All entries Betting Odds predicted right | Eurovision 2011 - 2021 Grand Finals

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  • Опубликовано: 8 фев 2025
  • All songs in Eurovision 2011-2021 Grand Finals betting odds / bookmakers predicted extactly right. IMPORTANT: Many people wanted a video like this but it doesn't need to take too serious because the betting odds placings are based on the outright market. If a country is placed 10th it doesn't mean the exact predicted place is 10th but otherwise it's not possible to create a video like this. Odds of Top 10 / 15 could be slightly different but not far away from the outright market.

Комментарии • 92

  • @PlatinSam
    @PlatinSam  3 года назад +61

    Many people wanted a video like this but it doesn't need to take too serious because the betting odds placings are based on the outright market. If a country is placed 10th it doesn't mean the exact predicted place is 10th but otherwise it's not possible to create a video like this. Odds of Top 10 / 15 could be slightly different but not far away from the outright market.

    • @pmfrank2034
      @pmfrank2034 3 года назад

      Good point

    • @ciromertens
      @ciromertens 3 года назад

      Hey, I like these videos. I wonder who were the favorites in 2014, 2017 and 2018? Where did you get the odds from? I would really love to have an insight in these as well.

  • @duckyyy3957
    @duckyyy3957 3 года назад +276

    i like how the placement here just goes from 23rd to 12th. like, the odds have never predicted 13th - 22nd correctly lmfao

    • @michellesmirnova4471
      @michellesmirnova4471 3 года назад +53

      Since the odds are based on who’s going to win, it makes sense, the ones at the bottom are the songs everyone pretty much thinks won’t win, and then the ones at roughly top 10 are the ones a lot of people think are going to win. Everything in the middle ends up being very mixed

  • @josephpeck704
    @josephpeck704 3 года назад +228

    The oddsmakers really seem to know how to predict Germany, and that's about it 🙃

    • @alexandru-ionutbardas7580
      @alexandru-ionutbardas7580 3 года назад +4

      Spain sometimes too. :))

    • @lillolollo1217
      @lillolollo1217 3 года назад +3

      Italy and Sweden too, at least 3 times each

    • @samuelhedenskog9980
      @samuelhedenskog9980 3 года назад +14

      It's pretty easy. Just put it in the bottom 😄

    • @orangebear280
      @orangebear280 3 года назад +2

      @@samuelhedenskog9980 at least they guessed that Germany would finish in the 8th position in 2012...

    • @somethung8188
      @somethung8188 3 года назад +3

      @@samuelhedenskog9980 Right?? But in 2016 they really didn't deserve it Ghost is kinda a bop

  • @Escuniverse4168
    @Escuniverse4168 3 года назад +42

    This shows how odds are much more accurate for the top 5 than other placements

  • @AgnessaMo
    @AgnessaMo 3 года назад +69

    I can't with 2015, when they predicted the entire top5 correctly...

    • @Yaravg
      @Yaravg 3 года назад +8

      Yeah, the first thing I thought was: apparently 2015 was predictable.

  • @tasthar3505
    @tasthar3505 3 года назад +91

    I love how there's no 2011 songs.

    • @arenpetrosyan4995
      @arenpetrosyan4995 3 года назад +4

      well 2011 was messy af

    • @somethung8188
      @somethung8188 3 года назад +3

      2011 was horrid, not just for predictors but horrid in general.

    • @arenpetrosyan4995
      @arenpetrosyan4995 3 года назад +1

      @@somethung8188 yeah and that’s a shame cus germany did an amazing job hosting it

    • @NeongenesisXp
      @NeongenesisXp 3 года назад

      underrated year.

    • @NDRem_1617
      @NDRem_1617 11 месяцев назад

      ​@@arenpetrosyan4995 I agree with you, 2011 was a year with an amazing stage, and amazing and charismatic hosts, but many of the songs weren't memorable at all, and the results were horrible

  • @illsu
    @illsu 3 года назад +23

    I adored Germany 2015 and 2016

  • @daniel-wolthuis1514
    @daniel-wolthuis1514 3 года назад +99

    Can you mabye do a video of the hosting entries from lowest result to the best result??

    • @icecranberry2148
      @icecranberry2148 3 года назад +15

      Lowest is most certainly Austria 2015. Highest most certainly Ireland. They ended up winning two years in a row!

    • @Илья-р5к6з
      @Илья-р5к6з 3 года назад +5

      @@icecranberry2148 3 years in a row*

    • @icecranberry2148
      @icecranberry2148 3 года назад +4

      @@Илья-р5к6з Jesus, I keep on forgetting how good Ireland used to be.
      But look at them now! xD

    • @johnwaIter
      @johnwaIter 3 года назад +1

      If we judt count 2011-2021 i think azerbaijan 2012 would win they came 4th

    • @s.m.a8182
      @s.m.a8182 3 года назад +1

      Ireland , Israel and Sweden had the best Host songs placements.

  • @qwertylello
    @qwertylello 3 года назад +9

    Black Mamba (Portugal 2021) in 12th position feels just right in my subconscious, it must have been so for everybody else

  • @SamuelLee-gw6wr
    @SamuelLee-gw6wr 3 года назад +47

    Most of them either did very well or very badly

  • @maczek_1892
    @maczek_1892 3 года назад +11

    I had to actually check what am I watching. I thought that maybe the worst German entries or something like that, because of this beginning hahah

  • @griffinclawn69
    @griffinclawn69 3 года назад +12

    Yes,they can predict 26th places

  • @neadod2902
    @neadod2902 3 года назад +49

    Wait, the bookies didn't think *Rise like a Phoenix* would win!?!

    • @Philipp19967
      @Philipp19967 3 года назад +16

      Yeah me neither bc many eastern european countries are a bit homophobic

    • @mysticgirl916
      @mysticgirl916 3 года назад +13

      The bookies all believed Armenia was going to win that year. They even believed that the Netherlands had no chance either!

    • @Philipp19967
      @Philipp19967 3 года назад +7

      @@mysticgirl916 yeah but the it went down during rehearsals because the dude made homophobic comments and was a bit arrogant

    • @somethung8188
      @somethung8188 3 года назад

      @@Philipp19967 Yeah but it's just so damn good.

    • @dimidrugg9592
      @dimidrugg9592 3 года назад

      No Sweden was 1st in odds before the final.

  • @niadavies5223
    @niadavies5223 3 года назад +29

    great video as always! would you be able to do one that's like biggest climers or drops post live/rehearsals compared to their odds before?

    • @PlatinSam
      @PlatinSam  3 года назад +6

      Something like this will come soon :)

    • @niadavies5223
      @niadavies5223 3 года назад

      @@PlatinSam ahh amazing! can't wait to see them:)

  • @quentinreusens3208
    @quentinreusens3208 3 года назад +13

    So the betting odds are only good at predicting Germany, and Belgium's 4th places lmao

  • @yeowu5066
    @yeowu5066 3 года назад +7

    Barbara my love❤

  • @avi65speedruns
    @avi65speedruns 3 года назад +11

    Jamie-Lee reminds me a lot of Bella Poarch and I don't know how to feel about that lol

  • @yanina7977
    @yanina7977 3 года назад +6

    Roman Lob is so underrated

  • @vavah2071
    @vavah2071 3 года назад +19

    So there's no songs from 2011 & 2018.
    Indeed, 2011 & 2018 were two surprising years
    In 2011, almost all the potential winners finished out of the top 10 (UK 11th, France 15th, Estonia 24th)
    2011 is probably the most surprising year ever, the difference between the odds and the results were giants

    • @AgnessaMo
      @AgnessaMo 3 года назад +1

      And apparently they expected Italy to finish 22nd... well, they were almost right, just take out one 2 :-)

    • @vladd896
      @vladd896 3 года назад +2

      In 2018 bookies had Eleni first and Netta second at night before the final, with a narrow margin, so bookies almost got these 2 right.

    • @vavah2071
      @vavah2071 3 года назад

      @@vladd896 Yes true, I remember that Cyprus come 1st in odds just before the 1st semi

  • @demotedmsp
    @demotedmsp 3 года назад +10

    Wasnt Jamie Lee the one that sang the Hanging Tree at TVOG?

    • @mysticgirl916
      @mysticgirl916 3 года назад +6

      Yes, she went on to win the series

  • @mariafrancesc0
    @mariafrancesc0 3 года назад +9

    Germany 2015 did not deserve to end so low...

  • @nicodex592
    @nicodex592 3 года назад +4

    No 2011 songs as expected XD

  • @PennyAfNorberg
    @PennyAfNorberg 3 года назад +4

    Quite good picking out winners

  • @havok4738
    @havok4738 3 года назад +25

    who was predicted to win in 2014. sweden? i feel like conchita’s performance is far better than anyone’s that year

    • @ruijcbrito
      @ruijcbrito 3 года назад +5

      Suzy 😉

    • @niadavies5223
      @niadavies5223 3 года назад +4

      i think it was initially between armenia and sweden and then during the live shows the netherlands and austria were the main contenders

    • @philipdawson7800
      @philipdawson7800 3 года назад +15

      I think so. Austria was about 15th before everyone got to Copenhagen, Netherlands weren't even expected to qualify (or were right on the borderline).

    • @dimidrugg9592
      @dimidrugg9592 3 года назад

      2014 was a huge miss for the bookies.

    • @gainal9080
      @gainal9080 9 месяцев назад

      Armenia before rehearsals, Sweden after the researsals.

  • @zprsls1997
    @zprsls1997 3 года назад

    She /he knew that there isn't going to be another episode of Italy should have won

  • @icecranberry2148
    @icecranberry2148 3 года назад +4

    Question. Does anyone know if it happened before that the winning country of the next one got 2nd place on the last Eurovision (we can't say last year cuz you know...) and ended up winning on the next?

    • @kajlovich
      @kajlovich 3 года назад +2

      In the first few decades of the contest the UK was 2nd so often, while also winning quite a few years.. It's bound to have happened to them somewhere in that period.. Nowadays the UK would probably kill to be anywhere close to 2nd 😣

    • @nicodex592
      @nicodex592 3 года назад +1

      France almost in 1990/1991

    • @the_one_who_got_away
      @the_one_who_got_away 3 года назад +4

      Well it happened to italy this year, Soldi got 2nd and Zitti e buoni 1st (i dont count 2020 since they were no results)

    • @axt6570
      @axt6570 3 года назад +3

      Yes, it has happened multiple times. Germany for example reached second place in 1981 and won the following year.

    • @juarezneto55
      @juarezneto55 3 года назад +2

      Denmark (won in 2000 and came 2nd in 2001) and now Italy (runner-up in 2019, winner in 2021) are the only back-to-back top 2s this century.
      Some other countries came close, with back-to-back top 3s: Estonia 2001/2002 (1st/3rd), Greece 2004/2005 (3rd/1st), Russia 2006/2007/2008 (2nd/3rd/1st), Ukraine 2007/2008 (2nd/2nd), Sweden 2011/2012+2014/2015 (3rd/1st in both occasions) and Russia 2015/2016 (2nd/3rd).

  • @romang-cq7mf
    @romang-cq7mf 3 года назад +3

    What Conchita wasn‘t first predicted?

  • @lauretta8458
    @lauretta8458 3 года назад +1

    There aren't middle places

    • @darkrai24100
      @darkrai24100 3 года назад +4

      It's probably because their more volatile since it's easier to predict the songs that everyone will love or hate then the one that people are half and half about

  • @michad1163
    @michad1163 3 года назад

    You forgot about netta

    • @escamante9785
      @escamante9785 3 года назад +1

      Cyprus was first during shows,
      Netta flopped to 4 for some reason :D

  • @ricky466
    @ricky466 3 года назад +2

    sweden in 2019 took 6th place, 5th wasb norway

    • @cubriffic172
      @cubriffic172 3 года назад +6

      Nope. After the show they found out the Belarusian jury submitted their votes wrong. When it got corrected Sweden moved up to 5th & Norway moved down to 6th

  • @Oleksandr.Derkach
    @Oleksandr.Derkach 3 года назад

    Wait, betting odds didn't predict that Italy would win this year

    • @escamante9785
      @escamante9785 3 года назад +5

      Just before the show, like when semis where occurring they did
      They putted Italy 1 and France 2

  • @gainal9080
    @gainal9080 9 месяцев назад

    Lmao Germany and Spain

  • @the_kosd
    @the_kosd 3 года назад +7

    Spirit in the sky and Soldi >>>>>>>>>> Arcade

    • @mariafrancesc0
      @mariafrancesc0 3 года назад +1

      definitively

    • @camsssr4035
      @camsssr4035 3 года назад +1

      I don't like spirit in the sky. Zero Gravity or Is it too late for love are better

  • @alexbonnerdavies4163
    @alexbonnerdavies4163 3 года назад

    Be

  • @Sanu.sk167
    @Sanu.sk167 3 года назад

    Lmao the odds had Malta has n.1 in 2021, not Italy 😂
    I fact they would only place fourth

    • @ciromertens
      @ciromertens 3 года назад +1

      No, during the show Italy was 1st

  • @thelfc_guy3794
    @thelfc_guy3794 3 года назад +1

    First