Great pod, looking forward to more! I’m gonna give draft a try this season, figured a 10 team 3-5-1-3 would be good way to learn without being to painful to play 😂
Proper top 10 (including positional scarcity) is: 1. Bailey Smith (Z=2.64) (Proj.Average=105) 2. Harry Sheezel (Z=2.20) (Proj.Average=111) 3. Caleb Daniel (Z=2.01) (Proj.Average=98) 4. Lachie Whitfield (Z=1.93) (Proj.Average=111.7) 5. Tristan Xerri (Z=1.81) (Proj.Average=118) 6. Errol Gulden (Z=1.80) (Proj.Average=112) 7. Andrew Brayshaw (Z=1.71) (Proj.Average=111) 8. Rowan Marshall (Z=1.69) ( Proj.Average=116) 9. Jack Sinclair (Z=1.57) (Proj.Average=104) 10. Jack Macrae (Z=1.55) (Proj.Average=93) However, this relies on my projections being accurate (which they often aren't). If you want to learn how to make your own Z-score, just respond!
You have to factor in that most leagues have captains on though. This is probably more relevant for pick 3 onwards in my opinion. Still, I'd be keen to make this Z score, what's your formula?
@ Definitely fair, DPP is what is tempting me just to sure up a good D1 then hunt my C mid in the second round. But cheers mate looking forward to listening to the pod this year!
How much do you take into consideration that some of these guys will play one less game because of early byes? It seems to me that just using a one-week waiver replacement score to adjust the average is flawed because it’s about wins and not total score. For example, if we’re comparing Merrett and Brayshaw and let’s say the one-week replacement for Merrett is about 40 pts less than him. Wouldn’t having 40 less points one round and maybe just a couple more expected points every other week make you worse off in terms of expected wins? I tend to think they would need to be significantly better to justify taking them, but maybe some actuary can tell me why I’m wrong.
I didn’t take into account the early bye rounds at all really, it’s not something I think should be factored into the first round since these guys are the beginning of your team and the most important selection. You can’t get them wrong. So having a replacement for 1/24 games isn’t enough to move the needle for me. Maybe once you start accruing multiple on the one round it can be a tie breaker or maybe you just throw one week to be better off in the long run
![Felix "Unfair" | [Stray Kids : SKZ-PLAYER]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/Oswujxm2Ag0/mqdefault.jpg)
Most common leagues are usually 5-7-1-5 (nice for 10 teams) or 3-4-1-3 (we use this for our 12 or 14 team leagues).
yeah I thought so, this list is based off a blend of those two (I would have guessed a 10team league is the most common)
Nah real draft is 6-5-1-6 plus 7bench
16 team comp 🏆
Take my tips 🔥
Cowards!
4-5-1-4-5 in 18 man league, to the moon! Up mid season RFAs!
Great pod, looking forward to more! I’m gonna give draft a try this season, figured a 10 team 3-5-1-3 would be good way to learn without being to painful to play 😂
Love the draft content, cheers Mitch!
Proper top 10 (including positional scarcity) is:
1. Bailey Smith (Z=2.64) (Proj.Average=105)
2. Harry Sheezel (Z=2.20) (Proj.Average=111)
3. Caleb Daniel (Z=2.01) (Proj.Average=98)
4. Lachie Whitfield (Z=1.93) (Proj.Average=111.7)
5. Tristan Xerri (Z=1.81) (Proj.Average=118)
6. Errol Gulden (Z=1.80) (Proj.Average=112)
7. Andrew Brayshaw (Z=1.71) (Proj.Average=111)
8. Rowan Marshall (Z=1.69) ( Proj.Average=116)
9. Jack Sinclair (Z=1.57) (Proj.Average=104)
10. Jack Macrae (Z=1.55) (Proj.Average=93)
However, this relies on my projections being accurate (which they often aren't). If you want to learn how to make your own Z-score, just respond!
Reasonable projections and they resemble mine closely, although a bit more bullish on most
You have to factor in that most leagues have captains on though. This is probably more relevant for pick 3 onwards in my opinion. Still, I'd be keen to make this Z score, what's your formula?
Thoughts on Flanders at pick 8? In a 12 man league
I think him moving out of defence drops him down closer to a 100 average. Think he could be gotten later personally
@
Definitely fair, DPP is what is tempting me just to sure up a good D1 then hunt my C mid in the second round. But cheers mate looking forward to listening to the pod this year!
How much do you take into consideration that some of these guys will play one less game because of early byes?
It seems to me that just using a one-week waiver replacement score to adjust the average is flawed because it’s about wins and not total score.
For example, if we’re comparing Merrett and Brayshaw and let’s say the one-week replacement for Merrett is about 40 pts less than him. Wouldn’t having 40 less points one round and maybe just a couple more expected points every other week make you worse off in terms of expected wins?
I tend to think they would need to be significantly better to justify taking them, but maybe some actuary can tell me why I’m wrong.
I didn’t take into account the early bye rounds at all really, it’s not something I think should be factored into the first round since these guys are the beginning of your team and the most important selection. You can’t get them wrong. So having a replacement for 1/24 games isn’t enough to move the needle for me. Maybe once you start accruing multiple on the one round it can be a tie breaker or maybe you just throw one week to be better off in the long run
Just get on with it,,,blah blah blah blah blah blah
you are welcome to skip through...
@ballboysaflfantasy had a room ov 26 we did turn off an move on,,blah blah blah 😑 😐 😒
You haven’t join yet mitch please join
Hey mate not sure I’ve got the league code
@ I sent it to you AYATDS4S
@ AYATDS4S.
@ should l send it to your number
Thank you for joining