ALEC BALDWIN will NOT be Convicted (prediction & explanation)
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- Опубликовано: 8 сен 2024
- #alecbaldwin #rustshooting #openingstatements
Why I believe Alec Baldwin will NOT be convicted. it's not about whether what he did was wrong, or whether he's guilty on a moral level.
Link to clipped Alan Dershowitz video:
www.youtube.co...
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I agree. And I would vote NG if I was a juror. Just my opinion.
yeah, and that doesn't mean we think Alec is a good (or bad) person, or that he acted responsibly as a director... At the very least, it will be a hung jury...
I watched the armorer's trial and agreed with the gulity verdict. The system of checks for the gun was two ppl before it went into Baldwin's hands, both didn't do their job properly (simply shaking the bullets). So in that I couldnt find him guilty. But if they focus on him doing other unsafe things, like pointing the gun at ppl and even telling the camera men he was going to shoot blanks square at them when he was too close, well that's a valid point because even blanks can harm ppl.
true true, for sure, but that's why we're in a place where it's going to come down to the lawyers, and I just have a hunch that Baldwin's lawyers are really good & I think they're making good arguments. (in contrast to the lawyers in the last case)
I would vote not guilty
Don't think he'll be found guilty, but i think he should WANT a short sentence. For image rehabilitation. A woman died. His employee/colleague got 18 months. If I were him, I think I'd want a short sentence (to get away from his 8 kids, 5 of which are toddlers).
yeah, he could do a very heartfelt home detention in New York, or as a vacation in Santa Fe, lol. But what you say does make sense, and I can see that, for sure.
How does someone incarcerate themselves under no legal penalty? Further, please note Baldwin WAS absent from his children on Rust set, IS absent from them during trial. He is full grown and at any time, can remove himself from his family. Strange ideas regarding external regulation of a full grown human. ‘Not Guilty but I’ll punish myself as if I am for a SHORT sentence to rehab my image.’ Let’s try to stay with the legal proceedings.
@pdquestions7673 martha Stewart was a lot more popular after a short stretch in the klink.
@@SusanaXpeace2u that's a good point, and I think you're right. My hunch, though, is that we'll see a hung jury or even a straight up acquittal. As to what you're saying, maybe he should have pled guilty and accepted probation. But we'll see...
Appreciate your views. Agree AB has a top defense still hope your prediction is wrong. Hidden true crime a channel Im sure u know (I personally don’t like Dr John, find him incredibly mediocre at best yet he is pushed on that channel as if What would Dr John says or thinks is somehow golden & supersedes their audiences views, which I find gross) (anyway I digress) put out a live vid of a NM cab driver stating how he feels & how most the New Mexico public feels about AB. They want him charged. Anyway just saying
To be clear, morally, I think we all know Alec was irresponsible on set and not careful. For sure. And I'm not questioning voluntary manslaughter laws. But "involuntary manslaughter"? In many states, these laws are so low threshold that we are coming very close to criminalizing the kind of negligence that's normally addressed in civil court. But by no means am I suggesting Alec was responsible or careful. On some moral level, he's definitely guilty, and I think the public knows this & wants some kind of accountability. Appreciate your comment, although I do appreciate Dr. John's views. Not everyone is charismatic or photogenic, but he has some good ideas and he also comes from a background where he's had a lot of contact w patients w criminal backgrounds. Doesn't make him perfect, but I don't think Lauren is trying to produce perfect videos. It's a down to earth, family collaboration, and I think people appreciate her videos for what they are.
@@pdquestions7673 I’m sure many appreciate HC vids. We disagree 100% on dr John. And I respect your views. dr John (not that you care) did a long video regarding how Amber Heard was telling the truth, on the stand and was SA, RPED and was the victim. I haven’t watched your views on that trial other than seeing a snippet of you saying they are both childish, (paraphrasing). Most felt and could see through AH’s lying on the stand. (Thankfully) even though it went against the PC me too movement. Not many males can sue for defamation because in my limited understanding it’s hard to win and expensive. I was grateful JD sued her as it helped kill. that whole - women don’t lie or believe all women - nonsense. I do feel she was an abuser & feel if JD stayed around it could have been much worse ending for him. So when I saw the video of (dr John) literally almost crying about poor AH it drastically biased me towards him. I have tried to listen to him on other subjects yet IMO find he says a lot of nothing and nothing insightful. Also when Lauren was making fun of priors weight I was like … really? dr John and Lauren made a long video on how Tylee was sexually tortured by CD himself due to the marks on her pubic bones. I was mortified as he - they do not know this and it was incredibly sexually sensational. (4 Clicks) (?) Dr Joseph Scott Morgan when asked on another show about this suggestion disagreed. I respect JSM’s analysis and commentary as I find him insightful with a talent to speak / communicate to the layperson. Also naming a channels viewers as the grizzlies or the gems I find cult like &/or condescending.. But I get that is just me. Anyway thanks for reply and again I genuinely appreciate your views.
@@nadagabri5783 - ok, now we're getting to a delicate subject. Ok, I do think AH was more of a victim in the early phase of her relationship w JD, but I think that relationship had two (2) chapters. In the second chapter, JD got over his jealousy and no longer had AH on a pedestal, and I think that's where AH started becoming the abuser. So I'm open to the possibility that JD really did kick her on the plane from Boston, and maybe really did try to search for cocaine in her genitals. I'm not saying it happened, but I'm open to it. But in the SECOND chapter of the relationship, it's clear that JD was much more mellow & that AH became a vicious abuser. So, given those two chapters, and given JD's generosity in offering an excellent divorce settlement, it was very low class and very uncool (very bad) for AH to then strut herself as a spokesperson / posterchild for domestic s**xual violence, and so to me it was wrong for her to pull that maneuver after accepting a very generous divorce settlement from JD. But, to be honest, I don't think it was made clear enough to the jury in the defamation trial that the relationship probably did have 2 chapters, and I do think that, in chapter 1, JD was probably way too jealous and probably drunk / high all the time and probably abusive. I realize Dr John has biases, and I don't always share his biases, but I'm used to listening to smart people w biases, and I still appreciate his opinions. I sort of filter out the biases, the way I do with most pundits on youtube, lol
@@pdquestions7673 This is prob way TMI yet my sensibilities / respect leans towrds some one of this caliber unlike dr Joh. This explanation I was so impressed with I transcribed it. And is the opposite of sexually sensationalizing Tyler’s death especially in a way that can never be proven. Which is why I feel dr John was so confident in his assertions. JSM (Joseph Scott Morgan) reply to dr john & Lauren’s specualtion Tylee was killed by in a ritualistic angry sexual type killing or torture. I don’t think that’s a conclusion that the anthropologist came to. I lean more toward the idea of tending the fire. Their job was to eradicate all that remained of Tylee. These happened in stages. JJ was not desecrated.in the sense that Tylee was. I am not saying angry was not an element withTylee. They are trying to eradicate her remains. They are going to do anything they can to particulate those remains. I think that had tools at their disposal. Pick axe would have been one of them. As well as a shovel. What many people that have never been to a crime scene of a cremation dont understand is that you can not simply pour an accelerant on to a human body and the body vaporizes. It doesn’t work like that. (He Recommends a book that deals with the topic rendering a human body through fire.) when they ATTEMPTED to get rid of the victim in that case it took tending. These idiots I don’t think realized how much was involved in getting rid of human remains. It takes a lot of work and you’re not going to completely disintegrate the body to the point where no one is going to recognize it. At one point in time, they realize how much work it was going to take You have to sustain a fire for hours upon hours. It’s not like a crematorium. You run the risk of some one seeing you and then you have to have an ample supply of fuel. Not just accelerant, but fuel like wood then you have to have somebody who has a relationship with the victim? it’s going to have to stand over that body. and all the remains of that body. and maintain the heat. on that body.. and then they’re gonna go well you know the best way to go about this is to a postmortem dismemberment or destruction. that’s why I always thought that probably. those tool marks that you were saying. because that’s the most robust area of the body. of a skeletal perspective. The pelvis and that area. you would want to try to break the body apart. if you didn’t do it before hand where you do a true dismemberment where you going to burn it piece by piece. it’s going to take some time to render down the body and of course they. And if you’re going to measure this by how effective of a cremation, this Was they did a really shoddy job. Because. She was still there. Now she was particulated to a. Certain degree. But she was still there. As a matter fact, she still there to the point. Where they can recognize tool marks on bones . And that was a major problem and I think. There was a real learning curve at what point they attempted to do the disposal on both the bodies. They would be very frustrated with Tyler I think and there could be anger.. involved in that. I have no doubt in my mind there’s anger and hatred involved in all of this.
@@nadagabri5783 --- on the issue of the damage to Tylee's pelvis, I do agree w you, and I felt similarly. That said, I'm used to pundits on youtube having biases, and I guess I just have a filter, since almost every talkng head has some bias to filter through. In the end, Dr John is biased, but he's also pretty smart, and I enjoy listening to him. But I did have the same reaction to the commentary and speculation around the pelvis bone...
I agree. I don’t like him, but I agree.
@@MarshaLynn1025 well he has been sued, and this is the kind of negligent accodent that a civil lawsuit is perfect for. For me theres no doubt he was careless, and that he doesnt have a resolsible enough personality to work around guns
You’re probably right but my question is why did he IMMEDIATELY LIE about pulling the trigger? Come on…. he pulled the trigger. Just say you had no idea it was loaded because you were told it was a cold gun and you shouldn’t have pointed the gun at anyone and pulled the trigger because that’s the truth. Why lie???? It just makes everything else suspect when he lies right out of the gate. IMO.
@@JackieOlantern he lied, because he's very immature. But in the end it was a negligent accident and not really a crime. Ie, perfect for a very heavy civil lawsuit.
@@pdquestions7673 I agree. He’s just so arrogant.. 😵💫