Peter Diamandis and The Best Way to Predict The Future | Singularity University
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- Опубликовано: 9 мар 2010
- Peter Diamandis, Chairman and Co-Founder of Singularity University, discusses the best way to predict the future, and shares his personal philosophies on innovation and the commercial space industry. Flimed at Singularity University's Executive Program, March 2010.
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Peter Diamandis - The best way to predict the future | Singularity University
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Nice video,was quite engaging right from the start to the very end, indeed its a good time to invest in crypto.
@Tyler chapman All you need now is a professional trader else you are going to continue making losses.
Perfect time indeed, notwithstanding the consistent rise and fall in crypto,there are little or no risk in trading them .
Bitcoin is the future,investing in it now will be the wisest thing to do especially with the current raise.
@Tommy Joel Please who is your trader, I think I really need a good and honest trader at the moment
@Tommy Joel I'm surprised you know them too. I've been making alot of profits investing with her for few months now.
It's so crazy, this talk is so old, but it's so golden. I'm going to watch it again.
I’m watching it in the year 2021, and I am very inspired even though it is dated.
One scary part is at 1:09:10. Where Peter explains that government bureaucracies have gone from allowance if it is not prohibited to not allowed unless it is specifically permitted. This is a road to disaster, the squashing of innovation.
My business involves a lot of innovation and almost everything I do is under the table, out of the side of government bureaucrats, to the great benefit of my customers and to the good Earth.
It’s very funny, my customers are both liberals who love the government in every way except when it has to do with their personal business, and as well libertarian tight people who absolutely hate the government. I am of the latter ilk.
I see one of the many videos like this and am astounded that it only has tens of thousands of views. These are the people who are going to change the world for the better, and they deserve more attention.
That was beautifully worded. I too believe that they are astounding individuals who will change the world. We need to show people that this stuff is exciting.
I think the problem is people are pessimistic. What "these people" are saying is too grand for many people to understand, and when they make the changes people forget and say, yea of course its that way, thats not visionary. For example, for decades people said a decent functional AI, you'd be able to talk to it and most of the time it would give you the right answers, Star Trek computer like. Tada, Siri. Now people complain that 30% of the time Siri does't understand what they want... while they're driving with the windows down. People say we haven't progressed in space since the moon landings, 30 years ago we put a telescope in space and changed astronomy. 20 years ago we put an internationally coordinated space station in space. 5 years ago we had our first commercial space companies successfully make space and 2 years ago orbital velocity. Those were "big" events when they happened, but the bigness only lasted a few days to months, now its old hat, that just is, boring.
Lets start with recognizing the BOLD visionaries of our past because by the time this generations visionaries prove themselves it will be the past. (see what I did there... Diamandis... BOLD... hehehe)
+Hunter Elofson "I see one of the many videos like this and am astounded that it only has tens of thousands of views. "
Don't be so astounded, to triple or quadruple the views the uploader need only need include a kitten playing with a ball of wool. Very, very few people in the world do the 'innovation' bit... and I mean its tiny, well less than 1%...everyone else is along for the ride, even of the viewers here less than 1% of them will create, or develop or promote anything of any real value. I grant you it is a waste, but thats the nature of humanity as a system,. Most are consumers and users and a tiny percentage do the advancement.
How do you expect to fix abrupt climate change because unless that's fixed, there's no hope for anything. And do it in 10 years or so? And keep in mind that every greenhouse gas molecule only adds to an irreversible and catastrophic problem. Just curious.
Realized this talk is 6 years old...would be fascinating to hear what he has to say now. Have to google some more updated speeches!
Meri-Tuuli Himanen 9 years old now
@@dream1430 10 years old now :-)
This video is so rich with information that inspired me personally, and i somehow cried at the part of professor hawking into the weightlessness, i felt as if u made one of his dreams come true, i can just say " THANK YOU".....
Peter's Laws(TM) at 1.30, the Global & Exponential perspective at 10.40, what drives breakthroughs at 14.00, prizes at 19.00, willingness to fail -> opportunity to innovate (including discussion) at 35.50, discussion of maximizing chances of successful innovation at 42.30, super credibility at 46.30, update on X Prize initiatives at 49.20
Thanks for putting this up online! Long for a RUclips video, but intriguing enough to make it worthwhile.
One of my favorite talks ever.
Can't believe this has been up since March 2010 and I only just found it now... What an excellent presentation. I never listen to people who tell me that something can't be done, I have been on a mission to discover anti-gravity technology for the past 5 years and I have probably come closer to making it a reality than anyone who has tried before... Why? Because I think like this guy, and if more people don't start thinking like this we're all doomed....
The thing is, I knew this guy & have watched a few long talks by him so I was curious to read your comment before I watched the video but then, after watching the video, I understood you 100%. I have never heard him talk like this & I'm just as flabbergasted as you. The thing is, I'm in a wheelchair so when he mentioned the possibility of people like me being able to climb a mountain, the thought of that possibility almost brought tears to my eyes. After 15yrs I don't have to wait much longer :)
Dear Michael: Godspeed for physical assistance through technology to aid your mobility. I wish all of you the very best. I wish I was young enough to be involved in this kind of engineering work. Best wishes, Steve
Always a MUST to revisit, and see. Constraints are in our way to grow on them! Thanks @PeterDiamandis for constant inspiration!
Share it with everyone you know and watch it again!
Best video on RUclips.
this guy is so far ahead of his time great great video
Realized this talk is 10 years old
11 years now .... !
Wow, the darkest part of the sky has that many galaxies! Amazing!
I am a thirty three year old guy who one time dropped out of architectural school, who for the past seven years have been trading in used books and who plans to study biochemistry. This is the kind of speech I need.
Interesting, did you successfully complete this Biochemistry in the end? What were your reasons for choosing this in the beginning?
Thank you Mr Diamandis.
Very interesting :-)
These long form lectures highlight Singularity University.
Can we have some more please?
I didn't know who this man was an hour and 46 minutes ago. Now I am compelled to donate to X-prize, I suspect I just had my life changed. This is so inspirational and incredible.
I hope this message finds that your life was indeed changed for the better at that moment.
Great stuff, Peter D!
yes i've been waiting for 40 yrs and now LETS GO
Also on the topic of length, since this video is quite long you (@singularityu) might want to consider adding Annotations in RUclips's video editor to mark topical sections of Peter's talk for viewers.
Gosto de ouvir este senhor falar ! ..... acho que ele é muito claro e sabe passar as ideias aos outros ..... sabe comunicar ......e vai direto aos temas com poucas palavras ! ....
So true, i to admire people like you, great believers, people who do, & make things happen what a wonderful presentation it simply consumed me. such an inspirational guy with a great mind & vision. march 2010 were have i been....... good luck on your mission you can do!!! because, you say you can!!! god bless friend
Relisten once a year at least - and compare *****'s words to what is really happening in the world. Great inspiration any time when sort of stuck by the nay-sayers around you!
Thank you for the amazing information!
I have an Idea that will improve the lives of everyone on the planet. I held it in my hands in a dream and it was real. It was my doppelganger of sort, in the future. My whole life's existence and every thing I've learned and touched in science was accessible all at once with great speed. I was able to compound technologies that were never before connected but are already in use individually as a part of other applications. I cried because I knew I was given one of the greatest gifts ever.
Thanks Peter, this is an amazing talk which has highly impacted me. I also bought his books Abundance and then Bold which are both as amazing as Peter himself.
Thanks again.
You all prolly dont give a shit but does someone know of a method to get back into an instagram account?
I somehow forgot the login password. I would love any help you can give me!
@Rogelio Beau instablaster :)
@Dominik Shepherd thanks for your reply. I got to the site through google and im in the hacking process atm.
I see it takes a while so I will reply here later with my results.
@Dominik Shepherd It worked and I now got access to my account again. I'm so happy!
Thanks so much, you saved my ass!
@Rogelio Beau Glad I could help :)
Hope the future is as bright as suggested. I have serious eye problems and my doctor says if I can hold on another 10 years an alternative (already available at 1000 pixels) will be available. Saw a great show on Science the other day about a quadriplegic who was "walking" simply by thinking (crude exoskeleton). No, he wasn't running the 4 minute mile but the look on his face was priceless.
Murphy, (Edward Aloysius Murphy, Jr.) was a GI During ww2 and took part in the DDay landings when he started to pen his famous laws. The one here is his most famous but he did have others.
He also pointed out that one should remember their weapons were produced by the lowest bidder!
Another that all soldiers should remember that when they have the enemy in range....well they are too!
All sound advise. He was also an aerospace engineer.
Passion is THE DRIVER to make change happen !!!!!
Mr. Diamimandis, I have deep regrad for your vision, wide heartedness, seriousness as to positive change of civilization and mankind. I share your every dimension of activity. And in order to support you in your endeavor I am offering a little academic present to you so that involve people to do research in this field. I am being aretired university professort material to this research in full this is my hummble peep into your project. As time is runnig fast. we have to see this done at the earliest. You are the man who can do this most effectively. SoPolicy automation and its dimensions
Policy automation is the demand of our time. This is due to the exponential technological innovation that is taking place today and the automation thereof. What signifies at the moment is to determine what would be its basic foundation.
The central principle of the essence and perspective of policy automation will be to innovate way outs to sweep off the authority content that has pervaded in its context traditionally. Also there is an issue of impersonalizing its operational mechanism keeping alive the human touch that no policy affair can bypass.
The ray that peeps to focus light on this is that policy spring must be in the academia so that it can have both the human touch and the human knowledge content and knowledge transformation that can match with update needs with perspective change over time. This will also ensure human supervision over policy need, policy formulation and policy application. This will match exactly with individual liberty, human superiority and the need to set aside involvement of politics and politicians.
Academic research must be associated with a research project continuum that can address every new perspective and their minute dimensions. New frontiers of knowledge inclusion will be needed to be made compulsory. For, without this catastrophic counterproductive events may follow. As the automation rate is increasingly becoming more and more exponential this demands special attention.
*** ***
19.19.18
Prof.Dr.MohdumMushrafi
My new favorite video for inspiration!!! :)
Diamantis U DA MAN!!!!!!!!!!!! bravo megale ;)
you think like a true GREEK!
Age of Abundance at 1.00.00, space flight economics at 1.02.28, Rocket Racing at 1.06.45, Zero G and taking Steven Hawking into weightlessness at 1.09.10, dozens of $100 billion opportunities at 1.20.30, questions at 1.21.35
Why is this not as popular as the political debates and the 60 minutes episodes...
If you want to predict the future, study the past.
This guy is a legend!
Been searching the Rand Corporation for the research report mentioned in the video. Anyone have a link or name of the report? I seem to remember a current project at one of the big universities building a diagnosis platform that reached a better rate than doctors would.
The only people that would have a problem with this video are those threatened by Peter's brilliance and charisma.
@Ekergaard
If you are interested in studying Biochemistry you could start that now there is many video here on youtube of university lectures on biochemistry.
Mathematics is a good tool to start studying science and it can give you the ability to model many different fields of science.
If you have asked yourself about your dreams to make real - watch it!
If you'd interested to understand exponential growth - watch it!
If you're passionate about doing the impossible seeming - watch it!
If you're are believer in #Lean #LeanStartup #LeanThinking #abundance #singularity - watch it!
.... though pretty long I recommend this one video by Peter H. Diamandis to anybody, who is willing to do the impossible: bringing her/his dream into existence!!!
Before placing any judgement on the subject of his speech, read the Wired magazine about Peter. (just google wired magazine and his name)
There are those who are strictly scholars who seeks knowledge and frowns upon any business applications, then there are those who tie knowledge with application and use the profit to propel further innovation. He is the latter.
Thank you ,Peter for sharing these amazing ideas ,keep up the good work !!
Thanks for watching Peter's lectures, Laila! Here's another you might like: bit.ly/2csr8EF
Thanks for sharing this with us ,I would never have the opportunity to watch this ,if you didn't share it !!! so thanks again !!
Very good seminar. -- James Jaeger
Does a poormansversion o spacetrave or a new renewable energy source intrest eny one
Hi, the presantation is in white text on black background, i like this style and would like to see it more at my university.. Same style that Salman Khan is using.. much easier for the eyes.. is there maybe any information on this?
You and me both!
Very interesting. I designed a system for using hydrogen and we had trouble convincing the facility authorities to let us use it. I want to revisit the use of hydrogen in airships. I believe it can be made safe using modern materials and technology.
Any thoughts ?
there is a better way! thinking can be your most important step in the process of discovery. The manner by which a person comes about those bubbling up notions and ideas is important. to be conscious of that process is tough and has been the subject of not only this video but of religious disscussion and philisophical , academic alike.
@3tangle3, yes he is and really energizing:-) The right thing for entrepreneurs who have real visions!
Do you know anything about the concept of a technological singularity. Or the acceleration of technology.
Great talk and invigorating! Peter not Prozak!
Moving to space and settling on other planets is likely to change us biologically. Lower gravity creates larger and less dense bodies, that are probably not able to survive on Earth anymore.
Something to consider...
Same thing happened, when life went from ocean onto land.
quinto190 Don't be a planetary chauvinist, building space habits will be much easier.
The only way to deal with this is to build rotating structures for additional gravity, in space or even on the Mars surface. And to a certain extent physical training like on the ISS.
+quinto190 There are many proposals for the expansion of humanity out into the solar system
general info @
www.nss.org/settlement/menu.html
specifically
www.nss.org/settlement/space/
and even a closed, self sustaining environment "bunkhouse" or "bolo habitat" for the people building large space structures and/or asteroid miners
ssi.org/2010/SM14_presentations/101030_SSI_Curreri-Detweiler.pdf
The insight, that our organs change in zero gravity comes from fairly new research on the ISS and MIR. So, many of these earlier proposals don't take this in account. But the last one goes in the right direction - O'Neill and Bernal type stations could be the solution.
On the surface of Mars, Moon or asteroids it could be enough when the astronauts sleep in a rotating ring that provides the missing gravity (just as a thought).
+quinto190 One thing that has happened is that "some" astronauts have had the shape of their eyeballs change after a long duration mission on ISS - it is know that all astronauts in zero or micro-g have had body fluids shift away from what would have been their lower extremities in a normal gravity environment
www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/research/news/vision_changes.html
To be honest I would suggest not to give all your money but only what you can afford.
Money is not the only investment you should make. Putting some of your time into educating you self on such subjects would also be a good contribution.
There are many free resources out there from established university programs such as coursera.org that has some of the top universities and college running programs. It runs short free courses.
I'm Mac Maverick and I have a "CRAZY" idea for you Peter!
He looks like count Dracula
Very inspiring, thank you Peter, I’m watching this in year 2021, so positive your attitude and methodology, but a warning to the wise you give at 1:09:10! Regarding government bureaucracy the FAA, denying you for so many years the pursuit of the endeavor to have 0G commercial flights.
The key thing is that the government bureaucracies are big giant “no machines.“ No you can’t do this no you can’t do that.
Like you say, it used to be if it wasn’t prohibited you could try it, now it has gone to it it’s not allowed specifically, you can’t do it.
In my business, almost everything I do is without the permission of the government, and my clients, both liberal and conservative, none of them want anything to do with the government and what we are doing our good things for the good Earth, trust me.
Who in turn inspires more people to become like Diamandis and X Prize competitors.
We do things because of war (defence, the "I dont want to die" reason. Apollo, great wall of china, manhattan project etc), wealth (self-explanatory, expansion into americas, Troll A plattform, Chinas space program etc) and to country and deity (pyramids, other reason for chinas space program etc). Curiosity might be why the crew aboard the Apollo did it, but the ones who signed the check did it out of fear, and Colombus might have found fauna interesting, but his backers wanted gold.
he should have mentioned the "antikythera mechanism" ..
I always thought there would be driverless cars but assumed the roads would have to be changed
+David .dragstrem That would require equally mindless road workers- Oh!, we already have those...
@ForkCheck
It actually reminds me of Tony Stark. Actually, Tony Stark is probably inspired by people like Diamandis and X Prize competitors.
When he said, "Ray and I will talk about that over a glass of wine later," was he talking about Ray Kurtzweil?
Michael Jackson yes
@jiveturkeyusa "There was man made illumination [...] automated machines [...] in ancient Rome."
Examples?
The veritable poster child for hubris. He's so certain (for example) of his own (mistaken !) "take" on Murphy's Law that he doesn't even know what it means, and did not even bother to do any homework to find out. Hubris.
🙌
Until recently, every science and technology talk explained that we were held down by primitive ideas like "the Earth is at the Center of the Universe", (as anyone who has eyes can see, but..), the planets revolve around the Sun,(not really, it's a Center of Gravity based optical illusion), and so on, all because judgements by appearance passed from one generation to the next according to personal relevance and management of perceptions.
On topic, everyone actually "makes their future" possible from a imagined map of real experience and what they believe, it's fundamentally true.
The Actuality of QM-TIMESPACE Singularity Conception, mathematically at the Central Limit Eternity-now Superspin Superposition-point Singularity positioning of Time Duration Timing is the basis of conscience awareness at e-Pi-i interference positioning. (The single connection in Principle of zero-infinity difference distribution)
Translate the currently adopted "primitive materialist ignorance" value system, caused by confusing the durability of physicality of substance.., when-how all is vibration/quantization.., superimposed AM-FM communication mechanism modes that are real Math-Phys-Chem and Geometry, into rational and reasonable statements of Timing-spacing dynamical holographic image projection. Imagination matches the future-projection of past-drawing, positioning systems here-now forever, with remembered states.
Feynman said, "the easiest person to fool is yourself", in conjunction with all the most interesting things of the then "mysterious" Quantum Mechanics and computational methods.., which is why, if, all this time, we are all mystified by what is easily observable, it's already the case of "fooled", generally, effortlessly.
"The most valuable real estate" in the Universe is knowing who you/we are in the context of Actuality here-now-forever, ..cause-effect temporal existence, in terms of Singularity. (A very good name for a University!)
Definitely fun to imagine.
@brickmastertube Apparently when Robert Downey sat down to discuss building the character of Tony Stark, he said "We need to go speak to Elon Musk" - Elon builds space rockets
enlighten me please... I am not understanding.. I would like to hear your opinion...
Best way to predict the future. Stay alive and see what happens.
Introduction to rocket science should be required learning for high school students.
On our way to the StarTrek economy.... robotic AI's do the work. We provide the creativity, art, beauty & garden our planet.
Bruce Ryan Excellent suggestion!
These are truly Human MIND ACTIVITIES worth pursuing!
Bruce Ryan and other planets too
If I'm right then food and energy can be free for everyone and its easy to accomplish ^_^
Most inspiring video for the serious #entrepreneur - a MUST #GSP12 @ThomasRichter @AlumniHTWDD @DD_Marketing @MarcoDziallas
Don't do, think! Then, finish.
-Glenn-
Hmmm how do you prevent yourself from predicting the WRONG FUTURE?
Forget the CO2 Prize and and offer one for CO2-free Energy production, for example through molten salt thorium reactors or same and safe breeders, nuclear batteries or micro plants for the third world. Something you can put on the back of a truck perhaps or something simple that can provide energy for the age of energy abundance. Something that is build in a factory and decommissioned in a factory too, perhaps by robots. Something to burn nuclear waste perhaps.
So, does anyone have a list of the breakthroughs in technology that have taken place over the past fifteen years? Breakthroughs that have impacted people's lives?
+Equs Narnd Over the past few months I have been working on a website that will do exactly this. Will hit you with a link when it's live
+Equs Narnd +Equs Narnd Since 2001
The iphone, android Os and mobile telecommunications. That one even caused huge wars and revolutions we refer to as both the Syrian civil war and the spring revolutions.
The one that could have been invented at any time since the late mid 18th century would be the gravity light. impact on a huge amount of people giving them electric light with no solar or gas or need to find a socket. That one advent alone will increase literacy in Africa.
Birth control patch, braille glove, youtube, facebook twitter and social media.
Personal DNA testing. Genomics, biofuels and biotech (the fastest growing industry on the planet)
Its not commercial yet but in 2010 researchers transported one atom from A to B (1 meter) ... ie. teleportaion. It won't however work on compounds.
In clothing NanoTex was invented in 2002.
In terms of AI and robotics well take your pick, although I accept this will result in more immediate harm than immediate good. About 50% of jobs worldwide are now at risk due to a combination of AI and robotics. But its a boon for industrialists.
Theres too many to mention from 2010 onward.... hundreds of thousands.
I would say offhand that Qmilch is one of the most beneficial... clothing thats made of milk proteins that degrades over time.
Goddess Solaria THANK YOU for the information!
Excellent. Thank you.
Still one of the best!!! Thx @PeterDiamandis • #singularityu cc @DrLucyRogers
I'LL fly me to the moon , take a spoon i'll need a broom, i'll sing a tune be there soon
Here's your educational prize, develop games that teach skills that are modern and useful.
Its not hard to imagine we have a severely under developed link here in the modern educational system, the urge to play is an urge to learn. Pretty much every mammal demonstrates this.
new world for rich people
Quite right ... Elon Musk, founder of SpaceX, was interviewed as the inspiration for Tony Stark.
I had heard of it, but with limited exposure. Since writing that comment 9 months ago I've been reading things at Lesswrong and other sites, which has material than my typical brain doesn't easily understand, but that seems to imply greater possible returns for institutions other than the X Prize Foundation (particularly, Singularity Institute). However, I would not donate all my money to only one, and this comment is turning into an inadequate rambling of charity optimization.
I reclame my TICKET flight gratuit.Thanks
🈺if the brain Han not enough energy we fix nothing,put copper top head emits energy helps solve problems
Ok Where is this type of thought with Economy and Human Rights??
"...nobody on the moon in 1961 to landing on it in 1969..." To making absolutely NO progress for 50 years.
The only scale I could possibly compare this to is inventing the wheel, rolling it down a hill- and never using the wheel again..
The audience seem a bit slow
I could be delerious but he really resembles Robert Downey Jr
Back-up the Biosphere. That needs to be a meme. Spread it.
@belloman the world revolves around money, live with it
Please predict tomorrow's lotttery numbers.
who are the 11 barbarians that disliked this thoughtful presentation?
Lead, follow or get out of the way.
why not sensitize the widest possible population of these changes will be accepted by most as nobody want to die and thus put our grain of sand to make such changes take place in less time,, sorry if my English is not very good
look it's dr oz
See the 2 hour 14 minute Neil Degrasse Tyson talk here on youtube for reasons for great accomplishments.
The Mothership just called to remind you to take your meds.
we came out of the sea onto land ? yeah right
@AlienScientist "I have been on a mission to discover anti-gravity technology for the past 5 years" Oh? How lovely! How's that "mission" goin for you there, sparky? Clearly, time well-spent. A testament to misguided enthusiasm, as opposed to feasible and forward-thinking areas of study. Mr. Diamandis would presumably giggle at this. What on earth with the tin-foil hat people do without their conspiracy theories? Life would certainly hold less meaning.