The odds of this are IMPOSSIBLE
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- Опубликовано: 17 ноя 2024
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#WiiPartyU #Sidequest #SpotTheSneak
Bro Vern continuously moving between this and party crashers is wild he has my respect
I think the college part is the most impressive because just gaming with 2 groups of guys isn't really special but making time to do that regularly while also doing college? That's fricken impressive
@@porkfacethegreat426 Aaand he also does solo stream does he not?
@Elsuya_Milo I'm not sure but he does at least have his own channel but it's not an every single week thing like those 2 but still b3ing happy the whole time he is an absolute trooper I honestly may become a member of the vern Nation and leave the sophisticated society and have less trips to my kingdom of skill vacation home
@@porkfacethegreat426 He's just so talented
@@Elsuya_Milo I like how both groups have the same general thing and vern is the little melding personality that holds em all togethaaaaa as famileeeee
18:37 the odds of Vern being sneak 4 times in a row were 1/256 (1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4)
~0.4%
@@ChargedBonsai98 ~0.4% actually
@adrinunez7354 oh u right, im good at math
Not quite thats the odds of *specifically* Vern getting sneak in ALL of the FIRST 4 rounds.
A single player can get 4-in-a-row with any of the following combinations of sneaks:
[2, 1, 1, 1, 1], [3, 1, 1, 1, 1], [4, 1, 1, 1, 1], [1, 1, 1, 1, 2], [1, 1, 1, 1, 3], and [1, 1, 1, 1, 4] or 6/1024
if we include 5-in-a-rows, we also include [1, 1, 1, 1, 1] for a 7/1024 chance.
We can then multiply this by 4 for all four players.
Therefore the probabilities are as follows:
For *ANY* Player to get 4-in-a-row:
(Including 5-in-a-row): 7/256 or ~2.73%
(Not Including 5-in-a-row) 6/256 or ~2.34%
For *SPECIFICALLY VERNIAS* to get 4-in-a-row:
(Including 5-in-a-row): 7/1024 or ~0.684%
(Not Including 5-in-a-row): 3/512 or ~0.586%
The common (incorrect) answer of 1/256 comes from the misconception that the four-in-a-row has to specifically be in rounds 1-4, but this isn't true, as it can be in rounds 2-5 aswell. In addition, you can't just multiply the probability by 2 to account for the mirrors of each scenario, because [1, 1, 1, 1, 1] mirrored is the same thing and cannot be counted twice.
The other thing too is, for the sake of argument we want to find the probability that someone gets the sneak 4 times in 4 rounds, if we're not looking for a specific outcome to match, we actually ignore the first roll, since all that does is tell us what we have to roll for the 3 other dice. You can see this too because 4d4 has 256 outcomes, and 4 of them have all of the same numbers in a row, so you have a 4/256 chance, aka 1/64 , aka (1/4)^3. Though of course, this only applies when the number of rounds = the streak length, otherwise as I showed above, extraneous factors come into play.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk
The fact Vern won when he was the sneak the most of the time is very sneaky indeed
Wow, how incredible that you knew this happened 3 minutes after the video was posted. Surely this comment isn't edited oh wait
That’s sneaktastic
Because the leader of the Vernnation is full of rats and toads and schemers and snakes just slithering in the dark just sssssssssssss, just slithering bro
@@MrGabov-gf2fwwhy do I hear this in Brent's voice
@@FranXiT it’s called a spelling error
1:00 if you don’t know her, her name is Party Penny.
13:56 you already know he did used sneak control but no one picked him
15:05 that’s a cap.
15:32 my goodness, Vern did it again.
16:02 AUGH
I don’t think Vern actually used it, I don’t think he know, idk if you watch his channel but he def could win that with skill alone.
That had to be the craziest round yet!
Y’all really gotta… *DO IT AGAIN!*
*monke noises*
YO! THE FUNNY MEME!
Agreed we need more of this mode and the insanity it brings
0:33 Sidequest out of context is great 😂
yeah i show my friends the cumming nicely clip all the time lol
14:01
Vern: I really good at Rotating, I the Greatest Rotater who ever Rotated...
PERFECT ROTATION!
Fun fact, in minigames where the Miis dress up as ninjas, instead of rising from the bottom like in usual minigames, they will instead drop from the ceiling in a stylish, sneaky manner. I only know this cause I watch too many Wii Party videos for my own good.
Anyone else notice Vernias getting more and more red-faced through the video?
Oh my gosh that’s true!
4:49 If only you knew, Tom...
danny in the bird minigame was throwing to an IMPRESSIVE degree, god damn
7:27 the editors went to WORK with this one😭
Nothing’s impossible when Verns on the couch
“Perfect Rotation”
Choc wanting to be the sneak has the same energy as Yeosang from ATEEZ saying “Please suspect me at least once” while playing mafia.
wasnt expecting a sidequest fan and atiny crossover but damn
Danny doing his best Tom impression by confusing birds with butterflies.
WE BACK WITH MORE WII PARTY U YEAHHHHHHHHH
0:43. I didn’t Choc turn into Pig for a second lmao
lol, also YEAH MORE SPOT THE SNEAK YEAHHHHHHHHH
Vern getting a 1/256 chance of sneak 4 times in a row is a very Vern thing tbh
@@TheRealGregariousGreg sure, but why specifically Vern? The odds of any of them having this happen are 1/64, which is far more realistic and they would have called it out either way, not just because it's Vern
@@FranXiT but choc had a (3/4)^10 chance of not being the sneak at all in 2 games, which is significantly more rare
@@lwade225 that's literally just a 5% chance. Way more than 1/64 (less than 2%)
Why lie?
@@FranXiT that’s my bad, when I typed it in to the calculator the first time (yes I used parentheses correctly) it gave me a completely different number than it did when I double checked. Sorry
@@FranXiT your math is wrong. The odds of anyone getting it four times in a row (assuming it is completely random) is (1/4)^4. which is 1/256.
I was literally just going through all your older Wii Party/Wii Party U videos and they were funny as hell. Pleasant surprise that you guys upload another one today too
If I'm correct, the math for the last game should be: (probability of being sneak ^ times you were sneak)(probability of being normal ^ times you were normal). This would be: (1/4 ^ 4)(3/4 ^ 1) -> 1/256 × 3/4 -> 3/1024. Converting this into a percentage would give you approximately .29%
@@Random.Girl. it should be 1/4^3, not 4, since this would be remarkable for any of them, not just Vern.
@FranXiT 1/4^4 represents how many times Vern specifically was the sneak; why would it be to the third power since he got it four times?
@@Random.Girl. you're right, but we'd be having this discussion if it was ANY of them, not just Vern. So the real odds are 1/64
@@Random.Girl. there are 4 of them, so the chance of any of them being the sneak 4 consecutive times makes it 4/256 or 1/64. If we only want the chance of a specific one member, it’s 1/256
@@lwade225It literally got asked what the odds that *Vern* was the sneak 4 times in a row, not just any of them
18:07 FWOB reference? holy another collab channel with a buh-buh-boat!
Vern nation is NOT breaking the schemers allegations
The same person being the sneak 4 times in a row is equal to 1/4^3 (because the first round doesn't count since the streak could be for anyone and it would be equally impressive) which means that the odds of what happened with Vern in this case are 1/64
to add on to this, the odds of vern specifically being the sneak 4 times in a row was 1/256. Assuming there's 4 players in a 5 game round, there's only 4096 different combinations, meaning that there's only 8 different ways that someone could be the sneak 4 times in a row, with a chance of 1/512
how is it 1/64? The first round, the chance was 1/4. The second, third, and fourth times all had 1/4 chances each too. (1/4)⁴=1/256. The first time vernias was the sneak is still a 1/4 chance, so why wouldn't it be included?
@@bacontheshoe you don't include the first round. You only do if you want the odds for one specific player. Otherwise the first round winner is irrelevant, the other 3 rounds have to be the same as the first, thus 1/64. Makes sense?
@@FranXiT Genuinely isn't it 1/256 though? Because you start with 1/4 for the first time, and then two in a row is 1/16 and so on. Not saying you're wrong, just genuinely confused, since we're trying to get the chances for one specific player (Vernias) and 4 times in a row.
@@RedTHedge if you want SPECIFICALLY vernias (for some reason??) Then yes it's 1/256. However please think about this. If Casey got 4 sneaks in a row, we would be having this EXACT SAME discussion. Thus specifying it HAS to be Vernias makes no sense, effectively cutting away the first round from the calculation. Got it?
because i'm bored, here's the statistics of vern getting the sneak 4 times in a row
every player has a 25% chance of getting the sneak each round, or 1/4, which will then be brought to the power of the number of rounds, which in this case, 4
doing the math this leads us with a 0.39% chance of getting the sneak 4 times in a row, or 1/256
for a little more context on how rare that is, winning the last 5 turns lottery in mario party 4 has a 1.56% chance of happening or 1/64, safe to say, vernias is truly the luckiest party crasher AND sidequest member ever concieved
if my math is wrong i will cry
he is the luckiest, but there is a 8/1024(6 if you don't count getting 5 in a row) chance because he can get the first 4 OR the last 4, meaning there is 7 cases(5 is counted twice because it happens on the first 5 and last 5)(6 if not counting 5) - 11112, 11113, 11114, 11111(happens twice), 21111(these are different cases because of the premise of the question), 31111, and 41111.
"It could be a boat" - Tom, keeping up the tradition
The Wii party gods knew choc would be too powerful as the sneak
Vern was a sneaky fella.
1:49 I’d think this is impossible but unfortunately I know…
I know all too well
*poofesure flashbacks*
Love you guys, you are all my favourite RUclipsrs, thankful for all fast released videos to watch
0:43 Everyone grab the remote but he Grab Wrong
3:25
We also got Super Saiyan God, Super Saiyan God Super Saiyan/ Super Saiyan Blue and Super Saiyan Full Power/ Berserk
I'm here for the FFXIV Free Company mentions, Sapphire Qilin Guard (SQ) coolest FC around if I do say so myself 😎
Agreed
Yes please more of this
I would love to see Spot the Sneak again, its funny. But mostly, for Choc to get a chance to be the sneak.
I've played this game too much. One time my friend was the sneak for 28 round in a row. I still remember cheering when my wii remote didn't rumble
14:00
*P E R F E C T R O T A T I O N*
There have been too many people getting this entirely wrong in the comments, so to clarify
there are a total of 1024(4^5) cases for sneaks
to get 4 sneaks(not consecutively), there are 20 cases(16 if you subtract getting it every time), which means the chance is 20/1024 aka 5/256(or 1/64 if you only count 4)
to get 4 sneaks consecutively, there are 8 cases(6 if you subtract 5 sneaks) because the non sneak can be on the first round OR the last round, which means the chance is 8/1024 or 1/128(6/1024 or 3/512 if you subtract 5), NOT 1/256(which only applies to the missed sneak at the start)
to that one guy, they asked about VERN, so the odds of it happening to VERN are these, however the chance of this question being asked about any player is still NOT 1/64 because of the aforementioned math.
I'm less mad about the math and more mad that people are arguing semantics over the wrong math
ANOTHER! Please this was fun
7 likes,0 views…infinite logic
I was all 7 of those likes, my bad, didn’t get to watch the video yet
Yo, more Wii Party u and Amongus content? Sign me up! Y’all are my go-to favourite channel for curbing boredom. Keep on Sidequesting!
I have made a new comment for a certain reason.
The question that was provided by assumingly Tom is this: Can we really look at the statistical probability that Vern was the sneak 4 times in a row?
Including myself, there's a lot of people saying 1/256 as that is the result from ¼^4. Here is what things might be more complicated to some brains.
If the crew of Sidequest was talking about just 4 in a row then yes, it's absolutely 1/256 chance of it to happen as the 5th round doesn't even matter then.
If we talk about a game of 5 rounds though, the answer will be different. The probability I mentioned before is from 3333X but there's more. We also have the 3 probabilities of X3333. So how big probability is that? There is first the probability of not being the sneak, which is ¾ which we then times it with pretty much 1/256. Answer to it? 3/1024 I believe but I could be wrong there. I feel it's wrong but I can't really tell what I could do differently with that math, so I will just lock in 3/1024 in this case.
Edit: It feels like I got the numbers of 1/1024, 1/1024, 3/1024 and 1/1024 for just all the probabilities that Vern could be the sneak four times in a row but I don't know what to do with these numbers then. I suspect it can be just addition and therefore the answer would be 6/1024, or then 3/512 which then someone is correct about.
If we talk about 10 games total though? A lot of math is included in this case. As we then have to think of all the possibilities of just one 4-in-a-row and I'm too lazy to count it out in that case.
So, the answer is dependent on what the crew exactly mean. I can tell for sure 1/64 is completely wrong, just no logic behind that reasoning. I can't tell exactly if either 3/512 or 3/128 could be a possible answer, the math given is by the time I write this just confusing.
If Sidequest somehow sees this, I hope they are satisfied with my effort and maybe even confirm in more details what they meant exactly.
More Wii Party U and on this day, what a perfect birthday present. This is going to be a good one 🥳💖
I am here to ask nicely for you to do this again, I need to see Choc as the Sneak
More sneaks to spot at‼️
The odds Vern was sneak 4 times in a row was 1/256 I believe
vern being the sneak multiple times in a row does nawt shock me the odds in this game r crazy i was once the sneak every round in a game
💀
The odds of that are 1/256 which is very unlikely
Do more Spot the Sneak!!
Funny story:
Played spot the sneak with my parents one time. The monocycle minigame got brought up, and we read the controls that clearly stated that the sneak has to press 2 for manual controls. We decide to be fair, and everyone puts their thumbs on the buttons. As soon as the minigame starts, my mom and I see that my father is doing the patg perfectly. He tries to deny it, of course, but after the reveal, he told us that he thought pressing 2 meant to have the automatic control, and he really thought he was going well 😂.
I didn’t expect a Kickin’ It reference so early in, but here we are
I am indeed a Questy
Love the work y'all do! Keep it up my dudes!!!
I was searching for a wii party video and I found it🔥
7:34
That…doesn’t look pressed…
Agreed. His fingers are hovering over it, just not pressed
we need a just shapes and beats playthrough on sidequest
I am very glad the games allow someone to be the sneak many times in a row
Please Sidequest crew, I here kindly ask you to play ”Spot the sneak” once more. It would make some gas content.
thank you for posting sidequest we all chant in unison
WII PARTY U ‼️‼️
Damn, pre high school nostalgia
Never played this game mode
Another awesome video. Think you and the gang do a reaction of Sonic OST and see what soundtrack you enjoy the most? (Including the Party crashers)
1:34 bro they were in a formation
This mode is peak and you should play it like seven more times
Please do another one of these
love this game
Choc, we want to see you doing da sneaking
If the chance of being a sneak is 1/4, the probability of Vern being the sneak 4 times in a row is 1/256, or 0.391%.
Also, the chances of someone being the sneak every game is 1/1024, or 0.098%.
Definitely play until Choc is the sneak!
0:01 Honestly, Sidequest playing Among Us with Alpharad, Bobby, and the rest of the Mongy Monday Crew would be AWESOME 😎😎😎
I can see the vision o7
Holy heck. The odds of Vernias being Sneak 4x consecutively is 1/256 (very slim). The title of this vid sure ain't lyin'
Wow, even the game calls vernias a backstabbing snake and meant it, to the suprise of negative 69 people.
There was a 1/256 chance that vernias would be the sneak each time for the first four rounds.
No. It's 1/64. This would have been remarkable with any of the 4, it didn't have to specifically be Vern. The odds of the same player getting it 4 times in a row are 1/64, just cause there's nothing about it being specifically Vern making it more special or unlikely
@@FranXiT My chance is for the FIRST 4 rounds for one specific person, not any 4 in a row or for any person.
@@PikKraken8 .......that's still 1/64 mate. The first 4 rounds change nothing
@@PikKraken8 also why would it be specifically Vern
Sir, I am a proud Questicle. Big Side Questicle energy.
W channel
Luigi supremacy
Choc??? In Casey’s spot??? What is the world we live in😩
You guys need to try Party mode on Mario Party 10 next
Skylanders for Sidequest!
Danny’s the imposter
Among Us U
or rather...
Among U
The game is Brent in spirit
How did they not know Vern cheated in the pool game when he overlapped them with ease
but is it as rare as rolling the same number for highway rollers?
Rhino gaming!
Pls play the House Party modes
Nothing like watching grown adults laugh about the goofy shit that half the time doesn’t even make sense.
with choc owning a Wii u PlayStation and i assume an x box i am kind of surprised they haven't played sonic and all stars racing transformed severely underrated game in my opinion
We have done a video on it
The odds of never being the sneak in a total of 10 games are ≈ 5.6% for those who wondering
Shhhh… Be bewy bewy quiet… I’m watching Side Qwest…
Gahahahahahaha! 😜🤣
Next time you play ”spot the sneak”, make sure to watch Vern’s fingers. He might be pressing B…
Commenting on every sidequest video until the do castle crashes again but on insane mode
To be fair, the odds of any outcome are the exact same as for any other outcome. The odds of this exact game happening are the same as the odds of, say, Choc being the sneak every single round!
Knowing this, can you truly say the odds were lower at all?
The probability of Vern getting it 4 times in a row is 0.3% btw
Play more Sneak
Proud NPC here
Play wii party for the rest of all time
15:39
lol i need a free company
Then come on down
We're hunting wabbits
So you're telling me there's a chance.... 😏
Can you guys play donkey kong country 3?
the probability that choctopus would not be the sneak in 10 games is 5.63% That's lucky