War for Ukraine - First Conclusions from 2022 and New Challenges 2023
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- Опубликовано: 2 авг 2023
- Colonel Markus Reisner on the War for Ukraine. He takes a look at the first lessons identified and the challenges we might see in the weeks and months to come.
#Bundesheer #Ukraine
![Gunna - one of wun [Official Video]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/w_JtBYqMgk8/mqdefault.jpg)
Thank you sir for making an English version of this briefing, much appreciated
It’s indeed a privilege to have a serving commander taking time to be a RUclipsr.
is there something you dont like about it?@@PapaOscarNovember
Looking forward to seeing the updated version for 2023 (Battle of Bakhmut and counter-offensive)
Guess you won't be looking forward to the update now!
That was huge success for ukraine. They are winning.
@@luckynyaa2826 huh? Is that sarcasm?
@@goncaloferreira8543 their paralympic team is fire. And growing.
sarcasm?@@luckynyaa2826
Any comment on the "spring counteroffencive?"
ofc not, it must look like it's a draw ^^
Shhhhh
This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. Just check 16:38 "We know from the statements OF THE LAST DAYS, the Americans WILL deliver 50 Bradleys" The US already delivered over 100 Bradleys now (August 23), but they were promised in Jan 23. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
Douglas Macgregor and your Analysis is of value
They are completeld different. That guy is selling NATO propaganda, he's just better at selling it than others. Majority of what he says is absolute bullshit.
One of the best high-level and system explanations of all military critical elements of the conflict.
Yep the most insightful part was him pointing out the discrepancy between the British Intelligence claims and reality.
Safe to say the Ukraine offensive is not going as planned.
what went as planned besides germany on norway or uk on Iceland?
Neither is Russian war against Ukraine.
that's when propaganda faces the truth :)
Finally! Ah no, it's a re-upload. Looking forward to a current update!
"A destruction of a country to try to demonstrate progress for political ends ... It's important to remember there are four levels of warfare: The Tactical, The Operational, The Strategic and The Political, and the Political is always on top. Some of it was worth it."
~ Matthew Hoh
Dude forgot economical and social aspects of war. Those that cost most.
@@oknevals Seems the 'destruction of a country' was one of those driven costs.
very pleased to see Colonel Markus Reisner again. however, this time is a bit weird. this review is old and had been done in Jan this year.
What's he gonna say? Counter offensive turned into complete disaster with tens of thousands killed and maimed, and praised Western equipment led by Leo's and Bradlies turned into piles of burned rubish?
Haha...I like how he skipped complete talking about Ukraine on the "Endurance" slide. This guys is class. His lack of statement is a strong statement all on its own.
I don't get what you are saying? why did he skip this?
@@Fighter4Street Cause it's not in favor of Ukraine
I am surprised your comment has not been hidden.
The algorithm must not be able to understand it or you must lack certain eta tags in your account with RUclips. Are you using a new account?
I should try that.
@@Fighter4Street skipped the whole counteroffensive (the elephant in the room) loss; he basically talked about when Ukraine did well and downplayed or repeated previous videos. Am not sure he will make another video if he is waiting for Ukraine's success.
@@haithum1884 This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. There was no counteroffensive in jan 23. Just check 16:38 "We know from the statements OF THE LAST DAYS, the Americans WILL deliver 50 Bradleys" The US already delivered over 100 Bradleys now (August 23), but they were promised in Jan 23. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
"The fastest way to end a war, is to loose it"
Am I the only one to see that this is a video already posted in January 2023?
if anyone is mistakingly thinking that Reiser is "neutral" I recommend you search his talk in vienna with the austrian equiivalent of neocons where he completely drops the mask
It only cemented that fact for me.. Reisner is on Ukraines side, but is very level-headed and realistic about what's going on and where it's headed.
Excellent work as always. Thanks Colonel, and all those who helpe you make this series.
I'm curious, it's day 520 iirc, this was just posted, why is he talking about day 324?
Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
@@MrCosinuus But who says the August-2023 video has images that need to be blurred?
This is probably some older video, reuploaded? I guess something went wrong there.
This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. Just check 16:38 "We know from the statements OF THE LAST DAYS, the Americans WILL deliver 50 Bradleys" The US already delivered over 100 Bradleys now (August 23), but they were promised in Jan 23. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
Thank you for providing these lectures in English, they are most appreciated.
please keep these videos coming! you are one of the few reliable sources of information about this war.
Great to listen to the Colonel. Pity this is an old post - day 324?
Yeah wtf?
This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. Just check 16:38 "We know from the statements OF THE LAST DAYS, the Americans WILL deliver 50 Bradleys" The US already delivered over 100 Bradleys now (August 23), but they were promised in Jan 23. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
As a Russian it is pleasing to see such low quality of military thought in the highest echelons of military establishment in the west (while the people that have a clue are ostracized) - reassures us that we'll win every time, as we have for centuries. Tschüss!
lol
They are discussing the evenings dinner menu aboard the Titanic. Iceberg, what iceberg !
This analysis is a metaphor for why the Austrian empire is no more.
Colonel Reisner ... 😊 ... How are you? ... 🙂 ... Everything all-good at The Station? ... 🙂
G'Job Colonel Reisner ... 👏👏👏 ... 😌
Why no analysis of the counter offensive? These are one of the only briefings I trust. Was hoping for something on current events
21:50-21:44
Hard to say Ukraine has won/is winning 'most of the rounds' when 20% of their territory is still occupied. It's more like Russia is leading on points, but has a bad open cut, whereas Ukraine is battered but not bleeding out. Yes, a KO is possible at any time.
Their latest offensive efforts have been too much loss in equipment and personnel for minimal gains and insufficient losses inflicted on the Russians. However, I suspect that it's part of testing the new equipment and gaining on the job experience. The next time Ukraine takes M2 Bradley and Leopard 2A6s to combat they will have learned their lessons. Part of the problem is lack of familiarity with the Western equipment, revised Russians tactics, renewed Russian reinforcements and of course, the evolving nature of warfare. It's battle of measures, counter-measures, counter-counter-measures, and so on.
Yep. These were just probing attacks. The real offensive is yet to come. Zelenskyy is playing 5D chess.
Thank you for the update, it is great as always.
I don't think we can guage an attrition conflict without understanding the scale of losses on both sides. That's the ultimate determining factor.
I'm afraid all we're getting on that front from both side is utter BS.
Thank you so much Connell Reisner for your presentations on the Ukraine conflict from my military perspective. I very much appreciate your efforts. Thank you.
I love this channel. Finally, real professional analysis of the situation in Ukraine from someone who really understands military operations!
I like these updates but this one isn't materially different from the one done a few months ago. Looks like some of the same footage was re-used!??
It is dated january 2023!!!! Day 324 of the war
He said "Day 324" at the start...
Seems to be a reupload.
This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. Just check 16:38 "We know from the statements OF THE LAST DAYS, the Americans WILL deliver 50 Bradleys" The US already delivered over 100 Bradleys now (August 23), but they were promised in Jan 23. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. Just check 16:38 "We know from the statements OF THE LAST DAYS, the Americans WILL deliver 50 Bradleys" The US already delivered over 100 Bradleys now (August 23), but they were promised in Jan 23. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
13:15 (Highlighted) I have been making this point since the war started, but where does this idea come from? It comes from the western mainstream media, western politicians, and sometimes NATO military analysts. Certainly here in the UK the message coming from military commentators has almost entirely been of this type. This of course raises the question, well if that is true how come the Russians are still occupying Ukraine? Such narratives are only going to lead people in the west to serial disappointment, in turn leading to disillusionment and finally a lack of belief or confidence in western information sources.
Yes, it's all lies. But what shall they do? Tell the truth? The NATO is an alliance of mass murderous fascists who love to burn down countries to pillage them and Ukraine is just another victims in that neverending row and that they laugh every day about how it is bleeding out and burning to the ground?
This wouldn't sell well...
Best commentary, welcome back, all the best
By now I think we can say that AFU offensive is bogged down by AFRF defense. So unless NATO steps in to provide air support, Ukraine is screwed.
With all due respect Colonel, I fear bias has creeped up to a significant level, this seems anachronically out of tune and out of Balance (e.g. Currently, Russians are the heavy users of drones and ATGMs). I am not sure who or how the boxing scorecard is kept. If the blue-yellow trunks has won all the rounds, courtesy of the judges, his battered face really testifies to the contrary. especially in mid and later rounds.
He has to say those things otherwise his channel will be demonetized. It's the free west you know.
There is a fine line between bias and butthurt. I think we have crossed the line.
It's been over since the "counteroffensive" kicked in. The Ukrainians have been taking an absolute kicking over the past 5 weeks
Since start and forever. The problem is, that with all the soviet tanks gone from the Nazi regime and NATO, now western tanks get destroyed, and while the newspaper stills tried to sell those as destroyed Russian tanks, that's a lot more obvious and much easier to counter as a lie.
All the time before, a majority of losses of the Banderites were simply sold as Russian losses, because same kind of equipment from the outside, leading to the absurd idea, that the Nazis are an army of invincible Terminators and Rambos.
Question is, why the Nazis cry day in and out all the time, that they need another whole new army, why NATO pumps billion after billion into this burning shithole and how the Banderits haven't won, being invincible with a gigantic and ever growing army plus all the NATO support = pretty much the strongest army on the planet meanwhile by the propaganda, while Russia done for since over a year, where it was the first time all the Nazi bots told us, that Russia curmbles, got no weapons left, has to scavenge its household items for microchips and so on.
It's the same bullshit as the Nazi PR in 1945 (and all the other fascistic lies before and AFTER that). Telling us glorious stories about the Endsieg.
@@miriamweller812 Better analysis than from this video.... I thought this guy was balanced but, he's just spouting western propaganda
@@zambotv8150 then go watch the kremlin propaganda if you belive that shit
@@miriamweller812 any sources? Ofcourse not why am i even asking its all in his head
Reminds me of the Russians getting their teeth kicked trying to Vuhledar for 3 months. You are non-biased, correct? Then you should be familiar with that Russian offensive
Why do you reupload January's briefing in August?
Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
Day 324? I seem to remember this post from before? Is this a repost?
This vid is a re-upload from a vid from January 2023. Reason is probably on 15:20, the stuff that is blurred out. I assume you could see some symbols that are illegal to show in certain countries like Austria (Swastikas and others) so they blurred it, deleted the original vid, and uploaded this one.
The best channel as always.
History Legends, Weeb Union and DPA and Österreichs Bundesheer need to do a collaboration.
History Legends, Weeb and DPA??😂😂
How should that work? This channel here is 100% NATO propaganda and could not survive agains the truth a single second.
@@waybackwhen1999 Just search them up
I know this channel and my favorite history legends( more fun 😅). I will take the other two channels from you sir❤🎉
Weeb Union, you mean the guy who focuses only on the front line where Ukraine has limited success, and fails to report anything beyond that, like blowing up bases, ships and supplies all over Crimea, along with the bridge ?? The guy who fell for the Russian Rambo Tank propaganda ?? That guy ?
Thank you for this excellent professional analysis.
What is your take about the kiev retreat because there was a breakthrough in negotiations and the russians pulled back as a goodwill gesture. Even naftali bennett confirmed this, i know they did take heavy losses at hostumel but they were never "repelled" as such
Russians are idiots for believing anything
Russia made a big mistake trusting the west by retrearing from Kiev. Hope they have learned their lessons.
If this is a boxing match, then what role USA and EU are playing? and also were one rounds ends and other starts?
And since Ukraine is winning most rounds, does that mean at the end a judge will decide the winner? Then who is this judge?
USA President Joe Biden that said that Russia has already lost the war after NATO summit in Vilnus 2023?
President of France Macron also said Russia has lost the war. There are high level politicians like United States of America Secretary of State Antony Blinken and many others said that Russia has lost the war.
What if Russia keeps fighting ignoring this ruling?
These are consistently the very best military reviews you can watch. thank you
I used to think that also, but not in this videos case.... one of the funnier bits was when he claimed Ukraine was winning the boxing match.... that's the most incorrect analogy I've seen from the Austrian cornel
@@nathannelson3861 First I´m assuming you`re a 🤡bot based on your post,
Secondly, RU facist have lost Kyiv, Kherson and Kharkiv oblast since the invasion.
The Moscow battleship, Snake island, thousands of men and materials...
So YES! The FACT is that Ukraine is winning!
Slava Ukraini! 💙💙💛💛
Only thing he's better it is the way he sells his propaganda. The lies are the same, he's just better trained in selling them.
@@miriamweller812 what is he lying about? Tell me
@@miriamweller812 Envious? Apparently you can still learn something from him, because your Russian propaganda lies are so silly that not even children fall for them. Nevertheless, I admire how your TV presenters can keep a serious face.
is this an older video reuploaded? He keeps talking about the "new year" or "The beginning of this year, lets hope for a quick resolution of this conflict".
Thank you for the briefing.
Excellently presented, well researched piece. Thanks 👍
I have stumbled upon professionaly presented COPE FEST.
Mariupol and Bakmut were concoured with appaling Ukrainian losses.
Kherson was simply tactical withdrawal with zero fights.
Notice the diference?
Thanks for bringing it in English. I think this is one of the very few objective analysis for the the conflict.
As I see it Colonel is getting more and more limited in his ability to tell the objective truth. Still praise his will to put up the reasoning and facts via indirect means.
I think he is relying too much on British sources which are the most propagandistic of all. RUSI isn't as bad as some but still
When Karl Marx speaks Russians weep.
@@rodiculous9464 he is smart to admit his sources ,he knows that its all fake stuff
@@rodiculous9464correct. I happen to know people close to british military and the delusional vision they paint is really part of the overall problem
Thank you
So glad you came back with new assignment ☺️
But I was hoping for reality because the Ukrainian army is being pulverized and everyone knows ir.
😂😂😂😂😂 Do you really think he will talk about the current failed offensive by the Ukrainian
This presentation (like always) is excellent.
Have not seen u in a while. Hope all is well and Ty for the briefing
Thank God a majority of Americans are now against supporting this war. Europe, it's been A blast, but good luck you're on your own.👋
Why this re-upload of an old video? I mean it explicitly col. Reisner explicitly states that this video is shot at the end of 2022.
If you don't see that Ukraine is soon in complete rupture, both militarily and civilly and also economically, it means that you are working for NATO.
Given the massive economical support, it is very unlikely that Ukraine will suffer an economic breakdown within the next... three - four years?
@@johanmetreus1268 Already done! The western part of Ukraine is only agricultural. (Not to mention land sold to Americans and Germans). With his military help, Biden put them in debt for life. The serfs of the Middle Ages...
It has been pretty obvious to me, but then I follow objective on the ground reporting
Wish our own military and political class could inform it's citizen of what is going in such an informative manner. Appreciate that Austria is going with model of honesty and transparency, and not propaganda. Rest of the world could learn a thing or two.
If its not propaganda then why hasn't Ukraine taken back its country. They have been winning for 18 months, but somehow keep escalating with more and more western weapons and newly trained troops. Something doesn't make sense if this was at all true.
🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹🇦🇹 Austria Bundesherr 👏👏👏💪💪👍
You conclusions seem spot on!
thank you, that was a well make and insightful slid show
thankyou colonel for an excellent precise briefing. i,ll share this with the major
Thank you for making this video and translating it to english.
colonel knows his stuff, looks at the real big picture, only wish he could do this monthly
Super video!🇺🇦💪
Woohoo! Col. Reisner's briefs are excellent!
The "Inform" part is a little misleading. Russian forces lacked recon drone capabilities only in the first months of the war. But they have caught up with Ukrainian forces in quality and quantity of drone recon and warfare very quickly, and even have an upper hand on many sectors of the frontline. I know it from my friends on the frontline, you can know about it by reading many reviews and concerns from Ukrainian soldiers. Also there's tons of drone video materials from Russian side all over the internet.
Very nice presentation, but text and maps are difficult to see, due to color, size etc
So now that the Ukrainian counter-offensive has failed so miserably, how would you modify your analysis?
A lot of bloodshed could have been prevented if the west had gotten off of their asses from the beginning and given Ukraine full support with advanced weapon systems instead of trickling in a few systems here and there for most of 2022. Giving them "just enough" to hold on basically insured the fighting was as costly as possible for both sides since neither side was able to overwhelm the other.
Might start asking questions about who might profit the most from this.
A lot of bloodshead could have been prevented if the west never had gotten involved in Ukraine in the first place and let Ukraine and Russia resolve the Crimea and East Ukraine disputes. I'd even go as far as saying as let the locals vote, but the west wouldn't like the results. History matters.
@@CashCatz Oh yeah, just let r*ssia roll over and strong arm every nation in eastern europe and caucasus who arent in NATO yet. There is a reason for NATO expansion, and nations that have joined, including my home nation of Estonia, have done so out of necessity for survival.
Or the west could have tried to negotiate in Dec 2021
Bloodshed could have been avoided if NATO had not pushed eastwards! After the collapse of the Soviet Union there was no reason for the existence of NATO excpet to allow the US to continue to dominate Europe militarily! The Americans are responsiblr for this war and bloodshed as they were in East Asia for 25 years and the Middle East for 40 years. Now they have brought war to Europe God knows for how long!
This German Captain America should have spent at least a minute to discuss the Ukrainian offensive. It's been going for 2 months with results completely different from what the Bundestag predicted.
So instead of repeating the history course maybe take a look at how things actually unfold on the battlefield.
he is Austrian. Not German...
Colone, when are you making your next video??? We miss your analysis! Please make a new assessment video!
Why is the bundesheer releasing this now? Unfortunatly things worked out differently.
It was funny to watch Reisner get all excited about Ukraine's prospects last year. He even put on his cute little hat at the end and did a little pose in one of the videos. Things not looking too good for Ukraine and Europe anymore. Tough luck, buddy.
He also has cute terminator accent. My ex-boss is Austrian, had same accent. Also his father was an SS colonel in the eastern front, back in WW2. Possibly cute, too, but I like them terminators and anyone who emulates them losing.
Thank you Colonel Reisner.
Very good analysis with a fatal flaw and that is using western inputs only which are very far from accurate in order to paint Ukraine and the western weapons in way better way than they perform. You can not come to correct conclusion based on PR flawed input.
Brilliant work well done. 👏
Thanks sir for an honest analysis.
I remember when these weren't biased.
This is just a re-upload of an old video.
Thank you sir for providing us Mono-Lingual Americans a proper briefing.
"I grew up on the Russian military doctrine and still believe that all military science is located in Russia. I studied under Gerasimov. I read everything that he ever wrote... he is the smartest of people and my expectations from him were huge." - General Valery Zaluzhny, Commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
You are joking, right?
@@OurAshX You obviously didn't read TIME Magazine's haigiographic article about Zaluzhny, did you?
That is why Zaluznyi knows the limits of russians and their weak spots. Bet 500 000 will be with status 200, and 15000 000 invalid.
thank you for english version!
Day 324?
Thanks for the English briefing!
Time to look at ze challenges for 2023 since there's still 5 months left
Thanks!
Thank you!
EXCELLENT WAR INSTRUCTION AND UNDERSTANDING. THANK YOU. SLAVA UKRAINE!
Hryukni
Could you please do a more up to date analysis Sir? I would like to hear your thoughts on why Ukraine has made little to no gains in the last few months, what they are doing wrong / what Russia is doing right - and what you would suggest as the best course of action to bring this conflict to an end. Or is your opinion that this is the next "Forever War"?
Minefields stretching from horizon to horizon and several kilometres deep, where NATO planning foresaw minefields maybe half a kilometre in length and a few hundred metres deep in the worst case scenario.
This slows down advancement to a crawl, allowing other assets to strike the advancing units before they make contact. To counter this, the Ukrainians use small units taking a small ground area at a time, which makes for very slow progress but goes steadily without excessive losses which is similar how the last offensive on the Western front was done by the British.
@@johanmetreus1268Correct. These are the largest and densest minefields in history, and they are successful in ensuring no massed attack can take place anywhere between Zaporizha and Bakhmut or thereabouts. Unfortunately the most critical areas of the front have been obvious to everyone all along, and Russia built up its defenses early. Of course they also sacked the general who directed that effort, because Russia. But the damage is done, and the bite and hold strategy is the only reasonable way to attack now. Maybe someone in Ukraine or NATO will come up with a way to clear large swaths of ground at a time.
отличный анализ, спасибо!
Good analysis! Unfortunately this war is already lost for Ukraine, there's no way they'll be able to sustain such high casualties . It's time for US and NATO to deploy troops and get involved directly in the conflict and solve the war for once and for all.
Yes starting WW3 will end the war in Ukraine and human civilization as well, but hey the war in Ukraine will be over. I bet when a fly lands on your face you try and hit it with a hammer?
@@Valhura77 It's either that or what? Conceding victory to Russia? There is no other way for the US/NATO, you have any idea of how many billions the US has already invested in Ukraine so far? There is no way they can loose their billions now, money always talks louder than anything else.
@@trqster Yes they have to concede to the new reality, they had the option of Ukraine staying Neutral, and keeping the Donbas as part of Ukraine but allowing Russian speakers to have some autonomy and not be persecuted as was outlined in the Minsk Accords, but on the advice of the US and UK the clown in Ukraine choose war, the loss of 20% of the country land, the destruction of 100s of Billions worth of infrastructure, the complete destruction of the Ukrainian economy, ensuring the Ukrainian population will be saddled with huge debts for decades to come and be forced to sell off natural assets to US vulture funds.
What everyone seems to forget is that Ukraine had the 2nd biggest army in Europe, which since 2014 was trained and supplied by the west. Russia destroyed that army and most of their equipment, the US got a lot of ex communist countries to transfer their large stocks of Soviet tanks and weapons to make up for all the loses, Ukraine mobilized hundreds of thousands of more men, the Russians destroyed those men and equipment provided by ex soviet states. Which brings us to the so called current counter offensive, where the Ukrainian again mobilized 10s of thousands of men, and received Billions and billions worth of Tanks, APC, Artillery and so on which within a couple of weeks of the offensive the Russians had destroyed up to 33% of it.
Russia was one of the biggest producers of military equipment prior to the war (mainly for export), and they have ramped that up significantly, mean while the west has exhausted their stock piles of ammo, and it might take them years to ramp up production just to what Ukraine needs, if NATO have no ammo for Ukrainians do you think they can support their own troops fighting against the Russians but even if they could Putin has now stated the donbas is Russian territory, NATO troops on Russian territory could be the trigger to start letting the nukes fly, and once they do who will stop them, you?
Very true. The US/the west didn't supply to Ukraine their newest ,advancedweapons.
@user-ml6xc1hh8t We totally agree, but the western world will never accept Russia's victory especially the US after having invested billions (+200 & counting) so far. There are huge economic interests in stake especially from the US in several areas, from the military, to energy consortiums to reconstrunction deals already in place to take over Ukraine after Russia's 'defeat'. They'll fight until the last ukranian fighter falls then escalate even more if necessary. Doomsday lurks just around the corner for us all...
It is now end of August 2023. What are the total losses of soldier for each side?
My assessment for spring/summer 23 is that Ukraine will have difficulties with their offensive. Progozhin will start a mutiny but abort it.
Unfortunately this has been overtaken by events. Ukraine that won the first rounds is now making 16 kms in 2 months while kuppyansk is within reach of the Russians. A mid year review would be ideal
Connor Mcgregor won some first rounds against Mayweather but are we going to pretend that the outcome of that boxing match was ever in doubt?
@@jonathanjacob5453a boxing match isn't a war you simpleton, what a stupid comment
@@jonathanjacob5453 sure if mayweather id 70 years old and like to drink, Russia not going to win so long as ukraine is supported,
So they advanced more than Russia did in the previous 6 months, And how is kypiansk within reach when the front has not moved at all for 3 months, even further south the Russian attack at Nadiia has failed and they have been pushed back, There hav not been any real fighting where you claim for 6 months there are not even any real russian forces there
@@tuehojbjerg969 as that guy said this is a war of attrition though. So the question is what price did Ukraine pay to gain some fields and farmhouses?
Fantastic! Would love to see another English language or sub tittled update Aug. ‘23.
A good analysis and a well presented briefing. Is Österreichs (Austria) planning or considering assisting Ukraine? If Ukraine falls, will Austria want to join NATO, then?
They are helping in an an EU Framework, more so as an Austrian myself I can tell you that NATO Membership won't happen for a long time, we are surrounded by NATO Members and closely work together whit them. There is no reason for Austria to join other than to show a united front whit the rest of the West.
..That's why Austrian military lost all the major wars because of how an Austrian officer like you analyze a war...
Danke, Herr Oberst!
I like Clonal Risners acurate nonbias highqualety statements/analysises. So I am happy to find such a pice in 2023-08-04. A slightly shadow of dissapointment is that I would have liked it , if the newer developments would have taken a bigger part in it...
But of course that might have been difficult to keep the quality up on such high level than. Thanks a lot Colonal Risner
I think he has a clear "pro-NATO" bias.
@@justingoretoy1628 whats so clearly biased? Tell me
@@justzzzx623 He's in NATO, right?
Excellent commentary thank you very much Osterreichs Bundesheer. The West has clearly not provided enough tanks, IFVs and AD systems to allow Ukraine to defeat Russia. In your next video could you please look at the kamikaze drone war? The Lancet 3s and the Ukrainian sea drones for example. Could these or future drone systems change the balance of the war?
In Poland there's saying "więcej sprzętu niż talentu" - "more hardware than ability"; Hardware was provided faster, than Ukrainie could have assimilated it. Ukraine had inherited prodigious amounts of most modern Soviet equipment and failed to maintain and modernize sufficient fraction of it. Suffice to say, Ukraine had more air defence than whole of the Europe COMBINED. Of 600 tanks Zaluzny hallucinated about, Poland alone provided 400+.
@@piotrd.4850 Yes, they sold all the weapons from the USSR and ruined defense plants. Therefore, Zelensky is constantly begging. They will still lose, because people will run out and no one will fight for them.
Great vid and analysis of the war in Ukraine. As for Russia building T90 tanks that is true but not at the rate of losses they are incuring. You forgot to mention that to make up for it they are refurbishing old T62Ms and T54/55 tanks now and sending them to the frontlines. The tech for the more modern weapons will run out for them to produce but it was discovered they had been shipping some from the Maldives whom now inturn will be santioned.
I don't get how u people still believe a country as big as Russia can't source for those material the need for there weapons, the can do it legal or illegally....but the will.... Russia is not some backwards country
Leave them to sleep in their illusions
Everyone has been saying Russia will run out of any number of things any time now. I don't think it's going to happen
They ran out of arty shell in march, no wait April, hang on June, OK September, maybe Christmas of last year?
Meanwhile NATO doesn't produce enough and we have to send illegal cluster munitions to compensate. But who cares its not western children that will have a leg blown off by the live ammo after the war.
Lol more BS … how can so many fools actually believe the horseshit that Russia cannot produce electronic components they need for their weapons? This isn’t a bunch of damn goat herders cobbling IEDs together in some caves; this is one of the military superpowers with technology that rivals if not surpasses comparable systems of the USA and allies. Even if the ability to manufacture microcircuitry domestically in Russia was compromised by sanctions, people fail to grasp the fact that China can easily provide any such components. The west relies on china along with Japan , Korea, and Taiwan for pretty much all the manufacturing of electronics (and pretty much everything else as well) so the whole claim about Russia being hampered by sanctions in this regard is ridiculous and anyone that actually believed Russia was having to dismantle dishwashers and washing machines probably thinks they need every booster for the Covid vaccine too.
It’s really sad how stupid so many people in the west have become. The fools sat back and watched the whole covid shitshow unfold as the truth came out about the propaganda, lies, and coverups from the “pandemic” and then they listen to the same liars and scumbags fill them full of bullshit about Ukraine and it’s accepted without question. We are truly doomed it seems
I expected something more fresh - the information is analyzed according to the end of 2022 and based on pro-Ukrainian sources. He sincerely believes that the Russian losses are greater than the Ukrainian ones. Blest is he who believes! I wished that he analysed the failed spring-summer- autumn counteroffensive. He would be mincing words, for sure.