It’s amazing really. We have a financial crisis, caused by greedy, reckless financial institutions. Congress passes legislation requiring those institutions to be less greedy and reckless. The institutions then lobby to have those restrictions removed, usually in the name of “remaining competitive”. This leads to another financial crisis. It’s completely predictable, and we have been doing this dance since the Great Depression almost 100 years ago.
Agree; the rules should be applicable to all banks - big or small. First; very few meaningful laws are passed and then this cycle of doing-undoing seems to support deregulation risking the economy and the faith in banks.
I believe using an investing advisor isn’t a terrific idea. In the midst of the 2008 financial crisis, I was literally experiencing horrible dreams before I spoke with an advisor. In conclusion, I was able to increase my initial investment from $320k to almost $2.5 million in 2011 with the aid of my advisor, and I later bought my first investment property.
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Sophia Maurine Lanting for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Hey Jeff, how about an "I've been wrong for more than four years" video series? Start with this call: 8/2/20 Video Titled "The Fed Strikes Out! Negative Interest Rates Soon?" "We're a hair trigger away from negative nominals, not runaway inflation." -Jeff The 30 was at 1.2 and more than tripled after that video. The CPI was 1.3 and "ran away" up to 9.1
@@wagashiohagi i look at history and its been a mirror cycle for 100 years. This time is no different. In fact everything is repeating the same. We are heading into recession.
Nothing worse than taking advice from a guy that doesn’t wash his hair and has empty picture frames hanging behind him that should have legitimate credentials and degrees inside of them.
LoL! I actually made it to the 12:00 mark of today's comedy act, and Jeff didn't disappoint. Absolutely hilarious! I pity those that are naive enough to pay this guy two grand for his "deep dive analysis" useless nonsense.
If you think his argument is wrong then why in your opinion are swap spreads going down? I’m not saying I agree with him or anything I just want to hear another perspective on the same data.
@@HankSemoreButz Perhaps you haven't been paying attention, The Bond Market has been going "to crap" for more than four years. Stay Short TLT/Long TBT.
@@jmwtrades trying to figure out why any market moved in a particular way is a temptation that regularly ensnares people. Jeff has thought for years that he knew the reason why things happen and made some very inaccurate predictions because of his unmerited confidence. Happens to us all, but some of us are able to recognize and admit when it happens, and Jeff so far has not been able to.
Lower interest rates today showing everyone the federal reserve bank is throwing everybody over the cliff, not just old people. Out of control spending out of sight, out of mind. What's not to like ? Living in America 10/7/24
@@ryandeleon222 I hear you. I hope I am wrong. and "they" ... I don't trust them. Ask almost anyone how money comes into existance and they will tell you the Fed prints it. That si incorrect, illegal in fact. and if folks can't get the very basics of what this whole thing is based off of, what else are they wrong about. best of luck, stay safe, be kind. Stack food and water. the more the better. If I am wrong you have a nice stocked pantry if I am right you will be very glad you did.
I made it to the 3 and a half mark, and I call BS! Harley Bassman wrote in his election day special report that according to the level of the MOVE index, ya know the one he created, it was likely the 10 year would move up to 18 bps in either direction, he nailed it in my book. If you had listen to JS pre election day video you probably would have gone long TLT, where it was clear, according to HB's work a near ITM straddle was the play,.......difference between knowledge and guessing.
He is a perma bear and he specially talks about negative stuff for the economy its his niche, there will always be negative factors and sides of the economy go watch someone else if you want good news. As long as there is any bad news, he will focus on it.
Bears do poop in the woods because they know how, where, and when to get a good meal. In the Stock market? Not really, because the lemmings are buying stocks that are pumped up. Bears go to the options market, and buy puts once they know which firms are swimming naked. This is why the Stock market is the Small Casino and the Options Market is the Big Casino. and lemmings can't afford to go there. And it's the place to make money on the downside, which as the US economy is consumption driven and consumers are being tortured on the rack, there is plenty. I mean, why do you think Trump actually won? Because Harris did not address the elephants in the room, and he exploited voter's discontent. But if he ignores the fact that the cost of his proposed tarrifs would fall on American consumers already anorexic wallets, then the Horseshoe will come flying off, as the GOP will sit back and let him do it. Interesting times.
Might be just time to buy the Treasuries as TLT YTD lost 8%. However, Bond yields are going up. People forget thst the composition of the holdings etfs have can affect performance. Look at the actual assets a etf has versus the performance of the assets they should be tracking.
decades long of lower trending rates will be reversed in 4 years by trumpy? what part of the modern economy changed so much that make you thing the low rate addict US economy can suddenly survive in +5% normal rate?
Predict or give guidance on something correctly, not two years early but, say, in a window of 6 months - it will help your credibility - your buddy Brent Johnson's done quite a few decent predictions that actually came about. Doesn't have to be exact, just something other than the incessant sky is falling takes. BTW see what bond yields did today? gosh, golly.
You are so simple. I encourage you to buy lol. The smart ones buy in dips. It takes research (a lot more non financial than most people think) and looking at past trends and recessions. No one can perfectly predict the economy because it’s like the weather. Too many variables. And most importantly, it’s emotional. The 08 crash happened because people believed it was shit. As soon as that switch happens it’s going to crash. No one thinks it’s shit yet because they have the same mental capacity as you. A republican president takes office and everyone gets a post win high. Stocks go with how people feel about the market. You’re smoking crack if you think this market is sustainable. And you’re definitely smoking crack if you think that Harris or trump would be able to fix this. Balls in his court. Dudes not Superman. He’s barely a businessman.
I am not worried about a crisis..because its not here..yet. until then im living below my means, making great memories and invest with commen sense. It makes no sense worrying about something i cant control.
You & your swap spreads 🤣how obtuse can u get? 🤣😂you fit the quant quack bill perfectly 🤣😂 I have done derivatives pricing & it is totally bogus 🤣just like LTCM, these craps have no intelligence whatsoever & even if they did at one point, w the criminal Fed’s poisoning of the bond mkts & volatility picking up, not to mention the geopolitical risks & much higher interconnectedness, that make LTCM look like a baby🤣it has become obvious you haven’t learned a thing from the LTCM debacle which was in a position not even in the 1 percentile of today’s risks & the level of current distortions 🤣😂 Also, did you know that the hot money hedgies are 10-100x (including leverage) compared to the so-called stable institutions? 🤣😂
Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Milton Harper, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Milton's insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.
Remeber folks, this is a chanel for learning how the system works. It's not a place to get an edge on a trade in the market. If you don't understand that you'll be angry for all the wrong reasons
To all the TLT bros who have told me "it's about to moon" over the past 1, 2, 3, 4+ years: I appreciate you being on the other side of the trade, and of course, I told you so.
Not hard to see that TLT broke out of its uptrend on a weekly chart and is now downtrending. Yields are going up not down and we know the gig is up when the FED cuts (QE) and it didn't work. Folks have no idea if the 10 year goes up past 5% and keeps on going they are going to get their faces ripped off. Glad I wasn't the only one that say this.
He's not timing the tsunami, he's just giving more information on the underlying currents. If you need a guru to teach you TA or don't understand how macro works, find another channel or hobby.
From $37K to $65K that's the minimum range of profit return every month I think it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family. ❤️
Jeff can you talk about the fluctuations in the DXY. One day it's and couple days later it's back up to 103 0r 104. Is because every currency has lost more than us which boosts the dollar or the FED just prints more currency. I'm confused.
So am I not understanding this correctly? I/R swap spreads are the difference between the fixed interest rate of the swap and the treasury rate that has the corresponding time frame. So basically, if UST 10Y goes up to where it is now around 4.3 percent and the swap rate is 4 percent, that will cause a negative swap spread of -0.3. But interest rates going up is a bullish signal as it means people don't want UST and are not buying safe and liquid assets. So why then is a negative swap spread caused by UST going up bearish? I must be missing something as I don't understand this. If the UST keeps going up, that is bullish as nobody wants the UST and wants to put their money in more risky assets. But, the higher the UST goes, the more negative the swap spread becomes as its rate is fixed. I must be getting this all wrong as it seems like it's a bullish signal to me?
How dare you try to deeply understand the content? Just listen and place your bets... 😅 Your logic seems spot on to me but I have no clue how I/R swaps fit into the big picture. I will start my research today, though!
Jeff, Your indicators appear to overlook the lack of effective support for the G-7 Nations Fiat Currency? The announcement by Putin of a desire to promote another Bretton Woods style Currency, seemed to happen about the same time the USA stopped supporting the Fiat Currency, that was introduced in 1970? If you have no effective support system for any Fiat Currency, it seems to land on it's lips?
I/R swap spread rises are of no interest to anyone other than investment banks and hedge funds on the wrong side of this trade (bet). The last time this happened, LTCM had to be bailed out in 1998, or the financial system could have failed. For credibility, Jeff should name the FI's (Financial Institutions) standing to lose the most when this all blows up. It could be the reason why Buffet is accumulating cash,. After all, he made a limited time offer to buy the LTCM book of trades when things finally went tits up. In the end, the Fed corralled 16 banks to put up $250M each to manage the LTCM book until its outsized positions were unwound over four years. This time, $3.75B will not cut it, as the outstanding OTC derivative trades connecting these FI's is in the Quadrillions. So the indications are pointing to a collapse of the financial system rather than a recession.
Is the interest rate swaps between UK treasury rate and US treasury rate ... I am trying to inderstand the role of UK treadury bills in london eurodollar market.. Do banks in london borrow UK treasury bills ..and then use the swap and its supporting paper to privide eurodolllar loans in london for the commodity and derivative market.. If i am a global commidities buyer for eg: i am a company buying lead for batteries and i have eurodollar qccount in london..commidites..does the bank privide me with a eurodollar loan on rhe books with a margin placed ..and then settled after a period .. Where do the interest rate swap come in .. I am going by the fact that loans are not made from deposits but a promise to pay and settle in the future creates the dollar deposit for lead purchase..i use lead as an example beciase a purchaser in singapore conpany told me that it is cheaper to buy lead from london than it is from china ..she was more suprised than me that this is a fact..i am trrying to understand the connection between eurodollar and uk treasury bills ..do they use the uk bills as a margin for the eurodollar loans ... Am interesting fact of the 2008nUS crash..is that the UK treasury increased the NI contribution of uk salaries ..that was stable since 2000 ..the National Insurance contributions increased the pooll to buy UK treasuries but why when there was an injection of 800 billion credit in the US market that went straight to the eurodollar market to pay for AiG credit default swaps bought by them from golden sucks
I just switched up my Roth IRA to 50% SCHD, 25% SCHX, 25% SCHG, and my Roth 401k is 70% vanguard S&P 500 index, 20% vanguard growth index, and 10% vanguard international index. Seeking best possible ways to grow $350k into $2m+ before retirement..
As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Kristine Lynn Weber is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $200k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
Without a doubt! Kristine Lynn Weber is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analyzing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted based on thorough research and years of practical experience.
how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking?
In all the time if listened to these videos, there's never been any comment or prediction of equity markets. It's a macro economic I formation channel. He's merely showing economic data that isn't readily available. Anyone can see what the S&P 500 is doing but who can say they know what Interest rate swap spreads are or what l they're doing? Using this info for trading is silly.
I’ve been generating AI with Jeff but showing his feet but it just isn’t the same thing as him showing his feet on a video. I’m not able to buy Eurodollar u so can just once Jeff show his feet on a video and then I’ll be able add the real thing to my AI pics?
@HankSemoreButz it Will, there is no magic fantasy land cure. Inflation, deflation or an a extremely new form of ultra cheap energy. Or just Massive Wars to cover it all up
It’s amazing really. We have a financial crisis, caused by greedy, reckless financial institutions. Congress passes legislation requiring those institutions to be less greedy and reckless. The institutions then lobby to have those restrictions removed, usually in the name of “remaining competitive”. This leads to another financial crisis. It’s completely predictable, and we have been doing this dance since the Great Depression almost 100 years ago.
Agree; the rules should be applicable to all banks - big or small. First; very few meaningful laws are passed and then this cycle of doing-undoing seems to support deregulation risking the economy and the faith in banks.
I believe using an investing advisor isn’t a terrific idea. In the midst of the 2008 financial crisis, I was literally experiencing horrible dreams before I spoke with an advisor. In conclusion, I was able to increase my initial investment from $320k to almost $2.5 million in 2011 with the aid of my advisor, and I later bought my first investment property.
I’ve actually been looking into advisors lately, the news I’ve been seeing in the market hasn’t been so encouraging. who’s the person guiding you?
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Sophia Maurine Lanting for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up on web, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Is he getting paid to keep people out of assets?
Comedic Genius! Hilarious! Please add laugh track!
Thanks for all the info and analysis.
Hey Jeff, how about an "I've been wrong for more than four years" video series?
Start with this call:
8/2/20 Video Titled "The Fed Strikes Out! Negative Interest Rates Soon?"
"We're a hair trigger away from negative nominals, not runaway inflation." -Jeff
The 30 was at 1.2 and more than tripled after that video.
The CPI was 1.3 and "ran away" up to 9.1
maybe you should wait till 6 months after yield un invert to make such bold statement. We are still far from there, it will be in march 2025.
@@Gattberserk Please...tell me you are joking.
These guys are a joke. Keep saying the same thing until one day it’s true.
@@jody2055 LoL but according to the comment above, just five or six more months and another twenty percent down on TLT and Jeff will finally be right!
@@wagashiohagi i look at history and its been a mirror cycle for 100 years. This time is no different. In fact everything is repeating the same. We are heading into recession.
How long can you and Van Metre maintain your 100% negative coverage and be completely wrong?
This comment Marks the top in stonks. Euphoria is here
@@RafalBr If this marks the top, you can be sure that Jeff and Steve are going all-in Long.
eternity.
The Peter Schiff of the bond/rates market, just needs a fancy intro and some paid promos sprinkled into the show.😂
Impossible to earn any money with Permabear Jeff.
Why?
Nothing worse than taking advice from a guy that doesn’t wash his hair and has empty picture frames hanging behind him that should have legitimate credentials and degrees inside of them.
Markets at ATHs, well done 👏
LoL! I actually made it to the 12:00 mark of today's comedy act, and Jeff didn't disappoint. Absolutely hilarious!
I pity those that are naive enough to pay this guy two grand for his "deep dive analysis" useless nonsense.
If you think this is funny, wait till the bond market goes to crap. 😬
If you think his argument is wrong then why in your opinion are swap spreads going down? I’m not saying I agree with him or anything I just want to hear another perspective on the same data.
@@HankSemoreButz Perhaps you haven't been paying attention, The Bond Market has been going "to crap" for more than four years. Stay Short TLT/Long TBT.
@ oh good. Maybe it’ll get better now! 😂
@@jmwtrades trying to figure out why any market moved in a particular way is a temptation that regularly ensnares people. Jeff has thought for years that he knew the reason why things happen and made some very inaccurate predictions because of his unmerited confidence. Happens to us all, but some of us are able to recognize and admit when it happens, and Jeff so far has not been able to.
Stonks up bigly today, sweetie
Lower interest rates today showing everyone the federal reserve bank is throwing everybody over the cliff, not just old people.
Out of control spending out of sight, out of mind.
What's not to like ?
Living in America 10/7/24
So why are bonds imploding Jesus?
Because we are about to go into a hyperinflationary depression. Be careful. Keep your eye on that 10 year yeild.
@bpb5541 That's what they say. I don't believe it. But, I must always question my views.
@@ryandeleon222 I hear you. I hope I am wrong. and "they" ... I don't trust them. Ask almost anyone how money comes into existance and they will tell you the Fed prints it. That si incorrect, illegal in fact. and if folks can't get the very basics of what this whole thing is based off of, what else are they wrong about. best of luck, stay safe, be kind. Stack food and water. the more the better. If I am wrong you have a nice stocked pantry if I am right you will be very glad you did.
I made it to the 3 and a half mark, and I call BS! Harley Bassman wrote in his election day special report that according to the level of the MOVE index, ya know the one he created, it was likely the 10 year would move up to 18 bps in either direction, he nailed it in my book. If you had listen to JS pre election day video you probably would have gone long TLT, where it was clear, according to HB's work a near ITM straddle was the play,.......difference between knowledge and guessing.
It's all gunna crash like a mofo now 🎉
This b gonna crash to the moon! Hyperinflation here we come!
@lastsonofkrypton3918 viva Mexico 🇲🇽 😍
@@lastsonofkrypton3918 not really trumph win means the real unemployment rate will show. job number has been rigged for Harris election, not Trumph.
Wrong more than Right equals Buffoon!
It never ends. Just once I would like to hear Jeff say something that could be construed as a positive for the economy.
He is a perma bear and he specially talks about negative stuff for the economy its his niche, there will always be negative factors and sides of the economy go watch someone else if you want good news. As long as there is any bad news, he will focus on it.
Economics is called the dismal science for a reason
Bears do poop in the woods because they know how, where, and when to get a good meal. In the Stock market? Not really, because the lemmings are buying stocks that are pumped up. Bears go to the options market, and buy puts once they know which firms are swimming naked. This is why the Stock market is the Small Casino and the Options Market is the Big Casino. and lemmings can't afford to go there. And it's the place to make money on the downside, which as the US economy is consumption driven and consumers are being tortured on the rack, there is plenty. I mean, why do you think Trump actually won? Because Harris did not address the elephants in the room, and he exploited voter's discontent. But if he ignores the fact that the cost of his proposed tarrifs would fall on American consumers already anorexic wallets, then the Horseshoe will come flying off, as the GOP will sit back and let him do it. Interesting times.
@@CuriousCrow-mp4cx I believe you're one of the few looking beyond the obvious headlines/narrative being pushed by MSM. 👍
Good stuff.
Jeff's TLTs are tanking again today. Forget what Jeff is saying, just buy gold and bitcoin.
Might be a good time to buy more TLT
@@XxSphinx140xX or maybe we are in decades long devaluation of bonds like what happened in 1960 - 1980. Yields went from 5% - 18%
Might be just time to buy the Treasuries as TLT YTD lost 8%. However, Bond yields are going up. People forget thst the composition of the holdings etfs have can affect performance. Look at the actual assets a etf has versus the performance of the assets they should be tracking.
@@CuriousCrow-mp4cx Trying to sound smart without actually saying anything, just like Jeff. Your poor grammar and spelling is the giveaway.
decades long of lower trending rates will be reversed in 4 years by trumpy? what part of the modern economy changed so much that make you thing the low rate addict US economy can suddenly survive in +5% normal rate?
Predict or give guidance on something correctly, not two years early but, say, in a window of 6 months - it will help your credibility - your buddy Brent Johnson's done quite a few decent predictions that actually came about. Doesn't have to be exact, just something other than the incessant sky is falling takes. BTW see what bond yields did today? gosh, golly.
Thanks, Jeff
So swaps are "predicting" lower interest rates while the 10Y has just hit above 4.4% Seriously?
Endless videos detailing doom and gloom and the coming implosion and yet stocks don't stop going up.
You are so simple. I encourage you to buy lol.
The smart ones buy in dips. It takes research (a lot more non financial than most people think) and looking at past trends and recessions. No one can perfectly predict the economy because it’s like the weather. Too many variables. And most importantly, it’s emotional. The 08 crash happened because people believed it was shit. As soon as that switch happens it’s going to crash. No one thinks it’s shit yet because they have the same mental capacity as you. A republican president takes office and everyone gets a post win high. Stocks go with how people feel about the market. You’re smoking crack if you think this market is sustainable. And you’re definitely smoking crack if you think that Harris or trump would be able to fix this. Balls in his court. Dudes not Superman. He’s barely a businessman.
Jeff "My Subscribers are Freaking Out" Snider. Debunked.
If there were an ETF to short all your calls, it would be my biggest position.
No, milking the gullible crowd pays better than putting yourself out there in reality
I am not worried about a crisis..because its not here..yet. until then im living below my means, making great memories and invest with commen sense. It makes no sense worrying about something i cant control.
Meanwhile market doesn't care 😅
Been waiting for this
You & your swap spreads 🤣how obtuse can u get? 🤣😂you fit the quant quack bill perfectly 🤣😂
I have done derivatives pricing & it is totally bogus 🤣just like LTCM, these craps have no intelligence whatsoever & even if they did at one point, w the criminal Fed’s poisoning of the bond mkts & volatility picking up, not to mention the geopolitical risks & much higher interconnectedness, that make LTCM look like a baby🤣it has become obvious you haven’t learned a thing from the LTCM debacle which was in a position not even in the 1 percentile of today’s risks & the level of current distortions 🤣😂
Also, did you know that the hot money hedgies are 10-100x (including leverage) compared to the so-called stable institutions? 🤣😂
Yields are going UP, again, UP, not down… enough of this
Just like in 2008 yield went up before the big crash. lol.
@Gattberserk yup. And rates are actually in a downtrend
Meanwhile bank stocks are skyrocketing
Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Milton Harper, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
He mostly interacts on Telegrams, using the user-name,
@MiltonHarper
Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Milton's insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.
Thanks for keeping it light and real at the same time. Much needed for us traders in times like these!
Milton Harper is among the best traders on the internet and I'll keep saying it every time.
DAY 2 OF ASKING JEFF TO POST HIS PORTFOLIO RETURNS SINCE STARTING THIS CHANNEL ON 09/2022.
This is a macro economic channel, not an investment/trading channel. Just a heads up if you haven't caught on yet 😉
Whatever is happening is actually bad.
Remeber folks, this is a chanel for learning how the system works. It's not a place to get an edge on a trade in the market. If you don't understand that you'll be angry for all the wrong reasons
To all the TLT bros who have told me "it's about to moon" over the past 1, 2, 3, 4+ years: I appreciate you being on the other side of the trade, and of course, I told you so.
Not hard to see that TLT broke out of its uptrend on a weekly chart and is now downtrending. Yields are going up not down and we know the gig is up when the FED cuts (QE) and it didn't work. Folks have no idea if the 10 year goes up past 5% and keeps on going they are going to get their faces ripped off. Glad I wasn't the only one that say this.
Do you type this every video?
@@datruth4766 you are asking the wrong question? The question you should be asking is damn ... what if he's right?
@@datruth4766 No, but I should. Stay Short TLT/Long TBT. It's the gift that keeps on giving.
No, but I should. Stay Short TLT/Long TBT. It's the gift that keeps on giving.
New high
TF is a rooster doing there???😂😂😂
Between him and Steve I wonder who is the biggest clown and joke on here lol
Get out now (Steve can metre voice )
Get out where it's too cold Steve calm down
I don’t understand why you think he’s a clown. Can you elaborate on why you think this way about him?
He's not timing the tsunami, he's just giving more information on the underlying currents. If you need a guru to teach you TA or don't understand how macro works, find another channel or hobby.
You? 😂
@@Hotshot24-7 your new here ain’t you? He been calling for crash for 2 years now lol
We're all Japan now...
I am curious, is that gas oil for heating or just general gas oil that is refined to other products?
Tone down the titles and maybe post once a month.
If this is true, why are precious metals plummeting, too?
All of my stocks have gone up.
Well yeah, if the markets think low interest rates are coming companies can go back to buy backs
@eurodollaruniversity what top 5 things do you recommend the new administration do to improve the economy?
From $37K to $65K that's the minimum range of profit return every month I think it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family. ❤️
Trump has halted the Global Elites plans on running the American Economy!!!😂😂😂😂😂
The dollar is collapsing
Yet market ALL TIME HIGHS
Treasury repo and swap spreads have everything to do with each other
Jeff can you talk about the fluctuations in the DXY. One day it's and couple days later it's back up to 103 0r 104. Is because every currency has lost more than us which boosts the dollar or the FED just prints more currency. I'm confused.
So am I not understanding this correctly? I/R swap spreads are the difference between the fixed interest rate of the swap and the treasury rate that has the corresponding time frame. So basically, if UST 10Y goes up to where it is now around 4.3 percent and the swap rate is 4 percent, that will cause a negative swap spread of -0.3. But interest rates going up is a bullish signal as it means people don't want UST and are not buying safe and liquid assets. So why then is a negative swap spread caused by UST going up bearish? I must be missing something as I don't understand this. If the UST keeps going up, that is bullish as nobody wants the UST and wants to put their money in more risky assets. But, the higher the UST goes, the more negative the swap spread becomes as its rate is fixed. I must be getting this all wrong as it seems like it's a bullish signal to me?
How dare you try to deeply understand the content? Just listen and place your bets... 😅
Your logic seems spot on to me but I have no clue how I/R swaps fit into the big picture. I will start my research today, though!
Jeff have you ever thought about getting a buzz cut and shaving all that hair off?
Soft landing in progress clearly 😋
Jeff,
Your indicators appear to overlook the lack of effective support for the G-7 Nations Fiat Currency?
The announcement by Putin of a desire to promote another Bretton Woods style Currency,
seemed to happen about the same time the USA stopped supporting the Fiat Currency, that was introduced in 1970?
If you have no effective support system for any Fiat Currency,
it seems to land on it's lips?
tell the truth, release the real data, rug it, & blame the orange man
I/R swap spread rises are of no interest to anyone other than investment banks and hedge funds on the wrong side of this trade (bet). The last time this happened, LTCM had to be bailed out in 1998, or the financial system could have failed. For credibility, Jeff should name the FI's (Financial Institutions) standing to lose the most when this all blows up. It could be the reason why Buffet is accumulating cash,. After all, he made a limited time offer to buy the LTCM book of trades when things finally went tits up. In the end, the Fed corralled 16 banks to put up $250M each to manage the LTCM book until its outsized positions were unwound over four years. This time, $3.75B will not cut it, as the outstanding OTC derivative trades connecting these FI's is in the Quadrillions. So the indications are pointing to a collapse of the financial system rather than a recession.
Is the interest rate swaps between UK treasury rate and US treasury rate ...
I am trying to inderstand the role of UK treadury bills in london eurodollar market..
Do banks in london borrow UK treasury bills ..and then use the swap and its supporting paper to privide eurodolllar loans in london for the commodity and derivative market..
If i am a global commidities buyer for eg: i am a company buying lead for batteries and i have eurodollar qccount in london..commidites..does the bank privide me with a eurodollar loan on rhe books with a margin placed ..and then settled after a period ..
Where do the interest rate swap come in ..
I am going by the fact that loans are not made from deposits but a promise to pay and settle in the future creates the dollar deposit for lead purchase..i use lead as an example beciase a purchaser in singapore conpany told me that it is cheaper to buy lead from london than it is from china ..she was more suprised than me that this is a fact..i am trrying to understand the connection between eurodollar and uk treasury bills ..do they use the uk bills as a margin for the eurodollar loans ...
Am interesting fact of the 2008nUS crash..is that the UK treasury increased the NI contribution of uk salaries ..that was stable since 2000 ..the National Insurance contributions increased the pooll to buy UK treasuries but why when there was an injection of 800 billion credit in the US market that went straight to the eurodollar market to pay for AiG credit default swaps bought by them from golden sucks
It will flip. Buy bonds all the way down. Could it be the debt crisis is the issue?
Crash ahead!
Hey Jeff: I prefer the lighter color hair.
I just switched up my Roth IRA to 50% SCHD, 25% SCHX, 25% SCHG, and my Roth 401k is 70% vanguard S&P 500 index, 20% vanguard growth index, and 10% vanguard international index. Seeking best possible ways to grow $350k into $2m+ before retirement..
As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable.
Kristine Lynn Weber is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of
information can be a big hurdle. I've been
making more than $200k passively by just
investing through an advisor, and I don't have
to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my
finances remain secure. So I really don't blame
people who panic.
Without a doubt! Kristine Lynn Weber is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analyzing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted based on thorough research and years of practical experience.
how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking?
look up her name on the web for her website.
One day he will be right
A broken clock is right once every few years.
Nope never
In all the time if listened to these videos, there's never been any comment or prediction of equity markets. It's a macro economic I formation channel. He's merely showing economic data that isn't readily available. Anyone can see what the S&P 500 is doing but who can say they know what Interest rate swap spreads are or what l they're doing? Using this info for trading is silly.
I wonder why 😂
wool socks to bed = life changing sleep quality , let me know how it goes🟥more important than this video etc😢😮😢🎉😂😂❤❤
😂 My new habit for the last two weeks... It really works. Thanks!
This guy reminds me of a hipster Justin Trudeau
I’ve been generating AI with Jeff but showing his feet but it just isn’t the same thing as him showing his feet on a video. I’m not able to buy Eurodollar u so can just once Jeff show his feet on a video and then I’ll be able add the real thing to my AI pics?
I own a bull bond etf. I hope that u r correct that interest rates r going down
Ohhh Frank. I'm here to tell you, I told you so.
Everyone should own a bond fund. It's essential to being diverse.
@tradermunky1998 I've heard some great things about TBT!
I've heard some great things about TBT!
@@tradermunky1998 Absolutely terrible suggestion.
imagine wasting your time with all this babble when you could just buy bitcoin. lmao. couldnt be me.
jeff knows nothing. alemeda fired hiim. just buy assets at reasonable valuations. this clown and his macro analysis is noise.
You must sell puts😅
Dang, you are getting brigaded
First victim
😂 Your haters in the comment section add to my belief in your wisdom
Or maybe, just maybe, the collective criticism of this failed investor turned RUclips grifter is warranted and justified.
You are trying to make a point but didn’t.
past tense of grind is grinded
Blah blah blah
That is mis quoted. It's blah blah, blah blah, blah blaaah
Or “the economy is NEVER going down..” 😂
@HankSemoreButz it Will, there is no magic fantasy land cure. Inflation, deflation or an a extremely new form of ultra cheap energy. Or just Massive Wars to cover it all up
Typical doom and gloom youtuber 😂😂😂
Bitcoin 75K , next month to 100K !!!
I'm favoured, $60k every week! I can now give back to the locals in my community and also support God's work and the church. God bless America.
I'm favoured financially with Bitcoin ETFs, Thank you buddy. $63,700 by weekly profit regardless of how bad it gets on the economy
hey jeff, plz tell me how come interest rates are represented by w for week, m for months, but s for year?