Parkev, Thank you for your videos. Your analysis is spot on!! From one Armenian to another, keep up the great work. When do you think NVDA is going to do a stock split? I have owned the stock since 2004 and could not be happier. Rob
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 I’ve been watching since Feb and great stuff! Definitely informative and has helped friends also make educated investment decisions on Nvidia and other growth stocks🎉 Question, does this share price for 2025 and your prediction for 2030 include the potential stock split coming in 2024 that could drop the share price to $200?
I mean this could be true, I will remember this comment, when it will be 3,000 $, because you never know. We never thought, that NVIDIA will grow to 900 $, so it could be true
At this point NVidia is basically my retirement plan. I got in around the 350-400 range and have been buying monthly since. AI is going to be the next industrial revolution, I'm sure of it. I work in healthcare but I'm also an avid gamer and tech enthusiast, and AI is set to revolutionize all of those fields. It'll soon be like when every business in the 80s and 90s needed to integrate computers and the internet into their business models.
sounds like a good plan, but when the NVDA stock price stalls between $2,000 - $3,000 then don’t be afraid to take some profits and move them into MSFT, everything u said is correct, but they’ll use MSFT too
Assuming that this is an accurate model (aka realistic EPS and P/E) does that mean the current discount rate (lets say its going to go up to $1209.60) is around 27.3%? One-year treasury is at 5.015% so investors are paying a 22.29% "risk premium".
Currently trying Nvidia's Chat with RTX, I think there is potential for Nvidia to also create subscription plans for its AI services as well. The demo works pretty good once you have a better understanding of it.
Good stuff. Thanks. I think, for scenarios like this, where a company is continually breaking the predictions, perhaps a price target for one year is too far out to be any good. Maybe we should set targets for each quarter instead, or something aligned with earnings call schedule. What do you think?
@@deyh5664nothing changes, you will just notice more shares in your account but the same value. However, the price will appear more affordable to investors who may have been on the sidelines and you would see an increase in investor participation causing the price to keep increasing
@@deyh5664 if a 5:1/4:1 stock split happens that mean for every one stock you own you will get 5 or 4 stocks instead. So if at stock split Nvidia is priced at $1000 and you own 100 shares. You will then get 500/400 shares of Nvidia each worth $200/$250. This could potentially be a good thing because the stock is now more "accessible" for investors with little cash and where fractional shares aren't available.
Using projected EPS and possible PEs is certainly a credible way of pricing. But could you elaborate on the risks in the earnings projections of $30.24 for fiscal 2026. On their last call NV said their margins are falling (but still an amazing 72-75%). Two years from now their margins are likely to be lower. The hype portion of the AI curve will flatten a little - I believe AI is an important technology that will have huge impact. But at present it is being made out to be more than what it really is.
FYI. All public companies cannot be on a calendar year. They need to be audited and have quarters reviewed by BIG 4 firms. Those firms could not do the work if all the clients had a December year end. Further, industries have different dynamics etc.
Parkev, thanks for this excellent channel. Would you share your excel templates or be willing to make a tutorial video for different valuation and forecasting methods in Excel?
For anyone considering a holding in NVDA, consider a Semiconductor ETF, or other fund with a large-ish NVDA holding and ease in over time, especially on dips. This limits the downside, while still giving you exposure.
Parkev you are way smarter than me but i think your price prediction for Nvidia is too low . We will see. Thanks for another awesome video about a stock I own. ❤😂🎉
I'm almost amused by your assumption that Nvidia's EPS in 2026 is 30.24 and only possible scenario Nvidia's stock price goes lower is lower price to multiple ratio of 20 as if analysts can never be wrong. In reality, it's much more likely that stock price goes lower if a company's earnings do not meet the target a PLUS analysts prematurely judge that Nvidia's growth story is over, as a result price multiples go down too due to analysts down grade. And then how many times we see that it turned out it was wrong. (eg Meta, Netflix in 2022)
@SSSocials I agree. Based on his approach, in early 2000, he would have said that Amazon is nothing but a online book company, Apple is a computer company with not much potential for innovation, so exponential growth is not likely, and now see what happened.
What the h is going on with Nvidia?!? It's tanking HARD. Parkev, any opinion on this? Or anyone else? Ofcourse the moment i buy Nvidia it tanks. Unbelievable 😂. Anyone know a good stock forum/community which stays up to date by any chance?
Knows nothing...Like most of the poster on YT...Nvda can not trade at 1500 or 2000 or 2400 in 2025 because the shares will soon be split 3 for 1 or 4 for 1 and maybe 5 for 1...That reduces the price fown into the 200 to 300 dollar price range...The stock.probably won't climb back into the 1000 range for several years just imho...This guy is trying to predict the future when the best financial minds on the planet cant predict the market swings hour to hour...its a joke...
I watch a great deal of stock videos. Your videos are the best!
Parkev, Thank you for your videos. Your analysis is spot on!! From one Armenian to another, keep up the great work. When do you think NVDA is going to do a stock split? I have owned the stock since 2004 and could not be happier. Rob
Appreciate all the great nvda vids 👍🏽
More to come!
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 I’ve been watching since Feb and great stuff! Definitely informative and has helped friends also make educated investment decisions on Nvidia and other growth stocks🎉 Question, does this share price for 2025 and your prediction for 2030 include the potential stock split coming in 2024 that could drop the share price to $200?
Nvidia will be $3k stock!
😂😂😂
Its mktcap might be $70T by 2029
@@hdthor 🤣🤣🤣
😂
I mean this could be true, I will remember this comment, when it will be 3,000 $, because you never know. We never thought, that NVIDIA will grow to 900 $, so it could be true
At this point NVidia is basically my retirement plan. I got in around the 350-400 range and have been buying monthly since. AI is going to be the next industrial revolution, I'm sure of it. I work in healthcare but I'm also an avid gamer and tech enthusiast, and AI is set to revolutionize all of those fields. It'll soon be like when every business in the 80s and 90s needed to integrate computers and the internet into their business models.
Be careful when you invest.
Putting all your money at the same place might promise higher returns but it also comes with way higher risk.
sounds like a good plan, but when the NVDA stock price stalls between $2,000 - $3,000 then don’t be afraid to take some profits and move them into MSFT, everything u said is correct, but they’ll use MSFT too
AMZN, NVDA, MSFT. You set brah. 😂
NVDA (ai), PLTR, CRWD (cybersecurity), MSFT (business critical), SHOP (e-commerce), TSLA (energy innovation)
@@BrandononIce-sk7fx I like it! I have all of those expect tesla (I'm thinking of buying it tho) and have Palo Alto instead of CRWD ;)
Invaluable information. Thx again!😊
Glad it was helpful!
When do I buy in?
Which website do you use that indicates future earnings?
1600 by the end of 2025
Assuming that this is an accurate model (aka realistic EPS and P/E) does that mean the current discount rate (lets say its going to go up to $1209.60) is around 27.3%? One-year treasury is at 5.015% so investors are paying a 22.29% "risk premium".
Still holding NVDA and plan to hold until I see actual reversal of earnings to the downside.
very detailed NVIDIA analysis👌, NVIDIA transitioning all companies all sectors no wonder its valuation
Currently trying Nvidia's Chat with RTX, I think there is potential for Nvidia to also create subscription plans for its AI services as well. The demo works pretty good once you have a better understanding of it.
It's crazy. I'm glad I got in last year. I think it's an indefinite hold for me at this point.
Good stuff. Thanks. I think, for scenarios like this, where a company is continually breaking the predictions, perhaps a price target for one year is too far out to be any good. Maybe we should set targets for each quarter instead, or something aligned with earnings call schedule. What do you think?
Great point
Imo Nvidia is the best 2024 stock to buy on a risk reward basis.
I think Nvidia stock price at the end of March 2025 will be $ 2,200
❤😂🎉
Maybe $4/500 due to now inevitable 4/5:1 split👍
@@justinbartley5245 what would that mean for our shares?
@@deyh5664nothing changes, you will just notice more shares in your account but the same value. However, the price will appear more affordable to investors who may have been on the sidelines and you would see an increase in investor participation causing the price to keep increasing
@@deyh5664 if a 5:1/4:1 stock split happens that mean for every one stock you own you will get 5 or 4 stocks instead. So if at stock split Nvidia is priced at $1000 and you own 100 shares. You will then get 500/400 shares of Nvidia each worth $200/$250. This could potentially be a good thing because the stock is now more "accessible" for investors with little cash and where fractional shares aren't available.
Using projected EPS and possible PEs is certainly a credible way of pricing. But could you elaborate on the risks in the earnings projections of $30.24 for fiscal 2026. On their last call NV said their margins are falling (but still an amazing 72-75%). Two years from now their margins are likely to be lower. The hype portion of the AI curve will flatten a little - I believe AI is an important technology that will have huge impact. But at present it is being made out to be more than what it really is.
Im new to all this. But this is a very valid point.
Jensen Huang !!!
Thanks Parkev
FYI. All public companies cannot be on a calendar year. They need to be audited and have quarters reviewed by BIG 4 firms. Those firms could not do the work if all the clients had a December year end. Further, industries have different dynamics etc.
Do you think Nvidia will split anytime soon, and if so, by how much? 2 for 1, 3 for 1, etc?
If I had to guess it would be a 10 for 1 split. It'll be june 2024 probably
Parkev, thanks for this excellent channel. Would you share your excel templates or be willing to make a tutorial video for different valuation and forecasting methods in Excel?
I’ll look into making more material available.
What are your thoughts on NVTS?
For anyone considering a holding in NVDA, consider a Semiconductor ETF, or other fund with a large-ish NVDA holding and ease in over time, especially on dips. This limits the downside, while still giving you exposure.
Such as?
@@imadaslam2205 Amundi MSCI Semiconductors ESG Screened UCITS ETF (34.21% NVDA), Van Eck Semiconducter UCITS ETF (13.09% NVDA), HSBC Nasdaq Global Semiconductor UCITS ETF (10.62% NVDA), iShares MSCI Global Semiconductors UCITS ETF (7.97% NVDA)
Parkev you are way smarter than me but i think your price prediction for Nvidia is too low .
We will see.
Thanks for another awesome video about a stock I own.
❤😂🎉
Hope so!
I think to end of next year, most likely Nvidia price will be 1500-1800 with forward PE ratio arouy55
A lot of the so called expert analysts are cautioning Nvidia investors, calling it the AI bubble. What do you think are the chances that it could pop?
Nvidia $ 2,200 in a year.
Did the internet 'pop'?🎯💯
@@justinbartley5245 well cisco did
Sounds about right man.
How do you guess the earning per share EPS?
According to the ticker price during your video this was made last Wednesday. Why did it take you so long to post it?
Editing takes quite some time (much more than most people probably think) and he does have a regular day job.
Thanks-@@DoctorJohn_MD
thank U
You're welcome!
thank you can you do ONON stock?
i missed the 950- 960 range :(
hope it goes up soon
What are they talking about cyclicality?
Is It good to buy now or is it better to wait for the price to fall a bit?
Nvidia is not dropping and is going to probably have a great 5 year run.
@@ronmatthews2164 any chance the US elections might affect the share prices?
Anything can happen, no one can predict the future😁
Stocks could plummet if the epidemic in Japan spreads across the world🥺
@@Ann-20007 what epidemic?? 😮
You said nvida two steps ahead. More like a mile ahead .they own 90% of the gpu market.
What are your favourite books ?
Of course the day I enter it drops whatever ill go long still
Same lol. Down quite some.
So unbelievably typical for it to tank the moment i buy it. That's me my life, always.
NVDA always goes up - 2024 Me
Wish I wouldn't have sold the July 19 1020 covered call :/
I entered now
Same lol. In the morning somewhere for me.
Nvidia could do a stock split if it reaches $1100
I'm almost amused by your assumption that Nvidia's EPS in 2026 is 30.24 and only possible scenario Nvidia's stock price goes lower is lower price to multiple ratio of 20 as if analysts can never be wrong. In reality, it's much more likely that stock price goes lower if a company's earnings do not meet the target a PLUS analysts prematurely judge that Nvidia's growth story is over, as a result price multiples go down too due to analysts down grade. And then how many times we see that it turned out it was wrong. (eg Meta, Netflix in 2022)
Also companies perpetually innovate and create newer markets. Just look at msft or aapl, besides innovating is nvda usp.
@SSSocials I agree. Based on his approach, in early 2000, he would have said that Amazon is nothing but a online book company, Apple is a computer company with not much potential for innovation, so exponential growth is not likely, and now see what happened.
I’m long NVIDIA till I die 😝😝😝
This stock will be $1600 end of year
It'll do this by eoy not eo 2025
Bitcoin is supposed to go to 150,000
What the h is going on with Nvidia?!? It's tanking HARD. Parkev, any opinion on this? Or anyone else? Ofcourse the moment i buy Nvidia it tanks. Unbelievable 😂. Anyone know a good stock forum/community which stays up to date by any chance?
Stocks go up and down... 950 yesterday, 899 today, back up to $970 tomorrow...
Is he a actually CFA? or another scam fake?
Knows nothing...Like most of the poster on YT...Nvda can not trade at 1500 or 2000 or 2400 in 2025 because the shares will soon be split 3 for 1 or 4 for 1 and maybe 5 for 1...That reduces the price fown into the 200 to 300 dollar price range...The stock.probably won't climb back into the 1000 range for several years just imho...This guy is trying to predict the future when the best financial minds on the planet cant predict the market swings hour to hour...its a joke...
i sure am glad i started investing in Navid at it's peak yesterday 😂
Good times 😂i aim to lose 15% this week lol should have just kept it in mstr
2025-1500
Buy buy buy sells the house and kids....lol
Be careful. The speed of the price is unrealistic. I guarantee this will stop very soon. No stock can go with this speed regardless of the growth.
The peanut gallery has spoken