The Indian Elections that Shocked All Election Experts | Pradeep Bhandari's Exit Poll (Gone Wrong)
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- Опубликовано: 2 июл 2024
- In episode 152 of PG Radio, we discuss the recent Lok Sabha Elections 2024, with only three days left until the results are announced. Join us as we analyze the potential outcomes, key players, and pivotal moments that have defined this election season.
Our guest for this episode is Pradeep Bhandari @JanKiBaat1 a renowned journalist, news anchor, and psephologist. He is the founder and editor-in-chief of Jan Ki Baat, a platform known for its grassroots-level reporting and comprehensive election coverage. Pradeep has a track record of accurately predicting various elections through his on-ground surveys, demographic research, and data analytics.
With the election season behind us, Pradeep offers a detailed state-by-state analysis, discussing the impact of various factors on voter behavior and party performance.
#election2024 #loksabhaelection2024 #exitpoll
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Produced by- Ansh Bhatnagar
Host- Prakhar Gupta
This is what we talked about:
00:00 - Pradeep Bhandari’s Prediction for Lok Sabha Elections 2024
07:17 - Dhruv Rathee’s Impact on the Elections
12:14 - Why Narendra Modi Never Debates Rahul Gandhi
16:21 - Kejriwal’s Arrest and Its Impact on the Elections
17:11 - Why is Voter Turnout Lower in 2024?
22:47 - Who is the Most Impactful Voter in Elections 2024?
23:05 - Modi’s Contribution to BJP’s Dominance in 2024
24:09 - State-by-State Predictions by Pradeep Bhandari
24:13 - Prediction for Haryana
26:30 - Prediction for Maharashtra
30:15 - Prediction for Karnataka
31:53 - Prediction for Kerala
32:59 - Prediction for Tamil Nadu
35:00 - Prediction for Telangana
39:05 - Prediction for Andhra Pradesh
41:35 - Prediction for North-Eastern States
43:33 - Prediction for Odisha
47:05 - Prediction for Chhattisgarh
48:25 - Prediction for Delhi
51:20 - Prediction for West Bengal
55:30 - Prediction for Madhya Pradesh
58:56 - Prediction for Uttar Pradesh
1:01:54 - Prediction for Gujarat
1:02:20 - Prediction for Rajasthan
1:03:50 - Prediction for Punjab
1:05:00 - Prediction for Uttarakhand
1:05:10 - Prediction for Himachal Pradesh
1:05:23 - Prediction for Ladakh and Jammu & Kashmir
1:06:05 - Predictions for Union Territories
1:06:30 - Performance of BJP in 2024 vs. 2019
1:09:01 - Pradeep’s Claim: “Rahul Gandhi Can Go to Jail if BJP Comes to Power in 2024”
1:13:30 - Will BJP Change the Constitution if They Win in 2024?
PLEASE PRAKHAR INVITE FOR ANOTHER PODCAST i wanna see his reaction now💀
😂😂😂
😂😂😂
love the new thumbnail 😂
@@charlie23295 savage prakhar 😭😭
Most probably he is preparing for next interview😂😂
Who wants prakhar to call him again 👇
😂😂
Bula lo @prakhar
Prakhar beechara left se right mein jump maara aur satta palat gayi.....😂😂
Is so called arrogant psephologist ko dubara bulao! Is bande mein itna arrogance hai ki bas gussa ata hai
❤❤ me
9.8 Degree of confidence pe moot diya logo ne😂😂😂
Specially UP walo ne😂😂
Khalid muh khol main bhi taiyaar hun.
Aur Mohammed(rasooll) se bhi puch lena.
Moot pine ka kam to sanatuni krte hn, (Gau mootra) sah pariwar piyo. @@analyst-ue3ni
16:30
Mai bas newest comment padhne aaya hu 😂
😂 same
@@ashifarman4813 Modi fir se PM ban rahe hain....apne liye burnol kharide ki nhi....agar nhi kharde toh wahi mirchi ragad lo pichwade mei 😂
Mne toh phle hi comment kar rakhi thi ki ye chu. Bana raha hai 😂😂😂
Andhnamazi 😂
mera purana comment padho
I'm from Assam:
Before 2014: roads didn't EXIST in Assam, only potholes and ferry crossing, forget about hill states like Arunachal Meghalaya Nagaland.
NOW: You can do 120kmph in Arunachal, Meghalaya to China and Bangladesh boarders.
😮😮 wow
BJP❤❤
Yes even worst before 2000 ..development happen over time..
Good quality Bridges as well brother
Nitin gadkari, Narendra modi, bjp
The comment section has been really silent for the past few hrs👌🏻
Please call him again...want to see his reaction. Such an arrogant person, mocking yogendra yadav...now it seems only he got it right rest have failed.
yoya always predicts like this, it was just a guess gone right for the first time
@@AnkitJain-us4moexactly
Please don't call such incompetent people on podcast. You wasted our time.
Kisko bula liya bhai
all of these psephologists are mere political puppets
Plz don't call him incompetent yess he is wrong but most of times he is right and he just take survey can't do complete prediction
@@Vs-wb1dmhe is incompetent because his bias came into his results, while he told even he was unbiased it' still was very way off
It's clear that he is very incompetent
All his other election predictions has been always right
2014-democracy in danger
2019-democracy in danger
2024-democracy in danger
2029-LAST CHANCE DOSTO 🤣
~GERMAN resident ABDUL RATHEE
Nice name
🤡
No ,this is was last chance
You are wrong bro , upto 2029 dhruv rathee cannot be alive ...😅😅
😂😅😊😊😊
All predictions almost wrong - UP , WB, RJ , MH, HR , PB. Please call him and debate again and ask where did he went wrong? Ground pe lagta hai dhyan nai diya bhai ne! Foolish overconfidence at its peak
I would say ki ground pe kuch jyada hi dhyan de Diya ki influencers ko bilkul hi ignore mar diya. He doesn't understand that we are living in the era of the internet now
Influencer ghanta faadk krta hai politics mai mere bhai bs politics hai bhai iss bar mohaul kharap hi tha sb partyke workers ko pata tha bjp weak hoga isbar@@hiteshkumar-ym1pz
He is just pretending to have done on ground research,he actually didn't do it and is just using his mouth 👄 to make money by d!ckriding Modi wave
Please call him live now
No exit poll can predict votes of 64.2cr votes
Democracy at its best
Bhai itna confidence aata kaha se hai.
Yogendra Yadav did correct prediction.😂😂😂
9.8 degree of confidence he bhai
😂
Confidence nehi bro Modi ka dalal hai a log 😂
Tired faces of Pradeep Bhandari sums up his hardwork
Hats off 👏👏
faces? 😂 how many faces he has
dhoop me rang pakka hogya bhai ka
pehle ladki jaisa lagta hai, ab sahi hai
@@shiftenter10 glti se s lg gya bro
@@shiftenter10 he means expressions I think
True
Now time to ask who is Pradeep Bhandari 😂😅
😂😂😂😂😂
Scam aadmi hai his license to operate should be cancelled
Bring this guy back, I wonder what he has to say now
Famous last words "zero impact of dhruv on Indian election"😂😂😂😂
🤣🤣🤣
😂😂 , ghamand aur gaand dono faad di jantaa ne
You think Uttar Pradesh folks hear Dhruv Rathee? Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, MP, Gujarat, Odisha, Himachal Pradesh, Delhi have given almost 100% of its seats to BJP. BJP fcuked up in UP by trying to help those who don’t vote for them and not helping those who vote for them…
That's correct why did BJP win 7/7 in Delhi where Dhruv was played most?
I had trusted Pradeep so much😢
Bro let his confirmation bias cloud his judgement!!!!!!!!!
Bro predicted 100 more seats
Hats Off 😂
he predicted the vote share most accurately, but ya everyone messed up the seats
Bhai, this guy turned out to be a complete joker 😂😂😂😂
In your video - no proof
Bakwas
Chatugiri
Desi bhakt ❌ Modi Chatu ✅
I am commenting this after election results; he should come to this podcast again and justify his big words.
4 June ko koun koun aaya😂
Yogendra Yadav ❤
Yogendra Yadav was right, Apke analysis ka kya hua?
Bjp 20+ bol raha tha, 60 minus ho gai 🤣🤣🤣
Isko dekh ke hasi nikal jaati h😂😂😂
Ese baat kar raha h jese koi nashedi saste nashe karke baitha ho
Wanna see this dude recording an apology video now
konse ground pr ghuma tha bhai ye🤣🤣🤣 modi ko baap man na band karoge tb dikhegi asli tasveer
Ye sab nakli analysts apne paise banaane ke liye acting kar rahe hai ground research ki hai wagera
Please get him back on the podcast now that the results are out. We need to understand why the results have turned out to be so anti incumbent?!!?!
bhai moot diya pure exit poll pe public ne
Lol bro, so true
16:30
ye poora ground cover kiya
isse achha prediction toh maine ghar baithe baithe kar liya tha
Result ke baad firse Pradeep sir ko podcast pe bulao aur pucho result aisa kaise aa raha hai
BHAI isko message kar...... aur podcast mein fir se bula. aur iski bezaati kar. isko predictions karna nahi aata. pata nahi kaha se confidence la raha tha ye itna podcast mein.
Watching this after 4june , can't stop laughing 🤣🤣🤣
Please put all those clips (which he asked to put on your channel after elections)
Pradeepji, one point of advice. If you are to continue this work, you have to stop being this in awe of Modiji. It's clouding your judgement.
He's arrogant and has overconfidence
100% right he has lost his reason and logic and that will cause him to lose credibility
He is a stupid godi. He will be like this forever
He is a godi.
Ek baat to hai results aane baad ye podcast dekhne me alag hi maja aa raha h😂
Yogendra Yadav was more accurate than you. Ab underground hone ka time aa gya hai. 😁
Bhai isko bulao aur na bulao, clips daal do bhai. Aur ye podcast kabhi delete mat karna. 😂😂😂😂😂
I wish BJP matches exit polls in West Bengal and topples TMC to get majority seats. Though the widespread poll violence, riggings, malpractices (like in Diamond Harbour BJP button was covered with paper so that ppl can't vote) may to worry about. Anyway hope for the best.
Save Democracy & Human Rights in West Bengal.
BJP didn't take any action when it's own party workers were being killed after 2021 post Poll violence so what action they will take now nothing
@@raghavsridhar if they take a direct action, it will strengthen the false narrative of dictatorship and all, which is a huge risk.
I beleive bjp is working behind the scenes to tackle the core issues like it did in Kashmir.
We should atleast see what thry will do in this term.
is this true??
Mamta Begum is not running Government in Bengal, she’s running mafia in Bengal.
It’s also thread to India.
And there is no video from German Shepherd on this 😂
His last words were bang on "Leftists bade intolerant hote hai".
Ok Im going to make a joke against religion now.
Will the public be tolerant, or should I run to a Western country,
@@alani3992 woh toh bana hi rahe ho, and only one religious community does what it does to people who commit blasphemy.
@@alani3992 Ab jake kya karoge west mein bhi abhi tolerance nahi bacha, yad karo Salman Rushdie ko 20 years k bad bhi kaise mara tha & Charli hebdo vala bhi yad karo.
Yahi raho tum safe ho hindu sirf bolenge gala nahi katenge 😀😀😎
@@alani3992 ha bhai you can make joke on hindu..kuch nhi hoga itne salo se nhi hua ab kya hoga. Pr ab challenge krta hu jakr ek muslim community ke samne unke religion pr comment kr..fir idhar aakr btana kya hua agr bach gya to
Left bohot desperate ho Gaya hai.
I am a Modi Bhakt because he stands for Nation first and I just now turned as Pradeep Bhandari Bhakt for his brilliance, integrity and clarity what a gem .❤
We are really feel proud to be Modi bhakt, andha bhakt, nationalist rather than calling congress Chamacha gulami, pappu ka tukde tukde tukde tukde gang member, madarsa chap, left liberandu, rubbishkumar, german cockroach viewer by lutyn or paid media ..
हां भई अमृतकाल चल रहा है।
LOL Pradeep have u ever seen him entertaining any unscripted tough questions?
Chud gyi wo 😂
Scam aadmi hai nakli research ki hai usne
Pradeep Bhandari :- 🤡🤡🤡
Yogendra Yadav :- 🗿🗿🗿
Kuch bhi kaho pr Pradeep Bhandari ne mehnat bahut ki hai... Ek ek naam yaad h bhai ko👍👍
Dikh gaya 😂
ha mehnat to ki hai... bjp ki chaatne me🤡🤡
Bahut mehnat ki💀
Scam aadmi hai bhai ACTING karta hai on ground research ki
Prakhar has become a bhakt now…interesting
Prakhar tere actions and baaton mein bohot differences hai. mirror me dekh ek baar aur bol ki "mein sach me chutiya hu"
Ye video delete nh honi chahiye ab 😃
Impressive, he knows almost every constituency by heart, even the caste issues of Rajasthan were spot on. What a hard working guy.
Scam aadmi hai nakli research ki hai
@@IndiaAgainstSlaveryIAS Everyone makes mistakes man, leave it.
@@gokuLM10no, professional accountability is needed, his license and television presence should be cancelled
@@priyadarshankishoregajbhiy7341 Easy to say this while sitting at home... He hasnt committed any crime, all pollsters did make the same mistake.... Why do you want to destroy someones career? over elections? If you are so annoyed you should really ask as to how and why two terrorists who doesnt believe in Indian Constitution won elections... I am talking about Engineer Rashid and Amritpal Singh... two known problems (Kashmiri and Khalistani Extremism) of the 80s 90s are coming back!!! arent you scared?
Pradeep ji is the best Psephologist .i can c d hardwork done by him in d ground level..he remembers all d name of candidates and constituency of 2019 n 2024 ,who won last tym who lost .
What is psdepologist
@@chadbahadur69 same hearing for the first time
Let's google it
@@chadbahadur69one who analysis elections.
Pr iski prediction to chud gyi😂
He is A bathroom psephologist.
You know what's wrong with this Prateek guy is? It's not that his prediction was wrong, so was mine and many others' but it's the fact that he acted so extremely obnoxious & cocky throughout the election season.
Hope he will learn some humility now.
Thappad khaake nahi sudhra yeh toh😅😅
Just came back to this podcast again to say Pradeep Bhandari...
Haan bhaai?! Aagya swad??!
Always a treat listening to Pradeep; he talks with conviction and like a man who knows his game. Loved it just like last time. Good going, Prakhar bhai!
Seems like he doesn't even know the name of the game...😂😂
@@nancysingh1928 lmao my comment definitely didn't age well💀😭
Pradeep bhandari really hard working at the ground level. He is brilliant articulate and true nationalist. Really hard working 🙏
3:10
9.8 degree of confidence 💀
Prakhar bro isko confidence aur arrogance ka difference samjhao and please invite people who are worthy of listening rather than this biased joker.
I'm from Kerala. I'd like to say that BJP will win 2 or three seats in our state. Thrissur, Thiruvananthapuram and Aattingal. There is also a small chance for BJP to win Alappuzha seat with a very small lead.
In 2019, the BJP vote percentage was 15.64% even at the height of Congress wave because of Rahul Gandhi's decision to contest from Wayanad. In that time, there was a huge perception in the state that Congress would win. This time it was crystal clear BJP is going to come back to power. It's my opinion that the BJP will have an overall vote percentage of 20-25%.
What about Patnamtthitta?
Sobha Surendran is very good . I pray for her win.
@@santusanturohit4832 The candidate BJP fielded is not going to attract the base votes. If they had fielded Surendran like 2019 then there was a chance for his win. But Anil Antony is not charismatic nor does he have any oratory skills. He also has a dynastic stygma associated with him that the BJP voter base would avoid voting for him.
I hope U are right sir ...it will mean finally keralites are waking up...
@@hoomanbeing638 The majority aren't. The average keralalite are arrogant, ignorant and completely so full of themselves. They think Communism is somehow the answer to all of the problems and they never read upon anything related to politics. Most of the local media is filled with communist affiliated people and therefore they always create a narrative that outside Kerala everything is bad.
The small changes that are happening right now is because the communists and Congress have decimated Kerala's economy. They can no longer just cover everything up with media PR work. Social media is also a game changer.
Who’s here after election results 💀 these guys sit in their fancy News Studios, and think they can predict the largest democracy’s elections?
Kudos to Pradeep Bhandari,my favourite psefologist ,I am not sure about my spelling ,but he is the best
Psephologist, here you go
Psephologist
gajab prediction thii bhai....
Ha bhai kya hua tere psefologist ka 💀
@@karthik951 Iske aur Iske favourite ke muu pe moot diya 💀💀
here to read comments after results
lol
Daro mat, twitter pe clip chlane ka time aagya hai.
Hey prakhar please get him to shoot an apology video
Modiji hi aayenge. The world needs Modiji's wisdom.
Wisdom like capitals of district
Jiska meetings aur general talkings m capital hi ata ho 4 yr 6mnth m wo 6mnth m capital hi nikalega muh se, headquarters nahi@@Progamer-un2or
@@powerless7947 jaise usne 1984 m gmail use kra😂Anpad or uske chatu😂😂😂
world??
Hota hai mistake bhagwan nahi hai hamara jese insan hi hain@@Progamer-un2or
Anyone can go wrong, or have mild deviations of what's predicted, but I would really like to applaud Mr. Pradip for the hardwork he has put in even if he turns up little overestimated on 4th June, atleast he ran from pillar to posts, gathered as much as he could and calculated, rather than giving predictions based on rumours.
It's his job dude, he is a sephologist after all
@@pranitgandhi6832 *Psephologist sir
lakh lakh vadhaiyaan
300 bhi paar nahi hua 😂
A big slap on this illiterate he literally said dhruv had no impact on election's he must he crying after seeing result
Its actually not the Dhruv effect! Its the caste based votes going wrong for bjp! Also the coalition’s of other parties! But again this guy is mostly wrong
I have started to fall in love with this guy
Will follow him keenly in every election
Prakhar bhai inko har election pe leke aana state bhi
Pradeep also came to tamilnadu and did a good job Annamalai yatra
Ab bata.....kya hua? Majority 272 bhi nhi aa paya BJP Ka 😂
Scam aadmi hai Pradeep Bhandari nakli research ki baat karta hai
Pradeep Bhandari makes very discerning and convincing arguments...very satisfying to watch!!
Very convincing💀
Scam aadmi hai Pradeep Bhandari
*Who is here after the huge mandate of bjp than 2019?🤣*
Me 😂
350 paar 📈
🥂
@@HC_15819400 parr is very good number,but very hard to achieve too 😢…but hey,380 is superb
@@HC_15819377 seats NDA ajayega
Golden ni gandu age ...moving back isn't progress mr. Bhakt.@@HC_15819
@@HC_15819Yes
I voted for BJP in Assam ..because i feel there is no corruption in the Government exam procedures. My issue was satisfied by BJP ....
Me too bro 🤜🤛
This aged like milk.
He should just retire. Itni overconfidence se galat bolta hai😂😂
Just came here to read comments
🤣🤣🤣Now play these clips of pradeep bhandari as he said. YOGENDRA YADAV is the GOAT. Gave the most accurate prediction in face of 10 wrong exit polls.
pradeep bhandari 🤣🤣 modi is invincible. Bjp < 272
Bhai abhi abhi khabar aai hai isme phynile pi lia hai 😭😭😭
😂😂😂 wapas bulao
The volume of work Pradeep Bhandari has done is flowing out like milk. Crazy!
ॐ जय श्री भगवती अम्मन् 🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
kya kr raha hai youtube pe?
Prakhar wapis bulao isko iska exit poll karao acche se
Who came here after election results ✋
Post elections, someone should make a video on all the predictions / claims Pradip made during the podcast. It'll be interesting to see how many things he got right. Hats off to this man if he gets things like vote share increase, margin of victory in individual seats, etc right
atleast take the effort to collect the time stamps and post them here so something can be made of it post June 4th
Man said Dhruv Rathee had zero impact, I am not a fan of Dhruv but what a fool this guy is. This man is just talking emotionally.
Bhai kya hua Pradeep sir ke exit poll ka 😭😭... Kal ekdam Josh me tha podcast sun kar lekin ye aaj kya ho raha hai 😢
Le moot diya tere analysis pe 😂
Lmaoooo
Mazze aa gaye bhai
Invite him again
Prakhar changed the thumbnail after results 😂
Yeah
Lmao, came here to look at the predictions
Amazing personality Pradeep bhai has… The way u talk with confidence is amazing sir.
Please bring him again and ask what you feel now!!
Best part about this podcast is that it starts directly. Faltu me edits aur intro me timepass nahi karte. Keep it up
Please call him again after the elections.
Now I wanna see his confidence 😂
360+ with 9.8/10 degree of confidence with 8 - 8.5 confidence of 320+ of BJP ??
You have certainly predicted very wrong🥵
From 7:17 to 16:21, Pradeep Bhandari's analysis was rational and fact-based, presenting information that was both accurate and difficult to dispute. His expertise as a psephologist in India was evident in his well-supported arguments.
True that
@@pujarajput4424 yes
Aur bhai? Aa gya swaad😂😂😂
Ha Bhai kuch keh rahe the 😂🤣🤣
Pata chala dhruv kon hai 🤣🤣
Who's watching this after election😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Would love to see this guy come back and eat humble pie. Please do bring him on.
Honestly, This shows that you should be completely emotionless if your work is related to judging and analysing.
By far the most researched and accurate Exit poll in the country, I can say..Bravo to you Man 🎉❤
hahahahahahahahaha
Prakhar bhai koi achha banda laya karo😂
Agali baar se koi achcha analyst bula lena bhai
yogendra yadav hi bula leta
None of the ppl from our parent generation or 90’s ppl even know who is Dhruv Rathee…it’s only the ppl born after 2000 who never truly understood the conditions of the country under UPA government is supporting Dhruv Rathee…max of them under 18… did anyone ever saw their parents watching Dhruv…it’s very evident that Dhruv has no impact
And one more thing 40 to 50% of his viewers and subs. are from Pak & Ban
Kya hua bjp 300 bhi cross nhi kar pai
bro your exit poll fucked up bad
I am supporter of BJP but this time Yogendra Yadav was right about prediction.
Totally wrong analysis.
Being from punjab, i can certainly say that BJP is definitely going to increase their vote share and will also see gain on 2-3 seats for sure. Vote share in 2019 was around 9% but this time around its gonna be close to 20-22% as urban population is gonna be the tuning factor for them❤