Randomness and prediction of matches

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  • Опубликовано: 3 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 13

  • @pfutbol6381
    @pfutbol6381 4 года назад +2

    Thank you very much, i know that there is not millions of views, but for the ones that do see this videos help us a lot, sorry for my english, im from Mexico

    • @someguy4003
      @someguy4003 4 года назад +2

      Dont worry man. Your english is better than 90% of America's citizens.

  • @andreastasoulas7939
    @andreastasoulas7939 3 года назад +2

    How about a method combining randomness with elo ranking for simulating scorelines?
    One example: Let's say I have a teams A (Home) and B (Away) with Elo scores EloA and EloB. Then I am taking n random matches from a sample, and I calculate the average Elo rankings and goals scored, which I then adjust to the EloA and EloB, to predict the A Vs. B scoreline. It would be then ScoreA = EloA * AvgHomeScore / AvgHomeElo and ScoreB = EloB * AvgAwayScore / AvgAwayElo.
    Just an example, of how we could introduce randomness in an Elo-based model.

  • @libboris6519
    @libboris6519 2 года назад

    away_score_rate=poisson_model.predict(pd.DataFrame(data={'team': away_team, 'opponent': home_team,
    'home':1},index=[1]))
    home in this case should be 0, is it ?

  • @ianrjm969
    @ianrjm969 Год назад

    Why does the lambda HAVE to be the average goals scored per game? I can think of a much better metric to measure a team's scoring ability. IMO the average is fundamentally flawed if only considering a single team's data from a single season.

  • @cms2037
    @cms2037 3 года назад +1

    Thanks for the lecture!

    • @jamalemmett7241
      @jamalemmett7241 3 года назад

      You all probably dont give a shit but does anyone know a way to log back into an Instagram account..?
      I stupidly lost the login password. I love any assistance you can give me!

    • @landynmauricio422
      @landynmauricio422 3 года назад

      @Jamal Emmett Instablaster =)

    • @jamalemmett7241
      @jamalemmett7241 3 года назад

      @Landyn Mauricio I really appreciate your reply. I found the site thru google and I'm waiting for the hacking stuff now.
      Seems to take a while so I will reply here later when my account password hopefully is recovered.

    • @jamalemmett7241
      @jamalemmett7241 3 года назад

      @Landyn Mauricio It worked and I actually got access to my account again. I am so happy!
      Thanks so much you saved my ass :D

    • @landynmauricio422
      @landynmauricio422 3 года назад

      @Jamal Emmett No problem =)

  • @chineduokafor6763
    @chineduokafor6763 3 года назад +3

    Confusion