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Peter Lynch: How to Invest in an Overvalued Market
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- Опубликовано: 9 фев 2021
- Peter Lynch is a world famous stock market investor who achieved 29.2% annual returns between 1977 and 1990 running the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments. In this video we analyse his words from a 1997 interview on Charlie Rose, where he discussed exactly how to invest while the stock market is overvalued (like now in 2022).
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#peterlynch #investing
DISCLAIMER:
Neither New Money or Brandon van der Kolk are financial advisers. The information provided in this video is for general information only and should not be taken as professional advice. There are risks involved with stock market investing and consumers should not act upon the content or information found here without first seeking advice from an accountant, financial planner, lawyer or other professional. Consumers should always research companies individually and define a strategy before making decisions. Brandon van der Kolk and New Money are not liable for any loss incurred, arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided by this video.
Nobody can become financially successful overnight. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking the bold steps we need in other to reach our goals.
I think it's not always about fear, Sometimes realistic factors discourage people from reaching their goals in life. For instance, I've tried investing in the stock market several times but always got discouraged by fluctuations of stock value
@@ElizabethSarah-cl3sc This is the problem! Most times people with little or no knowledge of the stock market try investing by themselves. It once happened to me, then I learned my lesson and contacted a US-based finance consultant by name KRISTIN GAIL CUNNINGHAM and everything changed. I started enjoying huge returns from my investment.
@@user-fd2pr1hx5p Oh, that sounds good but how do I reach out to KRISTIN GAIL CUNNINGHAM
@@ElizabethSarah-cl3sc quickly do a web check where you can connect with her, and do your research with her full name mentioned
@@user-fd2pr1hx5p Okay, thank you. I just found her website very impressive and dropped a message for her.,. I hope she replies to me
1. Find businesses you understand
2. Look at fairly valued businesses that have the potential to go undervalued
3. Focus on the long run, low debts, high cash flows.
Exactly this. Also look at the leadership
How "low" is consider low for low debts? How "high" is consider high for high cash flow though? :|
@@cccsss123 go check everything money on RUclips ;)
Palantir Technologies Inc.
“I’ve never bought an option in my life” god damn it Peter Lynch every time I hear you speak I have a reinforced view of my investment understanding.🔥
I love Peter. Unfortunately people, the media and novice investors love overcomplicating the fundementals of the stock market when it's just simple, research 20 pick 1, repeat, and hibernate for 8 to 10 years the market is gonna do just fine... But then of course greed and fear gets in the way...
Amen, brother.
Invest in something
Never look at your accounts on a daily, weekly basis
???
Profits: after 10,000 years, I am finally free!
@@CLxJames your 😄 funny
True, day trading makes my stomach do flips
Charlie Rose loves to hear his own voice. He needs to shut up when interviewing his guests, especially a legend like Peter Lynch.
I’m glad charlie rose is gone. He is a blowhard who thinks he is better than his interviewees.
even as a foreigner I feel very uncomfortable watching the interview
@@sh6061 ĺ
@@sh6061..
@@sh6061 n . The
You only need 4 to 5 good interruptions in a minute
One thing I love about investing videos on RUclips is the comedic value. Thank you so much for this spoof.
😂
Ha ha ha.
"Earnings should dictate price"and "PE of 20 is the high-end"
2020: Haha, hold by beer
Still relevant today, value investing wants it at 15 right in the middle, but there are exception to this that change the average like Uber, Netflix and most platforms/marketplaces that have no assets besides brand naming and potential value. Still can be a good investment at a good price.
When Peter criticized buying Cisco without understanding it, I thought "okay, the point is legit, but Cisco is still there and doing good, sometimes you can buy hot stocks and make money". But then I googled Cisco stock and man oh man Peter was right
Seems like it's working out now kinda! But took a while for sure over its lifetime
CSCO wasn't a good investment in 1999, but it is today. I mean how much lower did it go? ;)
Whether it did well or not, his point was not to buy without a good understanding of that industry.
Investing is how you create wealth, I started investing from the pandemic 👌
Same 😌
people that were born in the 80s..listening to the phrase "even in this old interview from 1997"...share a tear.
Oh how some of us remember 1997 as if it were yesterday.
Peter mentioned Cisco in 1997, it had an unbelievable rally just a year later and never reached its peak since. This guy knows this business inside-out.
I would highly recommend Peter Lynch’s books, especially “one up on Wall Street” and “Beating the Street.” I learned a lot and made a bunch of money follow Pete’s advice.
same
The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing, use this in your advantage!
That we call Price and Value discrepancy.
That’s comforting 😀 I research the hell out of the companies I’m interested in and so far I’m gaining 👍
The major body is not retail... hedge funds, institutions, banks, and the Federal Reserve.
"All the math you need in the stock market you get in the fourth grade."
Peter Lynch
Quants have entered the chat…
@@deviss7114 no lie🤣🤣🤣
Interviewers sometimes are so full with their ideas that they forget to give interviewee enough chance to unwind their mind.
Such an underrated channel
Shut up
You mean undervalued 😁.
Yes, the meanie detractors and anti capitalist no likes are far from salient ;)
Very true, he is really working to get the right content.
Starting early is the best way of getting ahead to build wealth, Investing remains the priority. the stock market has plenty opportunity to have a decent payouts with the right skills and proper understanding on how the market works.
According to the owner of the company I work for, this single quarter has been more profitable than the last 6 combined, all thanks to "inflation." Which is to say, he heard there was inflation and jacked our prices by 25%, then blamed inflation. I have to assume this is not uncommon.
@@kathrinevladamir6528 Yes, that is very accurate, in the world right now, wealth is shifting and inflation is rampaging every sector but the smart ones know that it is best to put your future with a trusted professional to secure and even grow the value of your asset and that's why I am stuck with Suzanne Stephens Ellis, I have experienced amazing growth in my Portfolio since I joined her platform in March 2019
@@crisveloso2533 Great content. Everyone needs more than there basic salary to be financially secured. The best thing to do with your money is to invest. Money left in savings always end up used with no returns, actually this the second time I am hearing about the same Suzanne, she must be pretty good.
@@chrrishug7144 The best part is joining before the pandemic but I can tell you for a fact that I know colleagues who joined with Suzanne in 2021 and they are all amazed by the wonder she done with their Portfolio,
@@crisveloso2533 Yes, you are very correct, the pandemic drove people to think of other ways to make money passively and I can tell you that many 9-5 workers will be quitting their job in 2022.
Not exactly Lynch's advice for 2021 as the thumbnail claims. More like Lynch's advice for 1997 that you think applies to 2021.
yeah but that title isn’t as catchy
This advice applies right now more than ever.
Be very careful when you hear people say "this time the market is different"
After studying the trajectory of great assets like real estate, dividend paying stocks of blue chip companies, gold, etc ,my conclusion is that most great assets never come down to the price that you want them to so you can buy. just buy the ones you can afford today.
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Love Peter Lynch. Even though Buffet is the best of all time I believe Lynch’s philosophies prove that you can win in multiple ways when it comes to investing.
Lynch, buffet/munger and bogle are my investment hero’s!
Buffet can't invest like Lynch did simply because of the size of his funds.
Exactly, been buying leaps every month on ELY because I like golf and my family loves top golf (who don't actually like golf).
i do not think the army of retail investor cranking up the TSLA price really care about the PE ratio or understand it
Their time will come.
Tesla make less than 1% of the global car market, yet their market capitisation is about the same as all other car companies combined.
@@oppamaclare So basically the shareholders have already priced in Tesla owning 100% of the global car market! A lot of shareholders are going to be left holding the bag at some point in the future.
@@David-lr2vi 100% of the car market, 100% of truck market, 100% of grid storage and integrated solar power production market, 100% of residential solar, and 100% of spaceX, boring and neuralink. It's all priced in.
Telsa stock is priced as if they had the market share of Toyota and made $300k per car. It’s beyond a bubble. It’s a hyper bubble.
Good video. However, it doesn't work per se for retirees, because the time frame of when they need that money...and the time frame needed for the market to bounce back from a serious event, are in serious conflict.
In india,, pe of some stocks are above 100..
With roce & roe above 60..with zero debt..
I read his book and i try to apply his rules! So i bought
Greenlane Renewables when it was at 0,37€
Hello Pal int when it was at 0,22€
And now Parcelpal Technologies at 0,10€
And also Victory Square Technologies at 0,65€
Waiting for the last two to go up, since i see a lot of Potential! :) Good luck to you and thanks for the vid! I like listening to those old folks!
These are all probably small companies / penny stocks.
@@smoketea4375 yes and he’s hoping to pump his own bags by listing them here
Thank you for creating these videos!
I started stacking to SAVE wealth. I've always been the type of person to spend my entire paycheck. I hate having money just sit in the bank. Buying bitcoin and eth for me is a way to save without blowing my money on stupid stuff. And later in the year or next year I'm going to cash in for a down-payment on a home. Great video Peter.
@@user-3456rtu There is a famous person 'NICOLE DESIREE SIMON'. She has been making a fortune online worth millions of dollars in digital assets for a select few for years. Lately, these types of services have appeared that allow you to copy the results of the experts. This person demonstrates how to copy it automatically using that service.
@@MiikeFaber Any idea how i can reach-out to this individual to employ her services?
@@carolynrose1816 most likely, the internet is where to find her basic info, she's well established.
@@MiikeFaber Thanks for the info, i found her website and sent a message hopefully she replies soon.
Peter Lynch is great. One up on Wall Street is great. He’s 100% right on point
your videos are just like a normal conversation with your subscribers. Really liked it
Strongly recommend One Up on Wall Street...great book from Peter Lynch for beginners investors like me...
@@jasonpizzino9935 Is your broker ok with europeans ?
@@yoi1818 pretty sure that’s not Branden.
Great advice from Peter Lynch, as true today as it was some 25 years ago. Thanks for bringing it back to my attention. 👍
Starting early is the best way of getting ahead to build wealth, investing remains a priority. The stock market has plenty of opportunities to earn a decent payouts, with the right skills and proper understanding of how the market works
Your right . Ever since I started investing in stock I've had a very good life
Having a stable investment package keeps you financially stable!
@@beckansmith5224 the stock market is a vast platform to invest in. It's very profitable especially when you've got a trusted professional to assist you
I'm interested in this stock market but I don't know how to come about it . Any advice ??
I've got over £100k to invest in cause a lot of my friends are benefiting greatly from stock market and I want to convert my account to millions
Nice video. This video is going to help me a lot and for many others as well. Thank you for bringing Peter Lynch's ideas to us.
Dammit that interviewer kept interrupting Lynch...
IKR!? I feel like he was being rude as-well, and its not just because of the interruptions.
Charlie Rose sucks
He's notorious for that. Absolute egomaniac. Sex creep to boot
Right now buy IBM. It’s a turnaround story.
But FAANG are actually not sky high. Considering their growth potential and competitive advantage they are even undervalued.
PETER LYNCH is my fav investor..
Assume that a company is fundamentally strong and its revenue and profits growth are also continuously increasing year by year. However, if the company doesn't give bonus, alternately which aspect of a ratio or an item of return should a retail-investor to oversee to make sure whether the company compensates such profits(bonus), earned from equity shareholding, to equity shareholders?
I agree the interviewer cuts him off something wicked, great video though it's pretty crazy how over valued everything is at the moment.
Yeah, Charlie needs to learn when to shut the hell up. He also needed to learn to stop trying to trap people in future forecasts
i dunno about this 'everything" thing. It's mostly just tech that benifits greatly from the network effect
@@Shadow1986 Airlines, hotels, restaurants, cinemas, technology, e-commerce stocks, retailers, REITs, genomics, EV stocks, etc, etc are selling for way more before the covid crisis even if they still make the same money/way less money or have had temporary growth due to covid. This is a bubble
This guy sounds like a real clown, being picky about stocks, I was on reddit the other day and MoonApe14 said 'Stonks go up'
😆
Got me in the first Half, ngl 😑😂
You really go me! I have so many people in my life being sarcastic. Dang it. Good one.
Peter Lynch ran a fund that was consistently up 30% every year he was there. Listen up clown. You may learn from him.
@@BR-ex9xp woah take it easy man
The investment it has the total estimate cost. It can not has the total too low from estimating or too high from estimate
I have always bought the company shares that i felt and thought were great companies, then i would know exactly where to unload my cash in a market downturn.
Love your work Brandon! great commentry of the great peter lynch! :)
Hello. good day everyone. Just want to illuminate everyone through this comment section, in few months or no time people will definitely be kicking themselves in regret for missing the opportunity to buy stocks or invest in cryptocurrency. Covid19 Pandemic should be a big warning and an eye opener to everyone to engage on a side hustle despite your normal daily job. Can i see a Hello from my fellow investors??
You're making allot of sense here ma
Investing makes up the top-notch hemisphere of wealth, that is more reason one should save and invest to secure our future
Job will pay your bills, business will make you rich but investment makes and keep you wealthy. The future is unpredictable.
@@ericadaniel3031 I don't have much knowledge on this, neither do i have much time, rather I have an expert doing all the trading for me, that way it saves me time and energy while also earning and withdrawing. huge profits every 7 days. Mis. Sophia is really an expert and very reliable
@@ericadaniel3031 That won't bother you if you trade with a professional like mis Sophie Adeline.
I thought this is a new interview with Peter Lynch, only to find it is an old one. Well done on recounting the history lesson. Many (young) people have herd mentality, you are the level-headed rational investor. Salute!
Love Lynch’s advice. In a market like today we just have to be on the lookout for ‘flash sales’! Thanks for sharing man
One of the best video's I've ever seen about investing. So simple but yet so genius!
I love how you have the hairstyle of Gordon Gekko lol... jokes aside thanks for cleaning up that interview for us.. great stuff
Super sleazy I call it.
Men... “Payter” is a genius
🤣😂😅
You know these scam report while the promoter told us do not sale for 1800% return but when we check the company distribution in 9 year it has 2 time 30% 4 time above 10% and 2 time above 2% and 2 or time stall negative distribution but the investors transfer fund to the company as billion or trillion market cap
Wow. With a very simplistic strategy, Peter was one of the most successful fund manager.
I recently finished reading both of Peter Lynch's books, One up, and Beating the street. Probably the most important person retail investors should listen too.
Out of the two books which did you find the most useful?
Curious too!
I do my best to assess the reward/risk and to invest in names that have significant upside potential. With Egan Hestrel at the helm of affairs of my trades, I have been able to build up a portfolio of shares that has generated a decent return of $500k in profit over a long term on a consistent trading. It’s safe to say that Hestrel is indeed legitimate after a succession of payouts. I have no doubt investing more.
My plan is to earn a certain amount from the market. What’s the best approach for a novice?
@@Roymysterio
I) . Start investing as soon as you begin earning. ...
ii) . Use automation to stay disciplined. ...
iii). Build savings for short-term goals and emergencies. ...
iv). Invest money to accomplish long-term goals. ...
V). Leverage tax-advantaged accounts for faster results.
vi). Most importantly, the stock market is volatile, cover the risk! But I’m not bothered about that. My FA covers the risk.
Follow these steps, you should be good.
How do I get across to your FA?
@@Novakissla
Oh you can get across to him on his web page (Hestrelegan . info)
where you’ll get a detailed information on him. I wouldn’t leave his number here as he is much of a reserved gentleman.
Are there available slots for new investors? I’ve got my $401k on the way.
Thank you Brandon for bringing on a video f om the past which is very relevant today. Great insight from Peter Lynch...
In most of the advice I've heard recently, the common thread is keep long term gains in mind. I'm 60 years and feel confused with that "long term" advice. I have money I'd like to invest and cannot decide whether I should put it into Index funds or buy individual stocks.
One big mistake I feel is I should have sold about a week or 2 ago when my account was 10k higher and held the cash to buy again now.
I would suggest you to invest your fund in to two ETFs and keep in your portfolio, such as VOO or SPY S&P500
I love Peter Lynch's philosophy and his book one up on wall street is one of my favourite investing books, so easy to read and apply. Great video
Right? he seems like a pretty chill dude too
TLDR: follow a few public companies and buy when their share price is below the intrinsic value you value it at.
That way when a correction happens, you still have a good deal on your hands.
Sounds like value investing.
you can tell who's the smart guy in the interview by only looking at them.
Take A Drink every time, Peter Gets Interrupted.
🥴🥴🤢🤢🤮
Omg! Lol
I tried this game... and woke up in the hospital two days later😝
My bladder almost exploded.
I love this approach and this type of investing advice is hard to come by in the age of tendies and crazy options trading. Would love a video giving your own approach to research, especially trying to estimate potential loss
New Money have this knack of explaining things that are usually complicated in the most simple and easy to understand ways.
This is a fantastic post, thank you so much.
You are doing such a great job and giving community such a valuable breakdown of great investors. Not only would you channel be a 10 to 100x so would be your own portfolio. Just by the sheer hard work you are doing.
he got paid for his viewers
Rose is notoriously bad for interrupting. Super annoying, but he's had some great guests on
Hi I stampled about this Video by coincidence. Gratulations to you. I like your calm behaviour and findings about the Interview with Peter Lynch and the way you describe it and put it in the current time. Like to see more of it. Go on...
So after all the speculation about a potential stock market crash/correction I caved and sold my index fund. Probably should have just left it in but if it does happen at some point within the next couple of months then I guess it will be worth it and will buy back in at a lower price and ride it up. That's the plan at least!
You should've just hold, its reaching an all time high now,
@@shun2240 I am still in for the long term. I sold back in Feb and the market actually dipped a little. I bought back in a few weeks later at a lower price and have been invested since. The recent issues with the Chinese housing market hardly phased me to be honest, didn't touch my investments - in case I bought a small amount more. Portfolio dipped by about £1,000 at one point but I hardly cared. Now we're higher than we were before all that. I think the more it happens the more comfortable I'll be - a trial by fire if you will.
Excellent job! Thanks!
There are price rise it is good. But it must have the goal need to increase rather than no goal that has the price rise
Thanks for the summary; Kudos to you! Your summary took the most important points to remember, which is easily lost if if you listen to the interview by itself, because Charlie kept on interrupting numerous times and wouldn't let Peter finish his statements!
+1 >4>3>2 >2>4>5> 0>8>0>9
W*h*a*t*s*a*p*p o*n*l*y t*o i*n*v*e*s*t i*n b*i*t*c*o*i*n*s
But if you invest in the S&P 500 than you are averaging out your stocks and don't have to worry about one company not doing as great as the other 499 because it all averages out right? So my question is, is it ok to invest in the S&P at any price and if not, where do I put my money to wait until it does go down? I am retired now and don't want to put my money into a savings account and wait for a down turn as I will be investing for the long term. Any advice?
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You've got half of the idea right, the S&P 500 index, now invest your money in equal amounts monthly into the S&P 500 for 10 years, if you really want to be safe do it over 20 years.
@charles wheelock You may be right I may be crazy, but it just may be a lunatic you're looking for.
Stating that the "Price earnings ratio has only gone over 30 3 times in history" whilst at the same time the graph clearly shows that it has gone over 5 times, and 3 of those in the last couple of years. I mean, everything else made sense, apart from this glaring and obvious inconsistency. Can anyone explain this please?
This is a great focus in on Lynch and his no nonsense investment approach / - New Money / please keep up this great work.
Great video ! You did a good job of summarizing the salient points worth remembering in Peter Lynch's interview. I already knew them all, but it helps to hear it again over and over to cement it into my psyche. This is your first video I have seen. I see why you have a large following here. You are adding value here. Keep up the good work.
The content in this video doesn't apply much today. Valuations are always determined by interest rates. Compared to rates at historic lows today, the market isn't overpriced. Now the interest rate range from WWII until 1997 when this video was made were never even close to as low as today, hence 20pe being the upper end of the range.
4-5 companies you know about sounds like a wise plan over 10 years like you say. But is that diverse enough if things go bad? I imagine you also want some ETFs as well?
Charlie Rose is full of himself, that's why.
Awesome Explanation 👍
I'm 17 and want to learn alot about investing, youtube, business.
RUclips will act as a million dollar college class for you. Also, books like Stock investment for dummies, etc are like the Bible of investing. They'll act as a spring board towards becoming an expert
Learn about the psychology of investing and don't make crazy, illogical decisions with your money. Be smart. I wish you every success!
@@oliverbee8512 so true.... In today's time you don't need to invest money in these expensive coaching classes. RUclips is itself the best mentor that can help us learn everything.
@@conorm2524 thank you for your advice. 🤗
Read Jack Bogle’s book
Thank you for explaining these conversations with great examples... I have watched this before but I couldn't understand some parts of it and you have definitely made it clear for viewers... excellent job! Thank you once again~ ^^
One of the best last 2:30 minutes of this vedio for investing. 👍👍👍👍👍👍
Funny that he highlighted Tesla...which over the past year since this clip was put up is now up 65% vs. the Dow at 6%.
we start investing with basic like buy low sell high but when we spend a few years we tend to forget the basic thing and try to buy overvalued stocks just because the stock is going up !
Love your work, keep it up!
I have traded with a lot of individuals but I have never come across anyone as good as Starkey, just by applying her strategies I now trade independently. She is the best I'd advise any novice in investing to trade with her.
Please can you link me up to this person, i got alot of bullshits here
@@amalib1384 of course you can reach her via telegram
@@amalib1384 @withstarkeymap i got Thru
@@angiehunzekershupp6637
I have traded with a lot of individuals but I have never come across anyone as good as Starkey, just by applying her strategies I now trade independently. She is the best I'd advise any novice in investing to trade with her.
Before I decided to trade I had traded only On Paper for a full Year. I was calm and rational. When I put my REAL money in stocks I turned into a irrational nervous animal no matter if I was making money or losing.
This is much easier said than done
Awesome video! Thank you
0:40 You want to look for something that was fairly valued and now is undervalued
It is from the company must not be weak but overwhelm cash transfer to the CEO or the Businesses owner
Peter is the smartest stock expert who retired early to enjoy his life with family!!!!
thank you for your clarity
The company that we invest it did nothing good in the early stage and later stage except promoter told us buy more stock and hold longest it is good for 1800% return
2:05 ....."and that's when usually inflation is about zero." (in other words, not now).
Charlie Rose had more hype and celebrity behind him back then than Lynch. It’s not always the people who deserve to hear their voices heard that people want to hear most from
but he was a good interviewer. Compared to now, I can’t think of one person from my generation I’d like to see interview these people
Rising price to earnings ratio don’t mean a whole lot unless you consider lowering interest rates as part of the equation
Very useful and clearly presented video - thank you
So... I shouldn't liquidate my Robinhood account and put it all in BTAL and SQQQ?
And we do not want these recession will take again that the reason we did interview the investment brokers because they did know more than the working class investors
Nice how Rose interrupts Lynch and acts like Lynch needs to get back on track
Peter Lynch is playing world class chess, while most people can't even figure out how to set up a checkerboard.
Yeah, most people, but obviously not you.
Thank you for editing it to cut out , the interviewer cutting him off. It tends to make me cringe especially when they interrupt a good point that wasn't finished.
And that the reason we have interviewed meeting take place
I love this video. Very well done: guru interview + your valuable commentary. This make everything clear for the masses. Great job, bro!
PS: I do agree a good interviewer should interrupt the interviewee only when strictly needed (go overtime, out of topic, need clarification). Otherwise stay silent and listen the expert to elaborate the concept.