*UPDATE 9th shot* It has now been confirmed that the 9th shot was by a local swat team member which hit Crooks rifle and disabled it. It is also officially confirmed that the 10th shot was by the south Secret Service team and killed Crooks entering his mouth left. The local swat team member was rightly called a badass because he aimed while in the line of fire. His position was in the general area shown in this video but a little closer to Crooks. Here is the preliminary investigative report by congressman Clay Higgins clayhiggins.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Preliminary-Investigative-Report-8.12.24.pdf And see the swat member on video here ruclips.net/video/2TOR17hXMZk/видео.htmlsi=iIEjilsj-lgDRboA
@@Mike-Bell what makes him a “badass”. You show the video of Crooks popping up high off the deck after the local sniper shot his rifle. Then there is a ten second delay before the Secret Service shooter takes his shot. What happened to the local guy? He missed. Hitting the rifle is a miss. Why was there no follow-on shots? There may be a good explanation. We don’t know but he also may have run away or took cover after sending the one shot.
Good points. Badass was at ground level between Target Trump was tall on a stage, and Crooks feet back from the roof’s ridge. And hits the rifle stock? One in a million shot alright - went up, then down once over the ridge. Is it acoustically possible #9 came from a roof behind Crooks?
Trump himself has said the TC Kill Shot came from "across the field" approx 420 yards from TC ; ruling out H1 Red Barn Team (why didnt they take a SHOT !!)?
@@downunder4569 it is acoustically impossible that shot #9 came from behind Crooks. Fairly rudimentary analysis of podium audio versus audio from cellphones near Crooks shows it came from in front. For a pretty watertight acoustic analysis check out Greg Nichols' channel (no, not Beaver ESU Greg Nicol, different guy). Also, Grey Hughes Investigates has found Crooks visible above the roof peak from the ground level near Trump in one of the bodycams. That impossible shot wasn't impossible. Lots of people saying buttstock when the report just says stock. The "stock" is more than just the shoulder brace part. It's quite feasible this was hit.
Why is it a good thing the story is off the radar after 4 weeks??? The FBI is sharing little, while the inept Secret Service is covering up immense failures. This story needs to stay front and center.
It's because it's Trump and they don't want people to know the truth! If it was anyone else, it would be everywhere for a long while but Trump always gets a raw deal because he doesn't bow down and do as he's told
Butler swat responded immediately and disabled the shooter. However the usss Hercules 1 team at the far right performed a jack ruby shot 17 seconds late. They didn't want loose lips
It's kind of sad that civilians have to go through all this investigation themselves because the Secret service can't be honest with the public. That should tell you all you need to know about this.
It's Beaver County SWAT Team that has withheld all comms & video, while Greg Nicol & his wife Michele blame SS. Fault & blame can be laid on SS, but ultimately the responsibility was on Greg Nicol & Butler PD.
Dan Bongino is former Secret Service, the blame he says is on the Secret Service, not picking up radios, not have Snipers on that roof! They were told too 2 snipers left their post
No, SS has ultimate responsibility of the Presidents security. Period. They can only delegate tasks but must be secure in knowing their perimeter is solid. No expert needed to know this was an epic security failure. Former heads comment the roof was too steep caused her to lose all credibility. She’s gone then the new head comes in and said it was a failure to believe something like this could really happen? Insane comment by him. SS is to foresee ANY possible bad case scenario. They were so inept that a reasonable person couldn’t believe they were not complicit in that it was allowed to happen.
Psychology 101. Admit they made mistakes, and say we will change to a more open agency......and then they tell corporate media to not report anything else so we all forget...........and then they keep up their shenanigans and rule us indiscreetly forever and ever. Truth is they wanted Trump gone so they delayed their response on purpose. Good old Trump moved just in time.
I was 2300-miles from home when this happened in a quite secure location in the mountains. I have no doubt that if that bullet hit, I would have been driving home through a Civil War.
This was the very best video I have seen on this topic. I have watched 100s and you hit details that nobody else has thought to mention. Like the 20 rails on the roof, was an awesome touch. New subscriber
really!? the counting of the rails on the roof is a detail that impressed you!? 😀From the first day my anchor was the rain drains that gave me straight away reference where Crooks was first sighted on the roof which everybody got wrong, thinking he was on the right side. And it made it easy to know rapidly where he gave his shots off, 2 rails from the the second drain. But i agree, Bells analyze, though not perfect, free of flaws, is one of the best out there.
I agree, i've also watched far too many videos on this and hands down this is by far the best when it comes to a clear, concise, detailed and yet balanced analysis aggregating it all together without going off in tinfoil hat tangents but at the same time not shrugging off the tiny details or treating it as though SS/LEO did a fantastic job. I really like the animations, i've been waiting for someone to build a 3d model and run through the locations of things, trajectories etc. This is the first i've seen that covers the whole site and with such precision! Easily one of the higher quality videos for an intelligent audience!
@@knubeltier6519Right side from what view was wrong? Facing AGR he walked the entire right side. ruclips.net/video/euZXscg2mV0/видео.htmlsi=3dcxN5diLsU4OR9y
Incredible video! It’s amazing how much you were able to put together and how clear of a timeline you produced from what is ultimately fairly sparse evidence.
What is most remarkable is how the secret service seemed to go WAY out of their way to do everything POSSIBLE for this to happen. I can't believe that we just found out that they were supposed to pick up radios provided by the local police, they agreed to use the radios, and then the day off, they chose to NOT get the radios so that they would NOT be able to have communication that would have most likely avoided this. It defies all logic... unless...
@@kevinlue4756 They never showed up to the pre-event planning meeting they were supposed to attend. Perhaps it was mentioned in the initial meeting though. I hope you are not trying to insinuate that SS did NOT drop the ball.
@@kevinlue4756 There is a link to the report released, August 12, from the Congressional Task Force created to independently investigate the assassination attempt, provided by this video's creator. If you read it, you will find the information you are missing. Did the USSS never agee to use the ESU/911 comms? According to the ESU commander they did, or at least were aware of the plan to use them, and were supposed to pick up the radios by 11 am the morning of July 13. The report states that they did not.
@@Talon19 There is a video that clearly shows many police officers standing around directly below Hercules 1 and Hercules 2 snipers. The officer had called into the command center that someone was on the roof. That message went to all the officers and all they had to do was tell the Secret Service that was standing a couple feet away that someone was on the roof and get Trump off the stage. There are no excuses. Thank God the crowd had recorded everything that day.
@@JennaRight The counter sniper teams were a little occupied at the time with trying to find the suspect. Tunnel vision (literally) and channelized attention are the simple explanations.
I listened to this live and replayed it many times. I heard the 9-shot cluster and the delayed 10th. It was released early on Crooks fired 8 shots. We went a month to find out that shot 9 was a local sniper that hit his gun and likely hit him with fragments. This local sniper must have fired free-hand from the left side (looking at the stage). This is why you see people from the stands looking down to that area. The delayed 10th shot was the kill shot. Unreal we had to wait so long for confirmation of what we heard, a tenth shot! Great deep dive!
yep . 9th shot from the local swat member is what incapacitated him... they still waited 10 seconds to give him ample amount of time... they were obviously complacent and were on it... let me guess we wont ever get an interview from them lol
To think I subscribed to you because of a video about a neglected church steeple collapsing. Your level of forensic analysis using public information is something I haven't seen on youtube and I've been watching videos here for 18 years.
Great analysis, it brings in to sharp focus the most important question: The south sniper team watched for more than 30 seconds as Crooks crawled up the roof then once he started shooting they took a further 18 seconds before the final shot. Why the delay?
The Butler DA said it is not illegal to carry a rifle in Butler County and the Snipers would only return fire if a person became an active shooter. They have no authorization to eliminate an individual on suspicion. I know, that made them useless for this assignment. Secret Service Snipers have no such constraint, although they did behave in a similar manner. The strangest question is this: the Secret Service knew the Police were trying to locate a suspicious person - reason enough to shelter him. They knew this in ample time, even with the terrible lack of radio communications. So, Mr. Trump should have either, been prevented from taking, or removed from, the Stage. Why did that not happen?
@@bopoprocki1574 I have answered this same question a number of times in the last several weeks and was warned by the Gestapo at YT that my comments "violated" their "standards." They prefer fairy tales over facts.
Great job of analyzing the events unfolding based on true physics and engineering. Relative movement of microphones during #9&10 is tricky with people panicking. But your analysis still gives a good and solid understanding of what happened when. God bless that Crooks was not an ace...
Great video. How could more than a month go by and we still don't know who fired back at the would be assassin. That information should have been made public at a Secret Service briefing THE NEXT DAY after the shooting. We don't even know the name of the security planner yet. If you wanted to set up a security plan carefully designed to let an assassin have an easy shot at President Trump, tell me ONE thing you would have done different from what the SS site planner did. Perhaps place a cooler with soft drinks up on the roof in case Crooks was thirsty. Otherwise, the set up was PERFECT to have Trump taken out. No doubt they were expecting a couple of Iranians to show up at this event or perhaps one of the earlier ones (where they had NO counter snipers) or one of the subsequent ones. To the surprise of the SS, a smart 20 year old beat them to the punch. The actions of the SS were obviously carefully orchestrated to keep local law enforcement in the dark and unable to communicate with the Secret Service. There were more than a hundred (perhaps two hundred) trained professionals involved in this event, many of them ex military. It is literally impossible to believe that this hot, steaming, mess was the result of a mistake or two. It was arranged ON PURPOSE and the post events of the Secret Service, including the lies they told to Congress (and the information they refuse to release) only reinforces the obvious conclusion.
That's what happens when you bring in secretive agencies. That goes for all secret agencies, all three lettered 'unelected secret agencies should be brought out in the sunlight and exposed for what they are
You are taking a lot of copium, friend. Look at the documents Sen. Chuck Grassley released about the security plan. It was solid given the limited resources and personnel available to security.
Senator Higgins’ recent report reveals who shot back at shooter. The SS agent in charge was Tim Burke. It was local ESU who never sent a patrol to question Crooks or make him move his car for 90 minutes since first reporting him as suspicious at 4:26 PM. If they had, Crooks likely never would’ve gotten on that roof in the first place. Local LE was in charge of the AGR building and area according to their document dump. This is all public record.
@@Talon19 Nonsense. The Grassley Report was premature. The Secret Service Counter-Snipers were EXTRA personnel just for that event. Explain that. Why were they there at all? Who were they supposed to shoot? Plus, the FBI hosed off the roof, and sanitized the Crook's household less than 20 hours after the shooting. Then, they released Crook's body, which has been cremated. The Butler Coroner is furious. Proper Crime Scene procedure violations weren't just an extension of this event's SS foul ups, it was all deliberate. Are you that naïve?
Amazing recreation using multiple primary sources corroborating video and audio data, evidence, and analysis. Well done! Simulations like these are important to confirm or dismiss speculation and official reports.
Very persuasive, Mike! It will be interesting to see what we learn about bullets 9 and 10. I wonder…is it too early to do an initial wrap-up of what we know to date that uses the model and plots the locations of the video cams and shots with a synchronized timeline? I should be able to get a more clear mental image of the full sequence when the POV remains static on the overhead model.
My opinion on what happened... SS Sniper: Where's Crooks? SS: He's on the roof. SS Sniper: Is he in position? SS: Not yet. SS Sniper: I'm waiting to hear the first shot. SS: He's got Trump in his sights. SS Sniper: There's the first shot... Now the second, third, and a bunch more. SS: OK, now take the patsy out. SS Sniper: OK, got him in the mouth. SS: Nice work. SS Sniper: Oh shit, the patly missed!
I think it was slightly different. They waited 20 seconds precisely for that reason, that they knew that Trump was still OK. Unfortunately for them the local SWAT guy took the 9th shot and incapacitated Crooks, so he couldn't shoot anymore. After they'd realized that he can't shoot anymore they had nothing else to do but to take him down.
As as South African I just want to say I heard on Jeff Ostroffs Channel referring to you. I want to commend you on an exceptional analysis. Outstanding work!!
Thanks for the feedback. Can you tell me in which video JeffOstroff referenced me. He has made about 20 Trump shooting videos so will help if you can narrow it down 😄
6:08 cops in squad cars reported Crooks on the roof. 6:10 SS snipers turn towards the AGR building. 6:11 is when crooks took his first shots. Something weird about Greg Nicols is he is only seen exiting the key carded doors at 6:13, two minutes after the shots. We were told he went out to tell other cops about Crooks. Maybe he went out another door on the opposite side? Idk but some questions need to be asked because the dash cam video clearly shows him exit after the shootings.
No he went back in. When he saw Crooks with a backpack, running this time. He tried to follow him through the building and catch him outside. But he was gone when he reached the door. He then told local ground troops to look for him in direction of travel. Because this wasn't sure they look in multiple locations for him. One is the cop with the body cam that shows him on the roof. On the radio you hear 'Is he the dude running?' or 'See the dude running?'. Greg went back in aand was in the building. Just like the Butler sniper.
@@ibendiben you saw that on cam footage?? I think Nicols is one of the 2 counter-snipers assigned by Butler. He spoke on National tv as one. So why do you think he left his counter-sniper position as opposed to using the standard communication process? Aren't the "on the ground troops" also Butler le?
@@justjosie8963 this he would have if a good comm system was in place. But the radios were siloed, meaning different uniform groups gad a separate freq and could only talk to the command center to get messages to one another. Therefore they used app groups and sms to communicate. But cell reception was bad due to many people overloading the area. Another problem was the shooter was outside of the perimeter and most skilled uniforms were inside. So the command center resorted to call for backup from the cops on traffic duty around the area. This was a slow process. Greg didn't understand why no-one seemed to follow up on his messages to have a uniform check suspect out and no-one could find him, when he finally saw the suspect again he decided to go after him himself to not lose him again. But by tge time he reached the door Crooks either hid himself good or already was on the roof, where the first minutes no-one could see him. Enough time for the cops to spread out again.
@@ibendiben- Both snipers left their posts and were missing for approximately 6 minutes, during the time Crooks was shooting. They left their weapons unsecured as well. It was said, the one sniper went out (after knowing for an hour Crooks was in the area) to look for Crooks, leaving by West door. Then 2nd sniper left his post and unsecured weapon supposedly to let the first one back into the building because he forgot his key card. If either one had stayed at their posts, they would have been able to pull their tripods and weapons aside and look out the window and see Crooks on the roof. But neither appeared on any camera released so far, until the shootings were over.
I'm impressed by this video, so much detail and important facts, sound details, video's with time frames, shooting sound frames, one of the best video's untill now, great job mr. Bell
That was the sniper to Trump’s right, whose line of sight was blocked by the tree. The other sniper, to Trump’s left, must have seen the muzzle flashes. Is there a video of him at that moment?
I heard that the ninth shot hit and broke his rifle, which made him turn to the side and the secret service sniper was able yto take him put. The shot that disabled his rifle came from an ESU officer.
@Talon19 come on, man. So the Secret Service 1) created a security perimeter, putting the stage in the far back corner next to a building eye level to the stage open to the public. 2) left the roof unguarded because it was sloped. 3) assigned counter snipers for the first time ever to a Trump rally and placed them on a sloped roof in position to eliminate a shooter. 4) purposely leave comms with local police guarding unprotected roof next to stage 5) moved into position 1st ever snipers at Trump rally, who have no comms or knowledge of person on roof, 80 seconds before the shot rang out to eliminate witness 6) FBI clears all evidence before any outside investigation can take place. And that's just a sampling. Logic would tell you that is not random failure and incompetence. They need to prove it was. Especially since the entire establishment on all sides is clearly and publicly holding nothing back to destroy Trump in any way possible...
@@leelariviere555 Show me you’ve never worked with government security without saying so. You obviously haven’t bothered to look at the security plans and AAR. 1 - that’s where trump wanted it for the biggest crowds and most visibility 2 - SS never had the responsibility, resources, personnel, or time to put people everywhere, especially where others were specifically tasked to cover. The “sloped roof” is just bureaucrats not knowing any better because they weren’t briefed on all details because they weren’t involved. 3 - Elevated security due to elevated risk. The two buildings picked gave the most visibility of the biggest area. Areas which weren’t covered by those too teams were covered by others. 4 - unprotected roof between two sniper teams at the heart of the event? You’ve bloody lost it mate. 5 - there was no “shot to eliminate witnesses”. This is probably one of the most witnessed, recorded, and scrutinized events since 9-11. Not the first ever snipers at a trump rally, stop listening to social media. SS teams did have comms. Where are you getting your info?? Southern counter sniper team turned moments before shots rang out. 6 - You obviously have zero knowledge of how FBI HMRU works. Of course they are removing evidence so others can check it. There is such a thing as cameras. The FBI has teams specifically trained to decontaminate areas from CBRN risks; the one in Pittsburgh was the one to respond. There was no gross incompetence beyond not putting bulletproof glass around the podium. Each individual acted reasonably and as to be expected given the information and resources they had at the time. Cool off, you are obviously too emotionally triggered to be thinking clearly. Turn off the electronics, get a hug, rest for the night, then watch all the analysis in my “13 Jul assassination attempt” playlist. Good luck and God bless America.
The really big question that has to be asked and answered is why, when one officer on the ground, who ran forward to the line of fire of the shooter when he first began firing within just 9 seconds managed to get a shot that apparently hit Crooks' rifle, disabling it, did it take TWO SS officers who were at a significantly higher elevation than the officer and who had had a clear line of sight to Crooks' rooftop position and who had been scoping out the rooftop area for a good 100 seconds before they fired, why did they allow Crooks to get off 8 rounds in 2 separate bursts? And if Crooks did aim at Trump's head for the first 3 shots I can only assume he moved his aim and therefore probably took up a higher body position, to aim at the clump of bodyguards covering Trump's body. That being the case is your depiction of 3 shells from Crooks' gun falling over the top of the parapet to the far side of the roof while showing 5 cases on Crooks' side really representative of the actual locations? Surely the first 3 were fired while he was 'lower', or from farther back, than when he fired the next 5? Can anyone familiar with the AR 15 confirm which direction casings land when they are ejected? (Forward, Backward, Sideways, away from the shooter). Be interesting to see the Task Force observational evidence on this.
yes, and at a cetrain moment the building was surounded by cops with drawn weapons, people were shouting, but trump was still speaking on the stage, unbelieveble
Evidence thus far: 6:10 PM SS alerted of “locals working an issue at 3 o’clock.” No gun (threat) reported. 6:11 PM shots fired. Butler LE quote, “officials in the local command center were not able to pass on the message about an armed man (threat) to SS command post. There was not enough time.”
@@kellydoyle I’m inclined to think those quotes are made up because “3 o’clock” is meaningless over radio when people are in unknown geographically separate places.
Fantastic video and finally someone who actually understand how sound works! As a sound engineer for over 15 years this is the best explaination I have seen. The inclusion of distance and accuracy is near perfect imho.
ESU shooter is in the hercules video. You can see him take the isoceles stance. Stewart has video of him before the shot (Tallest and fattest Butler ESU).
I feel like the way this could have been prevented would be if the cop had fired his gun into the ground a few times. The Secret Service would have reacted instantly and moved to protect Trump and the chances of hitting him would have been greatly reduced. It's possible the cop would have gotten in trouble, but I'm sure he would have been exonerated as soon as the shooter was discovered. Putting myself in that situation, though, I have to wonder what the cop was thinking. He might have been considering if he saw a gun or if he was mistaken and didn't want to do anything rash until he was certain.
@@douglasmorales3197 I thought the "turned his head at the right moment" thing was hyperbole, but seeing the bullet trajectory I see that it really was that close.
I AGREE THE COPS ON THE GROUND DID NOT THINK TO FIRE SOME ROUNDS LIKE THE GUY THAT SAID HE POINTED THE GUN AT ME SO I SCRAMPLED DOWN LIKE THE COWARD I AM AND DID NOTHING ABOUT IT LIKE FIRING A FEW SHOTS INTO THE GROUND OR AIR .
Why didn't you do the simulation of what the south sniper saw? We know that he turned toward Crooks a significant amount of time before the shooting, perhaps he even saw Crooks running on the roof, perhaps he saw everything that happened. It is baffling that he would even let crooks get off a single shot, not to mention waiting 10 seconds AFTER Crooks was done shooting and had diverted his attention to the crowd.
The fact that I just learned more from a RUclipsr than I have learned from the government, responsible for allowing such tragedy is almost as disgusting as the fact that any of this happened in the first place. Thank you sir keep up the good work.
6:14- “For unexplained reasons they left their post”. What else do we need to say to fuel conspiracy theorists? Thank you once again Mike. Your work is invaluable
Not only that, but the fact that this never would have been possible if even a single man was stationed on that roof yet nobody was. It is so unbelievably stupid that it is bound to fuel fallacious reasoning.
@@kellydoyle Lying implies purposefully not telling the whole truth. I doubt that is the case for any of the local law enforcement officers. There was reason given for why one counter sniper left the room; people just don’t like the reason.
Interesting to note that shot number nine was the only shot fired from ground level so the soundwaves would have bounced around a little more than the other shots. Could explain those slight anomalies with shot nine. Great detailed analysis sir.
The most important question that needs real noise behind it is why the USSS didn't get DJT secured the second they knew someone had a gun...regardless of where he was, and because that's their ONE main job. If it's 16 seconds, they took 15 seconds too long not calling for a crash on that stage. I also would like to know who the woman on the lawn next to one of the first videos released was yelling "Crooks! What are you doing Crooks?!?"
Secret Service didn’t use the local cop radios provided to them so they were deaf to all the chatter that someone was on the roof with a gun. Epic fail
the buffer tube was damaged by shot #9. Crooks was processing this and messing with his rifle for 10 seconds until a Beaver County sniper on the ground--located between the bleachers and SS sniper team Hercules 1 atop the north barn--got off the #10 hail Mary shot that got Crooks
I lean away from Hanlon's and Occam's razor on the current political stuff. Recent events in my country justifies that lean - it ain't just regular life, crap happens, simple kind of stuff going on lately!
@@olibertosoto5470 if the secret service really wanted to assassinate Trump it would have been far easier - there are many moments in private where an assassin could have got him if the security looked the other way. Cockup over conspiracy in this case.
Because the C*A and other higher ups want him gone because he doesn't go by what they want. They control the media (sneakily) which is also why we never hear about all that oddities on the Vegas shooting.
Although I've already seen the local swat video shown elsewhere (shot 9), just now seeing your clip here and the way you have put together the various data is remarkably well done. New subsrriber.
Very nice. From the start I said a full analysis over time will determine ... Comm failure among different police forces, poor plan, too few human assets, and too light on the tech side. I am not as hard on the police response as you seem to be ... they were stuck with bad defensive position thus responding from a weak position ( plan failed to cover the AGR complex roofs or prevent access ). Your work is very, very nice. Thx.
@@Talon19Butler document dump communications list (ICS 205A) shows 34 local tactical LEO’s: Butler ESU, Beaver ESU, Washington SWAT = 34 total, 17 teams. So it’s looking more like a local assets allocation error than lack of manpower.
@@kellydoyle Most of those were on standby counter-assault teams or the QRF. Defeats the purpose of a central-formed special purpose group to scatter them around such a wide area.
Outstanding analysis, the best I've seen yet!! I hope the Congressional investigation uses your evaluation as a basis. If the south team had Crooks in it's sights for 5+ seconds, and saw the rifle, why didn't they take the shot! "Rules of Engagement"??
Interesting info! Trump said that the sniper that eliminated Crooks was 4 football fields away. When Butler and Beaver law enforcement was on the roof with the deceased gunman they asked two different officers who shot Crooks. Both officers pointed across the field to where the Washington County sniper was positioned which was 4 football fields away.
I think you are close but not correct on the final part of the timeline. If Crooks had been in his final shimmying stage on the roof he would have not noticed the officer. If on the other hand he was a bit over the very bottom edge of the roof with his backpack on his left side while assembling his rifle he would very easily have spotted the officer. It would also look to the officer as if he was being pointed at even if weapon was not fully assembled. Reason for suspecting the weapon was not assembled yet is the long time between observation and shots fired. Thanks to combined and synchronized video we can be sure it took 36 seconds from the observation to first shot. We also know the time crooks must have spent on the final roof to be almost 2 minutes.
Excellent analysis of all this. Super powerful presentation!! I wonder why the officer that got boosted up and saw Crooks did not use his radio when he came down, instead of running out into the field trying to locate Crooks again?? You can hear his radio when on his body cam as he was running around..
He did both. You can actually hear some of what he said through the windshield of his car as it got picked up by his dashcam video. The WaPo got the encrypted radio transcripts. Over 7 hours of them. Too bad they haven't released them. According to their article in WaPo, what the boosted officer said was "He's armed" "I saw him, he's laying down" "He's got a long gun". This was after another officer, maybe the one who boosted him had said "We got him" "We don't have him in custody yet, but he's right straight up in front of me by the pine tree standing upwards. He had a backpack" and then "Lost sight of him". Check out the WaPo article.
So the hercules team had him in sights for 30 seconds, watched him crawl up, pull out a gun.. take aim.. fire 3 shots, pause, then 5 more.. then waited 10 more seconds to take a shot? Based on this angle even if the shooter ducked after shot 9, they could still see him being above his position and see down the slope. What took so long?
New information reveals because local cops radios weren’t compatible with Secret Service ones, radios from local counties were left for Secret Service as arranged beforehand but they never used them and never picked up the chatter about someone running along the roof. One half being entirely unaware of what the other half was seeing and doing.
Their plan was to wait so Trump would be dead, then take the shot and say ooops, sorry we were a tad late. Then the C*A would high five each other so Trump can't run for president again and get in their way of their shenanigans. Trump moved his head so now they're in panic mode trying to figure out how to fool us in that it was just their incompetence which enabled Crooks to shoot so many shots.
Excellent breakdown 👍🏼 Unfortunately it's going to take Trump's ear's exact position, elevation and orientation trajectories for many to let go of the 2 man idea. One guy is getting gps info on all possible positions, hope he can get those to engineers like you to clear up this mess.
@@jamesbond4633 If it was non functional, they could have captured him alive and interrogated him, but everyone seemed afraid of the sloped roof. The overwatch sniper went down to underwatch. The grounds should have been sprawling with officers when the sniper sent the photos of suspicious guy.
@@sueann1985 Yes I agree with the interrogation part. But then again taking Crooks out ...was it part of the plan? Clean up all the loose ends whether he was successful or not. I think the more we can find out about Crooks and his contacts and connections and his "operations" the closer we will come to the truth. He joined the Republican party so he could vote in the primaries against Trump. So now we know he was more politically motivated than what we have been told thus far. That is what the FBI and Secret Service are running cover on so far. Higgins is doing a great job and he is going to be looking into Crook's background much more. Stay tuned!!!!
Seriously I do not need special sound equipment to hear the first three shots and then the next five shots that were fired do not sound the same at all. So why would you speculate that from the same gun I say that's bogus now what makes much more sense to me is what Mike Adams has set up in a slow motion video on Brighton the name of the video is another shooter and when you see the guy that's on the ground in front of the building videotaping and then the three shots rang out, and then Mike slows it down to where you can hear the percussions of those five other shots and every shot you can see a flash in the window that is not a happenstance that's actual proof of the other rifle shooting now go debunk it ! I say this is proof of another shooter in the main reason why I'm so skeptical is because we do not have the bullets or the ballistics from those bullets will be conclusive evidence. And why don't we have them? I say they're pulling a fast one
There's been an update......that 9th shot, actually came from a Butler Swat Officer, from ground level, that actually struck Crooks & his Rifle. That shot apparently disabled his rifle, as there were no further shots from Crooks, despite a likely 30rd magazine. That would also explain how there were no more shots taken, until that 10th shot, when Crooks was trying to reset himself, and was taken out by the SS Sniper team
This is great work, but I think you give too much credit when you say it was merely a failure. If the southern sniper team knew to turn north, Trump should have been taken off the stage then. In addition to that, the official after-action report about one or more snipers going downstairs for some reason is false -- we now know that from the AGR 6 door dashcam video that Nicol emerged almost two minutes after the shots were fired, with nobody else doing anything at that door for minutes before.
@tomr6955 Why did the sniper team abandon their southern watch and turn north if they didn't think they might have to neutralize a threat to the north?
@@pbrninja19 Both SS counter sniper teams were looking for the suspect. They may not have known the suspect was armed until the shooting started. The northern counter sniper team visibly flinches when the first shot rings out.
did you create this computer model? I have a question concerning the 2 story building connected directly to the right of the snipers nest; there were sniper officers in the building who are unaccounted for, apparently they walked outside a full 3 minutes oblivious to what was going on. Officer Greg. Can you tell me if his window would have a clear vantage point to the sniper using your simulation? and also would it have been possible for him to take a show from his window angle? Or for just speculation, is there any bullet trajectory that could have even come from HIS window? I find it extremely difficult this kid was able to throw this whole plan together and thwart the most elite security team on earth without help. Am i supposed to believe they are the most bumbling people every to be hired and allowed him to slip through every single point of failure to nearly 99% accomplish his goal??
Audio from shots 9 and 10 reach the podium mics before they reach any of the cellphone mics near Crooks. Neither shot can have come from behind him. Be aware that you are falling foul of the "argument from incredulity" logical fallacy. Because something seems improbable, unlikely, unbelievably lucky or coincidental is not actually any kind of proof that it couldn't have happened.
@@MattNolanCustom I am not suggesting the shots came from behind him, but from just to his right on the 2 story building of the same complex, the one with the snipers that were mysteriously missing and bumbling around
@@scottturner-zm1vusmart and wise are not always the same thing and you can be smart and mentally ill at the same time. We don't know if he was suicidal and wanting to leave his mark on history or utterly deluded that he was invincible. Since when did a level headed person attempt an assassination or mass shooting like this?
Have you seen the Greg Nichols video where he estimates the positions of shots 9 and 10 from various microphones and their positions? Would be curious if you think his methodology is flawed or what
Link - ruclips.net/video/5vrjERSAfhk/видео.html - I would say that Greg Nichols' analysis is better as it automatically accounts for the relative distances between all the audio recorders. I think Mike has made a mistake here aligning every audio so that the Crooks shots are in sync. In absolute time those sounds arrive at the different mics at different times. This then makes the triangulation / trilateration of shots #9 and #10 less accurate. GN promises in the comments to post an update soon with even more accuracy as he had some of the cellphone positions a little off.
@@MattNolanCustom Thanks for posting the link for me. I think a weakness of Greg's video is that he used a smaller quantity of sources which may obfuscate the variance/inaccuracy of his chosen data points, but I agree that lining up the first three/eight shots is a mistake in Mike's video. That being said, I think that if Greg's video is correct, that shots and 9 and 10 were from the same location, we should have seen in Mike's video that those shooters were positioned in the same spot, though with the aforementioned methodological error I expected Mike to pick a location that differs from Greg's. IE the microphones should pick up the sound signatures with similar timings between shots 9 and 10 if they originated from the same position.
@@thatcherfreeman Greg has said in the comments that he had some locations off and didn't account for the movement of one the cellphones. I await his version 2 update! Doing a very basic analysis myself in an audio/video editor, I get that both shots 9 and 10 come from in front of Crooks (some people are still trying to claim he was shot from behind) and that shot 10 seems to come from further away than shot 9.
5:30 possible it came from the second floor of the AGR. Greg or his partner could’ve made that shot. Greg went down to the exit on the other side, as seen on the dashcam video. He walks out casually, as if he knows it’s all over. Greg has no radio on him, so how did he knew within 1,5 minutes after the last shot and walking inside the building? 1 hour later 2 officers carrying a black long riffle out of the same building, and it looks like the shot is made with that riffle. It looks like evidence. Also remarkable why 1 officer carries it outside, and the other one takes it away, out of view.
The sound from shots 9 and 10 both arrived at the podium mic before arriving at camera mics near Crooks, so neither shot could have come from behind him. They both came from in front of him.
The object brought out by one officer, laid up against the railings and taken by another officer is not a long gun. It is a Halligan bar. You can see the narrowly forked end. You will see it much more clearly a little later in the full video when the guy who took it walks right to left past the motorcycle
@@MattNolanCustom thanks I'll try to see if I can find that video again. Does a halligan bar have a strap on it? I also though I saw a triangular shape that appeared to be the gun stock of a rifle. Why the sneaky behavior? Looked like someone buying a dime bag. PS: If it was a halligan bar, could that have been used to pry open one of the vents in the attic of Bldg. 6 to allow another shooter to fire through that?
@@captainwho1 ruclips.net/video/6pq8AU43HOc/видео.htmlsi=a4-6Td-f9AelBPmW&t=3473 they are commonly mounted on a strap along with a sledge-hammer or an axe and used by fire-fighters. Sneaky behaviour could be entirely in the eye of the beholder.
Possibly the best audio analysis I've seen. One thing disturbs me though, namely: When doing the triangulation, how did you synchronise the tracks? I've suggested that the 10th shot be used as the location of the shooter is one that I think no one has doubted and is very precisely known. Obviously, adjustments must be made for the distances from the shooter to each of the mikes.
Good point. When the audios were sync'd using shot 10 it was pretty much the same result. With small insignificant variances which I explain thru atmospheric variable, wind, obstructions etc. I settled on syncing the audio tracks accross shot 1 to 8 because that provides the best average. And yes the audio of 1 to 8 align accross all tracks.
That was a crazy move. Are we sure it happened after shot 9? Before this, I had only heard analyst's say that shot 9 made him retreat back down the roof a bit and made shot 10 from S barn more difficult.
Want to go really crazy??? Which SS team took out the shooter? I was at Walmart on Sunday at the Sports Dept Cashier's counter; and chatted with a guy who was retired and had trained Navy Seals for 33 years. How incredible. He trained some Seals who became Presidential Secret Service Agents. So I asked him who the shooter was, and he said SS Team 2. To that I replied that Bongino said there was a third SS Platform that made the shot off to the left of the President which is clearly visible in videos when Trump is shot. He mentioned that he respected Bongino a lot; and that he had been a Seal. After that, he was a Presidential SS Agent for three Presidents. It was a 348-yard shot. He didn't say that he trained Bongino. I said that it would be nice if the shooter came forward. To which he replied that wouldn't happen. It was too dangerous for that individual to be identified. End of story. I lived next door to Emory Roberts in Wheaton who was in charge of the detail at Dealey Plaza The conspiracy stuff going on here rivals the JFK Conspiracy stories that are still going on. Dealey Plaza - The End of Camelot.
@@HRM.H My biggest reaction; we know that the cops had rock-solid evidence that there was an assassin on the roof with a gun and a clear view of Trump at *least* 30s before the first shot was fired, because the officer climbed up and saw him at close range with the gun. Forget about seeing/shooting him, why was Trump still talking on the lectern 30s after they know there's a shooter! Not a suspect, or a potential shooter, but a guy with a gun lining up a shot, with people in the crowd yelling about it, and they only tackle him off the stage when Crooks starts firing? Definitely a communications breakdown, of MASSIVE proportions.
@@theflyingfish66 with a large event like this where are so many officers and so many different organisations involved you can't have everyone on the same radio channel. Everyone would talk over everyone else and communication would be terrible. So they have to silo the radio comms into smaller groups and then have a control room where messages are relayed between the groups. It seems that the failure has been there. One report stated that were two separate control rooms. This adds yet another layer of hierarchy and suggests no one central control. My guess is that information was not relayed quickly enough, or was thought to have been relayed when it actually wasn't. They need a better system and protocol.
There is still one thing yet to explain. The Ross video shows Crooks and the AK15 exactly when the first shot is fired. This shows no recoil or shell ejection from the gun suggesting that Crooks did not fire the first shot. Can you please take a close look at this?
I looked at that very closely and frame by frame. The camera moved away literally just before he fired so it doesn’t capture him firing. Besides its v grainy. And also the AR15 has a small calibre with little recoil. That partly why it is so popular.
@@Mike-Bell goto 7;16 of jeffostroff's video here: ruclips.net/video/FjAR03hS_H0/видео.html Then set the video speed to 0.5 and press play. The first shot happens at 7;18. Then shortly later the view of Crooks is blocked by another witness. But you can see Crooks clearly when shot-1 goes off. This footage shows the rifle butt resting against Crook's right shoulder and his chin pressing against the rifle buttstock. When the first shot is heard, there is no gun recoil, shell ejection or any movement from Crooks whatsoever, as expected. E.g: ruclips.net/video/9PzTY8vcp24/видео.html
Hi Mike, thanks for the great content. I've been watching Jeff Ostroff as well, also very informative. Maybe a collab is in order. I am still very perplexed by the sniper team on the roof closest to Crooks. These guys had him in their sights at least 10-13 secs before shot 1 was fired (if one analyses the video material)...ample time for one of the two to at least fire a shot in the shooters direction, thus a) allerting all parties b) distracting Crooks c) possibly saving a life. HOWEVER. I've been studying the actions of the sniper closest to the camera, seemingly taking aim in the direction of Crooks........I just cant help but wonder if he was not responsible for shot 1. Having looked at this closely many times, it would seem as if this sniper is taking a shot. This may not concur with the sound study you've conducted, but theres just something about his movement that suggests this. The sound byte for shot 1 also seems to align with his movement. So if this were to be true (in theory): Shot 1 fired by the first sniper, shot 2 by the sniper stationed beside him in a more covert position (having looked at his actions too)...by this time Crooks is distracted but managed to fire shot 3 in the process. Trump gets nicked by shot 3, crowd member is injured by the same bullet. So this is where it gets vague...the 5 rapid shots fired by the distracted Crooks spitefully towards the crowd. One member of the crowd is killed, the other injured. Final shot from the second sniper team kills Crooks who had in the meantime changed position to face another section of the crowd. Now we have 6 casings instead of 8....perhaps the additional 2 were planted, in order to "cover up" the so-called delay in apprehending Crooks prior to any shots being fired, bolstering the USSS statement "we were not informed". Parallel to this, snipers 1 & 2 fired shots 1 & 2 as insurance, in the event that Trump got killed, in order to prove that they were "trying" to protect Trump (assuming that he would be killed). The plan failed, but a number of minutes passes between the conclusion of the shooting and the arrival of officials on the roof...ample time to assess what had transpired and thus plant the 2 additional casings. If anything, what do you think.
The difficulty in locating shot 9 may be down to how you have aligned the audio. I would suggest time-aligning things using the muzzle reports from Crooks at the various mics based on their distance from him and the speed of sound. So, for example, you shouldn't line it up so that Crooks' shots are at the podium mic at the same time they are at Dayve Stewart, they should get there later. That will make your relative time of arrivals for shots 9 and 10 more accurate / absolute.
Imagine how horrible he must feel to commit the rest of your life and everything in it, to a single relatively simple task and STILL fail miserably? Kids today are so incredibly lazy
Exceptionally well done, research, and animated graphics. As far as I’ve seen and heard already, it all adds up. Except, why were the officers not at the second story windows, where they could have seen the gunman earlier. Seems like I heard there was a “stand down”, retort when questioned before the incident. As to who was responsible for the AGR complex. Maybe intentional leaving the “door open”.
@@mikev4621 I aggree the shots in the under tree video sound different. But in the other videos first 8 sound the same. So no I didnt initially think they were different. I thought video from the side has so much screaming that it is hard to hear and is first on the grass then behind the tree and not a good candidate for conclusions about sounds. I concentrated on all the other audio which pointed to a single shooter. I listended to Peak Prosperity and did not find his reasoning solid. He was ignoring the videos that disproved his ideas.
@@Mike-Bell I agree that the shots sound similar enough when all sources are considered. PP should change his mind - he was doing his best at the time. Most people will understand that. I have both of you very informative
*UPDATE 9th shot*
It has now been confirmed that the 9th shot was by a local swat team member which hit Crooks rifle and disabled it. It is also officially confirmed that the 10th shot was by the south Secret Service team and killed Crooks entering his mouth left.
The local swat team member was rightly called a badass because he aimed while in the line of fire. His position was in the general area shown in this video but a little closer to Crooks.
Here is the preliminary investigative report by congressman Clay Higgins clayhiggins.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Preliminary-Investigative-Report-8.12.24.pdf
And see the swat member on video here ruclips.net/video/2TOR17hXMZk/видео.htmlsi=iIEjilsj-lgDRboA
@@Mike-Bell what makes him a “badass”. You show the video of Crooks popping up high off the deck after the local sniper shot his rifle. Then there is a ten second delay before the Secret Service shooter takes his shot. What happened to the local guy? He missed. Hitting the rifle is a miss. Why was there no follow-on shots? There may be a good explanation. We don’t know but he also may have run away or took cover after sending the one shot.
Good points. Badass was at ground level between Target Trump was tall on a stage, and Crooks feet back from the roof’s ridge. And hits the rifle stock? One in a million shot alright - went up, then down once over the ridge. Is it acoustically possible #9 came from a roof behind Crooks?
Check the window next to the ac 3.02 and 3.25 a rope in the window .Again the window 3.59 and there is a light (flash)in the window 4.27.
Trump himself has said the TC Kill Shot came from "across the field" approx 420 yards from TC ; ruling out H1 Red Barn Team (why didnt they take a SHOT !!)?
@@downunder4569 it is acoustically impossible that shot #9 came from behind Crooks. Fairly rudimentary analysis of podium audio versus audio from cellphones near Crooks shows it came from in front. For a pretty watertight acoustic analysis check out Greg Nichols' channel (no, not Beaver ESU Greg Nicol, different guy). Also, Grey Hughes Investigates has found Crooks visible above the roof peak from the ground level near Trump in one of the bodycams. That impossible shot wasn't impossible. Lots of people saying buttstock when the report just says stock. The "stock" is more than just the shoulder brace part. It's quite feasible this was hit.
Why is it a good thing the story is off the radar after 4 weeks??? The FBI is sharing little, while the inept Secret Service is covering up immense failures. This story needs to stay front and center.
It's because it's Trump and they don't want people to know the truth! If it was anyone else, it would be everywhere for a long while but Trump always gets a raw deal because he doesn't bow down and do as he's told
In the SS, nobody moved to a desk, nobody suspended, nobody facing any consequences whatsoever
@erict3728 Well they did get the director to resign but I get what your saying!
The key word here is in its self the telling of all @@erict3728"SS" And this has Evil Conatations
You are dreaming.
Butler swat responded immediately and disabled the shooter. However the usss Hercules 1 team at the far right performed a jack ruby shot 17 seconds late. They didn't want loose lips
FBI and SS were liabilities no assets
It's kind of sad that civilians have to go through all this investigation themselves because the Secret service can't be honest with the public.
That should tell you all you need to know about this.
It's Beaver County SWAT Team that has withheld all comms & video, while Greg Nicol & his wife Michele blame SS. Fault & blame can be laid on SS, but ultimately the responsibility was on Greg Nicol & Butler PD.
Dan Bongino is former Secret Service, the blame he says is on the Secret Service, not picking up radios, not have Snipers on that roof! They were told too 2 snipers left their post
Secret Service coverup and FBI too cover up!
No, SS has ultimate responsibility of the Presidents security. Period. They can only delegate tasks but must be secure in knowing their perimeter is solid. No expert needed to know this was an epic security failure. Former heads comment the roof was too steep caused her to lose all credibility. She’s gone then the new head comes in and said it was a failure to believe something like this could really happen? Insane comment by him. SS is to foresee ANY possible bad case scenario. They were so inept that a reasonable person couldn’t believe they were not complicit in that it was allowed to happen.
Psychology 101. Admit they made mistakes, and say we will change to a more open agency......and then they tell corporate media to not report anything else so we all forget...........and then they keep up their shenanigans and rule us indiscreetly forever and ever. Truth is they wanted Trump gone so they delayed their response on purpose. Good old Trump moved just in time.
I was 2300-miles from home when this happened in a quite secure location in the mountains. I have no doubt that if that bullet hit, I would have been driving home through a Civil War.
Look what the democrats did to the J 6 nonviolent protesters, what do you suppose they would do to you with the military under their control?
It takes a South African to do the best presentation meeting any intelligent expectation.
This was the very best video I have seen on this topic. I have watched 100s and you hit details that nobody else has thought to mention. Like the 20 rails on the roof, was an awesome touch. New subscriber
Wow, thank you!
really!? the counting of the rails on the roof is a detail that impressed you!? 😀From the first day my anchor was the rain drains that gave me straight away reference where Crooks was first sighted on the roof which everybody got wrong, thinking he was on the right side. And it made it easy to know rapidly where he gave his shots off, 2 rails from the the second drain. But i agree, Bells analyze, though not perfect, free of flaws, is one of the best out there.
I agree, i've also watched far too many videos on this and hands down this is by far the best when it comes to a clear, concise, detailed and yet balanced analysis aggregating it all together without going off in tinfoil hat tangents but at the same time not shrugging off the tiny details or treating it as though SS/LEO did a fantastic job.
I really like the animations, i've been waiting for someone to build a 3d model and run through the locations of things, trajectories etc. This is the first i've seen that covers the whole site and with such precision!
Easily one of the higher quality videos for an intelligent audience!
@@knubeltier6519 people can have their own opinion
@@knubeltier6519Right side from what view was wrong? Facing AGR he walked the entire right side. ruclips.net/video/euZXscg2mV0/видео.htmlsi=3dcxN5diLsU4OR9y
Incredible video! It’s amazing how much you were able to put together and how clear of a timeline you produced from what is ultimately fairly sparse evidence.
Thanks ☺️
What is most remarkable is how the secret service seemed to go WAY out of their way to do everything POSSIBLE for this to happen. I can't believe that we just found out that they were supposed to pick up radios provided by the local police, they agreed to use the radios, and then the day off, they chose to NOT get the radios so that they would NOT be able to have communication that would have most likely avoided this. It defies all logic... unless...
unless Secret Service has been screwing up constantly for over a decade now, but you don't know this because you don't know how to do research
They never agreed to use the radios. Not sure where you got that info. I'd like to read a source if you have it please.
They weren't expecting congress to actually do their job, and therefore thought we'd never find out.
@@kevinlue4756 They never showed up to the pre-event planning meeting they were supposed to attend. Perhaps it was mentioned in the initial meeting though. I hope you are not trying to insinuate that SS did NOT drop the ball.
@@kevinlue4756 There is a link to the report released, August 12, from the Congressional Task Force created to independently investigate the assassination attempt, provided by this video's creator. If you read it, you will find the information you are missing. Did the USSS never agee to use the ESU/911 comms? According to the ESU commander they did, or at least were aware of the plan to use them, and were supposed to pick up the radios by 11 am the morning of July 13. The report states that they did not.
Why was Trump left on that stage? They had plenty of time to get Trump off the stage. This is more than incompetency.
SS didn’t have comms with the local security.
@@Talon19 There is a video that clearly shows many police officers standing around directly below Hercules 1 and Hercules 2 snipers. The officer had called into the command center that someone was on the roof. That message went to all the officers and all they had to do was tell the Secret Service that was standing a couple feet away that someone was on the roof and get Trump off the stage. There are no excuses. Thank God the crowd had recorded everything that day.
@@JennaRight
The counter sniper teams were a little occupied at the time with trying to find the suspect. Tunnel vision (literally) and channelized attention are the simple explanations.
@@Talon19 SS knew at least a minute before 1st shoot, and Trump left on stage!!!
@@06rkave
SS didn’t know the suspect was armed.
I listened to this live and replayed it many times. I heard the 9-shot cluster and the delayed 10th. It was released early on Crooks fired 8 shots. We went a month to find out that shot 9 was a local sniper that hit his gun and likely hit him with fragments. This local sniper must have fired free-hand from the left side (looking at the stage). This is why you see people from the stands looking down to that area. The delayed 10th shot was the kill shot. Unreal we had to wait so long for confirmation of what we heard, a tenth shot! Great deep dive!
SWAT…. Re shot 9, not a counter sniper. Local not federal.
Yes exactly what I heard to
Bad ass guy to
yep . 9th shot from the local swat member is what incapacitated him... they still waited 10 seconds to give him ample amount of time... they were obviously complacent and were on it... let me guess we wont ever get an interview from them lol
To think I subscribed to you because of a video about a neglected church steeple collapsing. Your level of forensic analysis using public information is something I haven't seen on youtube and I've been watching videos here for 18 years.
You are my perfect audience 😁
Many more videos like this to come
🤣🤣🤣
Great analysis, it brings in to sharp focus the most important question:
The south sniper team watched for more than 30 seconds as Crooks crawled up the roof then once he started shooting they took a further 18 seconds before the final shot. Why the delay?
The Butler DA said it is not illegal to carry a rifle in Butler County and the Snipers would only return fire if a person became an active shooter. They have no authorization to eliminate an individual on suspicion. I know, that made them useless for this assignment. Secret Service Snipers have no such constraint, although they did behave in a similar manner.
The strangest question is this: the Secret Service knew the Police were trying to locate a suspicious person - reason enough to shelter him. They knew this in ample time, even with the terrible lack of radio communications. So, Mr. Trump should have either, been prevented from taking, or removed from, the Stage. Why did that not happen?
Why beg the question when you know why?
@@bopoprocki1574 I have answered this same question a number of times in the last several weeks and was warned by the Gestapo at YT that my comments "violated" their "standards." They prefer fairy tales over facts.
they clearly saw him and clearly heard the guy yell "he's got a g_n".
@@daveg.6820 What you said makes no sense. The guy asked why the Secret Service that finished it w the 10th shot didn't engage way earlier
Great job of analyzing the events unfolding based on true physics and engineering. Relative movement of microphones during #9&10 is tricky with people panicking.
But your analysis still gives a good and solid understanding of what happened when.
God bless that Crooks was not an ace...
Great video.
How could more than a month go by and we still don't know who fired back at the would be assassin. That information should have been made public at a Secret Service briefing THE NEXT DAY after the shooting. We don't even know the name of the security planner yet.
If you wanted to set up a security plan carefully designed to let an assassin have an easy shot at President Trump, tell me ONE thing you would have done different from what the SS site planner did. Perhaps place a cooler with soft drinks up on the roof in case Crooks was thirsty. Otherwise, the set up was PERFECT to have Trump taken out. No doubt they were expecting a couple of Iranians to show up at this event or perhaps one of the earlier ones (where they had NO counter snipers) or one of the subsequent ones. To the surprise of the SS, a smart 20 year old beat them to the punch.
The actions of the SS were obviously carefully orchestrated to keep local law enforcement in the dark and unable to communicate with the Secret Service. There were more than a hundred (perhaps two hundred) trained professionals involved in this event, many of them ex military. It is literally impossible to believe that this hot, steaming, mess was the result of a mistake or two. It was arranged ON PURPOSE and the post events of the Secret Service, including the lies they told to Congress (and the information they refuse to release) only reinforces the obvious conclusion.
That's what happens when you bring in secretive agencies. That goes for all secret agencies, all three lettered 'unelected secret agencies should be brought out in the sunlight and exposed for what they are
You are taking a lot of copium, friend.
Look at the documents Sen. Chuck Grassley released about the security plan. It was solid given the limited resources and personnel available to security.
Senator Higgins’ recent report reveals who shot back at shooter. The SS agent in charge was Tim Burke. It was local ESU who never sent a patrol to question Crooks or make him move his car for 90 minutes since first reporting him as suspicious at 4:26 PM. If they had, Crooks likely never would’ve gotten on that roof in the first place. Local LE was in charge of the AGR building and area according to their document dump. This is all public record.
@@Talon19 Nonsense. The Grassley Report was premature. The Secret Service Counter-Snipers were EXTRA personnel just for that event. Explain that. Why were they there at all? Who were they supposed to shoot? Plus, the FBI hosed off the roof, and sanitized the Crook's household less than 20 hours after the shooting. Then, they released Crook's body, which has been cremated. The Butler Coroner is furious. Proper Crime Scene procedure violations weren't just an extension of this event's SS foul ups, it was all deliberate. Are you that naïve?
@@daveg.6820
Extra security due to extra threat per intelligence agencies.
Amazing recreation using multiple primary sources corroborating video and audio data, evidence, and analysis. Well done! Simulations like these are important to confirm or dismiss speculation and official reports.
Thank you very much!
This is by far the best illustration I've seen of that horrible day. It put alot into prospective. Thanx for your effort to detail.
Best stitching together of all the data. Thanks for the analysis!
Very persuasive, Mike! It will be interesting to see what we learn about bullets 9 and 10. I wonder…is it too early to do an initial wrap-up of what we know to date that uses the model and plots the locations of the video cams and shots with a synchronized timeline? I should be able to get a more clear mental image of the full sequence when the POV remains static on the overhead model.
My opinion on what happened...
SS Sniper: Where's Crooks?
SS: He's on the roof.
SS Sniper: Is he in position?
SS: Not yet.
SS Sniper: I'm waiting to hear the first shot.
SS: He's got Trump in his sights.
SS Sniper: There's the first shot... Now the second, third, and a bunch more.
SS: OK, now take the patsy out.
SS Sniper: OK, got him in the mouth.
SS: Nice work.
SS Sniper: Oh shit, the patly missed!
I think it was slightly different. They waited 20 seconds precisely for that reason, that they knew that Trump was still OK. Unfortunately for them the local SWAT guy took the 9th shot and incapacitated Crooks, so he couldn't shoot anymore. After they'd realized that he can't shoot anymore they had nothing else to do but to take him down.
As as South African I just want to say I heard on Jeff Ostroffs Channel referring to you. I want to commend you on an exceptional analysis.
Outstanding work!!
Thanks for the feedback. Can you tell me in which video JeffOstroff referenced me. He has made about 20 Trump shooting videos so will help if you can narrow it down 😄
@@Mike-Bell I will have to listen to those videos that I watched made by him. I will inform as soón as I can find the information.
6:08 cops in squad cars reported Crooks on the roof. 6:10 SS snipers turn towards the AGR building. 6:11 is when crooks took his first shots. Something weird about Greg Nicols is he is only seen exiting the key carded doors at 6:13, two minutes after the shots. We were told he went out to tell other cops about Crooks. Maybe he went out another door on the opposite side? Idk but some questions need to be asked because the dash cam video clearly shows him exit after the shootings.
No he went back in. When he saw Crooks with a backpack, running this time. He tried to follow him through the building and catch him outside. But he was gone when he reached the door. He then told local ground troops to look for him in direction of travel. Because this wasn't sure they look in multiple locations for him. One is the cop with the body cam that shows him on the roof. On the radio you hear
'Is he the dude running?' or 'See the dude running?'. Greg went back in aand was in the building. Just like the Butler sniper.
@@ibendiben you saw that on cam footage?? I think Nicols is one of the 2 counter-snipers assigned by Butler. He spoke on National tv as one. So why do you think he left his counter-sniper position as opposed to using the standard communication process? Aren't the "on the ground troops" also Butler le?
@@justjosie8963 this he would have if a good comm system was in place. But the radios were siloed, meaning different uniform groups gad a separate freq and could only talk to the command center to get messages to one another. Therefore they used app groups and sms to communicate. But cell reception was bad due to many people overloading the area.
Another problem was the shooter was outside of the perimeter and most skilled uniforms were inside. So the command center resorted to call for backup from the cops on traffic duty around the area. This was a slow process. Greg didn't understand why no-one seemed to follow up on his messages to have a uniform check suspect out and no-one could find him, when he finally saw the suspect again he decided to go after him himself to not lose him again. But by tge time he reached the door Crooks either hid himself good or already was on the roof, where the first minutes no-one could see him. Enough time for the cops to spread out again.
@@justjosie8963 Guess Nicol is Beaver County, Butler still without name
@@ibendiben- Both snipers left their posts and were missing for approximately 6 minutes, during the time Crooks was shooting. They left their weapons unsecured as well. It was said, the one sniper went out (after knowing for an hour Crooks was in the area) to look for Crooks, leaving by West door. Then 2nd sniper left his post and unsecured weapon supposedly to let the first one back into the building because he forgot his key card. If either one had stayed at their posts, they would have been able to pull their tripods and weapons aside and look out the window and see Crooks on the roof. But neither appeared on any camera released so far, until the shootings were over.
Mr Bell this is the best most understandable presentation ever. Well done
Thank you kindly
Remarkable mate. Such a brilliant breakdown of the shooting. Pat yourself on the back. Absolutely fantastic analyses 👍
I'm impressed by this video, so much detail and important facts, sound details, video's with time frames, shooting sound frames, one of the best video's untill now, great job mr. Bell
Mr. Bell, I find your summaries fascinating and thought provoking. Keep up the good work.
Glad you like them!
The SS sniper flinched and pulled his rifle backwards when Crooks' first shot rang out. Did he think he was being fired at?
If you go to work everyday for years or even decades without hearing a shot fired. The day it happens you very likely will flinch.
That was the sniper to Trump’s right, whose line of sight was blocked by the tree. The other sniper, to Trump’s left, must have seen the muzzle flashes. Is there a video of him at that moment?
@@johnwsimpson3153 It's in the footage
@@mikev4621 Around 8:30 in this video, the view to the second sniper team is blocked when the shooting begins.
@@johnwsimpson3153 there were two sniper teams to Don's right, on separate barns
Excellent analysis and great work you’ve done here Mike
Wow. Great summary analysis to date. Keep the updates coming.
Great breakdown and thank you for this huge effort. Yes still awaiting offc account of #9, 10
I heard that the ninth shot hit and broke his rifle, which made him turn to the side and the secret service sniper was able yto take him put. The shot that disabled his rifle came from an ESU officer.
they let it happen.
Until someone proves otherwise, your statement has to be considered true.
That is the absolute fact - from either perspective.
@@mattjohnson7835
That makes zero sense and contradicts sound reasoning and the scientific method.
@Talon19 come on, man. So the Secret Service 1) created a security perimeter, putting the stage in the far back corner next to a building eye level to the stage open to the public. 2) left the roof unguarded because it was sloped. 3) assigned counter snipers for the first time ever to a Trump rally and placed them on a sloped roof in position to eliminate a shooter. 4) purposely leave comms with local police guarding unprotected roof next to stage 5) moved into position 1st ever snipers at Trump rally, who have no comms or knowledge of person on roof, 80 seconds before the shot rang out to eliminate witness 6) FBI clears all evidence before any outside investigation can take place.
And that's just a sampling.
Logic would tell you that is not random failure and incompetence. They need to prove it was. Especially since the entire establishment on all sides is clearly and publicly holding nothing back to destroy Trump in any way possible...
@@leelariviere555
Show me you’ve never worked with government security without saying so.
You obviously haven’t bothered to look at the security plans and AAR.
1 - that’s where trump wanted it for the biggest crowds and most visibility
2 - SS never had the responsibility, resources, personnel, or time to put people everywhere, especially where others were specifically tasked to cover. The “sloped roof” is just bureaucrats not knowing any better because they weren’t briefed on all details because they weren’t involved.
3 - Elevated security due to elevated risk. The two buildings picked gave the most visibility of the biggest area. Areas which weren’t covered by those too teams were covered by others.
4 - unprotected roof between two sniper teams at the heart of the event? You’ve bloody lost it mate.
5 - there was no “shot to eliminate witnesses”. This is probably one of the most witnessed, recorded, and scrutinized events since 9-11. Not the first ever snipers at a trump rally, stop listening to social media. SS teams did have comms. Where are you getting your info?? Southern counter sniper team turned moments before shots rang out.
6 - You obviously have zero knowledge of how FBI HMRU works. Of course they are removing evidence so others can check it. There is such a thing as cameras. The FBI has teams specifically trained to decontaminate areas from CBRN risks; the one in Pittsburgh was the one to respond.
There was no gross incompetence beyond not putting bulletproof glass around the podium.
Each individual acted reasonably and as to be expected given the information and resources they had at the time.
Cool off, you are obviously too emotionally triggered to be thinking clearly.
Turn off the electronics, get a hug, rest for the night, then watch all the analysis in my “13 Jul assassination attempt” playlist.
Good luck and God bless America.
The really big question that has to be asked and answered is why, when one officer on the ground, who ran forward to the line of fire of the shooter when he first began firing within just 9 seconds managed to get a shot that apparently hit Crooks' rifle, disabling it, did it take TWO SS officers who were at a significantly higher elevation than the officer and who had had a clear line of sight to Crooks' rooftop position and who had been scoping out the rooftop area for a good 100 seconds before they fired, why did they allow Crooks to get off 8 rounds in 2 separate bursts? And if Crooks did aim at Trump's head for the first 3 shots I can only assume he moved his aim and therefore probably took up a higher body position, to aim at the clump of bodyguards covering Trump's body.
That being the case is your depiction of 3 shells from Crooks' gun falling over the top of the parapet to the far side of the roof while showing 5 cases on Crooks' side really representative of the actual locations? Surely the first 3 were fired while he was 'lower', or from farther back, than when he fired the next 5? Can anyone familiar with the AR 15 confirm which direction casings land when they are ejected? (Forward, Backward, Sideways, away from the shooter).
Be interesting to see the Task Force observational evidence on this.
Mr. Bell, your explanation is the best, simplest, honest, and most straight forward!! Thank You, Sir!! ❤️😎
At least 3 minutes before they knew he was up there and no one told Trump to get off stage until they figured it out smh
yes, and at a cetrain moment the building was surounded by cops with drawn weapons, people were shouting, but trump was still speaking on the stage, unbelieveble
SS didn’t have comms with local security.
Evidence thus far:
6:10 PM SS alerted of “locals working an issue at 3 o’clock.” No gun (threat) reported.
6:11 PM shots fired.
Butler LE quote, “officials in the local command center were not able to pass on the message about an armed man (threat) to SS command post. There was not enough time.”
@@kellydoyle
Where did you read that?
@@kellydoyle
I’m inclined to think those quotes are made up because “3 o’clock” is meaningless over radio when people are in unknown geographically separate places.
Fantastic video and finally someone who actually understand how sound works! As a sound engineer for over 15 years this is the best explaination I have seen. The inclusion of distance and accuracy is near perfect imho.
ESU shooter is in the hercules video. You can see him take the isoceles stance. Stewart has video of him before the shot (Tallest and fattest Butler ESU).
I feel like the way this could have been prevented would be if the cop had fired his gun into the ground a few times. The Secret Service would have reacted instantly and moved to protect Trump and the chances of hitting him would have been greatly reduced. It's possible the cop would have gotten in trouble, but I'm sure he would have been exonerated as soon as the shooter was discovered. Putting myself in that situation, though, I have to wonder what the cop was thinking. He might have been considering if he saw a gun or if he was mistaken and didn't want to do anything rash until he was certain.
I also thought said cop could have fired into the ground & thus warn SS to move TRUMP off stage. Thanks for comments & miracle Pres. TRUMP survived!
@@douglasmorales3197 I thought the "turned his head at the right moment" thing was hyperbole, but seeing the bullet trajectory I see that it really was that close.
He could always pull a "Baldwin I didn't pull the trigger" defense.
I AGREE THE COPS ON THE GROUND DID NOT THINK TO FIRE SOME ROUNDS LIKE THE GUY THAT SAID HE POINTED THE GUN AT ME SO I SCRAMPLED DOWN LIKE THE COWARD I AM AND DID NOTHING ABOUT IT LIKE FIRING A FEW SHOTS INTO THE GROUND OR AIR .
That is what i have been wondering all along too. Was there audio from that cop’s body cam?
Why didn't you do the simulation of what the south sniper saw? We know that he turned toward Crooks a significant amount of time before the shooting, perhaps he even saw Crooks running on the roof, perhaps he saw everything that happened. It is baffling that he would even let crooks get off a single shot, not to mention waiting 10 seconds AFTER Crooks was done shooting and had diverted his attention to the crowd.
The fact that I just learned more from a RUclipsr than I have learned from the government, responsible for allowing such tragedy is almost as disgusting as the fact that any of this happened in the first place. Thank you sir keep up the good work.
6:14- “For unexplained reasons they left their post”. What else do we need to say to fuel conspiracy theorists?
Thank you once again Mike. Your work is invaluable
Not only that, but the fact that this never would have been possible if even a single man was stationed on that roof yet nobody was. It is so unbelievably stupid that it is bound to fuel fallacious reasoning.
There was someone on post the entire time.
Documents from Sen. Chuck Grassley show there was always at least one counter sniper in the southwest room of the second floor AGR building.
@@kellydoyle
Lying implies purposefully not telling the whole truth. I doubt that is the case for any of the local law enforcement officers.
There was reason given for why one counter sniper left the room; people just don’t like the reason.
They were instructed to go outside the building to look for the suspicious person.
Interesting to note that shot number nine was the only shot fired from ground level so the soundwaves would have bounced around a little more than the other shots. Could explain those slight anomalies with shot nine. Great detailed analysis sir.
The most important question that needs real noise behind it is why the USSS didn't get DJT secured the second they knew someone had a gun...regardless of where he was, and because that's their ONE main job. If it's 16 seconds, they took 15 seconds too long not calling for a crash on that stage. I also would like to know who the woman on the lawn next to one of the first videos released was yelling "Crooks! What are you doing Crooks?!?"
Secret Service didn’t use the local cop radios provided to them so they were deaf to all the chatter that someone was on the roof with a gun. Epic fail
That SS woman couldn’t even holster her gun!
the SWAT guy hit his rifle, he pulled back, then popped up for the last sniper shot
ten seconds passed....hmmm
ruclips.net/video/af_K1oGfljM/видео.html
the buffer tube was damaged by shot #9. Crooks was processing this and messing with his rifle for 10 seconds until a Beaver County sniper on the ground--located between the bleachers and SS sniper team Hercules 1 atop the north barn--got off the #10 hail Mary shot that got Crooks
@greenmirror5555: 15.5 seconds passed before.
He disabled the rifle too.
Your analysis is spot on! Keep up the great work!
Hanlon's Razor applies as always.
100% ✅
I lean away from Hanlon's and Occam's razor on the current political stuff. Recent events in my country justifies that lean - it ain't just regular life, crap happens, simple kind of stuff going on lately!
@@olibertosoto5470 if the secret service really wanted to assassinate Trump it would have been far easier - there are many moments in private where an assassin could have got him if the security looked the other way. Cockup over conspiracy in this case.
Thank you for sharing this important information
Glad it was helpful!
If only American news organizations were as curious as you about a Presidential assassination attempt.
They are not because they want President Trump dead! This includes the powers to be at RUclips / Google! FACT!
Because the C*A and other higher ups want him gone because he doesn't go by what they want. They control the media (sneakily) which is also why we never hear about all that oddities on the Vegas shooting.
@@bradrichards8122 US news orgs are all owned by right-wing billionaires. They are not willing to be "curious" about this.
Although I've already seen the local swat video shown elsewhere (shot 9), just now seeing your clip here and the way you have put together the various data is remarkably well done. New subsrriber.
jeffostroff and Mike RUclipsrs best analysis
Most informative I've seen!!!! Thanks for your work
Very nice. From the start I said a full analysis over time will determine ... Comm failure among different police forces, poor plan, too few human assets, and too light on the tech side. I am not as hard on the police response as you seem to be ... they were stuck with bad defensive position thus responding from a weak position ( plan failed to cover the AGR complex roofs or prevent access ). Your work is very, very nice. Thx.
They certainly weren’t short on manpower. The hourlong dashcam video shows loads of officers allocated to this event.
@@Mike-Bell
Local police department only had 12 officers for a huge area.
@@Talon19Butler document dump communications list (ICS 205A) shows 34 local tactical LEO’s: Butler ESU, Beaver ESU, Washington SWAT = 34 total, 17 teams.
So it’s looking more like a local assets allocation error than lack of manpower.
@@kellydoyle
Most of those were on standby counter-assault teams or the QRF.
Defeats the purpose of a central-formed special purpose group to scatter them around such a wide area.
Outstanding analysis, the best I've seen yet!! I hope the Congressional investigation uses your evaluation as a basis. If the south team had Crooks in it's sights for 5+ seconds, and saw the rifle, why didn't they take the shot! "Rules of Engagement"??
Interesting info! Trump said that the sniper that eliminated Crooks was 4 football fields away. When Butler and Beaver law enforcement was on the roof with the deceased gunman they asked two different officers who shot Crooks. Both officers pointed across the field to where the Washington County sniper was positioned which was 4 football fields away.
Phenomenal analysis. Completely in a league of its own, it puts MSM to shame.
I think you are close but not correct on the final part of the timeline.
If Crooks had been in his final shimmying stage on the roof he would have not noticed the officer. If on the other hand he was a bit over the very bottom edge of the roof with his backpack on his left side while assembling his rifle he would very easily have spotted the officer. It would also look to the officer as if he was being pointed at even if weapon was not fully assembled.
Reason for suspecting the weapon was not assembled yet is the long time between observation and shots fired. Thanks to combined and synchronized video we can be sure it took 36 seconds from the observation to first shot. We also know the time crooks must have spent on the final roof to be almost 2 minutes.
Truly remarkable analysis and presentation. Ty for all the hard work
Thanks Mark. Glad you liked it!
Excellent analysis of all this. Super powerful presentation!! I wonder why the officer that got boosted up and saw Crooks did not use his radio when he came down, instead of running out into the field trying to locate Crooks again?? You can hear his radio when on his body cam as he was running around..
Glad you liked it!
He did both. You can actually hear some of what he said through the windshield of his car as it got picked up by his dashcam video. The WaPo got the encrypted radio transcripts. Over 7 hours of them. Too bad they haven't released them. According to their article in WaPo, what the boosted officer said was "He's armed" "I saw him, he's laying down" "He's got a long gun". This was after another officer, maybe the one who boosted him had said "We got him" "We don't have him in custody yet, but he's right straight up in front of me by the pine tree standing upwards. He had a backpack" and then "Lost sight of him". Check out the WaPo article.
@@captainwho1 Link?
He did call on his radio. You can see him talking on it in the Dayve Stewart footage.
@@gr81_gr81 The WaPo article? "Police radio traffic shows failed search for Trump rally shooter"
Good work. Other recent videos are confirming your findings, including the 9th shot and the weapon being moved.
Has the guy with the red had who is filming steadily besides the tree released some material? Haven't seen any.
Great video! perfect idea to habe the countdown synchronized! Subscribed. thank you.
So the hercules team had him in sights for 30 seconds, watched him crawl up, pull out a gun.. take aim.. fire 3 shots, pause, then 5 more.. then waited 10 more seconds to take a shot? Based on this angle even if the shooter ducked after shot 9, they could still see him being above his position and see down the slope. What took so long?
New information reveals because local cops radios weren’t compatible with Secret Service ones, radios from local counties were left for Secret Service as arranged beforehand but they never used them and never picked up the chatter about someone running along the roof. One half being entirely unaware of what the other half was seeing and doing.
Their plan was to wait so Trump would be dead, then take the shot and say ooops, sorry we were a tad late. Then the C*A would high five each other so Trump can't run for president again and get in their way of their shenanigans. Trump moved his head so now they're in panic mode trying to figure out how to fool us in that it was just their incompetence which enabled Crooks to shoot so many shots.
Such a great video with so much of info and details.
Excellent breakdown 👍🏼
Unfortunately it's going to take Trump's ear's exact position, elevation and orientation trajectories for many to let go of the 2 man idea. One guy is getting gps info on all possible positions, hope he can get those to engineers like you to clear up this mess.
Wow, well done... You're analysis is so thorough I'd be willing to bed money it is better than any of the agencies involved in this.
We now know the 1st counter sniper took out Crook's weapon and it was non-functional.
@@jamesbond4633
If it was non functional, they could have captured him alive and interrogated him, but everyone seemed afraid of the sloped roof.
The overwatch sniper went down to underwatch.
The grounds should have been sprawling with officers when the sniper sent the photos of suspicious guy.
@@sueann1985 Yes I agree with the interrogation part. But then again taking Crooks out ...was it part of the plan? Clean up all the loose ends whether he was successful or not. I think the more we can find out about Crooks and his contacts and connections and his "operations" the closer we will come to the truth. He joined the Republican party so he could vote in the primaries against Trump. So now we know he was more politically motivated than what we have been told thus far. That is what the FBI and Secret Service are running cover on so far. Higgins is doing a great job and he is going to be looking into Crook's background much more. Stay tuned!!!!
@@sueann1985 It was a set up from the get go. They ain't gonna leave no witnesses.
The FBI test fired the weapon, it is functional!
I like all your videos please keep going. The break downs are very interesting to watch. Also like your narration. Well done.
Thank you very much!
Seriously I do not need special sound equipment to hear the first three shots and then the next five shots that were fired do not sound the same at all. So why would you speculate that from the same gun I say that's bogus now what makes much more sense to me is what Mike Adams has set up in a slow motion video on Brighton the name of the video is another shooter and when you see the guy that's on the ground in front of the building videotaping and then the three shots rang out, and then Mike slows it down to where you can hear the percussions of those five other shots and every shot you can see a flash in the window that is not a happenstance that's actual proof of the other rifle shooting now go debunk it ! I say this is proof of another shooter in the main reason why I'm so skeptical is because we do not have the bullets or the ballistics from those bullets will be conclusive evidence. And why don't we have them? I say they're pulling a fast one
You sir are a dang wizard ! Such an awesome perspective! This is great work ! Thank you very much !
There's been an update......that 9th shot, actually came from a Butler Swat Officer, from ground level, that actually struck Crooks & his Rifle. That shot apparently disabled his rifle, as there were no further shots from Crooks, despite a likely 30rd magazine. That would also explain how there were no more shots taken, until that 10th shot, when Crooks was trying to reset himself, and was taken out by the SS Sniper team
Then they could easily have arrested him
@@heinerrambold8889huh? arrested who? 🤔
@@garyt7193 TMC
@@heinerrambold8889 And how, pray-tell, could that have happened?? 🤔🤔
@@heinerrambold8889 Buellor?....Buellor?
Great forensic analysis.
Thanks. Glad you liked it!
This is great work, but I think you give too much credit when you say it was merely a failure. If the southern sniper team knew to turn north, Trump should have been taken off the stage then. In addition to that, the official after-action report about one or more snipers going downstairs for some reason is false -- we now know that from the AGR 6 door dashcam video that Nicol emerged almost two minutes after the shots were fired, with nobody else doing anything at that door for minutes before.
@tomr6955 Why did the sniper team abandon their southern watch and turn north if they didn't think they might have to neutralize a threat to the north?
@tomr6955 crooks is a man
@@pbrninja19
Because they were looking for the suspect, duh.
@@Talon19 Who are you saying was looking for the suspect? The snipers on the southern barn?
@@pbrninja19
Both SS counter sniper teams were looking for the suspect. They may not have known the suspect was armed until the shooting started.
The northern counter sniper team visibly flinches when the first shot rings out.
Very nicely done video. More info than released by our Secret Service.
did you create this computer model? I have a question concerning the 2 story building connected directly to the right of the snipers nest; there were sniper officers in the building who are unaccounted for, apparently they walked outside a full 3 minutes oblivious to what was going on. Officer Greg. Can you tell me if his window would have a clear vantage point to the sniper using your simulation? and also would it have been possible for him to take a show from his window angle? Or for just speculation, is there any bullet trajectory that could have even come from HIS window?
I find it extremely difficult this kid was able to throw this whole plan together and thwart the most elite security team on earth without help. Am i supposed to believe they are the most bumbling people every to be hired and allowed him to slip through every single point of failure to nearly 99% accomplish his goal??
Audio from shots 9 and 10 reach the podium mics before they reach any of the cellphone mics near Crooks. Neither shot can have come from behind him.
Be aware that you are falling foul of the "argument from incredulity" logical fallacy. Because something seems improbable, unlikely, unbelievably lucky or coincidental is not actually any kind of proof that it couldn't have happened.
@@MattNolanCustom I am not suggesting the shots came from behind him, but from just to his right on the 2 story building of the same complex, the one with the snipers that were mysteriously missing and bumbling around
@@scottturner-zm1vusmart and wise are not always the same thing and you can be smart and mentally ill at the same time. We don't know if he was suicidal and wanting to leave his mark on history or utterly deluded that he was invincible. Since when did a level headed person attempt an assassination or mass shooting like this?
That so called “security team’ didn’t do their job!
Sir. You are a badass. Thank you for doing this for us. This is the best, most useful video I've seen yet. Amazing work.
Glad it was helpful!
@@Mike-Bell it was very informative and interesting. I subscribed.
The guns sound different
This is an incredible analysis, the best there is available.
Have you seen the Greg Nichols video where he estimates the positions of shots 9 and 10 from various microphones and their positions? Would be curious if you think his methodology is flawed or what
Which video, link?
Link - ruclips.net/video/5vrjERSAfhk/видео.html - I would say that Greg Nichols' analysis is better as it automatically accounts for the relative distances between all the audio recorders. I think Mike has made a mistake here aligning every audio so that the Crooks shots are in sync. In absolute time those sounds arrive at the different mics at different times. This then makes the triangulation / trilateration of shots #9 and #10 less accurate. GN promises in the comments to post an update soon with even more accuracy as he had some of the cellphone positions a little off.
@@MattNolanCustom Thanks for posting the link for me. I think a weakness of Greg's video is that he used a smaller quantity of sources which may obfuscate the variance/inaccuracy of his chosen data points, but I agree that lining up the first three/eight shots is a mistake in Mike's video. That being said, I think that if Greg's video is correct, that shots and 9 and 10 were from the same location, we should have seen in Mike's video that those shooters were positioned in the same spot, though with the aforementioned methodological error I expected Mike to pick a location that differs from Greg's. IE the microphones should pick up the sound signatures with similar timings between shots 9 and 10 if they originated from the same position.
@@thatcherfreeman Greg has said in the comments that he had some locations off and didn't account for the movement of one the cellphones. I await his version 2 update!
Doing a very basic analysis myself in an audio/video editor, I get that both shots 9 and 10 come from in front of Crooks (some people are still trying to claim he was shot from behind) and that shot 10 seems to come from further away than shot 9.
That's an amazing technical work to clarify what happened, you got a subscriber from France.
5:30 possible it came from the second floor of the AGR. Greg or his partner could’ve made that shot. Greg went down to the exit on the other side, as seen on the dashcam video. He walks out casually, as if he knows it’s all over. Greg has no radio on him, so how did he knew within 1,5 minutes after the last shot and walking inside the building? 1 hour later 2 officers carrying a black long riffle out of the same building, and it looks like the shot is made with that riffle. It looks like evidence. Also remarkable why 1 officer carries it outside, and the other one takes it away, out of view.
The sound from shots 9 and 10 both arrived at the podium mic before arriving at camera mics near Crooks, so neither shot could have come from behind him. They both came from in front of him.
Were the clocks synchronized properly? How was it done...by Trump's speech?
The object brought out by one officer, laid up against the railings and taken by another officer is not a long gun. It is a Halligan bar. You can see the narrowly forked end. You will see it much more clearly a little later in the full video when the guy who took it walks right to left past the motorcycle
@@MattNolanCustom thanks I'll try to see if I can find that video again. Does a halligan bar have a strap on it? I also though I saw a triangular shape that appeared to be the gun stock of a rifle. Why the sneaky behavior? Looked like someone buying a dime bag. PS: If it was a halligan bar, could that have been used to pry open one of the vents in the attic of Bldg. 6 to allow another shooter to fire through that?
@@captainwho1 ruclips.net/video/6pq8AU43HOc/видео.htmlsi=a4-6Td-f9AelBPmW&t=3473 they are commonly mounted on a strap along with a sledge-hammer or an axe and used by fire-fighters. Sneaky behaviour could be entirely in the eye of the beholder.
Possibly the best audio analysis I've seen.
One thing disturbs me though, namely:
When doing the triangulation, how did you synchronise the tracks?
I've suggested that the 10th shot be used as the location of the shooter is one that I think no one has doubted and is very precisely known. Obviously, adjustments must be made for the distances from the shooter to each of the mikes.
Good point. When the audios were sync'd using shot 10 it was pretty much the same result. With small insignificant variances which I explain thru atmospheric variable, wind, obstructions etc. I settled on syncing the audio tracks accross shot 1 to 8 because that provides the best average. And yes the audio of 1 to 8 align accross all tracks.
Pop goes the weasel (Crooks popping back up)
That was a crazy move. Are we sure it happened after shot 9? Before this, I had only heard analyst's say that shot 9 made him retreat back down the roof a bit and made shot 10 from S barn more difficult.
The rifle looks intact in the photos, the stock doesn’t look broken.
Want to go really crazy??? Which SS team took out the shooter? I was at Walmart on Sunday at the Sports Dept Cashier's counter; and chatted with a guy who was retired and had trained Navy Seals for 33 years. How incredible. He trained some Seals who became Presidential Secret Service Agents. So I asked him who the shooter was, and he said SS Team 2. To that I replied that Bongino said there was a third SS Platform that made the shot off to the left of the President which is clearly visible in videos when Trump is shot. He mentioned that he respected Bongino a lot; and that he had been a Seal. After that, he was a Presidential SS Agent for three Presidents. It was a 348-yard shot. He didn't say that he trained Bongino. I said that it would be nice if the shooter came forward. To which he replied that wouldn't happen. It was too dangerous for that individual to be identified. End of story. I lived next door to Emory Roberts in Wheaton who was in charge of the detail at Dealey Plaza The conspiracy stuff going on here rivals the JFK Conspiracy stories that are still going on. Dealey Plaza - The End of Camelot.
Well put together, thank you.
The whole situation is still so remarkable.
@@HRM.H My biggest reaction; we know that the cops had rock-solid evidence that there was an assassin on the roof with a gun and a clear view of Trump at *least* 30s before the first shot was fired, because the officer climbed up and saw him at close range with the gun. Forget about seeing/shooting him, why was Trump still talking on the lectern 30s after they know there's a shooter! Not a suspect, or a potential shooter, but a guy with a gun lining up a shot, with people in the crowd yelling about it, and they only tackle him off the stage when Crooks starts firing? Definitely a communications breakdown, of MASSIVE proportions.
@@theflyingfish66 with a large event like this where are so many officers and so many different organisations involved you can't have everyone on the same radio channel. Everyone would talk over everyone else and communication would be terrible. So they have to silo the radio comms into smaller groups and then have a control room where messages are relayed between the groups. It seems that the failure has been there. One report stated that were two separate control rooms. This adds yet another layer of hierarchy and suggests no one central control. My guess is that information was not relayed quickly enough, or was thought to have been relayed when it actually wasn't. They need a better system and protocol.
Great video and analysis !
There is still one thing yet to explain. The Ross video shows Crooks and the AK15 exactly when the first shot is fired. This shows no recoil or shell ejection from the gun suggesting that Crooks did not fire the first shot. Can you please take a close look at this?
I looked at that very closely and frame by frame. The camera moved away literally just before he fired so it doesn’t capture him firing. Besides its v grainy. And also the AR15 has a small calibre with little recoil. That partly why it is so popular.
What "Ross video"? Where was Ross located?
@@Mike-Bell goto 7;16 of jeffostroff's video here: ruclips.net/video/FjAR03hS_H0/видео.html
Then set the video speed to 0.5 and press play. The first shot happens at 7;18. Then shortly later the view of Crooks is blocked by another witness. But you can see Crooks clearly when shot-1 goes off. This footage shows the rifle butt resting against Crook's right shoulder and his chin pressing against the rifle buttstock. When the first shot is heard, there is no gun recoil, shell ejection or any movement from Crooks whatsoever, as expected. E.g: ruclips.net/video/9PzTY8vcp24/видео.html
@@captainwho1 Hey, maybe that's the Ross the woman is screaming about.
@@hermanhale9258 I wasn't familiar enough with that video to know she was screaming "Ross". Pretty weird way to refer to a video but I get it now.
Excellent content sir
7:50 the south sniper team should see crooks moving because they were almost 8 feet above crook's roof
so many details in this video, that is amazing how much information we got from it. bravo hats off. 👏
Excellent work.
Hi Mike, thanks for the great content. I've been watching Jeff Ostroff as well, also very informative. Maybe a collab is in order. I am still very perplexed by the sniper team on the roof closest to Crooks. These guys had him in their sights at least 10-13 secs before shot 1 was fired (if one analyses the video material)...ample time for one of the two to at least fire a shot in the shooters direction, thus a) allerting all parties b) distracting Crooks c) possibly saving a life. HOWEVER. I've been studying the actions of the sniper closest to the camera, seemingly taking aim in the direction of Crooks........I just cant help but wonder if he was not responsible for shot 1. Having looked at this closely many times, it would seem as if this sniper is taking a shot. This may not concur with the sound study you've conducted, but theres just something about his movement that suggests this. The sound byte for shot 1 also seems to align with his movement. So if this were to be true (in theory): Shot 1 fired by the first sniper, shot 2 by the sniper stationed beside him in a more covert position (having looked at his actions too)...by this time Crooks is distracted but managed to fire shot 3 in the process. Trump gets nicked by shot 3, crowd member is injured by the same bullet. So this is where it gets vague...the 5 rapid shots fired by the distracted Crooks spitefully towards the crowd. One member of the crowd is killed, the other injured. Final shot from the second sniper team kills Crooks who had in the meantime changed position to face another section of the crowd. Now we have 6 casings instead of 8....perhaps the additional 2 were planted, in order to "cover up" the so-called delay in apprehending Crooks prior to any shots being fired, bolstering the USSS statement "we were not informed". Parallel to this, snipers 1 & 2 fired shots 1 & 2 as insurance, in the event that Trump got killed, in order to prove that they were "trying" to protect Trump (assuming that he would be killed). The plan failed, but a number of minutes passes between the conclusion of the shooting and the arrival of officials on the roof...ample time to assess what had transpired and thus plant the 2 additional casings. If anything, what do you think.
The difficulty in locating shot 9 may be down to how you have aligned the audio. I would suggest time-aligning things using the muzzle reports from Crooks at the various mics based on their distance from him and the speed of sound. So, for example, you shouldn't line it up so that Crooks' shots are at the podium mic at the same time they are at Dayve Stewart, they should get there later. That will make your relative time of arrivals for shots 9 and 10 more accurate / absolute.
Imagine how horrible he must feel to commit the rest of your life and everything in it, to a single relatively simple task and STILL fail miserably? Kids today are so incredibly lazy
Exceptionally well done, research, and animated graphics. As far as I’ve seen and heard already, it all adds up. Except, why were the officers not at the second story windows, where they could have seen the gunman earlier. Seems like I heard there was a “stand down”, retort when questioned before the incident. As to who was responsible for the AGR complex. Maybe intentional leaving the “door open”.
Aided and supported by government agencies.
Very nice work, right to the point and on point, analysis was correct, thank you!
Trump said yesterday the sniper who killed Crooks was 400 yards away - where does that place him?
Since when is Trump a good source for fact 😆
@@Mike-Bell not criticising, but didn't you initially think shots 4-8 were from another gun?
@@mikev4621 I aggree the shots in the under tree video sound different. But in the other videos first 8 sound the same. So no I didnt initially think they were different. I thought video from the side has so much screaming that it is hard to hear and is first on the grass then behind the tree and not a good candidate for conclusions about sounds. I concentrated on all the other audio which pointed to a single shooter.
I listended to Peak Prosperity and did not find his reasoning solid. He was ignoring the videos that disproved his ideas.
@@Mike-Bell I agree that the shots sound similar enough when all sources are considered. PP should change his mind - he was doing his best at the time. Most people will understand that. I have both of you very informative
@@mikev4621 Martesen for a while was leaning they all sound the same. But then backtracked.
Thanks, this video shared more light so far.
Glad to hear that!