You've Been Lied to…(How To Detect Trading BS)
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- Опубликовано: 8 май 2023
- Do you think it's possible to make a consistent 80% winning trades? WRONG! I'm here to call out all the so-called "RUclips gurus" who claim they can do it and tell you why it's impossible.
Hello, I'm Bernd. I have over 10 years of experience as a full-time professional trader, manage funds in the seven-figure range, and I'm the CEO of a licensed investment consultancy based in Dubai. Additionally, you can see my verified results on FTMO in my other videos. I've seen too many people fall for the trap of traders falsely claiming 80%-win rate. These self-proclaimed gurus will tell you all sorts of stories about how they master the market and make huge profits, but it's all lies. In this video, I'm putting an end to it once and for all because I'm calling out all those so-called 80% winning traders and I'm going to break down what KPIs really work in the long-term.
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#tradingscams #scammers #fakeguru 
Развлечения
![Master Supply And Demand Trading - Floor Trader Secrets! [Lesson 2]](/img/1.gif)
thanks Bernd!!
to be honest some of them are even worse than what you mention,
they had SL and TP, but they use the highest floating profit watermark(in PIPS *lol) as the winner,
so even if they had SL hit, but got some floating profit moment before it happen, they will call record it as winning days lol,
for anyone reading this, simply runaway from anyone counting cumulative with PIPS gained,
they simply dont know how to trade, they just gambling with forex!
Thanks for your comment! I will definitely do more content on this topic #scamalert and adding to the “scam detector”. This will be helpful for everyone who is watching!
This is just so true bruv
When a pro/profitable trader is talking you'd know. Thank you for this wonderful content.
Absolutely Onifade! And thank you for your great comment! But unfortunately lot of people cannot differentiate between a scammer and a pro. Don't blame them, because how would you know if you are just starting out with trading. That's why I think content like this has to be done.
Always love to watch YT content on the essential concepts in trading❤ Excellent video🎉
Thank you Wayne! Indeed it is essential 🙏
Another great video! waiting for the news of your prop firm!!
Thank you Syed. News are coming soon!
Amazing and useful content🤯, excellent video Brnd 🙌💪
Thank you Ale! Happy and safe trading!
Thank you Bernd!!! You said it all correctly.
You are most welcome Ogbechie! Happy you enjoyed the video 🫶
Out of all the gurus I respect you the most, the fact that you're one of the best at FTMO speaks volumes. Whilst most of these RUclips gurus only offer renamed ICT courses and affiliate links. The game is rigged and most new traders find it so hard to stick to trading. Well done sir, keep going.
Thank you! Don’t wanna consider myself a Guru, just a REAL trader…that’s it 👊💯
Another factor is the number of trades you get in a month. A trading plan with a risk to reward of 1:1 is likely to give you a lot more setups in a month than one with a 1:5 risk to reward ratio. So if trader B has 60 iterations in a month whilst trader A only has 10, trader B should expect to have a higher expected return, and there should be less deviation in their monthly returns. Also, trader B should be able to risk more per trade due to a higher win rate whereas trader A would probably need to lower risk to stay within prop firm drawdown requirements. Because trader B can risk more per trade, this will also increase their monthly return. This is why I think higher win rate strategies with lower RR are better. A lot better on the trader psychology also. Like you said in your other video, high win rate strategy, 1:1 risk to reward, with 2% risk per trade, best trade plan in my opinion. Great video Bernd
Thank you for taking your precious time and writing this long comment. Much appreciated. Agree with most of your points. Trader A and Trader B are two extremes that will look different in the real world anyhow. It just showcases that RR is much more important than W/L. That's why I give guidance at the end of the video of how realistic KPIs look like: 1:2 RR and 40ish W/L ratio. Can you get to a 50-60ish W/L? Yes absolutely. But only for really good traders. Everything beyond is not realistic with an adequate RR. The point where I professionally disagree is the fact that a lower RR will give you more trading opportunities. Rules stay rules. And you should only take trades when all your rules are met and you have a quality trading opportunity. Because if you now take more trades, less quality ones, less rules met, your W/L will also suffer. So we are moving in a circle. Anyhow. Happy and safe trading and once again thank you for taking your time to comment below the video.
Nah, that is the worst way to trade, we have 22 trading days a month and for trader B to win 60 trades with an 80/20 win rate, he takes an average of 3-4 trades a day and about 75 trades a month. that sounds like overtrading to me, and that will cause him (trader B) to be glued to the screen all day searching for trade setup which in the long run will affect his trading psychology and health too, you can't build a trading career, and have a family or even a life that way bro
Love the video. Finally another great trader to learn from. Subbed. 🔥
Welcome aboard! Thanks for that huuuuge compliment.
great video, great content! 💪
Thank you 🙏🫶
Watching your old videos, just to make sure i didn't miss any, haha. Looking forward to your new video, bro. You are the must watch before i sleep 💪
Thank you for your support and for being a loyal viewer. Your encouragement means a lot.
Thanks for this. I've just started out into the wonderful world of trading. I'm lucky to have bumped into people who have started to teach me similar things to what you are showing and so far over a few trades I'm down $30 instead of my whole account :-) I'm going to follow your channel. Thanks for the great content
Thx for your sub! Feel free to drop messages anytime
I expected you to mention names 😂😂jokes.Thanks for sharing this video keep on the good work.
Would be to many to count 😂😂
Needed this. My eyes are totally opened now...
Thank you for the positive feedback! It means a lot!
Great video thank you for your efforts. Do you take partial profits when your trading or is it win or loss no matter what?
Most of the times it’s Win Loss OR break even. Under specific circumstances I will take partial profits. But it’s at least 1:1
eye opening 👌 drop more content i will watch knowing i dont waste my time 😂😂 thank you big broh all . south african fan ❤🙏
Oh thank you so much for your lovely comment! I drop weekly videos! Hope you will enjoy the most of them 💙
Great video on risk/reward ratio to maximize profit and minimize risk on trading, thank you!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Love your videos please do more. Great to hear from an actual proven profitable trader always.
Thanks for appreciating that kind of content! Seems like you are a reasonable trader 🤝
Thanks Bernd, like this video so much! I am a beginner trader and I was keep on losing money as my risk to reward ratio is really bad and I am constantly adjusting my stop loss. A mentor told me I was gambling instead of trading 😂 guess I am just too afraid of losing profits 😢
Yes stop playing around with your predefined SET. That’s the worst you can do.
Good Video dude, my only gripe with Trader A/B is surely trader B will have runners that supercedes his 1.1RR and with a WL Ratio of 80% id say he was the better trader, also if you then go into the psychology of traders how many guys are going to stick to there rules with a 30% WL ratio and have the mental strenght to fight agaist those losers not many people would have the mind set to stick to the plan whereas traders B will be in a better place mentally cruising along with 80% WL ratio you are pretty much printing money with those stats.
Thank you for your comprehensive comment Mike. The whole point of the study is to show that 80% is an unrealistic number to chase. And traders have to be mentally prepared to lose every second trade on average.
At the beginning of my trading career I thought I must have a trading strategy that have 100% win rate.😂
You explained everything clearly❤
Glad it was helpful!
Great video Bernd. Keep up the good work
Thank you 🙏 will do 💙
Love from indonesia trader❤
Make more content like this. You help us so much
Thank you in advance🙏
Your words mean a lot, and I appreciate your support. I'll keep creating content to help you out.
The key point is the use of stoploss. Without it you can have 100% win rate since there are no losses. But that depends on what drawdown you are willing to accept, which can be huge if the lot size is too big. So to lower the risk you can have a small drawdown most of the time but then comes the moment when the market just continues against you and the account is blown. So risk management is key.
Fully agree. Risk management is the foundation of everything
Just 3 Days is enough to wipe out Account,, according to your strategy,, 😅
@@rudrazala3239 Too high lot size.
Just seeing your video for the first time, thank you
Great! Hope you subscribed 😁
a true professional trader
❤ 🫶
What a video, sir! Absolutely amazing and realistic. Keep making such videos. Because of fake scammers, traders have unrealistic expectations from the market and end up losing.
Thank you for this interessant information as usual ;)
The pleasure is mine 🙏
As someone who is still practicing on a demo account, I really needed this, though I’m still struggling to understand certain concepts.. I know I’ll get there with much patience. Thank you so much for sharing. Much love from Botswana 🇧🇼 ♥️
Thank you for your kind words! Your determination will pay off in the end.
Keep going, trading is fuckin difficult, trust me, it will question your own sanity but with the right discipline and perseverance, you can make it.
@@berndskorupinski I hope so 🙏🏻you’re welcome
@@KingGagashe6255 thank you for the kind words 🙏🏻I will keep going
Very interesting analysis of Goldman Sachs trading results! I didn't know about this at all!
Great you liked it Marko 🙏
Thank you sir 🔥 a timely content
Appreciate your comment 🙏
Thank you so much Bernd !
Welcome 🤗
Absolutely correct. I am trading for about 1.5 years and found it difficult to maintain a 40% win rate !!!
Thanks for sharing your insights! Great that you have the same opinion than me!
great content boss! keep creating!
Thank you and merry Christmas 🎄
I agreed that 1:2 is a good idea (realistic) to become a profitable trader it allows you to get a good accuracy and in the long term you only need 40% wins
Totally agree with you on the 1:2 ratio for trading. It's a smart approach that balances risk and reward nicely.
nice video sir,, i wanna ask, if you have negative perspective of ICT?
Wait for my next video 😁🤝
Thanks for all you do Bernd, you're a true inspiration! Hope you will keep putting out quality content 🙏🏻
Btw, I noticed that the thumbnail was changed and you replaced Umar with Rayner and also comments about Umar being a Furu got deleted. Did he threaten you to sue ?
No we just change things sometimes. I didn’t delete any post.
@@berndskorupinski Those comments were definitely deleted because I myself wrote one of them and now it's gone 😀 Not saying you deleted them, probably deleted automatically by RUclips following report (shows the lengths those Furus go to protect their reputation....).
Ultimately it doesn't matter scammers will always be there and there is nothing that we can do about it. You're a good person and are doing great work. Looking forward to more quality videos from you ! Cheers
How do I join the university Bernd?
I’m 20 and have 80%-90% win rate and I’m not a Goldman Sachs trader however I agree with you
I doubt it’s sustainable.
Excellent video 😊
Thank you very much!
Nice content mate!
Glad you enjoyed it
Wow!!! This is good
Yes indeed it is 😊
I only look at RR and percentage risk lets 1% or 2% on my capital on every trade i dont look at PL and winrate or number of pips to me it doesn't make sense e.g i can take the same trade you took i risk 10pips sl and trade moves 50pips in profit and same trade you took but you used a 20 or 25pips sl thats how i feel number of pips or winrate doesn't make sense we both won and same pips though... outcome was different
anyway just find out works for you and stick to it with discipline
Makes all sense! Thanks for your valuable comment 💙💪
Goldman sachs annual report. ty Bernd
Thanks for this. Its made me realise I'm not actually that bad and doing ok! :) Perfect piece of content to post in a world of scam and 'flex'. Much appreciated.
Glad it helped! 🤝💙
Very well explained.
Glad you think so!
Fucking love your every video man, one of the few real in the scene
Boom 💥 STATEMENT! This is much appreciated!
How do you deal with trades that dont really move to target profit but seems to remain at break even for even two days
Just let it play out. Everything else is an emotional reaction AFTER you are in the trade. You have to have rules though what to do once price moves in your favor. For example. Once price moves 1:1 you can move your SL to BE.
I think at least 1:2 is better, because the SL pip should be seen as a comfortably investment to loose for higher return. Panic moving of SL to BE will surely affect ones account in the long run, except day traders
The problem is more your risk ratio reward increase more the risk also increase. its really hard to find trades with high risk ratio rewards and low risk. The real question is what situations or patterns have a high risk ratio reward and a low risk :)
First part of your comment I don't understand: Why is the risk increasing? Risk is constant. The probability decreases the higher your RR. And the last point I fully agree :). That's the 1 million dollar question basically 😂
@@berndskorupinski more your target is far from your entry more the risk is increasing because the probability of success decreases. i dont have good results with risk ratio reward above 3; maybe i dont look for the right situations or patterns for high risk ratio reward. maybe only the movments with huge momentum are good trades for high RR. What is your average RR ?
@@philgo6576 don't go higher than 1:3. You know the KPIs if you can do 40:60 w/l and 1:2 or 1:3 on your winning trades you re highly profitable. That's also my target. So don't go for super high RRs.
@@berndskorupinski ok thanks for advice :)
@@philgo6576 always happy to help Phil! Happy and safe trading 🙏
What does KPI stand for? Sorry for the basic question in advance?
Key performance indicators
Thank you superman,I will start change to swing trading,I have profitable trading plan,but I was day trade or scalping sometime I don't stick to my plan and being impatient do not stick to my plan and get emotional waiting infront of the chart too long and break the rules. I update 6months later if I sucess.
That’s a great choice! Showing also self-reflection. Looking forward to your success story 🙏👌
This is one of the best videos I’ve seen explaining win loss ratio. Thank you, I’m seriously considering your class now
Glad it was helpful Jess! Thanks for your lovely comment 💙
Benrd gives reality to traders! This is what traders need to know in day 0.
Boooom! I fully agree with you 100%!!
Finally someone who’s honest about trading.
Please never become a RUclips guru. The teaching aspect is easily respected in a sea of scammers. Thank you for the quality education, sincerely.
Thank you! That’s a huge compliment 💙🙏
I recognised 1 Trader Guru in your click Bait. 😅
1st time watched one of your Video. It is To the point content. Thank you..
Time is most valuable. And 90% Trading/youtubers waste 90% of time in useless talking and useless startegies. It is very difficult to find Good and to the point Videos on RUclips.
Fully agree with everything you say 🙏 thank you for your valuable comment!
Thank you 🙏🏼 @@berndskorupinski
Thanx👍🙏 as always good content
Always welcome
Just found your Channel and enjoying your videos.
Thank you so much for checking out my channel! I'm glad you're enjoying the videos.
What strategies would you suggest for Spot trading ?
Supply and Demand as a foundation for a beginner.
Bernd what of binary traders. Doesn't accuracy count?
RR always counts more.
You are great buddy 🙏
You too for responding so nicely 💙🙏
great information but wat if u trail your stop loss as your trade starts going in your favour?
Trail based on RR
Sorri maybe I didn’t ask the full question actually my question was if the trade is going in your favour and u trail the stop loss can consider it as rr increase while your position size is same?my other and very important question is there anyway to know how many contracts are long and short on sp500 or dow jones?is there any site where u can view the current long and short contracts?many thx is advance 😊 you are doing a great job ❤
@@cjraza2 First question: No. Second question: COT report
hey iam using 1-0.5 rr but in the end of month iam profitable there is no probleme right ? i dont need to change my strategie to get more rr
Yes correct.
Allow me to express my perspective with due respect:
George Soros diverges from the typical trader, focusing on fundamental anomalies, especially in currencies, employing assertive measures to influence economies or entities. It's not faisable for the average trader.
Your emphasis on number crunching and probability distributions is valid, yet real-world trading often deviates from typical distributions. Relying solely on technical setups with a Risk-Reward ratio of 2 or more may not yield enough wins to offset long-term losses. Markets, being fractal, often move within a small range, and the perception of significant movement arises mainly from leverage.
I concur with your overall sentiment; while individuals like Soros made millions, it's crucial to note that their success doesn't solely stem from trading.
It's intriguing how people place trust in others without concrete proof of their prowess in trading.
Comments well formulated and articulated are always welcome. Appreciate your insight and opinions on my video. At the end of the day, it’s a case study that is applicable to 95% of traders. There will be always traders outside the standard deviation. But it’s an anomaly.
Big money didn’t have to worry about stop loses as their pockets are deep. The little guy can never trade as the big banks. All we can do is get in on the ride for a short time
That statement might be right.
I enjoyed it brend thanks
Glad you enjoyed it
well explained
Thank you!
well done sir
Thank you 🙏
Lmfao, you put some of the biggest furus on the thumbnail 😂
Haha I had to 🤪
@@berndskorupinski did u just change the thumbnail? I remember it was umar on right side
Subscribed!!!!! 🎉🎉
Thanks for the sub 🙏🤝
Trader A has higher probability of going on a 10 trade losing streak with low win rate. Risking 1% would mean could lose funding.
Losing 10 trades in a row as a consistent profitable trader is more than unlikely. Happy and safe trading Steve.
If you don’t win an average of 1/X for à X:1 WR as a minimum.
it’s statistically impossible to profit over time. I like this rule of thumb to help me optimize my strategy further and try to achieve better results with this goal in mind.
You fully get the concept Daniel! Happy to hear that you are among a few smart people here 😜💙🙏
I don't like how you added 1:7 and a 1:6 win on the example that was supposed to only have 1:5 RR. In the 1:1 scenerio you keep it 1:1 on all wins. What if we give him a couple 1:2 or 1:3 wins? I'm teasing you. I know you're just proving a point.
We said >=1:5 😅. Yes it’s just a case study to prove a point!
Thanks for calling all This BS guru
Well, someone's got to expose the BS, right?
Trade A is using SND and Trader B using SNR I am right?
using same same...it's just a case study.
Your advice on RR is awesome. How you measure RR is again awesome. it never disappoints. SET, measures are also awesome. I love your approach to this. Please check the email I sent to you sir
Happy you enjoy my content. Will check my emails tomorrow. 🙏
I agree dont believe all youtube gurus, but winrate depends on the strategy. I mean there is high probability 90% of youtubers are scammers selling you courses, having clickbait videos and living off of youtube ads. However there might be some people following just one pair, trading just price action having 5 setups in month, after 4 different confirmations meet, they can have 80% winrate. Just because GM Sachs has less of a winrate does not mean a thing. They also trade in much higher volume, and sometimes have to take a loser to push price higher - they can easily take a loss of X millions to push through resistance, eat liquidity and sell on next HH, then start selloff all the way (closing some positions in loss/BE) They also hedge positions so in general this lowers your winrate.
No professional would ever hedge btw. 😅 thanks for sharing your opinion 🤝
well the newbies who want to hear only high winrates and big cars without any proof will still buy useless courses from these gurus , sad.
Unfortunately that’s true. Targeting kids basically
That will have to learn the hard way 😂@ifinityy
i need real video courses abt SMC it's like i been wasting tym watching others!! anyone link me
@@egesaderrick3048 sure bro
I know it’s funny… 😅😅😅, however, food for thought!!!!!
☝️💙
Iman called them all out and with insane precision 😂😂😂😂
I like his call out videos…
what are you thoughts on ICT?
Before I joined youtube 2 month ago I have never heard anything about ICT 😂. Just seeing ppl mentioning it in their youtube titles 🤷🏼♂️
@@berndskorupinski Yeah, everyone uses his name, but his concepts are well respected by allot of people. inner circle trader is his official youtube channel.
@@TCCornelis I was also wondering if he's legit or not since he says he's "the mentor of mentors" but what proof do we have? Social proof is not proof. I nearly fell asleep trying to watch a couple of his videos... and I love trading 😅
@@el--le yeah, he also made a shit ton of money with selling courses, but I am not saying that he isn't legit. I have tested multiple models of him and they do seem to work pretty well. But most things he is teaching are just basic stuff with other names
Hi Bernd, what do you think about Al Brooks? I hope you see this and respond
Don’t know AI Brooks…
@@berndskorupinski that was fast, thanks for the reply. He is a trader and a price action educator. I'm sure you probably know Tom Hougard, he works with Al Brooks during some of his seminars and recommends him for learning price action
Jim Simons is legend
🤮
You can’t do it because you’re trading for too big a profit target. To do it you have to move to break even pretty quickly and take the profit once it makes a pretty good run.
Again a lot of theoretical stuff that you can’t proof. Anyway. Thanks for your comments. All the best in your trading. 🤝
How about ICT?
Founder is the biggest scam in trading RUclips history
I trade strictly on my edge. I tend to have a high win rate but I have trades that I rank as A, B, and C.
C are trades you see daily I avoid those. B are trades I wait for that come 3 times a week.
A are my highest probability setups that yield the biggest move. I can lose on 3-4 B or C and one A make it up and then some.
Also my A trades are set up to scale in. I just am patient and wait for A setup. But it’s taken years to become this patient. I don’t believe any trader who claims to make tons of money who only has traded a year. 😂
Fully agree with your last point ☝️💯
What you think of somebody who claim to have 50% win rate with 1:3 risk reward ratio and emphasis on the risk reward ratio part in education. Also said person takes people into their mentorship free of cost giving them a scholarship if they are from 3rd world country and can't afford the mentorship fees
Everyone can say stuff. Check for prop firm certifications. Real ones. Check for credibility in data not in words.
@@berndskorupinski said perform has been on Prop firm leaderboards, their students also have been on leaderboards. Both the mentor and students have many interviews with prop firms
9:43 He's talking about MambaFX 😂
Who is this?
@@berndskorupinski Lol A young 21 y/o trader with a high win rate 🤣
A note to myself: prove that Bernd is wrong. I.e., that it's possible to have a high win rate and R:R much better than 1:1.
Prove it 😁…come back in a year. Verified stats! Wouldn’t mind to prove me wrong! Wish you all the best 🙏💯💙
Can you provide evidence (valid data) that trading forex for living even possible?
Do you wanna sound smart with that comment? Obviously you have no idea who I am…
Shame you didn't actually call any of them out...
Why would I need to…so ppl have more 🍿
@berndskorupinski well yeah... plus the thumbnail says you exposed them, but then didn't actually expose anyone.
So am I correct to say that win rate is inversely proportional to RRR? There're some traders who claim that they have high win rate and high RRR which I think is impossible. Scammer detected? 😅
What do you consider high RRR?
My RRR per trade is between 1:1 and 1:4…more like 1:2 on average.
1:2 and above. Just wondering if it's possible to achieve both. I'm currently struggling to achieve anything higher than 1:1.
@gilbertteo5938 well then it’s either lack of skill or your strategy. Cannot evaluate from here. But again: stick to your target 1:2 and 40% win rate. This will make you profitable
@@berndskorupinski Thanks for your invaluable advice. Will work on it.
MY IST VIDEO OF THE DAY . SIR HOW CAN I TAKE YOUR COURSE . PLESE LET ME KNOW . SUERLY I WAS UNDER THE WRONG GURUS FROM PAST THREE YEARS. PLEASE HELP ME OUT ❤ FROM KASHMIR
Apply online. Link in video description
LOVE FROM INDIA ❤ MAKE VIDEO PIVIOT POINT TPYES OF ZONE
Thank you for your support from India! I'll definitely consider your suggestion.
what is he doing with his hands all the time .-.
?
Duro
Michael Joe Huddleston a.k.a ICT : MY WINRATE IS FXXKING 96%.
Me : *Stops watching*
Also me : *Proceeds to watch Bernd Skorupinski*
Haha 😂 love love love your comment. ICT founder is a 🤡. Haven’t seen anything like him in my entire trading career. Disgrace for the trading community.
Dude, I win them all.
Haha of course you do 😝
I would sell my granny for a 50% win rate
😅😅 I guess a lot of work to do!
"give me a break" 🤣🤣. More of these pls! I hope verifying gains becomes a standard, tired of the lies 🥱. I was wondering with a fixed risk (rather than %,) how/when do you decide to increase/decrease the amount? Tia. Love your videos ❣
Called milestone planning. Will cover that in one of my next videos how to give yourself a raise in trading. Happy and safe trading ❤
@@berndskorupinski I look forward to it!😍
Ashraf also?
You can decide for yourself. Don’t know him.