Solar goes EXPONENTIAL - surpasses even Tony Seba's projections
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- Опубликовано: 20 сен 2024
- Solar goes EXPONENTIAL - surpasses even Tony Seba's projections
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I'm from India, last month 4kw solar system installed for $2520/- in INR. Cheaper and with an ROI within 2-3 years.
which company dude, is it available pan India ?
@@thebestevertherewas it's after subsidy and Dcom registration fees refund, it's a listed vendor in the government MNRA site. Not sure about pan India. Adani's Topcon n-type 8 panels, actually 4.58kw.
Try to do that in Switzerland! 😂
@tibsyy895 They do it too
That's great news! India will be a world solar powerhouse without doubt. I live in France and put 8 x 300 wP panels up in 2019...now that tech looks so old!...New panels going up next year will be 450 wP each. Even so, the old 8 panels have provided 75,000 km of driving my EV since I bough the car and the panels at around the same time.
As I worded it to someone in my first year of college, "The way I see it, electricity is basically the lifeblood of modern civilization."
It is indeed, and it is becoming a commodity with no constraints on supply. I recommend reading a recent article in The Economist called 'Sun Machines', very thought provoking.
@@kiae-nirodiariesencore4270that whole economist edition was fantastic.
When you installed solar at home, it definitely surpassed even Tony Seba's projections 😁
It's an amazing positive message for the future!
As an engineer, solar and batteries just make sense , cheap , low maintenance, no moving parts , quick to install and can be installed almost anywhere where there is sunshine ☀️, it’s going to happen super quick.
Congrats on the new solar!
I haven't had an energy bill for 15 years. Just cleaned the solar panels for the 1st time, so amazingly clean after 15 years. Bar chart shows about 10-20% more energy now per day.
Only regret is I didn't have a monitor of how much energy solar makes and I used the last 15 years. I can recommend some UX friendly software if you don't have any software monitors.
Solar rocks!
Another great reveal about solar Sam thank you. My prayers are with you and your family.
Only God can help us?
Thank you kindly
@@electricviking A little message for you .... left wing ideology and government debt is the principal driver behind the scheme. There is nothing wrong with utilizing sun radiation, but it would never be viable if trillions of taxpayer money were not invested into it. China is the main beneficiary. We are the losers.
The unicorns wish you and your family happy rainbows.
Gujrat model went further in installing solar panels over exposed water ways. Water evaporates less & humidity prevents overheating of the panels. 🙂
Good forecast EV and you're doing a great job informing us of these super positives 👏👏👏
THX SAM 🤗🔋🔋🔋
Any time!
It looks like the national Building Regulations here in the UK will be requiring solar PV on all new homes started after 2026. "Homes for the Future"
Even here in the UK (England) we are seeing even north facing PV panels being "more than cost effective". They stay cooler and this almost offsets the lack of being south or west facing. Based on the real data in 2023/2024.
Which shows ... it is id eol ogy driven. Were it really needed, the regulation would not be necessary. But ... as always
@@gdiwolverinemale4thGot quite the crazed fanatic 'ere, 'ent we, lads?
@gdiwolverinemale4th, you know, fossil fuels are receiving huge subsidies, too. Right?
I'm afraid we're a bit backward with solar adoption in New Zealand
Thanks to China for believing in renewable energy
lol ... thanks to Western government money printing. Stupidity has consequences. All taken into account, the savings are minimal
Our pleasure!
"Our" ? 😂. Lol i knew something was off about this channel. @@electricviking
We got a solar estimate here in Canada. For an average house, they wanted CAD 63,000 (USD 46,700) to install. They're gouging the public, so we're going to wait a couple of years for prices to drop.
Paul, not sure how handy you are. But look up the solar kits. You can permit install the system yourself, then hire an electrician for a half hay to check your work and do the final hookups. It’ll cut your cost by more than half.
I am in Alberta and on top of the high install prices we are paying grid fees making solar more expensive than highly subsidized fossil fuel power. And the government announced huge tarrifs on solar coming down the pipe. Looks like we are stuck with old polluting technology
Sam, idiots never apologize.
You have power only during the middle of the day, not at night when you need it the most for heating or hygiene. The solar bleeps are rid err iculous
That is why a home solar system also includes batteries. And, a solar system includes a smart electric panel. With solar, you run your dishwasher, washing machine, do most of your home cooling and heating, run your well pump, and charge your cars during the day. It isn’t an inconvenience to switch much of your electricity use to the sunny times of the day. And, battery prices, while still too high, are coming down. Homeowners will soon have 40 kWh of storage, enough, with solar, to power most homes even though the winter.
@@freeheeler09
Or make plenty of ice and hot water during the day and store them in tanks, for cooling and hot water needs 24/7, and take some load off battery system.
Great news and video Sam! 😎
This was one of your best videos !!, "imagine if "
Here in the US solar with battery storage is dominating new additions to the grid.
Novelty is always very popular with the upper middle class. Particularly so with the soy and makeup wearing
GD, rural American here. The very remote location of our property means my gasoline and electricity are more expensive than for you city folks. It can cost tens of thousands of dollars to connect a rural property to the grid. And by connecting to the grid, you allow yourself to be a slave to the price gouging gas and electric utility monopolies and cartels. Enjoy thst! Battery prices are finally coming down. So, even here in rural America, Solar with batteries and an EV make better sense thsn enslaving yourself to the corrupt petroleum and electric cartels.
I hear a lot of talk about abundant energy and how the price will go to zero. Power companies won't allow this to happen. Personally I believe power prices will go a bit like broadband, where you'll pay a monthly line charge which will be determined by the maximum capacity (the peak of your power draw), and that the actual amount you use will be immaterial.
"Power companies won't allow this to happen" ? What can they do? They can bribe politicians to veto wind power installations (those require permits), but they can't stop people from installing solar panels on their properties.
Some people do not realize solar power is only available when there is sunlight. It is difficult to find a proper qualifier for such
@@gdiwolverinemale4th Some people don't realise that if you have a battery, and a sufficient number of solar panels, you have free power, 24/7.
GD, that is why you also install batteries and a smart electrical panel. With smart breakers, I do all of my home heating and cooling, run the water heater, run the clothes and dishwasher, run the well pump, etc., during sunlight hours. And we installed enough batteries to get us through the night. I’ve also got an extremely effective wood stove, so we have no problem keeping the lights on and house very warm in winter. We also actually heat our water for coffee and tea and cook our meals in winter on the wood stove.
Correct me if I am wrong but my understanding is that the amount of solar radiation falling on the earth every day can produce sufficient energy to meet all of huamites needs for an entire year. Only a fraction of that can be converted to electricity, but it would still far exceed the worst estimation.
Solar is going great guns!
But I just read Sebas 2013 book - and we are NOT "ahead" of his predictions - we are miles BEHIND !
Even so he was closer than everybody else at the time
So what predictions did he make and how far behind are we?
@@rowanbroekman3929 He predicted today's levels before 2020
Australia are in a huge lead of the solar production and it will become much cheaper in the future too and with better solar panels (most likely) with new technology it's good it's getting invested alot now, but it will become even more popular in the future because of the side-effects of everything. More and more houses has it, cheaper solar panels, more watts with newer technology.
It is finaly looking good!
More to the point, if richer countries make aid in the form of solar panels, whole populations living in extreme heat producing hardly any food can suddenly harness solar for agriculture and shaded greenhouses, it is completely transfomative
It looks like people get solar panels for Christmas.
In Canada solar has combined taxes and tarrifs equaling 250% not including the new round of tarrifs just announced. Add to that the 4.5 blion annual fossil fuel subsidies and you can see where we are heading.
As long as it makes financial sense people will buy it. In a lot of places electricity grid prices have gone up a lot while solar panels/install dropping a lot. Battery packs still a bit pricey but I think they will drop in the next few years and I think we will see even higher switch.
Indeed. The incentives are not great, except when compared with artificially inflated conventional energy cost
Right now we have 2,8x the capacity we are using right now and that included with an EV. The south AND north faced roof are covered completely, we also have a 10kwh battery for the night. Now your asking why such over capacity? Well in near future we will cover mostly heating with it. 11.000kwh/y consumption now, then roughly 25-30.000kwh/year.
I live in a part of the world that isn't breaking into a sweat promoting the transition in any way. I could do with practical advice on how to add solar generated electricity to my house and garden (pumps, etc.).
Amazing.
Need of the day is to make renewable amonia.
We have CN to thank for all this !👍
So called free or more likely, cheap energy makes for cheaper war fighting !😊
It makes e-fuel, e-fertilizer, e-hydrogen and CO2 capture viable.
In Germany, we have the same development of installed solar power. But with this, we are running in a big problem: (partial) overload of the power grid on sunny days. Even without wind. It‘s a mess😣
Love you videos,
As a Pole the best thing in solar revolution is... lack of money for Russia for its fossil fuels like oil and gas. They would have no money for war with neighbours.
Sam, do you have your system set up so that only the excess power over the rest of your demand, goes to the EV battery. If one just charges when the sun is shining, if the under-floor heating comes on, a cloud covers the sun, suddenly, you are charging mostly with grid power.
HERE IN CANADA IT IS STILL WAY TOO EXPENSIVE TO HAVE A SOLAR SYSTEM ' IT WOULD TAKE 40 YEARS TO BREAK EVEN WITH NO PROBLEMS WITH THE SYSTEM . NOT WORTH THE HASTLE HERE . MAYBE WHEN PEOPLE GET THEIR HANDS ON SOME EV BATTERIES DOWN THE ROAD THEN IT WOULD BE MUCH CHEAPER .
The great problem I see among people I know is that they get scammed and companies install the 20 years outdated garbage in their roofs that any reasonable company would throw away. Flimsy, inefficient, short-lived, temperature-sensitive crap that will leave the buyer frustrated. Informing these low-info buyers so they make better choices is the most important thing in solar imho!
45k on black are you sure. I got my system installed in one of the most expensive citifies in us. In NYC it costing me about 4500 -5500 after 4 year incentives.
The SWIS (South West Interconnected System) in Western Australia was running today with more than 2/3 of the power coming from small solar. Basically rooftop solar and they are curtailing the large solar farm from about 10am as there is too much electricity. The Electricity people need to get more wind energy for night time and then massage the peaks into the troughs with batteries. I am currently learning what time to start charging my EV at night so that I mostly empty the home battery by the time the sun takes over. Seems to be about 3am. 😂
Nice job
Thank you! Cheers!
This is certainly a good news, but the only thing that matters is how much energy is produced, not the installed capacity. It is not the same to have a coal-fired power plant that can always operate at 90% power and have a solar power plant with the same maximum power.
Most of the people commenting here are delusional about the concept and believe they are changing the world by installing solar panels
The green energy revolution isn’t just about producing power. It is also about better insulation and leak sealing for homes, more efficient appliances, minor changes in the time of day when you use energy, etc. Heat pumps, induction stovetops, and wood stoves can all help you go off grid. We have efficient windows, honeycomb blinds and double insulated curtains on our windows to keep out summertime heat and winter cold. All of the se things mean our current house uses far less energy than the past homes I’ve built for us. .And, with smart electrical breakers, and minimum effort, you can time when you actually use energy. The green energy revolution is only partly about electricity generation! The rest is increasing efficiency.
Forget about it, energy will never be free. Even if it were, governments would introduce other fees to cover their expenses.
Bix Weir is smiling 😂 😂😂
When you were talking about having 3TWh of energy generation from solar I was like: Damn that’s got to be a lot!
Until I asked google how much we use: Over 25000 TWh annually.
So am I missing something?
"What Could We Do With Free (Renewable) Energy?" I think that it a great idea, with a few points of caution. Remember is was no cost fossil fuels that ultimately go us into this mess. Granted renewable energy is different and I think you are talking about distributed generation. The future problem would be more social and political. I have always said that you cannot but a meter on the sun, but someone could try.
As I see caes energy storage combined with today's cheap solar is the future because even at 60% is better than Chemical batteries because it will basically be a self charging battery for half $$$
i am an optimist and i was aware that solar is growing very fast. but what i did not see, is, that the prices dropped again compared to last year by a significant amount. i thought that the prices might drop by about 5% but here in austria the prices dropped more in the region of about 20% compared to last year. i did not see that this is possible. this is the crazy thing. three years ago i calculated with about 80ct€ per Wp but prices are already in the area of 25ct€ per Wp. Of course there are differences in quality but really, I don't want to pay triple the price for a high end premium module that delivers 10% more value over 25 years. I go with the cheapest modules. If some of them are broken in 10 years? i don't give a f... because in 10 years i get tandem silicon perovskite modules with 30% more power for a lower price.
Did Seba predict the increase of demand for electric power? AI server farms require a huge additional power increase on top of growing demand for the electrification of mobility and heat pump heating and cooling...
A very interesting fact: solar panels also produce electricity when it is cloudy or raining (during the day, not during the night).
Point of fact, my solar panels have been producing at night. Only a tiny amount and only a couple of days either side of full moon, but they do produce.
@@aussie405 With only Moonlight?! Very interesting indead! Funny, so one could argue the sun is producing electricity for 24 houers not only when the panels are placed in space.
In The Netherlands, solar AND wind and a few small sustainable sources (like bio fuel) produce more than 50% (2023!!) of electricity. The Netherlands is as northerly as the Hudson Bay! Most solar m2 per capita in The Netherlands. Electric production used to be from Russian Gas - shut off now!! Paris Agreement 2030 milestone is a certain hit. ... now onto 2050. How done: decentralized near the needs: on rooftops! Not far out (requires more network). Organize network flexibility at local level - driven dynamic pricing. Accept network connections and allow reversible dynamic pricing (with capa) for households. This changes usage patterns! Fill the car midday. Washers/dryers/boilers/ovens/e-bikes - if all adapt a bit, networks are easily balanced!
Issue in The Netherlands: winter darkness.... No sunbelt here. Wind is key in the winter, hydrogen storage can be utilized in the winter.
I'm much more interested in solar than electric vehicles, solar is working without subsidies, and now approaching 30% efficiency
Energy might be free at certain times, but not all the time. For a free market or privatised model free energy doesn't work, there is always a cost for the equipment and the grid. Home solar will certainly keep private companies honest. You might socialise energy, and make it fixed price and control that pricing, but total gov't managed energy never worked that well.
The purpose of free energy is to encourage consumption, so we may well find that excess capacity get used up until a balance is reached.
we have many steps to go in the increasing of electrification. If there is free excess power we can dump it easily as heat for the winter, or cooling for the summer. That will soak it up. Ultimately its going to be very difficult to countries like the UK to heat itself with solar power in the winter.
Hi Sam. Thank You Again for this video. You mention Gigawatts. I dont know how much that is. On my bill there is kWh. Can you Always mention kWh to make it clear to everyone. For Example a hectare Solar is a MegaWatt installed. 1000 MW is 1 GigaWatt. But on my Energybill it is in kWh. I Pay kWh. I produce kWh. How much kWh is a Megawatt. One Hectare Solar is One Megawatt and produces 1 Million kWh per Year. That makes your story clear. I hope you get the idea.❤👍🌹🌹🌹
One megawatt is 1000 kilowatts. A hectare is 2.2 acres. The equivalent of putting a 4 KW system on 250 houses.
@@kkarllwt and what is it in kWh. One megawatt is 1000 kilowatts. How many kilowatthour is 1000 kilowatts. I mean 1000 kilowatt is 1 MW. 1 MW is 1 Million kWh per year in Nederland. In Australia must be more. Most people dont know that. Always mention kWh. How much is a MW in kWh in Australia.???
1 kWh is 1 hour of 1 kW. If you had a microwave oven that has 1000W (1kW) of power, running it for an hour would count as 1 kWh on your energy bill. And if you had a solar energy system producing an average of 1 kW, you could run that microwave 24/7 for free.
Sammy you should get rid of your solar installer clip on the roof wearing safety harness but having no hookup to safety ropes workcover don't like that kind of thing
Wrong , they have invisible rope 😂😂😂😂
@@raymondschembri5042 sorry my bad I couldn't see the invisible magic rope lol
What's happening with Notthvolt???
Just from a Idea basis - energy = work ,,because energy does work..
Once solar is paid off it is free work..free money.
Work becomes free in form of eletrical energy.
The sun does not charge...therefor the sun gives us free money.
Free money is kind of non compute concept but this is only comparing it to our fiat/politcal system. If (and i do) we make interest on a non-debasing currency (Solona) thats free money also.
I added solar to my roof but it has two strings and south facing roof, but I want to add more the a smaller roof east and west but use micro inverters and cannot find anybody that know if it is feasible to add to the 240volt side and gain in the morning and evening. Nobody knows or rather will not say if it would work.
Following this trend how many TWh will be produced by solar energy in 2030?
Why wouldn't you like and want to use/have power from solar?
Installed 6.6kw system with smart meter, no batteries, ROI 48 months. Hope I and the government have enough money to replace them at end-of-life, 15-20 years time.
You will find out it is very far from what the TV personalities claim
GD, given how fast the corrupt electric utility and fossil fuel cartels are raising prices, solar systems generally wind up saving folks more money than expected! They installed their solar panels for a fixed price. But corrupt utility cartel prices always only go up.
How large is your solar system SAM?
593GW = 500 nuclear power plants!
I understand solar panels are not better than 20 to 25% efficient in converting the sun's rays into electricity but I wonder what the efficiency of an ICE car or a coal / gas power station is ?. I guess you have to take into account the one off cost for energy used to produce the solar equipment versus the continuous cost of delivering the gas / coal to the power stations, it would be good to know, probably a bit of a shocker (pardon the pun) as you would have to include the cost of delivery of electricity from these stations to the homes and businesses.
Gas and steam turbines are about 60% efficient. However, the total cost of production, including fuel transportation, maintenance etc, reduces the cost effectiveness significantly
@@gdiwolverinemale4th The very best combined cycle Nat gas plants will do 57 % efficiency. This is a gas turbine with a steam secondary . Very few have been built. Most gas turbine plants run at 33 to 36 % eff. Coal plants about the same at full power. Now, mine the coal, build and run the railroad, dispose of the waste ( 5 to 8 % of the coal mass. ). Build the factories to make the mining and railroad equip. Employ many, many people to keep it running, including doctors and hospital staff. Include all the people who die in car/ coal train crashes. Pay for the care of all the people maimed but not killed In providing coal electricity.
Well I am one of the naysayers and I will be happy to apologize.... when this is shown to move the energy needle. We have been at a 80/20% split for fossil fuel consumption and other energy for the last 50 years. Show me a 77% fossil fuel world and I will start to believe this is having some positive impact instead of just allowing rampart consumerism to continue as the planet and civilization reach breaking points.
If this trend continues, there will be times when there is actually a surplus of electricity. Rather than let this go to waste, this could be used to make synthetic petrol which would allow us petrol-heads to continue to drive our much hated ICE cars!
You would need a lot of free electricity to make the capital ( sunk ) cost of the plant worth doing . 10 to 14 hours a day. Move to texas. You can get free elect. overnight on many spring and fall days.To much wind power.
There's bacteria which eat plastic and convert it "back into" petrol. They do it very slowly, but research is underway speed up the process in industrial vats. One day they might be mining our old landfills for that valuable plastic!
Alternatively it could be available for free at public car parks, so people can charge their evs in the middle of the day and move the demand on the duck curve.
Hi. What size system and battery did u install ?
Free? Well you'll still have to pay for the hardware, maintanence and installation...
I think AI and the electric car market grows way faster...
Well done keep dragging out the DATA.
120kw/h per day???? What size system is that? We have a 10kw system admittedly with some shade issues and a mixture of east and north facing panels but generate about half that on a good summer day. Today it was a beautiful sunny day in SE Queensland and we generated 43kw/h.
Clear spring day? divide by 7. I think he installed about 18 KW of panels.
The EV adoption will accelerate Solar adoption.
This fixation on a single form of energy production or its consumption only causes new blinders.
It remains an irrefutable fact that every form of energy offered and consumed exerts a magnetic attraction on highwaymen and privateers, whose exaggerations, even propaganda, place exploitation and the welfare of a few above the welfare of the general public.
In solar power, the hope of empowering the individual to a higher degree of self-determined handling of the basically freely available energy within oneself and from outside given by this lovely earth germinates.
Well, well, well ..... still a small percentage of the total energy needs ... and far away from reliable
When solar will be the first source of energy in the world?
It always has been!
Energy wont be free because we need storage and the grid. We are still have to solve these two issues or it wont work.
Do you follow this channel at all? Do you know how many mega batteries are being installed, and how quickly?
Of course, nothing is "free". We're looking at lowest sustainable costs. Don't be silly.
@@elephantintheroom5678Hi, have you done your own calculations what is necessary to change to solar and wind with batteries worldwide. Batteries can only be used for some hours but not for weeks when we have no wind and sun. There we need power stations which work reliabel.
@@jgarbo3541 the new grid and the storage will be more expensive as the old one. So the energy prices will go up when you go 100% without fossils. Its pure economics.
@@tinogruchmann More expensive - than -...evidence? 100% of what? Back to kindergarten for you...
Minimal maintenance and free electric power - yea, solar doesn't make any sense at all...
Western politicians are completely wrong in refusing cheap chinese solar panels. Buying a chinese solar panel does not create a dependence because we can use it for 25 years without the chinese supplier assistance. Unless it can explode by remote control ! (joke)
Solar is slowing down anywhere but in China.
Free energy is not possible -- somebody has to make the investment in renewable generation, somebody has to lay, and maintain power lines. Not everyone will be able to generate renewable electricity themselves, so will have to buy it from somebody.
At 5 in the morning, my power company will give me free electricity. They charge me 7 cents a KWH to bring it to my house. And taxes.
But it doesn't matter! The installation costs a ton of money. The panels are already just marginal costs!
I installed super-flexible and hard-wearing CIGS panels with some metal rods, stainless steel wire, heavy-duty rope and some elbow grease.
If you soak up so much sun energy, then eventually will need to increase co2 emissions, so that the the earth doesn't cool too much
There is already so much CO2 rising into the atmosphere that it will take over a thousand years to reabsorb it through the carbon cycle. So I don't think we have to worry about the Earth cooling too much for a long, long time.
is this a joke?
You should call yourself uber-i-englishmajor. Then we would understand this foolish post.
Ah, one of the "realists", I see...
Please stop plugging your installer, it's getting anoying
it like they have his family hostage
I don't think so. He's doing a public service.
it is a story on solar you are watching...so kinda relevant don't you think?
It is a trade for a better price. Just skip.
I don't owe you an apology. All I said was that you can't pronounce NASA, and you're in love with Elon Musk. I stand by those statements.
I'm sorry for all the Luddites
Only problem I see with all this solar is super volcanos or some one chucking rocks at our planet again and maybe a nuke war in the northern hemisphere as well
Solar and wind will be useless then
No sun and wind full of dust that will tear wind turbines apart.
Need a base load back up that can handle these events that happen and are over due to happen unfortunately for us
We won't have zero sunshine and wind full of dust won't tear up turbines. Get real.
How long have we used coal, and not a single super volcano eruption, just out of control global heating.
Super volcanoes is game over for a large part of the world. A comet strike likewise. No 'baseload' system could survive. Widely distributed power generation is the least vulnerable.
Always look on the bright side of life! Eh?
And how long would our current energy production and delivery system last? For that matter, how long would we last with all that poison dust and no food.
Vind is scam solar not.
Wind has a clear use case in many parts of the world.
The average wind turbine that came online in 2020 in the US generates enough electricity in just 46 minutes to power an average U.S. home for one month.
They both have their place, as does tidal. You wouldn't put one of those in the Sahara after all.