Hunter Biden's convictions won't derail his father's re-election bid | Ian Bremmer | World In :60

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  • Опубликовано: 11 июн 2024
  • What are the implications of Hunter Biden's convictions for his father's presidential campaign? Will recent EU elections bring a dramatic shift to Europe, or will it be more of the same? How are Canadians viewing the impending Biden-Trump rematch?
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    Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60, live from the Toronto US-Canada Summit.
    What are the implications of Hunter Biden's convictions for his father's presidential campaign?
    You know, it's a little bit of tit for tat. You're going to see a lot of Republicans saying, “See the Biden crime family! Look at this guy. I mean, he's a convict.” It's ugly. It's embarrassing for the Biden family, of course. But at the same time, it's not very significant charges and it certainly doesn't link directly to President Biden. Five months away, are people going to be talking about this or Trump's 34 convictions, the weakest of the cases that he's actually facing? I suspect neither of them are going to matter very much, even though, on balance, Trump's is the one that should matter more.
    Will recent EU elections bring a dramatic shift to Europe or will it be more of the same?
    Well, overall, the European Parliament looks a lot like the old European Parliament. A few more seats for the right wing, but the far-right is not very aligned, doesn't work cohesively. I still think Ursula von der Leyen is going to be, yet again, European Commission president. And in many countries the populist, the anti-establishment did a lot worse. In Sweden, for example, in Portugal and others. On balance, there's not much change here. Two things that matter one a little bit is that Schulz and his Social Democrats really underperformed. The German economy not doing well, he's not seen as much of a leader. A three-party coalition, Germany, largely centrist and pretty stable no matter what. Much bigger: France. Macron's party, historically, got pasted. That's why he's called for parliamentary elections in just a few weeks. And when they happen, if Le Pen's party, the National Rally, wins and they're able to put forward a prime minister, there's is a major, major problem for governance in France and for the need of anything that the EU has to have parliamentary approval in France to get done, and that includes the Ukraine problem going forward.
    How are Canadians viewing the impending Biden-Trump rematch?
    You know, in some ways a little more comfortably than they did the last time around because the US-Mexico-Canada agreement's already in place and Trump got it done with this Canadian government. So, I think that they feel a little like, “Hey, we dealt with them once, we can deal with them again.” There's much more strategy and strategic alignment in the importance of the US-Canada relationship today than there was five, 10 years ago, in part because on China they're much more aligned, on things like, major wars outside of this part of the world, they're much more aligned, on Haiti, they're much more aligned. But also keep in mind that Canada's also facing an election in a year. And right now, it looks like the Tories, the conservatives in Canada, would win big, ahead by over 20 points. In which case you'd have a Canadian government and a US government, if Trump were to win, that would be very aligned. Just on a very different part of the political spectrum. Either way, very friendly and very stable relationship, which is more than we can say for most of them around the world.
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Комментарии • 22

  • @kshen7485
    @kshen7485 29 дней назад

    Like father like son, like government like citizens.

  • @cyb_structure
    @cyb_structure Месяц назад

    Always excellent, Ian.

  • @marcuslark902
    @marcuslark902 27 дней назад

    Hard to imagine a peaceful election in the US.

  • @CamiloSanchez1979
    @CamiloSanchez1979 Месяц назад +1

    Le Pen and Pootin are bestest buddies. Just in case someone wanted some trivia. Sir, thank you Sir.

  • @williep8955
    @williep8955 Месяц назад +3

    What about if his actual convictions relating to Burisma and family dealings come to light before? I feel that this made the laptop concrete could that not explode?

    • @JoeBlow-fp5ng
      @JoeBlow-fp5ng Месяц назад

      Biden voters don't care about Demcorats real corruption. They only push lies about their political opponents.

    • @idontwantahandlewhymustidothis
      @idontwantahandlewhymustidothis Месяц назад

      Didn't the guy behind that one go to prison for lying about it? I didn't vote for Biden and don't plan to, but that's one is pretty obviously just bait

    • @Joelmonterrey
      @Joelmonterrey Месяц назад

      The laptop conspiracy was cooked up by KGB trained Andreii Derkach. I think it's time to put that to bed now.

    • @JoeBlow-fp5ng
      @JoeBlow-fp5ng Месяц назад

      @@Joelmonterrey Liar.

    • @Joelmonterrey
      @Joelmonterrey Месяц назад

      @@JoeBlow-fp5ng You have Google. You're on the internet too. You can look this up. Refute my claim if you believe that. Otherwise, my claim stands.

  • @jiahan3849
    @jiahan3849 Месяц назад +1

    Why did 51 high-ranking intelligence officials try to help Hunter's laptop?

    • @Joelmonterrey
      @Joelmonterrey Месяц назад

      Because it was a conspiracy created by Russian high-ranking intelligence officials. KGB trained Andreii Derkach, for example.