2023 Ukrainian Counteroffensive - Animated Analysis
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 15 фев 2024
- It’s an early morning of June 7th, 2023. After Ukrainian artillery intensifies strikes on dug-in Russian forces, the offensive, announced a long time ago enters its crucial phase. Ukrainians, jump into their newly acquired Leopard 2A6 tanks, M2 Bradleys, and other armored mine-clearing and mobility vehicles to form columns and cut through Russian minefields and defenses. Understanding all the responsibility and complexity of the task, the soldiers of the recently formed 47th Mechanized Brigade are optimistic about their chances of completing the mission. However, heading toward the village of Robotyne they are about to face immense resistance, not even closely resembled during their months of training in Western countries.
If you enjoy our videos, consider joining our Patreon:
patreon.com/WarArchive945
Filmstro | Create custom royalty-free music in minutes filmstro.com/ 
Кино
Dedicated to dozens of people who wrote that we would never make a video about this topic.
Telling projection
"If I'm intellectually dishonest, the people I disagree with must also be"
@@m.streicher8286 Please tell us more about his internal narrative that you know so much about.
Can you make a video about the terrible work done by Wagner's forces in Bakhmut?
The quality of your work is phenomenal. Well done
Those were not people but muscovites.
The only gain during the assault Ukraine had committed was Robotino. And it is under attack right now as i right this message down. Surely the goals were far beyond that. So it’s fair to say that the whole operation was a complete failure.
160 thousand killed and wounded Ukrainian soldiers during 3 months of the offensive. It's not a failure. This is a catastrophe.
@@Maratreasonsource?
@@loverofyurigagarin1149, source: trust me bro
@@loverofyurigagarin1149any western source already confirms at least 300k loses by now.
@@loverofyurigagarin1149this isn't for his source but these are my numbers not just during the Ukrainian summer offensive but overall for this war i can confidently say that 60,500 Russian soldiers are kia due to the war some 20,000 permanently injured Russian war vets. For ukrane its much harder to calculate since they are really good at hiding their losses throughout the entirety of the war but anywhere from 300,000-380,000 Ukrainian soldiers are Kia with up to 50,000 permanently injured Ukrainian war vets. If you want sources for my Russian kia list I'll refer you to "Mediazona" but I've also researched a bit on my own as well looking through Russian soldier obituaries and such. But for Ukraine casualties it's hard to give you a source since every trustable source that gives a answer on Ukrane losses is usually suppressed and taken of the internet. But I give you when the president of the European commission stated in November of 2022 that "over 100,000 Ukrainian military officers have been killed so far" which her statement was quickly taken down by the EU and her own account. But her statement was in line with Former U.S. colonel Douglas MacGregors statements as well as a regional map of Ukrainian losses at the time. You can find her statements online that were quickly saved by many people when she said it andyou can also find Douglas MacGregor here on RUclips and even some of his articles. The regional map of Ukrainian losses cant be found anywhere but I have saved it and at the time of December 2022 it showed 102,728 KIA Ukrainian solders to be exact. I know you can't just believe someone else's statement so I highly encourage to research this topic yourself and come to your own conclusions.
Can't wait for a Bahkmut and Avdiivka episode. These battle seem so sudden and uncovered, other than catchphrases and witty phrases. I love your editing.
I'm sorry by my "sofa" analysis, but in short - they were a "meat grinder" for both sides - tens of thousands dead from both sides regarding Bahmut (mostly contracted prisoners for Russia and different conscripted men from almost teenagers to elite spetsnaz forces for Ukraine) and some less regarding Avdeyevka (except that Russia didn't use so much or didn't use at all prisoners because of dissolution of PMC "WAGNER" group), which has happenned just now, so there is not enough information.
@@OXiG96 Yeah basically, but it's nice to see unit movements and maps.
And what are you waiting for? Obviously, this Ukrainian will release the most biased video.
@EginOG I'm waiting for a video that will show unit movement and outcomes of said movements. Yes it will be biased, but I don't know anyone who maps out battles like this.
biased to what? Bakhmut was lost and he literally shows MAPS BRO. U r so brainwashed by ruzzia media, just pipe down a read book@@EginOG
The Russians and Ukrainians exchanged control over Uzozhaine, Staromaiorske and Makarvika multiple times over like a week, it wasnt a 1 time control and complete capture by the UAF.
this channel is extremely biased towards ukraine. havent you seen his other copium videos of ukrainian loses that sounded as if they won coz of so much coping.
@@zjpdarkblaze You people need to be constantly hugged and caressed for you not to cry when faced with truth. I bet you believe the russians had an organized retreat out of Kharkiv
@@zjpdarkblaze Yeah, this channel has a major hard on for Ukraine.
25:58 ka52 ejection system in action u can see pilot seat and blades flying off. in any other heli in this situation pilots would not survive
You forgot to mention that at the same day as counteroffensive started, Russia destroyed/damaged IRIS-T radar, which seriously decreased UA anti-air capabilities and gave Russia significant advantage in using aviation. It also proofs that russians knew when exactly will counteroffensive begin.
I mean Ukraine advertised the counteroffensive publicly to get additional western funding. So yeah, Russia knew, so did I lol
- We gonna massive counteroffensive soon!
Same guys after:
- How did they know?!!
@@KugasKuoska its not so simple, you literally cannot hide large formations of troops nowadays. drones and satellite make it impossible to keep secrecy of an offensive. russia would know whether ukraine said it or not
Russian ISR...2000 frontline miles
@@churchspeedruns8411That's fair, then again if it's already hard to hide the formations, advertising it might just be pouring salt in the wound
15:05 the vehicle to the right of Leopard 2R's is not a Bergerpanzer 3, but a Wisent 1 mine clearing tank.
Thanks for the correction!
We see now near Avdiivka that Russia has drawn conclusions from Ukraine's summer counteroffensive by increasing the number of airstrikes, destroying air defense systems and increasing the production of FPV and Lancets drones.
The use of Lancets has drastically decreased over the last year. It seems that Russians have transitioned almost exclusively to ukrainian-style fpvs or even commercial drones in nearly most cases, except for deeper longer range strikes where the range of such fpvs wouldn't suffice. Lancets have basically been relegated to a counter artillery drone or a higher value target drone for targets usually much farther behind the lines. It makes sense too, cause why waste $10s of thousands on a drone, when you can waste less than $1k for an FPV drone with an equivalent result. The only thing Russia has "changed" recently is the use of glide-kit assisted bombs... those have been proven to be real "game changers" in terms of Russian tactics, particularly in built up areas like cities.
Will you be making a video on Avdeevka in the coming months?
Avdiivka*
@@sircatangry5864 Avdeevka
@@sircatangry5864 It's Avdeevka now... Before that it was Avdiivka.
Artemovsk
@@oliveryt7168 Adviivka always
Another excellent video, thank you!
Thank you, used to learn the first scale model weathering techniques from your channel!
Thanks for the analysis. Really appreciate for your work.
I'm glad you made this video I will admit this summer was a horrible summer for Ukrianian supporters since we believed that they would be successful
But goes to show this won't be an easy victory nor a quick war.
Overconfidence. I remember when they made trailers of the new western weapons
That's what happens when you release a trailer the day before your counteroffensive and buy into your own propaganda like 'best tank in the world' or 'it will smash through the toblerone blockades'.
Same is happening in avdivka as we speak
you should stop believing in ukraine victory
@@faziefallelfarhan1333They already claimed they would retreat
Thank you for the work on this! I was so pumped when I saw the trailer and you did an awesome job❤😊
Thanks for the videos 🙏
Incredibly good video brother. Hope you keep making them.
Hello, first of all this is an amazingly well made, well researched video.
I was wondering what your sorce is/are on total lost vehicles?
Did you verify these yourself, or did you use an outside source. (and if so, could you share this)
www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
@TheWarArchive "Oryx" 😆. That site is severely compromised. Might as well source your "info" from the Ukrainian govt and NAFO. Glory to the Ghost of Kiev! 💪
@@TheWarArchiveImportantly, Oryx will not use thermal footage in their calculations, so unless later photographed, ground and helicopter launched ATGM hits were not counted. Due to the nature of Russian OPSEC and standoff weapon range, the Ukrainian vehicle losses are skewed toward a slightly lower rate of kills:confirmation.
Whereas successful drone hits are all considered damaged, so fewer Russian losses are unrecorded and almost all are likely to be published
@@andrasbeke3012
Oryx has been proven as a FACT to count a single Russian t-72 over 20 times, a tank towed can be moved multiple times before it reaches a scrap yard. Taking photos of each stage is what they were doing. You absolutely cannot rely on oryx as they are a western propaganda state pushed site. They under count NATO losses and massively over count Russia losses.
To prove this fact there should be a tank grave yard in Ukraine containing 7000 tanks and 10,000 armored vehicles. There is no such place. The defender will always collect the armor, opposite for the offender.
Amazing depth of analysis.
I honestly was not in the place to follow the whole counter offensive and I was very confused by what had happened when I caught up with it later. Thanks a lot for the detailed explanation, I finally grasp what had happened there.
@@evobsm2328 to be fair Ukrainians didn't really have a choice. They weren't getting more equipment any time soon and the Russians were digging in more and more each day. And as far as adaptability goes, I think Ukrainians weren't that bad in the first year, with their extensive drone use and some other tactics, but they got carried away after their successes in Kherson and Kharkov and started to think that they could beat Russia in a conventional war, which is impossible without continuous supply of equipment and ammo from other countries with greater production.
@@evobsm2328 Well if only Ukraine and the West learn from History. If given enough time the Russian bear will lick its wounds only for it to strike back. This is so sad I was rooting for Ukraine on this one
According to official data, during the summer counteroffensive, Ukraine lost more than 160 thousand soldiers killed and wounded.
149.200
@@evobsm2328The reason Ukraine couldnt have done the counteroffensive sooner, when they had the chance, was because the west hesistated.
The 2023 counter offensive, the most strangely named operation in human history
It’s just an offensive operation guys
If you take back Ground that was just taken from you its a counter offensive. Theres a difference between a french fry and a steak, though you Seem to just reduce both simply “food”. Yeah its an offensive, but due to something called “context”, i know, very complicated word for you to comprehend, we add a modifier to the word. In this case “counter”. If you go for a walk in the morning its a morning walk, if you go in the evening its a evening walk. I know this is very mindblowing information, but I trust that you put all your braincells to work, and absorb this critical information
Nvm you are a Z-bot. One Can just click Your profile and read Your comments up to 6 months ago. Every single one is some Z-bot comment on every single video this Channel has made. Very nice
@@quickschweezy …I’m a ‘Z bot’? L O L
@@quickschweezy a counter offensive is a reactive move against an enemy’s offensive
@@quickschweezy oh sweetheart, you are aware there is no context to add to this, right?
You weren’t? Thought so, just talk normally instead of being an idiot okay? I believe in you
Phenomenal as always.
Very detailed, love it!💜👏👏👏👍👍👍👍👍
@TheWarArchive can you explain your research process for this video? how do you confirm these locations etc / specific units etc.? genuinely curious, thx.
I occasionally use the help of people who take part in events shown, but most of the information still comes from published battle footage. It takes a lot of work to find what unit posted it first, and then I geolocate things. This gives reasonably reliable data that can be compared and contrasted with official bits of information to come to a final conclusion for unit disposition and movement.
@@TheWarArchive Do you use Russian sources?) I myself am from Russia and communicate with people who have been mobilized. In this particular offensive, they said, the losses of Ukrainian soldiers and Ukrainian equipment were much much greater than those of the Russians. Your video contains statistics that refute this, but I am confident in the words of my friends. Because we discussed this topic only out of personal interest.
@@user-eh2qu2mh2r Of course, I use Russian sources. Half of the battle footage in this video is filmed by Russians. The number of lost equipment is based on footage as well, with each loss verified by photo/video evidence. As well, I also want to remind that even particular accounts of soldiers who participated in battles are not sufficient to come to conclusions about losses in operations of such a scale. Only multiple pieces of battle footage might work. This is because anyone lower than a brigade commander is likely to have a very limited awareness of operational-level losses.
I would say ukraine become overconfident after their previous success. This resulted in their defeat.
Previous success..lol which one, bakhmut 😂😂😂
@@DaNuclearBomb ah, yes, the famous major defeat at bakhmut, that led to a total collapse of the entire Ukrainian army. Ukrainian army collapsed so badly that prompted the mutiny of wagner and rashists forces still haven't advanced any further on that direction.
@@CptShrike555 outdated info.
Very well done. Nothing new for me personally, but well put together and well explained. It explains well what happened and apart from some minor details it's on point. Keep it up!
Ну, не совсем. С точки зрения тактического и стратегического обзоров, видео хорошее. Однако, статистика потерь недостоверна.
@@user-eh2qu2mh2r Which loss statistics can you point to that are "reliable"? These loss statistics are literally based on picture evidence... there's not much more "reliable" statistics out there that I've found. Not lost armor or the syrian guy or anyone else.
Very well researched and good use of geolocated footage .
great work, you have such an underrated channel
Great video
Thank you for this analysis, probably the best channel about this topic on RUclips! Wish you a fast channel growth!
detailed analysis but far from neutrality
It was neutral or maybe I missed something?
@@iliketrains6235no its not neutral , still biased a bit , robotyne was likely a village not even a town .
@@RasyidNazarI usually see this as just a poor translation but you could be right
@@CAPTAINMIIDGET yes, like some biased media say taht avdeevka just a usuall district that not important than victory propaganda,avdeevka was a city and one of the most fortified and defended city in ukraine.
Why don't you differentiate visually between battalions, brigades and regiments? It would be very helpful. Thanks very much for the great videos.
Brother then the following would be map adviivka? Or are you going to wait for the current offensive to end?
It depends on if the second line of defenses counts as part of the Avdiivka offensive. Personally I consider the Berdychi-Sjeverne line part of that battle, and it clearly hasn't ended yet
I think you miss calcuated russian vechile,tank etc losses during Ukraine counteroffensive. There is no way that russia loses more while defending. They also used alot of fpv drones in some point they used more than ukrainians "bobr"is very famous russian drone operator
Ukraine was using more FPV drones at this point and had many more artillery shells than they do now, fired from more accurate systems than the Russian systems.
You are absolutely right. I have direct contact with the mobilized who were Robotino. Ukraine's losses in manpower and equipment were MUCH greater than those of the Russian army.
Last time I answered someone's comment on English-language RUclips, and they called me a Russian bot. Funny.
A peaceful sky for you.
@@CAPTAINMIIDGET what are you talking about? russia has significantly more drones than ukraine. its one of the things that ukrainians complain about. and the number one thing the ukrainians complain is russian artillery. russian artillery severely overpower ukrainian ones in accuracy, amount, power, etc. it is literally the strongest aspect of the russian ground force.
@@zjpdarkblaze Russia has more full on military drones, an FPV drone is a civilian drone fitted for military purposes (most of the time)
Why did you use the losses betwen june and december, when the couteroffensive lasted till septmeber. You added 3 more months. My guess is to inflate Russian losses with the inclusion of Avdivka, which saw an also massive number of destroyed Russian vehicles
It's not completely obvious when the counteroffensive ended, since the crossing of the dnipro near krynky could also be considered part of the offensive
@@galactic-guy kryky is an artilery practice range at this point with no tactical importance anymoer a fair point to point out is that ukraine captured LESS kilometers during the counteroffensive than russsia had captured during hte counteroffensive
You are absolutely right. I have direct contact with the mobilized who were at Work. Ukraine's losses in manpower and equipment were MUCH greater than those of the Russian army.
@@user-eh2qu2mh2r I belive you that you know some mobilised soldiers but how would they know the overall losses? They might be able to say that in the battles they participated, the ukrainian losses were higher but how would they know all losses? Only the Russian and ukrainian army general staff will know the losses. And most losses are due to artillery and mines anyways so how would a russian soldier for example know about a ukrainian who was hit by artillery 15km behind the front line? He could only know thatvif hecwas a drone operator but than again he wouldn't know their own losses
@@user-eh2qu2mh2rif you are going to pretend not to be a bot make a username that doesn’t look computer generated
Ukrainian moral was really high in avdivka
They got hammered really bad in avdiivka, the most defended and fortificated city was fall less than bakhmut , that was the umpc power.
Good video. Would it be possible to list video sources in future videos with timestamps?
Thankyou for your work. Keep it up. Historians will thank you.
Where did you get that info about numerical advantage? Tanks, planes, artillery - yes. Infantry - no
Дожили...русский у украинца что-то спрашивает на английском языке...
Why is this guy trying to portray Ukraine's counteroffensive as a success?
i notice that too.
cuz he is ukrainian
Because he is ukrainian lol
Because this guy recently found out that there is such a country as Ukraine and seeks to support it, guided by the principle “who attacked first is the bad one” lol
Bcs he is hard on copium.
Will you cover other wars?
great work mate. Cant wait for the next vid
Nice vid brother appreciate the effort! Bit biased though. ;) Very unlikely that the Russian Army suffered greater losses in equipment and manpower in a defensive posture. Advantage in artillery on ukrainian side in this operation is a claim never confirmed and and hard to believe. NATO-tanks and other armored vehicles are just tanks and BMPs at the end of the day. There are no "wonderweapons".
However, once again UA traded to much manpower and ressources for (some) kilometers. Now we starting to see the consequences of that.
nice video
What happened to the teaser trailer for this video
Firstly, i appreciate the amount of work that went into this presentation 👏
However, your conclusion evades the fact that the Russians defeated the Ukrainian assault. None of the operational or strategic goals were achieved by UA with losses in men and equipment that cannot be replaced.
The comparison of the Kharkov offensive and summer counter-offensive is like comparing apples to oranges. Completely different set of circumstances. By the sounds of your narrative, this is something that the UA command also failed to recognize.
Another failure is for NATO "advisors" not to have understood RU defensive doctrine. Despite public articles showing the heavy defensive works being prepared for months. How on earth could the massive minefields have been missed. Senior UA commanders would have learned defensive doctrine during their time in the Soviet forces. But forgot or ignored it all. UA underestimated their enemy and overestimated their own capability. A fatal mistake.
NATO is fully aware of Russian doctrine, what they were not able to overcome was the difficulty in planning an offensive without the usual NATO advantages, such as air superiority and a large volume of high precision counter battery weapons.
The minefields were not missed that's why the Ukrainians were given engineering vehicles and other mine clearing implements, the issue is that trying to clear a minefield while being disadvantaged in both artillery and airpower is borderline impossible and I don't think any nation in the world has a reasonable plan for that eventuality.
You are correct that the UA underestimated the Russians and overestimated their own ability, the media did this as well acting as though western vehicles were some kind of wonder weapons. While western equipment is generally superior to older soviet era equipment its not invincible nor does any western equipment render basic battlefield principles moot.
The US (and allies) have breached well placed defenses before in the Gulf war when they breached the Sadam line, but this was preceded by a massive air campaign and massed artillery and MLRS strikes, without which even the US/UK armored forces likely would have taken massive casualties breaching those defenses.
@nilloc93 if you were one of the authors of the video, thanks for taking the time to reply.
The whole thing (the offensive) was under-resourced. But I suppose political pressure "to show a return on our investment" doomed . No wonder Zaluzhnyy distanced himself from this and, in the aftermath, said "no nato army would have attempted what we did but we had a gun to our heads". Nato should have put the brakes on this. As their credibility was on the line once the blame storming began. You'll recall the defensive statements the US made like we told them not to this or that.
You, me, the media were all correct about the under-resoursing of combat support. Especially in the engineering eqpt dept, IMHO. Yes, they knew minefields were there. The major journalism outlets told us all about them. Yet there were much, much more which UA commanders found to be of unbelievable density. This is where I why I made the comment of being unprepared for Russian defence.
The opsec was criminal. Months in advance saying what they were going to do: thru the front line, to Tokmak, to Sea of Azov. The UA even made video trailers for the big show! On the other hand, we are always left speculating about what the Russians are going to do until we see it unfolding. Often missing out on identifying the shaping phase of their ops.
It seems that the only strength (hope) the UA counted on was their superior moral shocking the low moral, drunken, incompetent, under armed and supplied orc army which would flee before the onslaught. Complete fantasy.
Comparing US and Iraq... please. It was like beating up an unconscious drunk. Unfortunately, that became the validation for US doctrine to then be similarly applied to peer/near peer scenarios.
@@black_triton9264 Hello, I am most certainly not the author of the video.
I agree with most of what you said but remember that during the Gulf war the Iraqi army was the 4th largest in the world.
Specifically I was referring to the Iraqi defenses at the Saddam line which US planners thought would be a major obstacle.
Regardless of media sources saying that the success in the gulf war validated NATO ideas the Saddam line is hardly textbook in its breaching method. NATO forces routinely train to breach defenses very much like what the Russians use, minefields covering anti tank ditches with other obstacles thrown in.
Now yes the Russian defenses in southern Ukraine are formidable, mostly due to their depth but no individual feature is unassailable. The Russians are not fools enough to try and make an impenetrable defense, just one that would require repeated breaching operations that give enough time to bring up re-enforcements.
All this again rolls around to the fact that most NATO countries have no doctrinal method of breaching defenses without the prerequisite artillery or (more commonly) air advantage. And it was insane to assume that the UA was somehow capable of that.
Видео интересное. Жаль, что автор пытается натягивать желаемое за действительное - это серьезно портит все старания
Great video once again!
Guys, it’s an incredible work! Are you gonna make videos only about war in Ukraine or about other conflicts too? Maybe you could make a video about 7 October HAMAS attack on Israel? It would be interesting to see an analysis about horrors that happened in that day.
Does ukraine attack more on foot because that would explain higher equipment losses for russia or simply because russia has more equipment to use.
@mobb7837 they do, as using large columns of vehicles proved to be impossible. at the same time, the standard procedure when an enemy breaches your defensive line is to send tanks and IFVs to counterattack, which then often get destroyed. Generally speaking, the defender has numerous advantages in Ukraine, which is why large amounts of ordnance and support is needed to gain any ground.
Because the Ukrainian tanks ran out, they were given all the old tanks made in the USSR and located in Eastern Europe, they were also almost all gone. The turn of tanks from NATO countries came, but they were given few... Tanks are an expensive resource in the Ukrainian army, soldiers are a cheap resource.
The higer equimpent losses for Russia are explained buy this guy counting losses from june to december, even though the offensive ended in september. Russians in october, november and december lost a lot of vehicles around Avdivka. Why he encloded these months? My guess is to inflate Russian losses
Interesting topic as always
'training in nato countries' - amazing advetege.
I'm really curious. How did you get the exact information as to what unit was where and did what on which day? Did you talk to veterans of the battle?
I occasionally use the help of people who take part in events shown, but most of the information still comes from published battle footage. It takes a lot of work to find what unit posted it first, and then I geolocate things. This gives reasonably reliable data that can be compared and contrasted with official bits of information to come to a final conclusion for unit disposition and movement.
@@TheWarArchive Damn, sounds like a lot of work. Thanks for your efforts! By the way, given the problems listed in the video, do you think it's possible a similar counteroffensive could succeed in the future (if the US unblocks aid)?
@@Adonnus100 The only thing that I do not wish to do with respect to this war is make predictions. It's simply pointless, as even I do not possess the amount of information that is necessary to have a full picture. Moreover, to even attempt to make predictions, I think it's necessary to have a much higher level of expertise in these topics than I have. To demonstrate that, I always suggest people recall Progizhin's mutiny and how unexpected this event was from the start to the end. So, taliking only in terms of probabilities, I think that both sides, Ukraine and Russia, in certain circumstances, can still get the upper hand and conduct strategic offensives. The alternative to that, long and grueling trench warfare, is definitely more likely for the foreseeable future.
With geolocation accounts open source info accounts (osnit) on twitter and telegram you can track this war real time almost. As a military and combat vet it’s crazy to me to see how much the and how fast the outside world can see what is going on also makes it very easy to figure out what’s happening and what’s gonna happen
@@TheWarArchive That's quite sensible. Myself, I thought it might be possible if the Ukrainians can somehow figure out how to use their drones to silence the Russian artillery, which will allow them time to clear the minefields in peace.
I was hoping you'd cover this man. Thank you for your hard work ❤️
Let’s never forget everyone who lost there lives in this battle and in this war, they will be allways in our hearts ❤ and forever part of history, my faghts and prayers to there familys…
And even I stand as person who supports Russia Still I bring my faghts and prayers to all people who had died from Ukrainian side…
how is any structure, nevermind a dam, meant to withstand a nuclear strike??? that's beyond ridiculous. you're clearly biased towards ukranian side
incredible work, thank you
Lobkove was taken by 128 brigade. I am in that brigade serving wright now
Thank you for the insight! We did not mean to say that the village was liberated by only one unit, but we simply relied on video of soldiers of the 130th Battalion from there. Next time, we will be more careful with explanations to give credit to every unit. Thank you for your service!
@@TheWarArchive I know the reason of that. We have a bad press service in my brigade, so they weren’t able to come up with a good video of Lobkove liberation right in time. But in reality, 2 assault battalions with help of artillery made it done
Appreciate the details! Just in case if you are open to share the details of past battles (of course, those which can be shared with the public), we have our email in the channel description.
You seriously deserve millions of subs. I binge watched all your videos after seeing the quality of your analysis.
Very well presented video. Clear timeline and locations present.
The Ukrainian field tree and bush lines remind me of Bocage in Normandy
Pretty good job on this video, I appreciate your hard work and relative accuracy. You are of course wildly over optimistic about 2024 but that is yet to play out.
What did he say about 2024 that was "wildly over optimistic"? Maybe I just missed it/zoned out, but I didnt hear him say much about what Ukraine planned to do offensively in 2024, in fact, I think I remember him saying that not much would happen from Ukraine offensively in 2024 at all.
I dont understand why NATO training is considered an advantage. Ukrainians are more battle-hardened in the modern battlefield than any NATO country. Also NATO doctrine relies on air superiority that the Ukrainians will never have. I live in Greece where we have a top military for our size. The superior NATO training is cleaning toilets and firing maybe 2 mags of ammo in nearly a year. If thats the state of the army in Greece then imagine getting land combat training from the British 😂
False sense of western superiority.
Typical post-Cold War NATO bias: we won the Cold War (but didn't achieve it on the battlefield), so our methods must be better than those of the Soviets at all times and places😂
Ukrainians can't be more battle-hardened on a "Modern" battlefield because a modern battlefield includes real air power and combined arms warfare, which nether ukraine or russia seem to have the ability to do. Ukrainians are more battle-hardened at ww1 era trench warfare, thats not much to be proud of, thats the way we fought 100 years ago. Your thinking is really backwards.
I agree most european countires militaries suck, but don't compare that to the american military just because all greece could afford to let you shoot was 2 mags. Thats not the case here, we used to shoot until my finger was sore, and in the u.s army, infantry at least, we were forced to shoot all day long because it was more hassle to return ammo than to use it up. We are just wildly different.
Also never ever have I heard of Greece being a top military, in any regard.
I think the NATO training includes training as squads and platoons with higher emphasis put upon NCOs rather than Soviet doctrine which is a much more top-heavy command. Both have their benefits.
@@CAPTAINMIIDGETyou cannot always believe in NCO since you support(arty and aviation) wont be there for you prepared...so that NATO strategy wont work in conventional warfare with strong enemy
Cool video ngl
There was no video of direct heat of leo2 against russian mbt,you are making this video of cathastrophic operation(for ukranians) as much less painful for them and by saying something like "russian defenses are obliterated"
I mean russians did retreat on multiple cases just to lure ukraniaans in more
Sehr gut !
I honestly have no clue why aerial surveillance wasn't a prioritized threat. Almost no attack, no matter how well planned or structured, would survive on a frontline fight with complete surveillance and exact details of movement and positioning.
Can anyone answer me on this? What is up with all these high numbers like the russian 1430, are the numbers just randomly picked or does they have a meaning? Or where is the other 1429 combat units?
Это традиция нумерация сохранена с вмв когда у СССР было 70 армий, 450+ дивизий, 4000+ стрелковых полков, после войны многие части расформировали и остались лишь некоторые части так например сеть 2 и 59 армии которые имеют историю больших побед в прошлом
Pls make a video like this for the 2024 russian offensive when it ends
Sir thanks for this
The 40 minute video felt like a 20 minute one, what is this magic?
2x playback speed
This author lives in an alternate reality universe where Ukrainians won and kicked ass everywhere. Too bad that the reality was oh so different.
You're not right
Go fight for Russia, fascist.
I still can’t understand how it is possible to carry out offensive actions against an enemy who prevails in all components except motivation
10:18 Raised water level makes it impossible for Ukrainian troops to launch an amphibious assault? Ummm...what? So the flood created by the fall of Kakhovka dam flooded Russian fortifications and forced them to retreat 5 km inland to unprepared positions and raised the level of water over the planted mines and that's supposed to be something unfavorable for Ukrainian troops? How? Why?
simply because there is more water to cross to reach the other side, Ukraine doesn't have the capabilities to move heavy equipment across large bodies of water which is ultimately what can make an offensive successful or not
It widened the distance between the lines, plus the water didn't stay, it turned the ground into a marsh, no exactly crossable by boat and difficult to cross with vehicles.
Wider river with no cover to cross. Plus a stronger current that will push you and any supplies down stream. You could get a squad or two across but anything bigger is too risky.
The author simply does not know about these events. He only knows what the Western and Ukrainian media allowed him to know.
All of that manpower slaughtered for nothing, Russians regaining most of what was lost
Which tools are you using for this video?
I love this channel and Tom Petty.
Trained in western countries or in ukraine or on mars doesnt give you any advantages against more numerous and fortified opponenet that has advantage in artillery and total air superiority...
It was a cockup played out on the wrong assumptions, underestimating the factional state of battlefield and hype up from the politicians.... i bet it looked good on computer simulations ...
Zaluzhni , no mater what he said latero on - got everything he asked for and more... talk about f16s and whatnot came way after the offensive... ultimately, its his fault , not recognising the actual reality and having realistic goals. A good general wouldnt make such mistakes.
Another great video
It's a damn shame the US didn't send Ukraine ATACMS until after the counteroffensive had already lost all its momentum. Being able to desyroy all those Ka-52s and push back their air bases before the counteroffensive started would have been huge.
Test (seeing if shadow banned)
То есть Россия потеряла 500 танков, а украина 100 с копейками? А почему тогда не 10000 танков потеряла Россия? зачем мелочиться?
This is going to be a banger :o
Druzhe, your content is amazing! Keep it up!
"human wave attacks" .... bruh!
Все неплохо, но лучше расскажи каковы желуди на вкус
Good video as always, I found the map hard to read. Could hardly differentiate urban areas from the country side
The quality and quantity of your information makes this video one of the best on RUclips about war tactics and more detailed information about the War in Ukraine
Thank you for your work and uploads.
I come away from this video thinking a couple of things:
1. Ukraine just didn't have the manpower to conduct offensive operations, and couldn't create local advantages because of:
2. Lack of surprise. They could've been more creative in their attack directions.
3. Lack of concentration of force, but the density of the terrain being defended vs the quantity of the Russian troops with current sensors/precision weapons is also just a challenge.
3. The blowing of the dam on the Dniper was pretty masterful by the russians. The one diversion they did have went away. They maybe should've stopped after that.
4. Increase to sufficient numbers in the sensors and precision weapons that define this war by the Russians was very significant in coordinating artillery and air assets onto them the same way they have been doing for the year+ prior to this
We live in a world where we have powerful offensive tools, and relatively weak defensive tools. This actually a good thing for peace because it creates the least likely conditions for taking territory and dissuades war. I think its imaginable this offensive would've worked without drones+thermals, or at least significantly better. They are bassically the new machinegun, when the world of even a few years before was one of bolt actions.
So it needs to nullify the advantages of drones+thermals. Without drones calling in artillery on your head or hitting your vehicles then you can advance, without that you can't. I guess you can do this two ways: making a new offensive weapon(s) that disables drones, or making a defensive weapon/tool that prevents them from seeing or hitting you in some way.
This could be:
Offensive
1. EW:
1a. jamming drones behind enemy lines to take them out, not possible atm. Even if possible a counter is autonomous drones. jamming can hamper autonomous drones by preventing comms and therefore coordination, but not down them.
1b. hacking to down/takeover drones.
2. Kinetic,
2a. some sort of system that can spot and eliminate drones, perhaps direct energy weapons, like microwaves. counter could be microwave shielding
2b, drone swarms that overwhelm enemy drones and equipment in general, counter is jamming, even with autonomous ones
Defensive:
1. Concealment
1a large deployments of multispectral proof smoke to conceal the advance
1b thermal camoflauge with even just regular smoke
1c etc
2. Armor
2a something that can increase the armor of vehicles, like sacrificial drone swarms, though hard to imagine that defeats artillery rounds. ATGMs sure.
2b idk, im running out of steam.
Out of the options im most bullish on concealment: Thermals and drones to use thermals are the problem. Concealing infantry and vehicles with IR camo and then using ridicoulus amounts of high altitude pluming IR/multispectral smoke to conceal an advance and reduce engagement distances would work.
Ultimately though, Ukraine just doesn't have the people to take back all their land even with nullifying the drone+thermal advantage on the front. If they controlled the skies, and could comprehensively strike deep and take out artillery with fixed wing air forces that'd be one thing, or even if they got the ATACMs with the 300km range to take out the kerch bridge and really hurt the logisitics of the russians in the west that might help there but not with donbass. But with their corruption in the government and military at large eating up all that money that should be going to the front, up to and including Zelensky, plus the recruitment crisis, if they don't pull out a successful offense this year by some of these things changing, or the Russians breaking in manpower/logistics first, I see them having to settle soon. Maybe this year, maybe they fight defensive for a couple more years, idk. But I hope they settle before the russians see they're going to break, and ask for more than what they're willing to do if this is the case.
A counter-offensive without airsupport, what a brilliant idea, NGL if Ukraine lose this war its due to the west not giving them the shit they needed in time, the fact that we are 2 years in and fighter jets are still nowhere to be seen is a disgrace.
Sorry but Ukraine got a brutal thrashing here and not for much either. A couple of small villages. They stayed in the cauldron and were subjected to overwhelming artillery, atgm, glide bombs, and loitering munitions. They wasted a ton of equipment for nothing. Ukraine have to rely on their own experiences because these NATO countries are lost.
Are you going to make a video about Adivka or Bakmut capture
Melhor youtuber simulação de guerra até agora
I mean from piece of subjective art your summary is the side effects on making your feelings viewed but not much more
Ukraine counteroffensive failed before it even started
Firstly, I though that is good video, but then came to conclusion, that this video is strong western propaganda.
Me too. Wanted something unbiased but instead got downplaying and coping
@niksonrex88 language they used clearly shows supported side, but OK authors still can try be objective even with this language. But.... The first sentence was, "It is extremely hard to count forces, losses etc." OK, I agree with that. Next sentence is, "Russian has lost hunderds of tanks, thousands of armored vehicles, 50 thousands of soldiers." WTF? What is the source miniestery of defense of former ukraine from Alicante?
@@MrSanja1985 both sides can lie to their casualties and numbers to be honest. It's better if the unbias channels saying their sources better not tell about casualties because both sides will likely lie or downplay their casualties.
And who cares about your brainwashed opinion? You're just mad nobody sane in the west listens to your ludicrous russian propaganda.
@@MrSanja1985the source for equipment losses for both sides is often oryx. They count visually confirmed MBT, IFV, AFV etc. losses. Obviously the real losses for both sides will be higher as there isn't a picture of every destroyed MBT but it's still the best estimate possible.
Do you think you could use NATO standard unit echelon markers in future maps? That way it's easier to tell at a glance if something is a Battalion, Regiment, Brigade, or Division.
This channel is the Operations Room but for current events.
Good video like always
“Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
how would you have achieved that?
Strategically it was clear where the Ukrainians would attack, operationally the Russians were set up to quickly reinforce threatened areas and tactically their excellent coverage via reconnaissance drones (quadcopters with a smartphone camera) made any surprise attack impossible
I think the -spring- summer counteroffensive was something that was spawned into existence by the media after Western tanks were announced for Ukraine. I think Ukraine just had to ride the media hype and not dispel anything because western public support is their lifeline. I dont ever remember Ukraine first announcing anything.
Is it 7am yet? ⌛