Yes you should definitely include the ECM AI model it's very good In terms of pressure pattern it verifies better than the ECM For the last storm it got the track correct a week out and it was very consistent New years low, ECM AI was the only models showing it going south, and all models have followed it to some degree Unbelievable model
Amazing charts Gav - the 12z models show us back into the freezer. I was beginning to wonder actually...after yesterdays 06z wobble. It;'s been a while since we had a cold spell in January. And many of the model runs did show a cold spell in early to Mid January in your Christmas updates. - Also interesting things stratospheric wise as well! Fingers cross Gav and a Happy prosperous New Year.
If this continues for the next couple of days it's pretty much nailed on you could then say but not yet not yet not yet 😅thanks gav happy new year to you
Gav keep doing what you do in 2025 we love you lots it's a very difficult job at times I am aware of that especially when modelling does its best to fool us all but you do a great job of explaining why these things happen great new year and please stay in touch with us all we would not be here if we didn't appreciate you.
Remarkably snow forecasted for the northern Bahamas and Florida from about the 12th and Cold for Cuba , Yucatan and even maybe Jamaica Good to see ICON on board, nightmares about a Denmark Strait short wave it found that kyboshed a potential very cold period a few years back.
This should hopefully deliver the winter that we have waited so long for 🙏 - and not any of that mild cloudy damp rubbish we always get in winter 😮 Massive agreement for a sustained cold spell - as long as there are no more backtracks
I am dreading a prolonged cold spell, I just hope that the weather gods put a stop to anything very cold. Personally today was lovely full sunshine and 10c what more could you ask for in the depths of winter.
Great effort 2024. Prediction for Christmas 2025. Blizzards, prolonged cold, extreme polar vortex repositioning and reversal, Gulf Stream total collapse and significant high pressure blocking. 3 months of sub zero temperatures, river Thames will freeze.
Thanks gav :D models are looking good so far
Very good 👀
Thanks James :)
The best part of any cold spell is “giddy gav”. Hope you’re keeping well my friend!
LOL! Thanks very much, I'm OK. HNY!
Thanks gavin for the 12z update..still looking cold by the looks of it..🥶 have a great evening 👍😊
Thanks Simon :)
Thank you Gav. I hope you can recover from the cough.
I'm sure I'll be fine, thanks Louise :)
Bring it on, winter weather!!!!!!!🎉🎉
Oooh, how exciting!!
Very good from the models today, hope this comes off Gav!
Let it snow let it snow let it snow🎅
Will be interesting to see which one plays out ecmwf or the ECM ai
Yes you should definitely include the ECM AI model it's very good
In terms of pressure pattern it verifies better than the ECM
For the last storm it got the track correct a week out and it was very consistent
New years low, ECM AI was the only models showing it going south, and all models have followed it to some degree
Unbelievable model
Seen this model and its been very consistent, How good is it?
Thanks for the feedback Harvey :)
Happy NewYear Gav the wobble is over ❄️👀🎉🍾
For now...
@Riddy-dd5ke still a chance for it to wobble.
Happy new year Matthew :)
Amazing charts Gav - the 12z models show us back into the freezer. I was beginning to wonder actually...after yesterdays 06z wobble. It;'s been a while since we had a cold spell in January. And many of the model runs did show a cold spell in early to Mid January in your Christmas updates. - Also interesting things stratospheric wise as well! Fingers cross Gav and a Happy prosperous New Year.
Happy New Year 007
Nice one Gav...bring it on.
Roll on spring.
If this continues for the next couple of days it's pretty much nailed on you could then say but not yet not yet not yet 😅thanks gav happy new year to you
Gav keep doing what you do in 2025 we love you lots it's a very difficult job at times I am aware of that especially when modelling does its best to fool us all but you do a great job of explaining why these things happen great new year and please stay in touch with us all we would not be here if we didn't appreciate you.
Even tho the GFS has been consistently showing a strong warming, the ecmwf 10 hpa zonal winds are showing a completey different story.
are we looking at a 63' event?
Almost certainly not...
@@GavsWeatherVids good thank F for that i as worried we was
Remarkably snow forecasted for the northern Bahamas and Florida from about the 12th and Cold for Cuba , Yucatan and even maybe Jamaica
Good to see ICON on board, nightmares about a Denmark Strait short wave it found that kyboshed a potential very cold period a few years back.
Looks good!❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
This should hopefully deliver the winter that we have waited so long for 🙏 - and not any of that mild cloudy damp rubbish we always get in winter 😮
Massive agreement for a sustained cold spell - as long as there are no more backtracks
Lots to keep an eye on, Sriram
I am dreading a prolonged cold spell, I just hope that the weather gods put a stop to anything very cold. Personally today was lovely full sunshine and 10c what more could you ask for in the depths of winter.
Would the midlands get snow any time soon
Perhaps next week?
Enjoyable video
Milder at the weekend across the south
Great effort 2024. Prediction for Christmas 2025. Blizzards, prolonged cold, extreme polar vortex repositioning and reversal, Gulf Stream total collapse and significant high pressure blocking. 3 months of sub zero temperatures, river Thames will freeze.
11:45 yes, it would be good to include the AIFS model in your ten day forecast videos, 12z model round-ups etc
Happy new year 2025
@@chrisa9043 happy new year to you too
Ecmwf ruining it
It will probably flip back to cold
Met office says rain only snow in Scotland
It won't snow in Burnley probably cold but dry n frosty
The latest update.