ONE IN A BILLION CHANCE FOR THIS TO HAPPEN! | Yogg-Saron Druid | Rastakhan's Rumble | Hearthstone
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- Опубликовано: 6 сен 2024
- It's the 1.12, the one in a billion, the Yoggest play of all Yogg plays... And who else to do it other than Disguised Toast.
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Edited by: / otriggad
![ARGENTINA vs. CHILE [3-0] | RESUMEN | ELIMINATORIAS SUDAMERICANAS | FECHA 7](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/De3AWmXzhuA/mqdefault.jpg)
I don't think he was running Mecthun. I think it was added to his deck by Malchezaar. So it's even more crazy.
Yep, I can almost guarantee that theory, judging by the other crap in the priest's deck to go along with malchezaar.... that's just not a deck you'd throw a pocket mechathun into in the hopes of emptying ur hand and deck and board after playing a bunch of random legendaries and summoning cards, haha. Unreal the randomness factor to this one
+1 was thinking the same
Yeah, it was definitely from Malchezaar.
dude the chances must be so low that he had to go and buy lottery tickets that day. holy fuck that was luck. And that it also played out in the PERFECT order is just crazy..
Yup! No one with a sane mind would put Malcheezar in a Mectchun deck
Mechathun was from Prince Malchazar. So this was indeed a one in a lifetime event.
How can you tell? Most Mecha'thun Priests run quest
@@dakota6885 I can't. But a man can hope, oh a man can hope.
Why would a mechathun priest run malchezaar?
@@davideventili2881 You tell me. 0:45
Yesss
*IF EVER THERE WAS DOUBT ABOUT THE DIVINE RIGHT TO CONQUER THAT I SHARE WITH YOGG-SARON, LET THOSE THOUGHTS BE AT REST.*
We need a Mech'saron and a Mech'zoth, someone get on this.
Mech'Saron
10 mana 10/10 with deathrattle: cast random Spells until either hero dies
@@firesoy and Mech'Shaarj!
Glad to see you here :3
@@colinlee2904 I actually want to see this.
Next up: mechathun otk but only with yogg into cataclysm
Dylon S I would like but u have 666 likes
@@ivysword I liked and now he has 888. Not as good I know but I'm doing what I can!
@ its aint much but its honest work
Disguised Toast: the master of bulls**t rng and (to a lesser extent) clickbait.
Wanna see this
Opponent: Hee hee I can OTK him next turn!
Yogg Saron: I have other ideas...
Yoggy Boi: Hold my beer
*"I AM THE ONE THATS GONNA KILL HIM"* into "whoops misstargeted the otk"
BOW DOWN BEFORE THE GOD OF DEATH *wow voice, not hs*
Yogg boii: I'm about to end this whole man career
Hey you ! Wanna know the (almost) exact probability of this OTK ? Alright, kid. *Let's do some maths.*
There are 1868 cards in HearthStone.
285 cards of them are Legendaries.
519 cards are spells.
21 cards were remaining in Toast's oppenent's deck (30 + 5 of Malchezaar - 6 drawn - 9 played + 1 Arcane Giant).
We can consider that his deck is, at most, full of minions, and at least only has 3 minions (Malchezaar, Mecha'thun, Arcane Giant).
Malchezaar added 5 random legendaries to Toast's oppenent's deck. One of them was Mecha'thun, that's a probability of 5/285.
14 spells were cast by Yogg-Saron.
Mindgames had to be cast within the 3 first spells, else the board would have been full and Mecha'thun wouldn't
have been summoned. It had a probability of 3/519 to be cast, and had at least a probability of 1/3 to summon Mecha'thun, and at most 1/21 to summon it.
Myra's unstable element had to be cast within the 12 others spells cast remaining (14 - 1 Mindgames - 1 Cataclysm),
so that's a probability of 12/519.
Finally, Cataclysm was the last spell to be cast, so thats a probability of 1/519.
If you know how a probability tree works, you can easily calculate that Toast had :
At least a probability of (5/285)*(3/519)*(1/3)*(12/519)*(1/519) = 180/119527596945 = 1/664042205,25
At most a probability of (5/285)*(3/519)*(1/21)*(12/519)*(1/519) = 180/836693178615 = 1/4648295436,75
That's not one in a billion, Toast. That's one in *FOUR BILLIONS*.
GG.
Jean Bon Thanks! I missed a couple things in my own because I was in a hurry xD
But you also need to add in the chance of NOT drawing a card which clears your deck before then, and he didn’t have to get Myra, he could have gotten any spell which draws at least four cards. We also have to add in the chance of not dying to fatigue, and we need to add the fact that he could have casted a total of 18 spells. It could happen on spell 1+2+3, or it could happen later than it did in the video.
Basically even your calculation is lacking some key components for it to be accurate :-) There are an incredible amount of components to consider, which is why I said calculating it would be very time consuming. I’ll see if I have the energy for it later.
Yes, i tried to be accurate as much as possible but there are a hundred of other probabilities to calculate if you want the really exact probability, and I am way too lazy to do it x)
Yogg can cast same spells aswell and malchezaar can add same minions aswell which lowers chance more
@@damjanmarcetic5345 Actually it has been confirmed that Malchezaar will not at duplicates to your deck. Which means there was also a better chance of getting Mechathun since Thaurasen was already in the deck and could not be duplicated.
You also need to factor in the mechathun not being drawn until the yogg turn
By far the best video this whole year. 10/10 music.
I agree 100%. I laughed too hard when Miracle started playing XD
No audio since he started to sing...
Best video in the history of hearthstone!
Toast singing is legitimately one of my least favorite sounds right behind Thijs' voice, so I had to mute the video. Feelsbadman.
I disagree 100%
that was actually insane
You should play hs too bro
@@ahmettalha8629 maybe he does
Opponent:
Yogg: Bow Down Before The God Of Death
Praise the great Yogg !!!
Praise Yogg!
Micah Johnson
Non wow players probably dont understand the reference lol.
@@chargetarget5546 yeah good old 10 mana 0-1 frogsaron
That ending was (unity, precision) *_PERFECTION_*
Mister Morton you are nerd
Mister Morton you are a god
mister morton you are a potato
that joke was primitive.
@@menmadafaka You are brain dead. Take an English class.
i love how they added that clip of toast realizing what his singing voice sounds like ROFL
lol
@@Brandon11746 The way the game played out is obviously really entertaining and extremely unlikely and all that, but I laughed way harder at Toast hearing himself sing than anything else in the video.
@@christopherlundgren1700 agreed
This is bittersweet. On the one hand, this is the pinnacle of RNG memeing....on the other hand comes the realization it's all downhill from here...
Imagine being the opponent and getting this bs rng
@@santiagoley6403 pfft imagine being the opponent and thinking "I DONT EVEN RUN MECHATHUN"
@@santiagoley6403 Kripp would quit the game
@@amethonys2798 Yeah I thought so too, what if actually the Mechathun is from the Prince Malchezaar? That is even more RNG, this is truly the pinnacle of Bullshit RNG.
Imagine opponent feeling betrayed by Malchezaar XD
When ever i feel down, i just rewatch this vid because i love seeing toast happy and miracles still do happen
SAME
That is why Yogg will forever be, our favourite old god. Come my standard brothers, and remember the times of our glorious yogg!
STEPHEN HALL think of how pathetic your life will be if mechathun wasn’t summoned.., 0 cards in board, hand, deck.... don’t try this at home, disenchant yogg
Never disenchant, Yogg is love, best card ever! you can win outsmarting ppl, playing with better decks, doing better plays OR playing Yogg and trust in his glory! Ppl will say its rng, but when you trust in Yogg, miracles happen. And when you die, when you lose cos he left you without cards, is only to make you play with worthy enemies and rank up faster avoiding hyper mega boring decks. There is nothing better than destroy a friend who dont believe in yogg and even disenchant it as soon as he could, with a beatiful Yogg play, pure skill
I'm in Wild, I still Yogg.
Casino Mage rocks.
I started playing 2 weeks after yogg rotated out... Can i cry on someones shoulders?
Was really waiting for epic sax guy for the real throwback
i miss the sax :(
@@John-lk5su me too
Ready for a Miracle is about as old, so I'm okay with that.
Well...that gotta be the best yogg I ever seen.
*pirate music starts playing *
According to HS gamepedia there are 364 collectablee spells in the game ,276 collectable legendaries. From the look of that priest deck, Mechathun was added by Malchezar, if we count it according to that: 1/55( Odd of getting Mechathun from Malchezar since 5 out of 276)*1/364(For getting Mindgames)*1/15 (approx chance of getting MEchathun from Mindgames)*1/364 (for Myra's)*1/376 (for Catacylism)
Ending up at: 1/39788548800, let that sink in.
you didn't count the fact that there were many spells in between (which increases the chance of this happening) and that myra's can be played before the mindgames (x2) :P
Also, he only had one card in his deck so any spell that drew a card would have done the trick, not just Myras.
You have to include the order and probability of yogg not dying in your caculations.
I'm pretty sure your opponent uninstalled Hearthstone after that game.
BS, I am pretty sure he was amazed as much as toast was. Well, maybe a lil less excited, 'cause streamers overreacting
Alexander Kolchev tfw you call it overreacting when he literally just won the lottery; Malchezar added mechathun into deck pulls mechathun with mind games into Myra cataclysm probably more statistically unlikely than winning lottery
Maybe he was like, "ok, I should relax, this game is reasonable... F*CKING BS RNG!!!!"
He's playing wild he should expect any sort of bs when he goes there
Imagine if this kinda shit happened at a tournament, chat's reactions would be the casters and it would be even more glorious
Ohh mind games to mechatune very goo unstable element woah at least he has enough on board and hand to win and partway to getting mecha'cuthun the WTF cataclysm he he he wins HE WINS WITH A MECHA'CUTHUN DEATHRATTLE
Dang, the best clip of Hearthstone's history isn't even 4 years old?
It’ll be in 4 days
My god the editing! Well played sir, well played.
This is absolutely the best hearthstone clip I've ever seen
Opponent: He's already dead
Yogg: Hold my boots
Talk about heart of the cards. This is some Yugi level bs luck.
Toast singing instant like.
Toast wins with No Mecha'thun Yogg Saron rng Mecha'thun combo? Pay Respect
literally whenever im sad i watch this video and it cheers me up instantly. toast cured my depression
Yogg Saron : "Omaewa Mo, Shindeiru!"
Opponent : "NANI?"
Toast took the mechathun bluff deck to a whole new level by just not playing any mechathun cards and skillfully getting the combo through yoga. Only a true master.
I'm here five years later to say this is still the most insane rng hearthstone has ever had
Alright that play confirms that the era of flesh has indeed ended.
Disguised toast. This was by far the most entertaining video, the singing was Terri.... amazing! And the editing made it so hypy! Good video! Keep up the work 👍🏻
I legit enjoyed his singing
You were definitely gonna say terrific, right?
So very off key and off beat. Glad he has a day job.
0:15 - The intro is so ironic to the tune that was played prior to the intro
Mecha'tun Yogg-Saron Otk
Toast! You did it again.
Every once in a while i come back to this video and that game is awesome but what is evenly awesome is that editor's work
Every now and then, I come back to this video and watch just to see the pure luck that Toast is granted. It makes ME feel luckier.
I feel like his Mechathun had to be from the start of game effect. No way a priest is actually running mechathun. Which means the odds of his opponent getting a mechathun are already insanely slim, then Toast had to pull it, then Yogg cast myras and cataclysm. Thats nuts
Yea that mechathun almost certainly came from Prince Malchezaar (add 5 legendary minions to your deck) so ur assessment was correct it is nutty as all hell
@@uilt1240 mecathun is golden but malchezaar is not so it isn't from him
@@pumkin1319 Because yogg is golden so the summon is also golden. that mechathun is certainly from prince malchezaar.
@@wildfordhenry3118 oh I didn't know that. I thought mindgames worked like recruit and recruit doesn't change if a card is golden or not
Toast is never lucky because all his luck got saved up for this single play
One in a billion times it works every time
Never tell a streamer the odds XD
I still come back to this video sometimes just to relive the moment of awe when I first witnessed this once-in-a-lifetime event.
The mechathun probably came randomly from the prince malchezaar.
*mind blow*
lets also take a moment to realize that the mechathun in his opponents deck was one of the random legendaries put in by Malchezar at the beginning.
No, it was placed there by Yogg, for he knew that this moment would come. Yogg influenced the very beginning of the game in Toast’s favor. May any of us be so lucky
Meanwhile, on the other side: *"...Never Lucky."*
toast "ima run a deck just for fun and take a break from ladder and mecha'thun"
mecha'thun "THATS WHAT YOU THINK"
8:28 Disguised Toast leaks Oh My Yogg card secretly 2 years beforehand
Toast played opponent's own Exodia, against him.
-on a related note, leocruz no longer plays Hearthstone.
Ok....this might be the best Hearthstone game of all history and i'm not even joking
Raised my hands as if that last turn were gospel, hallelujah
I always come back to this video from time to time. It never gets old.
Flawless victory!
Now do it again!
r/unexpectedtf2
Heavy is Spy!
Now .. why would that priest even run mech cthun it didn't really looked like one.
What am thinking is that it got shuffled at the start of the game by malchezaar
Someone said it was for the Prince at the start. I tend to agree.
That editing was amazing, I re watched it many times
Dude your singing is great. You truly look happy.
Stay having fun.
Thanks for all tips and facts.
And all the in's and out's.
Stay Toasty!
... what song was it again? I want to listen to it now lol forget name ;(
@@d4s0n282 Smash Mouth - All star
Still the greatest play of all time in Hearthstone uncontested.
Can someone please make the math assuming the mcthun was shuffled into His Deck by malchazar?
1 in a billion
The exact maths is hard to do (or rather time consuming), but here is an approximation. He has an 82% chance, in 17 (out of 18) spells, to not destroy his board. He has a 71% chance of drawing a least one card. Appx 4% chance of drawing the ‘Thun, 3% of playing that card in the first 17 turns, and 0.2% chance to cataclysm.
This won’t be accurate, but the chance is NO MORE than 1:700.000, and if I would spend some more time on it I am pretty sure I’d end up somewhere between 1:1m and 1:2m
5/102 that Malchazar put Mech'thun in his deck (assuming he had no other Legendary minions in his deck already), and I'll be generous and say 1/10 for Mindgames to pull exactly that, and now for the big one: 1/509 *3 times* for Yog to cast each spell in that order, multiplied by however many spells Toast had cast that game (I didn't keep track...). Once for Mindgames (Free from Amber could have also gotten Mech'thun, but that's literally the only way you could make this more unlikely), once for Myra's (technically any card draw would have done since he only had one card left (and Yogg actually did draw another card after it), but Myra's is what emptied his deck), and once for Cataclysm (accept no substitutes! (because there are none...)).
Anyone want to turn this into a coherent fraction for me, since I no math good?
That's at least 1/664042205,25 and at most 1/4648295436,75 (I explained it with details in my comment, just search for it)
@@steffenml You're on the right track, but the chance that Yogg would cast cataclysm is closer to 2% than .2% since he casts more than 10 spells and there are around 500 spells in wild. I'm also not sure about the chance to get Mechathun since there are only 2 spells that could directly summon it and a few pairs of spells (like omega assembly and boomship) that could also put it out. My best guess is somewhere between 1 in 100,000 and 1 in a million.
I"m guessing the Mecha'thun game from his Prince Malchezaar from the start of the game. Rngesus shined bright on you this day.
Man I just can say congratulations, this video is the best I’ve seen in a long time, the edit and the content are amazing, good job at RUclips, hope you get what you are looking for. ❤️
When i saw meca'thun i was like: Huh, interesting
When i saw Myra's unstable element i was: Okay, that will NOT happern right?!
And when i saw Cataclysm i just started praising Toast as my new god
Coming back to watch this clip many months later because it makes me so happy :)
Yo also im pretty sure the mechathun was from a prince malcheazar
The play... sensational. That editing though... Perfection
Props to the editor for this masterpiece
That was completely insane.... I'm crying with laughter.
Yogg is the best card ever printed, even needed.
Bow Down Before The Lord of RnG
2:25 Toast singing Allstars is probably the best thing I will see or hear this week.
That Mechathun was from Malchezaar^^
Holy shit Toast needs to know this
No way he was reducing his hand for something maybe a combo idk but yeah he didn't had mecha thun in hand so idk it's possible lol
@@kevinsantiago9965 Not nearly as much draw as any logical Mecha'Thun priest should have. My bet is that it was control and the 'Thun was RNG
@@antarath517 then again there's not that much logic in rank 15 so maybe he doesn't know how yo play that well , but yeah probs a mega rng play , definitely top 5 craziest ending .
Yess
i still come back to this every so often for the good vibes
I believe how this game ended.. because it’s Toast. He’s a god, master of RNG some how, and a World class Detective.
You, editor guy, are an absolute genius. Bravo PogU Clap
I ran down the math and somewhere along the lines of this
3/2,000,000,000,000
Chance of this occurring
Taking into account all draw cards in hearthstone, all cards that could've killed yogg and chances of them hitting yogg, and chances of getting mechathun, and chances of getting cataclysm.
Ur welcome toast
Was listening to audio only and finally falling asleep and threw it all away just to see this happen with my own eyes
bro your vids are awesome im new at hearthstone and watching your videos help me improve in the game just wanted to say thx
I think that this is the peak of hearthstone. There's nothing left. The best that can be done has.
just quit playing toast....you will never get a better result in a HS game or any other card game ever you BEAT the game go rest now as the legendary hero that you are friend.
oh no what have i done
Pretty sure the mecha’thun came from the prince shuffle. Which is even more impressive
So Malchezaar put Mechathun in Priest's deck, Yogg played Mindgames into Mechathun, then Myra into Cataclysm ....... yup sounds like Hearthstone
I've done some math on this. To simplify I'm doing rough probabilitys (odds of drawing a specific card in first third of deck is 33% instead of 29/30*28/29*27/28...)
First: He likely got Mecha'thun from Malchezaar the chances for this are roughly 1 in 60.
He charged 18 Yogg spells*
Second: Opponent had to not draw mecha'thun in the 12 cards he drew (a two in three chance)
Third: Within those 18 spells, he had to cast exactly mind games (and hit mecha'thun) within 17 cards he would need to play one of these and hit Mecha'thun, odds of hitting either in 17 cards is seventeen in 548 (however it also has to be before cataclysm, so we'll do odds of this at 9 in 548 and odds of cataclysm as 9 in 548)
(Note: There are other summon cards, but those odds are so astronomically low they will likely not have a large impact on this as such I'm ignoring them)
Fourth: That card has to pull mecha'thun (odds of hitting with mindgames is at worst one in 22 since opponent had 22 cards in deck)
Fifth: In the remaining casts exactly cataclysm has to cast, OR the discard hand for 10 mana crystals card+other board clear (NOT DOOM) just calculating for cataclysm as it's the cleanest way this can go off.
And during all of this Yogg can't die, and Mecha'thun can't die before cataclysm goes off. The calculation here is so complex, let's say 1 in 10 shot Yogg doesn't mess something up before casting cataclysm.
The final odds depend on amount of minions in opponents deck (between 1 and 22) so we get a range from 1 in 200 million to 1 in 4.4 billion. So as long as the opponent had 5 or more minions in their deck (extremely likely, with malchezaar and a deathrattle deck) your one in 1 billion odds are not only fair but likely TOO lenient.
If you wanted to predict your heartstone career from start with exact outcomes as they happened.
_1 in billion chance would seem like always true._
*TLDR : my games have way lower chances.*
I don't think people understand what you're saying, but I tend to agree (if I'm understanding). It's kinda misleading to say something has a 1 in a billion chance of happening because any outcome would have had a 1 in a billion chance of happening. Just like how it's highly improbable that you'd toss a coin five times and get heads every time, but it's equally improbable that you'd get H T H T H. We just ascribe more importance to some random outcomes than to other equally likely random outcomes.
It's still amazing though.
I loved the ROOOAAR he did when it came on screen! Followed by one of the biggest smiles I have ever seen.
All of toasts bad luck rng from previous games was balanced out by this yogg
I wish I could rewatch the video for the first time again
I can't believe how this game ended
This is truly a one in a billion chance to happen, a guy from reddit did the math and the final number is approximately *1 in 557 million* out of all the posibilties.
MECHA C’thun was summoned by malkazar ❤️
This deserves to be shared everywhere.
This seems to happen against me every game when my opponent has Yogg.
THIS IS THE BEST CLIP BY FAR UNTIL NOW
Came for the Yogg at 6:59 stayed for 4:50
7:15 what a well done editing skil
2:27 , 5:38 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼beautiful
This is the best Hearthstone video I’ve ever watched
0:22
This goes straight into my Favourites playlist
Click bait title!
it wasn't exactly 1 in 1 billion!!!
HE GOT US AGAIN!
Ngl I think the number may be even more than 1 billion.
My head cannon now is whenever my opponent ropes me they are singing karaoke like Toast 😂
Instead of "Oh my Yogg!" it could also say "Oh my old god" xD
I love that this feat was forever branded with an All Star cover
Just a normal Mechacthun druid play for me.
Mystery Men confirmed Toast’s favorite movie.
Toast, you we love watching you play hearthstone and make da funnies, but your singing can only be described as ear rape.
I can't believe this video only got 350k - I mean this was god tier content.
I imagine it’s because anybody that doesn’t know how to play hearthstone would not know what the heck is even going on. Even beginners might be confused