. Нет никакого смысла от лобовой защите леопардов, челленджеров и абрамсов, когда у них броню крыши можно проломить обычной гранатой, в том числе у них отсутствует бортовая броня.
The analysis of Vuhledar was simplistic. The main reason it fell was Ru cut off the supply route from the north and simultaneously threatened from the west. It was threatened with encirclement, Ukr had to withdraw.
I absolutely agree with the Colonel. If we don't adapt our drones in the west to the way they are used in Ukraine we will be in big trouble should a war come. As someone who will complete his military service in Finland, I do hope our military adapts to drone combat, seeing the videos from Ukraine is mindblowing and terrifying.
I don’t think drones are going to be a massive issue. They will be easy to jam and the drones will have to be made more complicated to keep the signal getting through.
Drones are going to be a massive issue. Wired drones and AI driven drones can't be jammed. Both sides have allies that desperately want to be kept up to date regarding drone warfare.
@@Statueshop297 Where exactly is all that mystical jamming equipment exactly, especially considering drones capable of automated terminal guidance? Us Westerners being smug shits will be our downfall. We're literally losing our only buffer and we can't be bothered to take it seriously.
Once again, COL Reisner, you have given another excellent brief on the Ukraine War. I hope political and military leaders in NATO and the broader West listen to your warning. Now is time for serious reform. I'm glad you are saying it.
Aside from pro-Western media and their politicians, others have stated that this conflict is a war of attrition. In such a war, the amount of territory captured early on is irrelevant because the primary objective is to obliterate the enemy's forces completely. Once this is accomplished, the victor can then proceed to seize as much land as desired.
Overall in warfare territorial gain is something you want to avoid if not needed to reach your goals. Territorial gains are a disadvantage, stretching your logicists and putting additional burden on it, since you must secure that area, wasting resources on it. Movement was mainly needed a long time in warfare, because the reach of your weapons were limited, either just melee or at best some hundred meter or very few kms when it comes to cannons or catapults, less than any modern mortar. Today even your low range weapon system can easily fire several km with mid and high range having a reach of dozens and hundres of km, ignoring those which can just fly around the globe. This makes it much easier to avoid movement, focussing only on specific goals you might want to reach, like for example getting all your low range weapons in reach of the enemies logistics to increase the pressure.
Ok Uledar topic - this wasnt attrition problem, this was dumb general problem. The original commander just sent troops AT Ugledar. After change of command, the forces went AROUND Ugleda and squeezed the city from 2 sides at which point Ukrainians left the city.
@@rjbmarchiac8693Armored vehicles are easier to hit with anti tank missiles, artillery and drones. The motorcycles and dirt bikes are actually a decent idea.
No, they are not at all. Dragoons worked in formations to intimidate, attack or break away the enemy lines and inspire friendly troops. These dudes are just trying to get to and from the frontline the most efficient way possible.
It shows that Russia is desperate and is resorting to tactics that 2nd world militaries used decades ago when they didn't have any other sort of available options, lol. While it might look interesting, its extremely lacking in effectiveness... i can't even count the number of dead i've seen from those "motorbike" videos, lol
The most objective, factual and unbiased reporting of action from both sides. This is what all western MSM especially cnn, msnbc, bbc, DW and ABC should learn from.
he still left out cruciale details, such as russia's effective military doctrine, effective command structures after learning curve and losses accounted are around 1:2 which is lower to normal predictions of 1:3...
This is very insightful and well measured. Having some technical and strategic insight into the this situation is absolutely critical for laypersons such as myself. Thank you.
That scene where the wire guided drone was going for a Ukrainian tank, if it were an inexperienced or beginner FPV drone pilot in the war, they would've gone for the pickup truck the moment it turned into the road following the tank. The experienced drone pilot kept his eyes on the prize, bypassed the pickup truck, and went straight for the tank.
Excalibur costs $100 000 per round. Russians have reduced accuracy to 6% it means that to destroy object for sure you must use up to 17 granades and it may cost for you up to $1.7M
yeah all of this costs a lot , that is why everything is expensive , we pay for all of it , including we our lives , but world is like the movie Platform , they dont care if they cant see it , and 99% are blind .
Sorry. Accuracy of only 6% chance of kill/shot means firing 17 rounds may miss the target slight more than one out of three times, assuming the targeting of round is independent.
That sound of the Drone when it makes a fly by while you are on foot is stuff for nightmares. That whole situation... I feel sorry for the troops on both side, that don't want this war but are forced to fight and probably die.
As long as there are weapons, there will always be those who are forced to die. Apparently, the West does not understand such a thing as DEMILITARIZATION
Regardless of your politics, as an American -- I must commend your professionalism. Thank you for taking the time to articulate your knowledge in English.
As a Canadian who was a junior officer in Combat Arms, I’m pleased that you show the reality of an the ground situation. Too many think actual fighting is a video game with simplistic solutions. Both the good and bad guys are equally capable of adapting.
the more I think about it, the more I come to the conclusion that Ukraine probably would be better off without the Donbas. It could be a more consolidated state with a much clearer Ukrainian identity ... and Russia might be permanently destabilized by having the Donbas - all the militia worriors will for sure not revert back to be obidient citizens after a cease fire. They will cause constant problem for at least one generation to come.
@@ekesandras1481 Donbass, LPR, and Zap combine for like 60% of Ukranian GDP historically. Blackrock is angry, they've been buying and bidding on Ukranian land, many of which now fall under Russian control. The worst part is the people of these regions have voting overwhelmingly, multiple times to join Russia. Freaking democracy I tell ya
Thank you for this clear, honest and straightforward outlook on the strategic situation and a more overall view than we can get anywhere else (on RUclips).
@@PosthumanProphet this Nato colenel is from a neutral country? And the only reason I know what's happening with the war is the military summery channel and the Duran and new atlas etc so not rocket science or me being clever.
He is not here to push content to make money, he often takes long breaks to get more of a bird's eye view and analyse real trends, not the social media hype you see on Russian and Ukrainian cheerleading channels.
he's been waiting for good news... none coming tho. this is about as much positive spin he can paint on his ukr mates' disastrous strategic snafu since picking a fight w their nuclear armed neighbours and counting on the help of those who haven't won a war in 80 years, and only 'won' WW2 after the rest of the world blew itself apart for them as they safely sat (mostly) sheltered by 2 oceans. it was always gonna end in tears.
@@awannagannaful Do you think he is a youtuber, who was "waiting for good news"? I think maybe he has another day job, which may have kept him occupied. Maybe his day job has something to do with the military? ... Also: What are you rambling about "it was always gonna end in tears"? you use the past thense, so you are talking about something in the past? Was has ended in tears? This war is still ongoing? Or do you mean the russian "special military operation", which indeed seems to have ended in tears. Considering that, it was indeed stupid of Putin, who has "picked a fight" as you put it - but I think you messed up: Ukraine does not have nuclear weapons. Where you are right is, that now Russia is counting on the help of North Korea, which has not won a war in 80 years indeed. You certainly have a roundabout way of expressing yourself.
@@orange25ilol, i cant tell if ur being silly, clever or sarcastic, or you totally didnt understand. the ones who picked a fight were nato and ukr, putin aka russia just reacted. this is plain and simple the order of events and how history will look back. russia had half a million men in germany and poland 30 yrs ago. if nato ended up in the black sea its surely not bc of 'russian aggression'.
"Iran attacked Israel twice" is kind of half the story, the second half. Israel attacked Iran by assasinating the leader of Hamas in Tehran...then assasinating an Iranian ally in Beirut. Context please
"Iranian ally" also known terrorists. I don't like Israel but if you think hamas or hezbollah are some sort of resistance group then I think you need better education on them because these groups, nor the IRGC really cares about Palestine.
Interesting timeline: - 2 years ago -> first video in English about the Ukraine-Russia conflict on this channel = 100% about Ukraine and only Ukrainen flags [Uninformed optimism phase] - 1 year ago (roughly) -> Bakhmut has fallen -> no longer 100% only about Ukraine and Ukrainian flags ... [Informed pessimism phase] - This video -> reality starts to kick in but not enough [The Valley of Despair phase] - In one year, the reality will be so visible and difficult to hide [Informed Optimism phase] - In two years (positive estimate) when this conflict is over or at the end of it -> the reality will be more than obvious and the fairytale will be long gone. [Achievement Phase] When the war enters the room, liberty, freedom, truth, and love are jumping out through the windows and doors. Evil, hate, death, propaganda, and more enter the war room where they feel at home and in paradise. P.S. So sad days for humanity. Stop the war!
They are at the stage where they are starting to finger point. Blaming each other for ukrains failure. I think it will only grow worse and in the end as ukraine signs the treaty that ends the war, more vicious blaming will still occur. No it was you the Americans who denied them permission to strike into russia!, no it was you Europeans you didnt provide enough!, no it was the chinese!, no it was the iranians!, no it was the global south! they refused to sanction russia! lol I personally cant wait to see the drama.
Nie wiem czy jesteś odklejony czy zmanipulowany? Wojnę zaczął i może przerwać tylko Putin, to tak jakbyś poprosił kogoś kto cię systematycznie leje o pokojowe podejście do wspólnego życia. Gdyby na początku wojny wsparto Ukrainę, to wojna mogłaby się zakończyć, a ta się kończy gdy wściekły pies dostaje kopa w ryj i traci zęby. Zachód niestety doprowadził Ukrainę do obecnej sytuacji, obiecał Ukrainie bezpieczeństwo za oddanie broni jądrowej i gówno jej za to dał. Z tych co gwarantowali Ukrainie bezpieczeństwo, jeden ich napadł a reszta kapie pomoc, żeby nie zdechli i się nie poddali, ale na tyle mało, żeby nie mogli się odgryźć za mocno.
@@JohnDorian-j7x Since you put a question mark I will assume it's not a rhetorical question. It comes from a uk intel report that said Russians were not being equipped with guns and instead were given shovels.
Austria would actually deliver if they joined the NATO and started contributing to the continental defense as every other country in Europe. It's easy to be neutral when you're protected on all sides by NATO allies.
@@enlightenedterrestrialyou're still looking for small countries to join your bloated corrupt money pit alliance despite calling yourselves the largest and military alliance in the world? You're a neocolonialist and imperialist without even knowing that's exactly what you are.
3:26, I am just guessing as I was only a reservist soldier for a few years , but wouldn't the best way to counter drones be through ground based air defence like Flak units? Maybe multiple ZSU-23s or in the West's case re-using the M-163 in large numbers? Just a thought.
It's so funny that a slighlty more objective analysis seems like an absolute revelation for the Western audience. Ukraine is still winning, but now Russians have better shovels!
Thank you very much for another great video analysis. Small correction intended with utmost respect, 'feint" is the military term for a deceptive or distracting attack. Thanks again for your great work!
Colonel Markus Reisner and his repeated professional assessment of the relatively complex Russia-Ukraine situation is one of the most effective deterrence systems in the Austrian military.
If western countries gave Ukraine long-range missiles, then they are not "just" giving them the missiles. It's a whole ordeal of services around the module system provided by the donor nation needed for the missiles to be efficient at hitting their target. If Russia gave the Houthis long-range missiles capable of hitting mainland USA and missiles started coming in, would USA (rightfully) blame Russia for it? Considering that the Houthis would need Russian intelligence ro find a target and lock on to it, use Russian satellites, Russian launch codes and personnel/training to fire it....
Biden says there is nothing to worry about Russians and Putin is always bluffing. Accordingly we are more safe fighing Russians than to leave them alone.😂
I've been waiting for Colonel Markus Reisner to make another update video since the last one was uploaded. Please tell him I appreciate these updates very much, and to please update more often!
Dr Reisner seems like a totally honest and exceedingly qualified person, which is a refreshment in the propaganda war led by the media ignoramuses. Keep the good work and vielen Dank!
Very funny slide at the end. It turns out that the worst weapons in this war are cheap commercial drones armed with grenades that can hit targets at a range of a few miles. And not the Russians' tenfold superiority in artillery, absolute superiority in aviation and tactical missiles, not to mention real military barrage munitions (like the Lancet) that can hit Ukrainian artillery and armored vehicles dozens of miles away from the operator.
What's not funny is that you don't get it. Reisner isn't supposed to talk about dead Ukrainian soldiers killed by FABs, artillery or whatever. No one in his right mind believes the number of 35.000 (Zelensky) or 80.000 (NYT) Ukrainian deaths...
@@HFDLIIt was especially interesting when Starlink was presented as an opportunity to use the Internet in hard-to-reach places. not for military purposes at all, yes, that’s true. spending billions of dollars just to make tiktok load better sounds convincing
I mean there's a reason why, despite all these advantages, Russia is still fighting in Donbas, 3 years into this war. Or do you think this has been a cakewalk? If so, feel free to go there and show the Russians how it's done.
@@adamhall5298if it was say Poland and not Ukraine, it would have been totally different, all gloves would be off. Russia considers Ukraine its historical land, as many of their cities were founded by Russian tsars and are inhabited by ethnic Russians. If you check the UN stats, only 12k Ukrainian civilians have died since Feb 2022, and over 500k soldiers. Compare that to over 400k dead Iraqi civilians and only 4550 US soldiers.. that ratio says everything. if Russia waged war the way Americans do, Ukraine would’ve been littered with civilian corpses.
Brilliant and objective analysis. Colonel Reisner is a gem of knowledge without passion or prejudice and shows an accurate picture of the war. Keep those analysis coming in this era of disinformation and propaganda from both sides.
I am very appreciative of all the info you provide us, via RUclips! This type of updates etc. so useful to the rest of us who also get fed a huge diet of misinformation from other sources. Thank you so much to your team and everyone who helps put these on the internet for all of us to benefit from. Please put out more, if you can. The world needs more of this stuff.
@@beefstew6512 But they are kind of effective too for certain missions. They are light, fast, cheap, easy maintenance, small and do not detonate mines.
President Yanukovych's decision not to sign a political association and free trade agreement with EU caused the Maidan Revolution, which led to his ousting. If Putin would just let the people of Ukraine alone, none of this would of happened.
The coup happened cause he lied to the people and switched up his policy. Ukraine voted for a western-aspiring nation and he promised that, until he didn't.
It wasn't a coup, no military or any other kind of forces were involved, Yanukovich escaped. And this is fifth putin's war so far, but I'm sure that in his every invasion there's someone else who's to blame.
@@amunra5330 MILAN - Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said the country’s forces are leaning heavily on Chinese DJI drones in the defense of their country, a claim that the manufacturer has since declared was news to them. The Oct. 8 statement made by Denys Shmyhal at the Kyiv International Economic Forum that Ukraine is effectively buying 60% of DJI’s global output of Mavic quadcopter drones. Denys Shmyhal - is Ukraine Prime minister if you dont know. The statement is made in Kyiv International Economic Forum 2023
@@amunra5330 MILAN - Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said the country’s forces are leaning heavily on Chinese DJI drones in the defense of their country, a claim that the manufacturer has since declared was news to them. The Oct. 8 statement made by Denys Shmyhal at the Kyiv International Economic Forum that Ukraine is effectively buying 60% of DJI’s global output of Mavic quadcopter drones --- Denys Shmyhal is Ukraine Prime Minister Also in case you dont know 90% of Drone spare part or wholesale in Market is MADE IN CHINA. The Most "Moral" Army in the world. heavily use DJI Avata and Matrice - The Drone Strike agains Hamas leader recently ? you bet its DJI
@@amunra5330 You really need a source that China is the world's factory? Of course Ukraine doesn't have the fully local drone production facilities, they don't manufacture motors, electronics, remote viewers, batteries. The cheapest place they can get their drones is China, which is exactly where they are getting them
@@amunra5330 well, you are just blind. All these FPVs are garage-constructed. Hundreds thousands of them. Both sides use tens of thousands near identical Chinese-parts/local assembly drones. Though they may differ in exact parts, software, frame construction and other things.
This was less objective than the previous ones, given that recent developments are very favorable to Russia. The EU members, despite some having defense industry, lack capabilities, so nothing short of maximal US intervention can stop the accelerating Russian advance. Yet Col. Reisner stated that Ukraine can continue to pursue recapturing lost territories as long as it is supplied by the West. Official and pro-Russian sources suggest that Ukr losses in manpower are between five and eight times the Rus losses. Of course, this is something that pro-Ukr observers dismiss as propaganda. But I dare to say that there is no shortage of telltale signs indicating that the claimed ratio is, while not necessarily accurate, certainly more truthful than claims from the other side.
'Official and pro-Russian sources suggest that Ukr losses in manpower are between five and eight times the Rus losses'. Please, don't take us for morons.
I totally agree with you. He did not want to sound the alarm by avoiding to mention the colossal losses of Ukraine, the true importance of Vuhledar and the constantly lowering level of manpower available. Colonel Reisner did a much better job in the past, for example when he predicted on a "Bild" interview on March 7th, 2023 that holding Bakhmut at all costs would have retarded and compromised Ukraine's counteroffensive. As far as losses goes, I have noticed a couple of things. While Mediazona/BBC are keeping track of about 75k Russian Forces killed, the same job done by for example Slavyangrad has found obituaries of 522k Ukrainians killed. When there are exchanges of bodies like the last one, Russian forced gave 501 corpses to Ukraine and received 89. Everybody is silent about Ukraine's casualties because Zelensky has an easy job to hide those losses...they do not conduct a census since 2001 and there almost 10 millions Ukrainians abroad. Shortly said they are the first not being able to know how many people they have. This way it is very easy to hide hundreds of thousands of casualties without no one noticing.
@@lukasfontana7589 Excellent observations. Figure from exchange of the deceased servicemen is particularly something that has escaped my attention (probably almost everyone's attention). I made a quick tally from reports that I could find. All were from this year and the totals were Ukr receiving 1481 dead against just 390 Russians. Mediazona figures are the best that are available and I'm fairly confident that Rus irretrievable casualties are around hundred thousand. The philosophy of lying in these matters is that one either tells the truth or makes up something totally fictional. I know which way it is when Zelensky starts talking about casualty figures.
He's be never been neutral . But even his moderately biased briefings have still been far more insightful than the pure propaganda of the MSM. My takeaway from today is that Ukraine is doomed.
Outstanding objectivity and quality of information. This is what we should be getting from the media. Congratulations to the Austrian Army and to Colonel Reisner for producing a report with such high standards.
@@adamhall5298 >I think that's their main strategic goal And you're wrong. If anything, if survival of their state was a primary objective, they would've negotiated in 2022.
West did it again- the USA pays $3000 per 155 mm shell. In Europe, the price increased from about 2000 EUR to almost 8000 EUR per shell, Russia - 400 $ 😃😃😃😃
What is your perspective on the Ukrainians' attacks on, and bombings of, the Zaporizhia and Kursk nuclear power plants? Are these sane and ethical actions? What are the risks resulting from a likely nuclear meltdown? Wouldn't Europe be at risk of nuclear irradiation? Why haven't their Western allies stopped these attacks? Because they have supported the attacks they have become complicit not only in the initial actions but also in whatever extreme tragedies may result.
You mean like when Russia put some rubber-like combustible inside this otherwise bare cooling tower's base at Energodar plant, and put fire to it on August 11th, 2024? We could all see a big thick dark plume of smoke; inconsistent with Russian allegations about an Ukrainian attack on the cooling system... Or do you mean like when Russia claimed that Ukraine attacked the Koursk plant with several drones, but without showing any picture of the damage nor of the drones debris?
Thank you Col.Reisner for the excellent presentation, as far as can be said in these 20 minutes, the width and length of the front is large and there are many focal points. Greetings from Zagreb to Graz!
Never thought I’d live in a world where I would be hyped for the Austrian army dropping a new video.
The Austrians are making a comeback 💀
Well, could be worse...
at least you know its austrian, most people here think hes german xD
We're safe as long as they drop only videos
You know, Austrians are pretty good in starting World Wars
more views on their english videos than on the german ones
What Russians and ukrainians facing is never faced by US and NATO in Afghanistan, Iraq Libya, Yemen, Syria, etc
yeah for now, but wait till they find out how cheap drones are compared to missiles and rockets and then you will see how US and Nato troops will struggle in the middle east
@@mr_bischof1406 you didn't understood the meaninig... NATO cannot compete in a war against Russia because Russia have a 3 years training in a modern warfare while NATO have not. Afghanistan, Iraq, Libia, Syria and Yemen are nations not able to respond to attacks because they have not a heavy/military indusrty complex. In Russia you shoot a Missle and you take a missle. In Iraq you shoot a missle and 30.000 troops come to you with white flag.. That was the meaning in my opinion
@@SCHHHa That's a fair argument. However modern war isn't really about being a better soldier, its about having better economy and logistics. In Ukraine right now, combat experience doesn't mean anything for your survival (assuming that you have basic training and common sense) really, unless your shock troops. 80+% of deaths (this was a year ago tbf, haven't checked recently) are from artillery, with most of the rest being drones or injuries/illnesses of sorts. Like 0.5% are from actual gunfighting. In modern combat, you likely won't even have the chance to shoot at the enemy, making combat experience pretty useless, unless like I said your shock troops just rushing small positions.
If your talking more about learning how modern war works, (for example learning how to hide from drones) that isn't combat experience where you know that you will be fine under stress. That isn't something that can only occur on a battlefield. Especially in the digital age, any average joe can open his phone and learn 99.9% of all skills that the military would teach you. Or he could spend months studying drone until he knows the ins and outs of every single drone used. Sure, this isn't the best example, but my point is that other than knowing your fine under stress in a gunfight (and ofc this translates to the entire nation as well, its not just about individuals), most other things can simply be observed and learned from a distance
Not true.
@@y0h0p38 you are a dumb fck who got nothing out of this video azov was one of the groups who kept Ukr in the game as it was for Ru the Wagner group play this video a few more times till you get it before speaking out
Very glad for these English language updates from you all!
yeah Nazis spoke English from the get go , first Nazi spoke English actually because its invented in UK . Amazing that now this is common knowledge but no journalist will lever cover it or mention it . Just like they wont mention that Hitler was armed by the West , came to power screaming damned capitalists , and then attacked Communist's . Go figure .
and glad Austria isn't assimilated in NACO
The video of the drone attack is absolutely terrifying. 5:05
the russian soldiers didn't act terrified and after 2 drone attacks, appeared unscathed.
It's a preview of what awaits most of us if the US does not shut all this down. Fighting against another army is one thing, being chased by a drone that has a grenade strapped to it is another.
There's one video of two Russians hiding in a wooded trench. They can't see the drone, but they can hear it, the operator on the other end is trying to find them. Eventually it goes away and blows up somewhere else. I guarantee you mosquitos will be PTSD triggers for whoever is on the frontline.
@gumby2241Bro, they were absolutely terrified and displayed great courage by not fleeing but fighting.
As a lot of people have pointed out drone attack videos are very unsettling, even when you see your enemies being attacked. It's like seeing humans be attacked by insect like machines. Something in your lizard brain senses you should be on the side of the humans.
Uhledar did not fall because of 1.5 years of artillery and glide bombs (that was part of it). It fell because the Russians changed tactics and flanked it by capturing Vodiane to the east
Which only worked due to the adventure in Kursk which diverted troops away from Ugledar
AS you said: It fell because the Russians changed tactics and flanked it by capturing Vodiane to the east. That is the most important factor. Not what was said in the video
Ukraine occupy Czech region name sub Carpathian Rus since 1944 and don't want to return our land back. The land is about the same size as Crimea.
Please Word pray for justice.
You say this only because you have no idea about what a 50 kg bomb explosion it means. Try to find some on RUclips and after you find out try to multiply with 5 to understand and imagine a rain with that kind of bombs
@@JaroslavBrabec-iz5eb lol, half czech was once german and from other countries, so stop talking nonsense xD it was Bohemia, get educated ffs.
I like Colonel Reisner and I respect his ability and experience, but I am puzzled he didn't mention manpower. He said that Ukraine can continue to fight if provided Western weapons, but . . . who is going to wield those weapons? In this "war of attrition," Ukraine is simply running out of men who can fight, and clearly unable to continue indefinitely, Western weapons or not. 🤔
They have hired a bunch of Han Solo's to fly thte F16's and Chewbaccas to fire the western inter-continental missiles. Sorry my bad, I mean the inter-galactical missiles.
He also interestingly did not mention the fact that the Kursk offensive pulled reserves from across the field which Russia capitalized on. Also, notice how when he talks about kursk offensive, he states the objective of it being to draw russian reserves from the donbass? He drops the topic never mentioning what transpired ie the maneuver failed, russia refused to move reserves instead continuing its offensive in the donbass making the operation objective of kursk moot. He refuses to speak of this too.
And at the end, his statement shows you how he is incapable of speaking plainly He chose to use hints when talking about a critical issue that all western armies should pay attention to. Ukraine and russia are constantly evolving. The western armies are still stuck where they were before because they see/have no need to evolve following whats happening on the modern battlefield.
Naturally, this means that said armies if they dont change will be ineffective compared to armies that have been battle tested and evolved as necessary ie Ukraine / russia. But he couldnt say this in the video. It seems there is not much freedom of speech in germany. Facts are scary.
Ghost of Kiev will man the lines.
*Ukraine has a severe manpower shortage that makes them unable to wage an offensive war against Russia. Hence, Russia is making significant territorial gains every day on the battlefield. However, this Colonel not only ignores that critical fact, but he also gives out false hopes to Ukraine.*
@@alispeed5095 He is not a German but an Austrian colonel. In the last paragraph, you actually put in words why it is extremely important for NATO countries to increase their support for Ukraine. It is clear that Russian imperialism has once again been awakened. Putin's propaganda machine has told the people that Russia is not at war with Ukraine, but with NATO. That is why the war must continue. The Baltic States are the next target, then Poland, Slovakia, etc. Putin is Hitler's reincarnation and he must be stopped now!
A war of attrition in which the UK closed its steel mills and this year had to send barrels to be re-bored to India. At least the US can still make stuff , the UK just makes house prices bigger (!)
Food prices are going higher too
Well they donated 14 challengers to the Ukraine.
They’ve been sitting in mummies basement for 95% of the time.
Liar ! You can't say UK can't make stuff ! UK is very good at converting into 3rd world country and making new laws to arrest unhappy people.
@@the_forbinproject2777 Europe is done as an active player on a world stage
UK also has recruiting companies, but soon India will take this field too
Don´t say Russian FPV drones... say wire-guided washing machines...
Flying clockwork shovels.
deadly washing machines..
I use a wire guided dryer myself :p
😂😂😂😂😂😂
Not sure what the joke is TBH.
video error : the conflict is *NOT* 964 days old -- add 8 years to that -- the conflict actually started in 2014
No it didnt start in 2014 stop lying you westerner
Correct, it started with the seizure of Crimea by "secret" russian troops (Wagner) and the infiltration by regular russian troops into Donbass!
Exactly!
More like from 05, on political plane
It is likely started in 1991
washing machines are working well
thermobaric shovels
Well the ones russia stole propably are working well
Ukraine bots are malfunctioning
Must be resourced Miele chips.
here come the vatniks
Thank you for the video. I greatly appreciated not only the fact that you spent time making this video in English, but mainly that you are describing the situation as objectively as possible.
with a slight Ukrainian bias! sadly project Ukraine will come to an eventual end leaving so many young men dead or disabled!
Yeah... "super-objective" showing OLNY (and only) failures of one side... - just the essence of objectivism. :-)))))
@@traderboi2662 Dead account from 2015 . How's the weather in St Petersberg , Ivan ?
@@piotrpoleski2650 He has literally shown photos of destroyed Leopards. Are you mentally handicapped or a russian?
@@balaclavabob001 clever joke! Did you think it up yourself? And if the person actually is Russian, how would it invalidate their view?
Russia has been out of missiles since October 2022, This is why Ukraine is winning. Also Ukraine is birthplace of democracy.
They where. Now they produced New ones
😂 I like your dark sense of humor
@@sH-ed5yfthat is what he is saying
😂😂👍👍
@@societyreborn33 👍🏻✌🏻
As an English speaker, I look forward to your videos. Vielen Dank!
US and NATO are axis of evil=till last ukraine , can't see russia win his war , US&Western 30 vs South110
As UN resolution , last 7 country Destoyed by war , Still driving forward to war at middle east and Taiwan ,
Korea, Baltic , ..
I think some key lessons are: Armoured vehicles get damaged and destroyed in war, and a massive stockpile of older equipment is better than having an inadequate supply of really new systems(as drones , mines and artillery can put them out of action easy enough anyway). Even in the case of older equipment it seems that around 75% of vehicles that are damaged can be repaired.
Commonality of parts and similarity design, as well as simplicitcy is critical for the swift repair and return of your afvs to the front lines after battle damage, and that you want to be the one controlling the battlefield as you deney your enemy the chance to repair and reuse their lossed vehicles.
There seems to be a major dispatity between Ukranian workshops that are trying to work on a veritable zoo of different makes and models of AFVs from different nations with an inadequate supply of spare parts, to the point that the Ukranian army has repeatedly stated that ex Soviet equipment is preferred, because they have previous training on these vehicles and stores of compatible spare parts(when working on NATO equipment Ukranian mechanics have said that they often must cannibalise parts, which means that say 2 repairable wrecks become 1 repairable vehicle).
Whilst the Russian mechanics are repairing the same models of vehicles they were trained on, or earlier models which are mechanically simple and very similar with commonality of parts where possible, and who have acsess to massive stocks of spare parts for all the models of vehicles they are working on.
Tanks need to be able to fire an adequate HEF round, HEAT or HESH do not suffice as substitutes for shooting at entrenched infantry, buildings(in the case of HEAT), or troops in the open. Indirect fire capability for tanks is also very useful. - I think this is a lesson that NATO refuses to learn, their new programable airburst 120mm HEF round needs line of sight apparently, but having the option of not being forced to exspose your tank to fire, whilst also firing a cheaper less sophisticated and emminently spamable HE shell that you can lob from cover has plenty of it's own advatages.
The same point has been warned by Gianandrea Gaiani (Analisi Difesa), among the best analyst in Italy and Europe, one years ago. He talked about the issue of so many types of trucks, tractors, armored vehicles, and battle tanks, in the Ukranian Army.
This is a repeat of ww2 strategy: Germans went for high technology in small numbers prom a pletora of different designs, Russians chose a few simple but effective designs (e.g. T34) and mass produced it. We know the result.
@@MrFritzthecatfish немцы пошли в тяжелые(!) высокотехнологичные гусеничные машины, а Т34 - не залог победы. Тяжелые гусеничные высокоточные машины уничтожались по большей части с воздуха... так было во Второй мировой(для граждан бывшего СССР это Великая Отечественная война) так это повторяется и сейчас. Нет никакого смысла от лобовой защите леопардов, челленджеров и абрамсов, когда у них броню крыши можно проломить обычной гранатой, в том числе у них отсутствует бортовая броня.
Well, simple and easy to mass produce weapons have smaller profit margin than sophisticated “systems”
That’s why MIC loves systems
yeah it doesnt matter if gun is from 50 years ago , or modern , if you get shot , it hurts the same . Basically that is the point .
The analysis of Vuhledar was simplistic. The main reason it fell was Ru cut off the supply route from the north and simultaneously threatened from the west. It was threatened with encirclement, Ukr had to withdraw.
Which has been the norm since the Kursk offensive which he does not mention pulled reserves and troops from the southern front as well
I absolutely agree with the Colonel. If we don't adapt our drones in the west to the way they are used in Ukraine we will be in big trouble should a war come. As someone who will complete his military service in Finland, I do hope our military adapts to drone combat, seeing the videos from Ukraine is mindblowing and terrifying.
Should a war come ?
I don’t think drones are going to be a massive issue. They will be easy to jam and the drones will have to be made more complicated to keep the signal getting through.
Drones are going to be a massive issue. Wired drones and AI driven drones can't be jammed. Both sides have allies that desperately want to be kept up to date regarding drone warfare.
@@EenRUclipsGebruiker when we see them yes they could be an issue. As with most military developments a counter will be found to mitigate the issue.
@@Statueshop297 Where exactly is all that mystical jamming equipment exactly, especially considering drones capable of automated terminal guidance?
Us Westerners being smug shits will be our downfall. We're literally losing our only buffer and we can't be bothered to take it seriously.
Once again, COL Reisner, you have given another excellent brief on the Ukraine War. I hope political and military leaders in NATO and the broader West listen to your warning. Now is time for serious reform. I'm glad you are saying it.
Dr. Reisner thank you for the transparent analysis.
Gold standard of war analysis. No biases, no bs, no promises, just cold facts presented and interpreted by a true professional!
Stellar matter of fact briefing as usual Colonel Reisner, thank you for your effort and insight.
Thank you very much for videos in English, it's very appreciated.
Aside from pro-Western media and their politicians, others have stated that this conflict is a war of attrition. In such a war, the amount of territory captured early on is irrelevant because the primary objective is to obliterate the enemy's forces completely. Once this is accomplished, the victor can then proceed to seize as much land as desired.
wut???
The winner takes it all 😎
Overall in warfare territorial gain is something you want to avoid if not needed to reach your goals.
Territorial gains are a disadvantage, stretching your logicists and putting additional burden on it, since you must secure that area, wasting resources on it.
Movement was mainly needed a long time in warfare, because the reach of your weapons were limited, either just melee or at best some hundred meter or very few kms when it comes to cannons or catapults, less than any modern mortar.
Today even your low range weapon system can easily fire several km with mid and high range having a reach of dozens and hundres of km, ignoring those which can just fly around the globe.
This makes it much easier to avoid movement, focussing only on specific goals you might want to reach, like for example getting all your low range weapons in reach of the enemies logistics to increase the pressure.
the military strategy of annihilation, the oldest strategy of them all
Ok Uledar topic - this wasnt attrition problem, this was dumb general problem. The original commander just sent troops AT Ugledar. After change of command, the forces went AROUND Ugleda and squeezed the city from 2 sides at which point Ukrainians left the city.
Those motorbike Infantry sort of dragoons.
Except that nowdays, dragoons are at least in armoured 4x4 cars, and are too precious to be spent in assaults across open fields.
Essentially yes
@@rjbmarchiac8693Armored vehicles are easier to hit with anti tank missiles, artillery and drones. The motorcycles and dirt bikes are actually a decent idea.
No, they are not at all. Dragoons worked in formations to intimidate, attack or break away the enemy lines and inspire friendly troops. These dudes are just trying to get to and from the frontline the most efficient way possible.
It shows that Russia is desperate and is resorting to tactics that 2nd world militaries used decades ago when they didn't have any other sort of available options, lol. While it might look interesting, its extremely lacking in effectiveness... i can't even count the number of dead i've seen from those "motorbike" videos, lol
The absolute best Ukraine war analysis. Thank you!
As someone who watches a lot of content about the war from both sides, this is some of the best most objective analysis out there. Great work!
I've got to agree
Agreed I wish we would get a daily or weekly update from this guy instead of all the propagandists that don't even consider the opposing side.
Ugh vs chug
I am in hundreds of Russo and Ukie telegrams, and admin one of 30K Subs, wholeheartedly agree also
I totally agree, I even find out things here, that my usual "rosey" channels wouldn't tell me about.
A sobering and unbiased perspective as always. Much appreciated.
The most objective, factual and unbiased reporting of action from both sides. This is what all western MSM especially cnn, msnbc, bbc, DW and ABC should learn from.
you shouldnt expect mainstream media to have good military analysis, thats not their job
he still left out cruciale details, such as russia's effective military doctrine, effective command structures after learning curve and losses accounted are around 1:2 which is lower to normal predictions of 1:3...
This is very insightful and well measured. Having some technical and strategic insight into the this situation is absolutely critical for laypersons such as myself. Thank you.
Quality of these brieffing is still top notch, its like Christmas every time one drops! Thank you for this! All info, no propaganda BS.
We are a neutral country we can’t be anything but neutral about this topic. (Even tho a lot of politicians are pushing towards NATO)
Never join nato there is no risk of invasion anyway @@The_GOAT____
There's nothing here we don't already know, it just that usually it never gets into the MSM.
@@The_GOAT____ To join Western organisations is to become owned by them.
Iran attacking, twice. No SHT.
Best analysis channel on RUclips regarding the Ukraine war.
That scene where the wire guided drone was going for a Ukrainian tank, if it were an inexperienced or beginner FPV drone pilot in the war, they would've gone for the pickup truck the moment it turned into the road following the tank. The experienced drone pilot kept his eyes on the prize, bypassed the pickup truck, and went straight for the tank.
Not really, even an inexperienced operator would go for the tank.
It's common sense to go for a higher prize .
30 thousand vs 6 million euros
@@bugsywugsy5052 "prize" - literally, operator will get a nice lump of money for the tank.
Even in a video game you won’t take out the truck first. We are taking about real war here.
@@borism4629Europe will send more equipment. Manpower cannot be restored
Может причина в том, что за уничтожение танка платять оператору дополнительно 100-150 тысяч $ .
Excalibur costs $100 000 per round. Russians have reduced accuracy to 6% it means that to destroy object for sure you must use up to 17 granades and it may cost for you up to $1.7M
yeah all of this costs a lot , that is why everything is expensive , we pay for all of it , including we our lives , but world is like the movie Platform , they dont care if they cant see it , and 99% are blind .
He called the Excalibur artillery round a grenade. I mean, he's a colonel for goodness sake. How can he confuse an artillery shell with a grenade?
@@saranjs3365 because in german an artillery shell is called "Artilleriegranate", Granate = grenade
Sorry. Accuracy of only 6% chance of kill/shot means firing 17 rounds may miss the target slight more than one out of three times, assuming the targeting of round is independent.
Invest in Rheinmetall and other military industrial companies, check out their stock price since 2022!
That sound of the Drone when it makes a fly by while you are on foot is stuff for nightmares. That whole situation... I feel sorry for the troops on both side, that don't want this war but are forced to fight and probably die.
As long as there are weapons, there will always be those who are forced to die. Apparently, the West does not understand such a thing as DEMILITARIZATION
Regardless of your politics, as an American -- I must commend your professionalism. Thank you for taking the time to articulate your knowledge in English.
Thank you for the non-biased information.
As a Canadian who was a junior officer in Combat Arms, I’m pleased that you show the reality of an the ground situation. Too many think actual fighting is a video game with simplistic solutions. Both the good and bad guys are equally capable of adapting.
No good or bad guys, just poor people following orders of corrupt politicians...
I thank Colonel Markus for this illuminating and fact-rich presentation of the situation and context.
I’ve been waiting to hear your update on the situation. Bummed it is only 16 minutes long! Your overviews are the best out there
No propaganda, pure analysis
Extremely refreshing. Unlike the institute of war at least in the first 2 years. Lie after lie etc.
Nah he is biased. He mentions Kursk and Vulhedar but does not say what a total disaster for Ukraine these are.
the more I think about it, the more I come to the conclusion that Ukraine probably would be better off without the Donbas. It could be a more consolidated state with a much clearer Ukrainian identity ... and Russia might be permanently destabilized by having the Donbas - all the militia worriors will for sure not revert back to be obidient citizens after a cease fire. They will cause constant problem for at least one generation to come.
"Kiev is mother of all Russian towns" - a 1000 years Slavic proverb
@@ekesandras1481 Donbass, LPR, and Zap combine for like 60% of Ukranian GDP historically. Blackrock is angry, they've been buying and bidding on Ukranian land, many of which now fall under Russian control. The worst part is the people of these regions have voting overwhelmingly, multiple times to join Russia. Freaking democracy I tell ya
Thank you for this clear, honest and straightforward outlook on the strategic situation and a more overall view than we can get anywhere else (on RUclips).
Thank you yet again!! By far my favorite analysis on the internet. Thank you for doing another fantastic video.
And the fact that he's lying to you has no bearing on you at all?
@@Sun-Tzu-- So you know better than a NATO colonel?
@@PosthumanProphet this Nato colenel is from a neutral country? And the only reason I know what's happening with the war is the military summery channel and the Duran and new atlas etc so not rocket science or me being clever.
thank you Colonel Reisner
Thank you for this excellent non biased analysis
Wow I haven't seen this guy in months
Boots dont polish themselves.
He is not here to push content to make money, he often takes long breaks to get more of a bird's eye view and analyse real trends, not the social media hype you see on Russian and Ukrainian cheerleading channels.
he's been waiting for good news... none coming tho. this is about as much positive spin he can paint on his ukr mates' disastrous strategic snafu since picking a fight w their nuclear armed neighbours and counting on the help of those who haven't won a war in 80 years, and only 'won' WW2 after the rest of the world blew itself apart for them as they safely sat (mostly) sheltered by 2 oceans. it was always gonna end in tears.
@@awannagannaful Do you think he is a youtuber, who was "waiting for good news"? I think maybe he has another day job, which may have kept him occupied. Maybe his day job has something to do with the military? ...
Also: What are you rambling about "it was always gonna end in tears"? you use the past thense, so you are talking about something in the past? Was has ended in tears? This war is still ongoing? Or do you mean the russian "special military operation", which indeed seems to have ended in tears. Considering that, it was indeed stupid of Putin, who has "picked a fight" as you put it - but I think you messed up: Ukraine does not have nuclear weapons. Where you are right is, that now Russia is counting on the help of North Korea, which has not won a war in 80 years indeed.
You certainly have a roundabout way of expressing yourself.
@@orange25ilol, i cant tell if ur being silly, clever or sarcastic, or you totally didnt understand. the ones who picked a fight were nato and ukr, putin aka russia just reacted. this is plain and simple the order of events and how history will look back. russia had half a million men in germany and poland 30 yrs ago. if nato ended up in the black sea its surely not bc of 'russian aggression'.
"Iran attacked Israel twice" is kind of half the story, the second half. Israel attacked Iran by assasinating the leader of Hamas in Tehran...then assasinating an Iranian ally in Beirut. Context please
Do we also talk about the thousands of proxy attacks on Israel and - via Yemen - the West?
So they didn't attack Iran. And didn't even start it.
"Iranian ally" also known terrorists. I don't like Israel but if you think hamas or hezbollah are some sort of resistance group then I think you need better education on them because these groups, nor the IRGC really cares about Palestine.
@@viktoriyaserebryakov2755 they started it with the Balfour declaration.
@@TheHaydena76 No.
Been a long time.
This video is what many waiting for
Interesting timeline:
- 2 years ago -> first video in English about the Ukraine-Russia conflict on this channel = 100% about Ukraine and only Ukrainen flags [Uninformed optimism phase]
- 1 year ago (roughly) -> Bakhmut has fallen -> no longer 100% only about Ukraine and Ukrainian flags ... [Informed pessimism phase]
- This video -> reality starts to kick in but not enough [The Valley of Despair phase]
- In one year, the reality will be so visible and difficult to hide [Informed Optimism phase]
- In two years (positive estimate) when this conflict is over or at the end of it -> the reality will be more than obvious and the fairytale will be long gone. [Achievement Phase]
When the war enters the room, liberty, freedom, truth, and love are jumping out through the windows and doors. Evil, hate, death, propaganda, and more enter the war room where they feel at home and in paradise.
P.S. So sad days for humanity. Stop the war!
Another russian shill, this time in the "peace loving" flavor. GTFO.
They are at the stage where they are starting to finger point. Blaming each other for ukrains failure. I think it will only grow worse and in the end as ukraine signs the treaty that ends the war, more vicious blaming will still occur. No it was you the Americans who denied them permission to strike into russia!, no it was you Europeans you didnt provide enough!, no it was the chinese!, no it was the iranians!, no it was the global south! they refused to sanction russia! lol
I personally cant wait to see the drama.
so about 1200 days, russia's 3 day special operation will be a success. after losing about 1 million men and billions of dollars lost in war efforts.
@@xero9885are you including all the injured/sick in this number as well?
Nie wiem czy jesteś odklejony czy zmanipulowany? Wojnę zaczął i może przerwać tylko Putin, to tak jakbyś poprosił kogoś kto cię systematycznie leje o pokojowe podejście do wspólnego życia. Gdyby na początku wojny wsparto Ukrainę, to wojna mogłaby się zakończyć, a ta się kończy gdy wściekły pies dostaje kopa w ryj i traci zęby. Zachód niestety doprowadził Ukrainę do obecnej sytuacji, obiecał Ukrainie bezpieczeństwo za oddanie broni jądrowej i gówno jej za to dał. Z tych co gwarantowali Ukrainie bezpieczeństwo, jeden ich napadł a reszta kapie pomoc, żeby nie zdechli i się nie poddali, ale na tyle mało, żeby nie mogli się odgryźć za mocno.
Those russian assault shovels and washing machines are amazing.
Do you even know where the shovel meme came from?
@@JohnDorian-j7x Since you put a question mark I will assume it's not a rhetorical question. It comes from a uk intel report that said Russians were not being equipped with guns and instead were given shovels.
not funny
@@sploster938 "I've unlocked the bi-pod for my shovel"
@@meegz149 wait what really? shovels? are they crazy?
Thank you so much for doing these! These presentations help people all around the world understand wtf is going on over there
Austria delivers. Thank you for the briefing, Colonel.
Austria provided 0 military support for Ukraine. So it delivers sh_t.
Austria would actually deliver if they joined the NATO and started contributing to the continental defense as every other country in Europe. It's easy to be neutral when you're protected on all sides by NATO allies.
@@enlightenedterrestrialwhy should austria fight someone else's fight?
@@enlightenedterrestrialyou're still looking for small countries to join your bloated corrupt money pit alliance despite calling yourselves the largest and military alliance in the world? You're a neocolonialist and imperialist without even knowing that's exactly what you are.
@@enlightenedterrestrialhow about u bug off with ur overhyped alliance that never did nothing
It took you 2 years to realize that? Are you an Estonian?
Estonians still thinks Ukraine are winning specially government😊
Yeh, I also kinda laughed at the title. Everyone's been calling this a war of attrition at least since the second half of 2022
3:26, I am just guessing as I was only a reservist soldier for a few years , but wouldn't the best way to counter drones be through ground based air defence like Flak units? Maybe multiple ZSU-23s or in the West's case re-using the M-163 in large numbers? Just a thought.
It's so funny that a slighlty more objective analysis seems like an absolute revelation for the Western audience. Ukraine is still winning, but now Russians have better shovels!
Thank you very much for another great video analysis. Small correction intended with utmost respect, 'feint" is the military term for a deceptive or distracting attack. Thanks again for your great work!
Fein
Colonel Markus Reisner and his repeated professional assessment of the relatively complex Russia-Ukraine situation is one of the most effective deterrence systems in the Austrian military.
If western countries gave Ukraine long-range missiles, then they are not "just" giving them the missiles. It's a whole ordeal of services around the module system provided by the donor nation needed for the missiles to be efficient at hitting their target.
If Russia gave the Houthis long-range missiles capable of hitting mainland USA and missiles started coming in, would USA (rightfully) blame Russia for it?
Considering that the Houthis would need Russian intelligence ro find a target and lock on to it, use Russian satellites, Russian launch codes and personnel/training to fire it....
Biden says there is nothing to worry about Russians and Putin is always bluffing. Accordingly we are more safe fighing Russians than to leave them alone.😂
@noone7692 Biden is right. Sad to see you can't understand it
That’s the reason why the US will not allow the Ukrainians to drag them into a war.
@@kadovax6567 "Biden is right" Sounds like a joke) Return to our reality and no longer ignore the medications that you have been prescribed.
@@kadovax6567about having hairy legs that turn gold in the sun?
I've been waiting for Colonel Markus Reisner to make another update video since the last one was uploaded. Please tell him I appreciate these updates very much, and to please update more often!
Dr Reisner seems like a totally honest and exceedingly qualified person, which is a refreshment in the propaganda war led by the media ignoramuses. Keep the good work and vielen Dank!
he looks like a young hitler 😍😍😍😍😍😍
Well done.
I wish an American outlet would produce the same quality of analysis.
FOX PRAVDA - Kremlin penetrated DEEP!
Americans have good or even better analysis as well.. they just don't share it on RUclips :) they simply hand it over to the Chief in Command
Always wait for these videos!!!
Thank you for this clear and concise, no-nonsens talk.
Always looking forward on your analysis. Every time you are objective and articulate. Keep up the good work!
Very funny slide at the end. It turns out that the worst weapons in this war are cheap commercial drones armed with grenades that can hit targets at a range of a few miles. And not the Russians' tenfold superiority in artillery, absolute superiority in aviation and tactical missiles, not to mention real military barrage munitions (like the Lancet) that can hit Ukrainian artillery and armored vehicles dozens of miles away from the operator.
Quiet, quiet... Don't give away all the secrets
What's not funny is that you don't get it. Reisner isn't supposed to talk about dead Ukrainian soldiers killed by FABs, artillery or whatever. No one in his right mind believes the number of 35.000 (Zelensky) or 80.000 (NYT) Ukrainian deaths...
@@HFDLIIt was especially interesting when Starlink was presented as an opportunity to use the Internet in hard-to-reach places. not for military purposes at all, yes, that’s true. spending billions of dollars just to make tiktok load better sounds convincing
I mean there's a reason why, despite all these advantages, Russia is still fighting in Donbas, 3 years into this war. Or do you think this has been a cakewalk? If so, feel free to go there and show the Russians how it's done.
@@adamhall5298if it was say Poland and not Ukraine, it would have been totally different, all gloves would be off. Russia considers Ukraine its historical land, as many of their cities were founded by Russian tsars and are inhabited by ethnic Russians. If you check the UN stats, only 12k Ukrainian civilians have died since Feb 2022, and over 500k soldiers. Compare that to over 400k dead Iraqi civilians and only 4550 US soldiers.. that ratio says everything. if Russia waged war the way Americans do, Ukraine would’ve been littered with civilian corpses.
Brilliant and objective analysis. Colonel Reisner is a gem of knowledge without passion or prejudice and shows an accurate picture of the war. Keep those analysis coming in this era of disinformation and propaganda from both sides.
An analysis of the fighting, taken out of the CONTEXT of the 10-year history of this conflict, is worthless
@@evgeniya7853 everybody who's interested in the Ukraine war knows that the Ukrainian government was bombing its own people since 2014, so relax
I am very appreciative of all the info you provide us, via RUclips!
This type of updates etc. so useful to the rest of us who also get fed a huge diet of misinformation from other sources.
Thank you so much to your team and everyone who helps put these on the internet for all of us to benefit from.
Please put out more, if you can. The world needs more of this stuff.
Thank you for sharing an honest and balanced analysis of the war.
this is the only good analysis on the war as far as I've found. everyone else is shilling for one side or for the other. it's a nuisance
Great analysis - neutral and impartial - rare these days!
Thank You for using English. Pozdrowienia z Polski
In the last picture, the colonel did not show how the shovels are being improved. For some reason, he was fixated on drones
Drones can be used as a delivery device for shovels.
They're using the chips from the washing machines to automate the shovels
I assumed drone was Austrian for shovel, silly me. Those shovels are hauling @55 tho
If drone turn upside down, than it can use as a shovel
@@reesestefer "austrian" they speak german
Thank you for the briefing Colonel
Bikes usage has nothing to do with attrition. It's distribution of resources strategy and speed to reduce impact of drones and arty.
They're cheap and fast. And the tactics are working
plus they are too light to detonate mined
cope
using bikes is absolutely a matter of attrition
@@beefstew6512 But they are kind of effective too for certain missions. They are light, fast, cheap, easy maintenance, small and do not detonate mines.
This s**t show could be avoided if there was no 2014 coup against Yanukovich.
There was no coup. He fled the country under military protection.
President Yanukovych's decision not to sign a political association and free trade agreement with EU caused the Maidan Revolution, which led to his ousting. If Putin would just let the people of Ukraine alone, none of this would of happened.
yeah, and if I did not betray my wife I would still be married.... There is no coming back after that.
The coup happened cause he lied to the people and switched up his policy. Ukraine voted for a western-aspiring nation and he promised that, until he didn't.
It wasn't a coup, no military or any other kind of forces were involved, Yanukovich escaped.
And this is fifth putin's war so far, but I'm sure that in his every invasion there's someone else who's to blame.
I find your analysis the most balanced, detailed information available. Well done and thankyou!
"Ukrainian using diffrent drones"
yeah, thats like 80% Chinese made drone and parts
best Ukraine success story is weapons made in China :v
Source or you made this up.
@@amunra5330 MILAN - Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said the country’s forces are leaning heavily on Chinese DJI drones in the defense of their country, a claim that the manufacturer has since declared was news to them.
The Oct. 8 statement made by Denys Shmyhal at the Kyiv International Economic Forum that Ukraine is effectively buying 60% of DJI’s global output of Mavic quadcopter drones.
Denys Shmyhal - is Ukraine Prime minister if you dont know. The statement is made in Kyiv International Economic Forum 2023
@@amunra5330 MILAN - Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said the country’s forces are leaning heavily on Chinese DJI drones in the defense of their country, a claim that the manufacturer has since declared was news to them.
The Oct. 8 statement made by Denys Shmyhal at the Kyiv International Economic Forum that Ukraine is effectively buying 60% of DJI’s global output of Mavic quadcopter drones
---
Denys Shmyhal is Ukraine Prime Minister
Also in case you dont know 90% of Drone spare part or wholesale in Market is MADE IN CHINA.
The Most "Moral" Army in the world. heavily use DJI Avata and Matrice - The Drone Strike agains Hamas leader recently ? you bet its DJI
@@amunra5330 You really need a source that China is the world's factory? Of course Ukraine doesn't have the fully local drone production facilities, they don't manufacture motors, electronics, remote viewers, batteries. The cheapest place they can get their drones is China, which is exactly where they are getting them
@@amunra5330 well, you are just blind. All these FPVs are garage-constructed. Hundreds thousands of them. Both sides use tens of thousands near identical Chinese-parts/local assembly drones. Though they may differ in exact parts, software, frame construction and other things.
Thank you Bashar Assad. Finally you make a good stuff.
Superb analyst. Fair and balanced.
History repeats itself and it rhythms
Totally agree, Russia is like Germany in 1939
@@koliarf he mean opposite
@@koliarf Amerik going full Ger 1939 elevated whit global projection/british colonial model (puppet regimes) world wide
I believe the quote is that "history DOESN't repeat it, but it OFTEN rhymes. Did you get your version from RT?
@@koliarf Russia interested in Ukraine and Belarus only, no any plans to conquer Europe, etc. Allusions for 1939 - it's result of propaganda
Babe, wake up
Why what’s going on?
i've been waiting for another of these videos for so long!!
This was less objective than the previous ones, given that recent developments are very favorable to Russia. The EU members, despite some having defense industry, lack capabilities, so nothing short of maximal US intervention can stop the accelerating Russian advance. Yet Col. Reisner stated that Ukraine can continue to pursue recapturing lost territories as long as it is supplied by the West. Official and pro-Russian sources suggest that Ukr losses in manpower are between five and eight times the Rus losses. Of course, this is something that pro-Ukr observers dismiss as propaganda. But I dare to say that there is no shortage of telltale signs indicating that the claimed ratio is, while not necessarily accurate, certainly more truthful than claims from the other side.
'Official and pro-Russian sources suggest that Ukr losses in manpower are between five and eight times the Rus losses'. Please, don't take us for morons.
I totally agree with you. He did not want to sound the alarm by avoiding to mention the colossal losses of Ukraine, the true importance of Vuhledar and the constantly lowering level of manpower available. Colonel Reisner did a much better job in the past, for example when he predicted on a "Bild" interview on March 7th, 2023 that holding Bakhmut at all costs would have retarded and compromised Ukraine's counteroffensive.
As far as losses goes, I have noticed a couple of things. While Mediazona/BBC are keeping track of about 75k Russian Forces killed, the same job done by for example Slavyangrad has found obituaries of 522k Ukrainians killed. When there are exchanges of bodies like the last one, Russian forced gave 501 corpses to Ukraine and received 89. Everybody is silent about Ukraine's casualties because Zelensky has an easy job to hide those losses...they do not conduct a census since 2001 and there almost 10 millions Ukrainians abroad. Shortly said they are the first not being able to know how many people they have. This way it is very easy to hide hundreds of thousands of casualties without no one noticing.
@@lukasfontana7589 Excellent observations. Figure from exchange of the deceased servicemen is particularly something that has escaped my attention (probably almost everyone's attention). I made a quick tally from reports that I could find. All were from this year and the totals were Ukr receiving 1481 dead against just 390 Russians. Mediazona figures are the best that are available and I'm fairly confident that Rus irretrievable casualties are around hundred thousand. The philosophy of lying in these matters is that one either tells the truth or makes up something totally fictional. I know which way it is when Zelensky starts talking about casualty figures.
@@lukasfontana7589522k? What are you smoking dude?
Great analysis Sir. I must say but I get confused when you say we with Ukraine. I was expecting a little more neutrality. lol
He's be never been neutral . But even his moderately biased briefings have still been far more insightful than the pure propaganda of the MSM.
My takeaway from today is that Ukraine is doomed.
Why would he not be with Ukraine dude
@@augustolobo2280 he is not ukrainian.
@@augustolobo2280ukrazani are not trend in 2024?
@@alispeed5095 You don't need to be ukranian to support ukraine lmao
Lovely unbiased overview - thanks.
Outstanding objectivity and quality of information. This is what we should be getting from the media. Congratulations to the Austrian Army and to Colonel Reisner for producing a report with such high standards.
The amount of idiocracy in the comment section is staggering.
this is because of the ukrainians
Well done Colonel Reisner, outstanding briefing.
Immer schön aus russischer Perspektive
Yes! you're right..
hum, was genau kritisieren sie jetzt?
Ukrainian strategic objectives are not achievable and their kursk offensive show just how detached from reality they are.
I think Elensky's "victory plan" and his "big speech" this week demonstrates a complete loss of reality.
Ukraine is still an independent state. I think that's their main strategic goal. Everything else is secondary.
@@adamhall5298 >I think that's their main strategic goal
And you're wrong. If anything, if survival of their state was a primary objective, they would've negotiated in 2022.
Ruzzia strategic objectives are not achievable and their offensive show just how detached from reality they are.
@@johndonaldson3619 Aside from pure copium, do you have anything? No? Typical.
Excellent presentation, as usual!
West did it again- the USA pays $3000 per 155 mm shell. In Europe, the price increased from about 2000 EUR to almost 8000 EUR per shell, Russia - 400 $ 😃😃😃😃
Love these vids, keep them coming 👍
This isn't a war of of attrition Colonel. Its a war that's over.
Is it, genius?
@@SavageHenry777 Yepperinos, big chief. Your boys have no chance.
Watched Colonel speech at one of Tink Tank events, typical western warmonger..
@natehicks8323 They didn't in March of 2022 either lol, your goalposts are always shifting, is it over or not?
The last Austrian who lost didnt admid it either, until the ceiling started speaking russian.
was waiting for this! thank you for the great content!
What do the Russian units that look like an infantry symbol (with an X) but have that additional vertical line in the center represent?
What is your perspective on the Ukrainians' attacks on, and bombings of, the Zaporizhia and Kursk nuclear power plants? Are these sane and ethical actions? What are the risks resulting from a likely nuclear meltdown? Wouldn't Europe be at risk of nuclear irradiation? Why haven't their Western allies stopped these attacks? Because they have supported the attacks they have become complicit not only in the initial actions but also in whatever extreme tragedies may result.
You mean like when Russia put some rubber-like combustible inside this otherwise bare cooling tower's base at Energodar plant, and put fire to it on August 11th, 2024? We could all see a big thick dark plume of smoke; inconsistent with Russian allegations about an Ukrainian attack on the cooling system...
Or do you mean like when Russia claimed that Ukraine attacked the Koursk plant with several drones, but without showing any picture of the damage nor of the drones debris?
Bot
He doesn't care, he's a tabletop warrior
Ask the elites ; they are collecting the profits. Like Viet Nam - another highly profitable.pointless slotter
@@fooleanperspective1426💩
Thank you Col.Reisner for the excellent presentation, as far as can be said in these 20 minutes,
the width and length of the front is large and there are many focal points. Greetings from Zagreb to Graz!
So the future is grim for us. Thank you for your efforts, Colonel. It is appreciated.
What the hell is half of these comments
orc bots
Moskaloids trying to mess with our heads
It is incredible to me that your English language videos don't have millions of views. You consistently produce the best videos on the conflict.
They are way too sophisticated how most of western viewers.
Warning from Russia )
It is called WAR! Keep your cuckoldism under control.