That was interesting and thought-provoking. You can think of technologies as a sequence, but you could also think of them as relations. For example, motorized transport inherits from other technologies, including two ancient ones (maybe not perfectly), controlled fire and the wheel. Those two were key to the faster pace of innovation that started with the industrial revolution (unless I have to re-learn some history). Of course, these days people talk about cars and rockets, not about the wheel and fire, and it might be similar for AI in the future. Still, I expect AI to be a foundational technology that supports an expanding body of innovation, rather than something that's disrupted or sidelined twelve years after the world started talking about it. I can't prove it will have a massive impact on our lives, but years ago I believed it would happen, and the last few years have not given me reasons to change my mind.
That was interesting and thought-provoking. You can think of technologies as a sequence, but you could also think of them as relations. For example, motorized transport inherits from other technologies, including two ancient ones (maybe not perfectly), controlled fire and the wheel. Those two were key to the faster pace of innovation that started with the industrial revolution (unless I have to re-learn some history). Of course, these days people talk about cars and rockets, not about the wheel and fire, and it might be similar for AI in the future. Still, I expect AI to be a foundational technology that supports an expanding body of innovation, rather than something that's disrupted or sidelined twelve years after the world started talking about it. I can't prove it will have a massive impact on our lives, but years ago I believed it would happen, and the last few years have not given me reasons to change my mind.