DeSantis would crush Biden, DeSantis is very calculated and young. Trump vs Biden would be a coin flip. But anyone younger and decent National favorability would win against Biden.
Keep in mind just because he's doing well in Florida doesn't mean he would do well nationally, I think some of his stances would be too extreme for the electorate
@@eddyland1557 Of course but yet no one listens to me when I would stay that. I mean people luv him in Florida , but what about in other states like Arizona , Pennsylvania , Georgia , Wisconsin , and Nevada? You never know
Great video. I thought RDS would win after you called NE-2 early for him, but I agree that Biden wins narrowly. One disagreement: I would think that AZ flips to RDS before GA. Yes, the Democrats did better in AZ in the 2022 midterms but they also ran against disastrous two GOP candidates at the top of the ticket, whereas they only faced one in GA. The ATL and PHX suburbs will be competitive for RDS, but the key difference that makes AZ an easier flip than GA is that RDS will have an easier time picking up Hispanics than African Americans. Certainly possible that NV could flip before AZ though. Open to being wrong about this and it's a minor disagreement, and overall hats off to you for a great video!
I can't see the rust belt voting for Biden again. After carrying Biden, and then him shutting down the pipeline, Michigan and Pennsylvania really suffered from that.
@@YankeeValleyOutdoors Exactly, but trump lost the rust belt in 2020. He's likely to lose it again, and even more so with all 4 of those states having other top Democrats on the ballot.
@@ramusic2480 I'm doubtful any Republican candidate would win in 2024. I will support Trump though because he has the best shot. Only way I see Republicans winning the rust belt again is if they embrace mail in ballots. Nikki Haley would put Ohio at risk. Ron DeSantis has a shot at Wisconsin but that's it he has no chance at Pennsylvania or Michigan. Most of these Trump only voters in the rust belt are former Democrats. We've seen multiple times they don't bother voting unless Trump's on the ballot. Like Trump or not he has a strong strength in the rust belt. He's able to turn out voters that feel like they've been forgotten. I think the Republican party needs to move in a direction after Trump of candidates like the governor of Virginia. He has the same policies yet he has the best optics out of any Republican. I would support him running in 2028 over DeSantis.
@@YankeeValleyOutdoors I completely understand. But if I'm gonna be brutally honest, I don't think Trump will take back the Rust belt in 2024 after losing it to Biden in 2020. Trump is more unpopular than he was back in 2020, is still facing scandal after scandal, has not changed one bit, and neither has he made an effort to convince voters that he changed at all. Can he perform better in it than other Republicans? Probably. Part of the reason Trump won WI and PA in 2016 was because popular Republican senators, who won reelection in those states in a landslide, were on the ballot. I think Hillary clinton would've won all those states had those Republicans not given Trump the boost. As for Ohio, I think it now has as much of a chance of becoming blue like Arizona has of becoming red again. Both of these states were purple, but are now trending away from a certain party. As for Virginia's 2021 governor race, Terry McAuliffe was already governor, and he was an unpopular governor. Back in the time of the election, Democrats had no ambition, goal, or good reason to drive their voters to the polls. The Congress was on deadlock, and Biden had no significant legislative achievements other than the ARP. It also showed that in metro areas in Virginia, turnout was very low for Terry. Youngkin had no reasonable policy either and only ran on Critical race theory and inflation. In 2022, Democrats had reasons to drive voters to the polls, attacking the lack of Republican ideas to tackle inflation, their disrespect for American democratic norms, the overturn of Roe v wade, and climate change/Health care policy. Republicans ran on exactly what Youngkin ran on in 2021. It only worked for the GOP in solid red states, while it worked for the Democrats in purple states that the GOP will need to flip in 2024 if they want to take back the White House and Senate. But sure, if you want them to follow Youngkin, Trump, or DeSantis, don't be surprised, you'll congratulate Biden for winning a 2nd term already.
You didn't even have to watch the video to know how this "prediction " turns out, all you needed to know is he used MSDNC graphics And yes,happens on both sides.
These graphics are amazing! Great job!!
I agree but Nevada stays blue.
DeSantis would crush Biden, DeSantis is very calculated and young. Trump vs Biden would be a coin flip. But anyone younger and decent National favorability would win against Biden.
Not true.
I wouldn’t trust the polls tbh
Keep in mind just because he's doing well in Florida doesn't mean he would do well nationally, I think some of his stances would be too extreme for the electorate
@@eddyland1557 Of course but yet no one listens to me when I would stay that. I mean people luv him in Florida , but what about in other states like Arizona , Pennsylvania , Georgia , Wisconsin , and Nevada? You never know
@@eddyland1557 Yeah well I heard back in 2012 oh Mitt Romney is a centrist he is in the middle he can win. And he lost.
I think ron would carry Arizona and win and possibly still keep Nevada
Do you think Ron will run?
@@politicpredictor9593 I think he will in 2028
Hope Ron desantis
✅
Great video. I thought RDS would win after you called NE-2 early for him, but I agree that Biden wins narrowly. One disagreement: I would think that AZ flips to RDS before GA. Yes, the Democrats did better in AZ in the 2022 midterms but they also ran against disastrous two GOP candidates at the top of the ticket, whereas they only faced one in GA. The ATL and PHX suburbs will be competitive for RDS, but the key difference that makes AZ an easier flip than GA is that RDS will have an easier time picking up Hispanics than African Americans. Certainly possible that NV could flip before AZ though. Open to being wrong about this and it's a minor disagreement, and overall hats off to you for a great video!
This seems like a real map. Although it would be NE-2 going blue with ME-2 going red, having the same 270 to 268 outcome.
I can't see the rust belt voting for Biden again. After carrying Biden, and then him shutting down the pipeline, Michigan and Pennsylvania really suffered from that.
Hi, I’m trying to make an election night vid and the slides are hard just asking if you may have a power point I could use?
To win
Looks like someone set fires at the banks
No way for DeSatan to win Nevada.
Nevada has been trending R in recent cycles, and Ron DeSantis is a good fit for the sunbelt. He probably overperforms Trump 2020 and wins GA + AZ + NV
Agree with this Biden win, but either WI or GA should go blue.
Let's be honest Trump has a better chance in the rust belt then Ron.
@@YankeeValleyOutdoors Exactly, but trump lost the rust belt in 2020. He's likely to lose it again, and even more so with all 4 of those states having other top Democrats on the ballot.
@@ramusic2480 I'm doubtful any Republican candidate would win in 2024. I will support Trump though because he has the best shot. Only way I see Republicans winning the rust belt again is if they embrace mail in ballots. Nikki Haley would put Ohio at risk. Ron DeSantis has a shot at Wisconsin but that's it he has no chance at Pennsylvania or Michigan. Most of these Trump only voters in the rust belt are former Democrats. We've seen multiple times they don't bother voting unless Trump's on the ballot. Like Trump or not he has a strong strength in the rust belt. He's able to turn out voters that feel like they've been forgotten. I think the Republican party needs to move in a direction after Trump of candidates like the governor of Virginia. He has the same policies yet he has the best optics out of any Republican. I would support him running in 2028 over DeSantis.
@@YankeeValleyOutdoors I completely understand. But if I'm gonna be brutally honest, I don't think Trump will take back the Rust belt in 2024 after losing it to Biden in 2020. Trump is more unpopular than he was back in 2020, is still facing scandal after scandal, has not changed one bit, and neither has he made an effort to convince voters that he changed at all. Can he perform better in it than other Republicans? Probably. Part of the reason Trump won WI and PA in 2016 was because popular Republican senators, who won reelection in those states in a landslide, were on the ballot. I think Hillary clinton would've won all those states had those Republicans not given Trump the boost. As for Ohio, I think it now has as much of a chance of becoming blue like Arizona has of becoming red again. Both of these states were purple, but are now trending away from a certain party. As for Virginia's 2021 governor race, Terry McAuliffe was already governor, and he was an unpopular governor. Back in the time of the election, Democrats had no ambition, goal, or good reason to drive their voters to the polls. The Congress was on deadlock, and Biden had no significant legislative achievements other than the ARP. It also showed that in metro areas in Virginia, turnout was very low for Terry. Youngkin had no reasonable policy either and only ran on Critical race theory and inflation.
In 2022, Democrats had reasons to drive voters to the polls, attacking the lack of Republican ideas to tackle inflation, their disrespect for American democratic norms, the overturn of Roe v wade, and climate change/Health care policy. Republicans ran on exactly what Youngkin ran on in 2021. It only worked for the GOP in solid red states, while it worked for the Democrats in purple states that the GOP will need to flip in 2024 if they want to take back the White House and Senate. But sure, if you want them to follow Youngkin, Trump, or DeSantis, don't be surprised, you'll congratulate Biden for winning a 2nd term already.
@@ramusic2480 Keep in mind the governor of Virginia has an approval rating in the 50s. Like I said before optics mean everything.
DeSantis or Trump would win Georgia any time anyways
Don't even pretend that Mr. 35% approval rating is going to do anything except get crushed like a grape
Ron can't even win with Don
TBH, i do see this happening even if desantis and trump are probably more popular than Biden
Hope there’s a faithless elector for Biden
You didn't even have to watch the video to know how this "prediction " turns out, all you needed to know is he used MSDNC graphics
And yes,happens on both sides.
Hey political parrot, it’s standard to use some of the big news channels as a template because they’re well known and easy to use
Not accurate prediction