Why Gas Got So Expensive (It’s Not the War)
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- Опубликовано: 2 май 2022
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Writing by Sam Denby and Tristan Purdy
Editing by Alexander Williard
Animation led by Josh Sherrington
Sound by Graham Haerther
Thumbnail by Simon Buckmaster
References
[1] www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/dat...
[2] www.politifact.com/factchecks...
[3] www.iea.org/data-and-statisti...
[4] www.statista.com/statistics/1...
[5] www.statista.com/statistics/5...
[6] www.statista.com/statistics/5...
[7] www.statista.com/statistics/1...
[8] www.rystadenergy.com/newseven...
[9] www.theatlantic.com/science/a...
[10] novelinvestor.com/sector-perf...
[11] www.statista.com/statistics/5...
[12] finance.yahoo.com/news/the-re...
[13] The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World - Daniel Yergin
Select footage courtesy Getty and AP; Select imagery courtesy Geolayers; Select music courtesy Epidemic sound
Sad Story. I hear when the price of oil went negative, Chevron had to lay off a couple of their congressmen
ooh, gottem
Hoser?? Wtf hi
Sick burn! Also, sadly too true.
Joke all you want now we got you by the balls. Those who are educated and saw this coming are laughing all the way to the bank baby 🚀🚀🚀
To the bank? You work for politicians?
As a young pilot training for a career in the airlines, I find this a bit scary. There are no good alternatives to kerosene for large aircraft. Hydrogen may become a possibility, but it’s at least 10 years out. Higher fuel prices probably means less demand for flights and fewer jobs for pilots. Not necessarily a bad thing for the environment, just potentially a bad thing for me.
it seems like the aviation industry is developing too slowly, to think aircraft like concord were previously viable and now aren't anymore it wouldn't be a big surprise to see more planes being taken out of service as it becomes harder and harder to turn a profit, basically all 4 engined aircraft are on the way out now as well and have been for many years
Nah, fuel costs don't make up nearly as much as one thinks on flights. For example a 747, which is one of the most fuel hungry planes today, can burn a gallon a second but you're also moving over 400 passengers. So 3,600 gallons per hour, divided by 400 passengers is 9 gallons per passenger per hour. So for a six hour transatlantic flight you're talking about $50 extra per passenger for every dollar of fuel increase. Notable, but certainly not a dealbreaker for a trip to Paris.
For a standard 737, the numbers are even better. 750 gallons per hour and 150 or so passengers. So 5 gallons per hour per passenger, or $15 per dollar increase of fuel costs for a three hour flight.
I think it was Wendover who did a video on electric planes that you might want to check out, was interesting.
formic acid with high efficiency cells and also some wonder-motors would prolly work
Most hydrogen is derived from petroleum.
@@thomashazell1003 Natural gas is base stock, not so much liquid petroleum
Here in North Dakota the news has been full of stories of how the drillers are ready to go, drill more wells and increase production, but they can't get the employees. When the boom crashed, the workers moved on and aren't willing to come back without significant incentives, mainly involving job security which the drilling companies are unwilling to offer given the boom and bust nature of the industry.
Why don't red-blooded Americans want to work without job security? Come on, wimps! It's really fun to never know if your next paycheck will be your last! Don't they realize that owners and executives have to secure their future first, and they don't have to care about the worker's future? Don't ask for better treatment. Don't demand more! Take the scraps they give you and say thank you!
I know a lot of it has to do with an industry that is largely subsidized. If they raise the price and reduce the supply, they think they can squeeze the government to subsidize the cost.
USA is no longer a democracy, it is an oligarchy owned by the corporations.
That makes sense
What I heard from some workers who went to work in North Dakota, the promise of making a lot more money, got blindsided by the towns they worked in who jacked up their rental prices, food & entertainment etc that it ate away at any profit for them. I was told it turned out with the grueling work and work hours, they ended up making less and were not treated good by their employers who were the ones raking in the profits. Many of these workers left their families back home. This is the REAL reason they didn’t want to return
Same as is happening to restaurants at the moment.
Inflation is far more harmful to individuals than a collapsing stock or property market because it directly affects people's cost of living, which they immediately feel. It is not surprising that the current market sentiment is extremely pessimistic. In today's economy, assistance is critical if we are to survive.
Inflation isn’t rising cost that’s the effect of inflation but they won’t tell u what causes the rising cost exactly because it exposes the system that they designed like this on purpose inflation is an expansion in money supply
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@@alexsteven.m6414 My advisor "Julia ann finnicum", is a highly respected financial consultant in the industry. For further information or to connect with her, a simple online search with her name will suffice. I wish you every success in your endeavors
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While waiting in line for gas in 1973 I told everyone the age of cheap fuel is over . The market made a fool of me so many times.
So we had many times where oil got back to $1.50 to $2.50/barrel, this was a thing. It was in 1970 that the era ended, as US production peaked, and with it the era of $50/barrel, gasoline consistently above $1.50/gallon.
I remember it well,. Even my Dad - a die-hard American car fan - bought a Subaru!
you weren't wrong.
@@donreid6399 I bought a 40mpg Lincoln mkz. You can get the Ford variant which is cheaper with the same mpg
@@ZRodTW Zach, you me all life is carbon . When a leaf settles to the bottom of the ocean the carbon is lost . That is why nature evolved a monkey that can drill for oil and bring the carbon back up .this planet has been much hotter Been much colder and life goes on.
5.5 billion is not exactly "stratospheric" for a project of that magnitude. The Alaska Oil Pipeline System cost over 8 billion to build. And requires constant monitoring and maintenance.
NS2 over 11 bilion.
It's relative, that's the point of the video. Nobody's investing 5,5 billion right now, let alone 8 billion, because while it might not have been "stratospheric" before, it is now. The name of the game is to make do with what infrastructure you have, and milk it for all it's worth.
Bro Elon payed 44 billion for twitter....twitter... 5 billion and 8 billion for oil pipeline is nothing
Canada bought the TMX pipeline (1150 km) and the cost to install a new pipe along the existing right-of-way has ballooned from an estimated $7.4B up to $21 Billion CAD (more then $16B USD).
@Camping Comrade You did not watch the video you're commenting on I presume? Politics has almost no influence on oil prices.
This makes a lot more sense statistically isntead of just saying " oh its the wars fault"
Very informative 👏 👍
Biden says otherwise "The gas price increase is caused by the Ukraine war" but as we know, it has nothing to do with it. lmao
@@BillAnt yeah...
Its easier to blame the war than the corporate monopolies in petroleum that pay hefty donations to them to keep things as they want through lobbying.
😕
Feels like the war is just excuse to keep the oil price high
Or people who say oh yeah US president. For as powerful as whatever President may be, there's many things a president can't control and this is one of them
@@isaacmillen8789 Sure it is.
It's not like they killed all US oil production and turned off the pipelines.
*oh wait*
It's hard to predict the future until we see this month’s inflation results. However, historical data consistently show that stocks tend to outperform bonds in the long term. Therefore, I'm staying in the market and focusing on selecting high-quality stocks. The challenge lies in identifying these stocks.
My portfolio has been underperforming recently, and I'm considering a tactics change with the help of a coach. Is it possible to get in touch with your coach?
Bot spam
Smart !!! Same here.
One thing to note: there's always been "fracking" (short for "fracturing") in the oil industry, long before shale oil was possible. It's just back then they used explosives (often nitroglycerin) instead of water. It would be more correct to use "hydrofracking" when talking about shale oil.
I know it's a minor point, but saying that fracking was what made shale oil extraction possible is a bit misleading. Fracking makes all oil extraction possible, it's just hydrofracking that works on shale.
I would like to add to this, 15mins in it shows a drilling rig, but then talks about how cheap it is to build a "fracking rig". There is no such thing as a fracking rig in the same sense on what a drilling rig is. Rather the entire frack setup consists to few-dozens of large disiel/natural gas engines driving large pumps, connected to a tractor/trailer, aswell as other units such as blenders and chem units to mix the water, chemical, sand mixtures together, before being pumped down pre existing piping down hole placed by drilling and service rigs.
My haters throw rocks at me and IT hurts. I hope they don't throw The Rock at me because I like him as an actor. GAGAGAGAGA!!! I am funny!!! I am the funniest RUclipsr EVAH! Please agree, dear qdam
@@AxxLAfriku haha
I guess to be snobby Well Perforation vs Hydraulic Fracturing?
Also if anyone is interested SERIOUSLY read up on the Wikipedia pages/categories, and “Petrowiki” which as of now has way more information.
Even though the people running the industry’s top are horrible, the tech behind it and all the people operating it are really interesting.
"Wait, the gas crisis wasn't because of the war?"
"Never was."
As a wise American politican once said... *NANOMACHINE JACK*
So did Corn Pop raise the price?
I'm pretty sure the war is only a factor of it. I don't live in America where the gas were already high it's just that the rising prices here coincided with the war
Politicians are experts at “deflect and blame”.
@@sanangelo7926 it would make sense he did say Corn Pop was a bad dude.
This is one of the most important videos you've made I think. So much disinformation about oil prices going around, and lots of it getting picked up by mainstream media.
🤣 you say mainstream media like there's ANY alternative 🤣
@@garymartinez2812 Wendover isn't mainstream media lmao, you're literally watching it.
Dumb video. Oil is up along with everything else because central banks around the world monetized tens of trillions in in deficit spending to purchase their own govt debt. Where do you think the $7 trillion came from for the Fed to buy that amount in new Treasury issuance?
@@firepower01 Please in what way is this channel not mainstream. What do they do or say that's so different from other channels. What is so thought provoking. This looks to be very safe in many ways. If this is your idea of non- mainstream 🙄wow ok 🤣
@@garymartinez2812 wendover is nowhere near mainstream like fox news or cnn. Use your brain
Good video but you missed a few key points. As you mentioned during the shale boom in the early 2010's companies were drilling for market share. The strategy was production growth. They would spend as much money as possible to acquire land leases and drill wells. The problem with that was shale wells have an extremely high decline rates. They may start off at say 1,200 bbls/day but after a few months are only producing at a couple of 100 bbls/day and after a year they produce at 50-100 bbls/day. When the price dropped due to the oversupply of the market caused by this flood of shale oil the companies could not pay back their loans. They did not simply decide to stop drilling, many went bankrupt or were purchased by larger companies. The reason the remaining companies are not picking up rigs and drilling more shale wells now when prices are high are 1) to grow production by drilling high decline rate wells you need to continuously drill more wells each year than the year before, this is a huge capital expense which will not produce an ROI, will flood the market, and cause the price to drop which will exasperate the problem. 2) Banks are not interested in lending money to producers who would do this again, as I said a lot of oil companies went bankrupt and a lot of banks lost a lot of money during the shale boom 3) Banks have a lot of social pressure to not invest in Oil companies so the money is simply not there to invest. Which leads me to the most important point which was missing from your video. You did not speak of conventional oil plays that do not have high decline rates, rather they produce tens of thousands of bbls of oil per day for 10-20 years. These are the plays that will increase supply and decrease oil/gas prices for the world. Since 2015 there has been a huge shortfall in investment in these projects which take 5-10 years to discover, develop and produce along with billions of dollars of investment. Banks were burned in the shale boom and along with the social/political pressure to shun oil & gas money was not allocated to this type of investment. Now that prices are high maybe we will see some more investment. Though at best this would take 5 years to see results as these large conventional plays are found in deep water environments that require many years of planning and engineering work. At worst this investment will not take place due to the fact that politicians across the world are saying they want to abolish fossil fuels. And who would invest billions of dollars knowing they could have their pipelines, leases or permits pulled at any time?
The politicians and bankers can be the first to starve.
A very good and accurate depiction of the oil situation.
look what happened to keystone.
"Three decades ago"
"End of august, 1991"
Ah... right. 3 decades ago doesn't mean the 70s anymore
Oh fuckin tell me about it. Lol
Oof glad I'm not the only one still calculating decades from 2000.
I see you too were born in the 80s.
Will never get used to this
Damn.. thats really bothering me
19:00 you summarise the situation perfectly. Turning profits now via scarcity and encouraging the switching to cheap (by comparison) renewables is the strategy. The funny part is, many of the Oil & Gas companies are now investigating in renewables as well. They are playing both sides.
Which is honestly exactly what needed to happen to change the tides in energy land.
They make non-renewables expensive and unattractive to companies and consumers. They make incredible amounts of money now so they can invest it all into the renewable sector in order to avoid missing out.
That influx of money and innovation is exactly what the renewable sector needs to grow quickly enough.
It sucks for the consumer right now, but we're literally the generation that's paying for a more environmental friendly future as we speak.
I still massively dislike the massive oil and energy companies, but they've unwillingly become one of the most powerful tools to save this planet. Who'd have thought that ten years ago.
@@paulelderson934 true never though of this this way. But that’s really a interesting point to consider. Thanks🅿️
Investing in renewables also makes sure oil industry doesn't die.
Solar can't provide electricity at night.
Wind doesn't flow 24/7
there's always scarcity of renewables.
There's no good enough storage technology for large quantity of energy.
And even if we lay down solar panels in evey inch of the planet, it's not enough to replace oil.
Oil industry definitely supports renewables because renewables are stupid.
Nuclear on the other hand is actively being opposed by them. Figure out why...
I'm gonna summarize the situation in an obtuse metaphor because I feel like it
They're going to milk the cows until the last drop of profitable milk comes out. They know the milk can't flow forever, but they already bought the fancy milking equipment, and shoot, they even have un-tapped leases for more cows.
To guarantee they'll keep getting profitable milk for as long as possible, they'll use any trick in the book; playing into inevitable scarcity, political lobbying, mass-media campaigning. For the far-right milk lovers, they'll claim the government is trying to stop them from milking the cow, even though the government doesn't really care either way.
All the while, they're also quietly investing in the almond orchard, lol.
@@paulelderson934 they found their win win scenario . Dam they're unbeatable lol
I always wanted to know how gas prices worked in detail (I even worked in a gas station the summer before starting my master's but I had a pretty limited understanding of how the prices worked lol). This video helped me a lot.
Love your videos, they are super informative and interesting. Keep it up, guys!!
As I write, it is mid August 2022, and I'm in Austin, TX for what it is worth. The price of gas is all over the place. On north Lamar, the Valero is selling at $3.23/gallon for regular 87 grade gas, while 1.5 miles away, the 7-11 gas station is selling the same gas for $4.45. Most places are about $3.60, but there is huge variance. And it isn't because of a sudden change in supply or demand, these huge variances have existed for many weeks. Something screwy is going on.
$3.23/gallon, really? That’s like the record for the lowest price in Hungary where I live. Gas here costs $7.60/gallon with the salaries here about fifth of what people in the us get.
@@justaguy9224 probably because of living costs and we rely on cars a ton vs. Europe
This is why I refuse to get gas at shell. Shell station by my house is $3.59 while the exxon across the street is $3.07
Lol my family deliberately stops at different stations on their way into the major cities in Kentucky because certain ones are selling for cheaper
My commute to work is just under 65 miles one way, I pay $26/month for hydro for my car. I’m 2 years of driving I have almost completely made up the difference in cost vs my old vehicle. But I’m lucky enough to be able to plug in at home, I don’t need a large charger (I use a regular 20 amp plug in the garage)
Best decision I made was dumping a large SUV for a car and going electric.
I was really looking forward to the insane logistics of bricks
The meme is dead, let it rest in peace.
No, don't let the flame die out!
The incredible logistics of getting myself out of bed in the morning
As mundane as that sounds, the material process of making bricks would be a pretty fascinating video if it’s very in depth
Sir, this is Wendover Productions. To be on brand, it has to be a video on the insane logistics of air shipping bricks.
Every time you say cheap or expensive, I have to mentally check myself and be reminded we're talking in Oil company terms here.
These guys could buy and sell my whole island nation on a weekend whim.
Remind yourself, you ain't working for 5 cents an hour...either.
Sri Lanka?
IT'S a proper time to americans get the old bicycle running again. burn off the ugly fat and to help save the environment. inflation is a life saving experience. god bless biden for this.
food is expensive? hey you were smart enough to save enough energy when food was cheap. all you have to do is shut the mouth and let your love handles feed your body for a year. you will be able to save even more money than previous the inflation. you will be more active cause will have more time left by not being chewing something all the time or going to bathroom. the river won't receive as much human waste. think positively inflation is great.
"they" are providing a VERY material amount of energy used in the pursuit of frankly insane levels of standard of living. clearly the comparative to the contribution of your Island nation is silly.
Great video. I've been in and around the industry for just over a decade and I can almost pinpoint the day prices turned up or down. For example, on Thanksgiving Day 2014 (in the US) OPEC held their semiannual meeting where they decided not to cut production which started a long, steady slide in prices.
I love your videos, so informative and produced so eloquently with the graphics and your expansive use of the English language. Love it all.
Not just Azerbaijan, another big Caspian natural gas country is Turkmenistan. Turkmenistan is so rich in natural gas, that for a long period of time, gas, electricity, and water were all free of charge. They also used that wealth from all the natural gas to build tons of marble structures in the capital city Ashgabat (they actually have a Guinness World Record for it). Under late leader Saparmurat Niyazov aka Turkmenbashi, he built a marble monument honoring the country's neutrality with a spinning golden statue of him at the top. It spun so that it would always be facing the Sun, symbolizing that his era was the golden era. Like Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan has pipelines connecting its natural gas to neighboring countries like the Trans-Afghan pipeline connecting Turkmenistan through Afghanistan and Pakistan to India and the Central Asia-China pipeline connecting Turkmenistan to Xinjiang (they also have pipelines to Iran). As part of the pipeline from Baku through Turkey at 6:00, a subsea pipeline has been proposed to connect Azerbaijan to Turkmenistan. Because of the natural gas, Western leaders aren't so keen on criticizing the Turkmen and Azerbaijani leaders when compared to criticizing me. Why? Because we're not rich in the specific resources (oil) they want
Back in the 70s when the country was still a Soviet republic, the Soviets were drilling in the northern portion of the country looking for an oil field. When they found a natural gas pocket, the drill suddenly collapsed into a crater. Because of the concern of poisonous gases being released, they decided to set it on fire....that fire is still burning to this day. And the problem of poisonous gases being released is still an issue, thus in addition to saving the environment it's been decided to seal the crater. As cool as the crater nicknamed the Door to Hell is, it's not so cool when you have health issues because of it like the locals
Thanks, Kim Jong-Un.
Very cool, supreme leader.
LOVE YOU, best Leader ever.
As expected of a global leader, you are very well informed.
And here, most politicians make themselves into weather vanes. Pointing wherever the wind blows. ♥
I don't understand claims of "The End of Oil" when there's so many products besides fuels that are wholly or partially made from petroleum.
@BeamerMT1979 Right but We dover specifically said "the end of oil", they didn't specify "big"
Thing is Oil as a whole is on the way out. Synthetic oils are becoming more popular, plastics are evolving, (like biodegradable plastic techs) and entire industries are changing.
Will it happen overnight? No. But when 80% of what oil does vanishes, producers will look for alternatives that are cheaper. Eventually extraction's gonna become more expensive than whatever remaining legs oil has.
It is a very slow death, oil is being replaced not just because of pollution, good in itself, but also geopolitics. If the US/West wants to contribute to lower oil prices to win elections, we should fill our reserves from our own state owned oil production company which should pay for itself, like a tiny OPEC.
@@gardianx5293 This is the key. We can substitute, enhance and recover a bunch of those petrochemicals. As the tech improves the downward trend happens even there.
Oil is a refined product off petroleum. Plastics are also a refined product of petroleum; therefore, "End of Oil" is not the same as "End of Petroleum."
such an excellent analysis...thanks so much!
Remember when oil was $200 a barrel and gas still wasn't $5 a gallon . Now we get $5 gas when oil is $100 a barrel. Some serious price gouging.
That's idiotic. His isn't price gouge it's because trump ruined the economy
It’s not price gouging it’s supply and demand. Look at what has happened to refining capacity since 2020 and you’ll begin to understand. People have complained of profiteering in every inflation crisis. It’s a reductive position. Historically, the opposing position has been that labor unions are to blame for inflation. Of course, these days we don’t really have much to support that narrative. Both are wrong.
And nobody ever believed that the gas prices are Putin's fault. Voters just aren't that dumb !!
@@baxoutthebox5682 Refinement issies and govt discouragement of petroleum investments carry the blame here.
@@feedyourmind6713 Gas companies are making plenty of $
Refining is really an important part of the price. Here in Brazil we pay too much for gas even though the country is a big oil producer, because we don't have a big refining capacity.
The US and other countries have intentionally kept this kind of tech out of many countries. So that they can’t become totally self sufficient.
Doesnt brazil have a market of E100 cars that run on ethanol? Isnt that way cheaper?
@@theguy9208 mate ethanol could be the most expensive of commodities depending on which bottle it is packed in.
that kind of price always tends to rub of on even stuff that's used as fuel
Same with the Southeast in the US gas here in Florida is still $4 becuase of all the reginies around the Gulf of Mexico.
@@theguy9208 price per liter is a bit lower but since it's less energy dense it becomes a bit more expensive to run in most of the country. Besides, with the massive fleet of flex fuel cars in the planet, capable of burning both gasoline and ethanol, the price of either will float alongside.
When oil crashed to $0 and held at $20, plenty of analysts said, this will be the reason why oil will hit $100. Since nobody will be exploring for more oil, and many people will be shutting their taps for good, when the demand returns, the market won't be ready, hence the price hike today
@@criticalevent maybe you should look at the dates of certain events and not look for a politician to blame.
@@criticalevent oh my bad. figured you were one of "those people" who blame politicians for gas prices.
Ok, you are a faithful Hillary supporter. I respect you for that.
Exactly that happend analysts were right. Some riggs in the US closed for good.
In the oil market the solution for low prices are low prices and the solution to high prices are high prices. Investment typically lags price though which is what you're seeing now.
This video is very laudable; An excellent dish of informative gravy.
Can you do an equivilent video to this on the reasons for the increase in electricity prices too please?
Probably because many power plants use fuels like natural gas, so when the fuel is more expensive the prices for electricity increase too.
@@Jesus_Christ_loves_you_alot doesnt hold up entierly, even in sweden where we dont use any fuel for power, the price has increased a lot. i guess its because the global marketprice has gone up, and greedy companies can justify their raised prices by pointing at other countries
@kitsunekaze93 This artificial scarcity strategy is happening everywhere. Any business that is able to get by with the smaller staff the pandemic created for them is tightening hiring to milk the maximum profits from the huge difference in demand vs. supply that's happening now. That's naturally causing prices to balloon in every sector. I'd be willing to bet artificial scarcity is the primary driver of inflation right now.
Luckily the Hay prices remained the same so I can freely get around the city with my Mustang Horse
The hay prices r up also alot
No they haven't city boy. They're up between $40-$80 nationwide. ; )
You must not understand where the fertilizer for hay comes from.
You better stock your apartment with hay now. Prices rose last year and the cost of fertilizer more than tripled this year.
Lol
Oil is used for a lot more than fuel. We have heard about peak oil for 40 years now. There are no other sources for basic petrochemicals that go into every consumer product and agricultural product.
Both things are true, but not really related to each other. "Peak oil" keeps getting bandied about by the panic-mongers.. sometimes based on valid concerns but usually not.
Back in the 1970s we didn't really have the tech to even know what oil was out there. We knew the stuff we could get with the tech of the time, and we knew there was _some_ stuff we could get later but at great cost. "Peak oil" essentially amounted to the transition period between "easy to get" and "hard to get" oil, among the reserves we knew about.
But.. tech keeps improving. Some of that "hard to get" oil became easier to get, but that wasn't the biggest reversal of peak oil. The biggest reversal was finding new ways to identify oil fields. Suddenly we were finding oil all over the goddamn place. The shale in the US, the tar sands in Alberta, countless offshore basins under practically every decent sized body of water we can find.
At our projected rate of consumption - before the modern climate concerns and the push to reduce fossil fuel use - the estimate was something like 200+ years worth of known, accessible reserves. It wasn't all as cheap as the WTI and Saudi production we've gotten addicted to, but it also isn't anywhere close to the "hard to get" worries of the 1970s - and there is still "hard to get" stuff out there as well on top of the 200+ years worth of cheap oil.
There's a reason we rarely hear about "peak oil" anymore, and haven't for a long time. Its just not a concern at this point. And getting less and less of a concern by the year as we look toward transitioning away from oil (.. not that we've really done that yet, but its not a concern either way - we either stop using it voluntarily, or we stop using it by having massive global catastrophe and the human population shrinks to probably 10-20% of its current size due to famines and plagues generated by climate change, and the near-certain wars generated when people attempt to flee the worst-hit areas and anti-immigration sentiment ramps up to levels we can't even imagine even after seeing Trump's rhetoric and policies).
All the more reason not to burn up oil just to drive from one place to another. Rather use it in products than one time burn and use.
@@altrag Trump is anti illegal inmigration, not inmigration...
@@altrag you can ramble on all you want about peak oil "panic", but it is self evident the supply of oil is not infinite, regardless of your attempt to pretend otherwise.
This video is about peak oil investment. They will stay under demand to keep prices high, so while nobody's stopping pumping it up, it will simply add to inflation as we are seeing now.
so they were so scared by negative oil prices that they want to keep a stranglehold on supply until they are out of business? this supposes an active "they" to coordinate supply does it not?
That 'they' is mainly OPEC
Just discovered you. FANTASTIC. Subscribed. Keep it up.
This world is rapidly passing away and I hope that you repent and take time to change before all out disaster occurs! Belief in messiah alone is not enough to grant you salvation - Matthew 7:21-23, John 3:3, John 3:36 (ESV is the best translation for John 3:36) if you believed in Messiah you would be following His commands as best as you could. If you are not a follower of Messiah I would highly recommend becoming one. Call on the name of Jesus and pray for Him to intervene in your life - Revelation 3:20.
Contemplate how the Roman Empire fulfilled the role of the beast from the sea in Revelation 13. Revelation 17 confirms that it is in fact Rome. From this we can conclude that A) Jesus is the Son of God and can predict the future or make it happen, B) The world leaders/nations/governments etc have been conspiring together for the last 3000+ years going back to Babylon and before, C) History as we know it is fake. You don't really need to speculate once you start a relationship with God.
Can't get a response from God? Fasting can help increase your perception and prayer can help initiate events. God will ignore you if your prayer does not align with His purpose (James 4:3) or if you are approaching Him when "unclean" (Isaiah 1:15, Isaiah 59:2, Micah 3:4). Stop eating food sacrificed to idols (McDonald's, Wendy's etc) stop glorifying yourself on social media or making other images of yourself (Second Commandment), stop gossiping about other people, stop watching obscene content etc. Have a blessed day!
@@FreightmareFTW WTF, gal?
I think there may be a misrepresentation of the wells with fracking. The companies may have permits for the wells but with the advances in fracking technology you can use one wellhead and bore out in multiple directions both horizontally and vertically making multiple wellheads redundant.
You are describing the microeconomic reason of why there are less wells and somewhat lesser investment in fracking recently. I would say that having this technology to drill horizontally also has costs that not all producers would want to shoulder, or are not geologically able to support. (Case-by-case basis)
This video is addressing the macroeconomic reasons of lesser investments. Not really a misrepresentation when you consider the above.
Sort of like an anteater tongue blasting a singular anthole
Also making the reason they need more access in national parks null and void. You don't need to be above it to drill it
Companies always do what makes them more money, weather redundant or not...
And if it saves money to use older technology, they'll do it
Thanks Joe Biden
This was a pretty good analysis and history of oil volatility, but I'd be cautious about the final conclusion and more than cautious about prediction drawn from that conclusion. Two factors not mentioned in this video or anywhere I've seen in the comment section are:
1. The oil industry, like everyone else, has been affected by general supply chain issues and inflation, which has driven up the price of tapping new wells. Effectively this makes supply expansion at the moment more costly than it otherwise would be.
2. Oil companies also took on a ton of debt in the last two years, so increasing profits to both pay that down and pay shareholders is a higher priority for them at the moment, rather than expansion.
Neither of those factors are small, and they both point to the current situation being a temporary recovery from the pandemic. I'm not saying this video is wrong and we will definitely go back to the old way, but trying to predict the future of the oil market is risky business. Nobody knows what's going to happen, and the incentives guiding today's market can change in unexpected ways tomorrow.
I would also like to chime in and say that the author's conclusion is entirely misplaced. The world watched as demand evaporated in an instant not because of renewables or anything tangible, but because of governments launching mass lockdowns for no legitimate reason, and destroyed hundreds of billions of dollars of value, demand, and production in a matter of a couple weeks. It's not something anyone in the industry can reasonably prepare for, and this being a possibility that was entirely unprecedented has made everyone even more risk averse than they already were.
I keep seeing reports that oil companies having having record profits. They get no sympathy from me.
@@tommymaddox6785 Government launched lock down for no legitimate reason? Just about all nations did a lock down, it was a pandemic. People died. I lost my mom, uncle, and 2 friends. I whole heartily wish it was you instead of them.
CaseNumber is based af, the world literally lost millions over this pandemic and it could've been worse if not by the first "drastic" actions. A couple billions are nothing compared to the money the world has to fix our issues.
@@CaseNumber00 Well while I appreciate your sentiment, rest assured I'm healthier than ever. I would like to ask you to think about what you just said, and get those neurons firing a bit.
Governments destroyed the lives and livelihoods of millions, wrecked economies and futures, set back generations of education and development, and the 4 people you listed still passed away. It will take some time, but the handling of the last few years will go down in history as one of the biggest fuckups in human history, next to the development and use of atomic weapons.
Nebula is pretty awesome. Only reason I'm not signing up is that I wouldn't really use it right now, but as soon as I have some extra money to throw around, this is probably the subscription service I'm most interested in.
Awesome video and very informative. Thank u!!!
One interesting thing i have head is that some of the big oil companies in Houston have been buying up leases and old depleted wells off the Houston coast, like 20-30 miles offshore. Most likely not to drill again, but to use the already in place pipelines and pump CO2 back in to the ground from the refiners and power plants in that area, Im sure in the coming years there will be a higher CO2 tax that will be in place and incentives companies to do this.
Oh gosh. Pumping co2 into the ground is such a stupid idea. All it takes is one earthquake or someone digging into said area some time in the future and boop, all that co2 goes back into the atmosphere. 🤣🤣
@@Napsteraspx the gulf is rather stable geologically and there isnt much reason to dig there in the future
Reducing CO2 is now a pipe dream as oil supply is declining and other alternatives require high capital which is declining bc of an aging population
So we took it out
And we're gonna put it back
To probably later take it out again
@@Napsteraspx It's a huge concern that a toxic gas pocket could rupture and suffocate half a continent.
At the end of the day regardless of whether renewables reach 100% market share, we still need oil and gas.
Why? Science. Plastic. Electronics etc. Oil will transition from a source of power to a resource like iron, steel, etc.
The new helium. Also something that is better used in science than for baloons.
That's why you don't' want it used for transport.
Rainbows and unicorn farts don't make plastic, rubber, fertilizer, or asphalt.
@@afg45 Gasoline is a byproduct of crude oil refinement. You arent magically transforming gasoline usage into plastics and asphalt. You are going to get gasoline no matter what.
@@nuddin99 and still a better idea to not use it if we can avoid it. I'm sure we will find some less polluting use for it while we slowly get rid of oil entirely, we humans seem to be pretty good at that if we just let ourselves be
I think a huge element of oil companies not wanting to expand is that they're worried they'll be regulated into their own grave like the coal industry was. Everyone is all about "green" energy and that's where all the big government money seems to be heading.
If by "regulated" you mean required to pay for their cost to the country, then let's hope so! In the meantime, gas is obviously very cheap right now, at least in the US, because they're clogged with gas guzzling SUVs and pickup trucks. I say let's add a $5/gallon tax to pay for the environmental costs and reduce the deficit. That should get prices to a more reasonable level.
Green energy is the way of the future. Now if the world govts would have just chosen nuclear energy 40-50 years to power the grid I think we would be in a better position to fight climate change if you believe in that sort of thing. But here we are still squabbling over wind, solar, and batteries. I find it very hard to buy into CC when clearly the best option is right there still on table.
@@therealctoo4183 ok, Californian
@@sskspartan LOL! I was in California once, about 40 years ago. I'll bet you're one of the people who are literally driving up gas prices, and then trying to blame a politician for your own mistakes! I'd tax you double.
Well said.
Very well said.
Unregulated oil production and nuclear energy are the correct answers for our near future.
Thanks for this very informative video!
I’m an oilfield worker here in West Texas and I’m not gonna lie, it makes my day hearing Wendover mention WTI and the Permian lol
Midland?
so every word ure speaking is a lie unless u say 'not gonna lie'? means u always lie? fucking retarded statement
Everyone forgets about west TX until they need gas.
its so crazy to me that such a large portion of gas production comes from west texas yet it's so hard to find gas stations there. like they'll be 70+ miles away from each other
Imagine being a former employee at the small Valero Wilmington Refinery that he mentioned...
One alternate interpretation of the same data: over the last 3-5 years, there have been massive increases in commitments on climate change such as the gasoline car sale bans by 2030. This could change how willing they are to invest based upon 20 year outlays....
However, there will still be billions of ICE cars on the road, so its not like the BEV will complete replace the demand, immediately. Also diesel, aviation and marine fuel cannot transtion to EV. So its a matter of "big oil" needing to keep its pocket lined for the foreseeable future.
@@NoodlesExtraMSG Yes, but it will be oversupply glut again, and the same market forces which pussed oil to 100+ will crater it to 20-30.
This is very much a big thing. Companies are worried about stranded assets. Also, this isnt just a government thing. Electric cars are basically at the level of ICE cars, but diesel demand will be strong for quite some time.
I work in oil and gas and the political nonsense people blame for the price is so silly.
@@letsburn00 did you know that 90% of electricity for electric vehicles comes from power plants burning coal. So all the emissions still exist but just before you turn on the engine, not very green to me
@@grantwetzel1660 Id recommend you look into your sources a little more. It depends on where you are located since different states and countries have different access to renewable energy sources. Now, all 1st world countries that have EV's do not have 90% of their electricity coming from coal plants. Coal only accounts for ~22% of the US electrical supply (Eia.gov).
this is another great vid, thanks!
correct me if i'm wrong, but hasnt the shell group officially announced to switch to renewables and not expanding their oil extraction capabilities around 2017 (or 2018/19 not sure atm)
Crazy to think that most Americans think that the president directly changes the price of gas like he has a magic button oe something
It's right next to the Universal Healthcare button.
That's as bad as foreign people thinking money grows on trees in U.S.
Biden cancelled the Keystone pipe line the first day in office, makes you wonder.
He doesn't but it's a known fact that liberal energy policies will destroy any nation.
"ignoring the countless externalities" seems like a good summary of most of this
he circles back at the end. but full discussion of the very obvious externalities of the oil industry would change the topic of the video too much.
I dig!
@@alexpalaciossantos4940 but hey, the food for thought part is what brings me here. The "Persuation" artist part is so obvious I'm not even mad.
Wanna know why gas prices are so high?
1: Inflation, so the government printed too much money
2: Sanctions
3: They won't drill for more oil because of the government imposing more and more environmental policies, by the way the 9000 leases is complete bs, in short, there may be 9000 but only a couple may be profitable, and when you stop the pipelines coming from places where it's already profitable to drill, it tells a lot more than "9000 leases".
By the way, these environmental policies start to sound like they are not actually looking for alternatives, considering that nuclear is not really in the picture, and for "green" energy you will need metals and materials that have to be dug up from the earth... Which would simply mean that our 30/40 % reliance on Russian gas would become 90% reliance on China... That is if green energy was even an efficient way of producing energy, which let's not even get into that... It does seem to me that environmentalism is more about crashing the energy industry, so they can blame the greedy corporations for high gas prices "like they are already doing by the way, because obviously it's not the government's fault right?", and convince the people that they are the enemy, so they can nationalize it without issues.
But what do i know.
So basically the problem is the government interfering with the market as per usual.
@@alexis1156 its funny that you say the problem is govt interference as if the entire neoliberal model doesnt depend on extensive government interference in the interests of the wealthy. Could you please just do the bare minimum to understand the lies used to sell the "free market" concept, while in reality power was given the already wealthy and connected
also your discussion of energy is completely lacking the impending climate crisis. We cannot continue using oil. Did you not watch the video in its entirety?
A persuasive essay as well "The Walking Communities of 2040" essay. Look at a future without cars.
Much fewer them, trucks, airplanes, big boats, fewer them.
We all need someone to lean on.
When you need a hand.
I warned everyone I knew that this day was coming. Well, now they're all stuck with big gas guzzling SUV's, trucks and luxury vehicles that require premium fuel. I on the other hand still have my trusty 6 year old Accord that gets 34 mpg all day long on regular. ENJOY!!!!
14:41 Where tf are you getting a 1-bedroom apartment in NYC for $2000/mo, the sewer? 😂
Bronx, Harlem, Inwood Hill - wherever you could get stabbed trying to open door
Largely very good and accurate, the main thing that wasn’t covered was the real logistical constants preventing large scale ramp up, while oil companies especially in the US weren’t preparing, those that are trying to increase production now (I know by in person discussion I’ve had with their executives for my work) is being limited by rampant inflation (steel pipes necessary for new well lining has increased by 16-20% in March alone, and to get the materials to drill a new well currently has around a 2 year waiting period just from a supply chain failure perspective. This means that those that are ramping up reinvestment are having those increases (20-40% increases sometimes more, only result in single digit production growth). Another factor that’s incredibly important is the DUC (drilled but uncompleted wells) since oil went negative many producers (the majors were the largest offenders in this) used the DUC inventory to avoid reinvestment and increase/maintain production, now the DUC inventory is at the lowest in around a decade meaning the lack of reinvestment has caught up to the industry. The companies that took the profits and distributed value to shareholders instead of increased reinvestment were rewarded by the market with increasing share prices and positive market signals while the inverse also occurred. Overall this isn’t some broad scheme to go down kicking (at least on the US shale side) it’s a web of complex issues with many causes and effects.
Saying the war isn’t the reason also isn’t purely true as it has had a outsized impact on the global oil market constraining global supply, disrupting trade and taking key barrels off the market thus overall adding pressure to an already strained market.
Oil likely would have reached over $100 without it but if it wasn’t for the war it wouldn’t be over $100 right now due to the tampered demand from renewed Chinese lockdowns.
I.e. Big problems means expensive toys so old toys do the trick, but now no old toys and still big problems. So war?
good job at that propaganda
Fracking has already shown the ability for the US to be energy independent. Well done calling out the failure in the conspiracy to maintain high prices by a monolithic oil industry. Domestic policy is the primary cause of our high gas prices. Biden’s Gas Tax is to blame
@@tinymints3134 you have the reading comprehension of a fish
Who are you??
i like how you very casually keep referring to OPEC as "the cartel". great vid
A cartel is just a group of companies that control an industry, so they are a cartel - and you could refer to the people in charge of those OPEC countries' oil industries as oil oligarchs.
@@jaklawrence4301 Surely you mean oilgarchs
Please do a video on how renewables are a feasible replacement and our species can continue its current level of existence using them.
That's a loaded statement
I don't think we'll ever reach zero oil production because of how useful it is for plastics, but I have no idea what the industry will be like with plastics as the main driver of production
Oil is used for far more than just plastics, nearly ever product has some sort of oil in it's roots. It would be a century before they find affordable ways to phase oil out of every day life.
Problem for companies is even a 10% drop in demand makes them compete at whole new levels as you can't run supply of many plants are partial amounts and have it continue to be profitable.
I don't think they can phase out oil. Even if the planet runs out of crude oil, they start liquefying coal as a substitute and create synthetic oil.
Plastics largely derive from gas, not oil.
Also, Syngas is pretty much viable now and can be produced from any carbonaceous waste, as long as you have a power and steam source.
@@letsburn00 I see you don’t know where gas comes from 😂
@@DennisWHJr I'm fully aware that gas comes from the ground., Often alongside oil. But as a power source, oil and gas are bifurcating pretty rapidly. Once upon a time there was almost only oil drilling and gas was a byproduct. It's now shifting a lot the other way, since gas demand will almost certainly remain high for longer than oil.
As a petrochemical feedstock, gas is fairly replaceable. It just needs a financial incentive.
Being from the Permian Basin maybe I can expand on a few things? One of the biggest pushes in oil companies in the US is to reduce the cost and environmental impact of Fracking, as it would drastically increase their ability to compete with foreign producers. Another is largely out of their control, as drilling wells often leads to the production of a lot of natural gas that they would of course like to sell, but because much of this gas is a very heavy mix of hydrocarbons it's an expensive process to try and sell it without separating it into things like propane and methane. The technology exists to do so on site, but because of the natural gas market there's no real way for them to do it and make anything even close to a profit so most companies flare it instead. That said we have our booms and busts every couple of years, but we're still chugging along without too much issue, and I don't expect oil to go away any time soon.
But is fun hearing my home mentioned in a Wendover video! As well as hearing about how we're basically racing and competing with some people on the other side of the planet haha, something I don't hear many people talk about.
Do you think south texas such as kenedy/karnes will see production and workers come in the area for the next 2 - 5 years?
Extremely informative. Well down as per usual.
I had a double take when California gas prices were mentioned as "eye poping" at 3,5$ per gallon, when in my country in Europe the price is at 6$ per gallon and that is only so low due to state intervention.
Gas prices in most European countries are around $7-8 per gallon. In the US, its around $3.99 now. However, Europe has good public transport
Depends on the state and location. I can tell you that here in Slovenia, the busses would have died out if not for student transfer and It's similar for trains. Too cumbersome and inconvinient to be practical.
Gas is $5.50 to $6.50 in California right now. Came down a bit too, was over $7 in some places
Now tell me how much oil produced by your country.
@@TheSiprianus did you know it can actually cost less to produce and then import oil from the Middle East than to produce it in america.
Appreciate the nuanced long explanation, not an over simplified answer like most people are giving right now for gas prices.
I work in oil and gas and this is one of the first times people haven't said nonsense about politics and actually talked about the drive to cut Capex which is destroying their production rates. What's hilarious is that this is the most accurate video on the topic I've seen, but the comments are full of "Bias bias, what about XYZ"
Capex limits have been driving people who work on the ground nuts. It's clear the industry is insanely profitable, but there is an amazingly low drive to Increase production, which you normally do see.
i can explain in one word: GREED
It's so f'ed up and annoying. Everything is getting from bad to worse at an incredibly fast pace and the government pretends like they don't see it maybe because they have a lot of money. I for one has been hit very hard and at this point, I am more interested in a solution because I don't think an end is near. What is the way forward for the less fortunate ones like me? How do we survive this phase? I am slowly losing my mind.
Practical approach: First, always vote wisely, Spend only on necessities, Invest in your health. Always invest what you can, but you must ensure you spread your investments (locally and internationally) but of course be well informed about where you want to put your money. Made my first million this way earlier this year (got help though). Can comfortably wait out this "phase"
Easy on yourself Panic will cause more harm than good
@@august9050 Amazing approach though its quite not that easy... What do you mean by you got help? I could definitely use help right now. I look forward to your reply
@@thepotter867 Funny enough, I can honestly relate. I don't know if I am permitted to go into details here, but her name is "Leah Marie Sandock". Was in the news a lot in 2018. You can check her out online for more.
@@august9050 She's got a pretty decent bio and seems American. Does she work with foreigners?
One of your best videos, 10/10
How is Western policy and politics not mentioned in a 22 minute video of factors effecting oil price? It is by far the greatest factor.
Lots of information but I may not be convinced by the conclusion.
In short the author concluded the current high gas price is because green energy will replace everything very soon, which is hard to believe given the current status quo.
I agree. Green energy is dependent on production made possible using fossil hydrocarbons. Almost every product made is a molecule built off the hydrocarbon. Green energy cant exist without hydrocarbons. And it certainly cant compete with them as far as energy density goes. The market was built on a hydrocarbon economy. A suitable replacement would require a technology that extracts energy from a molecule more efficiently than combustion and also preforms as a feed stock for materials and products. Otherwise we would have to reinvent everything that has been developed in the last 150 years. Don't see that happening in 2050.
@@johnking9942 except that nothing oil energy related has been improved in the last 100 years, only regulated and deregulated. Alot of oil and gas tech is still based on equipment and techniques that are decades old.
”Sustainable energy”, is bottlenecked and dependent on energy storage, (that is unless you count nuclear energy and sustainable). So it all depends on future energy storage solutions. With current tech (Li-Ion) it’s not gonna happen, too expensive and involves too many rare materials.
I always find it funny when American's speak only with the idea of America in mind, like Europe isn't already lightyears ahead of us in green energy, public transit, affordable housing, and many other places.
Most EU countries plan to phase out gas for vehicles in the next 10-20 years, and run off of greener energy, and it will be possible.
The tech is there.
They're also used to higher gas prices and have been preparing for a very long time.
The US is still decades behind because people are concerned with the preservation of non-existent coal mining jobs, or climate denial, or whatever else.
We will probably be gas dependent well into 2050, and with the way our government keeps trying to go back to the 1930's, possibly longer, so we're going to feel the impacts of this while other more advanced countries will be perfectly fine.
With current tech we just CAN’T replace fossil fuels. The alternative is unreliable, hard to store and prone to nature made shortages. Another factor for the high gas price was the 2021 wind drought in Europe which greatly reduced the generated power by wind farms and increased reliance on Russian gas, enter the ongoing war…
Great breakdown and Ive been telling people about this for a couple of months now. Basically, The high peak we saw after the first few weeks this all kicked off was the point they realised they had taken as far as they could, so the slight adjustment back to levels we have see sustained over the last few weeks will very much be the new norm. Because, we all just accept it now with little fuss. I ran the numbers on my 55mpg Ford Galaxy, where we do two tanks a month V's the cost of running an electric vehicle (even at the new high KWH) and its nearly 1/4 the cost per month. Basically, the saving would pay the majority on monthly lease on a brand new EV (lower band). So yeh, they have just accelerated their own demise but have done it on their own terms for maximum short-medium term profit.
Same. My car gets 35mpg but an electric car will save me over $1500 a year in fuel. Looking really tempting to switch to one.
What EV were you looking at?
I would believe you if you could spell
This is nonsense, the difference is just because EV use is subsidized while gas vehicle use is taxed. Once people switch to EVs the government will kill the subsidies and start taxing them and it will be even more expensive than gas vehicles.
The remote work movement is probably adding to their desire to keep prices high. I'm adjusting so they can see their way out.
I love how he says "5 BILLION DOLLARS!" like that's a lot. The Pipeline from Alberta to BC was $37 billion when all said and done.
Great presentation, as usual it did not disappoint.
I am someone who works in one of the more extreme logistical choke points in California’s crude supply chain (I work within sight of Valero’s Wilmington refinery, but, spoiler alert: most of their crude doesn’t cross their dock in the Port of LA, but actually moves across our docks in the Port of Long Beach).
I found much of what you said to be sensible, and on target. There are other factors that I think are baked into the cake that has brought us $6/gallon gasoline. Chief among them must be the effect that our COVID Dollar-printing spree had upon increasing the value of a commodity in global demand. When you go from something like $21T in outstanding debt to $27-28T in a couple of years, there must be an impact.
In the same way that California has been the canary in the coal mine with gasoline regulations and reformulation, the coming years will show how feasible the timelines for renewables and electrification truly are.
In a place where keeping the lights and air conditioning 100% on during a heat wave seems to challenge the power grid, many folks are understandably skeptical about the ability of the grid operators to deliver even more electricity around the clock as a motor fuel, and time will tell if the consumers will buy into electrification on a timetable that matches up with regulation.
As for refiners, they’ll keep doing what they do..as more and more of those ships bringing oil to California are no longer leaving empty, but instead filled with diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, and other products that pacific rim nations continue to require.
“remember when the oil ma market…” oh yeah of course i know all about that thing
Canada too. We dream of current US prices.
I think everyone and their grandmas remember the time when during pandemic oil prices were negative
@@gpaull2 canada more like clanada ahahahahahahaha
Ah, the oil ma market. Back when the oil mothers roamed the planet.
I nearly went to work for Halliburton in Wyoming in 2008. My partner and I decided that it wasn’t best for our life styles with our newborn. After seeing how everything shifted to North Dakota a couple years later, I’m glad I turned it down and ended up working in a local coal mine instead.
The oil and gas industry as a grunt on the ground is very transient and isolated from where you live to where you work. It’s a life that is tough on an individual and tough on anyone that has a family at home.
i moved here (North Dakota) with my dad during the boom but thankfully his industry is aggregate operations which won’t tank like the oil industry did/does. You don’t see Schlumberger or Halliburton trucks anymore like you used to.
My dad got laid off from Halliburton just last year. You were very wise to skip the "opportunity."
@@jaycee3177 Sell your soul and get laid off anyway. Hell no.
rip yer lungs
A few of my buddies landed in rehab bc of the lifestyle of oil workers.
There is zero work-life balance and almost nowhere to live bc the work is constantly moving.
It seems to me that the most impactful fact that leads to a surge in prices is the speculation. It seems that under the Monetary System speculation can make prices rise exponentially. There are just too many artificialities.
What until they manage to turn air into a commodity. Now it is clear to me that we are in desperate need of a completely different socio-economic system that must be superior to the preset one and all those of the past.
Trying to make the current system sustainable is not going to work in the long term, that is not a real solution to human problems. It's like applying a band-aid to the problems instead of tackling the root causes.
They kinda already did turn air into a commodity
@@gasoline3597 Really?? The perks of a Price System lol It's about time we implement another socio-economic system that benefits everyone and the planet we depend on.
@@heliocardoso6726 Yeah, people are capturing quality air and selling it to areas where pollution is really bad. The issue with any system is that people will find ways to exploit it. I don't think the current system is bad as anyone can have the opportunity to make something of it, but the US more specifically favors businesses/business owners over regular people.
How about a resource-based economy like the Venus Project? Or better yet, a gift economy? 🎁
socialism
Every guy I know is driving a giant $65,000 truck from the xerbs to haul his shiny bed liner to his city job so I guess gas isn't that expensive, but they sure do complain about the price of gas...
I think they are why gas is expensive, but if I said so they would shoot me.
Great video. The problem right now with people saying it's the end of oil as we know it, is the time it will take to transition. Right now only a little over 20% of US energy production comes from the combination of nuclear and renewable resources. That leaves the remaining 80% to coal, petroleum and natural gas. While it's great that people will want to switch over to electric vehicles, the electricity that is going into them is still being produced within the same systems that are hiking gas prices. We've seen similar trends to the gas hike already with increases in energy prices. So it's still going to affect you even if you have an EV. It isn't just a transition away from gas powered vehicles. We need a transition toward Nuclear and Renewable energy production in our grids as well. Otherwise we are going to continue getting hit by their "party at the end of the world" as Sam put it so well
Also, similarly to cigarette companies buying up vape companies, I wouldn't be surprised if in the next decade we start seeing the reinvestment money being funneled toward green energy start ups. These massive corporations aren't just going to throw in the towel and live it up as the video implies, they are going to continue existing, but pivoting to the new trend when the old ways are no longer an option.
@@Learn_Something_New hence why they are extracting as much profit as possible right now to strongly position themselves for the expensive capital demands transitioning the energy supply will require, makes you feel less upset about paying more for fuel although it is somewhat inconvenient
The only transition you will get is a transition to living like a caveman while the rich are enjoying their incoming-apocalypse parties. After that, probably WW3, plague and hunger to eliminate the "unnecessary" parts of population. After that we (mostly the richer survivors) can return back to our senses and using fossil fuels - all while introducing new fascist measures to keep the population under control or declining long-term.
Coal and petroleum products make up at most 60%. You've forgotten about renewables, which make up about 20%.
Whilst i certainly agree with you in regards to needing significant investment in energy supply becoming more nuclear and renewable. I also disagree that the hikes in prices are anywhere near as impactful. Even with an energy supply reliant on fossil fuels, EV's still make sense. extracting the electricity from a barrel of oil in a power plant for example, is orders of magnitude more efficient than burning it in a car.
a gallon of fuel for example may get you 30mpg when burned in your car. When burned in a power plant, you're capable of extracting almost the full 33kwh worth of energy in that gallon of fuel. Which when that electricity is used in an EV, on average you'd get 130mpg equivalent that's 4.5x more efficient using the exact same fuel.
This is possible thanks to power plants not being restricted by size and weight like a car is. a car has a point of diminished returns at which the efficiency improvements are counteracted by the weight increase of the vehicle. a power plant doesn't care however, so they are able to construct boilers and large turbines which are far more efficient at extracting energy from the fuel than your piston driven car engine.
if every car was EV, even if we still used fossil fuels to power them, we would reduce our emissions and oil usage on travel 4.5x
This video is so informative
Nobody asked
not really. just a pile of globalist lies that tell us oil is over and we all need to buy a $40,000 tesla.
Unlike this comment
This video is propaganda
*misinformative
The only reason CA gas has gone from $2.50 to $6.00+/gal is to make money. There is all the gas you can afford to buy and plenty left over. The double tankers show up at Costco 6x a day hell or high-water under the same production process as years ago. It goes up every summer with the 'summer blend and demand' manure dispensed as if it's a surprise.
"Gas prices at an all time high" 0:28 shows prices that Norwegians have never paid before in their lives because of how cheap that still is.
Nice lies Russian bot
@@2loaves388 excuse me?😂😂😂
@@_MC529what, did you fart? Because a Russian would NEVER say that unles they farted… maybe
My take away from this video is that Oil's price is uniquely affected when supply is lower than demand, the oil cartels have far too much influence, and building American cities in such a way that necessitates everyone drive everywhere for everything makes the average American's quality of life, dependent on the price of gasoline. But I still just fundamentally disagree with the idea that renewables are ready to take over, maybe 20 years from now, but I think it's just a fantasy to think that EVs will displace traditional cars any time soon.
Yeah even Elon Musk himself has admitted he doesn't have any where near enough cobalt and lithium to meet demand. Waitlists for some EVs are insane and they need semiconductors to. Not to mention we just lost a large chunk of supply from Ukraine and Russia. A lot of these minerals sourcing are murky at best. Coming from unstable countries like DR Congo where mining is done in a very primitive non industrial manner.
There are other problems with EVs. Like the iphone like properties - god help you if you're broken down in the middle of nowhere, there's no patching up a few hoses or walking to the gas station it is very unlikely they can help you. You gotta call Tesla, or another manufacturer - that is if you can get signal where you are. Now, there's less that can go wrong presumably. I'd also argue that EVs are simply doing a 'not in my back yard' solution to environmental issues. Just like many of the environmental problems we have, we're simply outsourcing the pollution to another country.
You're only thinking of the price at the gas pump. The real problem is that transporting all the goods requires massive amounts of fuel and the price of everything increases.
EVs arent the only option...
Imagine if we invented an ev that was larger and could hold multiple people. We could even attach multiple together so it could hold more. Then, instead of self driving we could put it on a track. I think I might patent this idea. I'll call it "train"
To summarize, holding customers hostage by intentionally shorting the supply only works because the upfront investment costs into new production capacities are extremely high.
In most industries you'd get new players even on a sinking ship but with the amount of investment that would be needed to alter the market in the oil industry it's just not worth it currently and quite frankly it might never be again so everyone is just riding it out into the sunset.
Which probably is a good thing, the higher the oil price is, the more investments will be diverted into alternative energy sources.
LET'S GO BRANDON
Yeah, making the world collapse while producing wars is definitely a good thing. As long as the wars are green and alternative.
So create an artificially low supply now, worsening the lives of all Americans, so that MAYBE in the FUTURE someone will come up with a replacement for oil. So who cares about the people impoverished now when you consider how happy it will make environmentalists later, right? You’re superrrrr smart
You speak from a place of privilege
But oil and gas is the driving force of energy transition and reducing the oil production means delaying decarbonisation on a global scale.
I think you left out something important when discussing the negative oil futures, they decreased rapidly because of the pandemic, but the Saudis made it worse when they decided to dump massive amounts of oil on the market to punish the Russians for not reducing production.
We did what we had to do… weaponized oil
Renewable energy is not really renewable. It still takes non-renewable resources to make them and the service life of wind and solar is short, they also need a reliable back which usually is based on petroleum.
Sustainable energy
Still it significantly reduces what we’re using now. Stop falling for the “research” that’s paid for by Oil Industry lobbyists. It’s called fake news 😂
What about nuclear
@@grizzlybear2702 don't talk about that one it doesn't align with the agenda
It’s amazing how much research and work he puts in his videos. Always something to learn
and amazing how some of it is based on opinions but is put out as facts. Helicopter Ambulances is a big one where he missed large parts of information to push an agenda.
@@sanangelo7926 Ah, so you don't have an agenda at all right? Making all these comments?
Not saying who is right, but you are clearly hating on the US here, that seems to be your agenda. Everyone has their own agenda, don't pretend you don't.
@@sanangelo7926 And what agenda is he pushing?...let me guess?
Russian disinformation?
@@sanangelo7926 His videos are certainly his interpretation of data, but you can view all the data he bases his speculation on and come to your own conclusions as well. It's all in the description :)
@@xtosu9643 "Not saying who is right, but you are clearly hating on the US here" fucking peak tool behaviour lmao
And no, having your own beliefs does not == agenda and ensuring said beliefs play zero part in making object judgements that will then be shared with a major viewerbase as being "well researched and objective" is paramount.
I'd seriously suggest taking a step back and understanding understand what an "agenda" is in this context because you clearly need it.
19:22 - "The end of oil is near." Those are some big words. And I have serious doubts. It would be good in a lot of ways, but I just don't buy it. I hope you will elaborate on that sentiment in the future, and give reasons why you think that's the case. (Also, keep in mind the entire 3rd world.)
Sure glad I bought a Plug In Hybrid. 50 miles of EV range using no gasoline fits in perfectly with my daily commuting. Haven't had to buy gasoline in months.
I recently heard some very interesting history about the origins and functions of the Federal Reserve System. Perhaps a video about the FRS, who created it, why, and how it influences national debt, loan interest rates, and fractional loaning, etc, would be interesting for your viewers. I personally would be excited to see what you can come up with.
“The creature from Jekyll island”, by G Edward Griffin, was the book that piqued my interest for this.
I, unfortunately learnt all this about 8yrs ago. I CURSE MY BLOODTHIRST FOR KNOWLEDGE!!👁 ain't been right since...
Ugh, sometimes I hate knowing shit🤮😫😩😫😩😩😫😫
I've seen two YT videos about this and saved them on the Money & Finance Playlist on my channel and they have both been deleted.
I wonder why? 🤔
Correction: oil is ceding the market to electrification, not to renewables.
The grid is in disarray around the developed world and we need to sort it out or else we will just be driving electric cars powered by dirty electricity.
They shout zero emissions for electric transportation when 90% of the electricity to run them is created by fossil fuels.
Control is the goal. EV’s Limited range and simpler denial of “ refueling “ via the electrical grid which can be shutoff at any time. One cannot hoard or store electricity at least not without extraordinary expense.
@@michaeltaylors2456 Exactly, few understand this. Few also do not understand the real goal is to take cars away as a viable transport option for the majority of the population. Its impossible both in metal extraction and the power grid to replace all current ICE with electric.
This is about control, nothing more.
The grid? Have you been to Europe? The grid and wind farm is doing fine.
Typical comment from petrolheads
@@michaeltaylors2456
And yet, oil is a limit source of energy. Eventually it will run out.
Solar and wind doesn’t “run out”, it’s UNLIMITED.
As long as we have the sun, wind, and water, we have unlimited source of energy right there.
I love that you always give your videos a proper ending conclusion, rather than trying to transision seamlessly into the sponsorship message. Thanks for another good video!
Just when I bought an overpriced F-250 and an overpriced travel trailer to go with it. Now I can't afford the gas to move them.
10:43 We are sitting on a moutain of oil. Our politicians choose not to drill and instead choose to import oil in California. Thankfully you went on to talk about taxes, fees, and regulations. Which explains our double the average gas prices. I drive to Nevada (literally in the desert on top of a mountain) just 1 mile outside the border of California and prices are half the cost. Enough said
Yep ... this dude does good research but leans REAL HARD on the Biden storyline. Its sad that under the previous president US was fully oil energy independent... and now... well... you have to drive into the next state to get cheaper gas that California taxes to pay for free druggie needles, etc. Your state is beautiful but the leadership needs a brain transplant.
You’re so close to understanding. And yet so far.
you must not have watched the video.... we can easily produce more oil, the oil companies have no incentive to do so. They make more money with the prices being high, rather than investing billions and the resulting oil prices being low. Oil production in the US has not dropped. we are still a net exporter of oil. Oil companies do however export crude and sell it on the world market for high profits, in turn they import refined fuel at whatever the cost is, and we pay for it. They make the profits, and we pay at the pump. watch the video. 60% of the cost of gas is the price of oil.
@@uliwehner Yep did watch it...what you are missing is the W-I-D-E-R view. I do agree with you oil prices are up and that is because the oil that we have in this country is not coming from a plethora of wells and access. Out of the 9000 permits to drill less than half are actually producing the rest of the permits were used for speculation or are dry wells... therfore the unused permits. Secondly to your point of we are an exporter... if so why are we asking the Venezuelan government and oil producers in Venezuela to sell us more oil? That kills your point right there. If we were an exporter the problem would be.. stop exporting and use it for here for us, but what we're doing is using a dirty industry in Venezuela that doesn't have the same environmental safeguards. Your statement doesn't make sense we either are an exporter and we don't need to import or we are an importer because we don't have as much...so you need to rethink your statement. If we are exporting more like you keep saying then we need, we shouldn't be importing from Saudi Arabia, Turkey or Venezuela which we are from all 3. Gas prices to produce gas cost the same now that they did a year and a 1/2 to 2 years ago. Same production, same cost, same chemical additives, same processing, same everything that it was 2 years ago what the problem is... is the fact that the permits have been pulled from federal lands and from offshore drilling and other types of exploration and they were told to use the only permits they have currently even if they are dry wells and aren't producing or to use the permit to drill for oil even if they know there isn't any... and that wastes money 💰 Also if we are producing so much why did the empty th national emergency oil reserves? Please update data and conclusions it has old info. Thanks.
@@dsrtodd we are exporting crude, which we shouldn't. We should refine it, which we can't apparently, due to refinery capacities. So we import refined fuel. that is your problem. We are absolutely a net exporter. Also, many independent shale oil companies are not making profit when crude is cheap. So they reduce production to keep prices high. to my point, the oil companies have no incentive to fix this as long as we keep paying the prices.
Tar Sands are the 800lb. gorilla you forgot to mention....
I live where many of the frack gas/tar sand railcars are stored during slowdowns, and can judge the market/prices that way. Every one of them went west early last winter, long before the Russian war drums started beating.
One of the best explainers I’ve seen on the current oil markets! Keep up the great work!
An impressive essay. What I find most people neglect to present is how many other things in our world are reliant on Oil & Gas.
Fertilizer for the world market is produced with sulfur from the refining process.
Tires, inks, plastics etc. all use some part of the distillate from Oil & Gas.
It’s easy to say move away from O&G for fuel but there’s a direct market affect on every other item produced.
Here in norway it has more than doubled (sometimes 11usd per gallon) than what it used to be. But in our case it is due to the war because russia was the main source for oil and gas in the EU, but now that they're not exporting that to us anymore, Norway became the largest exporter of our own oil, which meant our prices went up significantly
If the oil companies are posting record profits wouldn’t it entice smaller producers to create new fracking rigs to cash in on it thus eventually balancing out prices?
They were losing money only a couple of years ago
Yes. And it is happening. But that takes time.
Probably but like this guy said it takes time. Everything in every sector has lag times we either can't comprehend or just don't think about.
Smaller producers still need bigger investors to get off the ground. It's still risky, and the last bet recently had a huge blowback, and future talks indicate people are trying to reduce demand anyways.
Anthony hadsell: The key word is "eventually". Small producers will have a small impact on global supply. For major projects, it takes quite a few years from conception/planning to the end products being produces in huge volumes.
But yes, the cure for high prices is high prices -- eventually, as the high economic rewards / probabilities spure higher investment / risk.
Am I the only one? This video was all over the place.
The video is really helpful
9:39 this is cool
17:16 I would argue that one legitimate reason that industrial investment is so low, is that "regulatory headwinds" in most developed nations lead financial minds to believe severe restriction of the market, if not an outright ban, is likely in the medium term. After all, if you were a bar owner who had reason to believe Prohibition was 5 years out...would you renovate the place; put in a second bar upstairs, and buy the bar down the street? Probably not!
So, the argument that "global warming hawks" are behind the increase in prices is not (entirely) without merit.
Fuck if I had my way they'd lose control of their companies entirely, with any liquid assets sold and all profit put towards renewable construction and generation. Fossil fuel oligarchs deserve to be put through hell and have all their wealth taken from them
It would make sense if the US only produced to supply local demand, but because oil is traded globally the way it is, demand from developed nations doesn't matter to that extent. Even if demand drops due to regulations in developed countries, they'll just keep supply below it to prop up prices, that's the point. Independent operators haven't stopped investing in fracking rigs because they worry American demand for petrol will drop, but because the rules of the game have changed. In your analogy they're not the bar owner, but the liquor distillery that serves a global market, and has figured out that selling only "limited runs" of spirits at increased prices is a better business model.
if i was bar owner and prohibition was 5 years out, i'd buy the place, the place upstairs, and the bar down the street. no country drinks like a country told they're not allowed to drink. look at australia slamming their piss beers all day. also look in to why prohibition happened, and not the government's narrative.
@@rongeurtsvankessel1908
Only you are talking about the USA exclusively. Reread my comment, this time for comprehension, and show me where I limited my argument to the US exclusively?
@@JesusGonzalez-kg2fe word that in english please?
I do research on energy commodity markets at a university. That time when futures prices went negative was an interesting time, because the model used to determine futures and options prices assumed strictly positive asset prices. When it went negative there was a short time when pricing literally broke lol. We got a paper out of it aha.
As someone training in nuclear power operation, this seems to be good news
“They” want that stimulus check back!
Video is good, SD is key issue. But leaves other key parts. The 9000 wells is a misnomer. 2,200 of those leases are held up in litigation and cannot proceed in any form until litigation is complete (could be years). Second, lease does not equal enough oil for viable project. Companies often obtain leases for land which is believed to have reserves, lease utilization rate will be never be 100% or close to it. Third, you can hold a lease but if infrastructure is lacking such as a pipeline or roads, those gotta be built, those require additional investment and permits. On the topic of permits, you much have an environmental assessment approved as well as a drilling permit. A large number of those 9,000 leases have requested associated drilling and EA permits. Though the time to process has more than doubled under Biden vs Trump/ Obama
ditto that. now you know that most people on you Tube cant handle that turth
Hard to believe i had go through that many comments till i heard bidens name . As the uncertainty in the oil industry is , what will biden do to screw the oil and gas producers next
@@joelstanhope7231 a lot
11% taxes on fuel is high?
Cries in Netherlands where tax is almost 60% of the price.. the price of Petrol could never be less than €1,10 per liter, because that is the base of the carbon and sales tax on it.
The price of oil only accounts for like 30% of the fuel price.
(The extra tax has been lowerd by about €0,20 temporairly because of the high prices atm)
Same shit in Sweden, diesel (35-40% biodiesel) is 2,5 euro/liter and e10 is 2 euro/liter
Well, I think that's a big reason why gas is so much more expensive in Europe vs US lol... I call it "for no reason", although you could argue govs might do some useful stuff with that tax revenue (I just have little faith in gov work lol). Also, similarly to what he said in the video about the CA gas, which is specially made for that state with added special taxes. I drove from Phoenix to LA last month and you could tell everyone was filling up right before crossing the state border, since gas jumps ~$1 as soon as you cross into CA.
@@dorian13 About 55-60% of gas prices is taxes, thats way to much. Goverment only know how to raise taxes on everything. Taxes for salary is about 33%.
Yes, same in NZ - petrol is around NZD2.80/litre (and there is about 55% tax in that price). We do use higher octane fuels though - the lowest octane petrol in NZ is 91 Octane (which is 'standard') and the range goes through 95, 98 and up to 100 Octane for high performance cars. NZ fuel also doesn't have ethanol in it as an octane booster the way US fuel does.
NZD2.80/l equates to USD6.80/US Gal. So from our point of view US fuel prices haven't gotten expensive, they were just previously extremely low. Even now California fuel prices are only around USD4.90/gal, looking online.
Infuriating and persuasive. I was thinking I'd eventually get an EV, but that "eventually" just got seriously truncated. Great vid!
You should get an EV soon regardless. They are FAR cheaper to maintain than gas cars, even considering battery replacement costs.
This strategy isn't exclusive to the oil industry. A lot of industries that had the opportunity to do massive layoffs without severance compensation enjoyed record profits as long as they could. I worked in hotels during the pandemic, and as soon as the vaccines came out and mask mandates went down, my hotel was back to normal, peak capacity every night, but we were still running less than a quarter of the staff we'd had previously. Any one or two people they hired as token appeasement would quit within a couple weeks from the ridiculous hours and workload, and they didn't finally restaff in earnest until I and pretty much the rest of the experienced staff quit as well. They probably still profited from that, being able to hire a couple of peons for less than what some of us were being paid individually. It was really frustrating and scummy.