Sal I need you to take this video down, not because you are wrong, but because you're right, and I don't want to risk my league mates seeing this 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
because of everyone’s bashing of dj moore’s situation, he slid all the way to final pick of the fifth round and i scooped him up. amazing flex option, don’t hate that value at all
Disagree with flowers. Getting a teams WR1 in the 5th round is a plus if you ask me, and on a high powered playoff offense. Dude had plenty of games with double digit targets last season. I’d easily take him over Andrews in the same spot when you can get similar tight ends a few rounds later (Kincaid, Pitts)
I drafted Moore last year in all my leagues, this year I won’t touch anyone from Bears. Might be a mistake and I actually think Caleb might be fine, but the WR room is too crowded.
Agree with a lot of the takes good speed work! Only one I like is Nico. Diggs coming in will eat into target share, however last year Nico and CJ were banged up a few games + it’s fair to expect some kind of improvement upon CJ first year and Nico breakout. I believe he puts up very similar numbers to last year with spike week potential.
Tank dell is strouds favorite target (his words). I like Nico a lot but I don’t think he puts up the same kind of production in a more crowded WR room and now that they have an alpha RB
I disagree with the DJ Moore take. Yes there's more competition but he's getting a big upgrade in QB and the bears paid him out crazy so they definitley gonna use him heavily.
Disagree with Zay Flowers. With Derrick Henry there, teams will have to move the safeties up. They’ll be in mark Andrews route zones. Deep ball is going to be open for Zay a lot
Sal, just a friendly advise - don't get into a debate with people who post under your videos. This is YOUR take and your take only. Everyone else can build their own strategies. I so appreciate you and your efforts. Cheers, brother!
@@GreatNewsVideo Yeah totally agree. It's weird when people tell someone to take their advice but not listen to anyone else in that comments... He's a grown ass man who can have a simple and respectful conversation, that's the entire point of FF. It's all opinions and no guarantee's 🥂
Thank you for never wasting our time with useless banter or some deuche wearing a backwards baseball hat chiming in with their opinion on every player you cover! Keep up the great stuff!
I disagree with the puka take, and if anyone should not go in that range it’s Wilson. Sometimes you’re so deep in the data you can’t see the art on the field. Wilson is a stud but we have zero idea of his QB talent at this point and he has underperformed so far in terms of his fantasy value. Too many risks there. Also, I think you’re 100% right on Nico.
I feel the same way, Kupp is coming into an age that he will be there and get targets but his efficiency and huge years are over. All the data points to that
@@Fenix-054dj Moore finished top 10 in PPR last year….and that was with absolute trash QB play. Anyone in their right minds would be all over a guy like that.
Rashee Rice was drafted specifically to catch 4 yard passes and gain another 5 yards. He's there to move the chains. They normally play an RB in that role, but moved away from that. The fact they didn't draft his replacement shows they intend to keep him in that job.
Yea I’m seeing a lot of these fantasy know it alls talk so down on Texans offense like we overrating and hyping them up, gunna be hugely mistaken come week 1 it’s like they trying to deny the truth Houston is gunna be hella fun to watch like last years dolphins
My fantasy team QB Richardson RB1 Jonathan taylor RB2 Achane WR1 T Hill WR2 kupp TE Andrews FLEX D adams K Mooney SF D jets Only in a 8 man league but im projection is T1st❤
I'm generally trying to avoid Houston and Green Bay's receivers if I can. I traded Collins last year for Breece Hall because I knew Dell was sitting on waivers and they would have similar output. I'm glad I made the trade because I'm keeping Breece as my 3rd rd pick this year. Tank was arguably the #1 in that offense before he got hurt. Definitely staying away this year unless it's at a significant discount.
It's pretty tough for me to get behind this "if there's no rushing upside they aren't worth drafting" thing. Literally only 3 QBs last year that had any real rushing upside and that was Josh Allen, Hurts, and Lamar. Lamar doesn't score many points as a passer so without his "rushing upside" he is barely a fantasy starter and without Hurts tush push "rushing upside" he isn't any better than Dak or Stroud or Burrow. The pocket passer isn't dead or close to it, Stroud and Dak had bigger games than all those guys passing the ball and Mahomes will too this year with some weapons. The top 3 guys have rushing upside but there needs to be 9 other QBs starting in a league so like if you can get a stack or really like a pocket passer then take him. JA and Hurts are the only two who are in a league of their own
I agree with you - people are going way too crazy for rushing upside, but Stroud is still being legit over-drafted. Why does he go so much earlier than Dak, another pocket passer? Is Stroud a better QB in year 2 than Dak is in his prime? I doubt it. Is he on a more explosive, pass-heavy offense? Dallas ran the most passing plays last year. Does he have better weapons? Maybe better depth, but give me CeeDee Lamb over any WR on the Texans.
I think QBs without rushing upside are absolutely worth drafting, just not within two rounds of the top 3 QBs with rushing upside (I'm also fading Mahomes for the most part). EDIT: Responded too early and saw that he's fading Tua and Herbert for same reason and I agree with you! I like both of them when they fall, rushing upside or no.
@joshliam1967 glad we are on the same! This is definitely a wait to draft qb year for me either way but the guys that can throw 40 tds are just as valuable to me as the guys throwing 25 or 30 and rushing for 8 or 10
It doesn't really have anything to do with the ceiling, it's about the floor and consistency - the 3 players you mentioned with the rushing upside have such a high floor that they are almost guaranteed to end up in the top 5, (and Richardson and Murray could easily get there too if things go even moderately well) where as players like Burrow, Prescott, and even Stroud need everything to go right and a career year to end up there. That's not to say those guys aren't worth drafting and starting - it's just not worth investing an early to mid round pick on a pocket passer - if you don't end up with one of those top 3 guys (or maybe Mahomes if the price is right), it's better to just wait to be one of, if not the last, owners in your league to draft a QB - guys like Purdy, Tua, Cousins and even Herbert all can end up scoring in the same range of the top pocket passers pretty easily, and will cost you next to nothing. I'm actually kicking myself in my main league, it's a keeper league and the top guys (Hurts, Allen, Jackson) as well as a few others (Tua, Richardson, Cousins were all kept but other than that there were no QBs gone yet in the late 6th round. I was set to pick last in the 6th with 2 guys ahead of me (including the Tua owner) so I was feeling good about my chances to grab a freefalling Mahomes or Stroud at a good value. Well, Stroud went and then the Tua owner grabbed Mahomes for some reason (after giving up an 8th round pick to keep Tua) so I panicked a bit and took Burrow. Still a good value at the end of the 6th (which is better than it sounds given that each team can keep up to 3 guys so late 6th is more like mid to late 8th in most leagues) but I could have grabbed some badly needed RB depth there - I ended up taking Kyler Murray in the 13th round anyway because the value was so good, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if Kyler outscores Burrow this year. Not only did I give up that pick, but now, unless I can swing a trade, I have the weekly headache of picking which guy to start.
Quick video recap: - [Questionable player] only did well 1 year ago. - [Non-questionable player] did well 2 years ago. - I emotionally connected with [Non-questionable player] for longer so he's better. intriguing....
I def made mistakes on my first time playing season long ever. I took some players too soon and left better options to the next guy. And the fact that I feel my team is decent, hurts more to think about what I could’ve had. 12 team league I was 5th pick. (B Hall) 5 (N Collins) 20 (D Achane 29 (CJ Stroud) 44 (Z Flowers) 53 (D Kincaid) 68 (R Odunze) 77 (J Reed) 92 (B Thomas Jr) 101 (B Robinson Jr) 116 (J Elliot) 125 (T Spears) 140 (J Herbert) 149 (Buffalo) 164 (Z Chabonnet) 173
So I normally don't do this, but when you miss quote somebody, not only is it not fair for them it's not fair for the listeners, Austin ekeler recently did an interview to clear that statement that he made about the chargers wanted a rusher to rush the ball 300 times, his quote was taken out of context, the chargers want to rush the ball 300 times that's not his skill set, Austin ekeler was a PPR monster,, so to sit there and try to run him for 300 times a season that's not where you are going to get the best version of him, run him 200 times give him a hundred passes, he'll stay on the field every play,, his quote was made to look like he was saying the chargers want to run for 300 times a year and he can't do that,, he also goes on to say ,he suffered a high ankle sprain very early in the season, and then re-aggravated it again,, but to the fantasy football players, you know how I get down and if I was a betting man I would have me on your team this season,,.. now with this being said, he was a first round pick last season,, he's only 29 years old,, for context, Christian McCaffrey is 28, Derrick Henry is 30,, you made the argument for Nakua, that he's a horrible pic because Cooper kupp was hurt last season. But now he's healthy.. can't have it both ways.. ekeler hurt his ankle last season now he's healthy,you go try running around with a high ankle sprain,,lol.. the man is healthy.. it's an absolute crime that he's being picked this late in fantasy,, especially in best ball.. that is a no-brainer. I will take him every single time in the 9th or tenth round..
DJ is easily the top target in the bears offense. Whatever you think about CW he has to be better than Fields and they will be passing a lot more than they did last year.
Jameson Williams being drafted in the 12th round over the 9th round is irrelevant. At this point in the draft you are looking for upside. Nobody is drafting Jameson Williams hoping he returns his adp value.
Sal, how can people say with a straight face that the Chagers are gonna be a run team. They are gonna be playing from behind in 80% or more of their games. This team might want to be a run team, but the team is not ready to be a run first team. I think that Herbert will be a way better fantasy QB than analysts are giving him credit for. Sure, most of his points will be garbage time points, but that doesn't matter. They all count the same. Herbert could be a league winner in alot of leagues. Just my opinion.
@@carltonmoore6967 They also dont have good running backs. Curious how they plan on being a run first team with 29 year old Edwards who has been an 8 carry a game guy for almost his entire career and JK Dobbins who has about a 0% chance of doing anything.
Calvin is going to shred this season. Also, titans are going to be slinging it more with King Henry gone. Tyler Boyd might help move the chains but his red zone looks won't threaten Calvin's.
The issue I have with your take on DJ and Nico is that these guys cannot be guarded 1 on 1. These opportunities will only increase with studs like Allen and Diggs garnering more attention from defences. They’re also much younger than their veteran counterparts and historically they are at the age when they’re most likely to boom. Did I draft both these guys? Yup.. I bloody hope I’m right 😳
Collins had elite YPRR numbers last year. Top 5 of the last five years. Pretty good company with Hill (who is top 5 twice), Adams and Kupp are the other two. Below him are guys like Chase, Jefferson, Lamb, Brown. Point is he's an elite talent. I doubt anyone will regret taking him.
I got Nico (10th round) and Puka (18th round) in a Dynasty start up last season. (I know I won the lottery). But I do agree I will not be drafting either of them this season in redraft where they’re being taken. I’ll enjoy my dynasty riches (and championship).
I snagged Evans then Nico at the 24/25 in a 12 man and am stoked with it. I don’t think diggs will take too much away, especially because I think the Texans overall are going to have a potent offense and will be scoring a ton of points.
I really believe Ekeler is gonna be a beast this year He scored 26 PPR points week 1. During the wk 1 game he got a high ankle sprain and 4-5 games and he really wasn’t the same for the rest of the season after that. He never fully recovered. He should be fully recovered by now so watch out
Stroud throws the ball 35 times a game. Nico will still get his 6-10 targets a game only guy who was more efficient was hill. So ya anyone saying he’ll get ignored at all is insane. He’s the wr one here and we ones get fed.
Flowers was a rookie. I think Lamar has improved each year as a passer and Zay fits what Lamar is as a passer perfectly. 4th round might be rich without context, all depends on where you get him. For example, I got him in the 4th round but he was WR25. He finished last year as WR30 in 0.5PPR. Seems like a decent bet for improvement.
lmao first person I've seen that says nico collins shouldn't be that high. I genuinely don't understand how he's up there in a crowded wr room. Great player, but wouldn't take him that high.
This didn't Age well after Game 1 🤣 "Don't go after Zay Flowers, Ravens will prioritize Derrick Henry & Mark Andrews is the favorite receiver" Right ...
Yup I have been saying it for the last month. The only reason Stroud is going as high as he is in bestball is because there is 3 teams that need to pass on him every round. You have the Diggs, Dell and Collins team all having to pass on him when they see the potential stack come up.
Nico will have to share with multiple recievers BUUUUUTT he is strouds go to guy for 3rd downs and a big target when needed. Guess we'll have to see what this season brings.
my league must be full of big brainers because nacua went late 2nd and nico collins went well after every single guy you mentioned he was being taken ahead of. henry and evans were also early second rounders.
The reason zay flowers is going early is because the projection of improvement. He was a rookie last year and when mark andrews was hurt he was a stud so people are probably thinking the ravens will get him the ball a ton. Also Andrews gets hurt a lot so he’s gonna have some big games
thank you for being the first serious fantasy content producer to deflate the nico collins nonsense. dudes a dog but no one should be taken that high in a receiving corps that replete.
@@tobyflederstech5305 im over weight on Evens for sure feels like the easiest click I think Nico and Drake can both have good years I’m just betting 5 to 8 guys going in the second and early third have better ones
DJ in his Prime + a better passer in Williams, I can't get on board with him not doing well. He and Nico have been going in the 3rd and I will take them there in a 2 RB hero team all day every day. I have CMC and Pacheco. I agree that Nico and Moore in the second is too high, unless your in like a 12 man and you're desperate for WR.
I was late to my draft party and it auto drafted me Kupp. My draft in general was absolute trash so I actually ended up with Kupp, Puka and Kyren around round 4 trying to get back in the mix. I almost made it by one game. My team suffered when Stafford got hurt….all that to say if Puka lands to me I’m picking somebody else. I 1000% agree with you, Sal!!
Overall ok but that Stroud Take is an L. He is definitely gonna out score Murray, and probably Richardson aswell. The stock people are putting in Anthony Richardson is crazy. he played 4 games, had like 50% completion rate and got hurt. Yeah seems like a real league winner 😒
People saying the bears wide receiver room is "too crowded" make no fucking sense. If he had no body to help him before teams could plan double or tripple him the whole game and had shit qb play no rb to help and still went the fuck off l. Kenan and odunze are gonna take pressure off moore.
A lot of wrong takes. Puka is still going in the 2nd. Nico is still going in the 3rd. Both great options there. DJ Moore may get less targets, but significantly better QB play. Ridley is one of my favorite targets in round 6 🤣 Edit: hadnt even gotten to Rice yet who i think is the absolute best value in all of fantasy. I disagree with every single one of your picks
Rice has one thing no one else besides Kelce has - Mahomes' trust. He'll get a ton of short air yards catches again. Brown and worthy will open up the underneath stuff and I expect them to rest Kelce more often to keep him fresh. I think Worthy will be odd man out most of the year.
@Syst3m04 yeah, it's crazy that it takes so long. I think they keep to the standard "wait until the courts finish" so it's consistent no matter how it appears. That gives them a better legal argument in those cases where it isn't so cut and dried.
I feel like Sal picked a lot of rookies here to avoid and then banked on them completely stagnating or regressing in their second years. There’s no chance that players like Puka Nacua and CJ Stroud will totally stagnate, and even if they did, so what? If you extrapolate the ~16 ppg Puka was averaging with Kupp also there to 17 games, you get 270 points. CJ is most likely going to be Qb 6-8 even with just pure passing skills. Look at how Purdy and Goff did last year. Andrews is injury prone, and even if he wasn’t, they’re going to scheme more touches for flowers this year in the run or screen game, even if target share on true passes doesn’t go up.
I legit disagree w all of your picks. But after last year seeing what you were saying in the beginning of the season im so glad i never went with your advice lmao
For context before last season started, he said: Deboo > keenan allen Adams > st brown Dontae johnson > mike evans Drake london is going to be a breakout player in 2023 w ridder
If commissioners would get smart they would add +1 for QB completions and -1 for QB attempts and make the real good QBs worth drafting instead of dogs like fields 😂
So if a QB goes 20 for 30 they get 10 points but if they got go 10 for 30 they get -10 points.... I don't understand why commissioners don't use these numbers.... We use everything else!
I'm taking Nico Collins all day in drafts this year, but no way in the 2nd...I also think DJ Moore will have another good year but not till at least the 5th...Sal you decimate everybody in this field...pure facts
Sal I need you to take this video down, not because you are wrong, but because you're right, and I don't want to risk my league mates seeing this 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
I can almost guarantee you a good amount of these are going to be league winners.
@ocho33 In 14 team leagues with 3+ WR/RB/Flex spots - yes.
@@MJScoutArchMar adult leagues
@@ocho33 12 team PPR superflex 3wr 2flex are the best settings
Don’t take someone’s word as gospel look at stats this dude could be wrong very easily
because of everyone’s bashing of dj moore’s situation, he slid all the way to final pick of the fifth round and i scooped him up. amazing flex option, don’t hate that value at all
That's pretty crazy
same can't pass there
I'd be happy taking him in the 3rd honestly. So funny how certain fantasy pros will have exact opposite reactions to his rankings.
@@jesussalas4974I snagged him in the 5th without hesitation
Same happened to me
Disagree with flowers. Getting a teams WR1 in the 5th round is a plus if you ask me, and on a high powered playoff offense. Dude had plenty of games with double digit targets last season. I’d easily take him over Andrews in the same spot when you can get similar tight ends a few rounds later (Kincaid, Pitts)
How many games did Andrews miss tho?
@@jeremycarlon6485 How many will he miss this year? Part of the upside with Flowers is Andrews' injury history.
You think pitts is the same as andrews. What?!?!
@gowokegobrokee we’ll see, look what Kirk did with Hockenson. I see no reason he can’t elevate Pitts to a top 5-7 tight end.
@@christianoates3140 andrews is top three…. Still not even close
I drafted Moore last year in all my leagues, this year I won’t touch anyone from Bears. Might be a mistake and I actually think Caleb might be fine, but the WR room is too crowded.
And dj moore is clearly the best of the 3
I got him in like the 6th round so I took the gamble.
that just means he'll prob get the ball wayyyyy more accurately n easier
Allen is going to ball so they are good but the Texans on the other hand…
@@dylanmullin06Rome could easily be better this year
Agree with a lot of the takes good speed work!
Only one I like is Nico. Diggs coming in will eat into target share, however last year Nico and CJ were banged up a few games + it’s fair to expect some kind of improvement upon CJ first year and Nico breakout. I believe he puts up very similar numbers to last year with spike week potential.
Tank dell is strouds favorite target (his words). I like Nico a lot but I don’t think he puts up the same kind of production in a more crowded WR room and now that they have an alpha RB
Nico is the only WR on all offensive sets. Diggs and tank swap and that’s all the info I needed to pickup Nico over the other 2.
i got him at rd 3 so got him at a good spot but i do think diggs helps more since defense cant really key in on him
It was a crime that I went the last month without subscribing or notifications on. Im a reformed man
True story bro I won both my fantasy leagues the 1 year I started following Sam’s advice subbing to his weekly emails
Industry plants 😤 can’t fool me
I disagree with the DJ Moore take. Yes there's more competition but he's getting a big upgrade in QB and the bears paid him out crazy so they definitley gonna use him heavily.
Disagree with Zay Flowers. With Derrick Henry there, teams will have to move the safeties up. They’ll be in mark Andrews route zones. Deep ball is going to be open for Zay a lot
Sal, I absolutely love your videos. I like even more that you use Player Profiler rankings. I love all those guys as well.
“Please look at this right now, how absolutely, ridiculously f$&@#%*& crazy that this is.” Sal talking about DJ Moore. 😂😂😂 love it Sal!
It caught me so off guard😭
I don’t love Stroud in fantasy but realistically I think he could throw for 5k and close to 40 TDs this year if all works out
Sal, just a friendly advise - don't get into a debate with people who post under your videos. This is YOUR take and your take only. Everyone else can build their own strategies.
I so appreciate you and your efforts. Cheers, brother!
What is wrong with a little back and forth?
@@GreatNewsVideo Yeah totally agree. It's weird when people tell someone to take their advice but not listen to anyone else in that comments... He's a grown ass man who can have a simple and respectful conversation, that's the entire point of FF. It's all opinions and no guarantee's 🥂
You pickup injured players that have late/mid season potential then put them on IR. Now you have an extra roster spot for waiver pickups.
I picked up Hock in round 13
I got hock right before the end too. Hopefully he comes back somewhat early
The Dowdles ADP is insanely low. I have dowdle everywhere based on the same thought process. What do u think on dowdle?
Thank you for never wasting our time with useless banter or some deuche wearing a backwards baseball hat chiming in with their opinion on every player you cover!
Keep up the great stuff!
wish I could like this 20 times. so many awful fantasy sports shows.
I've literally unsubscribed to every other Fantasy podcast at this point. In Sal we trust 🙏
Sounds like that douche who over emotes his commentary and screams phrases like "give me all the shares of [fill in the blank] BABY!!!!!”
I disagree with the puka take, and if anyone should not go in that range it’s Wilson. Sometimes you’re so deep in the data you can’t see the art on the field. Wilson is a stud but we have zero idea of his QB talent at this point and he has underperformed so far in terms of his fantasy value. Too many risks there. Also, I think you’re 100% right on Nico.
I 100% agree
Would take Puka over Wilson, AJ and Gibbs every day.
@@NicholasKrajncwant to join my $200 league? I’d love free money 🤣
I feel the same way, Kupp is coming into an age that he will be there and get targets but his efficiency and huge years are over. All the data points to that
‘qb talent’ you mean aaron rodgers?
This guy right here know he be breaking it down 💪🏾💯 the best on RUclips
Drake London is the disgusting pick there
I’ll take Drake over Olave any day
@@TheClassicalKids ok good luck
He will be last years dj moore, book it.
@Fenix-054 only thing I'll book is you won't make the playoffs if you picked him. Mooney is the WR to have on that team.
@@Fenix-054dj Moore finished top 10 in PPR last year….and that was with absolute trash QB play. Anyone in their right minds would be all over a guy like that.
Rashee Rice was drafted specifically to catch 4 yard passes and gain another 5 yards. He's there to move the chains. They normally play an RB in that role, but moved away from that. The fact they didn't draft his replacement shows they intend to keep him in that job.
The guys not even gonna get to be on the field until week 7
@@Frankieknuckls Rashee Rice will be a league winner in 2024. Fade him if you want to.
I got Nico Collins in the third round that’s why i drafted him
Yea I’m seeing a lot of these fantasy know it alls talk so down on Texans offense like we overrating and hyping them up, gunna be hugely mistaken come week 1 it’s like they trying to deny the truth Houston is gunna be hella fun to watch like last years dolphins
My fantasy team
QB Richardson
RB1 Jonathan taylor
RB2 Achane
WR1 T Hill
WR2 kupp
TE Andrews
FLEX D adams
K Mooney SF
D jets
Only in a 8 man league but im projection is T1st❤
How is this even possible, did you draft with newbs.
Staying away from all Houston wrs with diggs and dell in the mix
Dell is the best out of all of them… Antonio brown level before he went crazy
As a Texans fan, I’m just avoiding Texans in general. So much competition in the offense
So who exactly are you drafting over them because wr2 in good offenses overall are better in fantasy than wr1 in bottom offenses
I'm generally trying to avoid Houston and Green Bay's receivers if I can.
I traded Collins last year for Breece Hall because I knew Dell was sitting on waivers and they would have similar output.
I'm glad I made the trade because I'm keeping Breece as my 3rd rd pick this year. Tank was arguably the #1 in that offense before he got hurt. Definitely staying away this year unless it's at a significant discount.
I’m thinking mixon could actually be pretty good this year tho
Fant doesn't even have a combined 1,000 yards the past two seasons. And he's only missed one game. Wow! Almost a poor man's Kelce.
It's pretty tough for me to get behind this "if there's no rushing upside they aren't worth drafting" thing. Literally only 3 QBs last year that had any real rushing upside and that was Josh Allen, Hurts, and Lamar. Lamar doesn't score many points as a passer so without his "rushing upside" he is barely a fantasy starter and without Hurts tush push "rushing upside" he isn't any better than Dak or Stroud or Burrow. The pocket passer isn't dead or close to it, Stroud and Dak had bigger games than all those guys passing the ball and Mahomes will too this year with some weapons. The top 3 guys have rushing upside but there needs to be 9 other QBs starting in a league so like if you can get a stack or really like a pocket passer then take him. JA and Hurts are the only two who are in a league of their own
I agree with you - people are going way too crazy for rushing upside, but Stroud is still being legit over-drafted. Why does he go so much earlier than Dak, another pocket passer? Is Stroud a better QB in year 2 than Dak is in his prime? I doubt it. Is he on a more explosive, pass-heavy offense? Dallas ran the most passing plays last year. Does he have better weapons? Maybe better depth, but give me CeeDee Lamb over any WR on the Texans.
@coolcreep I agree with that people are sleeping on Dak so I'll just keep drafting him
I think QBs without rushing upside are absolutely worth drafting, just not within two rounds of the top 3 QBs with rushing upside (I'm also fading Mahomes for the most part). EDIT: Responded too early and saw that he's fading Tua and Herbert for same reason and I agree with you! I like both of them when they fall, rushing upside or no.
@joshliam1967 glad we are on the same! This is definitely a wait to draft qb year for me either way but the guys that can throw 40 tds are just as valuable to me as the guys throwing 25 or 30 and rushing for 8 or 10
It doesn't really have anything to do with the ceiling, it's about the floor and consistency - the 3 players you mentioned with the rushing upside have such a high floor that they are almost guaranteed to end up in the top 5, (and Richardson and Murray could easily get there too if things go even moderately well) where as players like Burrow, Prescott, and even Stroud need everything to go right and a career year to end up there. That's not to say those guys aren't worth drafting and starting - it's just not worth investing an early to mid round pick on a pocket passer - if you don't end up with one of those top 3 guys (or maybe Mahomes if the price is right), it's better to just wait to be one of, if not the last, owners in your league to draft a QB - guys like Purdy, Tua, Cousins and even Herbert all can end up scoring in the same range of the top pocket passers pretty easily, and will cost you next to nothing. I'm actually kicking myself in my main league, it's a keeper league and the top guys (Hurts, Allen, Jackson) as well as a few others (Tua, Richardson, Cousins were all kept but other than that there were no QBs gone yet in the late 6th round. I was set to pick last in the 6th with 2 guys ahead of me (including the Tua owner) so I was feeling good about my chances to grab a freefalling Mahomes or Stroud at a good value. Well, Stroud went and then the Tua owner grabbed Mahomes for some reason (after giving up an 8th round pick to keep Tua) so I panicked a bit and took Burrow. Still a good value at the end of the 6th (which is better than it sounds given that each team can keep up to 3 guys so late 6th is more like mid to late 8th in most leagues) but I could have grabbed some badly needed RB depth there - I ended up taking Kyler Murray in the 13th round anyway because the value was so good, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if Kyler outscores Burrow this year. Not only did I give up that pick, but now, unless I can swing a trade, I have the weekly headache of picking which guy to start.
Quick video recap:
- [Questionable player] only did well 1 year ago.
- [Non-questionable player] did well 2 years ago.
- I emotionally connected with [Non-questionable player] for longer so he's better.
intriguing....
I def made mistakes on my first time playing season long ever. I took some players too soon and left better options to the next guy. And the fact that I feel my team is decent, hurts more to think about what I could’ve had.
12 team league I was 5th pick.
(B Hall) 5
(N Collins) 20
(D Achane 29
(CJ Stroud) 44
(Z Flowers) 53
(D Kincaid) 68
(R Odunze) 77
(J Reed) 92
(B Thomas Jr) 101
(B Robinson Jr) 116
(J Elliot) 125
(T Spears) 140
(J Herbert) 149
(Buffalo) 164
(Z Chabonnet) 173
Rice take is freezing cold ngl. Rice and Worthy are both gonna be good this year, Kelce is the one I see getting a reduced role
Dude, this has got to be the most helpful information I’ve heard all year. I was honestly considering Puka Nakua for my first round pick.
So I normally don't do this, but when you miss quote somebody, not only is it not fair for them it's not fair for the listeners, Austin ekeler recently did an interview to clear that statement that he made about the chargers wanted a rusher to rush the ball 300 times, his quote was taken out of context, the chargers want to rush the ball 300 times that's not his skill set, Austin ekeler was a PPR monster,, so to sit there and try to run him for 300 times a season that's not where you are going to get the best version of him, run him 200 times give him a hundred passes, he'll stay on the field every play,, his quote was made to look like he was saying the chargers want to run for 300 times a year and he can't do that,, he also goes on to say ,he suffered a high ankle sprain very early in the season, and then re-aggravated it again,, but to the fantasy football players, you know how I get down and if I was a betting man I would have me on your team this season,,.. now with this being said, he was a first round pick last season,, he's only 29 years old,, for context, Christian McCaffrey is 28, Derrick Henry is 30,, you made the argument for Nakua, that he's a horrible pic because Cooper kupp was hurt last season. But now he's healthy.. can't have it both ways.. ekeler hurt his ankle last season now he's healthy,you go try running around with a high ankle sprain,,lol.. the man is healthy.. it's an absolute crime that he's being picked this late in fantasy,, especially in best ball.. that is a no-brainer. I will take him every single time in the 9th or tenth round..
Also Anthony Lynn. Ekeler is a steal this year
@@ocho33 absolutely
DJ is easily the top target in the bears offense. Whatever you think about CW he has to be better than Fields and they will be passing a lot more than they did last year.
Jameson Williams being drafted in the 12th round over the 9th round is irrelevant. At this point in the draft you are looking for upside. Nobody is drafting Jameson Williams hoping he returns his adp value.
Sal, how can people say with a straight face that the Chagers are gonna be a run team. They are gonna be playing from behind in 80% or more of their games. This team might want to be a run team, but the team is not ready to be a run first team. I think that Herbert will be a way better fantasy QB than analysts are giving him credit for. Sure, most of his points will be garbage time points, but that doesn't matter. They all count the same. Herbert could be a league winner in alot of leagues. Just my opinion.
They have one of the easiest schedules in the league, they won't be playing from behind as much as you think.
@@carltonmoore6967 They also dont have good running backs. Curious how they plan on being a run first team with 29 year old Edwards who has been an 8 carry a game guy for almost his entire career and JK Dobbins who has about a 0% chance of doing anything.
@@tkell31Jim was like, “Hey, lil bro lemme get some of them RBs…torn ACLs? So what…
Dawg Chargers are not going to trailing. Check their schedule
@@tkell31their rookie is a beast
5:54 he must really notice the difference in the bears offense going into this year, my man Sal ain’t normally cursing in a video like this
Calvin is going to shred this season. Also, titans are going to be slinging it more with King Henry gone. Tyler Boyd might help move the chains but his red zone looks won't threaten Calvin's.
It’s funny how all of my late picks & waiver wire WRs(Addison, Nico, Puka) 😂outperformed my top WRs(Adams, Kupp, Pittman) that helped me win it all!🤙🏾
I think Puka in the 2nd/3rd round is a great pick.
The issue I have with your take on DJ and Nico is that these guys cannot be guarded 1 on 1. These opportunities will only increase with studs like Allen and Diggs garnering more attention from defences. They’re also much younger than their veteran counterparts and historically they are at the age when they’re most likely to boom. Did I draft both these guys? Yup.. I bloody hope I’m right 😳
Collins had elite YPRR numbers last year. Top 5 of the last five years. Pretty good company with Hill (who is top 5 twice), Adams and Kupp are the other two. Below him are guys like Chase, Jefferson, Lamb, Brown. Point is he's an elite talent. I doubt anyone will regret taking him.
I got Nico (10th round) and Puka (18th round) in a Dynasty start up last season. (I know I won the lottery). But I do agree I will not be drafting either of them this season in redraft where they’re being taken. I’ll enjoy my dynasty riches (and championship).
Last year a guy (lions fan) took jahmyr Gibbs #2 overall
Flowers was a rookie last year right? I think he’s got a high ceiling
I snagged Evans then Nico at the 24/25 in a 12 man and am stoked with it. I don’t think diggs will take too much away, especially because I think the Texans overall are going to have a potent offense and will be scoring a ton of points.
I really believe Ekeler is gonna be a beast this year
He scored 26 PPR points week 1. During the wk 1 game he got a high ankle sprain and 4-5 games and he really wasn’t the same for the rest of the season after that. He never fully recovered.
He should be fully recovered by now so watch out
Your on-set camera control and production quality has improved this off-season. Here. Take my money.
Stroud throws the ball 35 times a game. Nico will still get his 6-10 targets a game only guy who was more efficient was hill. So ya anyone saying he’ll get ignored at all is insane. He’s the wr one here and we ones get fed.
Flowers was a rookie. I think Lamar has improved each year as a passer and Zay fits what Lamar is as a passer perfectly. 4th round might be rich without context, all depends on where you get him. For example, I got him in the 4th round but he was WR25. He finished last year as WR30 in 0.5PPR. Seems like a decent bet for improvement.
Nico is the primary receiver on a high scoring offense that has a qb that gun slings. Yes he’s not a flashy wr but he’s polished in a Cadillac offense
lmao first person I've seen that says nico collins shouldn't be that high. I genuinely don't understand how he's up there in a crowded wr room. Great player, but wouldn't take him that high.
Sal in form speed dropping! Love Andrews over flowers w a likely handcuff in BB
And here I am, took Nico 2nd round (20th overall) in a 12 team draft lol
Great video Sal, love your style.
Why do fantasy guys act like rookies don't improve...
to be fair, most players have sophomore slumps
"I'm sorry! Don't get mad!"
Lol that's funny man. Love the videos!
This didn't Age well after Game 1 🤣 "Don't go after Zay Flowers, Ravens will prioritize Derrick Henry & Mark Andrews is the favorite receiver" Right ...
While mark Andrews was trash flowers was also trash too he only had 11 points so he wasn't far off
Zay F is a best ball player only… going to be hard to predict his big games
Yup I have been saying it for the last month. The only reason Stroud is going as high as he is in bestball is because there is 3 teams that need to pass on him every round. You have the Diggs, Dell and Collins team all having to pass on him when they see the potential stack come up.
Nico will have to share with multiple recievers BUUUUUTT he is strouds go to guy for 3rd downs and a big target when needed. Guess we'll have to see what this season brings.
High powered passing offense, they will all eat.
@@NPC13377 tank dell is cj strouds go to guy imo
@@Adin100 when Nico was hurt yes that was the case. In reality, no one really knows if CJ is going to have a go to guy or if it'll vary week to week.
Through 15 drafts I have Puca x2, DJ Moore x2, 0 Nico, FLowers, Stroud,Ridley, 1x rice, 0x ekler, 2x Jameson, 0 Herbert, 0 Hock, 0 Kmet
We’re taking Hock for the upside. He will likely come back full strength week 7-8, if you take an early TE with a late bye, Hock is a good pick.
my league must be full of big brainers because nacua went late 2nd and nico collins went well after every single guy you mentioned he was being taken ahead of. henry and evans were also early second rounders.
The reason zay flowers is going early is because the projection of improvement. He was a rookie last year and when mark andrews was hurt he was a stud so people are probably thinking the ravens will get him the ball a ton. Also Andrews gets hurt a lot so he’s gonna have some big games
Got Puka at 2.04 and Pittman at 4.04 in a 12 man, 1 QB, 3 WR league. I ain’t complaining at all.
I picked up Tyreek 1.2 and Pittman at 3.2. Which is early but my league (12 man ppr) really target WRs early so only chance at a good WR2
thank you for being the first serious fantasy content producer to deflate the nico collins nonsense. dudes a dog but no one should be taken that high in a receiving corps that replete.
This has potential to be an all time bad takes video
Shout out Paul Wall & Bun B
10:20 "Like you can get Dak Prescott 15 picks later. I don't even want Dak Prescott 15 picks later!" Ruthless. Dak just getting casually cooked.🤣
Jamison Williams in the 9th round is a possible league winner this guy knows nothing
Rice doesn't have court until mid December. Chances are it'll be continued and not figured out this season. He's the clear #1 in kc
Honestly fading the early second round receivers hard Drake, Nico and the Sal favorite Olave
For real they all gonna bust except maybe London.
I’d rather take Mike Evans over all those dudes
I prefer all the RBs in round 2 to the WR's (JT, Saquon, Kyren, sometimes Gibbs)
@@tobyflederstech5305 im over weight on Evens for sure feels like the easiest click I think Nico and Drake can both have good years I’m just betting 5 to 8 guys going in the second and early third have better ones
@@bronson__roi6435 im taking Kyren in the third honestly falls behind the second half of 2 round receivers often
@@Lonewanderer1738
Nico gonna be a good boom bust player you can grab Amari Cooper a few rounds later and get the same performance or better
Saying Kyler murry in the same breath as Dak CJ Burrow is wild
I got Stroud in the 7th. Thought he was a good value there. My league everyone reached on QB. All the top mobiles were gone.
DJ in his Prime + a better passer in Williams, I can't get on board with him not doing well. He and Nico have been going in the 3rd and I will take them there in a 2 RB hero team all day every day. I have CMC and Pacheco. I agree that Nico and Moore in the second is too high, unless your in like a 12 man and you're desperate for WR.
I was late to my draft party and it auto drafted me Kupp. My draft in general was absolute trash so I actually ended up with Kupp, Puka and Kyren around round 4 trying to get back in the mix. I almost made it by one game. My team suffered when Stafford got hurt….all that to say if Puka lands to me I’m picking somebody else. I 1000% agree with you, Sal!!
This guy helped me win last year can’t wait for your analysis this season
With most pocket passers, i agree, but Mahomes is the outlier. Dude is always a threat for 5k yards and 40-50 TDs.
Boyd was a "great" slot receiver, while being fantasy irrelevant in any league south of fourteen teams. Got it.
Overall ok but that Stroud Take is an L. He is definitely gonna out score Murray, and probably Richardson aswell. The stock people are putting in Anthony Richardson is crazy. he played 4 games, had like 50% completion rate and got hurt. Yeah seems like a real league winner 😒
People saying the bears wide receiver room is "too crowded" make no fucking sense.
If he had no body to help him before teams could plan double or tripple him the whole game and had shit qb play no rb to help and still went the fuck off l. Kenan and odunze are gonna take pressure off moore.
Bruh this has not aged well 😂😂 Flowers and Rice looking like phenomenal picks, and we’re just 1 game in let’s see how this holds Sunday
Flowers wasn't that good tho😭
A lot of wrong takes. Puka is still going in the 2nd. Nico is still going in the 3rd. Both great options there. DJ Moore may get less targets, but significantly better QB play. Ridley is one of my favorite targets in round 6 🤣
Edit: hadnt even gotten to Rice yet who i think is the absolute best value in all of fantasy. I disagree with every single one of your picks
Rice has one thing no one else besides Kelce has - Mahomes' trust. He'll get a ton of short air yards catches again. Brown and worthy will open up the underneath stuff and I expect them to rest Kelce more often to keep him fresh. I think Worthy will be odd man out most of the year.
He also has a few felonies staring him down
@Syst3m04 I don't expect any suspension to take place until next year. League waits until legal process has finished and that hasn't happened yet.
@@briansartain2752 that’s pretty wild to me since the dude is literally on video but 🤷♂️
@Syst3m04 yeah, it's crazy that it takes so long. I think they keep to the standard "wait until the courts finish" so it's consistent no matter how it appears. That gives them a better legal argument in those cases where it isn't so cut and dried.
I feel like Sal picked a lot of rookies here to avoid and then banked on them completely stagnating or regressing in their second years. There’s no chance that players like Puka Nacua and CJ Stroud will totally stagnate, and even if they did, so what? If you extrapolate the ~16 ppg Puka was averaging with Kupp also there to 17 games, you get 270 points. CJ is most likely going to be Qb 6-8 even with just pure passing skills. Look at how Purdy and Goff did last year. Andrews is injury prone, and even if he wasn’t, they’re going to scheme more touches for flowers this year in the run or screen game, even if target share on true passes doesn’t go up.
I think Puka is gonna be a beast.
I legit disagree w all of your picks. But after last year seeing what you were saying in the beginning of the season im so glad i never went with your advice lmao
For context before last season started, he said: Deboo > keenan allen
Adams > st brown
Dontae johnson > mike evans
Drake london is going to be a breakout player in 2023 w ridder
Agree with Puka and Nico. Nico especially. Added Diggs and Mixon, plus Tank. That's a lot of mouths to feed.
😂. Sal was raised on Sesame Street.
One of these players just doesn't belong her, na na na, can you tell me which one before my take is done.
I got Nico in the mid-late 3rd round (like 30th overall) but i still didn’t like the pick. Just felt like he fell so far. Will try to trade him asap
Stroud has 3 wr going in the top 4 rounds. That pretty much confirms a floor of top 7.
Pick Dak instead of Stroud great advice buddy. Really
How can he say that zay and puka are too high but doesn’t take into account that progression from these first year players are very likely.
Moore is going to EAT this year mark my words
Only thing I don’t like about this vid is Zay flowers OBJ is gone remember that he’s going to catch more balls
I drafted a team 11/12 and picked up JJ/AJ Brown/Nico, I don't mind having Nico in my flex I think Diggs will not be highly targeted by Stroud
I have D.J moore should i try to trade him😭😭😭
Got Puka 20th overall, friggin steal
Already wrong about rashee rice and mark andrews… can’t wait for puka to be top 5 wr this year
If commissioners would get smart they would add +1 for QB completions and -1 for QB attempts and make the real good QBs worth drafting instead of dogs like fields 😂
So if a QB goes 20 for 30 they get 10 points but if they got go 10 for 30 they get -10 points.... I don't understand why commissioners don't use these numbers.... We use everything else!
.... Not attempts but incomplete
I’m with you except for Rashee Rice and Nico Collins.
I agree with everything here except Calvin Ridley. I think he's going to do well this season.
Rashee Rice fell to me on round 9 I hope it still not too much to invest on him at least for that round.
I'm taking Nico Collins all day in drafts this year, but no way in the 2nd...I also think DJ Moore will have another good year but not till at least the 5th...Sal you decimate everybody in this field...pure facts