I am indian girl. On the last point you made about women rights issue, i don't think it is constitutional rights women lacking but societal issues. Till 1947 india was constantly occupied and invaded by external forces like mogul's, aurangzeb, timur, Mongols,ghazni, bin qasim, east india company etc ... Who are not fan of women rights, by the time india got independence in 1947 india was at the bottom of the bottom only 6% of population can read and write (educated and rich left india) in comparison china in 1949 it's 15 to 25%, lot of famine average life expectancy is less than 28 years, largely divided into princely states. Fact Japanese recovered so fast after the WW2 its population is educated got exposure to western industrialization. After recovering from basic issue india was isolated from rest of the world (as india surrounded by countries like pakistan Afghanistan iran Arab etc...) it remained in old ages population was not modernized. Now women are educated equally as male they participate in skilled workforce as large population getting exposure though internet and changing there mindset towards women. indian economy is growing rapidly. But it will take time for social stature of women to reach western standards.
West is still figuring out who is a woman, so I am not sure emulating west like a monkey is the way forward for India. Educated Indian women in big cities like Bengaluru, Mumbai, enjoy same rights as Indian men. Its the economically backward sections of the society and religiously zealot section which is holding the overall society back. Money/wealth solves a lot of problem. Don't assume all the women in west have this dignified stature that the women of entire world covet. Western society can be ruthlessly cold when dealing with women, who aren't attractive or who are single and past their prime. There is a reason why onlyfans is one of the biggest side hustle for women in west. While Indian guys salivate over women posting there, most of them will have a mental breakdown if they knew their own sister or cousin or mother has an onlyfans account. Not everyone in the world has to live like white people.
@giriyy the difference is the women in the cities have more privileges than man. But women in village have less privileges than man. The growth is not equal
As an Israeli, I am crossing my fingers for India to become the most prominent and giant country in the world.🇮🇱❤🇮🇳 So much to learn from my Indian brothers and sisters.🇮🇱❤🇮🇳 Jai hind and Jai baharat! Am Israel Hai
Hopefully not while it has a Hindu nationalist government. Religious nationalism can easily morph into fascism. And the BJP has a history of violent radicalism.
India is a self consumed value driven market. Unlike other markets Indian lifestyle is simple and they dont blindly follow the trend. How many modern brands came also Indians prefer to eat biriyani chapati paneer tikka. West always calculate per capita income based on dollar and the major criticism for India is they earn only 2 usd per day, but the fact is whith 2 usd you can eat 4 meal in India. And I felt like the country ia blessed with abundance of food water and culture.
"India is a self consumed value driven market. Unlike other markets Indian lifestyle is simple and they dont blindly follow the trend. How many modern brands came also Indians prefer to eat biriyani chapati paneer tikka. West always calculate per capita income based on dollar and the major criticism for India is they earn only 2 usd per day, but the fact is whith 2 usd you can eat 4 meal in India. And I felt like the country ia blessed with abundance of food water and culture." You're right. Also, India has the most arable land in the world and, not only that, but a lot of our soil is fertile for the entire year and this means that we Indians can grow our own food for the entire year. India's self-sufficiency in food is the main reason why India has had one of the largest populations in the world for most of recorded human history.
Indians now obsessed with western culture we are blindly following western culture and we trust western countries products that's why plz research then comment
@@debasismohanty1952 That has definitely been true because the media and entertainment hitherto has been mocking Indian traditions and upholding western values for decades. So much so that english speaking was considered a status symbol rather than just a communication mode. But a shift is happening, slowly but surely towards the Indian ethos. You can now see more acceptance of speaking in own mother tongue and accent, more acceptance of our civilizational culture, food habits, yoga, internal tourism and Indian knowledge systems. This shift is happening bottom up and from the grassroots. So probably the indications in the big cities may be more visible closer to the end of this decade. The ancient civilization is awakening. And I see it benefitting the whole world. Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam 🙏
Hello to my cricketing brothers and sisters in India! Indeed, Peter missed one of the most valuable diplomatic aspects of Australia and India's cooperation - cricket! See you guys on the pitch, and best of luck to you all in general! 🇮🇳🇦🇺
As a Indian I want to say India will be a Better India, China is China and India is India. we are different bruh. As a human we all would need combined efforts to take this mankind civilization forward and beat oncoming challeneges . In our culture even animals and trees are worshipped. we can't just survive alone with technology only. we need all what this beautiful planet has given us.😇
I think India will become very industrialized and prosperous nation in the years to come. They have a large young population, food self-sufficient, lots of natural resources, a vibrant and united society, and ports that have grate access to global shipping routes.
I completely agree with you. Also, India has the most arable land in the world and, not only that, but a lot of our soil is fertile for the entire year and this means that we Indians can grow our own food for the entire year. India's self-sufficiency in food is the main reason why India has had one of the largest populations in the world for most of recorded human history.
India has abundant sunlight throughout the year. As the world makes a switch from depleting and polluting fossil fuel to green energy , India holds an edge. It is set to become one of the biggest solar energy resource for the world..
One of the best aspect of our economic growth imo is that a significant chunk of it is focused on supplying the internal demand rather than exports, sure keeps the economy a little isolated but much more resilient in times of external demand crunch.
I think you’re underselling how much economic growth your missing out on by remaining isolated. Just compare the pre WW years with the post WWs. Considering Indias potential they should be able to enforce some sort of free trade circle in the Indian Ocean aswell as increased trade with the EU.
@@Ea-pb2tu indian ocean and their neighbors are irrelevant ... they need rich markets and bigger profits margins ... they need EU and US if they really want to become a global player which they dont...
Not true. Read/see videos of rathin roy explaining how India does not produce for is bottom 90%. even the basic cheap shirts and pants for 80% of the population are imported.
That's the worst part. You missed the globalization bus - despite being surrounded by oceans on 3 sides - could have traded with the entire world. You missed the Industrialization bus, multiple times. Even now companies movies out of China are not coming to India despite cheap labor. Majority of our population is still extremely poor - because of this, while other countries took their populations out of poverty. This is good?
@@mrgyani India has 3 sides? But get your drift, however perhaps an internal demand component is good in the coming years, although as people above posted, perhaps there isn't really much of that...
As an indian i completely appreciate this guys in depth knowledge! We accept that we missed our opportunity of growth boom due to lack of leadership and illiterate percentage in the past! But India today has grown in every aspect we have great leader in govt! people are well educated! People understand the value of governance and people do update themselves day to day on geopolitical situations! The growth of india is unstoppable but the growth speed depends on how well we handle situations in geo politics!
Besides what you said, the other factor that India cannot be the next China is that China already makes the US struggle to deal with, that means with the lessons learned from containing China the US will never allow another country to challenge it's dominance over the world.
Namaste 🙏. India won't threaten west militarily but, rrise of true bharat culture will overwelme the world. Slowly, the giant is awakening. China was domnitated for 2000 years by this culture without sending any soldier. But, it was for good not for selfish extraction from China; the Bharatvarsha philosophy of life is so profound that it's irresistible once one familiarizes with it. That's one of the reasons why Western narrative tries to demonize India and its culture to prevent it from coming to light. The church and elite discovered that their rule was threatened when the western scientists and philosophers of late 19th and early 20th centuries showed their deep admiration for Ancient Indian thought.
I am Indian . Let us stop with these comparison and start working to make a competitive economy and integrate ourselves in global supply chain. Stop with these comparisons let us actually do something rather than hope and think and theorise all the time.
Yeah stop believing in some Utopian world. It has never happened in the past and will never happen in the future. Ignoring your enemies isn’t going to change the fact that they want you gone. Truth is harsh.
Glad to see Peter revisit the topic of India. I saw a presentation he made to the India Economic Conclave back in 2021 and wondered when he'd revisit the topics he discussed back then.
Thanks so much, Peter, for your continuous contributions in the short form. As a former college professor, I am impressed with your abilities and knowledge of our amazing world. Stay well and enjoy your day 😊
amazing peter? do you know why china had the one child policy? purely stupid or dictatorship do whatever they want? Mao encouraged chinese to have more children because he believes the more manpower the better (population droped after decades of wars). Deng found out that the more people the more resources they need such as food, shelter. Deng inherited the manpower from Mao's policy but there were no jobs for them, which caused social instability in 70s. Today china has about 10 M college graduates every year need jobs and good jobs. If not china has the 2nd largest economy today how can chinese government absorb such a huge workforce? if peter's demographic theory would work, then the africa, arabian world, and India would have been most promising countries in the world. In reality, these countries have highest youth unemployment rate, which caused the arab springs and other social problems.
Patriotism is just VAIN ego.............the world need good HUMBLE down to earth people, which Indians usually are, but are getting overpumped up these days due to the rightwing govt
Right wing or left wing mske no sense in India . we are a cuvilizational nation and work according to our values . Right wing govt suits Infia as they are not corrupt , tgey are efficient , smart and intelligent and practical in work
Youth is working hard, really! Employment is rising day by day, phd scholars applying for sweeper jobs and even many of educated youth have up hope of employment.
I wonder if anyone has an answer for my question, which was prompted by Peter’s opening remarks about America’s trade relationship with China? If America has such trading power over China, then WHY are they allowing all those countless IBM Microprocessors to go to China, only to be sold, en masse, to Russia, who continues to manufacture guided missiles with them and is bombing the hell out of our allies!? I’m speaking primarily about Ukraine, obviously, but there are other allies, or those who simply resist Russian hegemony in places like Syria, or in countries all over Africa. China is Russia’s main source of microprocessors, and American IBM’s are China’s main source of top level microchips. Why are we (NATO, et al) not sanctioning these funnel companies, or threatening to withhold all microchips? Russia would be totally reliant on Iranian drones if it wasn’t for the fact that they keep restocking on microchips! And it would only take a little disruption to the Iranian life line, for say a month or so, for Ukraine to experience relief from constant terror attacks and to gain a significant advantage on their Eastern Front IF Russia had no access to American made microprocessors from China! Is it just the MONEY?
I completely agree with everything that you have said in this video, Peter Zaihan. Also, India has the most arable land in the world and, not only that, but a lot of our soil is fertile for the entire year and this means that we Indians can grow our own food for the entire year. India's self-sufficiency in food is the main reason why India has had one of the largest populations in the world for most of recorded human history.
Your point is partially correct only on food part, but even so it's still just a potential because you totally ignored the reality that all those farming land in India is privately owned. When your land is privately owned it means that not everyone can enjoy the benefit of the land. Moreover, you ignored that fact that feeding stomach is just one part of everyday life for a country and you also need importing oil, natural gas and all other industrial stuff to keep your country moving. However, India lacks most all of these stuff. Therefore, India is 'handicapped' in terms of self sufficiency.
@@talkthetalk3798 let's think in a neutral way...rather riding on anti india agenda... India still have energy problem but we are the largest renewable energy producers as well as we just found fifth largest lithium deposits . We are already on track to achieve self sufficiency about energy we are investing in hydrogen , electricity vehicles so don't worry anyhow over future is bright . And about population we are the culture which promotes to work till you capable of stnd on your feet..
THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳
@@罪有英德-o2s Is China's situation worse then, because it cannot be better with the systemic problems it has, are you sure you are fully aware of problems facing them, not from the West, but the big ones of their own making!?!
Correct me if I am wrong and no intention of offending, insulting Currently Brazil has going through political issues. It all started during covid pandemic year 2020. Moreover Brazil also has drug cartel problems and one of the problem economy is suffering due in-consumption of goods within the country. So their is less incoming of money from foreign trade, the same money keeps circulating within the country and less addition from outside, right? I hope Brazil overcome their problem, it's a big country and it needs rise for more voices in global stage. Good luck Brazil 🇧🇷 💙
@@kamaldaud2782 Brazil is just another failed democracy like the other democracies in the South America, Central America, Caribbean, Africa, India, Eastern Europe, and now USA.
Peter, interesting perspective as someone looking at things from the outside, i think that India has been somewhat trying to figure things out as an independent nation and out from under the British system. Further, i think that the current prime minster has been rather good for India, coming from what he has now that is a western perspective on my own, even though i am and consider myself a geopolitical individual, however India is not my area. However, i think that India will forge its own way, they shouldn't become the next China, western nations should not look to India for what China was, that was created out of what Peter has stated, India is emerging on the world stage slower and it think very much cautious to find what works for them. I think they also need to modernize their cass system, to many domestic issues in terms of just overall society changes and demographics, while i think that India has and suffers from an infrastructure issue that connects the entire country to different regions and more... I suspected that India will be fine, they will emerge as what makes sense for India!
Good Points. On Caste issue it is media which blows things. Real issues are much smaller and in pockets. On Infra yes you are right, however in last 5 years, India has invested USD 500 billion on various mega projects like DFC, DMIC, Delhi Mumbai Infra, Solar Parks etc. Most of these will go live in 2025. In addition India is investing further 500 -750 billion in next 5 years. By 2030 we will have a very good Infrastructure available. 🙏🙏🙏
@@roshanthapa8487 Also, India is rebuilding its Capital and getting rid of there old colonial era look and layout.... It should be interesting, i look forward to see what India becomes on its own terms and its own path that makes sense for India.
I liked a lot of comments from Indian brothers saying they don't need comparison with other country, Indian can develop as it's own pace, I hope US had the same mentality to grow by yourself instead of beating anyone else who strives to grow
Most people in India want to move to live in a better country, so please don't pretend you're their spokesman, you aren't their spokesman. They hate their corrupted government, they would had overthrown it if not because of the guns and violence used by the corrupted government on them.
Indian nominal gdp 2000 - 468 billion $ ( 14th position ) 2010 - 1.67 trillion $ ( 10th position ) 2021 - 3.19 trillion $ ( 6 position ) 2030 - 9 trillion $ ( 3rd position) 2040 - 20 trillion $ ( 3rd position) 2050 - 32 trillion $ (2nd position) India is at 3rd position in gdp (ppp) with 13 trillion $ followed by china and us (30 trillion $ and 24 trillion $) Edit - i am close to 1k likes 😣🥺
Actually, India did surpass UK and became 5th largest economy in 2019 but COVID came and it became a race, sometimes India was ahead, sometimes UK but in 2022, India finally left UK too far behind.
@@Kumar-fg1cj Definitely not a dream, this has no relation with Politics. Growth depends on Supply, demand and Innovation...Every prospect is on the right way, hope we'll see India transforming by our own eyes.
I don’t hear it stated enough, China is massively deploying renewables and electric vehicles. That isn’t really about environment. It’s far more importantly about energy security. Every bit of additional renewable power they have reduce their external dependence and gives them more wriggle room in the case of peer conflict. The longer that process goes on for the better positioned they will be.
Hey Stephen Bernard That's well said. In a way, the world has to thank 'Russia' coz of the war many governments are on a fast track for producing renewable energy for good!
China enjoyed almost 40 years of uninterrupted, continuous progress through industrialization and exports led growth in an era where globalisation and free trade rule supreme. China recorded an annual average growth rate of 9.9% from 1980 all the way to 2015. With a record high of 14.7% growth rate in 2014 alone! Only now is India trying to copy Chinese success model, at a time of trade protectionism and worse, AI assisted automation in manufacturing. Which would wipe out 90% of all manufacturing jobs by 2035. India missed the train 🚂 and it's the last train 🚉
@@tonyding8465 Tbh, they may be better off not existing as one country before they're ready for unification. The Indian government is crippled by divisions along local cultural lines. They would be able to get a lot more done without this. 30 years ago, the average Indian is richer than the average Chinese. Today, 200 Indian children die daily from preventable illness via the fecal oral route. I'll be blunt, it's not that the people aren't smart or hardworking enough, it's the dysfunctional, impacted colon of a government that is unable to build even basic sanitation and transportation infrastructure to modern standards.
India could get so much more done if they could somehow get their insane bureaucracy out of the way. I've heard the horror stories, including from some of my Indian coworkers. Anybody who thinks there's too much bureaucracy in the US should try living over there for a while and then see how they feel about it.
Prashant Parasher What does that mean? India is notoriously hard to do business in over the years. Maybe the system is better now, but it's the reason Intel didn't build a fab there in 2003, with a host of other companies wanting to do business. Right now, India needs to put the infrastructure in place, or they will miss out on their population dividend and be stuck in developing country hell hole. Developing your people, getting rid the caste system. Protecting your women should be a minimum start for great growth.
@@waltershearls i think India is hell lot improved now , you should come and visit india and make your own judge ment , or if you don't want to spend money , you just explore India on RUclips
I agree with most of this and Balaji Srinivasan pointed out “China plays a great home-game while India plays the best away-game”. Always Bullish on Indians and less bullish on the Indian establishment since it brings a giant bureaucracy and corruption. Long on Indian talent, going by the tech and fortune-500 company CEOs we have.
It's just brain drain. Indian talent that leave India to benefit western companies may help boost Indian pride, but in reality only harm India or Indians. The best Chinese CEOs stay in China and build up the Chinese economy. The best Indian CEOs go to America and compete against Indian companies on behalf of American ones. They're doing a good job too.
@@蛙蛙叫-z7h Yes. But all of these companies are in China right? Domestic? Chinese companies incorporated IN China will obviously have Chinese CEOs. By “away game” I mean Indians rising to leadership positions in USA or UK or elsewhere
@@georgedang449 Yep. That’s the fault of the Indian establishment for not providing a stable base. Deng Xiaoping reformed China so that the best talent RETURNED home and built the country rather than settling in USA or UK. Truth is, if you’re an ambitious Indian then you’ll have it much easier in The West. (Same with Elon Musk and South Africa. THREE of PayPal executives are South African immigrants to The USA - David Sacks, Roelof Botha and Elon Musk).
He hit the nail on the head when he said India never joined the Globalisation (a bubble imho) and though it hurt our economy in the short term, it has made Indian economy immune to global crises. India is growing on internal demand, and the diaspora ensures enough dollars flow in to keep the balance of trade positive. The “brain drain” could actually be the best kind of export India has. The future looks good, I hope all Indians can believe in that and not spend their time talking about Pakistan, China and Islam (though they are worthy of some of our time).
This sounds very interesting but.. Having spent some time in both giant countries, they are so far apart. China in so far ahead in everything. So I would rather have the economy halt at a peak than at the bottom without even have started. India is at a constant gridlock by its own culture. Rich stay rich - poor stay poor. really poor. China is constantly changing and adapting to new circumstances. I would put my bet on China, even if I only met good people in India.
Please do a video about how Iran fits into China's and Russia's economic and military strategy, and how the future of Iran, especially in terms of economy and potential revolution, is going to turn out.
There is no revolution in Iran in near future. People in Iran have no power to replace the regime. Only military options might do it like what happened to Saddam Hossein in Iraq. آره قربونش 😁
It's too complicated. A revolution could break out tomorrow or in 20 years. It's a powder keg that's impossible to predict when will ignite. It will definitely ignite though.
As an Indian living in the US for more than 16 years now I see another point that helps India. Based upon my interactions with my American friends, I get the feeling that America (as a nation, not necessarily individuals) does not see India as a future adversary, but as a prospective *competing* partner. We see that US and India disagree on many occasions on the world stage, just like any two other countries will, but there is a fundamental alignment of the US-India relationship that is bipartisan in nature in both countries. And it is infinitely diverse than India's relationship with countries like Russia. This is why we always hear comments coming out of Washington like, "India is a strategic partner"; "US-India relationship is the defining relationship of the 21st century"; "India is part of the solution", etc, etc,. To cut a long story short... It always helps when a superpower favors your rise.
I wouldn’t count on that. The US was close to China until relatively recently… so much so that we exported half our industrial base to China. We’re only turning on them now, because they have become so powerful that they threaten our status as the sole superpower (not because we “lost interest” as Zeihan suggests). The US will do to same to India… build you up, then threaten war when you become too powerful. India CAN avoid this, as long as they give US investors free reign, follow US political leadership, and not try to match US military supremacy. The Chinese have too much pride to accept these terms. I’m not sure about India.
Peter is indirectly rejecting some advanced technology access to India and all Indians in the comment section are clapping for him and completely agreeing with him 😂 Its easy to find jokers in India 😂😂
@@sandyflowers9201 Actually it's easier to replace outsourcing the services, you don't need to move all of your machinery and infrastructure. Also, India suffers from huge brain-drain. Almost every competent specialist leaves to EU or US given an opportunity.
@@piotrjasielski How long can West afford to absorb this brain drain though ? Even if only 10% of India ends up migrating, that's 140 million people. Indians have a very strong cultural link with their motherland and they can't be fully Westernized as they do not follow an abrahamic faith. So this link with the motherland will stay alive through generations. Indians take India with them, wherever they go. So, how would this look in 100 years ? Mass brain drain is not going to be exactly a win for West and a total loss for India.
@@heatengine9283 It can be absorbed indefinitely, as long as there is a need for qualified workers. India has on average very low education level and I can tell you from my corporate experience almost all of educated and qualified workers migrate if they have an opportunity. They may not integrate well, but their children go to local schools and do. They don't go back so any kind of link doesn't have much relevance.
Hi, I am an India. Thank you for the awesome video! I would like to point out the only reason India began favoring the Soviet Union / Russia in the first place is because when getting attacked by China Pakistan in 1971, Europe and USA sent their weapons and fleets AGAINST India to support Pakistan, while it was Russia who came to our rescue. Back then, and every single time whenever the west interfered in our relations and supported pak/China, it was Russia who came to our aid. Even when Pakistan tried to dupe the UN to occupy the Kashmir, the west Europe nato etc always supported Pakistan. Everytime it was Russia who supported us. Weird how those people suddenly want India to condemn the one nation that always supported us in thick and thin while the rest sat on sidelines and boosted our enemies.
India has potential to do really well but its infra is still utter ****. The biggest progress made over the 10 years I lasted visited was mobile phone phone ownership, and toilets. Id hope it's no just going to become a cheap labour pool as it has much more to offer.
Infrastructure development is potentially the easiest thing to do in a country for economic growth. Don't forget that India has reached 3.5 TN USD in GDP this year, which is the same as what China had in 2007. That, too, with an infrastructure that China had in 1990. India can achieve 3-4% GDP growth just by investing in infrastructure in the next 3-4 decades. Moreover, India has a robust services economy, which is hard to develop and is growing rapidly without any government support. Fundamentals of Indian economy are strong.
Africa is way too complicated, too complex... Even you can't just talk about a country in africa, you need to understand every tribes with it different value language and culture within one country and it's colonialization in the past and how it shaped africa today... It just too complicated
Where ever an African capitol is located in the country, the historical tribe in that location are the rulers of the country. Africa is very tribal, that’s all you need to know.
Losers who don't pay their bills or properly organize, ever. Only seem to form complex cooperation's to be corrupt. Are so bad at receiving free money that they uniquely are now blaming aid money for keeping them poor. Would rather starve than keep a schedule long enough to grow food. Are constantly increasing their population by orders of magnitude then demanding that other people look after them. Insist they have a human right o live in white countries.
@@rwar4815 Just like China's massive labour surplus provided US corporations with massive profits. It's not something to be proud of, that the best you could think of doing, with your best resources, was pimping them out to someone else, so that they could extract benefit. What happens when that thin layer evaporates?
@@rwar4815 yeah but it does not help india when those smart people from india are moving abroad for better opportunities. Brain drain is real, unfortunately.
Good points Sir, just wanted to add India's growth has been organic and democratic. That is , investing in people, investing in education, in technology and infrastructure. All this by elected officials and Not some central committee or closed group/club. It has been slow, because of corruption (reduced to a greater effect) and different political parties driving their way of advancing. This journey is definitely not done yet, a long way to go,but no where in the goal is to be "Super Power" or "Destroy other" or "take over " . . it's prosper together. India has bailed out many countries that IMF did not help, given wheat/ medicine where others wanted something else in return like military base or mkt open only for them. Besides India is open market
I wouldn't say India is a truly "open market" but it is improving and its practises are less Draconian than China's, who are getting "even more" Draconian!?!
A total 10,655 MSMEs ( micro, small, medium enterprises) shutdown in 2022- 23 *20,000 MSME industries shut down in India in three years. * 3552 foreign companies, subsidiaries closed in India between 2017 and 2022. *In last three years over 2 lakhs companies in India have gone out of buisness, Indian government informed in Parliament. *Between 2014 and November 2022 , up 2783 foreign companies left India, Commerce and Industry minister Piyush Goyal told parliament late last year. These include Metro AG, Holcim, ford, Royal Bank of Scotland, Citibank, Harley Davidson, among other😢😢😢😢
Geopolitics = Prashant Dhawan sir These guyz don't even know,how much Dhawan sir has knowledge about geopolitics, i m very glad we r taught by these kind of teachers. Also I didn't forget contribution of STUDY IQ ankit sir is dope
It's good to compare, but a word of advice to my fellow Indians. Let's not take pleasure in pitting us against anyone. We'd wasted lot of years comparing India with Pakistan from which we've barely snapped out of. Let's not make the same mistake by constantly comparing India with China. Let's do us. Let's do what we do best. Let's weed out the wrongs in our society and become a country that's culturally, spiritually and economically rich.
Right, bro. To add to that, let us expose and eradicate the pernicious i-virus mental disease from Bharat. That will free a lot of imprisoned people for productive work, without any fear of us being stone-pelted.
@@reach2prasanna if you are asking about it, bro, you obviously are not afflicted with it. This is a pernicious virus which affects the brain cells. It was produced and released over 1400 years ago in the deserts of arabia. The only cure of an afflicted person is first to carry out his total mental disintegration. Without doing that it is just not possible to get any facts, evidence, sense or logic into him about the world around him. Constant brainwashing since childhood makes him immune to reason. He becomes a zombie.
@@kelanzhi7269 But that shouldn't mean we pile on making mistakes even when we know doing something is a mistake. You can chose to ignore it, but I won't.
There are many Indias within India. Each piece is different and unique. India will grow slowly but decisively. It has huge domestic demand. There is lot to be done in India for education, health, sanitation and infrastructure. India is India and China is china. Both countries cannot be compared with single lense.
Right there thousands of miles away. Russia's resource extraction is mostly in the western quarter of Russia 8000 miles from Chinese population centers. Either Siberia would need developed (expensive and time consuming) or those resources would need piped longer than any other pipeline in existence or they need to be shipped (what's happening now) the very long route around Europe, Africa, and southeast Asia up to China. #Not as close as they appear.
@@tylerschmidt2394 Yea because Australia is very close to India lol, bet you only focus on the point of Persian Gulf when he mentions Australia FIRST. 🙃🙃🙃 The copium level must be insane to 'ignore' a western ally and jump to an arab one .
Awesome info Peter, could you describe how the large African countries' demographics will evolve and if these countries could influence world economics in the future. 1 in 3 people living on planet Earth in 2100 will be African, this should be important to discuss.
Global media is speculating whether current challenges in the business sector will trip India’s ambitions to be a global economic force. I’ve lived long enough to see us face earthquakes, droughts, recessions, wars, terror attacks. All I will say is: Never, ever bet against India ----- Anand Mahindra------ Prominent Indian Industrialist
India also needs special economic zones,these need to be near ports for ready export and import,this also depends on connectivity and infrastructure.India already has a core sector of businesses.They will grow phenomenally as infrastructure is created.
@@georgedang449 not possible in a comment. but great infra and easy to start business compared to other states in india. so say you want to start a company its extremely easy. you will have cheap co working space. little to no govt paper work. wanna setup a factory? well you will get electricity connection within one day. credit ecosystem also building up eith many vc firms. so thats the way it is in bangalore chennai mumbai and gurgaon
West has been ignoring the political situation in India to pamper India into a counterbalance to China. But unfortunately, India is gradually turning into another China as far as the politics is concerned. The difference between what's happening in India and what happened in China is that a lot of people in India are happy to part away with their rights, freedom, rule of law and democracy whereas this wasn't the case during the onset of the communist China. The government enjoys a degree of control over the press, which is perhaps only a bit less, than the control that the Russian government enjoys over its press.
India has to sort of lots of issues like judicial reforms, educational reforms, and even Indian companies and consumers has to have nationalistic mindset in terms of buying raw materials from India rather than buying from China or south korea just to gain 2% profit since bcoz of this our Rupee value is declining.
1:45 Note: There is more than just one country in this world, and the United States is not the only one. I think China would be happy to see India（Even including the Middle East, East Asia, Africa, South Asia, and South America.） develop and become a trading partner. And after that, as a truoble maker, the United States will be no longer needed by the world .
Nice Analysis! I felt one major item that you missed in comparison is the knowledge or Tech power of India. Though China does exceptionally well on manufacturing and logistics, India is doing extremely well on technology and Pharma. These strengths will help India to compete with Europe and US on technology.
@@DhruvPatel-zg1zs he is wrong . He said China do exceptionally well in manufacturing and logistics but he try to show china is bad in IT but in reality chinese are not , chinese are among the top in IT and fun fact they are native to China and expand from china to world and just simple AI can put that IT in big shaking position. So he have to say IT not technology is different, and people always try to push this narrative that chinese population is declining but most of the world population is and have being declining like America, Europe, Russia , China , Japan and this all nation always can’t depend on outside so called IT sector and this all nation like China America are fighting for who will make best AI if they break through this lol . It’s gonna be game changer and what pharma all buying from china . I think I have notice in india is that they buy everything from china and put tag of made in india to fool citizens and advertise this narrative that china copy other lol
i’ve listened to your presentation at least a half dozen times now-as you presented it in Louisiana, the Midwest, Canada, the US Military- and I love it. There is just one exaggeration you make that I take issue with. You said at one point that the Han Ethnicity was going to disappear from the Earth. That’s hyperbole. They may contract to one quarter their current population over two or three generations, but after that contraction, they still have a population about equal to that of the USA. So it seems that it would be less fun but more responsible to just talk about their contraction and the effect that will have in economics and politics and not say they are gone from the Earth.
This race has existed on Earth for four thousand years. The basis for this discussion is that the United States can still serve as the engine of the global economy. But many Chinese netizens commented on the United States that a small horse takes a big cart. With a population of 300 million driving an economy of 8 billion people, the power of the United States will be a little weak. The middle class in the United States, which is the main force of consumption, has actually paid a lot for this. Americans and countries that have not received dividends will be dissatisfied. I think this evaluation is relatively fair. After the multi-polar world becomes the mainstream, the world trade pattern will undergo great changes.
I do not see "INNOVATION" in India ... check number of Nobel winners in India .. number of Indian patents ... until those change.. India will still be followers.. INDIAN TALENT SHOULD FIND OPPERTUNITY TO DELIVER STAYING IN INDIA .. THE EDUCATION SYSTEM NEEDS COMPLETE CHANGE ... THOUGHT LEADERSHIP IS THE ACTUAL LEADERSHIP ..
India need police, labor, judiciary reforms big time before they can think about being any kind of power house. Being a democracy is working against them in this case. Farmer’s law was first attempt at those reforms. And look what happened with protests and all. Moreover, govt folded because they didn’t want to lose next election. Small enterprises move to Singapore when they become medium enterprise. Labor laws impose so many restrictions when a company increases in size. That’s the big reason Indian textile industry lost to Bangladesh. In india, labor laws basically discourage an enterprise to grow. As soon as they relax the laws, there will protests in the street. While india is not next China, in a good way …. but that doesn’t mean India will be some sort of next power house.
@@anuragchakraborty8766 I am not even Indian citizen. So I don’t even care about what govt is in power. Since my parents are Indian origin and I travel to India once every few years, I keep track of news coming out of that region. And you just demonstrated to everyone why india stays under developed. Indian people are the reason (not it’s geography) for its lack of development. In your two comments, you failed to make any rational point, while being delusional that you come across as some intellectual. And I have actually seen this a lot in Indians. Just use big words with no substance, always brave online and turn into beta males in person, etc etc. you seem to personify that. Even non Indians commenting on this video are actually giving decent insights which is a pleasure to read. You, on the other hand, lack ability to make an intellectual point. So have fun fuming around RUclips comment section. I have better things to do.
Even though I don't accept all of his points, by and large he is right. India can never become a mid income nation like China. Before we become 5-6 Trillion economy we will become old.
As an Indian living in America, I have many Friends who have moved back to India. There is a huge boom in the Tech and Manufacturing sector in India right now. A lot of them are making more Money in India than they made in US, hence why they moved back. Not just that, but there are less and less Indians immigrating to the US, UK, Canada, or Australia each year. Well, I only hope The West and India remain allies, since we know that China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Pakistan, are all anti-West and completely anti-American.
Just a few months ago, my RUclips feed was filled with videos, "China will collapse in 13 days", Russia will collapse in 29 days", China will collapse in 13 days", and many others. Turkey, Pakistan etc. My problem is the hubris and moral certainty that all these damn videos. Zeihan said with great fanfare said the Ukraine invasion would be a few days. I'm at an age where all these videos speak with such certainty, and rarely pan out. I've learned that the world is fluid and dynamic and world events change. People adapt. So, I take all these videos with a tremendous grain of salt.
Peoples who keep posting up comparing India Versus China are ignorant or stupid as they never accept the fact of China 5X in GDP and 5 X their people earning differnces. Please accept the reality and do not make fool of all indians and India. Latest report from IMF on China contribution to the world economy.According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO) report in October, global economic output is forecast to expand by 3% this year, to which China is expected to contribute 0.9 percentage point, Barnett said. He made the remarks at a launch of the publication in Beijing last Friday. The event was organised by the IMF Resident Representative Office in China and the International Monetary Institute at the Renmin University of China. By comparison, the United States is forecast to contribute 0.3 percentage point while India’s contribution might be 0.5 percentage point, Barnett told China Daily on the sidelines of the event. On 2024, China is forecast to contribute 0.8 percentage point of the 2.9% global growth, just under one-third and still higher than 0.2 percentage point of the United States and 0.5 percentage point of India, he said. The WEO, published lastTuesday, has lowered the 2023 economic growth forecast for China to 5% from 5.2%, citing the pressures brought by the weakness in the real estate sector India cannot even build enough toilet as a human basic right for his people as the link provide here {what a shame} #opendefecation.Muslims make up 15% of India’s population, but India’s largest minority is facing rising violence. With lynchings happening just two hours away from Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s residence, a police shooting on a train targeting Muslim residents and Muslim students being attacked in school, many Indian Muslims are wondering if they are safe in their homeland. India hosted multiple world leaders for the G20 in 2023. But there is a stark difference between the India projected to the outside world and the reality on the ground. Government leaders like Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath have been calling for India to be a Hindu nation. The rise of Hindu nationalism and anti-Muslim sentiment is now mainstream, especially in the movies coming out of Bollywood - India's Hindi-language movie industry.
Just happy to see an American talking good about India, i hope all of them realize that we always wanted to make world a better place & not treat us like a 3rd world country. The world is network centric and hence are the people | We all must join hands and be Humble🤝😇||
What are saying? Majority of Americans talk good about India. Now some have some criticism because of the war in Ukraine, overall most want India to be prosperous rather than China
Bro just wanna thank you for introducing me to Peter zeihan in 2016 have been following him since then and have learnt and grown a lot . Not possible without your upload and blessings of algorithm. 🙏🏼🙏🏽
A couple of things, Australia and India were both parts of the British Empire so they have that in common, plus there are strong sporting ties between both countries. As a former member of the Empire English is spoken by a large number of people and as current members of the Commonwealth India maintains ties to other Commonwealth nations, which is a political association of 56 member states
Eh. Other than the commonwealth nations playing in a game, what does the commonwealth do? It is more of a social club than a political one. No trade deals or strategic military alliance has come out of it. It is in fact largely just the UK posturing that it is still a global power.
China is never interested in comparing with other They just want to see what they themself become better Its like I am a Chinese never care if the guy is driving a Lamborghini down the street, who care and not interested, just cares about go about ahead achieve what you want to achieve You gotta know yourself it is really stupid thinking big deal seeing that Lamborghini
I think it would be interesting for you to do a deep dive on the factors leading to depopulation in the U.S. besides just industrialization. There's been studies showing that it is not just couples deciding against having kids, but that dating and even forming partnerships is rapidly becoming problematic. The depopulation cliff appears dire for several reasons, and I would be interested in hearing your perspective on some of these additional factors.
I am 44 I am born and raised in the USA. No children. I don’t want to raise children anywhere I can afford to live in the USA. And go 10,000 in debt when a child chips a tooth. Medical care, education, housing all have skyrocketed in prices to offset the decline in prices of stuff that benefits from globalization.
I don't know how far past birth control tech, liberalized abortion laws and consumer driven expansion of women into labor markets one has to go to explain declining birth rates in developed economies.
@@matthewmcclary7855 I’m neither mgtow or ncell. I leave the country for a few months I have no trouble renting a nice apartment and getting a beautiful woman to live with me. I stay in the USA I’m stuck with choice between fat woman or crack heads/ meth addicts
from my casual observation of the indians I work with, India also has much better maternity benefits and many young employees avail themselves of them.
India has problems with Pakistan and China. It will take decades for India to be economically like China. The answer for economic growth and for the US future lies is in Latin America (nearshoring) and let China decline without a war. But if the choose to invade Taiwan at a low cost of 500 million Chinese lives like Peter says then let it BE. If the coastal industrial cities of China are destroyed there will be no need of sanctions. No industries in China means no commerce and desintegration of the country. But just as the Nordstreams ducts were destroyed somebody will destroy TSMC. Therefore there is no more Taiwan. We can bring millions of taiwanese to the US and Latin America to have semiconductors only for US and our allies. After all it is our American genius that invented this revolution. As an American this is the right thing to do.
Zeihan bases his analysis on genuine analytic variables such as government policy, strategic environment and demographics. A lot of other commentators do not seem to realize that metrics such as infrastructure and subsidies are the consequences of economic growth, not initiators. Kudos to Zeihan.
India is a barbaric country, which does not hide its ambitions and is a war maniac. The Indian people have a very poor history and do not know how many wars their country has launched in South Asia. Pakistan needless to say, in addition to these wars, India also openly sent troops to occupy Sikkim in 1973 and turned it into its own controlling country; In 1987, he sent troops to Sri Lanka to combat the LTTE; In 1988, it sent troops to Maldives to quell the coup in Maldives and intervene in the internal affairs of neighboring countries; In 2000, India and Bangladesh exchanged fire at the border. It is no exaggeration to say that since independence, India has never been interrupted by war and has exchanged fire with all its neighboring countries. It is an absolute belligerent country.
Nothing that was predicted from the 80s became true. Japan didn't become the next superpower and America still doesn't have a base on the moon. The world was suppose to end in the year 2000 because the computer wouldn't be able to handle writing out the digitals "2000" 🤣🤣🤣
Hey Peter, it's my first time watching your video... Loved it and got a new perspective... I had some of these ideas, but you definitely added some more awesome points to my knowledge pool! Thanks again and subscribed obviously 🙌🏼
@@namanydv_garud bhai, simply ask yourself: why and just how islam was conjured up? Hint: a petty trader sitting alone in a secluded cave (how convenient, no witnesses!) claimed to have received revelations, fooled all those around him to appoint him their nabi, put together a murderous band of brigands, for loot, plunder, pillage, subjugation,rape, conversion, slave-taking,... He and his subsequent followers obviously found this a very profitable venture. They codified it and grew and spread the franchisee business all around the world. We, naive as ever, welcomed the marauders, many colluded with them for petty gain, many embraced their politico-criminal organisation, ... all for petty self-interest, but eventual ruin.
As an Indian, I can tell you one thing. China built its economy through different sectors and industries, while India grew its economy through service sectors, pharmaceuticals, Health care, and Medical tourism. Most importantly India is a democratic nation and China is not. So, asking questions like "Is India going to be the next China" is bogus.
What about Tibet, particularly in terms of water supply/rivers? My knowledege about it is pretty rudimentary but I do know that controling Tibet was a concern for India as India gets it's water from rivers that China has damned up and doing who knows what to it. Do you think their could be conflict in that area between India and China in the future? Also, would love to hear a Tibet-focused talk by Peter in regards to it's geographic and strategic significance one of these days.
India and China could square off, for real, some day. India would be able to cut off Chinese imports of Middle Eastern oil, which would devastate China's economy, likely resulting in major famine in China. China's major rivers originate in Tibet, too. Which is what has driven China's conquest of Tibet. Here's a link to a video of Peter's address to the Indian Economic Conclave. ruclips.net/video/QD5GqMainjY/видео.html
The average altitude of Tibet is 4,000 meters. There are no factories and it is not suitable for human habitation. Where does the pollution come from? ? ?
@@careylymanjones Tibet was incorporated into China because the source of the river is in Tibet? ? ? I really have never heard of it, because 1300 years ago, people in the Tang Dynasty did not know where the source of the river was. And why do cruise ships pass through the Indian Ocean? ? China and Pakistan have oil pipelines, if I remember correctly Pakistan is to the west of India and Bangladesh is to the east
I have no doubt that India will be a far more powerful country than China in the future. Indian people are very smart. They take education seriously. They know how to manage and work with people. They will over-take China as the biggest power in the world.
1 The IQ of Indians is lower than the world average and far lower than that of Chinese 2 Indian universities rank very low in the world and are not competitive 3 India’s contributions and achievements in preface science and technology are almost negligible 4 India has almost negligible patents in high-tech 5 India lags far behind China in the International Mathematics, International Physics, International Chemistry Olympiads 6 Among the world's top scientists who are still alive, there are very few Indians 7 Do you have any data to support your claims that "Indians are very smart" and "Indians take education seriously"?
Although Indians speak better English and have better relations with the West, although Chinese workers earn five times the wages of Indians, Western countries invest more in China and cooperate with China in more areas. Do you know how many foreign companies went bankrupt in India and left India? This is how Indians know "how to manage" and "work with people" If Indians one day learn to be down-to-earth and truly recognize themselves, there may be some changes!
Zeihan seems to believe every other country's success is depending on the US. That would hold about 20 years ago but it is no longer the case. The United States can't kill any nation even it chooses to. It could not kill Vietnam during the Vietnam War. The economic future we saw during the US-China trade war is China branching out to other nations like ASEAN countries which replaced as the largest economic block as its trading partners. When you talk about Chinese agriculture, China is 97% food sufficient, it actually grows more food than India, China is the largest producer of rice, wheat, maze,. Most of Zeihan's prediction are more fluff rather than based on facts.
India has the Himalayas between them and China. Geography matters. For that matter, if China annoys India too much, in the aftermath of the Globalist system, India is well-positioned to cut off China's Middle Eastern and African oil imports. China doesn't begin to have the blue water ships to tangle with India in the Indian Ocean.
The problems of the new era will be different than the problems of the old era. Starvation and political instability are going to cause some nasty migration problems around the world.
@@PrashantParasher-kv5dc India is a net importer of agricultural inputs and is reliant on USA secured global shipping to survive. USA withdrawal from naval protection and local neighborhood problems put India at risk.
The character of China and India are different. I know of business men who will not participate in India’s economy because of graft and corruption. You can experience graft and corruption in China but the overall outcome is mostly win/win, in India it is win/lose.
You need a life time to understand India . Her complexities, her simplicity, her grandeur, her ethics, her way of functioning, her knowledge, her values, her morality, her spiritual and philosophical attitude and her thousands of years of existence.
India wasn't so 'soviet' as neutral. They didn't want to piss off either side, so it just sat with its hands on its lap. Yes, it does appear that India is picking Putins side, but they receive a massive discount on hydrocarbons as a result. I would probably do the same if I ran India. But their realization that they have shit for military equipment should frighten them.
I am indian girl. On the last point you made about women rights issue, i don't think it is constitutional rights women lacking but societal issues. Till 1947 india was constantly occupied and invaded by external forces like mogul's, aurangzeb, timur, Mongols,ghazni, bin qasim, east india company etc ... Who are not fan of women rights, by the time india got independence in 1947 india was at the bottom of the bottom only 6% of population can read and write (educated and rich left india) in comparison china in 1949 it's 15 to 25%, lot of famine average life expectancy is less than 28 years, largely divided into princely states. Fact Japanese recovered so fast after the WW2 its population is educated got exposure to western industrialization. After recovering from basic issue india was isolated from rest of the world (as india surrounded by countries like pakistan Afghanistan iran Arab etc...) it remained in old ages population was not modernized. Now women are educated equally as male they participate in skilled workforce as large population getting exposure though internet and changing there mindset towards women. indian economy is growing rapidly. But it will take time for social stature of women to reach western standards.
That's a very interesting point of view, thanks for your insight
In south India it is very different. My mom is more educated was earning.
@@karthikeyanm.v8381 not yet modernised.
West is still figuring out who is a woman, so I am not sure emulating west like a monkey is the way forward for India. Educated Indian women in big cities like Bengaluru, Mumbai, enjoy same rights as Indian men. Its the economically backward sections of the society and religiously zealot section which is holding the overall society back. Money/wealth solves a lot of problem.
Don't assume all the women in west have this dignified stature that the women of entire world covet. Western society can be ruthlessly cold when dealing with women, who aren't attractive or who are single and past their prime. There is a reason why onlyfans is one of the biggest side hustle for women in west. While Indian guys salivate over women posting there, most of them will have a mental breakdown if they knew their own sister or cousin or mother has an onlyfans account. Not everyone in the world has to live like white people.
@giriyy the difference is the women in the cities have more privileges than man. But women in village have less privileges than man. The growth is not equal
As an Israeli, I am crossing my fingers for India to become the most prominent and giant country in the world.🇮🇱❤🇮🇳
So much to learn from my Indian brothers and sisters.🇮🇱❤🇮🇳
Jai hind and Jai baharat! Am Israel Hai
Hopefully y'all Shrink
Thanks mate. Stay safe. Shalom.
Condidering how much ur racists have raped our countries
Hopefully not while it has a Hindu nationalist government. Religious nationalism can easily morph into fascism. And the BJP has a history of violent radicalism.
As an Indian I'm appalled by what israel has become... A country of kid killing land thieves
India is a self consumed value driven market. Unlike other markets Indian lifestyle is simple and they dont blindly follow the trend. How many modern brands came also Indians prefer to eat biriyani chapati paneer tikka. West always calculate per capita income based on dollar and the major criticism for India is they earn only 2 usd per day, but the fact is whith 2 usd you can eat 4 meal in India. And I felt like the country ia blessed with abundance of food water and culture.
Nope . India us a corrupt market
@Aryan Choudhury Government canteen system is not sustainable. .
"India is a self consumed value driven market. Unlike other markets Indian lifestyle is simple and they dont blindly follow the trend. How many modern brands came also Indians prefer to eat biriyani chapati paneer tikka. West always calculate per capita income based on dollar and the major criticism for India is they earn only 2 usd per day, but the fact is whith 2 usd you can eat 4 meal in India. And I felt like the country ia blessed with abundance of food water and culture."
You're right. Also, India has the most arable land in the world and, not only that, but a lot of our soil is fertile for the entire year and this means that we Indians can grow our own food for the entire year. India's self-sufficiency in food is the main reason why India has had one of the largest populations in the world for most of recorded human history.
Indians now obsessed with western culture we are blindly following western culture and we trust western countries products that's why plz research then comment
@@debasismohanty1952 That has definitely been true because the media and entertainment hitherto has been mocking Indian traditions and upholding western values for decades. So much so that english speaking was considered a status symbol rather than just a communication mode. But a shift is happening, slowly but surely towards the Indian ethos. You can now see more acceptance of speaking in own mother tongue and accent, more acceptance of our civilizational culture, food habits, yoga, internal tourism and Indian knowledge systems. This shift is happening bottom up and from the grassroots. So probably the indications in the big cities may be more visible closer to the end of this decade.
The ancient civilization is awakening. And I see it benefitting the whole world. Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam 🙏
Hello to my cricketing brothers and sisters in India! Indeed, Peter missed one of the most valuable diplomatic aspects of Australia and India's cooperation - cricket! See you guys on the pitch, and best of luck to you all in general! 🇮🇳🇦🇺
Love that rivalry. See you at IPL 😂
I love India Australia match more than one with beggistan team
🇮🇳❤🇦🇺
hahaha 😂
Best of luck to you all too!!
As a Indian I want to say India will be a Better India, China is China and India is India. we are different bruh. As a human we all would need combined efforts to take this mankind civilization forward and beat oncoming challeneges . In our culture even animals and trees are worshipped. we can't just survive alone with technology only. we need all what this beautiful planet has given us.😇
Well said
This is the main philosophy in india.
But sometimes western disturbs by their own pro perspective.
Game, rightly said but who will make these American idiot comprehend this philosophy? 😂😂
@@kabbokotha7914 Right. 😎
Human rights is good in china 😂 this guy want to increase his social credit score
Video is scam
I think India will become very industrialized and prosperous nation in the years to come. They have a large young population, food self-sufficient, lots of natural resources, a vibrant and united society, and ports that have grate access to global shipping routes.
I completely agree with you. Also, India has the most arable land in the world and, not only that, but a lot of our soil is fertile for the entire year and this means that we Indians can grow our own food for the entire year. India's self-sufficiency in food is the main reason why India has had one of the largest populations in the world for most of recorded human history.
India has abundant sunlight throughout the year. As the world makes a switch from depleting and polluting fossil fuel to green energy , India holds an edge. It is set to become one of the biggest solar energy resource for the world..
India is like a giant elephant it moves slowly but when it moves it creates an impact on its surrounding (world)
And yet they never say that India will be way better than America with those talking points. China is still more developed than India.
Nope, because USA won't want another 1.4 billion competitors especially it's when West wants manufacturing jobs back.
One of the best aspect of our economic growth imo is that a significant chunk of it is focused on supplying the internal demand rather than exports, sure keeps the economy a little isolated but much more resilient in times of external demand crunch.
I think you’re underselling how much economic growth your missing out on by remaining isolated. Just compare the pre WW years with the post WWs.
Considering Indias potential they should be able to enforce some sort of free trade circle in the Indian Ocean aswell as increased trade with the EU.
@@Ea-pb2tu indian ocean and their neighbors are irrelevant ... they need rich markets and bigger profits margins ... they need EU and US if they really want to become a global player which they dont...
Not true. Read/see videos of rathin roy explaining how India does not produce for is bottom 90%. even the basic cheap shirts and pants for 80% of the population are imported.
That's the worst part. You missed the globalization bus - despite being surrounded by oceans on 3 sides - could have traded with the entire world.
You missed the Industrialization bus, multiple times. Even now companies movies out of China are not coming to India despite cheap labor.
Majority of our population is still extremely poor - because of this, while other countries took their populations out of poverty.
This is good?
@@mrgyani India has 3 sides?
But get your drift, however perhaps an internal demand component is good in the coming years, although as people above posted, perhaps there isn't really much of that...
As an indian i completely appreciate this guys in depth knowledge! We accept that we missed our opportunity of growth boom due to lack of leadership and illiterate percentage in the past! But India today has grown in every aspect we have great leader in govt! people are well educated! People understand the value of governance and people do update themselves day to day on geopolitical situations! The growth of india is unstoppable but the growth speed depends on how well we handle situations in geo politics!
Modi bhakt??
@@Stoiccynic224 Porki from pakistan?
@@Stoiccynic224Pappu Bhakt??
@@Stoiccynic224 Chapri congressi??
@@Stoiccynic224Pappu for you. Enjoy
Besides what you said, the other factor that India cannot be the next China is that China already makes the US struggle to deal with, that means with the lessons learned from containing China the US will never allow another country to challenge it's dominance over the world.
Namaste 🙏. India won't threaten west militarily but, rrise of true bharat culture will overwelme the world. Slowly, the giant is awakening. China was domnitated for 2000 years by this culture without sending any soldier. But, it was for good not for selfish extraction from China; the Bharatvarsha philosophy of life is so profound that it's irresistible once one familiarizes with it. That's one of the reasons why Western narrative tries to demonize India and its culture to prevent it from coming to light.
The church and elite discovered that their rule was threatened when the western scientists and philosophers of late 19th and early 20th centuries showed their deep admiration for Ancient Indian thought.
india doesn't need usa bruh
Agree. USA will not allow another rise of super power to challenge it. India will be suppressed down before it becomes super power.
Don’t worry Chinese can handle it , American is not stronger anymore 😂
I am Chinese and I have also thought about your issue. But even with carbon tariffs, Europe and North America cannot stop the rise of Asia
India will be the next upgraded version of itself i.e. Bharat. No need for comparison with any country. We live in and we grow up with morals.
Lessss fuckinnnn gooooooo
Unless when Muslims and other minorities are concerned, right?
Let’s build more toilets first
@@Dongdong-xg3rm nah we got enough in 2023. Maybe stop testing viruses from bats tho
@@Dongdong-xg3rmwell toilet is something we were not worried to build then inventing pue and zero and much more sub humans can dream of
I am Indian . Let us stop with these comparison and start working to make a competitive economy and integrate ourselves in global supply chain.
Stop with these comparisons let us actually do something rather than hope and think and theorise all the time.
Cuz western wanna dragon and elephant fight each other, but they don’t have sense to understand two countries both love peace without any war 😂
@@澳洲觀點 CCP is a an empire of evil; even worse than Natzi Germany was
Yeah stop believing in some Utopian world. It has never happened in the past and will never happen in the future.
Ignoring your enemies isn’t going to change the fact that they want you gone.
Truth is harsh.
@@澳洲觀點pure ignorance!
Peter, you are a real credible expert! Just like Gordon Chang.
I hope that was sarcasm. Gordon Chang has been perpetually wrong about almost everything in the last 25 years
@@n.c9653 so has zeihan.
呵呵，他对中国一无所知。
@@n.c9653it was sarcastic. And this video and his analysis on China is a complete joke. Now that’s not sarcastic.
Glad to see Peter revisit the topic of India. I saw a presentation he made to the India Economic Conclave back in 2021 and wondered when he'd revisit the topics he discussed back then.
@Russo Zelinsky So you will decide who wants how many babies. 😁
Thanks so much, Peter, for your continuous contributions in the short form. As a former college professor, I am impressed with your abilities and knowledge of our amazing world. Stay well and enjoy your day 😊
Thanks DD I appreciate you
amazing peter? do you know why china had the one child policy? purely stupid or dictatorship do whatever they want? Mao encouraged chinese to have more children because he believes the more manpower the better (population droped after decades of wars). Deng found out that the more people the more resources they need such as food, shelter. Deng inherited the manpower from Mao's policy but there were no jobs for them, which caused social instability in 70s. Today china has about 10 M college graduates every year need jobs and good jobs. If not china has the 2nd largest economy today how can chinese government absorb such a huge workforce? if peter's demographic theory would work, then the africa, arabian world, and India would have been most promising countries in the world. In reality, these countries have highest youth unemployment rate, which caused the arab springs and other social problems.
@@liveinsea1 You are absolutely right mate. Demography gives dividend when there are jobs. Otherwise, its a nightmare.
While hes so pathetic he doesnt have the balls to talk about the slaves his created
He is spot on at least half of the time.
That's a good enough score.
In india patriotism is at peak that every youth in our country is working hard to make india great again like it was in history.
Patriotism is just VAIN ego.............the world need good HUMBLE down to earth people, which Indians usually are, but are getting overpumped up these days due to the rightwing govt
Right wing or left wing mske no sense in India .
we are a cuvilizational nation and work according to our values .
Right wing govt suits Infia as they are not corrupt , tgey are efficient , smart and intelligent and practical in work
@@KingKong-lb3vh lol india is developing only due to right-wing govt
Congress left-wing destroyed india
In India jingoism is at peak
Youth is working hard, really! Employment is rising day by day, phd scholars applying for sweeper jobs and even many of educated youth have up hope of employment.
This always happens to me, I am sitting waiting to tee off and some guy is standing in the middle of the fairway, doing his youtube video.
He's on the practice range. Did he want to go over this a few times before recording on the first tee?
Peter is at the driving range area of the golf course. Look behind him.
Jesus! The guy is making a joke … sheesh!
One of my top five favorite things about Peter is that he manages to throw "by an order of magnitude" into every episode.
We should create a bingo card for his videos
I wonder if anyone has an answer for my question, which was prompted by Peter’s opening remarks about America’s trade relationship with China? If America has such trading power over China, then WHY are they allowing all those countless IBM Microprocessors to go to China, only to be sold, en masse, to Russia, who continues to manufacture guided missiles with them and is bombing the hell out of our allies!?
I’m speaking primarily about Ukraine, obviously, but there are other allies, or those who simply resist Russian hegemony in places like Syria, or in countries all over Africa.
China is Russia’s main source of microprocessors, and American IBM’s are China’s main source of top level microchips. Why are we (NATO, et al) not sanctioning these funnel companies, or threatening to withhold all microchips? Russia would be totally reliant on Iranian drones if it wasn’t for the fact that they keep restocking on microchips! And it would only take a little disruption to the Iranian life line, for say a month or so, for Ukraine to experience relief from constant terror attacks and to gain a significant advantage on their Eastern Front IF Russia had no access to American made microprocessors from China!
Is it just the MONEY?
I completely agree with everything that you have said in this video, Peter Zaihan. Also, India has the most arable land in the world and, not only that, but a lot of our soil is fertile for the entire year and this means that we Indians can grow our own food for the entire year. India's self-sufficiency in food is the main reason why India has had one of the largest populations in the world for most of recorded human history.
India obviously isn't self-sufficient when it's so poor.
Such a great point. Never thought of it like that. Thanks for sharing.
Your point is partially correct only on food part, but even so it's still just a potential because you totally ignored the reality that all those farming land in India is privately owned. When your land is privately owned it means that not everyone can enjoy the benefit of the land. Moreover, you ignored that fact that feeding stomach is just one part of everyday life for a country and you also need importing oil, natural gas and all other industrial stuff to keep your country moving. However, India lacks most all of these stuff. Therefore, India is 'handicapped' in terms of self sufficiency.
@@talkthetalk3798 let's think in a neutral way...rather riding on anti india agenda...
India still have energy problem but we are the largest renewable energy producers as well as we just found fifth largest lithium deposits . We are already on track to achieve self sufficiency about energy we are investing in hydrogen , electricity vehicles so don't worry anyhow over future is bright . And about population we are the culture which promotes to work till you capable of stnd on your feet..
@@Prashsalo9 but all the beautiful things are still in your wet dreams. when and how to achieve that goal?
YES FINALLY SOME SENSIBLE WESTERN PERSON WHO TRULY UNDERSTANDS THE DIFFERENCE IN INDIAN AND CHINESE ECONOMIES AND THEIR GROWTH PROJECTIONS
I don’t think he understands Chinese economy or global economic relations.
他对中国的了解不及现实的1%，😂
THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳
@@罪有英德-o2s 每次看到这种经济专家我都很高兴，原来国外的经济专家都是这样的，但是全篇对于美国夹带私货美化，对于中国就诋毁，原来还是狗改不了吃屎，印度希望有一个美好的未来吧，反正印度就一亿多是人，13亿的劳动能让一亿多人过的很好了
@@罪有英德-o2s Is China's situation worse then, because it cannot be better with the systemic problems it has, are you sure you are fully aware of problems facing them, not from the West, but the big ones of their own making!?!
I lived in Brazil many years and saw Brazil go down and down for years. I would love to know what Zeihan has to say about it.
A real pity Brazil does not perform in BRICS as expected.
Indeed it's quite a shock. We want Brazil and India to grow to new heights. Love from India to Brazil. ❤️❤️
@@roshanthapa8487 Yes We want Brazil, India and China to grow together
Correct me if I am wrong and no intention of offending, insulting
Currently Brazil has going through political issues. It all started during covid pandemic year 2020. Moreover Brazil also has drug cartel problems and one of the problem economy is suffering due in-consumption of goods within the country. So their is less incoming of money from foreign trade, the same money keeps circulating within the country and less addition from outside, right?
I hope Brazil overcome their problem, it's a big country and it needs rise for more voices in global stage.
Good luck Brazil 🇧🇷 💙
@@kamaldaud2782
Brazil is just another failed democracy like the other democracies in the South America, Central America, Caribbean, Africa, India, Eastern Europe, and now USA.
Peter, interesting perspective as someone looking at things from the outside, i think that India has been somewhat trying to figure things out as an independent nation and out from under the British system. Further, i think that the current prime minster has been rather good for India, coming from what he has now that is a western perspective on my own, even though i am and consider myself a geopolitical individual, however India is not my area. However, i think that India will forge its own way, they shouldn't become the next China, western nations should not look to India for what China was, that was created out of what Peter has stated, India is emerging on the world stage slower and it think very much cautious to find what works for them. I think they also need to modernize their cass system, to many domestic issues in terms of just overall society changes and demographics, while i think that India has and suffers from an infrastructure issue that connects the entire country to different regions and more... I suspected that India will be fine, they will emerge as what makes sense for India!
Out from under the british system? What do you mean?
Good Points. On Caste issue it is media which blows things. Real issues are much smaller and in pockets. On Infra yes you are right, however in last 5 years, India has invested USD 500 billion on various mega projects like DFC, DMIC, Delhi Mumbai Infra, Solar Parks etc. Most of these will go live in 2025. In addition India is investing further 500 -750 billion in next 5 years.
By 2030 we will have a very good Infrastructure available. 🙏🙏🙏
@@roshanthapa8487 Also, India is rebuilding its Capital and getting rid of there old colonial era look and layout.... It should be interesting, i look forward to see what India becomes on its own terms and its own path that makes sense for India.
yes our caste system should be modernized which is eating lot of people oppertunities.
Still playing the post-British victim card! It's been nearly a century since Independence... this continued bleating is getting old, lit. & fig.
I liked a lot of comments from Indian brothers saying they don't need comparison with other country, Indian can develop as it's own pace, I hope US had the same mentality to grow by yourself instead of beating anyone else who strives to grow
Most people in India want to move to live in a better country, so please don't pretend you're their spokesman, you aren't their spokesman. They hate their corrupted government, they would had overthrown it if not because of the guns and violence used by the corrupted government on them.
@@Anonymous------ I only said I liked their comments, how did that make me their spokesman?
USA is sitting on top of the hill and it doesn't want to come down.
Indian nominal gdp
2000 - 468 billion $ ( 14th position )
2010 - 1.67 trillion $ ( 10th position )
2021 - 3.19 trillion $ ( 6 position )
2030 - 9 trillion $ ( 3rd position)
2040 - 20 trillion $ ( 3rd position)
2050 - 32 trillion $ (2nd position)
India is at 3rd position in gdp (ppp) with 13 trillion $ followed by china and us (30 trillion $ and 24 trillion $)
Edit - i am close to 1k likes 😣🥺
🤣🤣🤣🤣 this a dream which politician likes to sell in every election 🤣🤣🤣
@@Kumar-fg1cj IMF is not a political party ☺️
Actually, India did surpass UK and became 5th largest economy in 2019 but COVID came and it became a race, sometimes India was ahead, sometimes UK but in 2022, India finally left UK too far behind.
@@anixes True, but GDP per head of population is horribly low for India still. India is 25x the UK population
@@Kumar-fg1cj Definitely not a dream, this has no relation with Politics.
Growth depends on Supply, demand and Innovation...Every prospect is on the right way, hope we'll see India transforming by our own eyes.
I don’t hear it stated enough, China is massively deploying renewables and electric vehicles. That isn’t really about environment. It’s far more importantly about energy security. Every bit of additional renewable power they have reduce their external dependence and gives them more wriggle room in the case of peer conflict. The longer that process goes on for the better positioned they will be.
Hey Stephen Bernard That's well said. In a way, the world has to thank 'Russia' coz of the war many governments are on a fast track for producing renewable energy for good!
125 billion barrels of crude oil found in andmans
well said
China enjoyed almost 40 years of uninterrupted, continuous progress through industrialization and exports led growth in an era where globalisation and free trade rule supreme. China recorded an annual average growth rate of 9.9% from 1980 all the way to 2015. With a record high of 14.7% growth rate in 2014 alone! Only now is India trying to copy Chinese success model, at a time of trade protectionism and worse, AI assisted automation in manufacturing. Which would wipe out 90% of all manufacturing jobs by 2035.
India missed the train 🚂 and it's the last train 🚉
India was here more than 10000 years , and will be here in the future also . India is changing towards her prosperous future.
0ur Inddian god invented internet 20,000 years ago
as a country. India exists less than 100 years.
@@tonyding8465 Tbh, they may be better off not existing as one country before they're ready for unification. The Indian government is crippled by divisions along local cultural lines. They would be able to get a lot more done without this. 30 years ago, the average Indian is richer than the average Chinese. Today, 200 Indian children die daily from preventable illness via the fecal oral route. I'll be blunt, it's not that the people aren't smart or hardworking enough, it's the dysfunctional, impacted colon of a government that is unable to build even basic sanitation and transportation infrastructure to modern standards.
India never took over that land until UK arrived and combined these tribes 🤭
@@tonyding8465ever heard 9f Indic asian civilization 😂😂😂😂 we were centralised by thought before British 😅😅😅
Feeding the RUclips algorithm. Informative video. Thanks.
India could get so much more done if they could somehow get their insane bureaucracy out of the way. I've heard the horror stories, including from some of my Indian coworkers. Anybody who thinks there's too much bureaucracy in the US should try living over there for a while and then see how they feel about it.
Being hard left near communist makes Indian government a shit show
India bureaucracy is getting laid off via sales faster then usa layoffs
"Indian bureaucracy bad" is a hot take that is aging faster than China's population.
Prashant Parasher What does that mean? India is notoriously hard to do business in over the years. Maybe the system is better now, but it's the reason Intel didn't build a fab there in 2003, with a host of other companies wanting to do business.
Right now, India needs to put the infrastructure in place, or they will miss out on their population dividend and be stuck in developing country hell hole.
Developing your people, getting rid the caste system. Protecting your women should be a minimum start for great growth.
@@waltershearls i think India is hell lot improved now , you should come and visit india and make your own judge ment , or if you don't want to spend money , you just explore India on RUclips
I agree with most of this and Balaji Srinivasan pointed out “China plays a great home-game while India plays the best away-game”.
Always Bullish on Indians and less bullish on the Indian establishment since it brings a giant bureaucracy and corruption.
Long on Indian talent, going by the tech and fortune-500 company CEOs we have.
@apocain Do you have a list? Or do these companies operate only in China and not global?
It's just brain drain. Indian talent that leave India to benefit western companies may help boost Indian pride, but in reality only harm India or Indians. The best Chinese CEOs stay in China and build up the Chinese economy. The best Indian CEOs go to America and compete against Indian companies on behalf of American ones. They're doing a good job too.
@@sumanthmurthy1642 What he means is that 140 Chinese companies have entered the world's top 500 companies, and of course all of them are Chinese CEOs
@@蛙蛙叫-z7h Yes.
But all of these companies are in China right? Domestic?
Chinese companies incorporated IN China will obviously have Chinese CEOs.
By “away game” I mean Indians rising to leadership positions in USA or UK or elsewhere
@@georgedang449 Yep.
That’s the fault of the Indian establishment for not providing a stable base.
Deng Xiaoping reformed China so that the best talent RETURNED home and built the country rather than settling in USA or UK.
Truth is, if you’re an ambitious Indian then you’ll have it much easier in The West.
(Same with Elon Musk and South Africa. THREE of PayPal executives are South African immigrants to The USA - David Sacks, Roelof Botha and Elon Musk).
He hit the nail on the head when he said India never joined the Globalisation (a bubble imho) and though it hurt our economy in the short term, it has made Indian economy immune to global crises. India is growing on internal demand, and the diaspora ensures enough dollars flow in to keep the balance of trade positive. The “brain drain” could actually be the best kind of export India has. The future looks good, I hope all Indians can believe in that and not spend their time talking about Pakistan, China and Islam (though they are worthy of some of our time).
This sounds very interesting but.. Having spent some time in both giant countries, they are so far apart. China in so far ahead in everything. So I would rather have the economy halt at a peak than at the bottom without even have started. India is at a constant gridlock by its own culture. Rich stay rich - poor stay poor. really poor. China is constantly changing and adapting to new circumstances. I would put my bet on China, even if I only met good people in India.
India has nothing to offer . Its the country hitler loved
Their national hero is bff if hitler
Be prepared to lose then.
thats because you are not much of a visionary, you are only talking about the present condition while peter talks about the future.
Please do a video about how Iran fits into China's and Russia's economic and military strategy, and how the future of Iran, especially in terms of economy and potential revolution, is going to turn out.
If Russia gets any weaker, China may take that oil from them.
There is no revolution in Iran in near future. People in Iran have no power to replace the regime. Only military options might do it like what happened to Saddam Hossein in Iraq. آره قربونش 😁
@@dokhtaroneh iran will collapse economically very soon
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ruclips.net/video/wcqwOLAtfrI/видео.html
It's too complicated. A revolution could break out tomorrow or in 20 years. It's a powder keg that's impossible to predict when will ignite. It will definitely ignite though.
As an Indian living in the US for more than 16 years now I see another point that helps India. Based upon my interactions with my American friends, I get the feeling that America (as a nation, not necessarily individuals) does not see India as a future adversary, but as a prospective *competing* partner. We see that US and India disagree on many occasions on the world stage, just like any two other countries will, but there is a fundamental alignment of the US-India relationship that is bipartisan in nature in both countries. And it is infinitely diverse than India's relationship with countries like Russia. This is why we always hear comments coming out of Washington like, "India is a strategic partner"; "US-India relationship is the defining relationship of the 21st century"; "India is part of the solution", etc, etc,. To cut a long story short... It always helps when a superpower favors your rise.
I wouldn’t count on that. The US was close to China until relatively recently… so much so that we exported half our industrial base to China. We’re only turning on them now, because they have become so powerful that they threaten our status as the sole superpower (not because we “lost interest” as Zeihan suggests). The US will do to same to India… build you up, then threaten war when you become too powerful. India CAN avoid this, as long as they give US investors free reign, follow US political leadership, and not try to match US military supremacy. The Chinese have too much pride to accept these terms. I’m not sure about India.
Peter is indirectly rejecting some advanced technology access to India and all Indians in the comment section are clapping for him and completely agreeing with him 😂 Its easy to find jokers in India 😂😂
@@scamexpose123for example ?
@@fidenahmed2905 Mature semiconductors that India is seeking to develop the end to end industrial infra.
Exactly
The main difference - China's economy is based on manufacturing, India's on services.
It is easy to replace China because is manufacturing
@@sandyflowers9201sure, just like trade war is easy to win
@@sandyflowers9201 Actually it's easier to replace outsourcing the services, you don't need to move all of your machinery and infrastructure.
Also, India suffers from huge brain-drain. Almost every competent specialist leaves to EU or US given an opportunity.
@@piotrjasielski How long can West afford to absorb this brain drain though ? Even if only 10% of India ends up migrating, that's 140 million people. Indians have a very strong cultural link with their motherland and they can't be fully Westernized as they do not follow an abrahamic faith. So this link with the motherland will stay alive through generations. Indians take India with them, wherever they go. So, how would this look in 100 years ?
Mass brain drain is not going to be exactly a win for West and a total loss for India.
@@heatengine9283 It can be absorbed indefinitely, as long as there is a need for qualified workers.
India has on average very low education level and I can tell you from my corporate experience almost all of educated and qualified workers migrate if they have an opportunity. They may not integrate well, but their children go to local schools and do. They don't go back so any kind of link doesn't have much relevance.
Talks about India in Ojai, CA. The very location Krishnamurti chose to spend a great deal of his life. Very keen, Peter!
Hi, I am an India. Thank you for the awesome video!
I would like to point out the only reason India began favoring the Soviet Union / Russia in the first place is because when getting attacked by China Pakistan in 1971, Europe and USA sent their weapons and fleets AGAINST India to support Pakistan, while it was Russia who came to our rescue. Back then, and every single time whenever the west interfered in our relations and supported pak/China, it was Russia who came to our aid. Even when Pakistan tried to dupe the UN to occupy the Kashmir, the west Europe nato etc always supported Pakistan. Everytime it was Russia who supported us.
Weird how those people suddenly want India to condemn the one nation that always supported us in thick and thin while the rest sat on sidelines and boosted our enemies.
India has potential to do really well but its infra is still utter ****.
The biggest progress made over the 10 years I lasted visited was mobile phone phone ownership, and toilets.
Id hope it's no just going to become a cheap labour pool as it has much more to offer.
work is being done under new govt. budget for infra this year is about 8-9 times more compared to 2013-14
@@jamesatlas5204 Get back to us when they've got functioning and clean public restrooms.
Infrastructure development is potentially the easiest thing to do in a country for economic growth. Don't forget that India has reached 3.5 TN USD in GDP this year, which is the same as what China had in 2007. That, too, with an infrastructure that China had in 1990. India can achieve 3-4% GDP growth just by investing in infrastructure in the next 3-4 decades. Moreover, India has a robust services economy, which is hard to develop and is growing rapidly without any government support.
Fundamentals of Indian economy are strong.
No it doesnt
Indians have a neo nazi mindset
They dont work amd corruption in india is extremely high
Even Japan gave up .
@@AjayTiwari-en9nz india cant even stop eating cow 💩💩
I would be very curious to hear Peter's take on Africa, a subject on which he's been pretty silent so far.
Africa is way too complicated, too complex...
Even you can't just talk about a country in africa, you need to understand every tribes with it different value language and culture within one country and it's colonialization in the past and how it shaped africa today...
It just too complicated
Where ever an African capitol is located in the country, the historical tribe in that location are the rulers of the country. Africa is very tribal, that’s all you need to know.
He talks about it quite a lot in his book, it's not a great outlay right now because so much of the agriculture requires massive inputs.
Losers who don't pay their bills or properly organize, ever. Only seem to form complex cooperation's to be corrupt. Are so bad at receiving free money that they uniquely are now blaming aid money for keeping them poor. Would rather starve than keep a schedule long enough to grow food. Are constantly increasing their population by orders of magnitude then demanding that other people look after them. Insist they have a human right o live in white countries.
His silence is a statement.
I love india.
Its biggest asset is smart n hardworking people.
That's a VERY THIN LAYER of its population. And the quality drops, fast.
@@myyoutubelikes that thin layer has formed top layer in silicon valley, USA.
@@rwar4815 Just like China's massive labour surplus provided US corporations with massive profits.
It's not something to be proud of, that the best you could think of doing, with your best resources, was pimping them out to someone else, so that they could extract benefit.
What happens when that thin layer evaporates?
@@rwar4815 how does that help india?
@@rwar4815 yeah but it does not help india when those smart people from india are moving abroad for better opportunities.
Brain drain is real, unfortunately.
Good points Sir, just wanted to add
India's growth has been organic and democratic. That is , investing in people, investing in education, in technology and infrastructure. All this by elected officials and Not some central committee or closed group/club.
It has been slow, because of corruption (reduced to a greater effect) and different political parties driving their way of advancing.
This journey is definitely not done yet, a long way to go,but no where in the goal is to be "Super Power" or "Destroy other" or "take over " .
. it's prosper together.
India has bailed out many countries that IMF did not help, given wheat/ medicine where others wanted something else in return like military base or mkt open only for them.
Besides India is open market
But maybe the slow growth isn't such a bad thing. It's more manageable and less volatile.
@@TimothyCHenderson of course, you are right. not educated people are extremely easy to control.
I wouldn't say India is a truly "open market" but it is improving and its practises are less Draconian than China's, who are getting "even more" Draconian!?!
The world needs a strong prosper India, rooting for the Indians on this one.
A total 10,655 MSMEs ( micro, small, medium enterprises) shutdown in 2022- 23
*20,000 MSME industries shut down in India in three years.
* 3552 foreign companies, subsidiaries closed in India between 2017 and 2022.
*In last three years over 2 lakhs companies in India have gone out of buisness, Indian government informed in Parliament.
*Between 2014 and November 2022 , up 2783 foreign companies left India, Commerce and Industry minister Piyush Goyal told parliament late last year. These include Metro AG, Holcim, ford, Royal Bank of Scotland, Citibank, Harley Davidson, among other😢😢😢😢
Spot on analysis.. but India never was wanting to be the next china..we are a very different society with a very different cultural ethos
比如强奸蜥蜴🦎？
Geopolitics = Prashant Dhawan sir
These guyz don't even know,how much Dhawan sir has knowledge about geopolitics, i m very glad we r taught by these kind of teachers. Also I didn't forget contribution of STUDY IQ ankit sir is dope
I sure would like to see a discussion with you and Olivia Lazard. Both of you are excellent speakers with unique viewpoints.
It's good to compare, but a word of advice to my fellow Indians. Let's not take pleasure in pitting us against anyone. We'd wasted lot of years comparing India with Pakistan from which we've barely snapped out of. Let's not make the same mistake by constantly comparing India with China. Let's do us. Let's do what we do best. Let's weed out the wrongs in our society and become a country that's culturally, spiritually and economically rich.
Right, bro. To add to that, let us expose and eradicate the pernicious i-virus mental disease from Bharat. That will free a lot of imprisoned people for productive work, without any fear of us being stone-pelted.
@@gazwa-e-islam2716 What's i-virus?
@@reach2prasanna if you are asking about it, bro, you obviously are not afflicted with it.
This is a pernicious virus which affects the brain cells. It was produced and released over 1400 years ago in the deserts of arabia.
The only cure of an afflicted person is first to carry out his total mental disintegration. Without doing that it is just not possible to get any facts, evidence, sense or logic into him about the world around him. Constant brainwashing since childhood makes him immune to reason. He becomes a zombie.
Just relax! someone already said in the comments: India can do most things wrong and it will still be ok.😀
@@kelanzhi7269 But that shouldn't mean we pile on making mistakes even when we know doing something is a mistake. You can chose to ignore it, but I won't.
"India is a country. China is another country. India is near China, but they don't like each other." - Kamala Harris, geopolitical genius.
Im from Europe and I also dont like any of then ;)
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ruclips.net/video/wcqwOLAtfrI/видео.html
@@marcux83 Europeans are known to be racist, so that is not surprising.
@@EnderViBrittania Yellow hates brown, brown hates black. And then there's white who hates ALL of them. LOL 😄😄😄
@@marcux83 Do you like anyone in the first place ?
There are many Indias within India. Each piece is different and unique. India will grow slowly but decisively. It has huge domestic demand. There is lot to be done in India for education, health, sanitation and infrastructure. India is India and China is china. Both countries cannot be compared with single lense.
In terms of raw minerals and oil, China has Russia right there to deliver.
You would think so …
Right there thousands of miles away. Russia's resource extraction is mostly in the western quarter of Russia 8000 miles from Chinese population centers. Either Siberia would need developed (expensive and time consuming) or those resources would need piped longer than any other pipeline in existence or they need to be shipped (what's happening now) the very long route around Europe, Africa, and southeast Asia up to China. #Not as close as they appear.
@@tylerschmidt2394 You mean Russian resources and Chinese manufacturing aren’t right across from each other on the border? Shock! 😊
@@tylerschmidt2394 Yea because Australia is very close to India lol, bet you only focus on the point of Persian Gulf when he mentions Australia FIRST. 🙃🙃🙃
The copium level must be insane to 'ignore' a western ally and jump to an arab one .
Maybe until Biden annexes Moscow.
Awesome info Peter, could you describe how the large African countries' demographics will evolve and if these countries could influence world economics in the future.
1 in 3 people living on planet Earth in 2100 will be African, this should be important to discuss.
I also want to see that video!
African population growth will slow down alot so no 1 in 3 people will not be african in 2100
Global media is speculating whether current challenges in the business sector will trip India’s ambitions to be a global economic force. I’ve lived long enough to see us face earthquakes, droughts, recessions, wars, terror attacks. All I will say is: Never, ever bet against India
----- Anand Mahindra------
Prominent Indian Industrialist
20 years ago these words were said and 20 years later they will be repeated.
India also needs special economic zones,these need to be near ports for ready export and import,this also depends on connectivity and infrastructure.India already has a core sector of businesses.They will grow phenomenally as infrastructure is created.
we already have them in the form of cities such as bangalore mumbai delhi and kolkata
@@mukundasharma8693 Would you like to talk about the fine infrastructure of Bangalore, Mumbai, Delhi and Kolkata?
@@georgedang449 not possible in a comment. but great infra and easy to start business compared to other states in india. so say you want to start a company its extremely easy. you will have cheap co working space. little to no govt paper work. wanna setup a factory? well you will get electricity connection within one day. credit ecosystem also building up eith many vc firms. so thats the way it is in bangalore chennai mumbai and gurgaon
West has been ignoring the political situation in India to pamper India into a counterbalance to China. But unfortunately, India is gradually turning into another China as far as the politics is concerned. The difference between what's happening in India and what happened in China is that a lot of people in India are happy to part away with their rights, freedom, rule of law and democracy whereas this wasn't the case during the onset of the communist China. The government enjoys a degree of control over the press, which is perhaps only a bit less, than the control that the Russian government enjoys over its press.
这位老哥是懂流量的，不过水平不行，放国内抖音上可能也就做做直播带货合适。
India has to sort of lots of issues like judicial reforms, educational reforms, and even Indian companies and consumers has to have nationalistic mindset in terms of buying raw materials from India rather than buying from China or south korea just to gain 2% profit since bcoz of this our Rupee value is declining.
Purchase from China most especially is to placate China and keep in interested in Indian well being.....
1:45 Note: There is more than just one country in this world, and the United States is not the only one.
I think China would be happy to see India（Even including the Middle East, East Asia, Africa, South Asia, and South America.） develop and become a trading partner.
And after that, as a truoble maker, the United States will be no longer needed by the world .
Agree, china will love to meet big india, but west😂they will never, they made Pakistan to destabilize india continuously but not now
Nice Analysis!
I felt one major item that you missed in comparison is the knowledge or Tech power of India. Though China does exceptionally well on manufacturing and logistics, India is doing extremely well on technology and Pharma. These strengths will help India to compete with Europe and US on technology.
You mean that you raped white citizens for? Like u earned any of it
What technology LMAO
@@ranfak may be He meant IT
@@DhruvPatel-zg1zs he is wrong . He said China do exceptionally well in manufacturing and logistics but he try to show china is bad in IT but in reality chinese are not , chinese are among the top in IT and fun fact they are native to China and expand from china to world and just simple AI can put that IT in big shaking position. So he have to say IT not technology is different, and people always try to push this narrative that chinese population is declining but most of the world population is and have being declining like America, Europe, Russia , China , Japan and this all nation always can’t depend on outside so called IT sector and this all nation like China America are fighting for who will make best AI if they break through this lol . It’s gonna be game changer and what pharma all buying from china . I think I have notice in india is that they buy everything from china and put tag of made in india to fool citizens and advertise this narrative that china copy other lol
@@ranfak If you are Indian then you should know about UPI, UHI, etc. Do some of your own research before asking ''what technology''
i’ve listened to your presentation at least a half dozen times now-as you presented it in Louisiana, the Midwest, Canada, the US Military- and I love it. There is just one exaggeration you make that I take issue with. You said at one point that the Han Ethnicity was going to disappear from the Earth. That’s hyperbole. They may contract to one quarter their current population over two or three generations, but after that contraction, they still have a population about equal to that of the USA. So it seems that it would be less fun but more responsible to just talk about their contraction and the effect that will have in economics and politics and not say they are gone from the Earth.
This race has existed on Earth for four thousand years. The basis for this discussion is that the United States can still serve as the engine of the global economy. But many Chinese netizens commented on the United States that a small horse takes a big cart. With a population of 300 million driving an economy of 8 billion people, the power of the United States will be a little weak. The middle class in the United States, which is the main force of consumption, has actually paid a lot for this. Americans and countries that have not received dividends will be dissatisfied. I think this evaluation is relatively fair. After the multi-polar world becomes the mainstream, the world trade pattern will undergo great changes.
I do not see "INNOVATION" in India ... check number of Nobel winners in India .. number of Indian patents ... until those change.. India will still be followers.. INDIAN TALENT SHOULD FIND OPPERTUNITY TO DELIVER STAYING IN INDIA .. THE EDUCATION SYSTEM NEEDS COMPLETE CHANGE ... THOUGHT LEADERSHIP IS THE ACTUAL LEADERSHIP ..
China and India have different cultures and languages, two countries can be good neighbor
India need police, labor, judiciary reforms big time before they can think about being any kind of power house.
Being a democracy is working against them in this case.
Farmer’s law was first attempt at those reforms. And look what happened with protests and all. Moreover, govt folded because they didn’t want to lose next election.
Small enterprises move to Singapore when they become medium enterprise. Labor laws impose so many restrictions when a company increases in size. That’s the big reason Indian textile industry lost to Bangladesh. In india, labor laws basically discourage an enterprise to grow.
As soon as they relax the laws, there will protests in the street.
While india is not next China, in a good way …. but that doesn’t mean India will be some sort of next power house.
Who told you India is still a democracy? We lost our democracy to a fascist 10 years ago.
@@anuragchakraborty8766 I am not wasting time on babysitting people who use hyperbole speech.
@@kshitiz06 Yeah because you Gobar Bhakts don't want to be held accountable.
Are you going to admit any of Modi's crimes?
@@anuragchakraborty8766 I am not even Indian citizen. So I don’t even care about what govt is in power. Since my parents are Indian origin and I travel to India once every few years, I keep track of news coming out of that region.
And you just demonstrated to everyone why india stays under developed. Indian people are the reason (not it’s geography) for its lack of development.
In your two comments, you failed to make any rational point, while being delusional that you come across as some intellectual.
And I have actually seen this a lot in Indians. Just use big words with no substance, always brave online and turn into beta males in person, etc etc. you seem to personify that.
Even non Indians commenting on this video are actually giving decent insights which is a pleasure to read.
You, on the other hand, lack ability to make an intellectual point. So have fun fuming around RUclips comment section. I have better things to do.
@@anuragchakraborty8766 yeah because goonda didi and her child ABP Ananda fed u with tons of misinformation, have you ever stepped out of kolkata?
Even though I don't accept all of his points, by and large he is right. India can never become a mid income nation like China. Before we become 5-6 Trillion economy we will become old.
No India is not the Next China but the next India .
Beggar india
Slum India
I shall stop pooping on fields and go to designated toiletries
@Menaceblue3 ignorance is bliss truly!
If you only knew where the first flushed toilets in the world were made 🤔.
@@zacksmith5963 Allah ki gand me suar ka kata lund
As an Indian living in America, I have many Friends who have moved back to India. There is a huge boom in the Tech and Manufacturing sector in India right now. A lot of them are making more Money in India than they made in US, hence why they moved back.
Not just that, but there are less and less Indians immigrating to the US, UK, Canada, or Australia each year.
Well, I only hope The West and India remain allies, since we know that China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Pakistan, are all anti-West and completely anti-American.
Just a few months ago, my RUclips feed was filled with videos, "China will collapse in 13 days", Russia will collapse in 29 days", China will collapse in 13 days", and many others. Turkey, Pakistan etc. My problem is the hubris and moral certainty that all these damn videos. Zeihan said with great fanfare said the Ukraine invasion would be a few days. I'm at an age where all these videos speak with such certainty, and rarely pan out. I've learned that the world is fluid and dynamic and world events change. People adapt. So, I take all these videos with a tremendous grain of salt.
Slow and Steady Wins The Race 🏁. India's motto or if it's not it should be.
Appreciate the insights. I’m starting to worry about Peter’s cough.
Peoples who keep posting up comparing India Versus China are ignorant or stupid as they never accept the fact of China 5X in GDP and 5 X their people earning differnces.
Please accept the reality and do not make fool of all indians and India. Latest report from IMF on China contribution to the world economy.According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO) report in October, global economic output is forecast to expand by 3% this year, to which China is expected to contribute 0.9 percentage point, Barnett said.
He made the remarks at a launch of the publication in Beijing last Friday. The event was organised by the IMF Resident Representative Office in China and the International Monetary Institute at the Renmin University of China.
By comparison, the United States is forecast to contribute 0.3 percentage point while India’s contribution might be 0.5 percentage point, Barnett told China Daily on the sidelines of the event.
On 2024, China is forecast to contribute 0.8 percentage point of the 2.9% global growth, just under one-third and still higher than 0.2 percentage point of the United States and 0.5 percentage point of India, he said.
The WEO, published lastTuesday, has lowered the 2023 economic growth forecast for China to 5% from 5.2%, citing the pressures brought by the weakness in the real estate sector
India cannot even build enough toilet as a human basic right for his people as the link provide here {what a shame} #opendefecation.Muslims make up 15% of India’s population, but India’s largest minority is facing rising violence. With lynchings happening just two hours away from Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s residence, a police shooting on a train targeting Muslim residents and Muslim students being attacked in school, many Indian Muslims are wondering if they are safe in their homeland.
India hosted multiple world leaders for the G20 in 2023. But there is a stark difference between the India projected to the outside world and the reality on the ground. Government leaders like Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath have been calling for India to be a Hindu nation. The rise of Hindu nationalism and anti-Muslim sentiment is now mainstream, especially in the movies coming out of Bollywood - India's Hindi-language movie industry.
India is Bharath and will forever be Bharath! 🙏
Not next China or US or any other..
Just happy to see an American talking good about India, i hope all of them realize that we always wanted to make world a better place & not treat us like a 3rd world country.
The world is network centric and hence are the people |
We all must join hands and be Humble🤝😇||
What are saying? Majority of Americans talk good about India. Now some have some criticism because of the war in Ukraine, overall most want India to be prosperous rather than China
The return of Geopolitics with John Lennon!
"imagine there's no order of magnitude. It's easy if you try. No demographic falloff..."
Bro just wanna thank you for introducing me to Peter zeihan in 2016 have been following him since then and have learnt and grown a lot . Not possible without your upload and blessings of algorithm. 🙏🏼🙏🏽
@@ninadkashyap7573 aww that is nice to hear. I've loved his work since Accidental superpower
@@ninadkashyap7573 indoan beggar spotted
A couple of things, Australia and India were both parts of the British Empire so they have that in common, plus there are strong sporting ties between both countries. As a former member of the Empire English is spoken by a large number of people and as current members of the Commonwealth India maintains ties to other Commonwealth nations, which is a political association of 56 member states
Definaly not! India and china city is completely DIFFERENT
Eh. Other than the commonwealth nations playing in a game, what does the commonwealth do? It is more of a social club than a political one. No trade deals or strategic military alliance has come out of it. It is in fact largely just the UK posturing that it is still a global power.
But Australian are white English, Indian are black English slaves.
China is never interested in comparing with other
They just want to see what they themself become better
Its like I am a Chinese never care if the guy is driving a Lamborghini down the street, who care and not interested, just cares about go about ahead achieve what you want to achieve
You gotta know yourself it is really stupid thinking big deal seeing that Lamborghini
I think it would be interesting for you to do a deep dive on the factors leading to depopulation in the U.S. besides just industrialization. There's been studies showing that it is not just couples deciding against having kids, but that dating and even forming partnerships is rapidly becoming problematic. The depopulation cliff appears dire for several reasons, and I would be interested in hearing your perspective on some of these additional factors.
Redpill content?
I am 44 I am born and raised in the USA. No children. I don’t want to raise children anywhere I can afford to live in the USA. And go 10,000 in debt when a child chips a tooth.
Medical care, education, housing all have skyrocketed in prices to offset the decline in prices of stuff that benefits from globalization.
I don't know how far past birth control tech, liberalized abortion laws and consumer driven expansion of women into labor markets one has to go to explain declining birth rates in developed economies.
People are going to have sex. MGTOW is not about being a virgin
@@matthewmcclary7855 I’m neither mgtow or ncell. I leave the country for a few months I have no trouble renting a nice apartment and getting a beautiful woman to live with me. I stay in the USA I’m stuck with choice between fat woman or crack heads/ meth addicts
There are like 3 groups behind Peter just watching him make videos and boiling internally about the pace of play
👇👇👇
ruclips.net/video/wcqwOLAtfrI/видео.html
That's a driving range.
The Indian Trajectory is also a boon to the USA, since the cream of the crop of the highly educated populace often comes here.
from my casual observation of the indians I work with, India also has much better maternity benefits and many young employees avail themselves of them.
Yupp 6 months of paid leave for working women.
India has problems with Pakistan and China. It will take decades for India to be economically like China. The answer for economic growth and for the US future lies is in Latin America (nearshoring) and let China decline without a war. But if the choose to invade Taiwan at a low cost of 500 million Chinese lives like Peter says then let it BE. If the coastal industrial cities of China are destroyed there will be no need of sanctions. No industries in China means no commerce and desintegration of the country. But just as the Nordstreams ducts were destroyed somebody will destroy TSMC. Therefore there is no more Taiwan. We can bring millions of taiwanese to the US and Latin America to have semiconductors only for US and our allies. After all it is our American genius that invented this revolution. As an American this is the right thing to do.
What strength does the United States have to kill 500 million Chinese?😂😂😂By mouth or by dreams?
Zeihan bases his analysis on genuine analytic variables such as government policy, strategic environment and demographics. A lot of other commentators do not seem to realize that metrics such as infrastructure and subsidies are the consequences of economic growth, not initiators. Kudos to Zeihan.
India is a barbaric country, which does not hide its ambitions and is a war maniac. The Indian people have a very poor history and do not know how many wars their country has launched in South Asia. Pakistan needless to say, in addition to these wars, India also openly sent troops to occupy Sikkim in 1973 and turned it into its own controlling country; In 1987, he sent troops to Sri Lanka to combat the LTTE; In 1988, it sent troops to Maldives to quell the coup in Maldives and intervene in the internal affairs of neighboring countries; In 2000, India and Bangladesh exchanged fire at the border. It is no exaggeration to say that since independence, India has never been interrupted by war and has exchanged fire with all its neighboring countries. It is an absolute belligerent country.
Cope harder.
Don't worry we will conquer Tibet, Pakistan and recreate Aryavarta.
I wonder if all these doom and gloom prediction about China will ever become true.
Nothing that was predicted from the 80s became true. Japan didn't become the next superpower and America still doesn't have a base on the moon. The world was suppose to end in the year 2000 because the computer wouldn't be able to handle writing out the digitals "2000" 🤣🤣🤣
Start doing a podcast Mr Zeihan
Hey Peter, it's my first time watching your video...
Loved it and got a new perspective...
I had some of these ideas, but you definitely added some more awesome points to my knowledge pool!
Thanks again and subscribed obviously 🙌🏼
Bro, focus on how to neuter the i-virus mental disease, else all your dreams will turn to dust.
@@gazwa-e-islam2716 elaborate, please... Btw, nice name 😏
@@namanydv_garud bhai, simply ask yourself: why and just how islam was conjured up?
Hint: a petty trader sitting alone in a secluded cave (how convenient, no witnesses!) claimed to have received revelations, fooled all those around him to appoint him their nabi, put together a murderous band of brigands, for loot, plunder, pillage, subjugation,rape, conversion, slave-taking,...
He and his subsequent followers obviously found this a very profitable venture. They codified it and grew and spread the franchisee business all around the world.
We, naive as ever, welcomed the marauders, many colluded with them for petty gain, many embraced their politico-criminal organisation, ... all for petty self-interest, but eventual ruin.
As an Indian, I can tell you one thing. China built its economy through different sectors and industries, while India grew its economy through service sectors, pharmaceuticals, Health care, and Medical tourism. Most importantly India is a democratic nation and China is not. So, asking questions like "Is India going to be the next China" is bogus.
👇👇👇
ruclips.net/video/wcqwOLAtfrI/видео.html
Over population with a very bad infrastructure isn’t a good mix .
Thank you for always making my boomer mom and her siblings totally comfortable in the snuggly premise that America is #1 for all of eternity
Short answer: NO
@@saax3816 your insulting
What about Tibet, particularly in terms of water supply/rivers? My knowledege about it is pretty rudimentary but I do know that controling Tibet was a concern for India as India gets it's water from rivers that China has damned up and doing who knows what to it. Do you think their could be conflict in that area between India and China in the future? Also, would love to hear a Tibet-focused talk by Peter in regards to it's geographic and strategic significance one of these days.
India and China could square off, for real, some day. India would be able to cut off Chinese imports of Middle Eastern oil, which would devastate China's economy, likely resulting in major famine in China.
China's major rivers originate in Tibet, too. Which is what has driven China's conquest of Tibet.
Here's a link to a video of Peter's address to the Indian Economic Conclave. ruclips.net/video/QD5GqMainjY/видео.html
The average altitude of Tibet is 4,000 meters. There are no factories and it is not suitable for human habitation. Where does the pollution come from? ? ?
If it wasn't for Hollywood and music celebrities protecting it, Tibet would not be here.
@@careylymanjones Tibet was incorporated into China because the source of the river is in Tibet? ? ? I really have never heard of it, because 1300 years ago, people in the Tang Dynasty did not know where the source of the river was. And why do cruise ships pass through the Indian Ocean? ? China and Pakistan have oil pipelines, if I remember correctly Pakistan is to the west of India and Bangladesh is to the east
@@careylymanjones The basic historical and geographical information are all wrong, how can we get accurate conclusions?
I have no doubt that India will be a far more powerful country than China in the future. Indian people are very smart. They take education seriously. They know how to manage and work with people. They will over-take China as the biggest power in the world.
1 The IQ of Indians is lower than the world average and far lower than that of Chinese
2 Indian universities rank very low in the world and are not competitive
3 India’s contributions and achievements in preface science and technology are almost negligible
4 India has almost negligible patents in high-tech
5 India lags far behind China in the International Mathematics, International Physics, International Chemistry Olympiads
6 Among the world's top scientists who are still alive, there are very few Indians
7 Do you have any data to support your claims that "Indians are very smart" and "Indians take education seriously"?
Although Indians speak better English and have better relations with the West, although Chinese workers earn five times the wages of Indians, Western countries invest more in China and cooperate with China in more areas. Do you know how many foreign companies went bankrupt in India and left India? This is how Indians know "how to manage" and "work with people" If Indians one day learn to be down-to-earth and truly recognize themselves, there may be some changes!
I would love to hear your thoughts on Australia.
Zeihan seems to believe every other country's success is depending on the US. That would hold about 20 years ago but it is no longer the case. The United States can't kill any nation even it chooses to. It could not kill Vietnam during the Vietnam War. The economic future we saw during the US-China trade war is China branching out to other nations like ASEAN countries which replaced as the largest economic block as its trading partners. When you talk about Chinese agriculture, China is 97% food sufficient, it actually grows more food than India, China is the largest producer of rice, wheat, maze,. Most of Zeihan's prediction are more fluff rather than based on facts.
India may find it hard to succeed with neighbors on three sides having their houses burn down.
India has the Himalayas between them and China. Geography matters. For that matter, if China annoys India too much, in the aftermath of the Globalist system, India is well-positioned to cut off China's Middle Eastern and African oil imports. China doesn't begin to have the blue water ships to tangle with India in the Indian Ocean.
If India just put few naval ships in Indian Ocean and stop flow of ships on either wide , whole world 🌎 would start begging for food
The problems of the new era will be different than the problems of the old era. Starvation and political instability are going to cause some nasty migration problems around the world.
@@PrashantParasher-kv5dc India is a net importer of agricultural inputs and is reliant on USA secured global shipping to survive. USA withdrawal from naval protection and local neighborhood problems put India at risk.
@@careylymanjones Just because China's bigger house fire is farther away doesn't give India comfort. The displaced residents will be restless.
Well, it's about time Pete finally included a golf course in his backdrop itinerary. Now its on to the wineries of Northern California.
The character of China and India are different. I know of business men who will not participate in India’s economy because of graft and corruption. You can experience graft and corruption in China but the overall outcome is mostly win/win, in India it is win/lose.
You need a life time to understand India . Her complexities, her simplicity, her grandeur, her ethics, her way of functioning, her knowledge, her values, her morality, her spiritual and philosophical attitude and her thousands of years of existence.
Same can be said for China. This Peter Zeihan man cannot understand China
We are proud to be Indian 🙏🙏🙏
Yea I’m not. I’m embarrassed to say I’m from India, I live in America.
@@MegaLeoben ok, bakrich0d
@@MegaLeoben That's your problem
@@lipun7568 if you stay in your ghettoized South Indian community in America then yea maybe it’s not a problem for you.
No India is not next China...
India is going to be next India that it was in the past. (The Golden Sparrow)
India wasn't so 'soviet' as neutral. They didn't want to piss off either side, so it just sat with its hands on its lap. Yes, it does appear that India is picking Putins side, but they receive a massive discount on hydrocarbons as a result. I would probably do the same if I ran India. But their realization that they have shit for military equipment should frighten them.
Dear Peter,
Please, a video on Australia and our role for this decade.
Thanks,
- The Australians.
Zeihan lies about china
I am very curious how many this kind of speculative outlooks you have performed and how many of them actually turned not totally wrong at all.