How The Falin-Kvitsinsky Doctrine Led To War in Europe.
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- Опубликовано: 11 июл 2024
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Production: Hubert Walas
Research & analysis: Wojciech Jakóbik
Copyedit: Hubert Walas
Video production: Kacper Machniowski
Voiceover: Hubert Walas
Music: Alice in Winter - Nuclear Conception
Sound realisation: Dominik Kojder
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#Russia #Ukraine #war #gas
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Just published "Ukraine's War: Strategy and Tactics to Victory" on that famous online bookseller. Includes free preview. You might enjoy it. :)
Ukraine will win!
You only missed one important point in your analysis about Germany electricity production:
The nuclear fuel for the German reactors has come from Russia.
Changing the supplier wasn't possible without massive investion.
7:50 I need to mention that this blackmails with gas prices wasn't for the first time. For decades. They used it against Ukrainian reforms, coalition, to prolong their military presence in Ukraine(this is how they captured Crimea later) and so on
I am happy to be ruled by "experts" who did not discuss this when making political decisions about making Germany depended on Russia. When did that start? All I read in the papers as a kid was "Stupid cringe Poles opposed to Nordstream because of WW2 salt".
@@annoyingcommentator1582 Willy Brandt's "Ostpolitik" started in Germany in 1969. Not exactly a new thing. It was mentioned in the video too. Maybe you should learn some history.
@annoyingcommentator1582 do you think it would of been better to maintain cold war conditions with Russia?
@@SA2004YG We would probably still have the USSR with us then, as the deal Gorbachev made to end the Cold War entailed opening trade relations and winding down the militaries for both sides. These policies (and concessions related to them) led to the USSR's fall.
@@hyhhy The USSR didn't fall, it was unilaterally dismantled by Gorbacheva and Yeltsin
Hey who else is glad that hubert narrated this video?
Kinda sounds like an Ayyyy Eye version bit I might be cray
@@swedishfish2357 They can do that now, possible, I don't hear it though
Thank you for remember the role of Merkel. She was responsable for the two main problems in today's Europe: mass emigration and energy dependence.
plus military nudism, labor market retardation, lack of financial discipline, excessive media control and disregard for the German flag.
Europe is in serious demographic decline, migration is one way to combat that. Improving relations with a former adversary via trade is also not unreasonable.
It’s easy now to hate on this with 20/20 hindsight. But if you go digging into other european policies you find the same elements. It’s just fashionable to single out GER as the entertainment value of „Molotov-Ribbentrop 2.0“ just gets more clicks.
@@mortmortannon6640 the question here is the intensity of both massive emigration with no rules or proper integration and being over dependent on one single-trouble-making-country in a strategic question as the energy sources. But she was raised in East Germany and spoke fluent russian. Conspiracy?
Emigration? So is everyone running away from Europe?
@@mortmortannon6640 true but has Germany learned from the failure of appeasement and acceptance of a belligerent Russia in active hybrid war with the EU and NATO? Your leadership still want to appease Herr Putin.
Good as always GTBT As you say we need to extract raw resources here in Europe instead of buying from china its time to become independent of critical materials
Europe? Don't you mean Africa?
Yeah we can't be repeating mistakes like this.
@@SA2004YG theres "rare" materials in Europe we just havent extracted them because of pollution and expensense that will change though already is in Sweden
@@TheGrace020Thanks for the update on Swedish mining. I wish all of you in Europe the best in these endeavors.
Another thing that would help a great deal is greater investment in the nuclear sector. Nuclear involves a third of the mining of solar or wind, even before considering the mining required for battery storage (this includes all the uranium needed for 40 years of operations).
You could get more uranium than you could ever possibly need from Canada and Australia (competition would prevent either one from trying to extort)
It's just as they used to say in France, "we don't have oil, but we have ideas."
Not all reserves are expansive like china
Just increase tariffs and be selective about which resources to save and which to, you guys took over other countries for a few reasons. Resource reserves were one
And now Russia will have to put itself in dependence of another buyer... China
i remember Dzokhar Dudaev predicting a fight for crimea back in the 90s
There was no war for crimea.
@@ivanbastos4963 It's right now, genius.
Lol @@ivanbastos4963
@@matyaksenton4301the West cheered when Yeltsin shelled Russian parliament in 1993 and rigged elections in 1996, you weren't unaware, you were creating it yourselves willingly.
2014 wasnt the first time russians tried to make a move on crimea, there was another attempt in the 90s but Ukrainians were too strong back then and their security agencies dealt with it
Fossil fuels: reasons to minimize dependence upon - numerous.
Reasons to rely solely upon: none.
Why did the "Power of Siberia 2" pipeline to China not negotiated? If Russian gas was so cheap, why would China refuse to deal? Putin himself went to close the deal, but nope. Russia is learning that it is hard to find good customers.
Why make the deal if they will eventually just annex the region.
@@tx-ur4qw that chinese annexation wont happen no where near within the timeframe a cheap deal would ostensibly cover. i think its more likely that the chinese see how the russians operate, as its similar to their modus operandi, and they dont wish to entertain that idea. The chinese do it with their belt and road initiative. The russians use their gas, instead.
@kyoungd China knows exactly how Russia operates and has learned from the mistakes of the EU. They will never rely solely for Russia on energy.
@@worldeconomicfella3228 The EU is now basically solely dependent on US-controlled energy... Before, it was not solely dependent on either Russia or the US. Now the US can (and does) rip the EU off massively with energy. This is why the EU's economy is doing even worse than it already did before.
@@hyhhyHello again, hyhhy. I see you’re still supporting Russia.
interesting to hear that soviet era strategy already to weaponize energy. I never heard of that and it is useful counterpoint for pro putin views that russia wasnt passively "provoked" but actively created these crisis in europe past decades after soviet union, following soviet plans.
there is no need for any counterpoints, as their argument lacks any merit, and entertaining them by trying to disprove them only legitimizes their idea, they dont want to listen, they want to speak, you wont change their views, those people are called Tanky's.
@@dogsbecute Im more thinking towards Merkel type appeasement... maybe russians were clever in hiding all this and delayed it all until all was set and invasion started 2022... preparing 10-20years that dependence and western politicians took blind eye to it as it concerned more eastern europe not germany afaik. If Merkel and others knew about these problems when they were making these gaspipe plans 15-20 years ago Im truly baffled what were they thinking. It is possible politicians in their ambitions ignore red flags.
@@dogsbecute idk if reply went away but I was thinking Merkel and what they were thinking making gas contracts with russia(many others did too)... could be politician ambition to get things done blind to red flags despite warnings.
Truly baffling to me are Marine Le Pen type people who underestimate their voters to use pro russia propaganda talking points and to me seems they do it deliberately as it is consistent. Opportunism at finest which is disappointing coz their cause and support base is real but not for that issue.... they wouldnt need to use that theme.
Wandel durch Handel translates to Change through trade, not change for trade.
That probably sounded too reasonable for the creator’s taste.
@mortmortannon6640 Not likely. Neither German nor English is the presenters first language. It's a small mistake and the meaning is clear either way.
He’s pronouncing the th like f because of his accent, which makes it sound like „for“ instead of „through“
compare it with when he says „through“ a few seconds later
Saaremaa and Hiiumaa are wrong/missing on every map you show, but you top that 100x by giving Crimea a different color than the rest of Ukraine
Crimea is Russian
@@hello-rq8kf how so
No it is not. Russia want to keep it but that aint happening.
Crimea was conquered by Russian Empress in 18th century then in 1954 Nikita gave it to Ukraine Ukraine didn't conquer it ,it was given
At 4:19 there is a funny map, where Soviet Georgia stretches into the North Caucasus - this was a temporary thing from 1944 to 1957, while the Chechens&Ingushs and the Karachai-Balkars where deportet to Central Asia and their land was assigned to their neighbours 😃
Great perspective! Thank you!
Just published "Ukraine's War: Strategy and Tactics to Victory" on that famous online bookseller. Includes free preview, enjoy.
A book you wrote? Congrats
I believe that Northstream 1 reduced capacity at the beginning of the war is due to the fact that Canadian government prevented a Canadian company to ship to Russia a key component of the pipeline that was in maintenance in their Canadian facility due to the sanctions. German government was upset about it. However, I might have been misinformed by our state news corporation... 🤷
That was a made up reason by Russia. They had enough spare Turbines to replace the one blocked by Canada. Accordingly when Canada released the Turbine, Russia just made up reasons why it couldn't be imported. Not much later they reduced deliveries to 0 anyway.
@@peanutbanane915 yes that was putting pressure and getting a higher price for their gas. The part was just a way of blaming someone other than themselves.
Cheers. For the algorithm
"change via trade" is the correct translation
You don't really need a video to understand that EUrope is screwed when it comes to energy. Why they moved away from Nuclear power is a total mystery. And importing Muslims was doubling down on further insanity.
That's because Europe does not have a steady source of nuclear fuel... and countries within it that do, would again hold the power against those who don't. That is why the green energy initiative is dominating in Europe - the point is to make an energy source that is independent of a foreign power/import. Even if it is expensive and requires a lot more investment to cover all the needs, it is much better from strategic and security standpoint than depending on import... however cheap it might be.
It is a long term strategy and a very smart one. It has little to do with "healthy environment" and almost everything with making countries independent from energy (or fuel) imports for industry. Still, hydrocarbons will dominate the transportation sector for a very long time, but if the primary industries and energy needs for the network can be produced in-country completely, for regardless how much money - that's a winner!
As for Muslim import, that too is a long term game. Elites don't really care about what working class thinks, how they behave etc. Europe has a huge population problem - not enough reproduction. And high(er) standards of living have caused many people to avoid very bad jobs in the first two industrial sectors - we all strive to work in the third. In case you don't know, first is raw resource extraction and heavy industry, secondary is light industry and good manufacture, third are basically all services. Not patronizing you, just mentioning as not everyone knows the basic distribution of economy sectors.
The goal is to offset the population decline by Muslim immigration and have those migrants work in the lower paying jobs, leaving better jobs for domestic population. And it also comes in handy in the future, if something really bad happens, you will always have a population that is not fully integrated, that you can put a blame on.
Yes, it creates a fairly unstable society, but that is the point. The jobs will get done, consumption will not fall, and there will always be enough tension within the society and blame-game so that some fails and problems can be masked by "Hey, look at those different folks, it must be THEIR fault!".
Europe cannot operate the way it did until now. The world is changing. And the way it worked in our lifetime was not how it always worked - in Europe it changes drastically over the course of history when the world stage changes - so it is really nothing new. It is new to US because we live in the time of change. But, on a historical scale, this is nothing new for Europe. Times start to change, elites want to stay elites so they start implementing policies that will benefit THEM primarily in that new world that is growing around them. It has nothing to do with the wishes of the people - to be fair, smart politician never really bothers too much with that. Because people, even if they managed to unify in a certain request, they would not know how to go around doing it.
"We want affordable energy and not to depend on anyone!!!" - sure, sure... and how do you plan to do that?
"We want quality and high paying jobs that do not reduce our standard of living!!!" - of course you do, and how do you plan on doing that in a world riddled with economic crisis and recession?
People have desires, but they have absolutely no idea how to make them happen. They never did. If they did, they would be implementing them, not talking about them in vague and usually meaningless terms. "I want a better life!!!" - as do we all, but the term "better" is subjective and in the terms of policy it means #uck all my friend.
You went from energy policies to all out racism in the span of a sentence. Pretty impressive.
@@Wustenfuchs109 Your argument against importing uranium is completely not true. I see that you aim at France, implying it would dominate imports from its former African colonies. But that is simply not the case. Even France receives only a small minority of it's uranium from its former colonies.
Here are top uranium producing countries in order from most to least: Kazakhstan (45% of world production), Namibia (former Portuguese colony) (12%), Canada, Australia, Uzbekistan, Russia, Niger (former French colony), China, India, Ukraine.
So with Ukraine we would have uranium resources on our doorstep - OR within EU even. The rest is a pretty diverse bunch of EU allies, rivals and non-aligned countries.
There is zero, I repeat, ZERO, NADA, ZILCH geopolitical risk in using nuclear energy.
@@thomas19994it has noting to do with race but rather incompatible ideology / culture.
@@thomas19994Islam is a religion not a race. And muslims are not compatible with European cultures.
Ao, I'm4 minutes in.
I'll put forward my long held theory - The invasion is because Ukraine found and began to develop their gas fields, which the USSR, sorry, Ruzzia, has since over run, or has within the sights of its artillery. No Ukrainian gas for Europe, so you must continue to buy Ruzzian has!
Not going to happen. Russian supply manipulation and blackmail is too deeply ingrained into european mindsets now
Not just that, they're part of Poland's ring of democratic states. Today I learned from Russia-Poland's history in Ukraine Russia considers any Polish influence east of Poland a threat to their regime. You see, up until the 19th century the upper class/nobility of Ukraine people spoke Polish. And this Polish nobility from time to time wanted to restore the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth several times, but Russia had a time they simply were too weak to get rid of that Polish nobility. It took them like 3 serious revolt before the Russians were fed up of them and have set up Russian language universities to start harsh Russification of Poland.
The threat of the Poles continued into the 20th century with the Soviet loss against Poland and Soviet Russia thought Nazi Germany was the country to solve the Polish question for them. They didn't. Nazi-Germany became the new Polish problem until after a really bad invasion the Soviets pushed them back into Germany with Western help. Poland always strong and stubborn. I don't know much of Communist Poland, but I know the end started with Solidarność which also was the start of the end of the Soviet Union. After that Poland was the country responsible for eastwards NATO expansion by the Polish diaspora blackmailing Bill Clinton. In both of Ukraine's revolutions against Yanukovych Poland was the one country to finish the revolution and fix Ukraine's democracy this way with the aim to bring Ukraine in Poland's sphere of influence, not Russia's. So Victoria Nuland and the CIA might have played a role during Euromaidan and the Dutch too by helping Ukraine with shale gas and the little media contribution by the 🇺🇸🇳🇱 collab at hromadske, but eventually it's Poland who has the biggest say. And o boy, for Russia to solve the Polish question this time NATO needs to be destroyed, the EU and probably especially the Polish led VOLT Party, the US has to be turned isolationist and South Korea should be made unable to export anything abroad. And the Chinese-US relationship should be totally screwed up so Poland is goingto face China instead of being good trade partners with it. This is why we see Russia trying to destroy the world order. Poland is protected by a global network, but Russia is also going after other sources where this Polish trauma or what Russia probably would call the "square of despair" is coming from and all the sources it's being fed by.
thank you for the information. you have given me much to explore.
i don't mean to be a nic-picker, but it seems you made a small error calling india russia. i know it's an easy mistake to make and only draw attention to it so you will be aware.
20:35 rebuild energy dependencies on Russia and China among others however both of.....
Nit
10:11 ACTUALLY, nuclear was a MARGINAL part of the electric power production at the time anyways.
..and the gas didn't primarily go to electric power generation but HEATING.
What is the map being displayed at 4:26 ? it looks interesting
Remember when a American politician said EU dependence on Russian gas might have unpleasant consequences? Remember when he was laughed at and called a fool. Not so funny now is it?
We, în Europe repplied: "No worries, we got this"
Dope video baby
I like your channel. Keep going.
Нарадзіўся я літвінам - Т.Касцюшка.
Мы, літвіны!
Мы Vialikaja Літва!
So what??
Thank you❤
thanks!
Always stoked to see a new GTBT vid on my feed!
9:44 no, power supply by 🌞 and 🌬️ ISN'T "unstable and erratic".
..if you understand statistics and systems.
In a well built power grid ranging 2k kilometers North-South and East-West shortages and surpluses pretty much cancel each other out.
But this is Germany's and Europe's actually "Achilles heel", because we didn't invest enough early on.
..and even slowed down development for reasons such as France protecting their nuclear electric power production from CHEAPER Spanish 🌞
Gorbachev was an environmentalist but by accident Putin looks to be doing far more for the environment in the long run by speeding up the end of the fossil fuel age.
Forgot to add the endscreen.
Trade is never wrong
Can't blame Germans for Putlers ambitions. Trade benefits all partners.
Edit: Ofc you don't trade with people that want to destroy you or dominate you, thats just stupid.
Yeah, the edited part is the key though. Germany has been warned multiple times by eastern EU member states and should also have drawn it's own conclusions from what Russians said or did. Instead, despite being a supposed EU leader they have made trade deals with a hostile autocratic regime, undermining the economic security of other EU democracies. Nord Stream allowed Russia to bypass existing pipelines, giving them the option to cut off Poland from gas in the middle of the winter for example (due to "technical problems" or whatever excuse they could come up with) without losing the western markets. The irony is that Poland and the Baltics prepared themselves for the scenario where Russia would cease providing gas to their economies while Germany has exposed itself completely. In that regard you absolutely can blame Germany and trade was indeed a very wrong thing to do.
@@liquidrock8388 good points, maybe the reason is collective psyche of the germans wanting to clear themselves of the sin of Operation Barbarossa? So even though they kind of knew this was a mistake, the guilt of WW2 forced them into wishful thinking to clear themselves of sin by trading with Russia.
@@liquidrock8388Russia always delivered to Germany despite really bad political situations in these decades, so why should Germany listen to Poland in this case. Russia even now at the moment delivers gas through Ukraine to Hungary and Austria. The Polish fear to get no gas cause of the German northstream pipeline may be a problem for Poland but not for Germany so who of the project stakeholders cares or should have cared?
@@andreasgregorfrank9057 Other than the fact that it was shameful to betray fellow members of the EU like that? Well, I guess Germany is happy to receive all the cheap Russian gas... oh wait, they're not.
@@andreasgregorfrank9057 if thats the case, why the fuck Germany created the European Union and promote its expansion? Its a no brainer that if Poland fall to Russia the next in the line is Germany
Please do a report on the East Med Pipeline. How much of the gas from East Med is replacing Russian gas? Who owns East Med gas? This will enlighten many as to why the current wars are happening.
The best RUclips channel on geopolitical issues, together with Caspian Report!
You can go back ever more years. When Stalin redrew borders and gave Polish Lviv and Russian Donbass to Ukraine, he was probably meaning to chain it to Russia. Same as with Russification of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, (where Russian settlers moved in) giving Dobnass and Crimea meant this state had a significant ethnic Russian minority. Over time Soviets of course also culturally Russified the population. I don't disagree with the video, but this would not be "1st sources of the war in Ukraine", maybe "2nd sources".
2:24 and following:
some awesome images of my hometown Bonn*, probably in the late 50s or early 60s, I'd never seen before.
*Capital of Germany at the time, until reunification
Thinking about that the US sanctioned Germany to prevent the build of pipelines - that reminds me of the question who blew up Nordstream 2.
It seems the motivation is the strongest in the USA side - while Russia can prevent the gas flowing by turning the valves on their side, the US only has the option of pressuring Germany, or blowing up the pipe. Ukraine lacks both the motivation and the means.
The Sweeds know the answer - but they're intimidated enough not to tell. Who can intimidate the Sweeds? The US - sure. Russia - not so much.
So yeah, we need to get familiar with the thought that the US is not a friend of Europe. Not at all.
betting big on nuclear? who has the uranium?
In friendlies? Canada and Australia have a absurd amounts.
there is a complex pipeline of uranium supply where Russia dominates, I believe
There's quite a few undeveloped deposits in Europe as well, but people around them won't be happy, so nothing is done..
Uranium is all over the place and we have remarkable amounts given how early we have arrived in the timeline of the universe. In case you are wondering, uranium, gold, tungsten, cobalt, and heavier elements require crazy events to occur to generate them in the levels we have them on earth. We are likely the early recipients of nearly a dozen cycles of star creation and death to get our level of metallicity. TLDR; if we want most of these things such as uranium they exist more abundantly than people imagine.
Russia, Canada, Australia, Kazakhstan, Niger
i think dugan plays a large part in it too
My county of Romania, Bulgaria our southern neighbor and Turkey sit near major oil and gas pockets that can be easily mined, all we need is some aid and poof we are in business, help us build them up, and let us use our own people for the work then we will share the riches with you, that was the 2008 plan WFH happened,
And in conclusion, Russia Delenda Est.
Never again
Timor leste oil thieves agree. Only they have right to steal oil
That has been tried. Last time it resulted in Russians marching to Berlin. The time before that it resulted in Russians marching to Paris.
Ask Napoleon and Hit ler how that went for them 😂
@@hyhhy nah, you can try to remain optimistic, although Russia's determination "paying off" and achieving Metro2033-ish fate seems more plausible
Uploaded 43 seconds ago. Very nice!
9:35 rational take on natural gas alert
now they bow to Qatar
As much as I admire the intricacies of your theory, let’s face it, this doctrine was purely economic from the German perspective as it was from the Soviet perspective ....
I thought it was called the Merkel Doctrine?
Outstanding analysis, thank you!
Nordstream sabotage hmm? I wonder who did that...
The SIBIRJAKOV is a Russian naval research vessel that circled and shuttled over the explosion site for days before the explosions. It has a cable tray on board that can be used to lay cables or hoses. It has a small, manned submarine and can launch boats.
On June 9, 2022, the SIBIRJAKOV was close to the explosion site north of Bornholm. In the days that followed, she sailed very close to the Nordstream pipelines and several times up and down a few nautical miles above the explosion site.
What about war in Balkans?
Said Russia instead of India
Ok
Caspian report ?
Brilliant Analysis 👍🏼
Foe more than 2 years of war there was no significant damage (even by accident) on pipelines, on Ukraine territory, connected to the west. Neither by Russian nor by Ukrine. How come?
Both rely on it for income.
If you a gad and oil exporter it's doesn't mean it always good, because you can always to find exporter to import from
Wow, that's a really one-sided take on the story
"Let us begin with this evident fact: Muscovy does not belong at all to Europe, but to Asia. It follows that judging Muscovy and the Muscovites by our European standards is a mistake to be avoided."-gonzague de reynold, 19501 In methodological terms, one should de-Europeanise any analysis of Muscovy policy.- thomas gomart, 20062 "
"We belong to none of the great families of the human race; we are neither of the West nor of the East, and we have the traditions of neither.
Placed as if outside time, the universal education of the human race has not reached us. (...) This admirable linking of human ideas in the succession of ages, this history of the human spirit, which has brought it to the state it is in today in the rest of the world, has had no effect on us."
Piotr Tchaadaev (friend of Pushkin), Philosophical Letter I , 1830
@@chrisrobert5252 "Благодаря невероятно успешной внешней политике путина у нас всегда будут полные холодильники! " - заявил директор Ростовского морга 🇷🇺 ...
Its war in Ukraine. War in Europe involves a lot more Germans booting around.
👍
Who actually funds the green movement? I have my suspects.
Moscow was funding elements of the German Greens as far back as the 1970s. There's evidence of that. Worth a hunt.
When he started about illegal annexation and 'imperial' etc. I stopped watching the video
✋✋ Philippines
+
No. You draw a fine picture of correlation, but that doe not imply a causation.
If the gas pipelines (which run through the central and northern parts of Ukraine) were the cause, why have the Russians been so geo-focused on the southeastern oblasts. No. Draw a line from Moscow, through those oblasts and continue the line. Where does it lead? The Black Sea. If you want to know why a beast moves in a particular direction, follow the beast.
How Russian expansionism led to war in Europe.
So the question slowly arises as to whether you are sponsored by the nuclear lobby
So basically it's the Germans fault... again
türkçe altyazi neden yok?
learn english
@@Bibben no dont care. there are many languages, but there is no Turkish. You are being racist.
it's a video for Europeans...
@@thegreatdane3627 If Türkiye is not a European country and you will always exclude Turkish, why did you admit it to NATO? Why did you give us money and build walls on the borders to protect us from refugees?
@@thegreatdane3627 If Türkiye is not in Europe, why did you take it to NATO? Why are you paying billions of euros to keep ref*ug*ees in Turkey? Why are you building walls around your borders?
Deutschland Deutschland 🇩🇪
Wir wollen alles Erdgas der Welt
Germany gave up Russian oil and gas by supporting Ukraine and providing aid to the Ukrainians. They know that in some point the Russian just will cut of the supply
Didn't that already happen?
@@peterflohr7827no the nord pipeline got bombed by someone
No gas got shut off beside that, europe still buys russian gas, russia never stopped selling
@@meteorknight999 the gas flow was shut off a month before the pipeline was damaged.
@@thegreatdane3627 russia knew it would be blown up, are you underestimating soviet intelligence services which still alive today ? They arent dead yet you know.
@@meteorknight999 of course they knew, it was done by themselves.
Germany doesn't need Russian gas
They really do
@@Hypogean7 they don't.
@@trillionbones89 They do. Germany is still struggling to source their gas from other nations, so prices gave gone way up
@@Hypogean7 They really don't
Who are they getting gas from and at what cost?
10:20 this is simply a lie. Electricity prices rose in all of Europe, even though Germanys nuclear plants only accounted for 5% of the total electricity. Why are you lying just for dramatic effect?
He never said nuclear was the only cause for this. But if they kept their nuclear reactors online they would have had (depending on when you're looking) 12% or 20% nuclear power on the grid. which would clearly have helped reduce dependence on russia. the switch off of nuclear is in all regards just a bad policy.
Although to be fair, he could maybe have been a bit more elaborate about the causes. But I dont think that's the core of the topic so I can understand why he didnt
@@timobrenn Bad policy? They will lost near 200 billions euro for the next 10 years for that. It's not a bad policy, it's a pure subversion
Take away 5% of relatively cheap electricity and replace it with expensive electricity (which didn't need to be used before), in a system where the most expensive generation determines the price. Hmmm... I wonder what will happen to the electricity price.
@@hyhhy Which isn't what happened because after the end of nuclear power prices have actually dropped
@@heyho4770 Prices SPIKED at first. Then some industry was closed, as it became uncompetitive with expensive electricity (and other commodities, such as natural gas in the chemical industry). That deindustrialization then caused electricity to become cheaper again (although not as cheap as it was). The end result is seen in lagging GDP numbers.
It takes a certain level of intelligence to understand such system-wide effects instead of staring at a single number.
Germans need to admit they got played by russia, and fix their mistakes. Ukraine is the key to make russia pay.
Played?
This arrangement lasted decades, Germany must have saved 10's or hundreds of billions in that time.
Like 40 years of rock bottom prices, so played.
@@tedcrilly46 You probably missed the pictires of russian tanks with "to Berlin" written on them. History often repeats itself.
The Russian trick failed. Germany did not abandon Ukraine because of gas. They immediately started heavy sanctions. They also changed their pacifist policies and are now one of the biggest supporters of Ukraine. The Russian strategy completely failed to pacify the EU
@@tedcrilly46 So becoming reliant on Russian gas was good because a bunch of people made alot of money off of it?
Yeah, most certainly a brilliant plan
@@Ramschat Sort of true, but why then Ukraine only gets so little help? Just barely enough to survive. If we would have more AntiAir, the children's hospital could have been saved.
The channels name should be changed for GTBT to R vs U .
Why? It's an european channel about geopolitics. And you are surprised that there are materials about geopolitics in europe?
Russian mind cannot comprehend someone not bowing down to their pressure.
Thanks for the good analysis. The two Nord Streams were created in order to abandon the gas pipeline through Ukraine, Poland and Slovakia in order to trade directly with Germany. This means that the Germans themselves would trade Russian gas with the rest of Europe.
The British, Russia's old geopolitical enemy, did not like this, nor did their American colleagues, who were enraged by the presence of the Russian military in Syria. They did everything to ensure that the war continued and that Russia weakened. In the end, this only revealed the weakness of the Western hegemons and the weakness of the British economy.
No one wants a too strong and independent Germany..
@louismartin3206 If Germany was completely dependent on Russia, they would not be independent.
@@rocksmo3384 Russian gas fueled German industry for more than 50 years (remember Willy Brandt). And not only German.
According to your logic, Germany was a monstrously dependent country. This is not true. Think for yourself, why does Germany need to build 2 Nord Streams and then have them blow up by the British? These are colossal losses.
"Russian leech" lmfao that is no way to treat your energy supplier Holy Russia.
Germany’s irrational closure of its ☢️ plants, irrational fear of ☢️ power and irrational belief they can achieve carbon reductions w/out ☢️ energy is confounding. In this case its citizens irrationality. We know what the motivations of gov leaders was, which was owned by Russian energy money though.
it was because of the knee jerk reaction to the Fukashima meltdown, and pressure from the green party.
@@worldofdoom995 Yes, but as you indicated that response was irrational itself. Fukushima was built in the worst possible place, had a once-a-millennium quake and tsunami, was poorly run and still could have avoided a melt down had 🇯🇵 not been too proud to accept help from the US / other countries w/powerful logistics and nuclear expertise.
@@worldofdoom995 Green party is commnunistic russian party
Nort stream pipeline had a technical problem? It was blown up by Nato 🤣
German unification was not good East should remain a separate country
Dude said Moscow empire
Because thats what it really was. The Russian Empire with a red coat of paint.
That's exactly what it is. The Empire of Muscovy. Everything else is a colony of Moscow
Moscow empire was renamed to Russia to have casus belli to conquer "Land of Rus (eng. Ruthenia)" andbe considered as a true heir of Kievan Rus. Today's Belarus, Ukraine and portion of south east Poland. Calling Russia as Moscow removes their false claims to those lands.
This is common practice to call as some bigger title to have claims on other titles that are controlled in fact by others for much much longer than they even had something in common before.
@@michanowak3001That's like saying the USA is the Washington DC empire.
@Hypogean7 no actually because massive amounts of wealth and infrastructure are spread throughout the US.
This video is an excellent example for defining such a word as: Propaganda.
For every action or inaction in the market, there can be more than one point of view. But when “analytics” is built entirely from the points of view of one side and does not even try to maintain a balance, it simply becomes so absurd that it is even funny.
What is most frightening is the large number of people who accept such tabloid analytics, and they have the right to vote on an equal basis with everyone else.
Ent that the truth.
Auther is really not wise. He said buying gaz for 200 from russia is bad thing. Better to buy for 500 from USA. Also he relates to some soviet conceptuon, but first europe pioeline were build after disband of warsaw pact. No logic. No animation. No brains
I rather see actors in a capitalist market place, not a communist master plan to rule the world. Nobody in the West forced them to purchase cheap energy, it just made sense as an economic decision. To bring NATO to the doorsteps of the Kremlin was, however, a political and military decision, and that was where the problem started, not with the gas, but with the tanks.
Finland jumped into NATO. Did the US use a Jedi mind trick? Or did Finnish people feel enough is enough?
Who has been warning about RF since the 1990s and has suffered terrible cyber attacks from Russia: The Baltics and also Poland. They could not escape Russian influence fast enough. NATO didn't need to seek to expand. Countries wanted protection from Russia. Without protection you end up ceding your sovereignty... Look at the role of Chechnya's warlord and soldiers today. They fought two wars against Moscow and lost and now act as barrier troops shooting those that retreat. Do you want that for the Ukrainians after every Ukrainian book is burned and the language and culture is outlawed as Moscow did under Stalin in the 1930s and under Catherine the German, and under Peter Pettigrew the Great mouse?
By the way, before the war there were 600 Russian speaking schools in Ukraine and 0 Ukrainian speaking schools in Russia. To claim this is some East West or capitalist system fight is to ignore the centuries of Russian denial of Ukrainian culture and the Russian imperialist ambitions that aimed to go at least all the way into Poland and be the truly great European nation to the North that they dream of: to be taken seriously finally.
Before 2005 everything was perfect. Russia sold gas to Ukraine cheap af, ukrainians even resold the gas. Ukraine had about 10% GDP growth in 2002, 2003, 2004. Fair to say, Russia paid for Ukrainian economic development. In 2005 they elected Ushenko, a man who promised Ukranians a lot of good stuff. Instead, he adopted a law about "Holodomor genocide", than he demanded Russia to pay for gas transitions as much Russia paid Poland. Putin said "ok, but now you will pay for gas as much, as Europeans do".
Ukrainian economy growth in 2005 was about 2%. Ofc, Ushenko blaimed Russia.
In the next elections Ushenko lost very hard, he was thrown out of politics completely.
But he accomplished his goal - to start a Ukr-Rus "cold war".
It is a total mystery for me why ukrainians elected this idiot, he brought nothing but trouble, ruined everything good.
We gonna talk about how Trump called Germany out for this at the UN, and everybody laughed at him?
They didn't laugh at what he said, but how he said it. The guy's an inveterate idiot.
Did you know that every, really every, President since 1990 said that? The only difference is that with Trump a big story was made out of it.
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So Europeans prefer to pay LNG gas which is super expensive than to buy russian gas which is dirt cheap there expenses as an Economic stand point this is a nightmare is raises prices on everything unless every is Electric no one wonder there trying to speed up the green energy which is crazy Lithium is other countries like an africa mexico asia
brilliant is crap
The anti russian sentiment is perfectly clear in your analysis , examples are like themost aggresssive military regiment in euroasia is no one but nato just take a look at their records of bombing sovereign nations.
russia is the only country in Europe that has annexed parts of their neighbors territory since WW2...
@@thegreatdane3627Cyprus, Yugoslav wars?
Nobody in NATO ever wanted antagonism with Russia. NATO reduced its forces in Europe massively and continously. The old western countries couldn't even imagine conflict with Russia.
@@thegreatdane3627 Annexation has happened due to the shelling of native russians in those regions , according to a united nation convention if there are two neighouring countries next to each other and all of a sudden one country decides to ethnically cleanse a population in their country who are ethnically from the neighbouring country , the country that has ethnic nationals on the otherside can ennex the territories to save the ethnic population ! it is not me who have written international law but it seems to me that law does not apply to USA and its allies only to the rest of the world.
by the way i am not a pro putin regime but real politics are REAL politics and therefore u cant blend in judgement , bias , emotions and fiction, which to me seems like the european sentiment these days are highly relied on !
welcome to polish propaganda channel
polish imperialist channel. pure propaganda.