Absolutely agree that people need to go out and vote. But I would disagree that polls don't mean anything. I think they can be a good wakeup call to people, campaigns, etc. I think we have a long way to go still before we get a clear picture. People ignored information in the polls in the past and got a shock. Sometimes the more telling things are not the "who are you going to vote for" but rather the other questions asked about other issues.
Yeah it’s weird that he waited until two pro Trump incidents happen to take poll numbers that inflate the numbers towards Trump. I think it’ll be a lot more close than he is making it out to be, and it’s providing a false sense of security to one side, while undermining the other.
And I think this is why California will never go red. We surprisingly have a lot of republicans here in cali but I fear everyone has that same mentality and we feel it won’t matter so it stays blue.
@@camerondowland3352 I would say almost 60% of college-aged men from California are Republican from what I've seen. It's always that only fat guy in a skirt who everyone remembers us for.
@@myrech You’re my American brethren and I wish you the best. We have to stop hating each other just over political differences. Everything will be okay no matter who wins.
@@darrenuk Among dozens of electoral college predictions that I have seen, you are the ONLY one i know of to predict a Biden win. Whistling past the gravveyard?
Colorado will be blue, unfortunately, as I can confirm having lived there and had most of my friends there. After legalization, Colorado brought in droves of Californians and it fundamentally shifted the demographics and culture of the area. Colorado is less red than Texas is blue, to put it in perspective.
@@darrenuk does bro have to put this in every comment also the hill is projecting a 55% chance of winning for the former president. presidential betting odds are ~50% in trumps favor also five thirty eights forecast changes every single day.
Nikki Haley stayed in the race for the GOP nomination long after she had any chance to win it, and she was far more critical of Donlad Trump than she needed to be, however, Trump proved himself to be a much bigger person, by letting it all go, and inviting her to speak at the convention was a stroke of genius.
Trump didn't invite her, someone at the RNC did. He didn't look pleased during her speech, and who can blame him, she was vying for his spot that she never deserved.
@@danieldarling3202 To quote puppet in chief "not a joke" Why even vote? We live in a banana republic. I'm still going to vote, but don't see much point.
@@scratchking3205Yep, Oregon has Portland. Minnesota has Minneapolis/St.Paul. Illinois has Chicago. New York has NYC. Pa. has Philly and Pittsburgh. etc., etc.
Praying for Trump! Our country has been in shambles during Bidens presidency. I have never voted before but I am excited and proud to be voting for Trump. God Bless.
I hate to see what is happening in the UK. Yall are our closest ally and our mother 0:46 country. Many will not agree but so much of the USA institutions are heavily influenced on a basic level.....law, government, community organization, etc. Also, so many of us share our DNA. As a student of history I am always in awe how this small country could have ruled 25 percent of the planet at one time. For the haters: The previous comment is not an endorsement of colonialism, just an observation from the past. Brits, fight for your country and keep the that stiff upper lip. Cheers
@@pumkinpimp1 Thank you 🙏 for such a lovely comment. I have been a fan off trump for a long time 🕰️, like Elon musk we need more people like 👍 him , and the amount of hate he gets from the left , but when you ask for facts to back up there claims ??they have none !! Yes the uk 🇬🇧 was at its highest when Victoria was queen , think most of her children we’re married around Europe ,she was called the grandmother of Europe, and more powerful than the pope then .as for colonialism in then days every single country was doing it,it was wrong but it really survival of the fittest. The left like to go on about it , but you cannot go on about your grandfather s grandfather s mistake s . As I tell the left ,you learn from it ! Never erase it ,but move on . Have a happy Sunday debs xx
It’s a complete tie in Virginia. The two most recent polls say each of them are up by 3, and they were polled within days. It’s a toss up at this point
@@samplautz5586You're not understanding how the information is being laid out. He shows the TREND of the prior polls and vote margin from last elections and what we see as the direction it's heading now. Like NJ and NY, Virginia trending to the right as strong as it is basically means there's a good chance Trump flips it.
@glory3670 have you heard him actually speak on it? he's said multiple times he has no plans on taking anyone's guns and wouldn't pass any unconstitutional gun laws
So your ok with spending your tax dollars to pay for illeagal voters(illegal immagrants) and you think trump is a felon?I pick Trump,explain exactly what crimes he's done ?(run against the biden crime family)compared to bidens crimes (traitor) keep watching the lying news media,who are proping up a clearly at best incompetent canidate.do you have a conscience?or a brain?or any love for our country?
I work at a car dealership in Boulder County, Colorado. I literally haven't met a coworker who isn't voting for Trump. I think this is going to be the most competitive election in the state since it flipped to blue in 2008. Im sure the industry I'm in influences things but its crazy how no one I've talked to is voting for Biden (even outside of my job lol)
Ya i guess it depends where you live. My sister lives in St. Paul, and it’s mostly Biden supporters. I know there are a lot of Biden supporters in the northeast of MN too
@voice-of-the-flame and @samplautz5586: Never mind what those around you are doing, exercise your right to VOTE for TRUMP!! And bring a friend or two to the polls! 😃
@@samplautz5586if you look at last election Biden only won MN by like 7% (good sized margin) but I’d have to agree that even in Saint Cloud I haven’t seen much of anything for Biden, and I’ve seen a lot I MEAN A LOT of Trump flags and stickers. I truly think Minnesota could easily swing red and it wouldn’t even shock me. But that’s just my opinion. I told my mom back in 2020 that by 2024 we would be a swing state and I think the polls are backing my claim up, guess we will find out in November!
could you post a timelapse of all of your election maps this cycle? Also I am curious what the map would look like if you took all of your election maps and plotted the average projected status of each state onto it. Obviously things change over time so it probably wouldn't be accurate to what will happen, but it still could be interesting :D
It's starting to become more and more apparent that you may need to start including RFK Jr in your algorithms.. There's a solid movement that's growing and I believe it's going to make all these polls skewed when it comes to Election Night. Otherwise, great job and analysis!!
Not really. This is about elextoral votes. It's unlikely that RFK has enough support in any one state to earn any electoral votes at all. I say this as someone who has "wasted my vote" on 3rd party candidates for most of my life. Gary Johnson had a huge turnout one year but it didn't translate to anything that mattered. Thats unforunately how it's going to remain for independents
There’s been a crazy amount of Conservatives fleeing blue states for red states like TX and FL since 2020. Those states are blood red now. I guarantee you Trump wins both on Election Day by at least 10%.
I’d like to see some of these polls updated, I mean we have some numbers on a few states that are pulling from January and March. What’s the matter pollsters in the blue states afraid of what they are going to see? Let’s see some new ones from CO, MN, NY and NJ!
The U.S. presidential elections have seen some intense moments, but an attempt on Trump's life is quite alarming. It's reminiscent of the incident during Ronald Reagan's presidency in 1981. Nowadays, it seems like there's a strong effort to undermine Trump, creating a concerning atmosphere that mirrors that of a third-world country.
I totally get what you mean! It's like being trapped in a suspenseful movie plot. Finding a safe place to invest during these uncertain times feels like navigating a maze of challenges.
I anticipated potential challenges and took steps to safeguard my finances with a fiduciary, Desiree Ruth Hoffman. Her expertise in managing such situations is truly remarkable.
It sounds like you're planning to delve into some research. Given the current circumstances, seeking professional guidance seems like a smart move. Research can really help broaden your knowledge and provide clarity on different topics. If you ever need help or have questions during your research, feel free to reach out!
Swing state polls are all that matters, Trump leads in practically all of them. Popular vote doesn’t mean crap. CA and NY always have bloated vote numbers from fraud and ballot harvesting.
Technically the votes nationally are similar, that's not how the electoral college works though and lots of dem votes are 'wasted' in places like NY and CA
In one of bidens interviews he was told people and families were struggling to make ends meet, his reply people still have money to spend,with a smirk on his face. FJB TRUMP 2024
I suggest these electoral college projection videos go from east to west, by time zones, and by poll closing times, it just seems that this would be more sensible and realistic.
In 1976 our group wanted to put on a parade on but we needed a place to construct the carts we had little money.we saw a perfect piece of property and we asked the owner how much would it cost to build our carts there.he kindly charged us one dollar. That man was Donald Trump.
The only poll that really matters is the one in November. And the lower positions on the ballot are just as important as the presidency. All offices up for election will help set the tone for the future direction of our country. Also a president must have the support of the House and Senate as we saw during the first Trump administration.
Not old enough to vote, but man if I could Trump would have mine. As a North Carolinian, i dont know why anyone would vote for Biden or anyone in the Left. Our governer is democratic and hasnt done anything bro 💀
You should change the format going east to west to be more like election night time zones. If Pennsylvania and Virginia go Trump, then it will be game over.
Very good point. 4hr difference from east to west allows west coast voters to see east coast voting before they themselves go vote. Definitely a psychological/sociological component to voting!
We will have to hope that east coast swing states don’t take days to count ballots or magically generate tens of thousands of counter votes in the twilight hours lol
Out of curiosity from an American heavily invested in both our presidential election and the ongoing geopolitical… happenings… why do you say so? What about your elections could you enlighten us on that would make you say that our election is more engaging than your own?
@@zacharyisrael7264, in Russian elections there is no better candidate than Putin. Everyone else is just a joke. It would be interesting to see how it will work after Putin. In US you have two big jokes and spoilers. And you need to choose which joke is worse and vote for the other.
@@zacharyisrael7264Yeah in Russian elections there's never any doubt who will ''win", here in Britain our politics is a lot more interesting but last election was boring as it was an expected landslide
I live in MD so sadly my vote wont help, but I will be voting for Trump as I did in both 2016 and 2020 and will eventually find myself out of this Blue state and into a Red one
DNC is in a panic and dumping both Joe and Kamala as I stated they would two weeks ago. Expect them to use COVID as the reason Joe needs to drop out. Will be interesting to see what they use to replace Kamala.
@@Airman7557 If Trump only loves himself he would not be running for office getting shot at, he would be chilling at a beach mansion and playing golf everyday.
@@mastermindrational1907 Really? Did you know that in 2015, he was almost broke after years of failed investment and tax evasion? His campaign was a way to expand his popularity and make massive sums of money. The power he gained from his presidency also boosted his ego, which came to a head when he lost in 2020. That craving for power, fame, and wealth is what has and still is driving his campaign. To quit now would hurt his ego, wealth, and power, leading even a assassination attempt to not dissuade him. I will also note, that Trump’s entire political playbook is based off McCarthy’s communist witch-hunt of the 1950s, as he was mentored by a close friend of McCarthy at the beginning of his political and economic career.
🎉🎉 *SUBSCRIBE TO HELP US REACH 200K BY NOVEMBER!*
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I will not subscribe to to right wingnut show.
@@davidclark573the nut show tried to assassinate trump
@@davidclark573😢😢😢😢😢😢
@@davidclark573?
@@davidclark573yeah finally some one who hates trump
Who else can't wait to vote???
Me
Go Trump/ Vance 🇺🇸
ME!!
all the dems....
I wanted early voting to start on Sunday in NY.
Do not get complacent. Assume Biden is ahead in all swing states.
VOTE...VOTE...VOTE...TRUMP 2024
exactly they are going to rig it even harder this year, just watch them make it legal for the illegals crossing to vote
Yes! We must outvote their cheating!
AMEN user0vz9eo4qf8h!
@@ken2tou To big to rig.... volunteer at the polling places!
@@ken2touyou guys still believe he cheated lmao
I live in the Suburbs of Dallas Tx and there are Trump 2024 flags everywhere.
Trump 2024
Which suburbs are you from? I've seen street rallies up in Plano
Fort Worth is all red as well
Further east than Texas has trump signs and flags everywhere
POLLS DONT MEAN ANYTHING!!
GO OUT AND VOTE ON ELECTION DAY!
Absolutely agree that people need to go out and vote. But I would disagree that polls don't mean anything. I think they can be a good wakeup call to people, campaigns, etc.
I think we have a long way to go still before we get a clear picture. People ignored information in the polls in the past and got a shock.
Sometimes the more telling things are not the "who are you going to vote for" but rather the other questions asked about other issues.
Yeah it’s weird that he waited until two pro Trump incidents happen to take poll numbers that inflate the numbers towards Trump. I think it’ll be a lot more close than he is making it out to be, and it’s providing a false sense of security to one side, while undermining the other.
California for President Donald J Trump 2024
same, wish my vote actually mattered
And I think this is why California will never go red. We surprisingly have a lot of republicans here in cali but I fear everyone has that same mentality and we feel it won’t matter so it stays blue.
I live in Washington which is a blue state, but I'm going to vote anyway. Everyone should.
@@camerondowland3352 we must try or we will lose it forever!
@@camerondowland3352 I would say almost 60% of college-aged men from California are Republican from what I've seen. It's always that only fat guy in a skirt who everyone remembers us for.
Minnesotan here. Im voting trump. 3 months ago i wasnt planning on voting and havent voted in 8 years
More power to ya, super. 👍
A friend of mine never liked Trump and never voted in her life. After the assassination attempt, she said she can’t wait to vote for TRUMP!!!
@superjock28: Welcome aboard the Trump train... destination, America First!
Good for you and good for America!
@@aintlyon304 -- The "I'd crawl across broken glass...." mentality is getting more popular these days among Trump supporters.
Trump 2024 🇺🇸🇺🇸
Please vote for trump and Vance not for Biden and Harris ok
ok
#Latest
@FiveThirtyEight
Forecast:
Chance of winning:
Biden 53%
Trump 46%
.
Electoral votes:
Biden 277
Trump 261
@@darrenukIt’s well known that 538 is cooking the books. Read into their methodology. They basically shift every poll 5 points to the left.
@@landrypierce9942I know, they always favor democrats in every race no matter what. Trump will win easily!🇺🇸
@@darrenuk Yea, this is falsified information, dems are toast, but every vote counts.
I live in Michigan and we will vote for Trump!!!
From Battle Creek,MI & voting Trump!
Ohio for Trump!🇺🇸
Wisconsin for trump.
I’m not so sure. That Lib state loves them some “Big Gretch” - for some damn reason.
Oklahoma for Trump
R.I FOR TRUMP. FJB
It's an upstream paddle in R.I., but vote, if for no other reason than to give the bad guys the middle finger.
The great State of Rhode Island and Providence Plantations supports Trump. ⚓️
TRUMP IS A POWER HOUSE LOL
Trump is trash
PRAYING TRUMP CAN BRING THIS NATION BACK TOGETHER AS AMERICANS. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
i dont give a shit because im emigrating to a good country as soon as i can but im voting for biden 🤤🤤🤤
@@myrech You’re my American brethren and I wish you the best. We have to stop hating each other just over political differences. Everything will be okay no matter who wins.
@@gateofdivine582 im not your american brethren bro im fleeing the country
@myrech
If you're leaving anyway, then staying to make a spite vote is just a weird way of saying you're a petty little person
@@myrechIm in Europe and the only thing it taught me is how great Americans have it
Vote for trump please not for Biden ok
Ok😂
Definitely Trump for President
im voting for the first time ever for trump. praying everyone shows up to vote our country needs this
@@YvonneBrilhart i know
@@pondlakes please
TRUMP I have never been so excited to vote for any candidate... TRUMP...
BIDEN 🤤 I have never been so excited to vote for any candidate... BIDEN ... 🤤
@@myrech R.I.P your vote
@@myrechpretty sure I watched thatan shit his pants in France ..... Look up the video lol
@@myrechDon't cream your jeans hot rod!
KAMALA 🤤I have never been so excited to vote for any candidate... KAMALA ... 🤤
They really need new polls for CO, NM, and NJ.
If Trump leads in those states, his total electoral vote haul will be 370, more than Obama in 2008.
#Latest
@FiveThirtyEight
Forecast:
Chance of winning:
Biden 53%
Trump 46%
.
Electoral votes:
Biden 277
Trump 261
@@darrenuk they polls are a lie all other polls shows trump is ahead of sleepy joe
@@darrenuk Among dozens of electoral college predictions that I have seen, you are the ONLY one i know of to predict a Biden win. Whistling past the gravveyard?
@@darrenuk538 is literally the only site predicting that. 😂Good job cherry picking.
Colorado will be blue, unfortunately, as I can confirm having lived there and had most of my friends there.
After legalization, Colorado brought in droves of Californians and it fundamentally shifted the demographics and culture of the area.
Colorado is less red than Texas is blue, to put it in perspective.
Can't wait to see them take some polls from Colorado and New Mexico that aren't over 6 months old.
Solid point!
Can’t speak on NM but as someone living in Denver, it’s unfortunately gonna stay blue most likely
This means nothing unless YOU vote!
Remember the polls said Hillary would win
@@darrenuk does bro have to put this in every comment
also the hill is projecting a 55% chance of winning for the former president.
presidential betting odds are ~50% in trumps favor
also five thirty eights forecast changes every single day.
@@darrenuktrump is going to win
You are correct! I know so many people who didn't vote last election. Too much complacency on their part. Get out and vote.
@@Traffalger yes
From Washington state TRUMP 2024 🇺🇸
Me too friend. Let’s go Washington.
Voting Trump from OR here
I think Trump will end up with between 315 and 330 votes.
Nikki Haley stayed in the race for the GOP nomination long after she had any chance to win it, and she was far more critical of Donlad Trump than she needed to be, however, Trump proved himself to be a much bigger person, by letting it all go, and inviting her to speak at the convention was a stroke of genius.
Not only that, but he literally chose her as UN ambassador during his first presidency.. she needed to chill
@@DayZeroChannel Yes, but the GOP is showing some unity, and the Dems are in absolute chaos.
@@DayZeroChannel Yes, I was disappointed that she kept running and bashing Trump long after she had no chance for the nomination.
Trump didn't invite her, someone at the RNC did. He didn't look pleased during her speech, and who can blame him, she was vying for his spot that she never deserved.
@@bk6555 It does not matter who invited her, there is no way she is there is he says no.
God Bless President Donald J Trump 47th President Amen Amen!
actually he was the 45th
God Bless Trump/Vance 2024!
10% lead at midnight. 5% loss at 7am.
Don’t even joke about that
You mean 3 weeks later when the finish counting somehow.
@@danieldarling3202 To quote puppet in chief "not a joke"
Why even vote? We live in a banana republic.
I'm still going to vote, but don't see much point.
Washington state voting trump😊
Naaaahhh. Seattle ruins the rest of the state. Such a pretty state too outside of the liberal cities
From your mouth to God's ears.
@@scratchking3205Yep, Oregon has Portland. Minnesota has Minneapolis/St.Paul. Illinois has Chicago. New York has NYC. Pa. has Philly and Pittsburgh. etc., etc.
Realistically, I doubt if Donald Trump can carry Washington, but I would LOVE to be wrong!
@@scratchking3205literally though Seattle crushes us- i don’t know how it does considering how terrible of a city it actually is.
Yes trump maga
TRUMP!
"Poll Show a Landslide"
*This doesn't mean get complacent*
Get you and anyone else you can to get out and vote for Trump
Facts ! I'm going with about 6 or 7 friends and family to vote for King Don !!! MAGA !!
@@ManiacalMidget13 your music is 💥
@@ManiacalMidget13 I'm taking my mom and dad and brother.
@@DalesBadBug Thanx
@@ManiacalMidget13 FDT
Who are these clowns still voting for Biden 🙄
Because their politics are a religious cult.
Clowns for Trump !
I'm in Texas I'm voting for Trump and JD Vance
Landslide, Trump takes NY
Trump Vance 2024 🇺🇸
Minnesota here. Waiting to vote. Only have missed 1976. Love trump. Minn could go Republican. Let’s hope and vote!
I live in Illinois and I’m voting for Trump
Me too! ❤
Praying for Trump! Our country has been in shambles during Bidens presidency. I have never voted before but I am excited and proud to be voting for Trump.
God Bless.
And FL will be safe Republican. I'm from Florida and everyone one I talked to even Democrats are changing their party to Republican.
MINNESOTA PROTECT OUR NORTHERN BORDER VOTE TRUMP
Wish I could vote 🗳️ for trump ,I’m in 🇬🇧 😢
I hate to see what is happening in the UK. Yall are our closest ally and our mother 0:46 country. Many will not agree but so much of the USA institutions are heavily influenced on a basic level.....law, government, community organization, etc. Also, so many of us share our DNA.
As a student of history I am always in awe how this small country could have ruled 25 percent of the planet at one time. For the haters: The previous comment is not an endorsement of colonialism, just an observation from the past.
Brits, fight for your country and keep the that stiff upper lip. Cheers
@@pumkinpimp1 Thank you 🙏 for such a lovely comment. I have been a fan off trump for a long time 🕰️, like Elon musk we need more people like 👍 him , and the amount of hate he gets from the left , but when you ask for facts to back up there claims ??they have none !!
Yes the uk 🇬🇧 was at its highest when Victoria was queen , think most of her children we’re married around Europe ,she was called the grandmother of Europe, and more powerful than the pope then .as for colonialism in then days every single country was doing it,it was wrong but it really survival of the fittest. The left like to go on about it , but you cannot go on about your grandfather s grandfather s mistake s . As I tell the left ,you learn from it ! Never erase it ,but move on . Have a happy Sunday debs xx
TRUMPS UP +'3 IN VIRGINIA . JOE BIDEN HAS NO PATH TO 270 WITHOUT VIRGINIA 😮😮😮
It’s a complete tie in Virginia. The two most recent polls say each of them are up by 3, and they were polled within days. It’s a toss up at this point
@@samplautz5586You're not understanding how the information is being laid out. He shows the TREND of the prior polls and vote margin from last elections and what we see as the direction it's heading now. Like NJ and NY, Virginia trending to the right as strong as it is basically means there's a good chance Trump flips it.
I live in VA and plan on voting for Trump. Once he is elected my stocks will hit the roof
FJB
If 90% of the country isn't voting for this dude, and the other 10% for RFK then I have no hope for your country anymore
Whats so great about brain worm guy?
@@thatinternetdude1392 I have no issue with RFK's speech issue and agree with him on a few issues but he's anti 2A, so he's a no way from me.
@glory3670 have you heard him actually speak on it? he's said multiple times he has no plans on taking anyone's guns and wouldn't pass any unconstitutional gun laws
@@glory3670 I just really resent being asked to choose between demented old man, convicted felon, and guy with brain worm; I mean WTF guys.
So your ok with spending your tax dollars to pay for illeagal voters(illegal immagrants) and you think trump is a felon?I pick Trump,explain exactly what crimes he's done ?(run against the biden crime family)compared to bidens crimes (traitor) keep watching the lying news media,who are proping up a clearly at best incompetent canidate.do you have a conscience?or a brain?or any love for our country?
You should do this in order of "poll closing" east-to-west.👍
I like your presentations!
Minnesotans for Trump!
California Latino here voting for trump
God Bless America Amen!
What is wrong with people in California?
Mesa AZ for Trump! Hopefully we will have a fair election especially in Maricopa County
Trump!!!🇺🇸2024🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏
Here we go, Trump-Vance, here we go.
I work at a car dealership in Boulder County, Colorado. I literally haven't met a coworker who isn't voting for Trump. I think this is going to be the most competitive election in the state since it flipped to blue in 2008. Im sure the industry I'm in influences things but its crazy how no one I've talked to is voting for Biden (even outside of my job lol)
Excellent news
No
I live in MN and I have never seen a Biden supporter or liberal before. Minnesota is for Trump but Minneapolis has lots of illegals.
Ya i guess it depends where you live. My sister lives in St. Paul, and it’s mostly Biden supporters. I know there are a lot of Biden supporters in the northeast of MN too
@voice-of-the-flame and @samplautz5586:
Never mind what those around you are doing, exercise your right to VOTE for TRUMP!!
And bring a friend or two to the polls! 😃
@@mistresskate9799 I was merely stating my observation. Obviously I’m going to vote
@@samplautz5586if you look at last election Biden only won MN by like 7% (good sized margin) but I’d have to agree that even in Saint Cloud I haven’t seen much of anything for Biden, and I’ve seen a lot I MEAN A LOT of Trump flags and stickers. I truly think Minnesota could easily swing red and it wouldn’t even shock me. But that’s just my opinion. I told my mom back in 2020 that by 2024 we would be a swing state and I think the polls are backing my claim up, guess we will find out in November!
You need to specifically call out when a state has not had a new poll since the debate
Or since July 13.
Colorado for Trump ✊🇺🇸
NY for Trump/Vance !
LANDSLIDE!! Trump Vance 2024
Can’t wait to vote for trump
I've asked before, but are you going to be doing this live on election night?
why on earth would people vote biden
Trump is the man in north carolina .
I like this guy. He doesn't really say what he wants. Just presents the data he has access to and that's that.
Don't be complacent, get out and VOTE.
Awesome!🎉
What states have polls after the assassintation?
Probably none. Polls take at the bare minimum several days to conduct, so I wouldn't expect to see those numbers until next week at the earliest.
None
Since there was only an ATTEMPT
could you post a timelapse of all of your election maps this cycle? Also I am curious what the map would look like if you took all of your election maps and plotted the average projected status of each state onto it.
Obviously things change over time so it probably wouldn't be accurate to what will happen, but it still could be interesting :D
It's starting to become more and more apparent that you may need to start including RFK Jr in your algorithms.. There's a solid movement that's growing and I believe it's going to make all these polls skewed when it comes to Election Night. Otherwise, great job and analysis!!
Not really. This is about elextoral votes. It's unlikely that RFK has enough support in any one state to earn any electoral votes at all.
I say this as someone who has "wasted my vote" on 3rd party candidates for most of my life. Gary Johnson had a huge turnout one year but it didn't translate to anything that mattered. Thats unforunately how it's going to remain for independents
I would move texas and florida to safe
I will mention, polls since 2020 have heavily favored republicans, I wouldn’t be so sure if I was you about this landslide you all expect.
There’s been a crazy amount of Conservatives fleeing blue states for red states like TX and FL since 2020. Those states are blood red now. I guarantee you Trump wins both on Election Day by at least 10%.
Florida for Trump
I just subscribed!! Trump will win
I’d like to see some of these polls updated, I mean we have some numbers on a few states that are pulling from January and March. What’s the matter pollsters in the blue states afraid of what they are going to see? Let’s see some new ones from CO, MN, NY and NJ!
NY will never flip lol
Electoral votes should be counted by district, not a “state wins all”.
The U.S. presidential elections have seen some intense moments, but an attempt on Trump's life is quite alarming. It's reminiscent of the incident during Ronald Reagan's presidency in 1981. Nowadays, it seems like there's a strong effort to undermine Trump, creating a concerning atmosphere that mirrors that of a third-world country.
I know, right? It's hard to stay confident in our investments when everything feels so chaotic. It's like walking on shaky ground these days.
I totally get what you mean! It's like being trapped in a suspenseful movie plot. Finding a safe place to invest during these uncertain times feels like navigating a maze of challenges.
I anticipated potential challenges and took steps to safeguard my finances with a fiduciary, Desiree Ruth Hoffman. Her expertise in managing such situations is truly remarkable.
Oh, I’ve heard about her! Saw a blog post about her clients’ profits in the first quarter. She’s been in the green for four years straight.
It sounds like you're planning to delve into some research. Given the current circumstances, seeking professional guidance seems like a smart move. Research can really help broaden your knowledge and provide clarity on different topics. If you ever need help or have questions during your research, feel free to reach out!
Love your channel from Europe. As a South asian living in Europe, I'm very interested in American politics
I don't understand why the MSM keeps saying it's a dead heat?
Cause they lie.
There are different polls -nationally it may be a dead heat
@@brucewanamaker3673 Adam Schiff called for Biden to drop out today. If the polls are even close, it's probably a blow out.
Swing state polls are all that matters, Trump leads in practically all of them. Popular vote doesn’t mean crap. CA and NY always have bloated vote numbers from fraud and ballot harvesting.
Technically the votes nationally are similar, that's not how the electoral college works though and lots of dem votes are 'wasted' in places like NY and CA
In one of bidens interviews he was told people and families were struggling to make ends meet, his reply people still have money to spend,with a smirk on his face. FJB
TRUMP 2024
DJT 2024
From Massachusetts and it’s funny how we’re a blue state but yet 2/3 people I know want Trump.
Do you use electronic voting?
I suggest these electoral college projection videos go from east to west, by time zones, and by poll closing times, it just seems that this would be more sensible and realistic.
never under estimate the democrats ability to cheat
We need at least 100M votes for Trump!
In 1976 our group wanted to put on a parade on but we needed a place to construct the carts we had little money.we saw a perfect piece of property and we asked the owner how much would it cost to build our carts there.he kindly charged us one dollar. That man was Donald Trump.
The only poll that really matters is the one in November. And the lower positions on the ballot are just as important as the presidency. All offices up for election will help set the tone for the future direction of our country. Also a president must have the support of the House and Senate as we saw during the first Trump administration.
Excellent analysis once again!
LETS GO THE NORTH EAST IS NEW TRUMP COUNTRY
You will find NM will vote Trump
Your latest poll for OR is October 2023! 9 months old!
#Latest
@FiveThirtyEight
Forecast:
Chance of winning:
Biden 53%
Trump 46%
.
Electoral votes:
Biden 277
Trump 261
Democrats don't want to know how bad they are doing.
If Portland wasn't apart of Oregon, it would be Republican.
Not old enough to vote, but man if I could Trump would have mine. As a North Carolinian, i dont know why anyone would vote for Biden or anyone in the Left. Our governer is democratic and hasnt done anything bro 💀
Money says it will be bigger than 341!!! TRUMP 2024!!!
Landslide baby...
what site is this that can see all the elections over the years i would like to browse
You should change the format going east to west to be more like election night time zones. If Pennsylvania and Virginia go Trump, then it will be game over.
Very good point. 4hr difference from east to west allows west coast voters to see east coast voting before they themselves go vote. Definitely a psychological/sociological component to voting!
We will have to hope that east coast swing states don’t take days to count ballots or magically generate tens of thousands of counter votes in the twilight hours lol
Do one where they rig AZ, MI, VA, GA
No election is going to be rigged.
America First!
As a Russian - this is far more engaging than our elections. US elections is international grade show.
Out of curiosity from an American heavily invested in both our presidential election and the ongoing geopolitical… happenings… why do you say so? What about your elections could you enlighten us on that would make you say that our election is more engaging than your own?
@@zacharyisrael7264, in Russian elections there is no better candidate than Putin. Everyone else is just a joke. It would be interesting to see how it will work after Putin. In US you have two big jokes and spoilers. And you need to choose which joke is worse and vote for the other.
@@zacharyisrael7264Yeah in Russian elections there's never any doubt who will ''win", here in Britain our politics is a lot more interesting but last election was boring as it was an expected landslide
I live in MD so sadly my vote wont help, but I will be voting for Trump as I did in both 2016 and 2020 and will eventually find myself out of this Blue state and into a Red one
The Democrats are screwing themselves. Trump will win in 2024.
DNC is in a panic and dumping both Joe and Kamala as I stated they would two weeks ago. Expect them to use COVID as the reason Joe needs to drop out. Will be interesting to see what they use to replace Kamala.
Florida for trump
Never got on the Biden train and never will, and now looks like most Americans are getting off it, and will NOT be #RidingwithBiden in 2024.
im riding biden 🤤 save me joe biden save me 🤤
God voted for Trump-send their ballot in early!!!
God loves everyone, Trump only loves himself. So why don’t you reconsider who God would really want in power.
@@Airman7557 If Trump only loves himself he would not be running for office getting shot at, he would be chilling at a beach mansion and playing golf everyday.
@@mastermindrational1907 Really? Did you know that in 2015, he was almost broke after years of failed investment and tax evasion? His campaign was a way to expand his popularity and make massive sums of money. The power he gained from his presidency also boosted his ego, which came to a head when he lost in 2020. That craving for power, fame, and wealth is what has and still is driving his campaign. To quit now would hurt his ego, wealth, and power, leading even a assassination attempt to not dissuade him. I will also note, that Trump’s entire political playbook is based off McCarthy’s communist witch-hunt of the 1950s, as he was mentored by a close friend of McCarthy at the beginning of his political and economic career.
Wisconsin just put ballot drop boxes all over the state.
Uh oh! Here we go!
That is not good news.