I'm glad you mentioned the fact that your numbers were heavily biased towards "gamblers fallacy" and single-coin skills, because I was about to mention it as well. Single coin skills perform really well with large-scale averaging, but in reality they are much worse than they seem because at 0 sanity its statistically improbable for them to ever win a clash against a multi-coin skill. Losing this clash means no sanity gain, sanity gain for the enemy, and the effect snowballs from there. Even in the case that the single-coin skill *does* win the clash, the small sanity gain doesn't really help them clashing against multi coin skills until you reach the +45 mark, where your success probability exponentially rises. Either way, its still fun to look at the numbers this way, nice job!
Tbh it's less of "mentioned" and more of "noticed". On a large enough scale the number you'd get will smooth out towards the expected value, however impractical it may be, and getting simply the value is definitely a shortcoming of this model. But even now I think that to get proper results I'd need to simulate all possible outcomes (hello, Faust), and that requires defined clashers with their own base power, coin power, and number of coins, which is a bit excessive for an estimate I wanted to get. I did account for it somewhat with Minus coin skills, where I'd leave only one coin regardless of how many coins the skill actually has, because only one coin matters when looking at (the best) clashing.
@@ITAndroMedian Yeah, i moreso like to look at the phrase "this ID is good at clashing" in terms of what their "win rate" on clashing is in a realistic scenario, rather than just the theoretical highest possible roll they can do. Its funny because by this metric, negative coin skills are the most consistent clashers in the game, which is ironic because negative coin IDs are precisely at their weakest when winning lots of clashes. go figure.
![[Limbus Company] Cinq Got The Strongest IDs](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/ICoSUtc75Tw/mqdefault.jpg)
![[Limbus Company] Cinq Got The Strongest IDs](/img/tr.png)
![[Limbus Company] Blade Lineage Meursault - MD4R Solo Run](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/XeltZ_1zIqw/mqdefault.jpg)
Thank you for mentioning the Shi Association, me and the 4 other Shi fans are happy with the representation
@@Welvader Wouldn't it make us 6 fans in total? 🤔
@@ITAndroMedianthat makes a pretty windy room
i’m one of those shi fans
5*
people not getting the 4 joke raaaah
I'm glad you mentioned the fact that your numbers were heavily biased towards "gamblers fallacy" and single-coin skills, because I was about to mention it as well. Single coin skills perform really well with large-scale averaging, but in reality they are much worse than they seem because at 0 sanity its statistically improbable for them to ever win a clash against a multi-coin skill. Losing this clash means no sanity gain, sanity gain for the enemy, and the effect snowballs from there. Even in the case that the single-coin skill *does* win the clash, the small sanity gain doesn't really help them clashing against multi coin skills until you reach the +45 mark, where your success probability exponentially rises. Either way, its still fun to look at the numbers this way, nice job!
Tbh it's less of "mentioned" and more of "noticed". On a large enough scale the number you'd get will smooth out towards the expected value, however impractical it may be, and getting simply the value is definitely a shortcoming of this model. But even now I think that to get proper results I'd need to simulate all possible outcomes (hello, Faust), and that requires defined clashers with their own base power, coin power, and number of coins, which is a bit excessive for an estimate I wanted to get.
I did account for it somewhat with Minus coin skills, where I'd leave only one coin regardless of how many coins the skill actually has, because only one coin matters when looking at (the best) clashing.
@@ITAndroMedian Yeah, i moreso like to look at the phrase "this ID is good at clashing" in terms of what their "win rate" on clashing is in a realistic scenario, rather than just the theoretical highest possible roll they can do. Its funny because by this metric, negative coin skills are the most consistent clashers in the game, which is ironic because negative coin IDs are precisely at their weakest when winning lots of clashes. go figure.
Nah, I can always count on bl sinclair to clutch up at 0 sp against a 4 coin skill. This is definitely not affected by confirmation bias at all.
Tang Hong Hong lu clashes like a bastard.
His s2 is really good to farm sanity and after that his s1 and s3 win clashes on its own.
Luck correlates with number of comments I respond to.
Project moon players can't read
But they can do math
I surely hope so...
Glorified maths simulator
As a researcher who deals with statistics on a daily, I appreciate there's another person who does marh
Statistically speaking there're not a lot of us out in the open :D
Девять Rodion values are 53 and 120.2 respectively, and conditionals are simply 20+ Courier Trunk stacks.
Tingtang hong lu my beloved (was my first 3 stars and will always be my favorite, no matter how shit his skill 3 damage gets)
@@anonymousfox4620 Luck correlates with many things these days.
Much smartet many shrimp
I've tried my best yet I don't have a live chat to check my calculus
@@ITAndroMedian Chat is this real?
6 dolar shimp special
I am a Yu-Gi-Oh player and a Project Moon player. Of course I read.
@@SheruMuko Shrimp-man will try and fry us for enabling text creep :D
Rare Axeiiyl spotted 8:25
Rare? 👀
@@ITAndroMedianit is nice to see shrimp man in a video. Also shrimply every ryoshu are the best at clashing none biased.
@@deedeedee5866 You're onto something there.
Next season there will be shi association ryoshu trust me
Next Shi Association ID will come before Uptie 5, guaranteed.
You popping of nowhere when i just started playing a couple of days, you're my company now
It will be a long, wild ride for you from now on.
PEAK CONTENT
@@hibroguy It's because of "and 3 bananas" segment from Axeiiyl's stream :P
forgot Dante's clashing
@@M1011.4 Oh, sure. Dante's idea of managing Sinners clashes a lot with the company' policy in general and with Vergilius's guidance in particular.
I have two of them. I at least have Wild Hunt Heathcliff and he is maxed. I don’t have any egos though.
@@SheruMuko EGO requires a setup anyway, so it's not like it's a silver bullet.
You start talking about math, I start skipping ahead. I can't read, what makes you think I can count?
@@alastor8091 Can we get this comment exactly ⑨ likes?
I LOVE SHI ISHMAEL S2
Gaining extra coins useful for clashing is unique so far.
@@ITAndroMedian we need more shi ids.
I need an Outis Yujin Id@@ComputerGamingg
too bad his skill 3 will never show up when you need it
A different meaning of the phrase "Skill issue"
nah blade lineage sinclair Skill 1 pre uptie IV / pre blade lineage meursault easy s tier...
ROFL