GrayGhosting
GrayGhosting
  • Видео 16
  • Просмотров 238 567
Monte Carlo Market Forecast - December Update
The Monte Carlo Market Simulator (MCMS) projects a wide range of plausible market behaviors over the next 75 years and, given a fixed withdrawal amount (adjusted for inflation), it tests a hypothetical retirement portfolio for longevity and estimates the median expectation for a bequest after x number of years. The purpose is to provide a planning tool for sustainable income in retirement by attempting to forecast the more likely, best, and worst-case outcomes for stock, bond and cash funds.
The forecast involves two models: the MTG and the MCMS. The MTG provides the initial conditions for the MCMS and the MCMS computes the forecasts via Monte Carlo simulations. Some of those variables and...
Просмотров: 11

Видео

Stock Market Earnings Increase By AI
Просмотров 16Месяц назад
Shows results of some Monte Carlo simulations of increases in stock market earnings over time due to adoption of artificial intelligence. This model was incorporated in the MCMS market forecasts several months ago. The model begins with the availability of ChatGPT in late 2022.
Model's Historical Recession Prediction Accuracy
Просмотров 32Месяц назад
Model's Historical Recession Prediction Accuracy
Monte Carlo Market Forecaster - August 2024
Просмотров 374 месяца назад
The Monte Carlo Market Simulator (MCMS) projects a wide range of plausible market behaviors over the next 75 years and, given a fixed withdrawal amount (adjusted for inflation), it tests a hypothetical retirement portfolio for longevity and estimates the median expectation for a bequest after x number of years. The purpose is to provide a planning tool for sustainable income in retirement by at...
Demonstration of Monte Carlo Market Simulator
Просмотров 187 месяцев назад
Shows some of the inner workings of the Monte Carlo Market Simulator. Charts forecasts of some salient variables that affect the longevity of a portfolio that is drawn upon during retirement.
Q4 2023 Home Prices
Просмотров 119 месяцев назад
Q4 2023 Home Prices
Monte Carlo Market Forecaster - August 2023
Просмотров 84Год назад
What it does: The Monte Carlo Market Simulator projects a wide range of plausible market behaviors over the next 75 years and, given a fixed withdrawal amount (adjusted for inflation), it then tests a hypothetical retirement portfolio for longevity and estimates the median expectation for a bequest after x number of years. The purpose is to provide a planning tool for sustainable income in reti...
Monte Carlo Market Forecaster, August 2022
Просмотров 1072 года назад
What it does: The Monte Carlo Market Simulator projects a range of plausible market behaviors over the next 75 years and, given a fixed withdrawal amount (adjusted for inflation), it then tests a hypothetical retirement portfolio for longevity and estimates the median expectation for a bequest after x number of years. How it works: While the short to medium term projections are weighted more he...
Home Prices Will Peak in 2022.
Просмотров 1372 года назад
Real home prices may peak as soon as the first half of 2022 and are very likely to be in decline in 2023. Examine the monthly payments in the last graph. You can see that on the whole people have been paying about the same amount (monthly) for existing homes since the 1970s. Monthly cost moves up and down in cycles but is not rising on average over time like home prices themselves - due to lowe...
Hogan's Release
Просмотров 185 тыс.8 лет назад
Hogan's Release
The Ben Hogan Waggle
Просмотров 14 тыс.8 лет назад
The Ben Hogan Waggle
Hogan's Grip
Просмотров 17 тыс.9 лет назад
Ben Hogan's golf grip as demonstrated by Ben in the Coleman film.
Jack Nicklaus, Tee Shot DTL
Просмотров 16 тыс.10 лет назад
Slow Motion, Frame Stills of Jack's Swing on the 18th tee of the 86 Masters.
Jason Dufner and Ben Hogan Swings
Просмотров 74110 лет назад
Shows the similarities and contrasts the differences between these two swings.
Sjobergs Duo Elite
Просмотров 3,2 тыс.11 лет назад
Sjobergs Duo Elite
Hogan's Swing Transition
Просмотров 2,5 тыс.11 лет назад
Hogan's Swing Transition

Комментарии

  • @chrisbrimhall1613
    @chrisbrimhall1613 Месяц назад

    Modern Trackman, balls, and equipment…….and the modern pro chases this perfection

  • @CharleyReeb
    @CharleyReeb Месяц назад

    The first one was Power golf release, pre accident. You have pre and post accidents swings mixed in here.

  • @CharleyReeb
    @CharleyReeb Месяц назад

    The key is the pressure felt inside the right index finger. That’s where you feel lag pressure through swing and impact.

  • @chungkitlam3406
    @chungkitlam3406 7 месяцев назад

    Classic. Probably the most effective release.

  • @가을녘
    @가을녘 7 месяцев назад

    His Secret is the Right Arm holding the angle ,,,

  • @ritterlott9914
    @ritterlott9914 9 месяцев назад

    Both thumbs pressure the left side of the grip.

  • @TeddyCavachon
    @TeddyCavachon 11 месяцев назад

    When you study Hogan’s swing frame-by-frame the downward phase waggle action seen in the pre-shot appears to be a rehearsal for releasing the club with a change from radial to ulnar deviation. When I added the that waggle-down action in my swing I realized how much added acceleration, compressing and spin-loft it creates compared to sweeping through the club with wrist as fix angle.

  • @GrayGhosting
    @GrayGhosting Год назад

    Note: Beginning with the October 2023 update the bond fund model will be changed from a 100% turnover every 6 months to every 30 months. This change is to track turnover rates and performance of real world bond funds even more closely - especially the average coupons rates. This produced no material change in long term forecasts but will change the recent bond fund returns (by less than 1% difference) and 1 year forecasts during times of rapidly changing bond yields, such as those we have experienced over the past couple years.

  • @frozendivots1564
    @frozendivots1564 Год назад

    I wonder how many people caught what he really did…

    • @dirty_danglz3570
      @dirty_danglz3570 11 месяцев назад

      Please explain. I'm glad this vid exists because reading the book the grip is hard to replicate. For me anyway.....

  • @pging8328
    @pging8328 Год назад

    if you look closely he lays it off on the top, is kinda very slightly OTT, but manages to find the plane and releases. in an era before cameras this is magical.

  • @pging8328
    @pging8328 Год назад

    looks like in his release, hogan does not turn over the club face (or he barely does so)! amazing.

  • @pging8328
    @pging8328 Год назад

    glorious video, thank you sir. you have done the world a great service by curating it and putting a great track to it.

  • @Robert-un7br
    @Robert-un7br Год назад

    This is the 18th tee Sunday at the 1986 Masters. Jack went -7 under on the last 10 holes. He had just taken sole possession of the lead with a birdie on 17. He hit a perfectly placed drive with a Three wood.

    • @fs1natra
      @fs1natra Год назад

      jack that day played 9 consecutive holes in 29 shots ie 9th to the 17th.

  • @widndn
    @widndn Год назад

    His hips pulling his arm through.

  • @vinsonshinabery8632
    @vinsonshinabery8632 Год назад

    Outstanding

  • @mikalgaren9082
    @mikalgaren9082 Год назад

    I guarantee you Mr. Hogan was NOT thinking about his "release" during a tournament...

  • @christopherconklin5605
    @christopherconklin5605 Год назад

    WOW!!! GREAT video, Mr. Hogan's swing will forever rock my world!! I've studied this awesome swing the last 6 years and it memorizes me every single day!!♥️🏌️⛳🏌️♥️

  • @robertyw2882
    @robertyw2882 Год назад

    Based!

  • @ardnfast
    @ardnfast 2 года назад

    Effortless power. Everybody's dream 👏🙏🙌

  • @bizbuildershawaii1719
    @bizbuildershawaii1719 2 года назад

    Great video and I really like the music.. what song is this

  • @GrayGhosting
    @GrayGhosting 2 года назад

    Indeed, data is showing that existing home prices peaked in the Spring of 2022 as predicted and have fallen every month since then - as of September.

  • @SCTV59
    @SCTV59 2 года назад

    Golf Gold

  • @WyattScott
    @WyattScott 2 года назад

    this is brilliantly put together, thank you! Hogan is my golf hero

  • @easygoing2479
    @easygoing2479 2 года назад

    Absolutely beautiful. Anyone who plays (or has played) golf dreams of striking the ball with Hogan's perfectly timed swing. It's like watching films of Sandy Koufax on the mound, or Secretariat running in the Belmont.

  • @blairsterling6141
    @blairsterling6141 2 года назад

    The pull from top of the swing, was initiated by the hips. Best ball striker ever.. much better than Nicklaus or Woods or Palmer.

  • @thetruthfornow6045
    @thetruthfornow6045 2 года назад

    He was better than Jack and Tiger. He missed 32 majors due to WW2 and got to play the british open only once (he won). That combo equals 32 majors. The British Open was scheduled next to the PGA and flying cost more than the winner got. That is 32 majors in his prime. He also missed a year because of a car accident. Same story as tiger. And like tiger he limped around afterward. His swing was a work of art and he never got injured like todays golfers until his accident. Unlike Tiger he was straight as an arrow. Yet his club speed with a shorter driver( in his prime) was equal to Jack and Tiger who played later.

  • @cryptokingz8297
    @cryptokingz8297 3 года назад

    the music is perfect for this majesty. what are the songs for this?

  • @craigallen5928
    @craigallen5928 3 года назад

    Everybody, just save this and put on loop before you hit the range.

  • @Ktc99999-b
    @Ktc99999-b 3 года назад

    The bowed leading wrist on the downswing and the trailing elbow tuck were the secret.

  • @INNERCONNECTEDUNIVERSE
    @INNERCONNECTEDUNIVERSE 3 года назад

    He was also left handed!

    • @INNERCONNECTEDUNIVERSE
      @INNERCONNECTEDUNIVERSE 3 года назад

      His swing is not that different than a baseball homerun champion! Same body motion. Have a look to confirm my theory

    • @Brooks-z6v
      @Brooks-z6v 16 дней назад

      @@INNERCONNECTEDUNIVERSE Hogan said he fashioned his swing after a baseball swing.

  • @artistaprimus7080
    @artistaprimus7080 3 года назад

    Mr Hogan makes it look so easy, just like many great athletes. Ive working on trying to emulate his swing and its not easy. When im close, I hit the ball pure, straight and long. But, if my old habits creep into my swing, there's no telling where the ball is going. His golf is the best model for me. Modern players like Tiger, Adam Scott, Rory have beautiful swings, but my body just cant make a wide arch like them.

    • @takaorobinson8719
      @takaorobinson8719 3 года назад

      I saw an old film of Bobby Jones effortless swing. It was a Hollywood production and he was clicking them around the cameraman. Personally I like Hogan's mechanics and Payne Stewart's swing.

  • @chadgregory9037
    @chadgregory9037 3 года назад

    I miss the days of 5 frames per second video

  • @Rd-bi7vr
    @Rd-bi7vr 3 года назад

    99% of us amateurs never get the pivot....when it does happen by fluke we are in awe but rarely can we recreate it...

  • @mickz4601
    @mickz4601 3 года назад

    Excellent..thank you

  • @ashmatthew49
    @ashmatthew49 3 года назад

    that's the secret right there.

  • @part1801
    @part1801 3 года назад

    He grew up dirt poor and said he feels sorry for rich kids because they'd never know what it's like to have to handle tough things. He built his swing through grit, spent 4 years in the military and suffered a horrific accident and still won.

    • @wzbmitbbs
      @wzbmitbbs 3 года назад

      Rich kids will grow up playing golf, and let poor people handle and suffer tough things like what Trump did.

    • @cryptokingz8297
      @cryptokingz8297 3 года назад

      @@wzbmitbbs get that shit out of here. Hogan is an icon and you are gonna talk politics in here. you are a disgrace!

    • @blue24563
      @blue24563 Год назад

      He almost died in a car accident, had to learn to walk again. Then he came back and won the US Open at Merion. The greatest player of all time and there isn’t a close second.

    • @chungkitlam3406
      @chungkitlam3406 7 месяцев назад

      Indeed. True grit makes a man, despite his miserable youth and car accident. Then became a great golfer by his steel determination and practice discipline.

  • @ahmadghanem2414
    @ahmadghanem2414 3 года назад

    Beauty in motion

    • @g.j.402
      @g.j.402 3 года назад

      I believe is the most beautiful swing there is...so many years ago and nothing compares.It is an assimilation of a graceful ballet set on a fairway .

  • @williammacdonald9271
    @williammacdonald9271 3 года назад

    Sergio Garcia? Is the most similar current pro, they both “struggled” with putting

    • @blackie75
      @blackie75 3 года назад

      There are similarities, but I feel like Garcia releases differently and has that weird vertical drop move. He doesn't seem to go low and left. Also, Hogan was in car accident robbing him of many years of good health and articulation and still won ten majors. From memory, I think Sergio has only one.

    • @johnaustin635
      @johnaustin635 Год назад

      What an insult , Garcia is reviled Hogan is revered.

  • @mazdaspeedmx512lbs
    @mazdaspeedmx512lbs 3 года назад

    I cracked the code.

  • @FriendM2010
    @FriendM2010 3 года назад

    That left knee really kicks in and the right elbow tight to the hip down to impact... It midnight, but I wanna go try it ... I can do it !!!

  • @wannabegolfin24-72
    @wannabegolfin24-72 3 года назад

    I really like the view from the rear. It shows that phrases like "load the weight on the right side" are completely misguided. In almost every target centric sport, the weight leans/stays-on the target side.

    • @WyattScott
      @WyattScott 2 года назад

      this is what i’m finally thinking is the key missing link. Tom Saguto preaches this about Hogan that he kept the weight on his forward leg and you can definitely see it when you are aware that that is the case. Working on this right now with good results just since yesterday. I have been resistant to stack and tilt but Hogan was definitely keeping that weight forward and it does make sense as you said from a sports perspective. Why should golf be any different. My issue is i wasn’t ready to try this because of too many other swing flaws. Now i believe it’ll pay dividends due to the hard work I’ve put into my swing the last 2 years of really getting scientific.

  • @rayboish
    @rayboish 3 года назад

    I used to have golf lessons many years ago with an English professional named Lionel Platts. He was in the 1965 Ryder cup team. He told me Ben Hogan was the only guy he had ever seen get back spin with a 4 iron.

  • @blujay2084
    @blujay2084 3 года назад

    I saw an interview with Jack where the subject of great ball strikers came up. The two names he mentioned were Hogan and Trevino.

  • @jacksonk.swaffardiii7820
    @jacksonk.swaffardiii7820 3 года назад

    The synchronization of the rotation from the top of the swing with the lowering of the left elbow into the slot is unbelievably smooth !!!

  • @tejanochris
    @tejanochris 3 года назад

    Keeping the right arm close to your body really works. Watch his club face on his backswing. Toe is almost but not quite straight down. Tried this on the golf course. Yep, it work.

  • @williamtaylor5193
    @williamtaylor5193 3 года назад

    Amazing how the whole arm unit moves left and disappears after impact. No way he could hook doing this.

    • @treykook
      @treykook 3 года назад

      That was the point. He battled a hook early in his career that nearly drove him out of the game. Then he discovered his "secret" and the rest is history. I think his "secret" is the connection of the arms with the core. The arms move in sync with the torso, and physics releases the club. As long as the core continues to move left and the arms stay in sync with the torso, there's no way you're going to hook the ball. Geoff Jones (aka Slicefixer) is one of the absolute best at explaining the Hogan swing. He's well worth a Google search.

    • @williamtaylor5193
      @williamtaylor5193 3 года назад

      @@treykook His release was just superb.

  • @markpatterson2507
    @markpatterson2507 4 года назад

    A perfect swing

  • @lesdiggins5340
    @lesdiggins5340 4 года назад

    Every motion in his swing had a purpose.

  • @mikevigil3677
    @mikevigil3677 4 года назад

    The right elbow tucked so tight against his torso at impact great swings in golf are timeless....

  • @philipchan1856
    @philipchan1856 4 года назад

    Nice background music.