Another highly accurate video and assessment of the situation in Iran. As an Iranian who consistently follows the international coverage of the matter, I can say that you guys are on top of your game here! The key phrase being "the main cause of the protests is NOT* economics."... something that most western outlet miss and get wrong.
Knowledge and wisdom are two related but distinct qualities. You can have all the PHDs in the world but that doesn't necessarily mean you will use that education wisely.
As an Iranian, I would like to thank you for your effort and time in actually bringing true and valuable sources, Unlike other news channel which fulfill people's minds with lies you guys are actually bringing the truth to those who are not aware of the situation. Keep it up, mate.
So sad to learn about Iran and how it was once one of the most advanced societies in the world only to be smashed by Islam extremists... I really hope Iran can fix itself.
Very well done! I also noticed when you said “interpretation of Sharia”, and “NOT economic”. The TLDR team is excellent with nuance and communicating them! You guys have replaced my normal news outlets.
Biggest lose for America and some israel bcz usa cant sale thei oil gas in high rate fear and sale weapons strategy would be crash in arab Arab nation would be deacrease their military spendrture and their would be not threat then arab nation would not security of usa military bases missile etc usa can't charge for security And arab nation would be unite against aprthied israel and their main focus would be two state solution and arab don't need israel after iran threat
I am very proud of the young Iranian women who started this revolt at great risk. How it spread is really impressive too. I am hopeful it topples the government and a more moderate regime like they had in the 50's before the US deposed their president and installed the Shah - which led to the Ayatollahs gaining power.
@@suportbghelp4938 Depending on how it's implemented, it can either be like Venezuela (if all the oil income is poured straight into welfare programs) or like Norway (if it's invested in a sovereign wealth fund, the proceeds of which are then used to fund welfare programs). Quite a spectrum of different outcomes...
"Iran's regime is collapsing" is a misleading thumbnail. None of us know that. You could have gone with "starting to buckle" or a million other things but presenting the fall of the theocracy as a fait accompli is just misleading to your audience. Come on, you're better than that lads! Journalistic standards are everything.
No they're not, when have they ever been better than that? They take their talking points from mainstream media, they slightly repack is but not even noticably, they make clickbait titles and that's all there is to their channel.
Being deeply involved with this topic, happy to see the accuracy on this video. While many famous news outlets (nytimes, etc) go with NIAC (deceiver regime apologist lobby in US) members, you actually did research. Happy to report that the three groups you mentioned (military, merchants, politicians) are joining in as well, though it is hard to explain. Keep up the good work 👍✌
@@shonenjumpmagneto They continually release articles by a NIAC member, Farnaz Fassihi, despite all the backlash from Iranians. She bends the truth to benefit the sitting oppressive government. Used to see nyt as an independent fierce journalism source, now I see how wrong that is. Democrats can't let go of their initial policy towards Iran, blocking any meaningful action, while civilians die both in Iran and Ukraine. Not sure about other things, but for this, Trump was absolutely right!
@@arianvc8239 no, Trump was not absolutely right & conservatives only helped Iran be a worse & more hostile country. Everything else, sure. Get your brain out of the washer. PS: No one mentioned Trump & I don't see how he was right in any sense. Ruining The Iran Nuclear Deal was a dumbass bone-headed move, & I am a fucking Republican.
@@shonenjumpmagneto Islamic republic was always hostile towards the US, they just shaped their message differently throughout time. Seeing what the regime exhibits now, it was the right call to end the JCPOA, and neutralize the General. Any more money for the regime would make it more hostile, it wouldn't go to the people. Trust me on this, been living in Iran for 35 yrs. US presidents might seem to make "dumbass bone-headed moves" but their decisions come from experts behind the scene.
Thanks much! Very informative and accurate video about Iran. Iran has a huge young population (43% under 20yrs and 70% under 35yrs). This well educated population is a huge fish that simply doesn’t fit in Ayatollahs’ small pond!
In 1998, Indonesia was really affected by the 1998 Asian Financial Crisis and high price of fuel and food trigger protest particularly by the university student all across the country. In short Suharto (the President/Dictator of Indonesia at the time) managed to quell the protest because the student didn't have any power or anything. But as time goes one and the crisis became worse, many opposition started in the parliament and the rich also started to dislike the regime, but the worse of all is that the Indonesian military willingly started to take side to the student (which is shocking the fact that Indonesia was ruled by the military all these years*) and with opposition from left and right, Suharto has no choice but to abdicate. This show how important unless there some high ranking official who are willingly to support the protest in Iran than i can say that a revolution wont be happening. *The reason why the military took side with the student was because the protest was getting really really bad especially after the Trisakti University shooting where police and military force shoot live ammunition's to protestor of whom were university student. As the situation were getting bad many feared Indonesia would collapse and falling into civil war, and so the military decide to take side with the people.
Will this happen to IRGC? the powerful military group and IRGC indirect control over alliance across Middle East If IRGC decide to join protest will be big problem to Mullah but IRGC are likely to replace Theocracy with military Junta
@@thecanadiankiwibirb4512 Alright, I repeat again. Have you seen this channel publicizing protests in Europe? I comment like this because I've seen his videos up to 7 months ago, he didn't even publish any protests in Europe or US, only focusing on Iran, Russia, China, Sri Lanka, Venezuela, and Pakistan. Why picky, there is alot of protest in Spain, France, Italy, Hungary, Netherland, even Germany?
A small correction: the regime went that low to kill students and school girls and all of it fueled the protests and anger even more. Before Evin fire there were attack on Sharif University, killing of Zahedan, killing of several teenage girls, Sanandaj killing and probably the worst beating a school girl to death because she refused to sing “Hello Leader” (a song for dictator). All of them served to deepen the hatred toward this twisted and cruel regime
These times are so interesting, I’m glad people are standing up for themselves and actually doing well. It looks like all of this will be taught to school children in 40-50 years. Weird to think about
As an Iranian I truly appreciate your accuracy, it's quite rare to see such thorough explanations about my country in this platform. You've gained a new subscriber my friend!
@@easyltd3781 that proves you don't know much about the current state of Iran. The internet is not completely cut, the government only disables it during the peak protestation hours. RUclips and other social media platforms are banned, but most of us use VPNs to access them anyway.
@@navid8306 well that necessary for security reasons some people may protest peacefully but others are mercenaries to promote riots and all kind of crimes but my point of view is Iran doing great conquering space and building strong army compared to others countries in the same region Iran achieved a lot of success in different domains even under tremendous amount of west sanctions I would protest against these sanctions before anything else.
@@easyltd3781 we don't want dictatorship anymore. The people of Iran are chanting "women, life, liberty." with the current terorist regime, women are second class citizens, life is miserable, and liberty is impossible. We just want what citizens of other normal countries have: a normal lifestyle in a democratic country
I do hope this works out. Iran has been under the thumb of these crazies for too long. It would make me very happy if we could be friends again. Just some thoughts from a US person. :3
Ah yes a US person asking for a country to adopt their government style and policies for freedom The us toppled the first Iranian democracy bc they don’t trade with them at a cheaper rate then the shah would have
@@Noctem_pasa He doesn't learn from History in Iraq (puppet state of IR) & Syria. Also don't forget Lebanon & Yemen, which is a part of their religious concept a "Welayah".
As an Iranian, thank you for your video and being our voice. everything is going the way people want ( and definitely not the way Dictator wants). yes there are a lot of people getting killed by this animals but we will not stop until we change the regime and free our beautiful and rich country.
Thank you for spreading awareness and doing it as truthfully as possible for our country in Iran. don't trust media outlets, we are tired, we are angry and won't stop at nothing to see the regime gone. please be our voice.
It's also worth mentioning that the people in Iran seem to have learned how to deal with the police. You don't see massive amount of protestors marching down the main street of cities, but rather many small pockets everywhere. This has made it tougher for police to crackdown on.
There aren't large groups because there isn't mass support for this. The Persian government has accurately accused the west of backing this movement and most Persians aren't having it
@@kevinkirby4305 so funny story, I'm actually in Iran right now, accessing RUclips via vpn, during the times that they don't shut down the Internet. You are wrong on soooo many levels. I can't even begin to explain how wrong you are.
What happened in Evin prison Makes me think about Bastille prison! (This revolution in Iran is not like other revolutions across the meadleeast but actually has more common things with French revolution)
Yeah but the Bastille was essentially a lie spun by manipulative, power-hungry Parisian revolutionaries and in the end it wasn't political prisoners that were freed but violent criminals. Still funny that France considers it a date worth celebrating.
During the French revolution, there was an armed struggle. Where the hell are the protestors going to get hold of arms and learn to use them. The 1979 revolution succeeded only because the army came out on the side of the protestors and refused to shoot at them. I don't see something similar happening now. This morality Police (Basij) have been selected from children of the religous that have been brain washed in camps from the age of 5. They are not going to stop shooting You don't know what you are talking about. Read my complete comment on the matter here so that you will learn something.
@@ExiledGypsy every brutal autocracy looks unbeatable until suddenly it falls. You are somewhat right about the army but I would direct you to bloody October in Russia. The army opened fire on peaceful protesters which spiralled into the abdication of the Tsar
If the Iranian monarchy was restored (which I'm all in favour of), it would undoubtedly be in a constitutional form, to avoid the mistakes of the autocratic regime of the Shah. Of course, if the Shah's heir is the most popular guy to actually lead the country as well, as king he would be both ceremonial head of state and executive head of government simultaneously, much like the President of the United States. Of course, Presidents are elected and have term limits, whereas Kings rule for life and success to the throne based on hereditary right. And there's no guarantee the Iranians would want Reza Pahlavi running things forever, much less his heirs. Rather than trying to create some sort of weird hybrid system, a way around it would be to have him be King and also his own Prime Minister, occupying the two offices separately but simultaneously. Many monarchs have done this in the past, and some Arab Middle Eastern monarchies have this arrangement at present. That way, if he were to be ever voted out he could hand over the Prime Ministership to whomever replaced him, but stay on as monarch, the purely ceremonial head of state. I believe something similar happened with the former King of Romania, who after the end of the monarchy ran for office and was democratically elected or something like that. Given how much of the conflict in the Middle-East over the last decades has been fomented and sustained by the Iran-Saudi Arabia-Israel rivalry, having all three regional powers being Western-friendly or at least Western-aligned could bring an unprecedented era of peace for the region, and potentially the world. Especially after Russia's defeat and collapse (God willing), the Syrian regime would be isolated and likely soon fall. It would see the drastic decline worldwide in Islmic extremism and terrorism, which Iran and Saudi Arabia are the two biggest global funders of by far.
There is a fourth reason as well. Quelling an uprising is a temporary measure, if you have to keep doing it, people eventually lose faith and fear for the government, and at some point will demand change, even if that change endangers their lives. You can't just keep pressing people down and expect them to bend, 'cause eventually they will bend no more. When this point of no return is, is a very contentious issue and not really known by anyone, but once crossed it can't really just be undone. Another factor running parrallel to his one, is that if a regime has to continually crush opposition, then eventually even the ones carrying out the violence lose faith in the leaders that they serve, 'cause they begin having ideas of taking power for themselves, seeing as the ruling party has so little faith from the general populace.
This isn't exactly true, or at least the last bit isn't. The people who put down revolts are more likely to be against any change at all. Look at the Hard Line coup in the fall of the USSR, they were the enforcers who simply wanted to continue putting down the revolts.
@@urubissoldat5452 I don't really disagree with that to be honest, I guess I could've phrased it better that this is only somtimes the case. Still I overall stand by the main point, and partially the latter.
Now you know why some people insisting that girl shouldn't be educated. Edit : Don't get me wrong. I don't and won't support this barbaric mindset. Boys and girls should be given an equal opportunity in education and everything else.
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uprisings_led_by_women Note that i cant sort out just the student led ones of these, but the schoolgirls were there in all these women led revolutions all the same
This raspy helped me understand a lot of the reasons why this movement has sticking power so thanks! I’d expect more a decline in the regime’s power than a collapse and opposition take over, but Iran is tough to peer into so maybe the ayatollah makes a profoundly dumb move that flips the military away from him or the rich against him.
@@arthurdewith7608 Wow...what an incredibly unimaginative and inarticulate response from someone who has clearly demonstrated the disadvantages of possessing a single digit IQ.! Obviously, you must be the pick of the crop of 'believers', who has somehow managed to cram so much into a duo syllabic retort.......
All I can say to the Iranians is this: REMEMBER WHAT HAPPENED IN EGYPT. One dictator was replaced by another. If you do have a new revolution (as I hope will happen), don't let anyone take it from you.
😁😁Maybe TLDR could do a video about how the UK is collapsing... the UK is struggling economically, politically and societally. Months of financial and political instability, with PMs being ousted regularly, the monarch croaking in the middle of all this... the Scots murmuring about leaving the Union....
I can't help but crossing my fingers. It's high time Iran came back to the modern world as a secular, modern and free country where men and women are equal and can work together to build a better future.
Despite the world being slightly choatic at the moment not being good for living standards right now, the outcome of it all might not be so bad. Autocracies seem to be struggeling the most and we might be moving into a future with more freedom if things play out well
I was thinking the same thing. The internet is helping people to see the truth. It's time for all authoritarian regimes who don't allow criticism to fall.
@Zaydan Naufal Singapore has the highest average iq of the human race, and has Aced its dictator with a one that actually gives a shit. it's so exceptional that it cannot be used as an example.
The horror that young lady had to endure is awful. Over an article of clothing, what a shame smh. These Dictators all need ripped out root and stem. 🌎 freedom!
In the 1979 revolution, the air force defected and joined the revolutionary force and provided the people with weapons. All it takes is one faction of the military to supply arms to the masses. The question is how would the government react? It could unfold into a situation similar to Libya or Syria.
correction: -the internet was completely down in 2019, its just restricted or slow in the past month. -protests began with full force on the streets and it was still summer, then it spread to schools and universities when they opened.
We're not arab. we're persians. we learn our mistakes. I'm not gonna say Iran needs to back to its origin (Zoroastrian) bcz half of the population is muslim but if a democratic government take a power, both sides can live in peace.
Iran vs Saudi rivalry won't change with a democratic Iran. Saudi public sees the Shias as fifth column and Iranian public sees the Saudies as religious extremist worse than own government. A functional democracy would be an existential threat to the Saudies international standing, which is the foundation of their security policy. What I reckon is when Iranian state weakens, Saudies will fund large scale terrorism to destabilise Iran on ethnic grounds like it happened in Iraq. Saudies attitude is, if they can't rule over it, it's better to burn it down and salt the earth. Of course, this can't happen if Iranian regime provide meaningful pathways for reform. But there are good arguments for the idea that Iranian regime is foundationally incapable of reform.
I disagree, while the Saudis have made Shias into a sort of fifth column, the recent reforms and changes have changed the outlook of the Saudi government regarding Shia residents within Saudi and Shias in general. MbS is definitely heading towards utterly destroying the foundations of Wahhabism, and have Najd return to the Hanbali school of thought. Due to this, a new government in Iran would be welcomed by Saudi, as it would mean the Houthis would be without funding, and therefore they can be crushed.
The shift isn't "Iran and Saudi will get along." The shift is "Iran will become friendly to the West and Saudi will no longer be artificially kept alive." Saudi's only products are oil and unskilled slave labor. If Iran becomes the West's trading partner, Saudi will only be what they've been for thousands of years -- unskilled slave labor, and that is not sustainable in the modern world.
مزخرف نگو بابا، ابنا می خواهند طرح خاورمیانه جدید رو رقم بزنند که مانند سایکس پیکو جدید است و ایران در آن به ۵ کشور تجزیه میشه، که لازمه آن آشوب و گروه های تجزیه طلب است که وجود دارد. پهلوی الآن عرضه بالا کشیدن شلوار خودش رو هم نداره
What is missing in this video is that it doesn’t mention the reunion of Iranians living outside of Iran with those inside the country. You can check out the huge gathering of Iranians in Berlin on 22nd of October .
I don't think it is really "collapsing", for the autocratic leader of Iran wielding significant power and has never shown any sign of being afraid of losing power at all. If anything, it is aggressively making military threats on its neighbouring Gulf Arab monarchies. A few weeks ago, Bahrain was shocked when Iranian state media claimed Bahrain as a province of Iran, and would return to Iranian rule - a move stunned Saudi Arabia as well (since Saudi Arabia is actively seeking Russian support to curtail Iran). And to justify its solidarity with Russia, it has sold thousands of drones for the Russian Army. The protest is nothing if they cannot become strong and aggressive enough.
Is it possible that all the ethnic Azeris in the north try to organize a independence referendum? Azerbaijan is relatively strong and well armed by turkey so Azeris in Iran could see this as an opportunity. About 17% of the entire country population is Azeri...
It's not going to happen when Iranian Azeris are fighting for their country Iran. It's only in the hollow brain of Aliev who thinks he can divide Iranian Azerbaijan to his fake country.
if they try, they don't live long enough to see that independence. we are fighting for our land for the past 10.000 years, so we well know how to keep our borders safe. most of those separatists are Islamic brotherhood dogs and terrorists working with Erdogan's party and ISIS in republic of Azerbaijan. do you work with them too? are you one of them?
@@ariamehr3339 I just found out about the fact that Azeris in Iran exist the other day so its a curiosity for me, a random observer that enjoys reading history about the other side of the world.
@@tonydeveyra4611 Iran is a land of various ethnic groups. Azeris, Kurds, Persians, Lurs, Baluchs, Gilaks, Mazanis, Talyshs, Qashqais, Turkmens, Armenians, Arabs, etc have been living together for thousands of years. It's hard to divide Iranian ethnic groups.
New Iranian regime could be friendly with the West - this will be mutually beneficial. Iran will have an upper hand over Saudi Arabia (or end Middle-Eastern cold war between them), Turkmenistan and Iran can build pipelines to basically replace russian oil and gas in Europe. We should do more to help Iranian people, and help them economically recover after a coup
This is the most ridiculous analysis I’ve seen on what would happen if the regime collapses. Which poll showed Reza Pahlavi is the the most popular candidate? How are you assuming that after the collapse a democratic mechanism is going to be automatically established? Was this the case for any other state collapses in the region? For example, Libya or Iraq? What about beyond the region, what this what happened after the fall of the soviet union for example? What happens to the armed followers of the regime spread across the middle east? Are they just going to accept their demise with open arms? What about deeply rooted ethnic conflicts along the boarders of Iran and separatist armed militias? What would be their role? What you presented here is a child’s vision of geopolitics.
I think it is optimistic to expect Reza Pahlavi to be able to come back and take lead in some form. We all thought the Arab spring would change things and yet everyplace that did change, like Egypt, is now just a military dictatorship. We can and should always hope though.
If the government in Iran were to change, the Iranian-Arab Gulf rivalry may not necessarily end, as many of the issues between them predate the 1979 revolution
Actually, a lot of it would definitely lessen. Iran prior to 1979 was always very cordial and diplomatic whenever there was disputes. The Gulf used to be one of the prosperous regions in the world, I can only hope it can happen again.
@@alarabi98 Many of the Arab Gulf countries are actually more prosperous now since the 1970s due to the rise in oils prices during that period. Little to do with who rules Iran
If there is diplomatic relations with Israel then the middle east will certainly be more peaceful and less tense. Despite a regime change however, Iran should still pursue nuclear power.
@@bnorg1596The other countries sharing this waterway are "Arab" Gulf countries, regardless of whether you think it should be called Persian/Arabian Gulf
I hope the Shah gets restored. But if it doesn’t, then it’s fine to. I just think a constitutional monarchy based on the British model would be kind of cool.
Iranian here. Thanks for covering what is happening in Iran. I won’t bother you with correcting some minor errors. But about Reza Pahlavi, his supporters have better media coverage than others and they have been better in showing themselve as a head figure to the western media. But it’s not as simple as that. Resa Pahlavi do has the support of a section on the society. But most probably not the majority of the population. The stat that you showed is not by any means anything reliable, because it’s impossible to gather statistics from indide the country. I am have no clue who is going to be the next head of state and actually it doesn’t matter that much now. What matters the most is the next Iranian regime ( finger crossed this one collapse) is going to be a secular democratic state.
They need the help of the army to get rid of those backward religious fanatics, Iranians deserve much better. I hope they succeed 🙏 I love Iranian people, each and everyone I have the pleasure to met have been intelligent, kind and well manner civilized people. Persian are going to be one of the greatest contributer to the human race once again in a near future 👏
Agree, but why Islam is forbiden word for west?Imagine if this was Christian regime, whole Europe can blame Jesus now for everything wrong in this world.
@CODEZ 17 What stupid question. A theocratic fascist state or an absolute monarchy. As if there aren't other options. How about democracy? Ever heard of it?
When the USSR collapsed did the cold ear proxy conflicts dissapear? No and this won't be much different, the Houthis, Assad's regime, Hamas, and the Iraqi opposition (Sorry if I forgot any) aren't gonna put down they're weapons just because they're main supporters gone
As mentionned by others here, there are honestly a lot of things that you have said here that are pretty misleading First, about the weakness of the regime: yes, generally this sort of widespread protest would several weaken any regime, may they be authoritarian or not. In many cases the army and parts of the elites stop supporting the current leaderhsip or even overthrow them. But that is forgetting a very important force: the guardians of the revolution. Many repressive regimes have had repressive police secret police forces, but even with that force, they were taken away by revolutions because they were fundementally a police force. Sure you could have units like the KGB and more particularly the SS that had their own armed forces. But they never where more powerful than the actual army. This is not the case in Iran. The guardians of the revolution do not just operate as a secret police force. they also operate a functionning army with all components (land, air and navy) of up to 200 000 soldiers, some of them elite and battle hardened, plus a fanatisced reserve/ political police force with the Bassij of 600 000 people (that are already most of the current repression). You mentionned that "factions in the army" coud try to to do something. No, they could not. Even in the most optimist scenario where almost 100% (which is very unlikely) of the reguar army rebels against the regime, they are still outnumbered and outgunned, having only 400 000 soldiers against fanatical and even elite troops. The guardians of the revolution not only have a ideoligical and political interest in the safekeeping of the regime. Through their companies and fondations, they control up to one third of the iranian economy. For me the lonly scenario where they could be realistically a form of regime change is if the Guardians take directly 100% of the power, putting aside the clerics regime. Secoundly, you stated that if the regime would collapse, that Pavhali would takeover. This is really just very theoritical speculation, as it is not sure how he would be welcomed back in Iran, since he is not consensual among a majority of the opposition, without even mentioning the Iranian public. Frankly, it is quite complicated to see who could (hypothecially) take over, since most of the organized opposition is small, fractured and exiled, while the opposition in Iran is now massive but completely leaderless. And finally, Echoing what others have said, I have an impression you don’t seem to consult local sources outside of the west. Sure, finding sources in these types of areas is harder, but I feel you shouldn’t put this type of content out if you don’t know what you are talking about.
Another highly accurate video and assessment of the situation in Iran. As an Iranian who consistently follows the international coverage of the matter, I can say that you guys are on top of your game here!
The key phrase being "the main cause of the protests is NOT* economics."... something that most western outlet miss and get wrong.
Def' one of the best 🌍 news channels I've seen
#justice
The economic situation is why I oppose sanctions as a diplomatic tool. Sanctions seldom affect the leaders only the common citizens
@@geraldmeehan8942 What else is there to do then...
@@sitskrieg317 rat poison
@@geraldmeehan8942 expectation is that the citizens will try to change out their leaders.
So many of the world's problems could be fixed if only the politicians signed up for brilliant.
Lol.
Brilliant!
Knowledge and wisdom are two related but distinct qualities.
You can have all the PHDs in the world but that doesn't necessarily mean you will use that education wisely.
@@user-op8fg3ny3j well said brother.
Ikrr
As an Iranian, I would like to thank you for your effort and time in actually bringing true and valuable sources, Unlike other news channel which fulfill people's minds with lies you guys are actually bringing the truth to those who are not aware of the situation.
Keep it up, mate.
hope for the best to your people, good luck over there
@@misgarcruz3779 Thank you. 🙏
So sad to learn about Iran and how it was once one of the most advanced societies in the world only to be smashed by Islam extremists... I really hope Iran can fix itself.
@@undefined69695 before the revolution most Iranians couldn't even read lol
@@theranredguardist1949 Yeah I wonder why (Soviets and Anglo's fucking our government over and over) fuck off
Very well done! I also noticed when you said “interpretation of Sharia”, and “NOT economic”. The TLDR team is excellent with nuance and communicating them! You guys have replaced my normal news outlets.
Dude...who is blaming the economy besides Iran 🇮🇷 itself?
Yes! "INTERPRETATION of Sharia." Well, well done.
ISLAM IS SATAN NOT THE SAME GOD.
@@MrJoeSomebody if they’re so clear to, explain the most problematic 3 with reputable sources please.
Biggest lose for America and some israel bcz usa cant sale thei oil gas in high rate fear and sale weapons strategy would be crash in arab
Arab nation would be deacrease their military spendrture and their would be not threat then arab nation would not security of usa military bases missile etc usa can't charge for security
And arab nation would be unite against aprthied israel and their main focus would be two state solution and arab don't need israel after iran threat
This great coverage, bro. No hyperbole, no agenda pushing, no funny jokes, or winning arguments -just the straight facts. I'm subscribed, mate.
No agenda???? Did you listen to the last third of the video?
I am very proud of the young Iranian women who started this revolt at great risk. How it spread is really impressive too. I am hopeful it topples the government and a more moderate regime like they had in the 50's before the US deposed their president and installed the Shah - which led to the Ayatollahs gaining power.
Mossadegh was great, he basically wanted a Nordic style social democracy in Iran, nationalized oil reserves to fund a large welfare state
@@jacobite2353 Sound like another Cadaffy, cant survive too long.
@@suportbghelp4938 indeed, sadly 'nationalised oil' is a red rag to a bull for the US. The start firing up the hornets the moment they hear it.
@@suportbghelp4938 sounds like Denmark (IF done right)
@@suportbghelp4938 Depending on how it's implemented, it can either be like Venezuela (if all the oil income is poured straight into welfare programs) or like Norway (if it's invested in a sovereign wealth fund, the proceeds of which are then used to fund welfare programs). Quite a spectrum of different outcomes...
This is the most accurate video on RUclips about the ongoing protest in Iran. I love that you have included the video clips from the protests.
"Iran's regime is collapsing" is a misleading thumbnail. None of us know that. You could have gone with "starting to buckle" or a million other things but presenting the fall of the theocracy as a fait accompli is just misleading to your audience.
Come on, you're better than that lads! Journalistic standards are everything.
I second this sentiment. This is beginning to feel like scaremongering/clickbait.
They really aren't better than this. They do this all the time.
I couldn't agree more
The level of hyperbole has been noted for a while now.
No they're not, when have they ever been better than that? They take their talking points from mainstream media, they slightly repack is but not even noticably, they make clickbait titles and that's all there is to their channel.
Being deeply involved with this topic, happy to see the accuracy on this video. While many famous news outlets (nytimes, etc) go with NIAC (deceiver regime apologist lobby in US) members, you actually did research.
Happy to report that the three groups you mentioned (military, merchants, politicians) are joining in as well, though it is hard to explain.
Keep up the good work 👍✌
Yes even Dan Arrows had a NIAC member on his podcast on this issue. Disappointing.
Explain what NYT is reporting wrong about it
@@shonenjumpmagneto They continually release articles by a NIAC member, Farnaz Fassihi, despite all the backlash from Iranians. She bends the truth to benefit the sitting oppressive government.
Used to see nyt as an independent fierce journalism source, now I see how wrong that is.
Democrats can't let go of their initial policy towards Iran, blocking any meaningful action, while civilians die both in Iran and Ukraine. Not sure about other things, but for this, Trump was absolutely right!
@@arianvc8239 no, Trump was not absolutely right & conservatives only helped Iran be a worse & more hostile country. Everything else, sure. Get your brain out of the washer.
PS: No one mentioned Trump & I don't see how he was right in any sense. Ruining The Iran Nuclear Deal was a dumbass bone-headed move, & I am a fucking Republican.
@@shonenjumpmagneto Islamic republic was always hostile towards the US, they just shaped their message differently throughout time. Seeing what the regime exhibits now, it was the right call to end the JCPOA, and neutralize the General. Any more money for the regime would make it more hostile, it wouldn't go to the people.
Trust me on this, been living in Iran for 35 yrs.
US presidents might seem to make "dumbass bone-headed moves" but their decisions come from experts behind the scene.
Thanks much! Very informative and accurate video about Iran. Iran has a huge young population (43% under 20yrs and 70% under 35yrs). This well educated population is a huge fish that simply doesn’t fit in Ayatollahs’ small pond!
In 1998, Indonesia was really affected by the 1998 Asian Financial Crisis and high price of fuel and food trigger protest particularly by the university student all across the country. In short Suharto (the President/Dictator of Indonesia at the time) managed to quell the protest because the student didn't have any power or anything. But as time goes one and the crisis became worse, many opposition started in the parliament and the rich also started to dislike the regime, but the worse of all is that the Indonesian military willingly started to take side to the student (which is shocking the fact that Indonesia was ruled by the military all these years*) and with opposition from left and right, Suharto has no choice but to abdicate.
This show how important unless there some high ranking official who are willingly to support the protest in Iran than i can say that a revolution wont be happening.
*The reason why the military took side with the student was because the protest was getting really really bad especially after the Trisakti University shooting where police and military force shoot live ammunition's to protestor of whom were university student. As the situation were getting bad many feared Indonesia would collapse and falling into civil war, and so the military decide to take side with the people.
OOT, this kind of channel don't tell you protest in Europe. They, only show you what they wanted to show.
@@FitraRahim what do you mean?
He pointed out repeatedly in the video that regime change is highly unlikely without military support
Will this happen to IRGC? the powerful military group and IRGC indirect control over alliance across Middle East
If IRGC decide to join protest will be big problem to Mullah but IRGC are likely to replace Theocracy with military Junta
@@thecanadiankiwibirb4512 Alright, I repeat again. Have you seen this channel publicizing protests in Europe? I comment like this because I've seen his videos up to 7 months ago, he didn't even publish any protests in Europe or US, only focusing on Iran, Russia, China, Sri Lanka, Venezuela, and Pakistan. Why picky, there is alot of protest in Spain, France, Italy, Hungary, Netherland, even Germany?
@@FitraRahim protests in democracys aren't exactly news worthy. There a daily occurrence that's very unlikely to cause deaths.
A small correction: the regime went that low to kill students and school girls and all of it fueled the protests and anger even more.
Before Evin fire there were attack on Sharif University, killing of Zahedan, killing of several teenage girls, Sanandaj killing and probably the worst beating a school girl to death because she refused to sing “Hello Leader” (a song for dictator).
All of them served to deepen the hatred toward this twisted and cruel regime
Thought thay did thanks for confirming that.
These times are so interesting, I’m glad people are standing up for themselves and actually doing well. It looks like all of this will be taught to school children in 40-50 years. Weird to think about
We've certainly had a lot of "history" over the past several years.
As an Iranian I truly appreciate your accuracy, it's quite rare to see such thorough explanations about my country in this platform. You've gained a new subscriber my friend!
if you were Iranian you won't have internet access as said in the thorough video
@@easyltd3781 that proves you don't know much about the current state of Iran. The internet is not completely cut, the government only disables it during the peak protestation hours. RUclips and other social media platforms are banned, but most of us use VPNs to access them anyway.
@@navid8306 well that necessary for security reasons some people may protest peacefully but others are mercenaries to promote riots and all kind of crimes but my point of view is Iran doing great conquering space and building strong army compared to others countries in the same region Iran achieved a lot of success in different domains even under tremendous amount of west sanctions I would protest against these sanctions before anything else.
@@easyltd3781 we don't want dictatorship anymore. The people of Iran are chanting "women, life, liberty." with the current terorist regime, women are second class citizens, life is miserable, and liberty is impossible. We just want what citizens of other normal countries have: a normal lifestyle in a democratic country
@@easyltd3781 those sanctions are well deserved btw
I do hope this works out. Iran has been under the thumb of these crazies for too long. It would make me very happy if we could be friends again. Just some thoughts from a US person. :3
Iranian would be equally happy to be officially friends again!
Ask Iraq how that went
@@conductingintomfoolery9163 I'm not talking about some idiot invasion and imposed regime change, stupid.
@@conductingintomfoolery9163 The US directly snuffed out the government in Iraq, piss off american
Ah yes a US person asking for a country to adopt their government style and policies for freedom
The us toppled the first Iranian democracy bc they don’t trade with them at a cheaper rate then the shah would have
Answer: I guess many many people would live a better life
You’d guess wrong
@@Noctem_pasa He doesn't learn from History in Iraq (puppet state of IR) & Syria. Also don't forget Lebanon & Yemen, which is a part of their religious concept a "Welayah".
@@FitraRahim we have a great history. We dont need others failure
@@FitraRahim we need to live as slaves in a dictatorship so its more stable and doesn't collapse like IrAQ AnD SyRIA 🤓🤓🤓
@@im.avesta iraq was part of Iran for many centuries.
And now look at them.
Europeans won't be taking anymore refugees.
I am tired of living in interesting times.
I could do without a historically significant event for 5 minutes.
Me too man. I genuinely wished that there won’t be a nuclear war before I pass my driving test lol.
I don't remember where it came from but once I heard about a I think it was Roman, curse that was "may you live in interesting times"
@@DrakenKorin140 China certainly considers that a curse and rightly so.
It hasn’t even begun yet the coming decades will be much more ‘interesting’
Timely, thought provoking telling,& extremely informative video & content,thanks for sharing
Thank you for the great reporting.
thanks for being our voice. this video is one of the most accurate ones I could find that describes our situation.
Exact and accurate! share this video with anyone who wants to know whats happening in Iran.
Wow this is some seriously accurate and great journalism. A rare thing these days
As an Iranian, thank you for your video and being our voice. everything is going the way people want ( and definitely not the way Dictator wants). yes there are a lot of people getting killed by this animals but we will not stop until we change the regime and free our beautiful and rich country.
Thank you for spreading awareness and doing it as truthfully as possible for our country in Iran. don't trust media outlets, we are tired, we are angry and won't stop at nothing to see the regime gone. please be our voice.
It's also worth mentioning that the people in Iran seem to have learned how to deal with the police. You don't see massive amount of protestors marching down the main street of cities, but rather many small pockets everywhere. This has made it tougher for police to crackdown on.
There aren't large groups because there isn't mass support for this. The Persian government has accurately accused the west of backing this movement and most Persians aren't having it
@@kevinkirby4305 so funny story, I'm actually in Iran right now, accessing RUclips via vpn, during the times that they don't shut down the Internet. You are wrong on soooo many levels. I can't even begin to explain how wrong you are.
Thank you so much for covering this
Sadly it seems pretty unlikely. Though who knows. I hope those people keep fighting against these monsters.
Without military supporting the protesters nothing will change
What happened in Evin prison
Makes me think about Bastille prison!
(This revolution in Iran is not like other revolutions across the meadleeast but actually has more common things with French revolution)
Nah. You must think where you are getting your info. There will be no regime change
The fact this guy brought up the Shah should tell you all you need to know
Yeah but the Bastille was essentially a lie spun by manipulative, power-hungry Parisian revolutionaries and in the end it wasn't political prisoners that were freed but violent criminals. Still funny that France considers it a date worth celebrating.
During the French revolution, there was an armed struggle. Where the hell are the protestors going to get hold of arms and learn to use them.
The 1979 revolution succeeded only because the army came out on the side of the protestors and refused to shoot at them.
I don't see something similar happening now.
This morality Police (Basij) have been selected from children of the religous that have been brain washed in camps from the age of 5. They are not going to stop shooting
You don't know what you are talking about. Read my complete comment on the matter here so that you will learn something.
@@ExiledGypsy every brutal autocracy looks unbeatable until suddenly it falls. You are somewhat right about the army but I would direct you to bloody October in Russia. The army opened fire on peaceful protesters which spiralled into the abdication of the Tsar
Another great work by the TLDR news group.
That ad transition is *brilliant* 🤩
Thanks Ben. Educational as always
If the Iranian monarchy was restored (which I'm all in favour of), it would undoubtedly be in a constitutional form, to avoid the mistakes of the autocratic regime of the Shah. Of course, if the Shah's heir is the most popular guy to actually lead the country as well, as king he would be both ceremonial head of state and executive head of government simultaneously, much like the President of the United States. Of course, Presidents are elected and have term limits, whereas Kings rule for life and success to the throne based on hereditary right. And there's no guarantee the Iranians would want Reza Pahlavi running things forever, much less his heirs. Rather than trying to create some sort of weird hybrid system, a way around it would be to have him be King and also his own Prime Minister, occupying the two offices separately but simultaneously. Many monarchs have done this in the past, and some Arab Middle Eastern monarchies have this arrangement at present. That way, if he were to be ever voted out he could hand over the Prime Ministership to whomever replaced him, but stay on as monarch, the purely ceremonial head of state.
I believe something similar happened with the former King of Romania, who after the end of the monarchy ran for office and was democratically elected or something like that.
Given how much of the conflict in the Middle-East over the last decades has been fomented and sustained by the Iran-Saudi Arabia-Israel rivalry, having all three regional powers being Western-friendly or at least Western-aligned could bring an unprecedented era of peace for the region, and potentially the world. Especially after Russia's defeat and collapse (God willing), the Syrian regime would be isolated and likely soon fall. It would see the drastic decline worldwide in Islmic extremism and terrorism, which Iran and Saudi Arabia are the two biggest global funders of by far.
There is a fourth reason as well. Quelling an uprising is a temporary measure, if you have to keep doing it, people eventually lose faith and fear for the government, and at some point will demand change, even if that change endangers their lives. You can't just keep pressing people down and expect them to bend, 'cause eventually they will bend no more.
When this point of no return is, is a very contentious issue and not really known by anyone, but once crossed it can't really just be undone.
Another factor running parrallel to his one, is that if a regime has to continually crush opposition, then eventually even the ones carrying out the violence lose faith in the leaders that they serve, 'cause they begin having ideas of taking power for themselves, seeing as the ruling party has so little faith from the general populace.
This isn't exactly true, or at least the last bit isn't. The people who put down revolts are more likely to be against any change at all.
Look at the Hard Line coup in the fall of the USSR, they were the enforcers who simply wanted to continue putting down the revolts.
@@urubissoldat5452 I don't really disagree with that to be honest, I guess I could've phrased it better that this is only somtimes the case. Still I overall stand by the main point, and partially the latter.
Astute thought
Well said thank you !
Excellent coverage beyond the bare talking points of most RUclips videos on the subject. Thank you.
Another splendid video. Well done.
Let’s pray for this to happen!
Andrew Sadono Sadly, as far as we can tell, prayer has a zero effect....probably due to the fact that there's nobody listening....
I fucking KNEW that schoolgirls would literally topple a country sooner or later.
Now you know why some people insisting that girl shouldn't be educated.
Edit : Don't get me wrong. I don't and won't support this barbaric mindset. Boys and girls should be given an equal opportunity in education and everything else.
If anime is any indication...
@@fajaradi1223 Because they'll start protesting when they get killed for not wearing certain headgear?
Ya think this is the first time?
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uprisings_led_by_women Note that i cant sort out just the student led ones of these, but the schoolgirls were there in all these women led revolutions all the same
This raspy helped me understand a lot of the reasons why this movement has sticking power so thanks! I’d expect more a decline in the regime’s power than a collapse and opposition take over, but Iran is tough to peer into so maybe the ayatollah makes a profoundly dumb move that flips the military away from him or the rich against him.
I hope he does something dumb and pisses off his own loyal supporters.
You do realise Iran's regime is already falling apart? Khomeni won't be in control for long. Plus #FuckKhomeni #OpRussia
I pray that the people of Iran finally get the freedom they deserve.
The people have the power
More blood shed will be needed
keln Clearly and predictably, your prayer has gone unanswered...
ps....shhh keep it to yourself...there's nobody listening....
@@als3275 shut up
@@arthurdewith7608 Wow...what an incredibly unimaginative and inarticulate response from someone who has clearly demonstrated the disadvantages of possessing a single digit IQ.! Obviously, you must be the pick of the crop of 'believers', who has somehow managed to cram so much into a duo syllabic retort.......
you're accurate information is outstanding . thanks for spreading the news correctly.
7:58 entirely inappropriate sponsor transitions is my fav
All I can say to the Iranians is this: REMEMBER WHAT HAPPENED IN EGYPT. One dictator was replaced by another. If you do have a new revolution (as I hope will happen), don't let anyone take it from you.
The power of one will achieve nothing. The power of millions who are one will.
Fight for your freedom dear Iranians, your government has left you no choice. Much love from Croatia❤️
Love the transition to the ad lol
😁😁Maybe TLDR could do a video about how the UK is collapsing... the UK is struggling economically, politically and societally. Months of financial and political instability, with PMs being ousted regularly, the monarch croaking in the middle of all this... the Scots murmuring about leaving the Union....
I can't help but crossing my fingers.
It's high time Iran came back to the modern world as a secular, modern and free country where men and women are equal and can work together to build a better future.
Shalom rabbi
The Ayatollahs and his mullah buddies need to be taken out first.
@Zaydan Naufal you mean poverty and high rates of iliteracy.
Love your style of editing!! Thank
I'm scared that you are too optimistic.
Its called reality comrade
Face it
@@Benjamin-iw1hz Get some life, i have seen you everywere
Despite the world being slightly choatic at the moment not being good for living standards right now, the outcome of it all might not be so bad. Autocracies seem to be struggeling the most and we might be moving into a future with more freedom if things play out well
More """freedom""" (to be degenerate monsters), but no white people. I'll take autocracy, thanks.
I was thinking the same thing. The internet is helping people to see the truth. It's time for all authoritarian regimes who don't allow criticism to fall.
@Zaydan Naufal Singapore has the highest average iq of the human race, and has Aced its dictator with a one that actually gives a shit. it's so exceptional that it cannot be used as an example.
Yeah, I hope autocracies lose their ability to buy off people long enough to lose power.
@@bijan2210 Plus it's a small country.
The horror that young lady had to endure is awful. Over an article of clothing, what a shame smh. These Dictators all need ripped out root and stem. 🌎 freedom!
THANK YOU!!!!!
You have provided the wrong sources, these are about Peru, please change them
So accurate thanks for coverage👍
What was going on around 4:15 ?! Running out of breath or did you have gas? lmao 😂😂😂
Lol
Need updates on this topic more regularly. Don’t drop the ball on this mate!
Iran and Ukraine are really showing the world what courage looks like right now.
Unlike Russians
@@simonroy2123 siding against putin means siding with the ultimate enemy (west).
Hahaha that segue by Ben throwing shade at leaders was Brilliant!
it all boils down to who the armed forces will be loyal to: the ayatollah or the people
They have 2 armies, a religious private army and the regulary military
They’ll be loyal to who pays them
In the 1979 revolution, the air force defected and joined the revolutionary force and provided the people with weapons. All it takes is one faction of the military to supply arms to the masses. The question is how would the government react? It could unfold into a situation similar to Libya or Syria.
Thank you for making this video. People are not talking about this topic.
Times are no more complex than they have ever been. They just now happen at the speed of the internet now.
Basically still not too complex but now events are just going in and out super duper fast?
correction:
-the internet was completely down in 2019, its just restricted or slow in the past month.
-protests began with full force on the streets and it was still summer, then it spread to schools and universities when they opened.
I'm surprised Elon hasn't piped up with a quick fix yet.
Give him time, he waited until his Shanghai op was well underway before he bothered to suggest throwing Taiwan under the bus
🤣
Thanks!
I hope that it doesn’t just end up like Egypt after the Arab Spring, where you just get another dictator
We're not arab. we're persians. we learn our mistakes. I'm not gonna say Iran needs to back to its origin (Zoroastrian) bcz half of the population is muslim but if a democratic government take a power, both sides can live in peace.
Don't compare them with us, mate
People should not be afraid of the government, Goverments should be afraid of the people.
Imagine if Iran brought back the Persian monarchy. That would be strange.
One of my favourite streamers is an Iranian and he didn't stream for many days. The internet blockage might be the issue
@Zaydan Naufal hakim is from Iraq
Great episode. Please do one about Brazil!
Great job thank you 🙏
Iran vs Saudi rivalry won't change with a democratic Iran. Saudi public sees the Shias as fifth column and Iranian public sees the Saudies as religious extremist worse than own government.
A functional democracy would be an existential threat to the Saudies international standing, which is the foundation of their security policy. What I reckon is when Iranian state weakens, Saudies will fund large scale terrorism to destabilise Iran on ethnic grounds like it happened in Iraq. Saudies attitude is, if they can't rule over it, it's better to burn it down and salt the earth.
Of course, this can't happen if Iranian regime provide meaningful pathways for reform. But there are good arguments for the idea that Iranian regime is foundationally incapable of reform.
However, in Iranian society majority of people don't feel so religious, so Shias society isn't threat to Saudis
I disagree, while the Saudis have made Shias into a sort of fifth column, the recent reforms and changes have changed the outlook of the Saudi government regarding Shia residents within Saudi and Shias in general. MbS is definitely heading towards utterly destroying the foundations of Wahhabism, and have Najd return to the Hanbali school of thought. Due to this, a new government in Iran would be welcomed by Saudi, as it would mean the Houthis would be without funding, and therefore they can be crushed.
@@konstantinosp-a6447 but their oil and gas is.
So use your brain .
The shift isn't "Iran and Saudi will get along." The shift is "Iran will become friendly to the West and Saudi will no longer be artificially kept alive."
Saudi's only products are oil and unskilled slave labor. If Iran becomes the West's trading partner, Saudi will only be what they've been for thousands of years -- unskilled slave labor, and that is not sustainable in the modern world.
@@SuperSanic.. Angry..
年轻人很有勇气，这是每个国家和文明进步的驱动力。他们很珍贵，他们在历史中屡见不鲜，比比皆是，而正是他们能让世界有改变的机会。
Long live with Pahlavi! ❤️
Thanks for your videos 💯
این آقا میخاد بیاد معامله بچه های گارد را بخوره , جدی نگیر عزیز , خود حرام زادشون دارن تو اروپا یخ میزنن
مزخرف نگو بابا، ابنا می خواهند طرح خاورمیانه جدید رو رقم بزنند که مانند سایکس پیکو جدید است و ایران در آن به ۵ کشور تجزیه میشه، که لازمه آن آشوب و گروه های تجزیه طلب است که وجود دارد.
پهلوی الآن عرضه بالا کشیدن شلوار خودش رو هم نداره
@@azerill1173 شاه لخت نور پهلوی بهترین گزینه است .
What is missing in this video is that it doesn’t mention the reunion of Iranians living outside of Iran with those inside the country. You can check out the huge gathering of Iranians in Berlin on 22nd of October .
When you make references to your videos, leave link, please :)
CIA, NATO PSYOPS etc
this was a great cover thank you for your hardwork
این آقا میخاد بیاد معامله بچه های گارد را بخوره , جدی نگیر عزیز , خود حرام زادشون دارن تو اروپا یخ میزنن
I don't think it is really "collapsing", for the autocratic leader of Iran wielding significant power and has never shown any sign of being afraid of losing power at all. If anything, it is aggressively making military threats on its neighbouring Gulf Arab monarchies. A few weeks ago, Bahrain was shocked when Iranian state media claimed Bahrain as a province of Iran, and would return to Iranian rule - a move stunned Saudi Arabia as well (since Saudi Arabia is actively seeking Russian support to curtail Iran). And to justify its solidarity with Russia, it has sold thousands of drones for the Russian Army. The protest is nothing if they cannot become strong and aggressive enough.
India with Iranian brother and sister.. keep going 👍👍👍👍
Is it possible that all the ethnic Azeris in the north try to organize a independence referendum? Azerbaijan is relatively strong and well armed by turkey so Azeris in Iran could see this as an opportunity. About 17% of the entire country population is Azeri...
It's not going to happen when Iranian Azeris are fighting for their country Iran. It's only in the hollow brain of Aliev who thinks he can divide Iranian Azerbaijan to his fake country.
if they try, they don't live long enough to see that independence. we are fighting for our land for the past 10.000 years, so we well know how to keep our borders safe. most of those separatists are Islamic brotherhood dogs and terrorists working with Erdogan's party and ISIS in republic of Azerbaijan.
do you work with them too?
are you one of them?
@@ariamehr3339 I just found out about the fact that Azeris in Iran exist the other day so its a curiosity for me, a random observer that enjoys reading history about the other side of the world.
Stick to your day time job mate, you have no clue.
@@tonydeveyra4611 Iran is a land of various ethnic groups. Azeris, Kurds, Persians, Lurs, Baluchs, Gilaks, Mazanis, Talyshs, Qashqais, Turkmens, Armenians, Arabs, etc have been living together for thousands of years. It's hard to divide Iranian ethnic groups.
Thank you for your coverage of Iran✌✌🙏🙏
New Iranian regime could be friendly with the West - this will be mutually beneficial. Iran will have an upper hand over Saudi Arabia (or end Middle-Eastern cold war between them), Turkmenistan and Iran can build pipelines to basically replace russian oil and gas in Europe. We should do more to help Iranian people, and help them economically recover after a coup
I don't think they will be friends with the west, and the regime is still very strong.
First overthrow their democratic government than support your puppet shah a brutal dictator. Than call that dictator a good guy WOW.
@@mohamedabdukadir3271 we will be. better than islamist hell holes like saudi arabia or pakistan
@@gamerno9859 *account created 3 weeks ago* lmaoooo
@@RomanLavandos so???
wow where are you getting your info BBC?
@Radin اگه شعور همه مثه توئه شاید ایده ی خیلی بدی نباشه ولی میدونم همه مثل تو نیستن
What a great informative video
This is the most ridiculous analysis I’ve seen on what would happen if the regime collapses. Which poll showed Reza Pahlavi is the the most popular candidate? How are you assuming that after the collapse a democratic mechanism is going to be automatically established? Was this the case for any other state collapses in the region? For example, Libya or Iraq? What about beyond the region, what this what happened after the fall of the soviet union for example? What happens to the armed followers of the regime spread across the middle east? Are they just going to accept their demise with open arms? What about deeply rooted ethnic conflicts along the boarders of Iran and separatist armed militias? What would be their role? What you presented here is a child’s vision of geopolitics.
Did you bang your head before making this episode? Quite literally! Hope it's nothing, thanks for making the news digestible as always 😊
With so many predictions it feels like everyone on RUclips is just farting out content based on rumors, fantasies and why not attitude 😫
I think it is optimistic to expect Reza Pahlavi to be able to come back and take lead in some form. We all thought the Arab spring would change things and yet everyplace that did change, like Egypt, is now just a military dictatorship. We can and should always hope though.
how funny to see all the western countries collapsing but this guy noooo...IRANNNN
Love the way he says the names of citys
If the government in Iran were to change, the Iranian-Arab Gulf rivalry may not necessarily end, as many of the issues between them predate the 1979 revolution
Actually, a lot of it would definitely lessen. Iran prior to 1979 was always very cordial and diplomatic whenever there was disputes. The Gulf used to be one of the prosperous regions in the world, I can only hope it can happen again.
@@alarabi98 Many of the Arab Gulf countries are actually more prosperous now since the 1970s due to the rise in oils prices during that period. Little to do with who rules Iran
If there is diplomatic relations with Israel then the middle east will certainly be more peaceful and less tense. Despite a regime change however, Iran should still pursue nuclear power.
@@abdelhamidmetwally2266 *Persian gulf, repeat this every morning
@@bnorg1596The other countries sharing this waterway are "Arab" Gulf countries, regardless of whether you think it should be called Persian/Arabian Gulf
I hope the Shah gets restored.
But if it doesn’t, then it’s fine to.
I just think a constitutional monarchy based on the British model would be kind of cool.
Said who ?
Iranian here. Thanks for covering what is happening in Iran. I won’t bother you with correcting some minor errors. But about Reza Pahlavi, his supporters have better media coverage than others and they have been better in showing themselve as a head figure to the western media. But it’s not as simple as that.
Resa Pahlavi do has the support of a section on the society. But most probably not the majority of the population. The stat that you showed is not by any means anything reliable, because it’s impossible to gather statistics from indide the country.
I am have no clue who is going to be the next head of state and actually it doesn’t matter that much now. What matters the most is the next Iranian regime ( finger crossed this one collapse) is going to be a secular democratic state.
They need the help of the army to get rid of those backward religious fanatics, Iranians deserve much better. I hope they succeed 🙏 I love Iranian people, each and everyone I have the pleasure to met have been intelligent, kind and well manner civilized people. Persian are going to be one of the greatest contributer to the human race once again in a near future 👏
Agree, but why Islam is forbiden word for west?Imagine if this was Christian regime, whole Europe can blame Jesus now for everything wrong in this world.
The "backwards religious fanatics" populate the military. You secularist feminist half wits need to actually think.
Sorry to burst your bubble. The military has always been a hub for the religious.
Down with misogyny
Down with theocracy
Democracy for Iran!
Wtf u want that imperial family back who were also a dictator
@CODEZ 17 What stupid question. A theocratic fascist state or an absolute monarchy. As if there aren't other options.
How about democracy? Ever heard of it?
What happens after? Peace in the Middle East.
Yeah we heard that one before lmao
When the USSR collapsed did the cold ear proxy conflicts dissapear? No and this won't be much different, the Houthis, Assad's regime, Hamas, and the Iraqi opposition (Sorry if I forgot any) aren't gonna put down they're weapons just because they're main supporters gone
You sound like some Murican sycophant.
There’s never been peace in the middle east😂😂
Lol yeah it was all caused by Iran! Not even Iran’s turmoil was started by Iran bro
Iranian people's means business this time.
As mentionned by others here, there are honestly a lot of things that you have said here that are pretty misleading
First, about the weakness of the regime: yes, generally this sort of widespread protest would several weaken any regime, may they be authoritarian or not. In many cases the army and parts of the elites stop supporting the current leaderhsip or even overthrow them.
But that is forgetting a very important force: the guardians of the revolution. Many repressive regimes have had repressive police secret police forces, but even with that force, they were taken away by revolutions because they were fundementally a police force. Sure you could have units like the KGB and more particularly the SS that had their own armed forces. But they never where more powerful than the actual army. This is not the case in Iran. The guardians of the revolution do not just operate as a secret police force. they also operate a functionning army with all components (land, air and navy) of up to 200 000 soldiers, some of them elite and battle hardened, plus a fanatisced reserve/ political police force with the Bassij of 600 000 people (that are already most of the current repression). You mentionned that "factions in the army" coud try to to do something. No, they could not. Even in the most optimist scenario where almost 100% (which is very unlikely) of the reguar army rebels against the regime, they are still outnumbered and outgunned, having only 400 000 soldiers against fanatical and even elite troops. The guardians of the revolution not only have a ideoligical and political interest in the safekeeping of the regime. Through their companies and fondations, they control up to one third of the iranian economy. For me the lonly scenario where they could be realistically a form of regime change is if the Guardians take directly 100% of the power, putting aside the clerics regime.
Secoundly, you stated that if the regime would collapse, that Pavhali would takeover. This is really just very theoritical speculation, as it is not sure how he would be welcomed back in Iran, since he is not consensual among a majority of the opposition, without even mentioning the Iranian public. Frankly, it is quite complicated to see who could (hypothecially) take over, since most of the organized opposition is small, fractured and exiled, while the opposition in Iran is now massive but completely leaderless.
And finally, Echoing what others have said, I have an impression you don’t seem to consult local sources outside of the west. Sure, finding sources in these types of areas is harder, but I feel you shouldn’t put this type of content out if you don’t know what you are talking about.
very good summary. Of what is going on in Iran.
Let’s go Pahlavi
Amen my monarchist brother