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5:00 you say puka took a step down in second half of the season but tbh he only did in the middle of the season. He clearly came back to form late in the regular season and playoff. Two of his top 3 games came with cooper at full health
Appreciate all of the content! Question - do you all have/plan on making a video for starter dynasty draft strategy? First year playing in one and most content out there is around rookie drafts, but curious how you all would try to find balance between just trying to win year 1 vs have sustained success from the starter draft.
People need to start looking at the Bears’ offensive situation as unique. You’re going to miss out if you look at historical data and make it a 1+1=2 situation. Never had a rookie with this level of support paired with a “generational” pedigree. Let the past temper your expectations but I think it’s safe to say that expecting Caleb to perform on the above average side of rookie QBs is a lock.
i definitely agree, im not just focusing on one factor when setting expectations. Historical data is just 1 piece of a very large puzzle BUT it is still a part of that puzzle.
I bought d smith this off-season for the 1.10 and 2.10 in this last draft, then sold him for a late 2025 1st, late 2026 1st, mid 2025 2nd and demario Douglas
16 team 1qb rookie draft. I got Ladd at 1.09, BTJ at 1.10, Roman Wilson at 2.02, and Polk at 2.03…. Looking to get Maye/McCarthy at 2.07. I’m so pumped about my draft class
I appreciate the Nico respect. ✊️ I'm still gunna politic for him begin above a Nabers at least.. and in that tier 2. Don Wicks aka BABA YAGA made the graphic is exciting
I have Amon ra, puka, g Wilson, nabers , dell, Franklin, Corley, m Wilson, cooks, m Williams. 10 team 1qb league. Pleased with this group. Been offered a 2025 and 2026 2nd for Franklin. Thoughts
1st question we need to ask is: what are the quality of those targets? Starting QB Pass Grades: Purdy - 81.5 Pickett - 68.8 Starting QB ADJ COMP %: Purdy - 76.6% Pickett - 71.8% Catchable Target Rate: Aiyuk - 78.7% Pickens - 72.4% 2nd question we need to ask is: what did the defense need to focus on for each player on each play? SF: - CMC, Deebo, Kittle PIT: Diontae, maybe a RB? 3rd question we need to ask is: which player had more opportunities to score TDs? Team PPG: SF - 28.6 (2nd) PIT - 17.8 (28th) I think when you consider the entire context, both had incredible seasons but Pickens imo overcame much more to produce.
Josh Downs for PPR is likely out producing Pittman. He is AR's dude. Had a better rookie season and a better season than half your list. Adonai should be the high ceiling flyer in tier 7.
So the guy who Shane Steichen just schemed up 150+ targets for & signed to a long term deal is gonna get out produced by the Slot WR? Fair enough my man 🙏🏼
I can respect the take! I just think we’ve seen more than enough to say Puka is also great. Would easily be a 1st Round pick if you redrafted that class 😅
Chase has finished outside top 10 2 years in a row (versus amon ra inside top 10 past 2 years). Combine that with the fact his qb is made of glass behind a crappy o line and I think it’s only fair Amon ra is in tier 1.
I have amon ra marv jr nabors dell kirk douglas shakir curtis samuel pearsall dotson and lagette in the 2nd stage of a rebuild. 14 team 1qb. Brooks moss vidal. House money team with next years rb class. 200 dollar buyin dynasty
practically wrapped up my rookie draft, 4th round starting (unlimited timer for draft picks), got MHJ at 1.02, Jonathan Brooks at 1.09, BTJ at 2.02, Bo Nix at 2.09, Javon Baker at 3.09. 10 Team SF
Love both of them as prospects, both have great DC, both have had a high target share in their 1st 2 years BUT London has a QB that can produce top level fantasy assets 🙏🏼
@@DynastyLandFootball That's fair, especially with how JJ produced with Kirk. Here's an interesting hypothetical then: if the Saints had gotten Kirk, where would you rank Olave on this list?
@@DynastyLandFootball I just don’t see him being that much more productive. I’d buy tank and get a possible first on top right now? That’s crazy considering tanks production last year
@@DynastyLandFootball Smith was better in college so highly doubt that. The Rome truther running out of narratives, Brian Thomas Jr had a better season than Rome.
I can respect your opinion but you keep giving answers that include 1 piece of a VERY BIG puzzle. Amon-Ra St Brown came out of the PAC-12, that’s an argument that has no legs to stand on. As we always say, scout the player not the helmet or the conference. Don’t take my word for, go listen to every NFL Draft analyst on Rome Odunze. He has no flaws my dude! Like I said, I can respect your opinion but I don’t agree and it isn’t downplaying Smith to say Odunze is the better prospect. It’s just giving Odunze the respect he deserves.
Will be 32 in season, all analytics and fantasy finishes have decreased in each of the last 3 years. The only teams who should want Adam’s are win now teams. HOF player but not someone you’re going to be able to build around long term.
Mines better I have jj,chase ,Amon , Puka ,olave ,dj-Moore , Brian Thomas jr, Christian Watson, jsn , Jameson Williams, Demario Douglas, Jalynn Polk, Michael Wilson , Xavier legette , Ricky Pearsall & Malachi Corley
Agree wholeheartedly. It’s a prove it year for Chase.. came out firing as a rookie and finished outside top 10 two straight years. Give me the guy who is insanely consistent and is healthy along with his qb in Goff. If Puka put up the two seasons Chase has following breaking the rookie record he would drop in rankings but somehow Chase is bulletproof
Chase was a higher draft pick, is tied to a better QB, and arguably more talented. But if Burrow keeps getting hurt then yeah Amon Ra is much better in dynasty
@@aab5425tt draft cap doesn’t matter once they are paid / proven, best ability is availability so i trust Goff behind a top o line versus injury prone Burrow behind an awful line. For PPR Amon ra dominates in the slot and gets peppered along with his ability to stay on the field. Amon ra also has produced the better seasons for two straight years.. gimme amon ra ALL DAY
@@lincolnchiller1274 also Tyler Boyd is gone and Tee Higgins may be gone too, so Chase has a lot less competition going forward than Amon Ra does. I don’t think Burrow is injury prone, but a bad luck stretch. This year will be very definitive in that though.
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5:00 you say puka took a step down in second half of the season but tbh he only did in the middle of the season. He clearly came back to form late in the regular season and playoff. Two of his top 3 games came with cooper at full health
Appreciate all of the content!
Question - do you all have/plan on making a video for starter dynasty draft strategy? First year playing in one and most content out there is around rookie drafts, but curious how you all would try to find balance between just trying to win year 1 vs have sustained success from the starter draft.
People need to start looking at the Bears’ offensive situation as unique. You’re going to miss out if you look at historical data and make it a 1+1=2 situation. Never had a rookie with this level of support paired with a “generational” pedigree. Let the past temper your expectations but I think it’s safe to say that expecting Caleb to perform on the above average side of rookie QBs is a lock.
i definitely agree, im not just focusing on one factor when setting expectations. Historical data is just 1 piece of a very large puzzle BUT it is still a part of that puzzle.
I bought d smith this off-season for the 1.10 and 2.10 in this last draft, then sold him for a late 2025 1st, late 2026 1st, mid 2025 2nd and demario Douglas
16 team 1qb rookie draft. I got Ladd at 1.09, BTJ at 1.10, Roman Wilson at 2.02, and Polk at 2.03…. Looking to get Maye/McCarthy at 2.07. I’m so pumped about my draft class
I appreciate the Nico respect. ✊️ I'm still gunna politic for him begin above a Nabers at least.. and in that tier 2. Don Wicks aka BABA YAGA made the graphic is exciting
haha love it
I have a feeling DK should go in a higher tier or atleast towards the top of his tier over odunze minimum
I also think if odunze was the first WR taken off the board at 9 it would change a lot of conversations you guys are having about him
My team is so young at wr. Collins, reed, wicks, roman wilson with 3 firsts next year. This vid has me very confident!
W
I have Amon ra, puka, g Wilson, nabers , dell, Franklin, Corley, m Wilson, cooks, m Williams. 10 team 1qb league. Pleased with this group.
Been offered a 2025 and 2026 2nd for Franklin. Thoughts
I can't understand why people put Chase over St.Brown
How was Pickens better per target when ayiuk had the same amount of targets but ayiuk had 200 more yard and more receptions and touchdowns
1st question we need to ask is: what are the quality of those targets?
Starting QB Pass Grades:
Purdy - 81.5
Pickett - 68.8
Starting QB ADJ COMP %:
Purdy - 76.6%
Pickett - 71.8%
Catchable Target Rate:
Aiyuk - 78.7%
Pickens - 72.4%
2nd question we need to ask is: what did the defense need to focus on for each player on each play?
SF:
- CMC, Deebo, Kittle
PIT:
Diontae, maybe a RB?
3rd question we need to ask is: which player had more opportunities to score TDs?
Team PPG:
SF - 28.6 (2nd)
PIT - 17.8 (28th)
I think when you consider the entire context, both had incredible seasons but Pickens imo overcame much more to produce.
Because Brock Purdy is way better than the Pittsburgh QBs
Stroud and tank dell is more of a comp for caleb and odunze. Texans had nico as “#1”, bears have Dj.
I have stroud and collins, tank is getting waved in my face for low. Should I take the bait?
Yes
THANK YOU FOR FINALLY INCLUDING AMONRA IN TIER ONE IVE BEEN SCREAMING IT FROM THE ROOFTOPS ALL OFFSEASON
gotchu
Josh Downs for PPR is likely out producing Pittman. He is AR's dude. Had a better rookie season and a better season than half your list. Adonai should be the high ceiling flyer in tier 7.
So the guy who Shane Steichen just schemed up 150+ targets for & signed to a long term deal is gonna get out produced by the Slot WR? Fair enough my man 🙏🏼
Feel the same way about Watson. If he can stay healthy! What about Pop Douglas?!?😂
10 team SF
Herbert + Godwin + D. Douglas
Nabers + Collins + 25 2nd
That Olave Fade gonna make people look straight foolish
THANK U! ARSB IS TOP 4
W
You forgot to put Johan Datsun in there even though you said his name his picture is not there
My argument is Stafford makes Puka great and Wilson IS great. Wilson has a higher ceiling for a longer period of time.
I can respect the take! I just think we’ve seen more than enough to say Puka is also great. Would easily be a 1st Round pick if you redrafted that class 😅
I still feel like amon-ra goes in a tier by himself under those top 3
His best year is better than Chase’s best year. There’s no reason to view AmonRa as less than these other guys in any meaningful way
@@jcmphreekfrfr
Chase has finished outside top 10 2 years in a row (versus amon ra inside top 10 past 2 years). Combine that with the fact his qb is made of glass behind a crappy o line and I think it’s only fair Amon ra is in tier 1.
can respect the take
Hill kupp Diggs Adams. Old but gonna do better then these young cats
Yall Sleep on Pittman he was just 4th in receptions last year him and Aiyuk are the same age
😴
Nico Collins is the X...Dell and Diggs will swap in and out of the slot on the other side. Nico is the no1
We view it the same way
I have amon ra marv jr nabors dell kirk douglas shakir curtis samuel pearsall dotson and lagette in the 2nd stage of a rebuild. 14 team 1qb. Brooks moss vidal. House money team with next years rb class. 200 dollar buyin dynasty
Amon Ra should be #2. JJ has no QB, And Chase has Burrow which that tendon damage in his hand scares me!
i can respect it!
practically wrapped up my rookie draft, 4th round starting (unlimited timer for draft picks), got MHJ at 1.02, Jonathan Brooks at 1.09, BTJ at 2.02, Bo Nix at 2.09, Javon Baker at 3.09. 10 Team SF
W
Who’s Jashon McCarthy? Time stamp 1:47
JJs brother
Give me BTJ over Rome, Devonta smith, Pickens, metcalf easily
BTJ over Rome is valid if you want. But easily? Nah
@@jcmphreek I’m very high on BTJ, I think he can develop into an absolute monster
thats interesting! love BTJ
I don’t understand why Kirk is so low. He’s the #1 with tlaw and in his prime he should be right around 30 imo
I can respect it! We feel like BTJR will become the 1 at some point this season 🙏🏼
Would be a better video if you spoke on every single player
ruclips.net/video/EoqudLQwTAM/видео.html
Why London over Olave?
Love both of them as prospects, both have great DC, both have had a high target share in their 1st 2 years BUT London has a QB that can produce top level fantasy assets 🙏🏼
@@DynastyLandFootball That's fair, especially with how JJ produced with Kirk. Here's an interesting hypothetical then: if the Saints had gotten Kirk, where would you rank Olave on this list?
JSN needs top be the top of tier 5
I'd rather have Evans or Cooper. I'm trying to win.
If lamar could hit a wide open deap ball zay flowers would be top 10 very easily
That’s fair
Not a fan of this one fellas. I understand the youth aspect, but ranking some of these guys above Evans and Cooper! That's criminal.
Lock us up ⛓️💥
I think waddle is to high still. Give me Moore Pittman and smith over him especially with the extra value you get by making the move “down”
I can respect it! We talked about that in a video a couple weeks ago as well. Definitely want to explore the market on him.
@@DynastyLandFootball I just don’t see him being that much more productive. I’d buy tank and get a possible first on top right now? That’s crazy considering tanks production last year
No way bro said Devonta Smith isn’t as good of a prospect as Rome Odunze like Smith ain’t break college records and won a Heisman
Yes way, yes way bro said it. If Smith & Odunze are in the same draft class, Odunze gets drafted 1st 9 out of 10 times.
@@DynastyLandFootball Smith was better in college so highly doubt that. The Rome truther running out of narratives, Brian Thomas Jr had a better season than Rome.
If you’re purely looking at statistics sure, but that’s about 10% of what goes into scouting a player my friend 🤝
@@DynastyLandFootball Scouting would tell you Smith was a better prospect. Rome played in the Pac12 he’s not on Smitty’s level.
I can respect your opinion but you keep giving answers that include 1 piece of a VERY BIG puzzle. Amon-Ra St Brown came out of the PAC-12, that’s an argument that has no legs to stand on. As we always say, scout the player not the helmet or the conference.
Don’t take my word for, go listen to every NFL Draft analyst on Rome Odunze. He has no flaws my dude!
Like I said, I can respect your opinion but I don’t agree and it isn’t downplaying Smith to say Odunze is the better prospect. It’s just giving Odunze the respect he deserves.
Yall sleeping wayyyy to hard on Devante Adams wtf that’s crazyyyy
Will be 32 in season, all analytics and fantasy finishes have decreased in each of the last 3 years.
The only teams who should want Adam’s are win now teams. HOF player but not someone you’re going to be able to build around long term.
keon coleman?!
I have Justin Jefferson, AJ Brown, Puka Nacua, Garrett Wilson, Dontayvion Wicks, Jahan Dotson and Demario Douglas in our 10-Man Dynasty League
insane
I can one up that in one of my 10 man leagues. Prioritized building around WR infinity stones. WR factories unite! 🤝
Sheeeesh 🔥
Mines better I have jj,chase ,Amon , Puka ,olave ,dj-Moore , Brian Thomas jr, Christian Watson, jsn , Jameson Williams, Demario Douglas, Jalynn Polk, Michael Wilson , Xavier legette , Ricky Pearsall & Malachi Corley
Dang that’s STOUT!!
QJ Tier 14. 😂
Rome and smith are to low. They need moved up to tier 3
can respect the take
yall are highly overrating rookie WRs past the first round
Okay :)
Jameo should be #32 He's gonna have a break out year :)
love me some jamo!
WHERE TF IS CORLEY!!! LOL
stop it 😪
Tyreek at 10!!!??? Lol
Where would you rank him in dynasty considering he’s over 30?
@@DynastyLandFootball still top 5
How is Wandale not on here loll
Love WanDale, have him higher than all consensus sites in my rankings 👍🏼
Rome > Malik
Hell nah
@@richardcheese9152 hell yah bro
can respect it!
Tyreek hill better then all them
Right now, yes! But these are dynasty rankings my man 🤝
In re-draft yes. Dynasty not close
I can't understand why people put Chase over St.Brown
Agree wholeheartedly. It’s a prove it year for Chase.. came out firing as a rookie and finished outside top 10 two straight years. Give me the guy who is insanely consistent and is healthy along with his qb in Goff. If Puka put up the two seasons Chase has following breaking the rookie record he would drop in rankings but somehow Chase is bulletproof
Definitely should be in the same tier imo 🙏🏼
Chase was a higher draft pick, is tied to a better QB, and arguably more talented. But if Burrow keeps getting hurt then yeah Amon Ra is much better in dynasty
@@aab5425tt draft cap doesn’t matter once they are paid / proven, best ability is availability so i trust Goff behind a top o line versus injury prone Burrow behind an awful line. For PPR Amon ra dominates in the slot and gets peppered along with his ability to stay on the field. Amon ra also has produced the better seasons for two straight years.. gimme amon ra ALL DAY
@@lincolnchiller1274 also Tyler Boyd is gone and Tee Higgins may be gone too, so Chase has a lot less competition going forward than Amon Ra does. I don’t think Burrow is injury prone, but a bad luck stretch. This year will be very definitive in that though.
I can't understand why people put Chase over St.Brown