Fed in a ‘Healthy Delay’ on Rate Cuts, Says BlackRock’s Lynam
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- Опубликовано: 29 апр 2024
- Amanda Lynam, head of macro credit research at BlackRock, says, “it’s clarity on the macro that we need, not necessarily a favorable macro in terms of rate reduction,” as she discusses the Federal Reserve holding off on rate cuts. Lynam also examines what credit issuance shows about companies’ ability to deal with higher interest rates.
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Inflation is very sticky with fiscal deficit at well over 4%. This means inflation will be over 3.5% if we account for 0.5% productivity increase. infact we will seeing rate hike if inflation goes above 4% due to base effects on coming months. No rate cut seen till end of year or never unless something collapse. only way fed will reduce rates if some countries collapse like Pakistan, turkey, Argentina. Europe has mostly sorted its problems. only thing that could bring inflation down is collapse in oil price to 30-40$/barrel and along with other commodity prices. very difficult to see what will happen