Will Venezuela Invade Guyana for Oil? || Peter Zeihan

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  • Опубликовано: 31 май 2024
  • I've gotten a handful of questions regarding Venezuela invading the South American state of Guyana due to economic challenges and oil discoveries. The short answer is that I'm not worried about this, but here's three reasons why.
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    #venezuela #guyana #oil #invasion

Комментарии • 682

  • @Aussie-Mocha
    @Aussie-Mocha Месяц назад +261

    😂😂😂😂
    “….All six of them…. “
    That got me laughing.

    • @eduwino151
      @eduwino151 Месяц назад +14

      hundreds of kms of dense jungle and swamp nobody will be left alive after hiking through that

    • @83917Michael
      @83917Michael Месяц назад

      @@eduwino151I mean, this is a thing some people do for fun. Its a little odd coming from someone who obviously seems to enjoy hiking like PZ, but it is absolutely possible for an army to move through a jungle on foot, build camps along the way and ferry supplies to where they need it (see the Vietnam war). They may not be able to get vehicles and heavy weapons through, but they may not feel they need it vs Guyana. Whether they have the will/morale/money to do so is the question. And maybe they don't. But I don't think Guyana and allies would be mistaken to prepare for the possibility, maybe install observers, cameras, etc. The marine guards at the US embassy won't be fighting the war, even if they could, they have duties at the embassy.

    • @eduwino151
      @eduwino151 Месяц назад

      dude do you know what a dense jungle really is look at videos of the jungle between Guyana and venenzuella it is virgin jungle even foot paths dont exist you will have to slash your way through every meter@@83917Michael

    • @adamh1228
      @adamh1228 Месяц назад +6

      @@83917Michael all of those steps in getting across a jungle on foot requires one key element... competence. so yeah, i think the argument venezuela cant do this is accurate.

    • @rimor3579
      @rimor3579 Месяц назад +1

      Love the tongue in cheek responses, regarding Venezuela's capabilites.

  • @Erodkp08
    @Erodkp08 Месяц назад +409

    FYI, Venezuela has more Generals/Admirals than NATO! LOL

    • @raviolijones5351
      @raviolijones5351 Месяц назад +51

      I heard they have just as many medals as NK

    • @AS91ist
      @AS91ist Месяц назад +16

      It's the way to increase salary => loyalty :)😅

    • @EveningGoDs
      @EveningGoDs Месяц назад +5

      FYI Guyana is a Caricom member so unless they want to engage with Jamaica, Trinidad etc Venezuela better fall back

    • @Tex_actual
      @Tex_actual Месяц назад +22

      @@raviolijones5351 so you’re saying all I need to do to defeat them, is to get a really big fucking magnet?

    • @abjectt5440
      @abjectt5440 Месяц назад +6

      Canada has more admirals than ships.

  • @4gegtyreeyuyeddffvyt
    @4gegtyreeyuyeddffvyt Месяц назад +415

    I get the feeling Peter isn’t impressed with the Venezuelan military. 😂

    • @DmitriyTonyuk
      @DmitriyTonyuk Месяц назад +45

      When Venezuelan navy boat rams a European cruise ship and sinks, while the cruise ship continues on their happy course, can you really blame anyone for not being particularly impressed with Venezuelan military? ("incident" happened years ago when Venezuela still had a semblance of structure to it)

    • @Unsensitive
      @Unsensitive Месяц назад +6

      "not impressed" is an exaggeration of his confidence in their expertise.

    • @TomTomicMic
      @TomTomicMic Месяц назад +12

      But their military is all 5 star generali's!?!

    • @spam7942
      @spam7942 Месяц назад +18

      @@DmitriyTonyuk Didn't they also attend Russia's 'tank olympics' one year and fail to score a single hit in the gunnery competition?

    • @masterbasher9542
      @masterbasher9542 Месяц назад

      Assuming their anarchist capitalist President isn't busy cutting the excess military away...

  • @johnl.7754
    @johnl.7754 Месяц назад +125

    The last video of Venezuela navy in action was when it went against a cruise ship…..and it lost

    • @MrRinoHunter
      @MrRinoHunter Месяц назад +22

      It deleted it self ramming a ice breaker 😂😂, and the ice breaker rescued to people who were ramming them.

    • @zibbitybibbitybop
      @zibbitybibbitybop Месяц назад +9

      You could barely even script this shit, it's so bizarre, yet here we are. 😂

    • @HubertofLiege
      @HubertofLiege Месяц назад +5

      Capt. Steuben from the love boat defeated them

    • @SlushboxH8R
      @SlushboxH8R Месяц назад +4

      @@HubertofLiege It was easy after Isaac the bartender got them hammered

    • @CharlieLarkin75
      @CharlieLarkin75 Месяц назад +1

      I need to find this video.

  • @thehunzz
    @thehunzz Месяц назад +86

    "They would kinda just walk into the jungle and die". 😂

    • @thehunzz
      @thehunzz Месяц назад +3

      Not to respond to my own comment, but anyway else picturing a Commando/Predator combo with Schwarzenegger out in the jungle doing his thing?

    • @xhagast
      @xhagast Месяц назад +7

      He is not kidding. I think it was Henry Morgan who attacked the city of Gibraltar in Central America. He marched like fifteen hundred pirates into the jungle and a couple of weeks later a few hundred survivors destroyed an abandoned city before returning home with a disappointing booty.

    • @crosslink1493
      @crosslink1493 Месяц назад +5

      @@thehunzz With the comedic spin Peter puts on it I was thinking "Tropic Thunder".

  • @davidoldham1946
    @davidoldham1946 Месяц назад +95

    Did not some Venezuelan patrol boat decide to boss around some small cruise ship several years back in international waters. The cruise ship told them to go away and the Venezuelans fired on them which did nothing so they rammed the cruise ship and promptly sank themselves??? The small cruise ship was an expedition yacht made of steel and not your normal fiberglass.

    • @jnorth3341
      @jnorth3341 Месяц назад +22

      It was a German cruise ship that was made for Antarctic cruises so it was functionally an ice breaker.

    • @PikeProductions23
      @PikeProductions23 Месяц назад +11

      Man, that Wikipedia is a funny read: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venezuelan_patrol_boat_Naiguat%C3%A1

    • @TRYCLOPS1
      @TRYCLOPS1 Месяц назад +3

      @@PikeProductions23thanks that’s pretty dumb lol socialists 🤷‍♂️😂

    • @kingaha3657
      @kingaha3657 Месяц назад +1

      A story and a link to it, why can't comment sections be like this

  • @grandmasmalibu
    @grandmasmalibu Месяц назад +181

    "Guyana has a population of three. Not three million, just three." LOL. (It's actually about 800K)

    • @sakurakou2009
      @sakurakou2009 Месяц назад +5

      They should allie themselves with one powers, I feel like india and usa are their best choice for alliance

    • @segiraldovi
      @segiraldovi Месяц назад

      @@sakurakou2009 india doesn't have interest in South America

    • @JakubWasikiewicz
      @JakubWasikiewicz Месяц назад +8

      ​@@sakurakou2009 why India? It's like on the opposite side of the world. I don't think America is going to be encouraging Panama to have a bunch of Indian Navy ships regularly traveling back and forth through the canal either.

    • @sakurakou2009
      @sakurakou2009 Месяц назад +8

      @@JakubWasikiewicz the population of Guyana have significant indian decent, also they part common wealth they were ex british conoly, also I am not sure but I heard that Venezuela is socialist so maybe china and other communist countries will help them against usa sanctions so Guyana have to be allie with opposite and india and china are rivals so india have to help Guyana, anyway india need to step their game in global stage they can't always be on fence.
      And having india navy better then chinese navy

    • @thedownwardmachine
      @thedownwardmachine Месяц назад +11

      So three was closer to the accurate count than three million

  • @_endless_road_1413
    @_endless_road_1413 Месяц назад +47

    In addition Venezuela's oil is very heavy by international standards and requires specialized refining capacity. Guyana's is light sweet crude and seen as a premium on the world market. What's left of Venezuela's refining capacity is geared up for their heavy crude. If they pulled a major military victory and got past those 6 marines they don't even have the capacity or capability to deal with Guyana's oil.

    • @isJay
      @isJay Месяц назад +2

      Probably less about using the oil fields, and more about not allowing Guyana to build the capacity. Guyana becomes comparatively rich off oil while Venezuela flounders next door? Bad look for the dictators.

    • @bryanutility9609
      @bryanutility9609 Месяц назад

      Can’t they just use Guyana’s oil capacity too? Or sell it to a refinery in Texas?

    • @DavidJones-hr9bn
      @DavidJones-hr9bn Месяц назад +2

      ​@@bryanutility9609aside from the fact the U.S. would impose sanctions on that ill gotten oil, the refineries in Texas are designed to process the sludge type crude Venezuela currently produces. The U.S. actually exports our premium crude to locations with more appropriate refining capabilities while importing lower grade crude to keep our refineries at capacity.

    • @bryanutility9609
      @bryanutility9609 Месяц назад

      @@DavidJones-hr9bn sounds complicated 😂

    • @cesarmoya-fw9rx
      @cesarmoya-fw9rx Месяц назад

      Alguien de ustedes a leído la historia xq ese territorio era español del Esequibo y luego paso a ser parte de Venezuela y bueno el tema de laudo de París es un mega robo es decir q históricamente es venezolano y este el gobierno q este en Venezuela se va dejar quitar algo q la historia nos respalda y más los recursos recuerde. Q Venezuela nunca dejo de decir q el esquivo es venezolano

  • @Chris-ji4iu
    @Chris-ji4iu Месяц назад +80

    I remember when Venezuela nationalized the oil fields ...I'm always amazed at how short-sighted people can be. Exactly how do you plan on nationalizing the knowledge to run and maintain everything?

    • @rmacdonify
      @rmacdonify Месяц назад

      Yeah those short-sighted Norwegians did the same.

    • @KonigGustavAdolph
      @KonigGustavAdolph Месяц назад +1

      You mean when CAP nationalized back in '76 or the stuff under Chavez?

    • @Chris-ji4iu
      @Chris-ji4iu Месяц назад +2

      @@KonigGustavAdolph Under Chavez. Not familiar with what happened in '76. I'll have to look that up.

    • @nunyabidness3075
      @nunyabidness3075 Месяц назад

      Yeah, the short sighted oil execs who invested money in those fields are the bigger problem. Maybe they made money, but I doubt it was worth it. This is why we can’t just let “experts” make decisions and run the government, and cannot have mob rule either. We need principles, and we can’t abandon them every time a Trump or Biden doesn’t like the results of something or gets afraid.

    • @rmacdonify
      @rmacdonify Месяц назад +3

      Norway

  • @rubenreyes2000
    @rubenreyes2000 Месяц назад +5

    I see some comments about nationalization. The Venezuelan oil industry was a gem after nationalization. From 1976 until 2002 it was highly respected worldwide and it was extremely profitable and efficient. The biggest issue with nationalization was the challenges it posed when it came to funding large investments, but even that was solved in the 90s when the law was changed to allow joint ventures with private companies as long as PDVSA (the Venezuelan oil company) retained more than 50% of ownership. For almost 4 decades there was an unwritten understanding that politicians stayed out of PDVSA and the only mandate of the oil industry was to make as much money as possible. It was such a prestigious place to work and make a career. Everything changed when Chavez got upset with PDVSA because most employees joined a national strike in 2002, and Chavez literally fired something like 30% of the entire payroll, which was virtually everyone with a title of supervisor or higher. He essentially decapitated the entire oil industry in one day. As you can imagine what followed was an unmitigated collapse.

  • @rohela1122
    @rohela1122 Месяц назад +74

    I have extensive experience in Guyana Esequiba river basin, an area of farming using tidal river fertilization, and illegal and armed mining. When I was there all approach roads in Guyana were controlled by armed private guards. There are two land invasion routes. One goes through Brazil who will most likely close its border. The second is coastal, and Guyana has been preparing for this since long before I was there. Government officials told me they allowed Jonestown to be built in the invasion route in order bring the USA into in order to protect its citizens. No one who has been there considers the jungle as relevant militarily.
    The coastal roads to invade Georgetown, the capital , do not not offer adjoining areas where an army could take refuge from air attack. It would be massacre if British or American airplanes flew from one of the nearby islands nations aligned with the UK.
    If somehow they broke through to the eastern side of the river there is more side area to disperse an military force.
    However the river at that point is more than ten miles wide. How would they safely cross into the eastern shore. Georgetown is much safer than people think

    • @thehunzz
      @thehunzz Месяц назад +1

      Interesting. Take it most of those approach roads aren't paved? On TV at least, I've always heard that part of the jungle described as "extreme" & "remote", and see a ton of mangroves & other difficult to navigate things, TV dramatic effect aside, is all that generally accurate?

    • @rohela1122
      @rohela1122 Месяц назад +7

      The coastal roads to invade Georgetown, the capital, are not paved when I was there . there was a region controlled by a rice company that was much better. The coastal roads do not go through the dense jungle.

    • @rohela1122
      @rohela1122 Месяц назад +4

      But remember it has been years since I was there

    • @dinismantas7265
      @dinismantas7265 Месяц назад +6

      I watched a Brazilian Army officer talking about a possible invasion. This guy is an expert at jungle warfare and he pretty much said a large scale invasion was impossible.
      Only way would be through Brazil and although Lula is buddy buddy with Maduro, half the country hates Lula and their own Constitution doesn't allow it.

    • @johnfranklin6394
      @johnfranklin6394 Месяц назад +10

      I worked in gold exploration in southern Bolivar state in the 90s. I was based in El Callao and worked concessions around La Camorra, north of El Dorado. The forest there was jungle (ie had wet and dry seasons) and was fairly thick.
      I also visited a concession right next to the Guyana border at Bochinche. The forest there was on another level. Trees were over 100 feet tall, and the forest was much thicker and lusher. Closer to full rain forest.
      I can’t imagine it realistic to launch an invasion in such terrain.
      However, this was 30 years ago. But, Google earth suggests the infrastructure hasn’t changed much since then.

  • @oveidasinclair982
    @oveidasinclair982 Месяц назад +52

    I wasn't really worried too much about that incident ever taking place either for the very reason you just stated, no Navy, no air force and no roads for the army. My dad was in Venezuela back in the 1980's, he was given a tour on one of their newly acquired German subs, he said it was well run, with a competent and friendly crew. Now I don't think they could even fire the engines up on that sub anymore, much less find a crew crazy enough to take it under water.

  • @jakob5638
    @jakob5638 Месяц назад +26

    A more important question: Does the Maduro regime know that they lack the capability?

    • @bryanutility9609
      @bryanutility9609 Месяц назад

      Bus driver 😂

    • @FGBFGB-vt7tc
      @FGBFGB-vt7tc Месяц назад +1

      Cheeky Venezuelan here from Caracas. Do you remember when the Khmer Rouge after killing a quarter of their population decided that invading Vietnam (that swatted Americans like a pesky mosquito) would be as easy as killing anyone with eyeglasses?.
      Regrettably that's my answer as a local.

    • @FGBFGB-vt7tc
      @FGBFGB-vt7tc Месяц назад +2

      @@bryanutility9609 Actually a MetroBus driver. One that was part of the Sindicates and mastered the Art of the Absentee.

  • @sheldonrich2795
    @sheldonrich2795 Месяц назад +37

    Still waiting for Peter to give an expanded explanation for the underlying political, social and economic resistance for amending or repealing the Jones Act. We know he hates it, but he isn't helping us understand whose ox is being gored or by whom. We need an accurate score card and players list if there is any hope for the larger public to gain a voice on this issue.

    • @maxpower3990
      @maxpower3990 Месяц назад

      It’s most likely that it has been law for so long that almost every lawmaker doesn’t know about it and the 3 who are old enough don’t care. Everyone else is too busy focusing on personal projects or see better returns on other proposals.

    • @SlushboxH8R
      @SlushboxH8R Месяц назад

      Have you watched his previous videos that were specifically about the Jones Act?

    • @sheldonrich2795
      @sheldonrich2795 Месяц назад

      @@SlushboxH8R Yes, I have. He comments on it frequently. I have never heard an in depth analysis of the specific players running defense on it.

    • @sheldonrich2795
      @sheldonrich2795 Месяц назад +1

      @@Tyneras I understand that, but those unions (as opposed to UAW, USW, AFSCME or other big ones) are relatively small and not terribly visible. There has to be other players who back stop this law.

    • @MGone3
      @MGone3 Месяц назад +1

      ​@sheldonrich2795 the Defense Department also doesn't want it repealed. National security concerns.

  • @turnerschwiebert3842
    @turnerschwiebert3842 Месяц назад +47

    "not even 3 million, just 3" haha

  • @HiwasseeRiver
    @HiwasseeRiver Месяц назад +6

    No worries at all. You might have mentioned the Exxon exit story from VZ: the courts awarded Exxon major refining assets in the US. Also - VZ has some of the lowest quality oil in the world, (Merey) 16 Degree gravity and 2.5% sulfur, Guyana has some medium quality oil 32 degree, 0.5% sulfur. (For comparison WTI is lighter 37-42 degrees and sweeter 0.42% sulfur) Guyana should trade at a slight discount to WTI but it's already on the water so I would value it equal to WTI FOB Houston for international buyers. VZ oil trades at a deep discount to WTI but it is a cheap feedstock for US refineries with the technology to process it. Losing VZ and bring Guyana online was a huge win for Exxon. Go long XOM & DVN and never worry about oil. Giving you a thumbs up today Peter, but you left out the invest-able part of the story.

  • @Worteltaart
    @Worteltaart Месяц назад +71

    Seeing these videos makes me want to move to Colorado more by the day

    • @dwwolf4636
      @dwwolf4636 Месяц назад

      It's infested by Californian Democrats.
      Avoid.

    • @TomTomicMic
      @TomTomicMic Месяц назад +8

      Colorado has the fourth highest crime rate of US states, it's a wonder Peter doesn't get mugged, perhaps they think he's weird for talking to "himself"!?!

    • @BuddyLee23
      @BuddyLee23 Месяц назад +1

      Enjoy the long cold winters (and some indeed do).

    • @21972012145525
      @21972012145525 Месяц назад +1

      No dust mites in Denver 😅

    • @joshjmfa
      @joshjmfa Месяц назад +6

      @@TomTomicMicdo you live in Colorado? Like anywhere the majority of crime is centered in ghettos and sketchy areas. Where Peter is going on hikes most criminals are going on nice lovely hikes.

  • @MrToubrouk
    @MrToubrouk Месяц назад +13

    I remember the last time a cruise ship sank a Venezuelan warship...

  • @andyo8141
    @andyo8141 Месяц назад +158

    One further point is that the UK has offered unequivocal backing to Guyana should Venezuela invade.

    • @TomTomicMic
      @TomTomicMic Месяц назад +11

      ..... and the usual UK warship was sent to Barbados in December 2023 which prompted Venezuela to conduct drills with 5,600 of its military (Land ones presumably!) which shows that Venezuela has an impressive amount of five star generali's!?!

    • @masonm600
      @masonm600 Месяц назад +4

      Now that would be funny

    • @andyo8141
      @andyo8141 Месяц назад +15

      @@TomTomicMic The Venezuelan military is ranked 57th in the world. That's 29 places behind mediocre Argentina and a long-way away from any top 10 military power. Be careful invading your neighbor. It rarely works out well.

    • @websitemartian
      @websitemartian Месяц назад +2

      here goes Britain again

    • @CosmicHyperborean
      @CosmicHyperborean Месяц назад +2

      The UK is a joke militarily.

  • @Simple_But_Expensive
    @Simple_But_Expensive Месяц назад +24

    Before I retired I worked in the oilfields in California. I knew many people who had worked contracts in Venezuala. After Hugo took over, their assessment was that Venezuala lacked the ability to expand their oilfields, and that the corruption would lead to the siphoning off of the funds required for maintenance. 15 years later, when Hugo died, production had plummeted and Hugo’s wife had become incredibly wealthy. I wonder how that happened. What do you know, another example of socialism. I cringe every time I hear someone say “They just didn’t do socialism right”. Apparently, the human race is incapable of doing socialism right.

    • @michaeldavis3819
      @michaeldavis3819 Месяц назад +4

      "So first we change human nature at a fundamental level, and then we initiate full socialism!" 😅

    • @jab100lochaber
      @jab100lochaber Месяц назад

      Looks like one of Chavez' daughters is more than incredibly wealthy...

    • @cptr
      @cptr Месяц назад

      Stupid. No different that Nancy peloci and the like getting extremely rich. Wonder how that happened?

    • @Alexadria205
      @Alexadria205 Месяц назад +7

      I think you're right. Corrupt capitalism (like what we have in the US) at least is somewhat functional. Corrupt socialism never works. I think the answer though is a mixed economy like that of Finland and the other nordic countries. They are rated the happiest in the world so they must be doing something right.

    • @davidbastardo4154
      @davidbastardo4154 Месяц назад

      Not just his widow, but his daughters too. They appear in Forbes magazine, and they are all illiterate and uneducated.

  • @codydavis5635
    @codydavis5635 Месяц назад +16

    I appreciate the insight on this topic. When Chevron got involved, I started looking into this, and knowing there is just a single road that connects the two countries that passes through Brazil made me think logistically it wasn't feasible. Thanks for clearing up my concerns, though.

    • @kinbolluck476
      @kinbolluck476 Месяц назад

      Why do they need roads

    • @codydavis5635
      @codydavis5635 Месяц назад

      @kinbolluck476 so their Infantry can be mobile. You heard it from Peter. They don't have much of an air force or Navy to speak of. The land west of the Essequibo River is tropical, which means its harsh terrain to move troops through.

    • @VinyZikss
      @VinyZikss Месяц назад

      @@kinbolluck476 who doesn't need roads for an invasion?

  • @bloodlustshiva1
    @bloodlustshiva1 Месяц назад +7

    Even when the topic isn't one I'm interested in, I still love hearing how he breaks things down and how much detail he goes* into. Respect.

  • @adherentofladycolumbia725
    @adherentofladycolumbia725 Месяц назад +24

    Peter: Day 2869, The snow wont stop, it just keeps coming........i've shoveled the driveway 15 times this morning.......why did i choose the top of a mountain? I literally should have know this would happen, MY SPECIALTY IS GEOGRAPHY FCS!

    • @masonm600
      @masonm600 Месяц назад

      Bc the Texas winters were just as bad, but its summers were brutal?

    • @DieFlabbergast
      @DieFlabbergast Месяц назад

      My advice: Move to Guyana.

  • @timb350
    @timb350 Месяц назад +3

    Thank freakin God...something to NOT worry about!!!!

  • @allboroughs9257
    @allboroughs9257 Месяц назад +6

    More Caribbean news Please! (Yes Guyana is in South American but is culturally Caribbean)

    • @cathjj840
      @cathjj840 Месяц назад +1

      Isn't that where the rare Carib tribe survivors found refuge after Columbus's massacres in their island home?

    • @segiraldovi
      @segiraldovi Месяц назад

      @@cathjj840 Columbus did not massacre the population... 9 out of 10 deaths in the conquest of the Americas were due to diseases. The Spanish crown did not support the massacre of natives and tried to protect them (I clarify to protect them from a massacre, not from forced labor)

  • @jerryrichardson2799
    @jerryrichardson2799 Месяц назад +2

    Thanks Peter.

  • @livangooday
    @livangooday Месяц назад +1

    You are correct imo nailed on this topic

  • @climatehero
    @climatehero Месяц назад

    That was a happy note!

  • @billwoods6759
    @billwoods6759 Месяц назад

    What a reminder of how great spring skiing can be. 😊

  • @waynemasters8673
    @waynemasters8673 Месяц назад +1

    It's spring and I'm being attacked by retail "garden centres".
    A plant upbringing costs the same as a child now.

  • @davidbungarz1352
    @davidbungarz1352 Месяц назад

    I love your content!!! This was by far the funniest video you have made that I have seen…. Lol “all 6 of them” 😂😂😂😂

  • @johanwallin728
    @johanwallin728 Месяц назад

    This was actually reassuring. Thanks Peter, I was actually worried about this crazy story. :)

  • @jimmg8994
    @jimmg8994 Месяц назад +4

    Thank you Peter. I want to add that it's not that they were a populist and a second-rate bus driver, it's that their governing philosophy was socialism/communism. The "Take from the rich and give to the poor! (and keep the largest chunk for ourselves)" impoverishes all. It destroys wealth & chases away those who create it.

    • @lucasproctor7464
      @lucasproctor7464 Месяц назад

      Come on man, communism is great. . . until you run out of other peoples money.

  • @seanstansbury5585
    @seanstansbury5585 Месяц назад

    Thanks

  • @ImsunaSong-gw2gs
    @ImsunaSong-gw2gs Месяц назад

    Excellant!

  • @AbdulEssa-kp4vf
    @AbdulEssa-kp4vf Месяц назад +9

    Peter, did you see the Ryan Mcbeth spoof on your videos?

    • @I_Lemaire
      @I_Lemaire Месяц назад +1

      A lion does not concern himself with the opinions of sheep.

  • @stevenjohnston7809
    @stevenjohnston7809 Месяц назад

    It's been a while since I have watched any of your longer videos what happened to those? I miss your stage performances.

  • @I_Lemaire
    @I_Lemaire Месяц назад +2

    Thank you, thank you, thank you, Peter. I was one of the people with this question.

    • @cathjj840
      @cathjj840 Месяц назад

      How sweet - concern for Chevron. I suppose you're also content they've managed to avoid paying out the $10billion penalties for polluting and permanently ruining a huge swath of the Ecaudorian jungle and sickening the indigenous population to this day, decades later.

    • @I_Lemaire
      @I_Lemaire Месяц назад +2

      @@cathjj840 ? I am for Guyana

  • @rodholland4186
    @rodholland4186 Месяц назад +1

    In the late 80's I did a couple of weeks working on a platform out of Maracaibo, on the lake. Zooming in on Lake Maracaibo, I still see platforms there. How well they operate.... I don't know. As far as I know the company I work for is not supplying anything in that region, for awhile now. But Venezuela did have a semi-capable offshore oil industry at one point.

  • @djdc1970
    @djdc1970 Месяц назад +2

    I’m dual citizen (American/Venezuelan) and I can’t agree more with your assessment; Spot on my sir, as a matter of fact is known enlisted troops and low level officers usually have being involved in criminal activities because of the situation down there; Another point you didn’t mention is extremely Low moral and high rate of desertions (enlisted) and early discharges (Low and mid level officers). Not to mention that the Venezuelan armed forces literally became a drug cartel…Even if they were trying to get “clever” nothing like let them see the USS Gerald Ford

  • @frankjoseph4273
    @frankjoseph4273 Месяц назад +2

    There's a big island off the coast that's a solid lug of roofing tar

  • @laststand6420
    @laststand6420 Месяц назад +4

    Didn't the Venezuelan navy lose a battle to a cruise ship (that wasn't fighting back)?

  • @chriscolley2229
    @chriscolley2229 Месяц назад +2

    Peter , you are a funny man 😊

  •  Месяц назад +2

    I'm sure the SAS would appreciate a bit of live fire jungle training in Guyana.

  • @ralphhardie7492
    @ralphhardie7492 Месяц назад +2

    😂😂😂
    Good one today
    🎉🎉🎉

  • @PeanutsDadForever
    @PeanutsDadForever Месяц назад +1

    Another Amazing Video! Thank you. 🇦🇺👴🏻

  • @prst99
    @prst99 Месяц назад +7

    Even if practical considerations prevent an invasion, Venezuela should be condemned for even threatening. They have officially declared that territory as Venezuela.

    • @zorkmid1083
      @zorkmid1083 Месяц назад +1

      Peter's arguments are logical but that assumes that Maduro cares about logic.

    • @cathjj840
      @cathjj840 Месяц назад

      The land was once part of Venezuela which had no choice in someone else taking over (colonial history etc.)

    • @prst99
      @prst99 Месяц назад +1

      @@cathjj840 Venezuela is also not a true pre-colonial nation. The land called Venezuela is a Spanish creation.
      If basing all territorial claims on history, then most nations on earth must be dismantled. Then the question of drawing borders and restoring indigenous rule will be impossible.
      Are you saying that the Arab Moors should be given Spain and Portugal because they controlled it for 400 years?

    • @JEPM12
      @JEPM12 Месяц назад

      Venezuela fue el primer país independiente que administro el territorio Esequibo, luego se le fue robado por los ingleses del siglo 19.

  • @zero95lucky
    @zero95lucky Месяц назад +1

    Morning folks

  • @PeanutsDadForever
    @PeanutsDadForever Месяц назад +1

    Thanks for your great videos. 🇦🇺👴🏻

  • @cunburra
    @cunburra Месяц назад +7

    Guyana population only about 850,000. They have tiny military capability. They will need UK and USA military which I support.

  • @imnotanalien7839
    @imnotanalien7839 Месяц назад +4

    Bummer for Venezuela! Guyana is so close and yet so far!!

    • @xhagast
      @xhagast Месяц назад

      Some IDIOTS tried to carelessly walk down to the Grand Canyon and within hours they were dehydrated and had to be rescued. Imagine a whole army.

    • @sheikhboyardee556
      @sheikhboyardee556 Месяц назад +1

      I have a map of Venezuela I bought in the 1990's showing the Western half of Guyana belonging to Venezuela. It was labeled in Spanish zone in reclamation.

    • @xhagast
      @xhagast Месяц назад

      @@sheikhboyardee556 And Teddy Roosevelt got a nobody to revolt against Colombia to create a Panama that would allow him to build a canal. When Mather and Tatterwood were wandering around Central America discovering Maya ruins they found NO government. Wasn't Guyana just stolen by the Brits from Spain? Or was it the Dutch? I THINK a king of Spain sold it to German bankers to pay off a debt. All three may be true.

    • @sheikhboyardee556
      @sheikhboyardee556 Месяц назад

      @@xhagast Not sure what your point is. Apparently, whatever happened it was a good thing as the world is able to use a wonderful canal that speeds up the movement of goods.

    • @xhagast
      @xhagast Месяц назад

      @@sheikhboyardee556 Just a comment on the irrelevancy of territorial claims in the Americas. Power has ALWAYS made Right around there.

  • @CosmicHyperborean
    @CosmicHyperborean Месяц назад

    I hope so.

  • @Lords1997
    @Lords1997 Месяц назад +1

    Peter! What are your thoughts on Puerto Rico?

  • @OdinRiseWolf
    @OdinRiseWolf Месяц назад

    Also Ecouador seems to be in a turmoil right now about a possible conflict.

  • @cookingonthego9422
    @cookingonthego9422 Месяц назад +3

    Love Zeihan insights. Pozitivity and realism. It's just a nice mix

  • @mk1fourwinds62
    @mk1fourwinds62 Месяц назад +4

    This is what we refer to as a slow news day. Lol.

  • @davidmussett9316
    @davidmussett9316 Месяц назад +1

    The words of a man impressed by Iberian civilization in the Americas.

  • @edwardbraddock9566
    @edwardbraddock9566 Месяц назад +6

    Not a populist; a socialist/communist, with South American flavoring.

    • @peteo5704
      @peteo5704 Месяц назад

      Welcome to authoritarian rule. These Tamerlane clones will call their form of government anything that resonates with their base. The socialist Scandinavian countries seem to reliably take up about three of the top five countries rated on the happiness of their citizens.

  • @TheBigruss10
    @TheBigruss10 Месяц назад +1

    nice shout out to the Marine corps there Peter!

  • @andyives5640
    @andyives5640 Месяц назад +1

    AND how will the British react to the issue? With the placing of a few coastal craft/frigate in the port and a "visiting" Commonwealth exercise of a Battalion of marines? It could be reduced to a rotating company when things calm down. Sort of a Belize situation.

    • @iankingsleys2818
      @iankingsleys2818 Месяц назад

      Recall the situation when East Yemen threatened to invade St. George's Island

  • @OnlyMyPOV
    @OnlyMyPOV Месяц назад

    Right

  • @Alphawolf704
    @Alphawolf704 Месяц назад

    How does one submit a question to this "ask Peter" section? Curious as to his thoughts about a possible interplay between growing nuclear power development and possibility of building hydrogen based economies at scale?

  • @mdturnerinoz
    @mdturnerinoz Месяц назад +6

    When are you going to address the Taiwan 7.7 EQ? Is this a problem for chips etc.?

    • @5anjuro
      @5anjuro Месяц назад +4

      I am in Taiwan. The earthquake was big in Hualien, and did cause some isolated or minor damage in Taipei but that was about it. I happened to be in Tainan and it was basically a non factor.
      The semiconductor industry is mostly concentrated in Hsinchu which is as far away from Hualien as you can possibly get in Taiwan.

    • @personzorz
      @personzorz Месяц назад +1

      If you are a wealthy country that actually takes building codes seriously, you can handle the earthquakes.

    • @kkostadinof
      @kkostadinof Месяц назад

      @@personzorz No country can guarantee structural intergrity of every bldg after a 7.5 eqrthquake. Not even Japan.

  • @xgford94
    @xgford94 Месяц назад +1

    2:57 Naa it’s gunna have to be 3 marines… the other 3 are E4s they will be busy Strategically Transferring (Venezuelan) Equipment to Alternate Locations 2:57

  • @gregstrandberg9164
    @gregstrandberg9164 Месяц назад

    One fact check, I Love your content, but Venazuela does operate one offshore floating storage and offloading unit in the Gul of Paris, the FSO Nabarima. At its height it produced about 1 million barrels every 2 weeks ..... roughly.

  • @based6914
    @based6914 Месяц назад

    Anyone know how to submit a question to the Ask Peter list? I would love to get his thoughts on something.

  • @evanburrows1697
    @evanburrows1697 Месяц назад

    For once, I agree with Peter.

  • @jaleman19881
    @jaleman19881 Месяц назад +1

    “All six of them “ 😂😂😂

  • @beibei93
    @beibei93 Месяц назад +3

    Those three Guyanese must be the richest people on earth.

  • @CMB21497
    @CMB21497 Месяц назад

    Ryan McBeth made a funny April Fools video on Peter. It put a smile on my face this morning.

  • @sufletvisiniu9278
    @sufletvisiniu9278 Месяц назад

    Why is there snow in April?

  • @DavidRamos-bs8zd
    @DavidRamos-bs8zd Месяц назад +10

    Wouldn’t the word “socialist” be a better descriptor for Hugo Chavez?

    • @michaeldavis3819
      @michaeldavis3819 Месяц назад +11

      He ended up paying lipservice to socialism, but he turned out to be just another banana republic kleptocrat.

    • @jesan733
      @jesan733 Месяц назад +3

      @@michaeldavis3819 no, I think the major problem was actually the socialism, devoid of economic insight.

    • @dinismantas7265
      @dinismantas7265 Месяц назад

      The guy never read a book in his life. He was just another simian just taking advantage of what he could to climb to the very top of the "social" hierarchy.

    • @xhagast
      @xhagast Месяц назад +2

      @@jesan733 Socialism IS devoid of economic insight.

    • @jesan733
      @jesan733 Месяц назад +2

      @@xhagastyeah, kindof. But there are socialists, like in Sweden, that don't do the most d-mb things in socialism because they understand some of the consequences it would have. Chavez didn't seem to have that filter and knowledge.

  • @walesruels
    @walesruels Месяц назад +1

    Correction on pronunciation: It's: /guy-ana/ not /gee-ann(a)/. The latter pronunciation is closer to the French (a different country)

  • @christate1716
    @christate1716 Месяц назад

    ...................& the situation in Moldova ?

  • @tyrport
    @tyrport Месяц назад +1

    Snow and a Tshirt. Am I missing something?

  • @ryanatkiins1134
    @ryanatkiins1134 Месяц назад

    I thought they did

  • @josephwillbanks2485
    @josephwillbanks2485 Месяц назад

    There is someone taking your voice and name that is chopping up your videos and posting them. Their posting under the name Economy and geopolitics…

  • @Justice.Obsession
    @Justice.Obsession Месяц назад

    We need free trade but that's impossible right?

  • @NigelDeForrest-Pearce-cv6ek
    @NigelDeForrest-Pearce-cv6ek Месяц назад

    We Could All Use a Good Laugh!!!

  • @williamzk9083
    @williamzk9083 Месяц назад

    Guyana is a nice country to visit

  • @mariociaramellano7509
    @mariociaramellano7509 Месяц назад +33

    Venezuela is not an independent Country, it is a de-facto Cuban colony nowadays.

    • @alanjenkins1508
      @alanjenkins1508 Месяц назад +3

      Cuba is better run.

    • @thehunzz
      @thehunzz Месяц назад +1

      For real? The only Cuban things I occasionally check in on are if the US has lifted the travel ban & all those classic cars. Amazing ingenuity to keep em running for so many years, truly.

    • @papa_pt
      @papa_pt Месяц назад +3

      ​@@thehunzzyou can travel there as an American. And have been able to for a while now. Flights out of Miami everyday.

    • @thehunzz
      @thehunzz Месяц назад

      @@papa_pt No special application or permit required?

    • @YliyahMessageTime
      @YliyahMessageTime Месяц назад +1

      ​@@thehunzz I have seen so many nice classic cars there!! Ive thought, one might could rent a large barge or auto ferry, go to Cuba with a load of new cars, and trade them for the best of the classics there, ... bring the classics back to the U.S. and make a nice profit.

  • @Josephkerr101
    @Josephkerr101 Месяц назад

    "Not 3 million... Just 3" funniest thing I've heard all week.

  • @adriangrant1746
    @adriangrant1746 Месяц назад +1

    All six of them 😅😅

  • @TheRustyLM
    @TheRustyLM Месяц назад

    What about Argentina, YPF, vaca muerta?
    Thanks!!!🙏

  • @clintcowan9424
    @clintcowan9424 Месяц назад

    6 is 5 more than you need

  • @daiakunin
    @daiakunin Месяц назад

    I agree that an attack on Guyana is unlikely. For a very in depth look at the Venezuelan military check out Perun's channel as he did an analysis of this potential conflict a few months ago.

  • @TheBombayMasterTony
    @TheBombayMasterTony Месяц назад +1

    "It would be hilarious to watch Venezuela try", haha.

  • @markcorbett9916
    @markcorbett9916 Месяц назад

    There’s one more thing to remember here as well… if the Venezuelan Navy were to try then I would suggest that Guyana get a few Cruise ships that have hulls that are reinforced to operate in Antarctic waters to defend them. This might sound like a funny suggestion but on March 30, 2020 the Venezuelan patrol boat Naiguatá got in a fight with a cruise ship with a cruise ship that was designed to take tourists off the coast of Antarctica to watch Penguins and the Venezuelan patrol boats Naiguata sank after trying to ram the cruise ship.

    • @JEPM12
      @JEPM12 Месяц назад

      Lo embistió con la eslora no me hagas reír 😂😂😂

  • @mikeullyett
    @mikeullyett Месяц назад

    Probably not!

  • @Backwardlooking
    @Backwardlooking Месяц назад +1

    The last time a South American Dictatorship invaded a territory was 1982. Didn’t end well for their diversionary tactic.

  • @charleshill7184
    @charleshill7184 Месяц назад

    That ending line is just plain mean. 🙂

  • @Bayard1503
    @Bayard1503 Месяц назад +1

    They don't really need or want to operate Guyana's off shore... they see them as competition so stopping them would be probably good enough for them.

    • @serafinacosta7118
      @serafinacosta7118 Месяц назад

      PDVSA , the Venezuelan oil company , is beholden to Chinese sunk money.

  • @robertsutton3001
    @robertsutton3001 Месяц назад +1

    I hope they leave Guyana alone and for the record they don’t get enough credit for keeping the rainforest intact as they can and we should make a world park to protect it

  • @jmcw9632
    @jmcw9632 Месяц назад +1

    Hehe, good.

  • @Jim-ic2of
    @Jim-ic2of Месяц назад +6

    What is Cuba going to look like in five years?😮

    • @samwalton4598
      @samwalton4598 Месяц назад +1

      Probably a lot like it does today!! A depressed little plantation with the Castro family running everything. It’s the Castro “Family Office”!! The smart Cubans will leave for Miami and Spain and join their families there and the remaining population will continue to live in extreme poverty. Nothing will change.

    • @internationalinvesting4336
      @internationalinvesting4336 Месяц назад +7

      the same as now, the same as 50 years ago. Cuba looks the same now as it did in 1960

  • @sergeant64
    @sergeant64 Месяц назад +2

    How is global warming in your part of the world.. its April in USA?

    • @MicroSamgg
      @MicroSamgg Месяц назад

      a lot of the US north has winters going pretty well into April, then by May it is all gone and 20 degrees😊

    • @shaunmalay4165
      @shaunmalay4165 Месяц назад

      It’s friggin cold out

  • @bpora01
    @bpora01 Месяц назад

    No. Next question

  • @anthonyg372
    @anthonyg372 Месяц назад

    Yeah but tell us how you really feel

  • @theredscourge
    @theredscourge Месяц назад

    0:03 Taking one from the WHAT? Oh, "ask".

  • @DiamondLil
    @DiamondLil Месяц назад

    “Not even three million, just three.” 😂