Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump | 2024 Election Night Full Prediction
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- Опубликовано: 9 сен 2024
- In this simulation of America's 2024 Election Night, EPO forecasts how the heated battle for the 270 electoral votes-the magic number needed to win the White House-unfolds between former Republican President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.
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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on RUclips, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.
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This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.
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Fun Fact: my full election night video in June 2020 correctly predicted the final outcome in 49/50 states (excluding Georgia).
I will of course do another one or two of these down the stretch as well. Hope you enjoy :)
link it
It'd also be cool to see a video summarizing how you came to this outcome projection. Thanks for all you do!
Polls that show Kamala ahead what do you think of those?
Are they all unreliable?
@@ElectionPredictionsOfficialYT guess you didn’t factor in the cheating part--Trump Won 2020
@@TJLuv2Cre8 There was no cheating! Trump just got defeated! Same thing will happen this time around.
Doesn’t matter if we think we are gonna win this by 100 delegates, we must VOTE VOTE VOTE!!!
You’re calls of somewhat questionable!
@@mitchminer2031just for fun, going off of polling data. Don't lose your marbles Jared
vote early, vote often.
@@mitchminer2031 * ridiculous or delusional
@@Eaglesoverchickens What polls? The ones in Moscow maybe. 🤣🤣
Bro always has Republicans and Democrats whining in his comment section for being biased towards the other side. Which means he's doing a good job being nonpartisan.
How is he being nonpartisan when his predictions of several key battleground states go against current polling trends? 😂
@@rainisneatHe predicted 49 out of 50 states correctly in 2020 and all Senate races except for Georgia correctly in 2022.
@thieshamann5273 He's either become MAGA since then, or he's being sloppy. He said himself at the end of the video that it took him weeks to make. Probably started well before they swapped candidates from Biden to Harris. I doubt he's using the latest polling with that in mind.
@@rainisneat You also have to factor in historical trends and margin of error. You have to remember the polls always overestimate Democrats, as shown in both 2016 and 2020. It seems like you are the partisan one here
@rexblade504 Have you seen where the polls are trending, though? The Harris campaign has turned Biden's numbers around and are now leading more and more polls with greater numbers. The more they'll campaign, the greater those numbers will get. This is just the start.
Get out and vote. Save our country.
Democrats make states blue by passing weed and abortion laws.
And the World!!!
Yaa trump can save
@@indianreactsprashantyeah his ass from going to prison cause that's what he's trying to do.
@@Cwinchk western civilization is falling
Fuck democracy
Save ur country and culture
You forget, we don’t have election nights anymore, we have election weeks.
He had it take weeks
@@km13watchno, it took weeks for them to manufacture enough votes to steal the election.
The same thing happened in 2020 and this guy still predicted that election perfectly except for Georgia.
@@TheJoeschmoe777 damn. I personally believe he actually was right... just.. you know
Lmao what about election half-years like way back then
Trump should by a shit ton of TV ad time in PA so that every night every PA voter sees an ad with Kamala Harris saying she'll ban fracking at least 5 times. Harris can't win without PA.
This was a fun video. A good way to test how much blood pressure medication I'll need to take in November.😂
So well said!!🤣
😅
😂
Don't encourage big pharma...
Just go vote a couple of times.
If Trump doesn't win, we are finished!
I don't know if I've ever been so anxious for a presidential race
Right?!
I mean our country is on the line… if Trump loses, the illegals will be granted citizenship, and we’ll have radical leftists in charge forever
Because if trump loses it’s mostly likely the end of America and likely wars will begin
@@mistwoodpublishing9963 It’s not supposed to be this way. It’s supposed to be honest and it never will be again. Ever.
@@melaniebush80regardless who wins this country is cooked
California may stay blue but not me, I am voting Trump!!!!!!!!!!!!!
love this Trump 2024
California is a demonic state!
CA will always be blue 💙 - MAGA, stay pressed! 😌
@@Mrchickenwing74Not in 1984 though
@@franrodriguezrondero5749 Moving forward, yes.
This video reminded me how unready I am for the stresses of Election Day lol
I’m going to be sick with worry.
It feels so reel watching these EP "Election Night" videos. I'm on the edge of m seat.
I’m going to be praying a lot…with my stomach in knots.
We must vote!
The flip in Georgia was the real game-changer tonight! Trump's strategy there clearly paid off.
Trump has a strategy? My cat has a strategy, Trump not so much. Trump has a random, repeating series of insults and name calling. Is that what you think passes for a strategy?
@@lockman004,name some great Kamala policies 😆🙄🤦♂️
The election isn’t right now
@@jimmysotack2523 🦗
@@jimmysotack2523Has a good head game! Ask Willie Brown!
Trump 💪💪💪🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸❤️❤️❤️
Dude this is sick af. Awesome presentation dude
W comment
He did an awesome job with this video.
For real. I actually got nervous and excited watching this as if it was the real thing 😂
Trump is getting Arizona
Vote vote vote
Doesn't seem like it
@@bggraham83 Lets see what September says.
Trump is getting herpes. Arizona, nope. Harris Walz will win Arizona.
@@speakingwithoutnet I don’t go by polls.
Trump Vance 2024❤
Eww
Trump 2024@@curtisedwards9573
yessir
@@1tri eww. Not voting for weirdos who hate gay people.
Don’t listen to this video, not even as entertainment. GO OUT AND VOTE. DO NOT BELIEVE WE CAN WIN WITHOUT YOU, TRUMP 2024!
@johndough5748, listen to me b****** who are you!!! you are going to vote for dama kamala, yes you do believe! we can without your a**** now go for damn harris! HARRIS 2024! the devil is a lie, i will listen to that video, you know that harris was a prosecutor at that time right.
Why bother? the polls tell us who’s going to win. Our vote doesn’t count.
Make Trump Cry Again 😢😢
Harris-Walz 2024 🔵🔵🔵🔵
@@Latetapochaoh you'll laugh but then you'll complain and cry
@@Warmachine8550 hahahah. Don’t take drugs
I haven’t watched you in four years, but I remembered you make these so I came back
💕🇵🇸
Enjoyed this video.. nail biter for sure!.. I’d be very happy if this is the outcome - Trump/Vance 24!! 🇺🇸
This was fun…… it felt like an Election Day. Good work
Great work indeed.
What did I just watch? I’m so confused
What a wonderfully researched video. Regardless of what happens, you did a fantastic job, sir. Kudos!
All DJT needs is GA and PA to win. But we conveniently won’t know PA until a week later for totally genuine reasons. So he has to get to 270 without PA if I had to say. That means if he wins WI NV AZ and GA he’s at 278, which is enough
He should get PA to flip back to red and I don’t see AZ going blue anytime soon.
@@jpfootballfanatics5027 So if he flips PA and gets WI, NV, and GA, he still wins, right?
This was incredibly well done. Great job.
And also incredibly out of date. She has pulled ahead in a number of states that he has red.
@@johnjones3813 he said he will do one or two more. I'm guessing once per month till election day
The work put in to create this content deserves a like from every viewer. Very impressive! Trump 2024!!!
You were right the last time so let’s see what happens
This is so much work! How long did it take to produce something like this? Research, analysis, scripting, recording, editing...my goodness!
I hope that this is EXACTLY how it plays out! Get out and VOTE Trump/Vance 2024!! Our livelihood depends on it
I’ll be getting out to vote for Kamala
YES trump
This is excellent! A lot of work you put into this. Much appreciated😄👍👍
Delaware may stay blue but not me, I am voting Trump. Many here is Sussex county De is voting Trump.
Not a chance, lol. But keep on dreamin’
Trump doesn’t lose Nevada and Arizona
He's winning both of the states in that prediction
He’ll lose both of them BIGLY.
As of rn he’ll lose AZ and win NV
@Mrchickehe win 😂😂😂nwing74
@@chrisschaller9547he will😂😂
Trump ❤❤❤from Singapore
Vote Red
Trump cares about american people. Dem cares about their own party. they can endorse anyone from their own party to be nominee. this is a communist party. not american democracy. we give everyone the right to choose the candidate of our own. but the Dem only chose the member of their own. what the heck?
Gen Z Hispanics for Trump! 🇲🇽🇺🇸✅🫡❤️💪🏼
This was an excellent presentation and I really hope this comes true our country needs Trump now, keep up the great work & I love your channel👌
Yeah ! Hoosier state first for MEGA
I wish they'd use Trump's mug shot picture on election night, that picture is awesome!😂
It’s fun that he tried to undermine Georgia voters’ votes?
Vieginia for trump 2024. Vote vote vote. Repeat history of 2016 again. Scamala must leave asap.
You’re delusional it’ll be a double digit loss in that state
I'm still struggling to understand how Kamala is supposed to be bad and how Trump is supposed to be good.
@DevGreg Trump is an insurrectionist, convicted felon, unbelievable narcissist, and just a terrible person. Explain to me with your MAGA-t brain how trump is a good person in your eyes?
You got issues kid
So you want a rapist, two time impeached and convicted felon as your president
Voting for president Trump 2024. Georgia
Voting Kamala in PA. Stay mad.
@@RikerLovesWorf LOL. Google Kamala Harris 1000 cases overturned.
@@RikerLovesWorf Voting for President Trump in Utah!! Keep coping!! You know Trump will win!!
@@RikerLovesWorf Why?
@@RikerLovesWorfGen Z Hispanics for Trump so you stay mad 🤓
Trump 🎉🎉🎉🎉2024
Ho well I'm going to sleep good ! Trump 2O24 MAGA! 🇺🇸
Give all of Nebraska to trump and we agree 100 percent
Im amazed how real you made this look!
To God be the glory!!! Trump 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸2024
Thank you so much for this video. I'm blessed only God knows how much I praise Him, $80k every 4weeks! I can now afford anything and also support God's work and the church.😊
That's lovely 🌹if I may ask, How did you come up with so much biweekly?
It's (Judy Marion Then) doing she changed my life. A BROKER- like her is what you need.
$_700k and yet still counting on. Judy Marion is the kind of person one needs in his or her life to be honest❤️❤️❤️>>>>
Wow😱 I know her too Judy Marion Then is a remarkable individual who has brought immense positivity and inspiration into my life. Her unwavering wisdom have been invaluable assets, enriching my journey in countless ways.
I googled about her and yes, she's won my heart. She just gained herself a new client
Fabulous work !!
Nevada for Trump 2024 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Gonna tell all my homies in Las Vegas and Henderson to Vote Blue!! 💙💙💙
Gonna tell my homies there vote red @@Mrchickenwing74
@@Mrchickenwing74 tbh Nevada would probably do better under Trump economy-wise
@@646464mario 🧢
Trump 2024
Good job! Let’s make it happen
Interesting take with this . . .I am so resisting the urge to fast-forward..!!
I can see this. I BELIEVE Trump will contend to possibly finish with 300 electoral votes. He did have 304 in 2016.
Yeah, I kinda feel like he’s either gonna win all three rust belt states or none at all, not have Michigan go the other way. But at the same time who knows, the ball at the moment is in Kamala Harris’s court and it’s just a wonder of how long she can keep the momentum going. I feel like it has died down mildly and choosing Walz might have been a bit of a mistake
Most the most of yt polling pages of latex say Trump is going to win by 3:16 which is funny cuz You're going to have all these die hard Christian Trump supporters saying John 3:16... Let's face it You got nutters in both parties.
I’m actually SUSPECTING a split between Michigan, Wisconsin and PA. I THINK Trump takes PA, Harris edges out in Michigan, and literally a coin flip in Wisconsin- I THINK Trump will win Wisconsin but wouldn’t be surprised if other way around.
Yes, he had 304 electoral votes in 2016. However, he received some 2.9 million votes less than Clinton nationwide.
Hence, the majority of the electorate did not want him then and never will.
Not that it matters, if you are talkung about a possible outcome, it only shows how stupid this whole elctoral college system is.
@@Miscellaneous_102Walz boosted her in the polls in all
Midwest swing states lol
Trump2024!!!!!!!!
Lordy what a great RUclips segment!!!! Brilliant!
Man this video is too powerful. Cant wait! ❤❤😊😊
PLEASE FOCUS ON THE FOLLOWING.
* ELECTRONIC MACHINE HARDWARE
* MAIL IN BALLOT SCAMS
* DUAL REGISTERED STATE VOTE
* DECEASED VOTE
* DEMENTIA SENIOR CITIZEN
* BIG TECH SOFTWARE MANIPULATION
* HACKERS FROM ACROSS THE PLANET
* GEORGE SOROS AND DOMINION LINK
* LAST MIN ADJUSTMENT DIGITALLY
* EMPOWER MORE ELECTION WORKERS
* EPICENTER PHL-CHIC-DET-ATL-MILWA
* MINORITY IS KEY!
* BREAK THE BLUE WALL PA
* WOMEN (both black & white)
* ABORTION MAKE IT CLEAR ITS STATE!
* RUclips influencers with 1m subs
* Rally jewish people
* Energise 3rd party!
* EXPOSE SFO - CAL -USA- DISASTER
* GIVE VP SOME TASK. USELESS PICK!
* CREATE SOME BOMSHELL NEWS CLOS
* PUT AN END TO HONEYMOON PHASE.
* BRING YOUNG VOTERS BACK
* BITCOIN COMMUNITY AND SIMILAR
*VOTE FOR YOUR STOMACH IS GOOD P
* WHERE IS TIM VIVEK DESANTIS NIKKI
* MORE YOU EXPOSE MORE THE POLLS
* ALWAYS REMIND TOP 3 PRIORITY
* MORE AD PENETRATION IN SOCIAL M
* ENERGISE BASE AGAIN.
* 80 DAYS PERSUADE 80 PPL STRATEGY!
🤠Texans for Trump🤠
Gonna tell all my homies in Texas to vote blue!! 💙💙
Trump 2024
@hellraiser420 Harris 2024
@@AveryJDouglasmoron.
Trump 2024@@AveryJDouglas
Trump 2024🎉🎉❤❤
Don’t get complacent! Vote Trump like your life depends on it.
Holy shit, keep up the theatrics EP!!! It made it more fun
Can someone help me understand what this was? I’m so confused
@@daxzim9874pretty much if the election was held tonight this is what the polling data says it would be. Nothing more nothing less.
@@daxzim9874he’s talking about the music and the graphics.
@@daxzim9874 essentially, news media outlets have their own theatrical visuals, audio, and effects. You see it all the time, it's like you're watching a sports game the way they ham it up. Personally, I think EP replicated it perfectly.
@@daxzim9874Look up the word *pojection*. This will take some effort on your part.
This presentation is simply amazing 👏🏾 great job 🎉
#Trump_2024 ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
Aint no way harris is winning in North Carolina just aint no way
It’s possible
🙏🇺🇸 Lord! PLEASE let this come true!!! Save our country!
Too close for my blood pressure, but I will take it! TRUMP 2024 🇺🇸 hope your correct my friend! Unfortunately if it comes in to mail in votes, GOP is screwed!
A lot more security in place for any shenanigans to happen. I believe PRESIDENT TRUMP is ahead by alot more but let’s not get ahead of ourselves and get to confident, the MSM is working overtime to spread the fake news that camel toe is close or ahead. PRESIDENT TRUMP WILL WIN THIS, WE NEED TO GET OUT AND VOTE!!!!!
LOVE TRUMP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
LOVE HARRIS
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Yessssssssss.for the win Trummmmmpppppp❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤😂
Gen Z Hispanics for Trump! ✅🇲🇽🇺🇸❤️💪🏼🫡 not for Klownmala 👎🏼🤡❌
Trump 2024
Georgia for Trump 2024
Great video man. I hope you’re right again! 🇺🇸
Can I just say a big thanks for taking the time to put this together. At times I was getting excited as if it really was election night, fantastic video! 👏🏻
@GeorgeMcCauley yeah i want you to do a full 2024 election night video of president, senate, house and governor contests please!!! please make it now i can't wait for tomorrow.
I was biting my nails like I will be on election night!
ruclips.net/user/postUgkx9tbkxk1-XfoWQRNVE3CDk918q2xmSuSE?si=SvEt1uSd0acsZBfG please Answer this poll
Trump looking at a thrashing based on actual current polling. This commentary is just ignoring real polling such as the 4 point lead Harris has in Pennsylvania.
I was getting anxious 😬 . I was like omg we lost . I had to remember we didn’t have a debate.
Amazing production. That’s all I have to say.
I hope you are right! I can't wait till this is over!!! Trump and Vance 2024 🇱🇷🇱🇷
Trump! ❤
Ryan, thanks for your predictions and content. Love watching this!
your ass will be on fire after real results come in .
You forgot to show the dump trucks coming in at 2:30 AM with all of Harris' votes.
😢
I hope that doesn’t happen cause if it does we are headed towards a civil war
Too big to rig!
@texasrangersfan1220 Huh... I had no idea electoral maps displayed that information.
holy shit are you guys still running with that unproven conspiracy? Get new material
I pray this will be the outcome. Jesus take the wheel.
Another great video 👍👍👍
I honestly think Trump is going to win Pennsylvania and Michigan bringing him above 300. Trump 2024 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Our Governor in VA just signed an executive order for all paper ballots and only machine is for counting and no connection to internet. He is also having the voters roll cleaned up and removing all non citizens and anyone who no longer lives here.
@@kimw4314VA has a great Republican governor. Let's hope so.
❤ Trump, hope he does better than this.
It is sad it is this close. What’s wrong with people! Trump/Vance 2024!
Brain dead people!
Dems vote blue no matter who.
Right that primitives vote red.. Others vote BLUE.
Agree💯🙏🏻
Cult like behavior lmao
NORMAL PEOPLE FOR TRUMP 2024 !
@@jacobewhite-jw Weirdos for trump!
#jacobewhite_jw :: *ANTI-AMERICAN DEMOCRACY HATING PEOPLE FOR TRAMP !*
@@Plantlover344 average Harris fan lol
@@Plantlover344you mean weirdos for Harris because are you aware Democrats support lots of weird shit?
Normal People Who Want to Abolish the Constitution for Trump.
I love trump from saudi arabia hope the american dream comes back again ❤️🇺🇸
Trump 2024 ❤
I love videos like these #trumpvance24 Fight Fight Fight get OUT and vote let your voices be heard we need to save America 🇺🇸 Trump 47 make America great once again ❤❤❤ my boyfriend and I watch your videos and love them. #maga4life #catlady #votered ❤❤❤❤ you make great projections please do one after the 1st debate between Trump and Harris 😊
100 percent winner Donald Trump, Mark My Words
Let's go TRUMP!!! Get out and vote people! Doesn't matter what the polls say. Get out and vote. TRUMP 2024
My family and I will be voting for Kamala 😌 and my coworkers will be voting for Kamala too 🙃 vote vote vote for sure 💃🏽🤸🏽♂️
@@jermainebrown3738 you're all clueless. If she wins send me the extra money that i'm gonna have to spend on gas and groceries.
@@logicbewithyou111you do realize that Trump is going to reduce taxes ONLY for the rich by $5 trillion? This will cause inflation to SKYROCKET, more than you’ve ever seen even under Biden
@@logicbewithyou111 trump cut the corporate tax from 35 to 21% leading and we’re in the middle of multiple global conflicts that stem from previous campaigns you have to be brain dead if you think one person affects the gas prices opec deals with gas prices heavily and the economy is statistically higher than it was before www.eia.gov/tools/glossary/index.php?id=O#opec. Trumpers are the most uninformed halfwitted dunces I’ve ever met in my life
@jermainebrown3738 then clearly u ppl shouldn’t be allowed to vote😂😂😂
Harris 2024-2030💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉💙💙💙💙💙
Woohoo Trump 2024❤❤❤
What a well produced video. Great job!
Yes trump the man
Trump 2025 lets goo 🔥🔥🔥👌🏻
MAGA
I agree 98%. I think in the end Trump will flip MI
I totally agree with you make America great again vote for Trump, TRUMP 2024
Trump 2025❤
Please go out and vote! ❤
Yes, vote vote vote for HARRIS & WALZ!🎉🎉🎉
@@sinanharmanci1057 Why?
@@cesarescobar5930 because Trump is a criminal. I dont wanna see world leader with a criminal background. A leader of a country should be a role modal to whom my kids can look up and admire.
No votes for Kamala !
Goodluck to USA if this happened. I hope you guys vote blue, don't elect a dictator. You wouldn't like it, I'm living in one
One simple question and every single person who is reading needs to think about, what Kamala did for America and american people in 4 years as vice president, and show me the numbers, you just need to think about it
What did Trump do that was so amazing?
@@seagraveriderhow about we start with: no new wars. I appreciate a president that helps keep the world safe from war. Had inflation at 1% which is the perfect number. You don’t want it any higher and you don’t want it at 0 cause that risks deflation which is just as bad. You won’t hear this in the news cause Trumps I guess racist, but he signed a bill that gives black colleges around the country $250 million dollars a year.
@@seagraveriderSteal, rape and calling names.
She did nothing.. she didn’t even put in work for the job.. they bared anyone to run against them and didn’t have no kind of debate with other qualified candidates
@@seagraveridercause millions of deaths by mismanaging covid
LOVE the presentation
WE NEED TO VOTE , TRUP 2024 !!!!! PEOPLE VOTE , WE CAN NOT TAKE ANOTHER 4 DISASTER YEARS . STOP THINKING WITH EMOTIONS AND START MAKING DECISIONS THAT WILL AFFECT YOU AND YOUR FAMILY AND THE REST OF THE WORLD. ITS NOT TIME TO BE SOFT OR LEFTY AND LOVELY . ITS TIME TO TAKE ACTION FOR OVERY ONES BEST.... TRUMP 2024
Trump2024
Trump 2024 no other way.
KAMALA HARRIS , CONTINUE TO OPEN THE BORDER !!! IF SHE WIN. !!!
TRUMP !!!!!!
Real Americans are not going to allow Trump to be president again
WONDERFUL CHANNEL - GREAT VIDEO --- MAGA ! VOTE | TRUMP 2024
Trump 2024!!! LETS GOOOOO!
Pennsylvania for trump ❤
Register your friends and family to vote TRUMP 2024. Turnout is what wins the election