The Battle of Ukraine - A Campaign Evaluation
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- Опубликовано: 9 июн 2024
- The Russian invasion of Ukraine initiated the most significant war in Europe since World War Two, and the largest Russian military operation since that conflict. In a colossal struggle, two army group equivalents have engaged each other in bloody, brutal, high intensity war, one fought on the streets of Ukraine's towns, cities and villages. Despite a widely held belief that the Ukrainian Armed Forces would only last a few weeks the Russian offensive has largely been defeated. In this informal discussion, some of the probable causes for the Ukrainian defensive victory are explored, all within the context of the Russian and Ukrainian strategies for the prosecution of the conflict. It must be stressed that this is simply a preliminary discussion, and the analysis given in this video is subject to change if, when more detailed information emerges at a later date, our understanding of the war changes in some fundamental way.
Finally, my apologies for the poor audio quality.
Mate that is NOT what I had pictured you looked like. I absolutely love this channel and I have made my two teenage boys binge watch it.
Look on his tiktok every video he shows his face
Yeh, I too had a totally different picture in my head, more like a mid 20's nerdy dude with short hair and glasses. Love the content tho it's the best out there.
@@Warrenm70 thought the same thing thought he was some uni student .
@@jadendrysdale8864 I never have used TikTok. Is there different content that is only available there that would make it worth downloading?
I’m 37, I have a PhD in military history, I have a dog, I’m married, I own my own house
I discovered your channel a few days ago and have been binge watching it. Some of the best content on RUclips.
Great work!
He has a great TikTok channel if you are on there, talks over news headlines, questions and other content each like 2-5 mins long. Its what lead me here.
It's is great, I've just found it as well!
You will not find anything better for the Papau New Guinea/Kokoda Track campaign during WWII. The only other source I can think of would be going to The Australian War Memorial.
Go to Porun, he's THE King of the Ukraine war. Undisputed.
"Caspian report" is brilliant. LazerPig, Mark Felton. "WW2" for Ukraine's historical context in depth.
Plenty of goodies also on Twitter (if you "build the algorithm") & some wisdom on Reddit as well.
I love the internet
Any analysis of this that has more than "hur-dur Russia stuff strong", "boohoo, the USA does it too" or "bahaha Ruski tanks go boom" brings a smile to my face and makes me happy because it doesn't make me lose more braincells.
This Chanel is a needle in a hay stack
Holy shit stop crying and shut the fuck up
Lazerpig is also worthwhile, bit more of a comedy aspect but still very well thought out.
Haha ruski thanks go boom will never stop feeling good tbh
Yeah, you're right, but "ruski tank go boom!" is a good one too
With you and Perun I have a lot of really solid history/military analysis material to binge watch, made by Australians. Amazing mate, thanks.
Add lazerpig
I got Perun's older brother vibes as well haha
Same channels.. excellent choices
And I really think these channels complement each other. While Perun is mastering talking about logistics and economic behind this war (and military in general) H^3 gives nice overview on battlefield itself, so tactics and capabilities.
@@elektrotehnik94 Mark Felton has a history of embellishment, poor fact checking, and outright fabrication.
Is Perun an expert or a pundit? I've heard him mentioned a bit but I haven't seen anything about his credentials.
Would love to get a part 2 now that we're further along into the war, really good unbiased analysis though.
when your logistic support is every little old lady, in every house, making you lunch, while she sends a text message to update soliders that lunch is ready and a russian tank just drove down their street, hard for Russia to counter that. someone pointed out, the russians have to dedicate massive amounts of soliders and machinery to that same task. The Art of War talked about the home field advantage, and it is still true.
How interesting to see your face after listening to your episodes for so long.
Thank you for the work that you do, I consider you one of the highest quality analysts on RUclips.
Respect.
For anyone wanting more of this; go to Porun, he's THE King of the Ukraine war on YT. Undisputed.
"Caspian report" is brilliant. LazerPig, Mark Felton. "WW2" for Ukraine's historical context in depth.
Plenty of goodies also on Twitter (if you "build the algorithm") & some wisdom on Reddit as well.
I love the internet
I said this on another channel, but one of the most critical preparatory steps before combat is getting your troops mentally prepared for when the shooting starts. Troops need to be in the right state of mind to kill and take casualties and remain functional. Russia completely failed to properly prepare the bulk of their forces. By promoting the fantasy of a "special operation" and that they were going in to "liberate" the Ukrainian population, the strength of the defence and complete rejection of the Russian liberators by the civilian population was a major shock. The low Russian morale, the number of abandoned vehicles and the overall poor performance of Russian ground forces is indicative of this lack of preparation. They weren't even inspired enough to maintain their vehicles leading to significant losses through simple breakdowns. On the other side, Ukrainian tractors seem to work just fine.
And the apparently didn't even tell some higher ups the chain that they were gonna attack until the day before.
@@txm100 I've heard of stupid but how can I describe that if it is true?
Your watching too much TV cowboy.
So you are eating up this BS? The Russians are utterly annihilating the Ukrainian Army, or whats left of it as we speak. Most Ukrainian Soldiers taken captive of late by the Russians are old men. The regular troops are dead, wounded, or deserted.
@@donaldschutt2571 Thank you so much, you just won me $50.00. I bet a mate that, if I kept posting in pro Ukrainian video's, a Russian shill or brainless troll would respond to attack me or my post. I owe you a beer, or should that be cheap vodka? Anyway, thanks again. 😊
Here from Perun's yt channel where you were recommended in the comments.
Not disappointed, thank you!
i could listen to you talk intel for hours. So insightful, factual and truly entertaining at the same time. Keep up the stellar work :-)
As always, most insightful and fascinating. The fear of the Russian military machine is so ingrained and its competence is assumed- and yet we have witnessed overwhelming incompetence in all dimensions. Its a great relief actually. I hope Xi and his un-tested military are equally as incompetent- but I fear not.
I really don't think China has many Ambitions of Military Conquest, Beyond Taiwan, because they have so much to loose if the world were to change to Seeing/Sanctioning them as Russia is right now. I feel even Taiwan will be a very tough sell.
They haven’t even been able to apply the basics of warfare such as concerntration of forces and using the mobility armoured units provide you to outflank Ukrainian positions, it’s been a really poorly planned and executed operation.
Yeah wouldn’t put my hopes on the Chinese being incompetent. They have been watching how nations fight for decades now, adjusting their doctrine and equipment as needed to make sure they are not left behind. They have also been adept at seeing issues in their own military through the performance of others and then throwing massive amounts of money and energy into ironing out the issues in their own ranks.
@@chrisdoulou8149 yep, not to mention several Chinese officers literally got their military education in the US
@MoltenLens You must be an IDIOT 🤡
Continue to be blown away by how incredibly well put together your content is! Keep up the amazing work mate, love your channel!
I eagerly await the day where you have 1 million plus subscribers and we can get regular videos.
Love your content, was eager to hear your take on this even if it's a difficult situation to assess.
There was an interesting interview on a American news channel, ABC PBS? with a former army logistics inspector of some sort, he pointed out something about pictures of Russian wheeled vehicles abandoned in fields, he said all their tyres are blown out making them unserviceable, he went on to explain this was a combination result of using cheap tyres and lack of maintaining the self inflation system/tyres.
Could be that maintenance and corruption in procurement is also having a heavy toll on Russian equipment and might also explain the high PGMs failures as well.
Another interesting thing was the analysis of shot down Russian military drones, on inspection they were using cheap civilian sourced parts.
Watched that as well and it showed the lack of Russian preperation for Ukraine or any other major conflict as the higher ups have been pocketing the money instead of maintaining those vehicles
Trent telenko
you' d be surprised what kit has "cheap" civilian systems in it. "Cheap" civilian kit is what's allowed the later Arleigh Burke flights and Virginia SSNs (and much more) to be *relatively* cheaper than what they were.
@@shmeckle666 True, just not really the case in what we've seen from Russia so far.
I've read that many Russian vehicles are shod with cheap Chinese tires that oxidize and embrittle very quickly (aka dry rot) and therefore failed as soon as some miles were put on them. This may well be another case of corruption. The treasury may have been billed for Michelins and some general pocketed the difference.
Wow i've just stumbled apon your chanel and the 2 videos i watched were goldmines.
Military stuff is an area of interest for me but not my field so i always have a little doubt for the speaker, but i can see when someone is competent and when he knows what he is talking about.
Your video -not just a video its more a high quality tv level documentary imo- on nukes was amazing.
Man thank you for that work, idk if you are familiar with nuclear and general physics or had to research it, but i have been studying physics for years so i know quite a bit on the science behind. The quality level of your communication blew me away.
I can find phd level educational content far more detaildd then that on yt, and also short videos far easier to wtach and in a more casual way.
But managing to speak in a way everyone can understand of a subject as complex technical and controversial as nukes and still convey the historicity, the phgsocs and the engineering parts without it impacting the quality of the information is impressive. Did i know the physics behind, yes did i know the history and engineering yes mostly but i still learned a ton and more significantly even kf i had all that knowlege and time and everything i wanted could i make such a good documentary ?
I don't think so
Thank you I’ve been waiting for this video. Hope your ok dealing with this issue
Thank you, long time follower on Tik Tok. I was really looking forward to your analysis of this. Excellent presentation
Love your content man, seems to be straight forward and objective.
Ripper analysis champ. Well done and many thanks!
Could you make an update video to this?
Some of the best analysis I have seen on RUclips. Please keep it coming.
Monitor RT News, to get a Balanced Opinion, not the MSM BS Tripe
The best analysis video I've seen on this conflict. You're the best mate keep up the great work
I’d be interested in hearing you go on about two subjects. First, I’ve heard that while, as you said, the Russian Army is highly mechanised, it is also very reliant on railways for transport and logistics, with a lot less in the way of trucks, tankers and other less armoured transports than you would expect for such a large force. Which really hurt them when Ukraine destroyed all the railways leading into Ukraine at the start of the conflict.
Second, I think you could say a little more about the political aspect. I think the fact that the political leadership, from the president and the prime minister and further on down did not take the first opportunity to go flee the country was very instrumental in the resistance being so effective and giving the west the wear withal to implement and stick with such harsh sanctions across the board. Also, it’s a lot harder to deny a request for sanctions, funds and weapons from political leaders who have bombs raining down on the cities they refuse to abandon.
For anyone wanting more of this; go to Porun, he's THE King of the Ukraine war on YT. Undisputed.
"Caspian report" is brilliant. LazerPig, Mark Felton. "WW2" for Ukraine's historical context in depth.
Plenty of goodies also on Twitter (if you "build the algorithm") & some wisdom on Reddit as well.
I love the internet
Good point on intelligence sharing, something that is not brought up often enough. Of all the aid provided, intelligence sharing was probably the most valuable.
This is an excellent production, concise, informative and comprehensive. Thank you for your work!
Your work on this channel is awesome and has single handedly upped my awareness of Aussies successes and sacrifices in the South Pacific in WW2. The detail is usually iincredible. This, however, is a sober, as you say preliminary, assessment with some considerable difficulties in finding enough information to verify claims etc. but regardless delivering excellent analysis of the story so far condensed into an hour. Excellent work. Thank you
This is one of the finest channels on RUclips. Thank you.
I have waited so long for this
Another great video mate. Loved the detailed analysis of the war so far. Please keep the excellent content coming.
Thank you so much. Your knowledge is really impressive. And love your videos from WW2. And beyond
great work, thank you !!
by far the best analysis on the war out there
Another great video mate! So much detail, it was a great watch!
Very enlightening and sophisticated analysis, nice work, hoping for more.
Thanks mate, ive been looking forward to you making this video
As always, your analysis is first class.
Thank you sir! I HIGHLY appreciate the work you put into your channel. Hopefully this ends soon and you can write up a final analysis then do a deep dive into individual actions. 😎
I agree with your sentiment but just as the author said at the beginning, the final analysis of this event will take years.
You shall make an excellent companion to your fellow Aussie Perun's analysis. Good job :)
That was a tremendous analysis, great job!
So happy to be this early and to hear your input my man
G'day. Great content. Very interested to see your take on the Ukraine conflict (Russian invasion). Keep up the great work. ...Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
More excellence from your channel - thank you!
Great job man. Love your channel and your TikToks. I would love something like this periodically!
This is an excellent summary. Really hoping you do many more deep dives on this conflict once it is over.
Phenomenal work! Great a analysis. Thank you.
Cheers mate! This was a fantastic episode. Keep it up.
G’day H3!! Excited for this one! 👍
Great analysis, I appreciate your insight, thanks.
Aloha, this was insightful and very well done. Is an update in the works, I hope?
When will you make a new/updatet version of this ? I really hope you will :)
Amazing video. I see this as the future of education. People with expertise providing educated analysis in near real-time of current events when public interest is at all-time high. I hope you continue to put out such incredible content.
this is the best analysis i have seen...well done
Love your content. Great analysis of the current situation.
I learned quite a lot of new things. Thank you very much for sharing your view with us the common people.
I was just about to say the opening reminded me of the elder Helmuth Von Moltke ideas but then you said Schlieffen Plan. Nice work
Another advantage to the 'defense in depth' is that the Ukraine's can counter attached and that will still be within their own country, they can without doubt show that they have acted only in self defense and have not 'Invaded' Russia.
I'd like to see an update to this. I wonder how much you'll change
So glad I stumbled upon this channel. This Ukraine explanation by far the best I've ever seen. Thank you!
Thank you for your video. I am a great fan of your work.
Excellent analysis. You ought to do one every week.
I love hearing to someone with higher grasp or mastery of the vocabulary.
Love your channel my friend.
Ukraine's best defense is to: 1. Abandon open terrain which is muddy and exposed to drone/arty/air assaults, 2. Destroy all rail and automobile bridges near the border, 3. Turn cities in to impenetrable fortresses, 4. Use the advantage of interior lines to flex forces to meet new Russian urban sieges.
Russia's best offense is to: 1. Wait until May to launch the attack when the fields are dry, 2. Use fields to go directly towards objectives (shortest route possible) and avoid roads and rails, 3. Defend the Donbass and Crimea, and Assault Kyiv. Ignore the temptation to attack in a multi-axis assault that can't mutually support each other.
thank you for your insight, these other guys in chat are just Morons compared to you and your insight.
Thank you.
Love the work mate, keep it up.
Thank you for the thoughtful analysis. I knew the person that introduced me to the Owen Stanley Range would have valuable insights.
Thank you for this
Hiya, love the vids, especially the one on bio weapons, scary stuff... Are you going to do a followup video to this one ukraine and speak about how things are going now?
Great summary! Thank you for this video.
part 2 - please!
awesome! nice to know who's been doing these videos!
Fantastic analysis of a very complex situation. Particularly when you have to constantly fact-check the information. Would it be possible to include NATO/US DoD designations of weapons systems in future videos, specifically SAMs? I.e. the Buk M1 is the SA-11 FIREDOME with the GADFLY missile.
"Fact Check" the information - So many Lies, BS and Propaganda coming out from the Media, it Reminds me of the 2016 and 2020 Election Cycle from the FAKE Media. All the Conspiracy Theories seem to become True, I wonder Who the Big Guy is????
Look at this handsome guy! Thanks for your summary and all the effort you put in dude.
More top info. Thanks
Great listen to my morning coffee, will share with mates. Keep up the killer content on here and TikTok.
You have presented an outstanding overview of the Ukrainian conflict. So much more that what we get on your TikToks although that is shorter it is no less excellent. Thank you for this!
I would love to hear your views on the Solomon islands China agreement. What does it mean for Australia?
Cheers
Means we'll need to invest in cruise missiles
@@mathewkelly9968 - May I suggest you watch this, it was uploaded 10 days ago: ruclips.net/video/qsEJrxKh0k0/видео.html&ab_channel=hypohystericalhistory
this might help you understand: ruclips.net/video/qsEJrxKh0k0/видео.html&ab_channel=hypohystericalhistory
China need labor to win the election, it's all about making SM look weak and make it look like the Liberal's have dropped the ball. .
@@mathewkelly9968 Shore based Mobile Anti Ship Missile batteries would be a good defensive weapon, our small Navy simply cannot patrol the whole coast.
Absolutely fantastic mate .
Great analysis. I really appreciate your videos to date. Thank you
Hostomel airport
Outstanding, considered analysis. I am looking forward to your insights as the war drags on. As an Australian myself, I am also interested in your initial analysis of the recent Solomons' foreign policy debacle. I think your aptitude for the regional campaigns fought in the 1940s forms a neat nexus with your contemporary evaluations of ADF capability (F35B?, Arafura, A2/AD) and this recent development....
Excellent Video. As Always
As always, great and comprehensive content.
Excellent analysis as always
Great analysis. 100% agree.
Love your videos and analysis. in your video about Australian Strategic approaches in the future you mentioned importance of the long range drones. Interesting that the current government has scrapped purchasing them. How will this impact on your conclusions in that video?
The MQ-9B sky guardian (med endurance, med altitude, armed surveillance drone) acquisition is cancelled, but the MQ-4C triton (long endurance, high altitude, maritime ISR drone) program is still well under way.
The 12-16 sky guardian drones always seemed like a poor choice to me. Too few and too expensive for a platform that would struggle to operate in a contested environment. Also, based on our progress with the Ghost Bat, it is seemingly within our grasp to pursue such a capability domestically in a fashion more tailored to our circumstances.
I also worry about the possibility of political blow back attached to acquiring drone strike capabilities, coming from neighbouring countries who have already expressed concern about Australia's growing regional dominance in long range strike capabilities.
@@sir_vix thanks for the clarification. Thought the analysis on the use of drones highly enlightening,
Thanks. Best analysis of the Russian strategy that I have seen so far. Really good work doing the "real time" analysis on strategy.
Brilliant presentation, I learned much from this. Great job mate
Love your content both here and on TikTok
Is it possible to get a copy of your PowerPoint presentation the video is talking to?
Great work big fella
Hey! Found you on tiktoc. Would love to see you podcast. Really appreciate the style and content. Thank you!
He is interested in doing a podcast
Great analysis as usual
Really great video. Very engaging & very detailed.
Excellent analysis
At last..a concise estimation and explanation of the entire clusterfock by someone whose opinion I respect. Thanks, mister.
Thank you for your in depth analysis, what part has been played by Ukrainian artillery and armoured forces in the 40 days of fighting? Can the damage done to Russian army to date be wholly due to ATGM 's supplied by NATO and the Soviet ATGMs in the Ukrainian inventory.
This was an amazing video, I would love to see another analysis of the Ukraine war since so much has happened since this was released.
I know this will be amazing I know what I’m doing for the next hour!
Simple the best analys of the Ukraine war
man your commentary is spot on and absolutely relevant. +1
The problem is, when you want to fight in a German or British way, you need to train and have doctrines like those armies.
I.e. on the level from platoon to battalion specific capabilities are needed, which are absent in the Russian army.
E.g. a highly trained and intelligent corps of NCOs and junior officers is needed, which is capable to educate and instruct the rank and file troops. Logistics, recon and intelligence, and security are elementary components. These skills can not be taught, in "scripted exercises", etc..