Coronavirus Epidemic Update 9: Fecal-Oral Transmission, Recovery vs Death Rate (nCoV)
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- Опубликовано: 2 фев 2020
- Coronavirus epidemic update by pulmonologist Dr. Seheult of www.medcram.com/?Y...
This video details the novel coronavirus incubation period, the updated confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries from the coronavirus. Dr. Seheult provides illustrations of how coronavirus spreads including new reports on the possibility of fecal-oral transmission and prevention.
- How Coronavirus Kills: Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) & Treatment: • How Coronavirus Kills:...
PLEASE NOTE: This video was recorded on February 3, 2020. Our more recent COVID-19 updates can be accessed free at our website bit.ly/3Q39Bqo or here on RUclips: • Coronavirus Pandemic U...
We've produced each COVID-19 video with the best information we could access at the time of recording. Naturally, some videos will contain information that has become outdated or replaced by better information or research.
That said, we believe each video contains concepts that have enduring value and reviewing how the response to COVID-19 has progressed over time may be of interest to you as well.
Source LINKS referenced in and for this video:
- Coronavirus tracker from Johns Hopkins: gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/ap...
- www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journa...
- ncov.dxy.cn/ncovh5/view/pneum... (red and yellow graph)
- www.msn.com/en-us/health/medi...
- www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/... (incubation time)
- m.weibo.cn/status/44678542479...
- www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056...
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Speaker: Roger Seheult, MD
Co-Founder of MedCram.com
Clinical and Exam Preparation Instructor
Board Certified in Internal Medicine, Pulmonary Disease, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine.
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Medical education topics explained clearly including: Respiratory lectures such as Asthma and COPD. Renal lectures on Acute Renal Failure, Urinalysis, and The Adrenal Gland. Internal medicine videos on Oxygen Hemoglobin Dissociation Curve / Oxyhemoglobin Curve and Medical Acid Base. A growing library on critical care topics such as Shock, Diabetic Ketoacidosis (DKA), aortic stenosis, and Mechanical Ventilation. Cardiology videos on Hypertension, ECG / EKG Interpretation, and heart failure. VQ Mismatch and Hyponatremia lectures have been popular among medical students and physicians. The Pulmonary Function Tests (PFTs) videos, 2019 novel coronavirus in china, 2019-nCoV, coronavirus news, wuhan virus outbreak, 武汉 肺炎, CDC, infectious disease, MERS, SARS, infectious diseases, world health organization, and Ventilator-associated pneumonia lectures have been particularly popular with RTs. NPs and PAs have provided great feedback on Pneumonia Treatment and Liver Function Tests among many others. Mechanical ventilation for nursing and the emergency & critical care RN course is available at MedCram.com. Dr. Jacquet teaches our EFAST exam tutorial, lung sonography & bedside ultrasound courses. Many nursing students have found the Asthma and shock lectures very helpful. We're starting a new course series on clinical ultrasound & ultrasound medical imaging in addition to other radiology lectures.
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#coronavirus #2019ncov #SARSCoV2 #MedCram
I appreciate your ability to discuss this in a scientific and reasonable matter. Other channels tend to cover it with hysteria and speculation, which drives panic. Thank you for being such a good source.
Yo I'm sorry if this isn't appropriate right now, but damn I really like your profile picture!
Looks familiar! 😎
On topic though I agree, him and Dr. Campbell have really helped me get a better understanding of this outbreak.
39% need ICU, that's not a great statistic if this gets completely out of control tbh. Not to be taken lightly but yes there is some hysteria.
Amen. I've been getting really pissed with my RUclips recommend pushing panic videos at me. This guy is someone I dismissed at first as someone like peak prosperity but found that this guy to be my favorite source of coverage
There will be less hysteria if the CCP were more upfront with their numbers. They update cured numbers regularly during the day but they keep the death reports back for Beijing publish. Their online reports lean to the positive mostly, there is a clear reluctance to share negative facts which may help....sounds a lot like Chernobyl
@@joselaw6669
The AIDS hysteria didn't help at all.
And no. People weren't concerned about sexual health when it first broke out.
In fact, it was as stupid as the reaction of most people.
Why??
Because those who did contract AIDS especially those who got it from non-sexual contact i.e. those through blood transfusion are ostracized real bad by the general public. Just look ay Ryan White.
Plus you also had the blind hate towards gay people who were thought to be the cause and the ones spreading the virus.
Any form of hysteria is just stupid and unnecessary no matter how much you spin it because people in general are too stupid to know better.
Thank you so much for this video.. I was the person who commented about a 50/50% death rate based on the infected/cured in the last video.. I did not keep in mind that the recovery takes longer + the fact that many people who has the virus might not even seek help since their symptoms are mild.. this is great!
Honestly, these videos are motivating me to continue pursuing my dream of working in medicine.
Do it. We could always use competent medical staff to fight stuff like this.
Honestly, same.
You will. You will!
Just got out of med school (husband - not me) good luck to you, you can do it!
If you’re determined enough it’s 100% worth it ;)
I really respect your hard work and dedication behind this pandemic. I respect your research and hard work. Thanks
I respect your use of the word respect ha
Not a pandemic ..... yet😬
@@turkeyrunfarms don't worry we are not far away
I see your hard work in using the word hard work twice.
Good stuff Roger. Retired anesthesiologist and out of the loop these days. Glad I found your vids.
Have anymore anesthesia for sale
@@PinkyMinions 😄😄😄
@@PinkyMinions Never used that drug at all. It lingers too long after taken.
@@crazypl0x It's all poison to one degree or another. Why take poisons when you don't have to?
Joe Uehlein never used injectable Valium as anesthesia? Strictly ethers?
Thank you for having a black background makes all the difference idk why it's not used all the time
PLEASE NOTE: This video was recorded on February 3, 2020. Our more recent COVID-19 updates can be accessed free at our website www.medcram.com/courses/coronavirus-outbreak-symptoms-treatment or here on RUclips: ruclips.net/p/PLQ_IRFkDInv_zLVFTgXA8tW0Mf1iiuuM_
Each of our COVID-19 video updates was produced with the best information we could access at the time of recording. Naturally, some videos may contain information that has become outdated or replaced by better information or research. That said, we believe each video contains concepts that have enduring value, and reviewing how the response to COVID-19 has progressed over time may be of interest to you as well.
Please Subscribe to get notified of new videos
View Dr. Seheult's full video list at www.MedCram.com
Quick links to our previous videos on Coronavirus:
- Coronavirus Outbreak Update 8: Travel Ban, Spread Outside of China, Quarantine, & MRSA: ruclips.net/video/GpbUoLvpdCo/видео.html
- Coronavirus Epidemic Update 7: Global Health Emergency Declared, Viral Shedding: ruclips.net/video/nW3xqcGidpQ/видео.html
- Coronavirus Outbreak Update 6: Asymptomatic Transmission & Incubation Period: ruclips.net/video/UGxgNebx1pg/видео.html
- Coronavirus Update 5: Mortality Rate vs SARS / Influenza: ruclips.net/video/MN9-UXsvPBY/видео.html
- How Coronavirus Kills: Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) & Treatment: ruclips.net/video/okg7uq_HrhQ/видео.html
- Coronavirus Update 3: Spread, Quarantine, Projections, & Vaccine: ruclips.net/video/SJBYwUtB83o/видео.html
- Coronavirus Symptoms, Diagnosis, Treatment: ruclips.net/video/UCG3xqtcL3c/видео.html
- Coronavirus Outbreak - Transmission & Updates: ruclips.net/video/9vMXSkKLg2I/видео.html
Hi can you do a video of the new H5N1 outbreak in Hunan a few days ago?.. 2 of these viruses going on at the same time in cities very close to each other is crazy..
One problem, all of the infected will still be contagious for some time even though the patient recovered.
The building that spread the fecal virus was in Hong Kong, they have the sitting toilets there and not the Chinese style.
What's Your take on the treatment done in Thailand that cured one of the patients in just 72h?
So the ones that recovered won't be sick anymore but they still have a virus inside of them?
I have watched every update. Thank you for uploading them. Knowledge is power and it feels great to be informed as much as I can.
Thank you.
I have been following your reports closely and having more of a sense of what to do and what we are up against is most helpful.
I certainly appreciate giving up your time and energy.
Cheers.
Amazing vid, thank you for getting this information and breaking it down in a timely manner. No need to freak out just stay out of crowds and keep your hands clean until we learn more about the disease.
🙌🏾💙🙌🏾
Just don't squat. But really the way they live in C-HINAss. No really at this time if I was in China where the virus has setup housekeeping I would never use public facilities. I would also constantly use a sanitizer. That is starting where I live now in the States!
Thank you for the good work you are doing on this topic. Yours is by far the most educated, responsible, reasonable, and respectful response I found.
I love your content and how up to date this is. I have been waiting all day for this update
Fantastic job on this series. It’s so fascinating I look forward to each episode. Like a medical thriller but it’s real.
As always you and your work is legend. Thank you
Thank you for your comment and support
I am Legend, watch it.
Ive seen plenty of sources on the internet but this one makes me understand more about this pandemic. Thank you for explaining these with such effort to let the viewers fully understand the context.
i love these videos ive been waiting all day for this one cuz theyre so good! keep up the hard work its well appreciated.
The deaths to 8nfected ratio only reflects those they know of that were infected and doesn't include those that were infected but had mild symptoms or asymptomatic.
@@alexanderbrandt9816 I think you do not realize how each block / appartment building has an assigned person to check on and control the other citizans. In non-epidemic times this is a way to control the population of a nation under an hybrid communist-capitalistic dictatorship. In these lock down times in Wuhan this is a great way to monitor people getting sick at their homes. I admit that in our society (I live in Europe - not New York - but let's consider that's the same in this case), elderly and/or isolated people would not be picked up in any way. And that the number / rate of dead people at home could be (more) significant than we might think is going on now in China. This is not to say we need a secret police officer in every block, but they do come in handy in times like this :-)
I like these vids mainly cause you talk in common language meaning easily understood I don't have to have a dictionary handy thanks keep them coming
Keep the dictionary handy, it won't bite you.
Thanks to both you and Dr Campbell for giving great down to earth info instead of fake news.
Your input and time spent on this is invaluable thank you
This video came up as 'recommended' well done RUclips, well done.
Great and informative video, thank you
ArcturanMegadonkey i just like seeing his on screen pencil float around my tablet
I love your work. Very detailed.
You are one of 2 channals that i trust for accurate updates i can understand. Thankyou for your work!
shadowhat Meow
what’s the other channel called
i wanna check it out
:>
This channel is so informative, information is presented in such clear way and your voice is so calm and trustful - I don't know why these videos are less popular than other channels. I don't know if this is something you do on your own, or this is a result of work of many people in team effort - but this is the best and top of the shelve place I get the updates about nCoV. Pure information, pure analysis, everyday waiting for the new updates as I'm watching the other channels with a grain of salt.
Thank you very much and keep the good work!
Thank you for the kind comment!
7:29 When you have diarrhea so bad that you give your entire apartment SARS
And deadly
This turned out to be a pretty crappy disease... (yay I was first ^^)
Your calmness in explaining everything honestly is keeping me from having anxiety all day every day 🙏
Don't worry dude cuz there are way more cases than the confirmed because most of the suspected ones are true and anyways the CCP is known for lying so most probably the cases are triple the no. And yet the deaths will remain somewhere close to where it's at in reality. So basically that means that the mortality rate might even be in the mere 1%. So don't worry and take proper precaution.
I'm so glad that I've found this channel. You are a wonderful teacher.
Thank you so much for the education you are providing to us through these updates. It is so incredibly valuable.
I did a search for Coronavirus and this video did not come up? Is RUclips selectively filtering your videos as well as others?
Have to put "today" in upload date.
I set it for the most recent and it still did not show up?
@@felixmarinjr.66 Damn that sucks man. Yeah youtube demonitzies every coronoa virus video. They demonitize any video that critizes china too. And gun videos. Also you tubes been really laggy for me. But only since this corona virus started trending.
I've been using "last hour" in the settings
Yes, even John's Hopkins map down..they're down playing..to keep from a Public Panic..
Thorough, professional presentation... Thank you!
First channel I view that explains the facts real time in a scientific and well researched way. Excellent job!
Your site seems to be the most informative & reliable. Please keep up the good work sir 🇨🇦
Legendary work doc!
Your videos are so informative, thank you :( I've been so scared just watching different people and they don't talk or phrase things like you do, of course we need to be alert and cautious but some people really want to frighten people..
Thank you so much please keep making these :(
PS is it true asians are the only ones vulnerable to this virus?
Thank you again.
Great no nonsense explanation. Helped me as a retired infectious disease nurse.
Thanks for making all this easier to understand for those of us who are not in the medical field like me.
Thank you again sir , very informative. 👍🏼
Thank you for all your great work on explaining and tracking the virus so much more informative than mainstream media.
Your channel is great. I’m glad I found this information resource.
Thanks for your efforts keeping us updated
Finally.........the 2% mortality rate gets questioned.
Well done you sir!
He questioned in another video
Remember that the 15% mortality rate is for people who were so sick they had to go to the hospital, the 15% can still go down but that wouldn't mean the actual mortality rate also goes down.
We will NEVER know the mortality rate as most of the dead have already been incinerated. The closest we can get to any hard data is when this thing goes away (3 months from now, 6 months from now, 1 year from now) or gets “under control” and we do a body count. But even then, it’s a skewed figure since bodies have been incinerated and no one know how many that is or even the cause of death.
I really hope this gets under control soon because the poor people in Wuhan at this point must be going crazy if not dead stuck in their homes. I can’t imagine if people in your apt Building are dead and the smell of decomp is everywhere even with the windows open. 🤢😢
Wow, what a nightmare. Pray for China!
@@The_Andy_H
With all things considered though, that is still waaayy too low to actually cause any major concern or hysteria. Plus you also have the fact that it's just relegated to China and the affected areas which is understandable since they have a billion worth of people in that spec of land.
Of course the numbers can reach that high but when things are considered in as well, it is still way too low. Regular pneumonia caused by the other common coronaviruses are just as potent and transmissable as this. The only difference is that most people have already developed an immunity to it due to years of exposure and the immunity being passed down through the generations.
But you already know the media and people in general. Any number is big for them since people are too lazy and stupid to do any research or understand the numbers.
Also, would love to see this kind of analysis of the Influenza B virus that has killed 10,000 in the last 3 months in the US
Thanks for putting these videos out an not fear mongering.
Love love LOVE your videos and daily updates.
Stay safe evryone, stay strong and most importantly stay calm we can get through this.
also much prayers to the folk in china, I hope they'll be okay
I read that China has a lot of people with COPD. The number advanced on the article was more than 50 millions.
This number seems to be astronomical but even if it was the case should this be taken into consideration when looking at critical patients? It seems to me that anyone with COPD who get infected will not a good prognosis.
Any comments?
Thank you Doctor. I really appreciate your time and analysis.
Greetings from Coos Bay Oregon.
BRO please make sure you don't get sick hun these videos really help people
This is like a lecture. Ok, next week we are gonna talk about how we can apply complex numbers when looking for corona virus associated deaths.
Maybe the spread of the Coronavirus like the Fibonacci numbers?
@@PsyQoBoy We could also describe the spread with Fourier series.
Have you talked about how Thailand used HIV med with flu med and, the virus disappeared?
I have watch every videos but I might have missed it.
I think it was mixed results? Like they can't attribute the HIV drug to killing the virus.
That can not be a healthy long time solution. Perhaps it killed all of the virus but these drugs are expensive, not meant to be used this way and the patient may contract the virus again.
@@dudedud238 yes it was a a cocktail of two aids medicines and one flu medicine.. it was tried on 3 patients out of which one got allergies and the other two recovered. Their pcr was negative within just 48 hours.
Lmao yeah sure tell me how that works out for you.
yep, HIV was bio-engineered into the virus. But nobody cares about the truth. They just think it came from bats lmao
Thank you so match for publication on you tube!!!👍👍👍 from the Netherlands. In the Netherlands the think it is not so worse.
Medical investigation on any medical crisis should absolutely be objective and evident based and totally devoid of emotions.
Is there information about how long the virus can remain active in a non organic surface?
I have heard 5 days. Which is making it so dangerous.
I clean toilets for a living i guess i am screwed i have hope i have a strong immune system folks avoid using hand blowers in bathrooms they worst than paper towel dispenser if virus on doorknob they on handblower so if u use one u breath in hot air u could get sick be safe out there. I been dealing with human waste for over twenty years folks i got a hazardous job to do stay away from crowds start eating at home stay off airplanes and avoid airports if u can. I sometimes work the airport i promise i will sanitize every touchable part but i reccomend avoid airports if u can. U go to airport u feel sick throw away u trash and food that will help my fellow janitors out there if u sick stay away from airports that will help maybe to stop this virus.
A big thumbs up to all the toilet cleaners that do their medical research on MedCram.
Very well done. You provide more info than Public Health sources in a fashion usable. Excellent information.
Thanks for the comment
thank you for giving the news that no mainstream is showing...
If you have 17k+ infected and you have like a 40/60 split in death/recovery, and now you have China saying "no funerals, no viewing bodies, no burials, straight to cremation"..... how many people do you think will become "missing" or just "fled the country", because who will speak up and challenge the Party that "hey, my brother said he was sick and went to the hospital and he never came out but you dont have him recorded as dead...."?
We'll have to see how many get sick in 2 weeks after both superbowl parties and the actual stadium in Miami to see what will happen in US for Feb
who cares lmao
@@esecallum can you give the article?
Where did you get this ratio lmao
" obviously they're not gonna recover when they die" the best observations from the doctors. I put my faith in u. Lol
Hell no ! Not I !
i recovered after i died :) it is possible. ok my death wasn't caused by the coronavirus- it was caused by drowning. But life after death is possible :)
Zombie has left the comment section.
Well there were some cases in Jerusalem 2000 years ago, well documented and the doctors still aren't quite sure what happened. But lets say in NEARLY 100 percent of cases the dead don't recover.
@Lil RE not joking people can still live (healthily) after being 'dead', actually (especially now with medical science), the 'group' is quite large :)
Excellent presentation, comprehensive yet succinct and backed by research!
Thank you
You do a great job with your videos. I keep warning people too.
As an old terapist i think the duration time of quarentine should be 21 days
As a matter of (historical) fact it should be 40 days
Thanks for these videos! Could you do a video on different disinfection methods and their effectiveness? For example, Bleach solution (% ?), hydrogen peroxide, 70%vs 90% isopropyl alcohol, Purell type sanitizer, 90% ethanol (grain alcohol), vodka and other low proof ethanol, HOCL (Hypochlorous acid), Quaternary sanitizers, Formula 409 and other household antibacterial cleaners, Bactine, colloidal silver, UVC light, ozone, etc... THANKS!!!
He can not do that, because there are no studies, or publications regarding this particular virus vulnerabilities. We don't even know how long the nCOV 2019 survives on the dry surface (it could be hours, it could be days).
But from simple logic we can assume that if it behaves like most corona viruses, then all of the disinfecting methods should work.
Hell, hydrogen and alcohol kill even fungi and MRSA, it should work for the virus too.
I was wondering about Oxy Clean as well. It got me thinking about the importance of proper cleaning of laundry, if you came back from a place where you might have been subjected to the virus. Is detergent and water enough?
@@extendedp1 When I worked in ER of one of the NYC hospitals, I would remove my scrubs right at the entrance and wash them with the maximum temperature my washer allowed. High temp in the dryer helps as well.
Unfortunately, not all clothes could be treated like that.
Using bleach on whites definitely helps (especially if u r in the environment, where u can come in contact with body fluids.
If u r too worried, u can always use ironing or steaming the items in question.
Once again, excellent information. Thank you so much!
Much appreciated, thanks for all the educational updates!
So people have been recovering from this thats good news
@TheGamingMelon you can but the R0 I that becomes low meaning the chances are very rare but it is still a very possible circumstance.
Itachikage _ sounds like a normal flu state
And with no pharmaceutical cure, simply assisting the patients own auto immune system.
@@purushottam_paramdharma You say "you can" to whether or not it can be spread post-symptomatic but that is not confirmed *at all.*
People saying things like that as fact when it it isn't known yet is going to cause panic and that will be more harmful than anything.
Oh yeah it's a normal flu don't worry guys. That's why China has quarantined what? 70 million people?? Time to grow up and see reality instead of shoving your head into the sand before you get fucked in the ass harder than you ever have before. R0 is 5+. Go stock up on food sheeple. You're lucky I'm even sticking out my neck this far for yous.
finally!
A wonderful resource. Thank you!
Everyone should see this. The most objective reports I've have seen.
I don't think the term cured should be applied. They recovered.
Hi. Im impressed by your work. Can you cover the recovered cases in Vietnam where as our doctor use sunlight and salt water. Thanks
Wow that's impressive discovery.
What??!! Tell me more about it
Mmm
@@purushottam_paramdharma in Vietnam there are now 8 cases. 3 of which have been recovered and discharged. Our doctors said they lit the whole quarantine room by sunlight and raised temperature to weekend the virus
Also they used salt water to clear patience throat everytime they cough.
And thats it. Only one need to use ICU and oxygen tank but now he has been discharged too. (Our recovered cases required 2 times negetive results with 2019 nCoV to be discharged)
Your explanations are awesome,luv the vids !!!
Thank you
Thanks Dr for your information 🙏
Sir, will tropical heat will kill the virus during month of may, june? Please make a video on this
Nope, the virus dies in a temperature over 59° C. High heat can reduce its amount but not entirely kill away the virus. But don't worry cure is on the way in Thailand. I am from India too so I know what your concerns are.
Can cold weather kill it?
See my reply to Trev Channel above.
😂 "a fecal PLUME spread to other apartments during the SARS epidemic..."
meaning: a Fart Cloud 🤔?
At that point, it wouldn't be heard either.. So the literal definition of S.B.D. (Silent But Deadly)!
Whoever smelt it dealt it..
Wasn't just a plume there was a sewage pipe running through the homes of that apartment block that was an important detail left out since that was from the SARS epidemic.
Laid off Techy Truer words have never been spoken!! 🤣😂🤣😂
@@tacklefatkids you are the only one correct here about it. It was because of old leaky sewage pipes passing through people's apartments in Amoy Gardens.
Thank you so much, it's so informative.
Thank you so much for keeping the general public informed as well as the extra information as in the man who had the SARS in his stool. I did not know the virus could survive the digestive process.
Everyone has to take Homeopathy medicine for preventive medicine and cure also arsalb 30
Dynamic medicine for preventive and cure ars alb 30
I believe the mortality rate will rise if the number of infected rises high enough. EXAMPLE: With 1000 infected and 30 die you get 3% mortality. That is with hospital intervention on the worst cases, respirators, fluids, food. Many stay at home and don't go to the hospital, they may not be as sick or don't have access, but most still have a warm bed, someone to bring them food and water. Once they get 1,000,000 or more infected, they won't be able to go to the hospital to get treatment. It may even begin to affect food distribution and other things. At home even if the stores have food, they wouldn't have anyone to bring them food and water if everybody is infected. They won't be able to stay in bed. They will have to get up and cook, go out and buy groceries, assuming food is available. All this will increase the mortality rate.
Really, really appreciate you.
I appreciate making emphasis on the fatality rate and the inaccuracy of the numbers at this point. The time lag is something that is not being brought forward enough, IMO.
based on the numbers in the video: Look at the total: Deaths plus Recovered (equals 849). The infected person will either Recover or Die (there is no in-between).... with that logic and the numbers provided in the video of the Infected: 42.6% will die! or 57.3% will recover. Remember...you will either Recover or Die
Exactly and both of them had started the illness about at the same time, this way of calculation is the only logical one. All others 16,000 are still fighting, we have to wait for them and count only the way their fight will end: being cured or being dead. It's too soon to count them for the mortality rate.
The problem is we dont know how many are truly infected or truly dead. The death toll could be higher if they aren't reporting it correctly, also there could be cases that people died at home without going to the hospital. Also the number of infected is very likely MUCH higher. For instance if im sick I only go to the hospital if its serious. So the cases that aren't serious enough to warrant a hospital visit aren't being reported. That number is likely much much higher. So in that sense the odds of death are likely much lower. There are just too many unknowns because we cant trust china's government. Also I have to wonder if the death rate would be much lower if this had happened in a nation with a really good health care system in place.
I just posted the same thing. I guess I didn't scroll down far enough. Wonder what numbers the politicians will use?
those numbers are based on people that were hospitalized. we can assume that there are people that are at home riding it out or never reported having the illness. this means there are unaccounted for cases that could be recoveries or deaths. he said in the video that those numbers were based on a small sample size (41). extrapolating from a small sample that is biased toward hospitalized cases won't work
@@Arthillis I agree with your perspective, but I'd like to add that there could also be a lot of people that recovered and never reported having the illness. The possibility of the death toll being wrong due to misreporting could work in both directions, so to speak
Now, it's 17,489 confirmed 😔
What is it now 16 minutes later?
its either slowing down or china is covering real numbers..
@@filipenzo3822 they are covering up the amount sick and the amount dead
We all have it by now
@@killerinstinctwithringgene713 tf?
The time lag between developing symptoms and Death is about 5 to 7 days. So please divide present deaths by the number of cases from five days ago to get a reasonable mortality ratio.
Im glad to see you are now incorporating or at least acknowledging without credit, the idea I sent you via email and post on a previous video, of the time lag and why you can't calculate death rates based on number of cases vs number of deaths in an evolving situation. Since those who contract the virus today are calculated in the total even though they haven't had a chance to die yet. I think the Lancet article is closer to acknowledging this with its 15% death rate. But as you pointed out it is such a small sample size.
Thank Billy boy gates for this monstrosity
Wait a minute.. are you saying that people can spread the virus by farting?
Is it true????
I imagine if they are naked and bent over it could fly like a sneeze
@Shadow Boxer lol
Literally, silent but deadly.
@@hammydammy123 those silent ones are the worst
Thanks again.
Ty Dr . Learnt a few good points
Question about death rate: Why is it based on infected instead of recovered / death ratio? Seems misleading to base on infected seeing how infected is really unprocessed data. Am I wrong?
Idk if I understand you right, but those 'recovered' are probably people who needed intense healthcare in the hospitals, but there are many people that got the virus but didn't show any serious symptoms and were doing fine
And what do you NOT see in the photo of the restroom? .. toilet paper. How does that work, bare hand? Yuck!
Thank you ⭐
Thanks for objective fact based coverage of this issue...
Can you explain the situation in Thailand, where they're claiming to have found the cure?
yes please
From what I read they didnt claim it as cure, they are still unsure, and just reported the result.
funny enough that came up in the news in germany duting an Interview with a virologist and he said its unsure and can maybe be only an isolated case
@tompo1975 it was a cocktail made by mixing two aids medicines and one anti-flu medicine. It has worked and out of the 3 who were given this 2 have tested negative for pcr in just 48hrs. The other one got allergies. This was a real life back which luckily worked. But it still is very big and is a big breakthrough in fighting the virus.
The HIV drugs could work since both 2019 nCov and HIV are retroviruses. And HIV drugs are anti-retrovirals
Lick your hands clean people! I’ve learned this from watching my cat
Thank you very much, sir.
Would I be correct in saying the R0 value would be variable when taking into account population density, social hygiene levels and awareness?
Let’s call it- Farticals
Give this man a PhD.
29slowjoe Thank you I will be appreciated
Brilliant!
@The Guru of Kang Never go full beef stew
@The Guru of Kang To be
"beef stewed" means to be held down on the floor/ground by someone who then sits on your face and farts.
"Fecal oral" -- oh, the human condition....
Thank You for this.
Thanks for watching
Thank you Dr