NEW MAP Reveals Trump's VICTORY Path
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- Опубликовано: 15 сен 2024
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Krystal and Saagar discuss new polling showing Trump's path to victory.
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#news #politics #youtube
Raise your hand if you have never been polled! *raises mine.
I was polled in Georgia a few days ago
@@traceycopeland6922 I used to get polled all the time. I wouldn’t answer them but I finally did a few weeks ago. Told em I was voting for Trump and I haven’t been polled since. 😂 In AZ btw
I was polled via text a few days ago.
@@SpeedroidTerrortop hah
Haha comments didn't go the way you expected 😂😂😂
Tbh I think the key to this election is winning 270 electoral votes
The math checks out
That’s an incredible leap of logic. Breathtaking.
Why would you say something so controversial yet so brave
@@adzk7239 the math is mathing bigly
War
In my opinion Trump needs to win 269 votes or more to attain Victory.
Solid opinion
I just checked the Math... you're right
I think it's 420
In my opinion he should be in jail already. Fraud, rape, insurrection, stealing classified docs, just for starters. Anyone else would in jail for 20+ years. Who is voting for this vile criminal?
@suedavis3525 try listening to more independent media.
Polls do not exist to reflect public opinion. They exist to direct public opinion.
Nuance suggests that some are done better than others, some have funding from both sides. Some are consistently more accurate, and none are 100% accurate.
🤡🤡 (we need a tinfoil hat emoji)
Have you ever been influenced by a poll? I haven't
Are you influenced by a poll? I'm not. Why would you think other Americans are?
I've been a voter for 17 years... never once been asked to take a poll ... everyone I know who doesn't have blue hair and has a job is voting Trump this time.
No need for a 10 minute segment:
Conclusion: The polls say that most swing-states are in the margin of error. So everything is a statistical tie and we have no idea who is winning.
Its going to become more apparant who's winning very soon.
@@Wolfsheim23 Yes, during the eleciton. Reagan was "losing" two weeks before 1980 election. But he trounces Carter on election night. It's far too early to make a judgement here.
@@Astrobucks2 Its pretty apparant now, but so many news sources are still trying to hide it. It's getting too obvious to hide though. Not even counting the fact that Republican are always under estimated in Poles. That is extra percentages in his favour. He's way ahead already. They are going to cheat like hell again, but at least they won't have 480 Million Zuckerbucks this time around to "Get out the vote"
Trump always polls down, so if it shows a tie or within the margin of error - I would say that November will be a surprise
Every one of these ‘shocking new poll’ videos say the same shit over and over
Saagar, blink twice if you've been captured.
😂
He definitely got a stern stern talking to. How dare him have an unbiased opinion or be based in reality. 😂😂😂
"He doesn't agree with my braindead uneducated, unintelligent takes so I'll just say he's been compromised."
Yup, he changed and Kris-Steel is the Captain 😅
Can someone explain how he’s changed I keep seeing comments about him being compromised but I’m not following what he actually believes vs what he’s saying
If Trump is only down 1 or 2 points in the polls then hes most likely ahead of Harris. In 2016 and 2020 he was underestimated in the polling.
Seemed to be 3-5% difference. They had him winning Ohio narrowly in 2020. I could look at all the Trump signs in my neighborhood and know that was a joke. He won by nearly 10 %
@Gr8gg787 Biden was supposed to win WI by 7% but he ended up only winning by 0.8%. So, if Trump is this close to Harris at this point I feel good about his chances
@@jpenirTrump isn't winning this election 😂😂😂
@ish7957 Nate Silver has Trump at 58% chance of winning and Kamala at 41%. I think he has a good chance. The last four years have been horrible on peoples pocketbook
@@ish7957🤡
The only question you need to ask yourself before voting: "Is your life better or worse now than 4 years ago?"
You know Trump is doing well when Krystal isn't constantly smiling during a segment.
hahahaha
Literally my take when the video started 😂
It’s true. What happened to this channel? It used to be a little more center. She has the worst poker face. And they’ve basically turned into a msnbc satellite channel.
@@sodapop5202 Kyle messed her up with his radicalism.
By all metrics he isn't doing well lol.
This is all predicated on the notion that these polls are worth...something...anything?
It's like the stock market, every week it's either up or down. And you can't extrapolate much with any certainty.
However, the weekly change and conversation influences people to react to what they don't like. So it bounces up and down. People who engage in politics often are like investors who are discovering price. So it's a chaotic process, but you can't call it meaningless.
Check the Washington state primary. It indicates they were heading towards an environment slightly bluer than 2020. It suggests a very close election that slightly tilts towards Kamala. Trump could certainly still pull it out with a close win in PA and GA.
They have been accurate all along, but races have been so close and margins within the margin of error, its easy to not see it.
Cnn sits on its polls to push the narrative that kamala is doing better than she is
@@SquidofCubes It's clear to see that these polls spawn an array of effort based on their results - so certainly not meaningless when looking at it through that lens. That said, I do suspect some of these polls can be skewed towards bias. The way the polls are conducted, the way they are aggregated, and perhaps the questions themselves may lead to inaccuracies. Sure - we can point to polls that were within the margin of error after an election, but we can also point to polls that prove quite the opposite. I think if the pollsters are honorable, then sure...they are worth metering the pulse (and some are indeed honorable) - but I have a strong suspicion that many of them are not. Given the insane gaslighting going on, I would say I'm suspicious at best...
I live in Suburban Atlanta, and I see nothing but Trump signs.
Meaning you see one or two Trump signs, with the majority of lawns having NO signs.
@SomethingVISCID Sure, the majority have no signs. But "one or two" is definitely incorrect. And the fact that there are ZERO kamala signs outside of Atlanta-proper is telling. Especially since I remember quite a few Biden signs in 2020.
@@SomethingVISCID alot of high profile Black Americans have come out in support of Trump - and all Americans have suffered under the current energy/economic policies, as well as DEM COVID SHUTDOWNS, Gender ideology in k-12, trying to subvert Title 9 for girls/women's athletics, etc. DEMS blocking school choice and putting illegal aliens in low income miniority neighborhoods in Sanctuary cities is not helping the Dem black vote either.
@@SomethingVISCIDno sign does not mean Harris supporter.
@@edwardbatista7920
Putin just endorsed Harris 😂
he thinks its a clown lol! low iq dei joke
I saw! That's hilarious!
That was sarcasm. Wasn’t it?
Will you denounce putins endorsement?
Look at how effectively they have been clowning the biden and harris administration the past four years
People who like trump dont do polls how many times are they gonna learn this
Haha still doesn't make a difference
@ish7957 It does to Kamala who can't give an interview to save her life...
They also don’t poll people who are registering in the last few months and that has been heavily democratic
And the was the argument in 2020 and his lost. It was also the argument for the red way and it wasn’t true
@@ljviks22in 2020 he did MASSIVELY better than the polls predicted. He was supposed to lose WI by 17 pts and PA by 9 pts according to the polls.
Twice. That's all he's got, unless he's going to "Putin" himself.
Krystal's bias is getting more prevalent each day, she almost cannot hide it at all anymore.
…have you not been paying attention? Both these people are bias that’s literally the point of the show.
Of course she’s bud, she doesn’t hide that fact at all. That’s the show lol
I don't even watch this channel any more I just tune in from time to time to see what Krystal is bitching about now
Saagar is so WEAK in Krystal’s presence.
I agree. He's a beta male
She’s the ca$$h
@@theworkerhours3141 The presence of a strong liberal woman may cause a conservative to feel subordinate.
@@theworkerhours3141 Don't let the suit fool you. Dude is jacked.
That's because he is not a real conservative.
That's just what they say to get both sides to watch this bullshit
I’m 29 and 10000% voting for Trump
Where do you live?
So your voting 100 times for Trump then? It is true Republicans do the most voting fraud so, good luck with that.
So he can cut your Social Security again?
Lol go ahead. Just don't vote 100 times. That's voter fraud.
Sadly it seems like Harris has nowhere to go but down between now and Election Day.
She's certainly not helping her chances by defending a genocide.
Sadly? Trump 2024 !!!
@@szahmad2416it doesn’t hurt her that much either when the other side is basically pro genocide
@@Christian-lt5ixit’s joever for him too
There is a good chance Kalama will lose Michigan …. Michigan has a large Muslim minority, they have stated that Biden has helped Netanyahu in the killings of 40.000 innocent Palestinians mostly women and children … because of the Genocide they will NOT vote for Democrats.
Looking in as an observer from New Zealand, one question immediately comes to mind in regards to the polling. The poll of Gen Z voters 18-29 demographic had 10% listed as 'Would not vote' which is a significant factor absent from most polling. Bear in mind the highest turnout in your presidential elections was in 2020 when only 66% of eligible voters actually voted. That is 34% of all eligible voters not voting. The polling never looks at the breakdown in demographics of those who did not vote, nor the reasons they didn't and it is never factored in when new polls are released. If for example you had 97% turnout and all of the ones who normally didn't vote, instead voted for Jill Stein or Cornel West they could actually win as no US president has ever managed to get even 35% of eligible voters to vote for them, ever in your entire history. The question really is though, who will on election day have the most number of supporters not cast any vote at all. Whose fan base will desert them the most , when it matters the most
So boring. Only the media is obsessed with polling and analyzing them minute by minute sounding very serious.
The idea is trying to get a picture of what is going on. They have run their own polls with various groups to try and figure that out too.
This is dumb.... Trump is well ahead...
My wife and I are voting for Trump. We get polling texts and emails everyday and we don’t respond.
Great story
Where is Kamalas After Convention bump ??
Neutralized by her cnn interview
Hiding with Trump's post-assassination attempt and RNC bump.
She got no bump in the polls
@@c.f.okonta8815yet somehow her numbers went up in these swing states.
The after convention bump relates to approval rating, which I believe has gone up
Oh look, a CNN poll shows her winning...
Bruh, even Rasmussen has her winning. Do you have a point or are those just copium shudders?
Copium
Even Rasmussen, trump's favorite poll, has her winning.
Everyone who supports Trump in anyway shape or form needs to show up and vote. You can't skip voting this election.
Keep going with the cope I just made popcorn
You know, Quasimodo predicted all of this
Georgia, Virginia, Michigan, and Wisconsin all going blue seems pretty optimistic.
Georgia and Virginia especially. Trump is doing good in both states
They all went blue in 2020, and the polling is in the margin of error at worst for Harris. The odds themselves are optimistic.
In Wi, I see a lot more Trump signs and people who don’t like Harris because what she’s done in office
@@MrBazBake you got to factor in the economy, a lot of people don't like the state of the economy and will look back fondly on trumps economy.
@MrBazBake he will win georgia and lose Virginia
Idk why no one is talking about the shame voters. When it comes to trump supporters, we know who the loud ones are. But the smart ones are quiet about their vote. They ain’t bragging about it. They ain’t talking about it. But they’re there.
The silent votes are definately a thing. Particularly in very blue areas. Myself as a young white woman who lives in deep blue northern Virginia…I do not feel comfortable sharing my opinions because I have found that the democrats in this area treat me like shit for not thinking like them so I just stopped talking. Be that a good or bad thing that democrats have made me feel like I have to self censor…it is what it is. I find I am very tolerant but other are not tolerant of me.
Yeah...but this time it'll likely work in the reverse because the "shame" vote issue is abortion. That's pretty much what happened in 2022 when the red wave became a red trickle (Dems should have still kept the House; they didn't because New York established Dems were f*cking incompetent and selfish).
@@katelady1370 I hear you. I live in FL but a very blue part of it. Very few of my friends and family would put up with saying I will be voting R. Yet, I cannot pull the lever for the outright rigging of the system for Kamala.
This could also be true in the reverse in Georgia tho
@@katelady1370is irrelevant in very blue areas. But in purple states very relevant
I don’t pay attention to polls because in 2016 Trump was “losing in the polls” 🤡 yet Mr. Trump still became president.
By getting nearly 4m fewer votes
There is a good chance Kalama will lose Michigan …. Michigan has a large Muslim minority, they have stated that Biden has helped Netanyahu in the killings of 40.000 innocent Palestinians mostly women and children … because of the Genocide they will NOT vote for Democrats.
I agree, look what happened in Israel when they re-elected Netanyahu, another candidate with legal issues still withstanding.
Idk, I seem to remember the polls saying Hillary was up being in the margin of error. They were basically right, except those polls didn’t factor in the electoral college. But I could be mistaken, that seems like a long time ago. Either way, imo Harris/ Walz is the lesser of 2 evils.
@@alexanderstefanov6474The polls take into account losing the popular vote.
Kamala is going to BLOW IT with her rushing to the center.
she can rush to my center
She's going to blow it on Sept.10.
Cause price controls was a winning suggestion...
No. Kamala is already perceived as a further left of Biden and Walz is even more so than her. This is off putting to moderates and independents. The only people that would be happy would be the progressives - which will vote for her anyway. The right seems to be stopping their RINO witch hunt to extend an olive branch to estranged former Republicans and disenchanted moderate Dems. The party that figures out that 49% of potential voters are unaffiliated (up from 43% last year), will likely win. This is why Trump's pick of Vance looks like a complete cluster in retrospect. But, Harris gave them a second chance by picking Walz. Trump seized upon that opportunity by joining forces with RFK, Jr. He doesn't have a huge following but they are a loyal anti-establishment crowd and enough to even things out. All polls have huge margins of error and all of them are greater than the margin within the swing states - so it remains anyone's guess what will happen in November.
@@mathurex211to a great portion of the voting population banning price gouging is absolutely winning rhetoric
Ladies and gentleman, find you a person that loves you as much as BP loves talking in circles about polls
Saagar has lost his voice. It's like he's extremely afraid of Krystal. Awful to see.
We call it simping
I notice too. This is starting to become unwatchable
He agrees with her all the time now
Krystal, Kyle and Grim have hijacked this channel, Saagar and Emily need to split.
@@Chiefbadbruuuuuh Agreed
I think Trump will win New Mexico and Georgia. I live in NM and literally everyone is voting Trump, might be different in Albuquerque but in all the other cities hes way WAY ahead.
I remember hearing the same shit from now until election day about the "Anointed One" as well. How'd that turn out again?
But this is not 2016..... If anything, Trump's position is more akin to HRC in 2016.
Trump is seen as the asininely corrupt criminal.
Trump is running on nothing. ME ME ME!!! Harris BAD!
The roles are totally reversed
It's getting harder and harder to differentiate BP from Corporate Media, It's crazy Emily and Ryan have more nuanced positions than Krystal and Saagar.
Yup. Been noticing this for a couple of months. Very sad.
@@daniellewestenmeyer8444 Yea it is, Saagar doesn't offer anything close to Conservative, or Republican positions. He just agrees with Krystal on 90% of things. The money and them being "partners" have effected the product. Krystal has no problem pushing her ideas and biased opinion all the time
@@ThatLife4UBut the basic premise of the Show is that Krystal and Saagar are Populist rather than traditional republicans or Democrats. It just so happens that one of them is a right leaning populist and the other left leaning. Saagar doesn‘t exklusively say conservative things in a traditional Sense than Krystal says traditionaly Democratic things
@@jan-philippschneekloth7136 I don't know how long you've been watching them, Saagar used to be a Republican Conservative on The Hill. He said he's politically homeless but that doesn't mean he has to always agree with Krystal and be a Never Trumper. The show is stale now.
@@ThatLife4UI also watched them on the hill and I agree that Saagar used to defend Trump more consistently. But Krystal has also grown more critical of democrats than She used to be. She used to give Even establishment democrats the benefit of the doubt.
I also think we Need to distinguish between political beliefs and political analysis. Saagar still wants Trump to win, but he frequently points out flaws in the Trump campaign. But this doesn‘t mean that he has become a democrat, it just Shows that he is able to distinguish between what he wants to Happen and what is actually Happening.
Never underestimate the human propensity to act against their own best interests
You are not wrong. Americans are now pining for dictatorship.
Never underestimate a progressive American's ability to define what is and what isn't in someone else's interest.
Independent voter who finds this liberal talking point so obnoxious! Why are libs so presumptuous??
People vote with weak feelings not strong logic
As a independent Liberals always think they know better than you
So Krystall believes in CNN polls.???? She has been so biased lately......
1. Krystal, could you just go ahead and wear the Harrris Waltz pin already. She is getting no better than Don Lemon. Weird how the others can keep it together and be impartial but not Krystal, she just drips disdain. 2. The total change in the polls shows the power of the media in picking the President. Kamala was polling like crap, Trump was ahead by a ton. Media went all in on Kamala and now she is winning. Has she done interviews, has she put out policy? NO it is just the power of the media.
The media's entire purpose is to put bad actors in the spotlight. Krystal doesn't even like Kamala, she just (correctly) sees and accepts the very real threat of the power consolidation that has been promised from her opponent.
Edit: Same exact story for me and millions of others, and we're going to vote for Kamala, to tell Donald for a second time that we don't want him as president.
This demographic is not represented by the polls and the election is not going to be close at all.
You sound mad lol
You’d rather her be pro-Trump. Got it.
I don't think she's any more biased than Emily and Saagar wanting Trump to win. I see no problem with it.
@@fearlessfiction6506nope but could she be more like Ryan instead of a schrill b
😂😂 the fact that Krystal and Saagar are pretending like CNN would not fudge the numbers on their own polls is hilarious
18-29 is Gen z?
I’m 28 and born in 1996. Last year of millennial.
If you remember 911, youre a millennial
@@widowsson8192 😢
It depends. The beginning of Gen Z is considered anywhere between 1995 & 2000. I say it's 2000, but believe these generation labels generally useless
I agree!! I would go no further than 26 for a 1st level Gen Z.. and 29 maaaaaaybe 28 back end millennial
Yeah, I was born in 1996 as well and people laugh when I say that we have been called Gen-Z since this article in TIME around 2014-2015. Possibly even before. I say we’re more Zillenials - a combination of both
I don’t care who wins as long as people shut up complaining when they get what they voted for. Don’t complain about your tax dollars funding wars if you vote for Warlord Kamala. Don’t complain about being priced out of homeownership when you vote for Trump, knowing his property management, son-in-law profits when you have to stay renting forever.
As George Carlin said, you only have a right to complain if you don't vote for it.
Guys, if Trump is down by 3 or less, in any swing state, that more than likely means he's ahead. Take Wisconsin. In 16 and 20, the polls were wrong by 5-7 points. Kamala tied or only up 1 automatically means Trump is ahead
Sounds like cope
@@brettcollins7041 it's actually factual. Check the numbers. Hillary and Biden were up by larger margins at this point than Harris. The real cope doesn't accept it...
Looks like facts.
@@JamesSmith-jf5ge show me your facts.
The Dobbs decision changed things. Nothing is "automatic". The red wave never happened in 2022. Polling showed Fetterman trailing Oz in the final week of polling. Fetterman ended up winning by 5 points.
I feel like these “polls” need to start citing their sources. Where was this poll performed. Who was polled? Who sponsored the poll? This would be nice to know.
She sure do got a lot of rhinos backing her Liz Chaney just endorsed her
Yeah, that's only going to drag her down.
aka all the warhawks and uniparty rinos
RINOs not rhinos. The right needs to stop their stupid purity drive witch hunt long enough to win an election. Even Dems seem to have a cancel culture ceasefire to stop hemorrhaging moderates. It's a battle for the independents at this point - each base is locked in.
Yes she's getting the Warmongers
So classic republicans are now rinos, not the lunatic fringe?
You can tell Krystal is sad about the results. What a Democrat operative.
She is COMPLETELY captured.
I live in Michigan and travel the state often and it’s literally 20 to one Trump signs versus Harris signs in the yard. How is this even possible that this is still a blue state?
Inhave never owned a political sign or bumper sticker i vote democrat every election
Because people with yards have a brain … it ain’t yard people voting for Harris
Ask yourself this question: When was the last time a republican won Michigan?
1. Signs don't equal votes
2. Depends highly where you live
3. As other commenter mentioned not everyone voting has a sign or sticker or whatever
Because city populations, which are largely democratic constituents, win elections. I don’t know how many trump signs you see, but Id be surprised if it is an accurate ratio considering youd need to see 100s of thousands to really matter.
Trump 2024
New polling?! Shock a cnn poll and an abc poll lean left..
Lean left? No. Lean corporate yes. Lean establishment yes. Lean status quo yes.
@@LeftWingNationalist Lean Liberal. True leftists hate the democrats.
You’d be surprised but some polls you claim are left wing like NYT poll are actually one of the most accurate
lean anti-authoritarian
So does FOX ... cope harder.
Fingers crossed for Trump 2024 🇺🇸 Victory!
Nice stereotyping Saagar :( As a white suburanite, I listen to youtube and independent media, not the NY times. Do better!
There's literally more in this country than left or right on EVERYTHING.... she gets gains from the center
Why am I looking at a CNN poll??..... Broken points
Can't win a primary without Trump
Can't win a general with Trump
History says otherwise.
@@onehairybuddha
actually history confirms it.
just look at what has happened to the republicans since 2018......they keep underperforming more and more the more they cling to drumpf.
Trump has far more paths to victory then Kamala Harris.
@@onehairybuddha yeah, 2020 and 2022 was fantastic for Trumpland.
@@fwdcnorac8574 Take your blinkers off.
Krystal looks miserable. She is not independent media.
You can take her out of MSNBC but you can’t take the MSNBC out of her.
what a stupid comment
Lol independent means you don't have an opinion I guess 🤣 lol guess Joe Rogan isn't independent he has opinions 😂
So, you really don't know what the term independent media is do you? NM, we all know the answer.
They aren't claiming to be neutral
I really wish these guys would cover Prof. Allan Lichtman's prediction! It'd be interesting to see, and much more useful than uselessly toiling over unreliable polls
I just read his analysis after reading your comment. He picks Harris to win, and says she will win because he says that 8 of 13 "Key Questions" favor Kamala Harris. I actually like his model, based on the 13 keys, but I don't agree with his analysis that Kamala has hit 8/13 keys. He gives her credit for short term and long term economic goals. He can't be serious. I like the model, but his analysis is clearly biased and can't be taken seriously.
@@roycesimonds7730 There's no key for "tried a coup" or "took rights from half the country" but there are definitely corresponding voters. His keys don't mean anything this year
@@roycesimonds7730 Oh wow, I'm glad my comment inspired you to look at his model! I like it as well.
As far as I'm aware, the short term and long term economy Keys are truly yes or no answers that are fairly simple and very objective. (A, Short Term Economy) The US is NOT in a recession, aka, the NBER has not declared a recession because GDP has not been declining for a sustianed period of time, and unemployment has not been steadily rising, ect ect.. (B, Long Term) real per capital economic growth HAS been equal to or exceeded mean growth from the 2 previous terms.
These are numbers, not opinions! I'm more interested in how he quantifies Social Unrest, to be honest with you.
@@tjmaster7779 if you ask the average person, the economy is not doing well because their purchasing power has decreased dramatically because of inflation. All those numbers mean nothing if the people’s personal pocketbook is taking a hit. The way he views economic success is wrong. The economy is very obviously a liability for Harris, not a strength.
@@dbptwg @dbptwg Critics of Lichtman's model say that every year, my friend! Also, the Keys indirectly factor in events which are external to the Keys; for instance, the fact that Trump attempted a coup (I think thats what you're referring to?) likely impacted Key 13, Challenger Charisma, because Trump's base of appeal shrank following Jan. 6th. Furthermore, the Keys have proven true for elections with far more transformative issues; the first Black President, the debut of social media, retrospectively they apply to the Jim Crow South, the horse-and-buggy days of politics, the Great Depression, ect ect...
Does that mean you're wrong? Not necessarily, Allan Lichtman is just a man after all. But his record of Presidential predictions is stronger than anyone elses, and his historical knowledge is VAST
trump is way ahead imo
Flip NH for Trump and you get 269-269 and a Kennedy presidency?🤔
Praying 🙏
How would Kennedy be president? I know the house would decide, but what would the logic be for deciding Kennedy over the two that earned all the electoral votes?
@@xixingpooh In the event of a contingent election for the U.S. presidency where no candidate wins the required 270 electoral votes, the decision goes to the House of Representatives. Each state delegation gets one vote, and a majority of state delegations (26 out of 50) is required to elect the president.
If the vote ends in a 25-25 tie among state delegations (which is very possible), there is no tie-breaking procedure within the House itself. The election would remain deadlocked. The House would continue voting until one candidate receives a majority of the state delegations.
In this scenario, states may start to look for any compromise alternative since they couldn't possibly vote for the other candidate. Assuming he is the third highest vote-getter, Kennedy would be the only option.
Kennedy is not even in it
@@themuffinunicorn great explanation of the rules, however, I think you missed a very important detail. The donors will tell the house what to do. In no way, shape, or form do the donors want Kennedy as president. Therefore, there will be significant pressure put on a few people to vote (most likely) Harris, or Trump. So you will see a 27-23, or 26-24 victory for one of them.
I suspect Harris, as Trump is a bit more of a wild card against the donors, Harris will do exactly what they want for the next 8 years.
38 years and since I was old enough to vote I have never been polled and neither has anyone I know. Has anyone here ever been polled??
I remember when Sagar said polls were skewed 10 points in favor of democrats.
I still want to know who all these undecided voters are who somehow need more information than they already have to make up their mind...
9:07 It's "girls to boys" or "women to men." Not "girls to men." That just sounds weird. haha!!
Yeah, that was weird but it was a quick recovery from a slip up, unplanned and unintentional
What a weird thing to notice and mention
@@dbptwgit’s a weird thing to not notice
Who's he fooling, Sagar LOVES to say "I told you so!". 😂
I am one of the split ticket voters in NV. The ads here for trump have been insane, have only seen 1/2 ads for Kamala. Talking with my friends here, college educated, mixed race, everyone is voting for trump, half or so will be splitting ticket
So proud of our young men. They see thru the bull and will vote more on policy than “vibes”.
They are low propensity voters
Dems run on emotion and platitudes, men work on logic. Dem strategies and talking points tend to work on women better.
I don‘t think women vote on vibes, rather I think it‘s Roe v Wade
@@jan-philippschneekloth7136 Well, Dems had plenty of opportunities to pass federal Roe v Wade law, and they had plenty of opportunities to block conservative justice confirmations, instead they are taking this golden goose and running with it so they can repackage it next election cycle and explain to you why they couldn't do anything about it.
We’ve achieved Idiocracy. It’s madness that people would pick Trump
I think the PA poll is the most accurate and the WI and MI polls are overestimating Dems. Its hard to poll rural voters especially in Wisconsin where the driftless area will decide the election there
Yea. And in what world is Wisconsin, which has voted to the right of the country by 4 points the last two elections, going for Harris by six points while Trump carries PA? Biden won PA by double the margin he won WI. There’s no way these states are suddenly going from voting in step with eachother to being 7 points apart.
Nope. PA is overstating Republican votes. Senator Casey will win by 2-3 points. It is tight but not as tight as the polls.
Thanks for this! How do you decide which anti-Trump stories to run? 😻🥰
Vote anything but D
Wrong it shows 1 path for Trump and over 4 for Harris
😂😂 nope
Krystal is so worried 😂
It’s still wayyy too early to know.
Nah. It's clear. Trump is going to win an electoral college landslide victory
You guys are pretending the last four years didn’t happen!
Kamala is toast.
Between toast and salad.
Neither side has room the be complacent. Even if Trump wins, it would likely be very close. It is way to close to call right now.
Professor Lichtman 13 keys says she will win. And everyone likes toast.
Does any of this take into account the expanded margin of error for the "Trump Effect" where people say they'll vote Dem but then they get in the poll and vote for Trump?
I agree with Saagar; November would either be a tremendous Harris-Walz victory due to hidden voters not being captured at all or a thin-margin victory for Trump. Honestly, this election comes down to turnout. Both campaigns should be out there with rural and urban cities like they are 10 percent down.
I think the hidden voters are on Trump's side. I've never heard so much sentiment of how shitty these last 4 years have been in my life- not particularly political sentiment but they're definitely aware how shitty things have gotten under Biden compared to Trump.
Why not a thin margin for Harris Walz? I mean I live in PA and I can see that 270-268 squeaker def happening in a close election. This feels so much like 2022 where polls were off here at least. There just isn’t the same excitement for Trump that was in 2020 and certainly not in 2016. I think the margin of victory in Michigan, Wisconsin, and PA is going to be near identical. Even if I’m wrong and she loses PA but it’s barely…then if she turns out Georgia just a bit more due to demographic differences (Atlanta comes out historically again) then she just needs Nevada, Arizona, or North Carolina. Can switch these around but if it’s a squeaker she has way more paths than like the one path for Trump which is basically has to win PA and then hold all the others at or below PA in polling as well.
That guy has NO basis for his opinions. All he does is agree with the boss lady.
Newly registered voters won't be captured in polls of "likely voters"
If these polls stay the way they are, Trump is going to absolutely crush her in the Electoral College. Won't be close at all.
Make Puerto Rico a state, and combine WI and MI to Wiscigan to make sure we stay at 50 states. Great idea Saagar ;)
No bounce necessary. Only thing needed is for those inflated Kamala numbers to deflate.
Professor Lichtman 13 keys says Kamala will win. Sorry
@@manhandlerYou again?
Just stop dude.
Lichtman has been debunked.
But you just wanna vote blue no matter who anyways 😂
@@manhandler It would be interesting if he's wrong to see how he'd explain it.
Does Krystal just want to ignore Polymarket and Nate Silver modelling all indicating Trump victory?
All of the polls mentioned are oversampling Democrats.
I can't see him losing this .. Looking at 2016 and 2020, he was always behind .. the polls aren't that accurate.
LOL!!!! Copium!!
But the 2022 polls were behind for democrats and they came out ahead a lot. I agree polls aren't that accurate. As far as I can tell this is a toss up race that will come down to turn out.
@@wlliebeman25no it's true, trump has always under performed in both elections by a good amount
If he loses as polls currently indicate I know what you’re already going to say lol.
You really can't see a possibility of him losing? He is one of the most unpopular politicians in US History. That means you are either delusional or in a crazy bubble separate from reality. Anyone can lose, its a toss-up.
Ah BP low key pulling for Trump while low key undercutting Dems 🙄
Harris’s “live” interview with her emotional support person with her was a terrible embarrassment to her campaign. The debates are going to be great.
Trump did the same thing. Find something REAL to complain about.
Literally no one cares about a tradition that has been followed by every President since the days of yore. Nobody but you, it seems.
@@SomethingVISCID Trump has done several multi-hour sit down interviews in recent weeks, Harris put out a 19 out of 44 minute interview she pre-recorded and had her VP pick by her side to help the entire way. Comparing the two is being dishonest at best.
awwwe. Sorry it wasn't what you wanted.
@@d.c.o.7544 You thought that was a good interview? They should fire her entire team for pure incompetence. There was so much wrong with it, plus they filmed over 40 minutes with her and could only use half which was not good either. Makes you wonder what they cut out.
We should be free to choose how we vote...right? So why does the media always segregate voters by traits that don't reflect our choices like race, age, and sex? 🤔
Real talk, i believe Trump is going to take it in a blowout; I don’t feel Kamala will be remotely close.
LOL!!! Copium!!!
...why would think either party is going to get a blowout?! Trump has to be one of the most hated man in the country
@@HolyAlricthe "why", is because Trump has stayed consistent on who he is. Like him or hate him, he's...Trump. The Biden Harris administration royally have screwed over so many different "groups". I have a range of friends who are all different politically, and every single one who's openly admitted they're a registered Democrat refuse to vote for her. They're going Green Party, even knowing Green Party won't win, but they refuse to support her. That's just what I'm hearing and seeing on my end. It could be completely different for other people! I just personally think we're going to see a slight increase in third party voters even if they're registered to a different party. People just can't morally vote for either. 25-55 more liberals area community here.
That's why she was chosen, so nobody of worth would hurt their 2028 opportunity
I don't think it will be a blow out but I do think the polls are underestimating Trump again (especially Bloomberg, Morning Consult, and IPSOS). Unfortunately 312 to 226 seems very possible again
When the Trumpster swings Nevada and Georgia it’s game over on this map. 🤣
Krystal ball is unbearable
The people who watch expecting to hate everything Krystal says and then leaving a comment letting everyone know they think Krystal sucks is unbearable. You're going to hate everything she says so why bother
I think having Michigan and Wisconsin as blue is laughable at this point. No way Kamala wins those now.
The fake hate crimes was one of the things i missed the most about the Trump years.
The ad nauseum hit pieces were fun too.
If Harris wins gaslighting is gonna be Biden 2.0 but this time with racism and misogyny 😂
I miss fake Russian meddling in the elections
It's going to be that way no matter who wins. If Trump wins it will be "the rise of white supremacy inspired by a Trump presidency." If Harris wins it will be "the rise of white supremacy in response to a Harris presidency."
What do you mean? Hate crimes went down by 25% (from 8000 to 6000 per year) right when Obama took office, and stayed down through the Obama years. Then they went right back up (to 8000/yr) under trump, and stayed there thru the trump years.
I think a lot of people voted Trump out specifically because they wanted an end to the ad nauseum hit pieces to be honest
After the initial hilarity, memes and schadenfreude, it was so tiresome, especially when they decided to plaster mandatory late night talk show hosts and "news" on top of your subscriptions in RUclips
Professor Lichtman 13 keys says Kamala will win. We still need to vote 1st.
Latinos for Trump 2024🎉🎉🎉
You're not a real person
Is he a Russian bot?
@@TheTruthDragonNJ09Says the fictitious animal of truth.
en serio vas a votar por el payaso responsable de la muerte de mi abuela?
@@banic8576 - OOOOH, you got me!!!
Well if you're gonna talk about this you have to talk about how young women are comparatively/statistically the same for Harris as they were for Biden 2020. Whereas, young men have swung WIDELY for Trump, especially in the swing states.
Arizona is a boarder state, that’s the real difference between NV and AZ.
Personally I don’t think Michigan and Wisconsin are going blue again. I think Tim Walz’s handling of the Protest in Minneapolis has soured Wisconsin and Michigan who don’t want to suffer the same failure.
Polls in Wisconsin are awful as well. They basically only poll Milwaukee and Madison and completely ignore the driftless area which is the region of the state that decides which way it goes. Considering Trump was down by 10 in the polls in 2020 and he lost Wisconsin by less than a point I would say these results are great for Trump
@@AdamSmith-gs2dvThe polls almost don't matter this year. There are millions of women/democracy voters that are not captured by the polls. It's not going to be close at all.
*border
@@dbptwg Black/Hispanic/Asian/Muslim/Jewish voters are swinging to Trump at higher rates this time for different reasons - The economy, COVID shutdowns killing small businesses/public education, Gender Ideology, Rampant crime, Isreal/Gaza policies, how Dems have handled college campus and other protests, etc.
I think this is cope prepared ahead of time.
Saagar you need to leave Krystals Points and go make your own show.
lol why does Krystal always have a hard time with which camera to look at
I think she's always looking at a producer or her shit lib husband to make sure she's on the right talking points
Partially blame the crew
You can be bad at worse things. They switch it up on her a lot. There are other things you can criticize her over that are much more valid.
BCS she is over-excited every time she reads TRUMP! 😂
Kristal if your married 100% your husband Beta… Soft and week
You gonna cover Trump saying he has the right to interfere with the election?
You are so brainwashed. I couldnt imagine the kinds of facebook posts you make
When had he said that? I have listened to every single interview and podcast all the way through. I am critical of Trump. I was an RFK supporter. I never heard anything like that. It must be some clip that the media is spinning taken out of context. Because I have listened to everything from the source.
@@katelady1370
he has said it in almost every interview.
of course he doesnt refer to it as "interfere with the election", but that's exactly what he describes.
listen to his interviews, in context.
he calls it "dispute the election", but the things he describes are election interference.
@@sabin97Ah, so once again, it’s your interpretation. Got it.
@@rainedyani8505no he actually said that verbatim this week. “Whoever heard you get indicted for interfering with a presidential election where you have every right to do it, you get indicted, and your poll numbers go up?”
In regards to the polls, let’s not forget how skewed they were in 2016 for Killary.. These numbers for Kamala are just as inflated as they were in 2016. And am cautiously optimistic that Trump will stay true to his word in having RFK an active part in his cabinet. Hopefully this failed assissination attempt will give him some purpose and resolve to follow through on the rampant corruption. We’ll see..
As a resident of North Carolina, I don't believe any map that gives NC to Trump. Josh Stein, the Dem candidate for NC Governor, is currently running between 5-10% ahead of the Republican candidate, Robinson. We have a lot of Dems motivated to vote because of the recent (2023) changes to abortion law in the state. I just don't see our state splitting the vote, and giving the Governorship to Stein while letting Trump take the Presidency.
Cooper ran 3 points ahead of Biden in 2020 (Trump won by1.5%) . Not hard to see Stein winning by 4 or 5 and Trump still pulling out the W. Stein isn't going to win NC by 10 points.
North Carolina Trump
Voter here!! 👋. I know a TON of people that are done with the Democrat party and are voting for Trump.
Cherry picking a CNN poll? Also ignoring trump drastically out performed polls in the last 2 elections
CT for Trump.
CT for Harris, easily
@@NastyDHL sorry, CT aint that stupid. We vote to save our state. Trump wins.
@@edriley2703 No need to apologize for being in denial
I’m not voting for Trump but at this point, I’m not going to worry. Let him win & I hope all the fools get what’s coming to them.
your source is NBC? c'mon breaking point you can do better than thtat.
Nah. They can't. They're MSNBC now.
When you're looking for trends in data, taking data from possibly bogus sources is fine because you can immediately see the bogus ones by comparison. Refusing to review the poll based on who took it is childish and counter-productive.
I laugh at all polls giving Kamala Wisconsin. They under polled Trump by 8 points in 2016 and 2020 there. Trump is winning Wisconsin.