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Is Week 17 still all that matters? (key BBMV update)
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- Опубликовано: 14 авг 2024
- The top heavy prizes in previous Best Ball Mania contests demanded that drafters prioritized Week 17 above all weeks to maximize their win potential, but a new wrinkle with the Best Ball Mania V payout structure might have changed which playoff week is the most important. In this video, I overview the BBMV structure, dig into some interesting math about the importance of Week 16, and share how I am going to specifically apply these findings in my drafts. 💸 Sign up with promo code Pete to claim your special pick + 1st time deposit offer up to $250 in bonus cash ➝ play.underdogf...
S/o to Michael Dubner, Mike Leone, Neil Farley, and Justin Freeman for their help on this video.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:24 - The thesis behind "Week 17 is all that matters"
04:00 - The Best Ball Mania V structure is very different compared to previous BBMs
06:53 - Breaking down the BBMV prize pool and EV per round
08:48 - Comparing prize structures between BBMIV to BBMV
09:20 - Is Week 16 now the most important week?
10:00 - Week 16 vs. Week 17 from a win rate & cumulative EV perspective
13:20 - Should this math change the way you draft in 2024?
14:00 - The debate all boils down to the game stack
15:45 - The data behind bring backs hitting
16:55 - How I'm going to approach game stacks in BBMV (3 tips) and the biggest correlation edge in 2024
***
Edit/thumbnail: @ChrisMorenoDesign
#fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #bestballmania
if you haven't signed up for underdog, they have a new special for 1st time depositors. get up to a $250 deposit bonus with promo code pete: play.underdogfantasy.com/p-pete-overzet
loving these specific strategy videos as a supplement to your hang-and-draft streams as well as the broader convos on Ship Chasing and the humorous approaches on Swioecast - just a great blend of content and multiple entry points and ways for ppl to digest the info
appreciate that, i like the variety too
Appreciate you taking the time to look at this, it’s definitely not the most intuitive concept
🫡
Another must watch BBM strategy video from Pete he is the best at making complex things understandable and entertaining
🙌
GIVE US THE SCHEDULE NFL!!!!! Awesome video thought Pete. Pretty cool seeing all the different calculations. I still think week 17 is all that matters.
🤝
Why would they do that when it’s blatantly obvious why they don’t, they cheating still again still again anden s’mores huh weird.l.
Not the nfl
Not underdog
Not merica, if U taint cheating U taint merican.,.
It's all that has and will ever matter, amen🙏🏻
as it is written in the bible
@@DepositKingdom 2nd Leone 4:15 and Peter 3:16 to quote the specific scriptures
Great stuff! My brain itches now, is that normal? Lol
glad you were able to check it out
I’ma nit and would be thrilled to just get there. Consider me a week 16 bro
the math is in ur favor this yr ser
Like the great philospher David Mattek once said, we are all gonna lose anyways.....
but that ev tho
I get it - Why miss when you can make it.
🍆🍆
I have always been a Week 16 Bro ... welcome to the party pal!
My ideal stack is my top WR with a Week 16 QB opponent and a Week 17 QB opponent. I tried to thread this needle often last year with little success but it was fun to try.
being a week 16 bro wasn't sharp until this year haha
@@DepositKingdom I never said I was sharp. Just couldn't get my head wrapped around trying to win a 400+ person tourney, but first of 16 feels doable in Week 16 hahaha
I love this!!
love to hear it
So, never once did I hear how we’re already deciding how to correlate specifically for any week. How do we target whichever round we want to target? All I got is drafting rookies and stacking is good.
i dont understand your question...but happy to help. did u watch the original video about why week 17 was previously the most important week without question? that will give u a good foundation for understanding it, and then u can come back to see why this year week 16 has a case to be as important
@@DepositKingdom I understand the importance but I’m not sure what to do more then stacking? Especially when the NFL schedule isn’t released yet.
yes this analysis is for after the schedule comes out, put it out before that so people could be ready and not make early mistakes
@@DepositKingdom got you.
What’s the link for that brick overlay tool you mentioned?
thedraftcaddy.com
This shit is nuts.... Lets Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
sammyyy
LFG!! 🔥🔥
💪
so...do you have to rebrand or not??
did you watch the whole video. WE'RE NOT GOING ANYWHERE
Oh my, I watched this on 1.5x and my brain is just like ummmm what??? 😳
i researched this on .5x speed for multiple days so not surprised lol
Is the dream a threesome (stack a team and then bring backs from the week 16 and week 17 opponents) and the ultimate fantasy if it happens to line up a foursome (stack/correlate teams that swap opponents weeks 16 and 17)?
Week 16:
Bears vs Packers
Lions vs Vikings
Week 17:
Lions vs Bears
Packers vs Vikings
If the foursome is the ultimate and there is only 1 do you think that could drive up the ADPs of those 4 teams?
that would be ideal but i would never force it/drive up adps for it, bc the correlation is a bonus but the reaching is a negative so then you lose the benefits
@@DepositKingdom I agree I wouldn’t force it either, I’m talking overall if others are forcing it that could over time drive up the ADPs. So perhaps getting that foursome earlier in the contest the better. As always good stuff. 👍
week 17 is all that splatters
time to get april a new bib
I can’t believe you beat me Tyler
always the bridesmaid, gee
get rekt G
@@EmoCowboy. just like this weekend
@Chipskylark7 that’s the spirit
These new age hippies and their week 16! *shakes hand at sky 👋
get off my lawn
How was EV by each round calculated?
total prizes available divided by number of teams, and then the % ratio applied to the $22.30
@@DepositKingdom I get the ratios for R1 $5.38 ($3.6M prizes divided by $15M * 22.3 for teams that don't advance to W16), and R2 $2.10 ($1.4M in prizes for teams that don't advance to W17), but still don't understand the split between the R3 $4.64 and R4 $10.18.
week 15 bros rise up
im begging you
Just cue the Davis ‘we’re all gonna lose’ at all times
it's about losing in style
C’est la vie
la semaine 17 c'est la vie
Please don't talk about my grandfather's BBM
i apologize, hope he's doing alright
@@DepositKingdom he survived his big bowel movement, but it flushed our relationship down the drain
Great video though!
Major shade given to week 15 lol, Regular Season is over here acting like a high school girlfriend, got you all the way through the season and now you're ditching me?!?
maybe she'll get hot again if ud loads up the week 16 prizes next year
Lol 6th place
ill take it tho