Polls at halfway point: reading the numbers, margins, prospects & the 50% factor

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  • Опубликовано: 6 май 2024
  • #CutTheClutter #loksabhaelection2024
    With the third phase of Lok Sabha polls today, eight states have concluded polling. In Episode 1445 of Cut The Clutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta discusses the past performance of the BJP, Congress, and other prominent regional parties in important constituencies.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    5:10 - States where voting for Lok Sabha Polls is over
    9:48 - BJP’s performance in 2019 Elections
    15:00 -How Opposition performed in 2019 polls
    16:57 - The remaining 259 seats
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Комментарии • 669

  • @ThePrintIndia
    @ThePrintIndia  25 дней назад +7

    Exclusive content, privileges & more - Subscribe to ThePrint for special benefits: theprint.in/subscribe/

    • @everyonetravelauniquejourn8752
      @everyonetravelauniquejourn8752 24 дня назад +1

      Not interested.Sekhar gupta is not focussed.lot of blabbering

    • @aedecded
      @aedecded 24 дня назад +1

      what is so exclusive of this stupid content. There is no analysis. Just a summary of what happened in 2019 which my daadi would also tell. Make some interesting content Guptaji.

    • @everyonetravelauniquejourn8752
      @everyonetravelauniquejourn8752 24 дня назад +1

      He says cut the clutter but he creates clutter

  • @ss-su9ob
    @ss-su9ob 25 дней назад +434

    as long as yogendra yadav says... BJP will get less.. we are OK. If he says... BJP will get more... will be terrified. That gentleman was always wrong (by a mile)...

    • @amazon37mustafa9
      @amazon37mustafa9 24 дня назад +26

      wait and watch andh bhakts

    • @ss-su9ob
      @ss-su9ob 24 дня назад +43

      @@amazon37mustafa9 chill mate.. less bhakt, more, do not like Mr. Yadav..

    • @eishuno
      @eishuno 24 дня назад

      ​@@amazon37mustafa9 awwww

    • @svacharya8180
      @svacharya8180 24 дня назад +33

      ​@@amazon37mustafa9 When there is no reasoning should abuse suffice?

    • @vikashgauravvkg
      @vikashgauravvkg 24 дня назад

      @@amazon37mustafa9 eucated samjha kya apne aap ko tu madarsachap hai 😂😂

  • @sankalp6872
    @sankalp6872 25 дней назад +378

    Shri Yogendra Yadav in one show said that BJP is NOT EVEN visible in "rear view" mirror in Chattisgarh. As it turns out, he kept looking for the BJP in "rear view" mirror, while the BJP drove forward and Congress went downhill. I cannot predict the election result but personally I think Rahul Gandhi's Amethi "surrender" was a COWARDLY move. Running away from a fight sends the WRONG message. Gandhi should vacate the political space if he loses to Modi once again.

    • @user-ng5xr2ju2z
      @user-ng5xr2ju2z 24 дня назад +13

      Dude sankalp, your comments are too good xD. I share your opinion on YoYa being a complete joker, his face and voice is enough to piss one off, forget his dumb opinions, but the way you destroy him is too good xD

    • @libshastra
      @libshastra 24 дня назад +2

      Sharp comment!

    • @nnbg8000
      @nnbg8000 24 дня назад

      @Sankalp: brilliant!

    • @user-nt3rr6yc4c
      @user-nt3rr6yc4c 24 дня назад +7

      When you don’t understand how politics works and only shout slogans wherever you go, you will say RG’s decision not to contest from Amethi is cowardice! Cylinderella has been served a check mate but all these dynamics of politics will go way over your head! Swoooosshhhhh!

    • @sivaaero92
      @sivaaero92 24 дня назад +15

      ​​@@user-nt3rr6yc4clol .As per you fearing to contest in their family constituency against a union minister and running away from that for a more safer constituency is a great move in politics and is equal to a check mate in chess🤦! wow slow clapps buddy 👏👏👏. what an politcal intellectual leader and their followers! great yar. Keep it up 👌👌

  • @sankalp6872
    @sankalp6872 25 дней назад +274

    If Shri Yogendra Yadav is predicting then Modi be better packing his bag. After all his last 420 predictions were "spot on". Shir YoYa is no ordinary man. The man is an astrologer, physicist, virologist, gynaecologist, economist, and a dozen other things. Shri YoYa is a LEGEND. Even all 6 Nobel Prizes, all 24 Oscars, the The Fields Medal and all other global prestigious awards combine CANNOT do justice to Shri YoYa's stature.

    • @rutvikrs
      @rutvikrs 25 дней назад +24

      I swear Salim is going to be an ever-present character in the future political fiction. Like an inept version of Vaerys or Littlefinger.

    • @watanabe00738
      @watanabe00738 25 дней назад +19

      Sexologists also

    • @libshastra
      @libshastra 24 дня назад +14

      Whoever came up with “Yoya is India’s Johnny Sins” needs to be given a Padma award.

    • @sankalp6872
      @sankalp6872 24 дня назад +13

      @@libshastra Hi Lib, How was voting in you constituency? In my constituency total polarization. Full marks to BJP organization, they ensured a united Hindu vote and brought every supporter to the polling booth. They even arranged coolers, snacks, softdrinks and water for voters. The Congress organization was hopeless. Nevertheless, kudos to INC vote bank. They too came out to vote on their own. Triumph of electoral democracy. However, I think BJP holds the edge because it ensured that no Hindu house was left behind. After today's phase, I am quite confident of BJP's 2024 chances. For a moment, felt it was touch and go. Looks like BJP and NCP (Ajit Pawar) will do well. Shinde has also tried hard but not sure about his chances.

    • @venkataramananchidambaram3684
      @venkataramananchidambaram3684 24 дня назад +3

      Yadav ji gets currency at home !!! Sits writes lines in utopial imaginations ,satisfying his supplier full ,andolan jeevi yadav ji !!!! Fit to half climb the gate !!!! Soros the believer !!! For many decades !!!! Failure always is surely his 100% success.

  • @AkashSharma1201
    @AkashSharma1201 24 дня назад +95

    Every time you use the words "expert" and "Yogendra Yadav" in the same sentence, your credibility goes down a notch.

    • @kshorts4k
      @kshorts4k 24 дня назад +2

      Andholan jeevi yogendra yadav ( Saleem Bhai is orginal name ) 😂😂😂😂😂😂

    • @bvrmurthy8488
      @bvrmurthy8488 15 дней назад

      He against Modi and BJP and expert in organization farmer protest and blocking high ways.

  • @venkatesh4715
    @venkatesh4715 25 дней назад +197

    Yogendra yadav's Chattisgarh predcitions are known to all. He made huge claims of Congress sweeping the 2023 assembly polls and the rest is history!!
    One more from 2018: BJP's popularity diminishing, it will lose at least 100 Lok Sabha seats: Yogendra Yadav

    • @sankalp6872
      @sankalp6872 25 дней назад +24

      I know in one show, Shri Yoya commented, "BJP is NOT EVEN visible in "rear view" mirror in Chattisgarh". As it turns out, he kept looking for the BJP in "rear view" mirror, while the BJP already reached Raj Bhavan, but Congress went down the cliff.

    • @sanjaydongre
      @sanjaydongre 24 дня назад +5

      What yogendra yadav can do in front of EVM hack ???

    • @MrPrabhatRastogi
      @MrPrabhatRastogi 24 дня назад +22

      @@sanjaydongrelol - nach na Jane aangan tedha

    • @niladrighosh7515
      @niladrighosh7515 24 дня назад +14

      ​@@sanjaydongre lol....😂😂 that's your excuse?

    • @Subranna1
      @Subranna1 24 дня назад +8

      YY is nice spoken but has no clue on Indian politics😂😂

  • @hello3524
    @hello3524 24 дня назад +88

    Gupta ji puts YoYo ji on such a high pedestal; this itself tells the story about Gupta ji. All of YoYo ji's predictions fall flat, not even close. I'm not sure why Gupta ji always sticks to propagandists. In my opinion, that's the reason nobody pays much attention to Gupta ji.
    YoYo Sir couldn't even predict the outcome of the seat he contested. In the end, he was cursing that the voters are stupid. He thinks he's such a great soul that everyone should just listen to him. I mean, what has he done in his life to build this trust with voters? I mean, if the founders of Tata or Infosys promise something, then people could believe them because of their track record. What has YoYo done to earn the trust of voters? YoYo ji couldn't even condemn fraudulent Arvind Kejriwal, who keeps lying all the time in public.

    • @ZoldicsDiaries
      @ZoldicsDiaries 23 дня назад

      Duggal sahab aka yogendra yadav fir aagye🤣🤣- He will get an answer on 4th july.

  • @youdekho
    @youdekho 24 дня назад +54

    Gupta ji....this comes from a regular cut the clutter viewer. Felt like there was nothing new you talked about in this episode (no clutter to cut in the subject) ...and a bad start with Yogendras article.....he is predictions are going horribly wrong for past 10 years

    • @JJ-hp6mb
      @JJ-hp6mb 21 день назад

      Oh, so he didn't appeal to your confirmation bias? 🤣

    • @youdekho
      @youdekho 21 день назад

      @@JJ-hp6mb Gupta ji didn't do any predictions of election outcome. So how bias question arises? YoYa did predictions...and we all know how is predictions are working for past 10 years 😂

  • @narapuram2
    @narapuram2 24 дня назад +30

    Wishful thinking being passed on as opinion by Yogendra Yadav and being parroted by Shekha Gupta.
    All in all, I forecast gangbuster sales of Burnol on June 4th😂😂

  • @lastleaf5282
    @lastleaf5282 24 дня назад +39

    Shekhar Gupta was completely wrong in analyzing 2019 Sharad Pawar dislodging Fadanvis- Ajit Pawar coalition . He mentioned Sharad Pawar met Modi in Delhi and assumed Pawar told Modi if you come after my family I will not tolerate. This was completely bogus analysis . One can check one of the old his cut the clutter video . His analysis are often way away from reality .

    • @abhissri6666
      @abhissri6666 24 дня назад +2

      Bhai, don't be so harsh on him. Journalism or political analysis is not even his first profession. He has excelled as small time broker in power corridors of Delhi

    • @studer3500
      @studer3500 22 дня назад +1

      he is a biased and incompetent so called "analyst". If he had any common sense he would vote for the BJP.

    • @JJ-hp6mb
      @JJ-hp6mb 21 день назад

      ​@@studer3500😂

  • @atulaksar
    @atulaksar 25 дней назад +84

    Why print publishes opinions n not news. That too one sided opinions 😮

    • @hello3524
      @hello3524 24 дня назад +18

      Because that's what a Theprint job is-it's a portal, and Gupta ji is a left-leaning secular journalist. Most of his funding comes from the left ecosystem, so he does.
      ThePrint is like India’s NYT, WaPo, or Al Jazeera.

    • @SatyamSingh-fm2bn
      @SatyamSingh-fm2bn 24 дня назад +2

      ᴡʜʏ ᴅᴏ ʏᴏᴜ ᴄᴀʟʟ sʜᴇᴋʜᴀʀ ɢᴜᴘᴛᴀ ɪs ʟᴇғᴛ ʟᴇᴀɴɪɴɢ?
      ɪ ɴᴇᴠᴇʀ ᴇᴠᴇʀ ғᴇʟᴛ ᴛʜᴀᴛ....
      ɪ ᴀʟᴡᴀʏs ᴛʜɪɴᴋ ʜᴇ ʟᴏᴏᴋs ʟɪᴋᴇ ᴀɴ ᴏᴜᴛsɪᴅᴇʀ.
      ɪ ғᴇᴇʟ ʜᴇ ᴡᴀs ɴᴏᴛ ʙɪᴀsᴇᴅ...
      sᴏ ᴡʜᴀᴛ ᴘᴏɪɴᴛ ᴅɪᴅ ʏᴏᴜ ɴᴏᴛɪᴄᴇ?
      ᴄᴀɴ ʏᴏᴜ ᴘʟᴇᴀsᴇ ɢɪᴠᴇ ᴀ ᴛɪᴍᴇsᴛᴀᴍᴘ?

    • @ohboeeboee
      @ohboeeboee 24 дня назад +1

      That is what he calls de hyphenated😂😂😂.. YoYa print

    • @kshorts4k
      @kshorts4k 24 дня назад +5

      Sekhar is Pappu party worker

    • @Shivameo
      @Shivameo 24 дня назад +1

      I have been watching The print for almost 5 years and what I observed is that they are strategically aligned toward BJP, it is not though to figure it out.

  • @hareshmehta1772
    @hareshmehta1772 24 дня назад +37

    One day YoYa will turn out to be right. After all a dysfunctional clock too gives correct time twice in a day.

    • @Jun_kid
      @Jun_kid 24 дня назад +10

      For that he'll have to STOP predicting.

    • @juPi05tEr
      @juPi05tEr 24 дня назад +1

      @@Jun_kid 😂😂😂

    • @hareshmehta1772
      @hareshmehta1772 24 дня назад +1

      @@Jun_kid no, he has to keep on predicting the same thing like a dysfunctional clock. He cannot change his prediction. When, one day, he turns out right he dance shouting "I told you so!". On other hand if he dies before his prediction turns out right, he will be declared a prophet who prophesied that the day of reckoning is at hand. "Repent".

    • @simriths.s5976
      @simriths.s5976 20 дней назад

      😂😂😂😂

  • @user-jn7ph2wc2w
    @user-jn7ph2wc2w 24 дня назад +49

    Mr. Gupta, question you should ask is, does those who make predictions like Mr. Yogendra Yadav have any credibility given that their predictions have gone spectacularly wrong (just 4 months ago) in Madhya PRadesh / Chattishgadh or in 2019 etc. etc. In any other profession, someone who makes such spectacular mistakes either changes the profession (if they have any sense of shame and responsibility left) or looses the job. But, hey, this is lutyen media. As long as it favors the old guard, there is no check and balances, their career graph moves in only upward direction. I think the day opposition Congress gets rid of such jokers, is the day it will get to hear from real people from ground and will improve its position.
    Mr. Yadav was talking about poll percentage drop in Rajasthan. there was an article by SBI where they said "total votes" (not vote percentage) cast in Phase 1 and 2 were higher than 2019. In fact, in Rajasthan, total drop of votes per constituency (average) is around 35,000 votes (about 8 lakhs for 25 seats). Assuming all of this is a loss for BJP, how on earth BJP is going to loose when its victory margin in Rajasthan was over 2 lakhs. Only Mr. Yadav's "ganith" can explain that.

    • @ZoldicsDiaries
      @ZoldicsDiaries 23 дня назад

      Duggal sahab aka yogendra yadav fir aagye🤣🤣- He will get an answer on 4th july.

    • @blistering2900
      @blistering2900 23 дня назад

      Abe chutiya bhakt watch on 4th June..you will learn.

  • @girishktyagi
    @girishktyagi 24 дня назад +29

    whole narrative is :
    BJP : 400+ NDA
    Opposition : We will ensure you don't get 400+
    Result: BJP is coming with much better tally than 2019

  • @satgubi
    @satgubi 24 дня назад +19

    Problem with journalists like SG is they tend to think like economists. Past is a prefiction of the future! People vote on their feet and look at what they see on the ground and what they expect for their future!

  • @prakhargupta1405
    @prakhargupta1405 25 дней назад +19

    Firsy of All in 2019 NDA won 345 seats and all the seats which were won by NDA is under PM Modi's name so you can say it's BJP's only so plzz play on 345 seats and not on 303 seats .

    • @KshitijBhambri1
      @KshitijBhambri1 24 дня назад

      Current NDA without BJD, YSRCP,BRS,SAD, 6 MPs of SS UBT, but Add TDP, RLDhad none, SS Shinde,Ajit NCP
      Has 336

    • @prakhargupta1405
      @prakhargupta1405 24 дня назад +4

      @@KshitijBhambri1 BJD , Ysrcp and BRS was not part of NDA in 2019 .

    • @KshitijBhambri1
      @KshitijBhambri1 24 дня назад

      @@prakhargupta1405 ofc that's why didnt add them
      Neither BSP

  • @racistocrazy
    @racistocrazy 24 дня назад +11

    congress is invisible in delhi. i am a resident of north west delhi (rohini) and didn't seen any congress flag/poster/rally till now. maybe all the congress buzz is online.

  • @hello3524
    @hello3524 24 дня назад +24

    With all due respect, Gupta ji's cumbersome narration is so complex that even sincere political enthusiast individual won't get much out of it except few public info and the overall tone.
    Lost in narration, no wonder Gupta ji doesn’t have good viewership.
    Sorry Gupta ji, been giving this f/b since many years, but too late for you to change.

    • @kausnishant
      @kausnishant 24 дня назад

      Pqq😊😊😊qq

    • @kausnishant
      @kausnishant 24 дня назад

      11

    • @2010sourabh
      @2010sourabh 24 дня назад

      u can get lost anytime from the print. no one is stopping u

    • @kshorts4k
      @kshorts4k 24 дня назад +1

      ​@@2010sourabhMuslim party worker 😅😅😅

    • @studer3500
      @studer3500 21 день назад

      @@kshorts4k a namazee for sure...

  • @kuldeepkumarbhat9648
    @kuldeepkumarbhat9648 24 дня назад +4

    So you mean to say that 224 are guaranteed to the BJP ?
    Hence just 50 more are needed to form a Govt the third time !
    Not a difficult job, in any case.
    BJP's come is guaranteed.

  • @watanabe00738
    @watanabe00738 25 дней назад +71

    As soon as i heard yogendra yadav , i stopped the video . Its better to watch rubbish kumar than listening to yoyo's dellusional predictions , which he is doing for last 10 years 😂

    • @HarmanHundal01
      @HarmanHundal01 24 дня назад

      Modi chamcha of the week detected.

    • @kshorts4k
      @kshorts4k 24 дня назад +3

      Correct 😂😂😂😂

    • @simulacrumproductions1012
      @simulacrumproductions1012 24 дня назад +1

      Thanks for your expert opinion,which you got the time to form as pappa modi has left you unemployed and anpad like him after all the electoral bonds scams he did, after the highest unemployment in last 45 years, and then you also didn't have to listen to your family whom you had sold to Revanna, BrijBhushans son,Kuldip Sengar, all r****t BJP tocket holders for r***... hope you are happy doing hindu Muslim while the high price for petrol chases India's GDP per capita rank trying to beat it, and both you and your k**s d** as typical unemployed and illiterate bhakts!

  • @manishd7177
    @manishd7177 25 дней назад +16

    Hi Shekhar, just wanted to know if we ever had uncontested poll earlier in any parliamentary election?

    • @daagaaseth2734
      @daagaaseth2734 25 дней назад +9

      Congress has won 11 seats uncontested in different LS elections since 1952
      In 2012 mainpuri LS bypoll, Dimple yadav won the seat uncontested.

    • @hello3524
      @hello3524 24 дня назад

      Oh Yeah, many such examples, pretty common in every election, it happened with SP and congress, many times.
      Just google it man.

    • @cricketdhamaka1973
      @cricketdhamaka1973 24 дня назад +3

      So far 37 since first lok sabha election.

  • @arunkumargarg6129
    @arunkumargarg6129 24 дня назад +5

    Shekhar Gupta working overtime to give confidence to his masters

  • @tarunmohapatra5734
    @tarunmohapatra5734 24 дня назад +21

    Yogendra Yadav ,he is not a pshepologist ,he is congress sympathizer. I am not going to watch this ctc episode from this point when I listen name of Yogendra Yadav .

  • @onlytruthissupreme7541
    @onlytruthissupreme7541 24 дня назад +4

    Tejaswi is not capable enough to pull votes from outside of the MY constituency and that is the himaliyan size hurdle for RJD to crossover. As long as Lalu is active in politics, it would remain a tough zone for Tejaswi to win hearts of other communities outside MY combine.

  • @Anp562
    @Anp562 24 дня назад +6

    2:20 Ichadhari protester also said the same in 2019. Confidently said BJP below 200😂😂

  • @saheedparambil6449
    @saheedparambil6449 24 дня назад +25

    Only Amit shah know the numbers 😂😂😂

    • @kshorts4k
      @kshorts4k 24 дня назад +2

      I also knows 😂😂😂

    • @JD-ce1mj
      @JD-ce1mj 23 дня назад

      Nostradamus in the making😂?

  • @maantang
    @maantang 23 дня назад +2

    Mr. Gupta, God knows everything. He is not bound by time and space. I never understood why people like to commit blasphemy so eagerly.

  • @balaboopathy1228
    @balaboopathy1228 24 дня назад +6

    Why r such videos allowed before full polling is over. This can influence the voters who haven't voted yet

    • @Suncity-ls3ps
      @Suncity-ls3ps 23 дня назад +1

      Bro these are analysis not a exit poll

  • @SachinChavan13
    @SachinChavan13 19 дней назад

    Why did you consider 50% mark? Shouldn't you consider the margin of vote share between winning and losing candidate?

  • @lobsangsherap2559
    @lobsangsherap2559 25 дней назад +19

    God can’t stop wars . Forget about Indian elections result .

    • @hello3524
      @hello3524 24 дня назад +1

      God certainly can’t win for Chamcha’s, Pappu need to stop doing propaganda,

    • @sujithkumar2041
      @sujithkumar2041 24 дня назад

      But Gobiji can stop ww3. Don’t question ok?

    • @lobsangsherap2559
      @lobsangsherap2559 24 дня назад

      @@sujithkumar2041 who am I to ask question to invisible subject? From your comment , I can tell you blame him for not stopping WW 1 n 2 . He could have atleast stopped atomic bomb on Japan … he didn’t.

    • @Jun_kid
      @Jun_kid 24 дня назад +1

      Your definition of God is the problem.
      God ordained that Modi should get a 3rd term. That's what was written, and that's what shall be done!

    • @lobsangsherap2559
      @lobsangsherap2559 24 дня назад

      @@Jun_kid i have no definition of any God . If God can somehow decide Modi should win … God will probably decide the next earthquake or tsunami … why rely so much on invisible subject?

  • @subramanianramajayam2467
    @subramanianramajayam2467 22 дня назад +3

    A great leader like Modiji deserves a win hands-down.See in our country useless politicians are competing against a leader of .odi's stature.

  • @MohammadZavedSiddiqui
    @MohammadZavedSiddiqui 23 дня назад +2

    His whole analysis has ignored the influence of external factors

  • @HeavenRacer422
    @HeavenRacer422 24 дня назад +6

    In 2019 NDA+ got 45% votes. This time NDA will almost touch 50. Count NDA not only BJP. BJP is fighting only 440 around seats.

  • @user-hb3jv4ce1b
    @user-hb3jv4ce1b 23 дня назад +1

    Bihar, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Delhi and Haryana may go Congress way based on ground reality. BJP may get less seats from these states. Which can Impact their overall winning seats. Based on maths and ground sentiments. BJP may loose 45-50 seats on it own. But good news is that they may increase slightly in West Bengal and North east state gaining 8-14 seats.

  • @anilgca
    @anilgca 25 дней назад +25

    Can somebody give 5 bullet point summary of what did he say please?

    • @ToastRusk
      @ToastRusk 24 дня назад +9

      Mostly yapping

    • @sankalp6872
      @sankalp6872 24 дня назад +13

      1) Shri Yogendra Yadav has given his blessing to Shri Narendra Modi.
      2) Polling in BJP bastions is complete.
      3) The next phases are practically a Bonus round for the BJP. AP, Odisha, Telangana are states with seat increasing chance for the BJP. These are are what will determine if BJP comes to 400+ (assuming it retains its tally of 2019).
      4) Correct me if I am wrong but I don't think he mentioned Rahul Gandhi in his 24 minute video. That in many ways sums up the election so far. Rahul is just not on people's mind. As an example, Sharad Pawar was asking for votes in the name of "Sharad Pawar" and not Rahul Gandhi while Naidu and Pawan Kalyan were showcasing Modi to become the CMs.
      5) The last point, I'll borrow from Rahul Verma's analysis on India Today. He compared our electoral contest to an India vs Zimbabwe cricket match, where India is BJP and Zimbabwe is Congress. Of course, anything can happen on a match day but you would generally pick India as the favorites.

    • @vamsikrishna8720
      @vamsikrishna8720 24 дня назад

      @@sankalp6872 nicely summarized !

    • @gopinathp4188
      @gopinathp4188 24 дня назад +8

      Only one bullet point: Modi 3.0 loading. Rest all noise. 😂

    • @kover72
      @kover72 24 дня назад +1

      I could not summarise this episode. There was no message or analysis.

  • @jacobpj5084
    @jacobpj5084 18 дней назад +1

    I beg to differ with your data analysis.
    For each and every Voter it is just one step this way or the other to make a candidate win with 50% + or not and not 50 steps

  • @princem932
    @princem932 23 дня назад +5

    Futile efforts , Mark my word , BJP going past 350 .

  • @vikramkrishnan6414
    @vikramkrishnan6414 23 дня назад +6

    Shekhar Gupta has mastered the art of saying a lot without saying anything meaningful. The entire media is forced to make this look election look interesting, when we all know what the outcome woudl be. This is like watching an Australia Zimbabwe match, we know the outcome, bas dekhna hai kitne run se jeet te hain.

    • @dilshad003
      @dilshad003 21 день назад

      ruclips.net/video/sp6I-hBU9QA/видео.html

  • @rajx7120
    @rajx7120 24 дня назад +4

    What about important Sikh leaders joining BJP in Punjab and Delhi?

  • @pichumanisankar2617
    @pichumanisankar2617 24 дня назад +7

    Yogendra Yadav has, it appears, hijacked this video.😂

  • @scientifixx
    @scientifixx 19 дней назад +1

    If this is your analysis, This could have happened at any point after 2019 election. Looking and analysing from 2019 result could have happened any time. Why in middle of elections.

  • @hindurashtra63
    @hindurashtra63 24 дня назад +2

    From past 10 years of Experience, I can clearly say - Indian Electrions are truly unpredictable.
    No one can say what will happen.. All Popular Predictions have proven to be wrong every time.
    So, Lets just wait till June 4th to know the results.

    • @yashkanodia34
      @yashkanodia34 24 дня назад +1

      Many polls are correct in poll %, no one can predict seats. Seats are guessed by pundits, which is subjective, but poll data is more or less correct

  • @hiddendagger7291
    @hiddendagger7291 24 дня назад +1

    Bjp is obviously not winning 370 nor NDA is winning 400
    But BJP will increase its seat compare to 2019 ... BJP will get around 325 and NDA will get 369

  • @PMPatel-np5jq
    @PMPatel-np5jq 22 дня назад

    Excellent work.
    Thank you, SGji.
    Cutting the clutters of and unraveling the massive, shifty Hydra-headed complexities of Indian poll scene is no easy task. You & Team did it.
    This was the finest example of doing classical psephology for popular and academic consumption alike.
    Good you avoided the trap of estimating seat share numbers and remained stuck to shifts, if any, in vote share calculus & analysis. Your state-specific insights of some major contests were particularly outstanding.
    Congratulations Team TP.
    A job well done.

  • @bhojjadamotabanda
    @bhojjadamotabanda 21 день назад

    When did Yogender Yadav become an expert? Edit: Just saw other comments and realized that a lot of people noticed the same thing.

  • @KINGSLAYER391
    @KINGSLAYER391 23 дня назад +1

    Here is the thing. BJP is blessed with a lot of charismatic leaders. Unfortunately, in the INDI Alliance, a lot of leaders are unable to come to the fore and show how worthy they are cause of a couple of people or shall we say cause of a certain family. People might not be happy with modiji, but the problem is, that people are unable to see a better or a more mature leader in RaGa.
    You have to have a leader somehow. One is way better than the other, so people choose him. It is just perhaps a lack of alternatives available cause again, a certain family or few individuals aren’t allowing talented young leaders to shine through.

  • @laudalassan109
    @laudalassan109 24 дня назад +1

    Entire analysis is flawed. The constituencies in the phases for 2019 and 2024 elections are different. Not an accurate analysis.

  • @sachinfilinto
    @sachinfilinto 24 дня назад

    @ThePrintIndia you missed Goa in states completed polling

  • @panditulape3890
    @panditulape3890 20 дней назад +1

    Excellent Analysis

  • @mknarula
    @mknarula 18 дней назад

    hi shekhar. I would like to draw your attention 1989 elections when late Rajiv Gandhi lost the election after a huge margin victory of 1984 and 1979. As you correctly pointed in your episode, bridging 50% margin is a gargantuan task and this opposition is not like the one we had in 1989. so..

  • @FloraFauna321
    @FloraFauna321 24 дня назад

    Dear SG, having viewed a few videos of Yogendra Yadav and read the related comments it is clear that he does not enjoy any support from viewers. There are only negative comments on him and his views. This is from a long time. I request your response on the reasons of showcasing the said person and his views on your channel.

  • @neelakandhanpurayannur5816
    @neelakandhanpurayannur5816 24 дня назад +1

    Yogendra Yadav belongs to the tukde tukde gang. Quite natural that he predicts setback for BJP and NDA. Many other psephologists have predicted smooth sailing for the saffron party

  • @2010anilshukla
    @2010anilshukla 24 дня назад +3

    Yogendra Yadav, SG’s favourite (seems there is a blind love affair between them), is a fake baba, failed psephologist and politician and a pseudo intellectual, but he is the only one to repeatedly make to SG’s honours list. 👎

    • @studer3500
      @studer3500 21 день назад

      a fake baba and a fake analyst (SG)

  • @shauryaO1
    @shauryaO1 24 дня назад +1

    SG you are right . Experts have a marginally better “strike rate” than those who dabble in politics as a hobby aka non expert but regular follower’s . Yogendra Yadav’s hubris to predict numbers is long proven to be what Nobel prize winning psychologists like Kanheman call illusions of validity and skill.

  • @vishnu2302
    @vishnu2302 24 дня назад +1

    Yogendra Yadav have no credibility with public. Request ‘The print’ to get editorial done by neutral sephologists on the poll numbers and not from biased personnel

  • @ankh1577
    @ankh1577 24 дня назад

    Hi Shekhar, you have based your argument primarily on BJP winning seats by more than 50% and that this higher vote share may be intact even in the present elections. However you have not analysed the seats where even through the margin was more than 50% but the candidate has been replaced. Are you assuming that it is a BJP lamppost election? No matter the face or the local issues? You have not analysed that swing vote due to the wave in 2019, are you assuming that the swing voter is also intact?

  • @vaibhavjain6338
    @vaibhavjain6338 24 дня назад

    The new lighting looks amazing!!

  • @mailrbn
    @mailrbn 24 дня назад +2

    Swing analysis as they do in a two party states like UK, Australia.

  • @rajbaniwal3236
    @rajbaniwal3236 25 дней назад +8

    Almost 25mins of what everyone knows already. What was the point of this video? We all know what happened in 2019, the seat share, the vote share, the alliances and we also know what has changed since.
    What’s the point made?

    • @yasho.
      @yasho. 24 дня назад +4

      His videos barely contain any substance or insights anymore, imagine quoting yogendra yadav unironically.

    • @nnbg8000
      @nnbg8000 24 дня назад

      @@yasho. Well said

    • @rajbaniwal3236
      @rajbaniwal3236 24 дня назад

      @@yasho. absolutely. Why what YoYA say is worth mentioning?

    • @rajbaniwal3236
      @rajbaniwal3236 24 дня назад +2

      @@nnbg8000 totally agree. Shekhar is pretending to be unbiased but he puts his hooks in on the fence sitters. He is pro Congress and also pro Far Left.

  • @abhishekdesai965
    @abhishekdesai965 24 дня назад +1

    Shriman youa said that congress polled approx 10 lakhs vote nore than bjp in 2023 assembly elections despite losing rajasthan, madhya pradesh and chhatisgarh winning only telangana and his visionary leader accepted this thesis. But the fact is congress's main competitors in telangana was brs. Bjp lost its momentum of a serious shot at power in telangana when they replace bandi sanjay. Though less voting may reduce bjp votes. It is also clear that congress voters are not even stepping out to vote. This exact rhing happend in gujarat assembly election. Voting percentage got down by a huge margin. But bjp won brute 2/3rd majority. Same happening in 2024

  • @deepaknataraju
    @deepaknataraju 24 дня назад

    Dear Shekhar Gupta, I love listening to your videos. You are extremely well informed, a great analyst and a wonderful journalist. I have a humble request. Your videos tend to be too long, repetative and some times digresses of the point. Can you please keep it a little short.

  • @KMKHANN
    @KMKHANN 24 дня назад

    Shekhar Ji... there seems to be a surprise for many particularly for journalists & intellectuals .hopefully u too may one ...

  • @Star-ds4sd
    @Star-ds4sd 24 дня назад +1

    Great Brief Analysis of Poll 2024 . .... 284 Seat BJP Alone or Together is Surely 💯

  • @bobbythomas3271
    @bobbythomas3271 24 дня назад +1

    Look like a CTC just for the sake of it with a catchy thumbnail and no clear message. When you are attempting to predict on the basis of 2019 results, why restrict only to the 1st three phases

  • @yashkanodia34
    @yashkanodia34 24 дня назад +1

    The article has many presumptions without evidence, such as reduction in vote % is loss for BJP, extrapolation of assembly elections and a lot of wishful thinking. There is no factful data in the article, such as any correlation, statistics, polls.
    Claiming SP is strong in such seats, regions in Karnataka and MP voted against in assembly, alliance faltering, is fine, but fails to mention assembly dont translate in Centre and Modi has great swing in federal elections

  • @thebestevertherewas
    @thebestevertherewas 24 дня назад +1

    Let's be honest. this isn't news but opinions.
    I expected a deep dive on new Polls, rather YoYo's ramblings

  • @5amyak
    @5amyak 24 дня назад +1

    Why are we here ?
    We can just watch rathee's videos if YoYa is your source for credible journalism.

  • @kapilmehta6423
    @kapilmehta6423 24 дня назад +1

    Thanks

    • @ThePrintIndia
      @ThePrintIndia  24 дня назад

      Dear Kapil,
      Thank you for your generous contribution towards our journalism.

  • @karthikradhakrishna6135
    @karthikradhakrishna6135 24 дня назад

    If I had a dollar every time YoYo's predictions were wrong, Ambani would be asking me for a loan 😂

  • @praseenshetty7775
    @praseenshetty7775 24 дня назад

    Why your telling yogandra prediction

  • @vibu7083
    @vibu7083 19 дней назад

    Ur distancing ur self from Yogendra Yadav as Congress does with Sam Pitroda whenever he does something stupid…. It’s really confusing, doesn’t the articles published in the print go through an editor??? Can the journalist just publish wat ever they like or feel like publishing?? I thought “the print” is a well organized media portal, but after ur comments I feel it’s just like X(twitter), free to post and publish!

  • @sunitamirchandani7851
    @sunitamirchandani7851 24 дня назад

    Confusing Not articulated well. Summary at end of talk required. Details are piecemeal

  • @dhairyachauhan1701
    @dhairyachauhan1701 24 дня назад +3

    BJP is already around 180-190 after 3 phases, anyone saying anything else has turned blind to the ground sentiment. BJP will gain way more in rest of the phases.

  • @acceleratemanagementconsulting
    @acceleratemanagementconsulting 17 дней назад +1

    Kya kahana chaahte ho Bhai

  • @girishdevappa5562
    @girishdevappa5562 24 дня назад

    Thank you

  • @ramaswamynarayanan6691
    @ramaswamynarayanan6691 22 дня назад

    @Shekhar ji , your analysis is good. Please declutter the vote transferrability of the alliance partners because that holds the key to winning. For eg. in 2019 although the SP-BSP alliance looked formidable on paper it didn't work out on the ground.

  • @brajakishorepradhan7229
    @brajakishorepradhan7229 20 дней назад

    If this prediction goes wrong,your credibility goes down

  • @Hanamantaray
    @Hanamantaray 25 дней назад +11

    *Karnataka final voter turnout is 71% it is 3% more than 2019. Whenever two parties contest tightly with all efforts turnout will increases
    *strong anti incumbency may increases turnout
    *this is waveless election in these conditions party with good ground strength will win more seats
    By considering above facts BJP will win 320+but NDA parties are loosing seat eg. SS,JDU
    NDA 360+
    * On June 4 Media will give credit to Rahul Gandhi not letting NDA to win 400
    *secularism is dead by the foreign media

  • @gulamsafdar7516
    @gulamsafdar7516 23 дня назад +1

    what is he saying?

  • @nikhilhg1
    @nikhilhg1 23 дня назад

    Have always appreciated ThePrint for unbiased reporting. I feel it was wrong for ThePrint to give a platform to people like Yogendra Yadav who are actively involved in politics.
    He was part of Rahul Gandhi’s Yatra. So his piece can clearly be marked as “propaganda” or “paid news”.

  • @shok95v
    @shok95v 23 дня назад +1

    I exited from video after you quoted Yogendra

  • @hello3524
    @hello3524 24 дня назад +9

    ThePrint from India is like NYT, WaPo, or Al Jazeera.

    • @kshorts4k
      @kshorts4k 24 дня назад +2

      Correct sir

    • @studer3500
      @studer3500 21 день назад

      you have absolutely nailed it! SG is just another biased twat masquerading as a journalist.

    • @JayGanesh27N
      @JayGanesh27N 20 дней назад

      Shi*.. this is hidden sangh group

  • @hemalshah5347
    @hemalshah5347 23 дня назад

    Shekhar please make your narrative shorter. There is lot of repetition. Make 10 min video to make your point.

  • @chinmaywingkar1
    @chinmaywingkar1 22 дня назад

    You didn't get anyone other than Yogendra Yadav to refer .

  • @mankulsachdeva2839
    @mankulsachdeva2839 23 дня назад

    yogendra yadav self proclaimed caa expert , farm law expert , economist , journalist , election expert .....all rounder saleem

  • @ANG53066
    @ANG53066 24 дня назад +1

    Maharshtra and Bihar holds crucial for INDIA and critical for NDA. Contest remains in these two states for BJP's thumping majority prospect and opposition's gambit to turnaround and act as a spoiler to the party

    • @ThePrintIndia
      @ThePrintIndia  24 дня назад

      That's a sharp point you make, my friend. Let's see how this plays out on June 4. Thank you for watching and writing in...best wishes, Shekhar

    • @ANG53066
      @ANG53066 24 дня назад

      @@ThePrintIndia Is there a tacit understanding between BJP and BSP in UP...Do feature an episode on this

  • @gouravdamor8001
    @gouravdamor8001 25 дней назад

    SG how digital watch working out for you ? thanks great analysis

    • @SunilKumar-nf7ft
      @SunilKumar-nf7ft 24 дня назад +1

      If you are on Android get a Samsung watch, apple ones are really huge and look like phones, very ugly IMO
      I'm using Samsung Galaxy Watch 3 for past 2.5 years and it has been really great so far. I can't remember how many times I was asked about the watch and got complemented for its looks.

    • @thomasjoseph8734
      @thomasjoseph8734 24 дня назад

      bjp get lesser seats in South India😅😅

    • @ThePrintIndia
      @ThePrintIndia  24 дня назад +1

      It's quite useful really. But I am still trying to get a hang of it. Thank you for appreciating our journalism. Do keep watching and writing in...best wishes, Shekhar

  • @soulgamerx2777
    @soulgamerx2777 25 дней назад +3

    To all great minds why on this earth are you comparing 2019 poll results? No day is same i firmly believe you all should rest and wait for the result day ! All these analysis are useless. We all are humans not some stocks rest be assured you all pandits will be shocked with the results. Indians are not fools and we are forgetting human factor cannot be defined in graphs

  • @NIDollarSign
    @NIDollarSign 24 дня назад

    Amazing video Shekhar, among your best. The analysis is very insightful and one can see the BJP hearts flutter in fear in the comments section as they actually read your real message and mostly agree

  • @Venmash-kx9zf
    @Venmash-kx9zf 25 дней назад +10

    As a Vedantin, I dare say Mr Gupta doesn't understand the concept of God, when he says even God can't predict people's minds. The past, present and future ... none can escape God since he is in the form of time as well. I recommend he study Bhagavad Gita to learn about God, instead of going by DMK party definition of God.

    • @vengadachalampalaniappen5005
      @vengadachalampalaniappen5005 24 дня назад

      How come RAM bless what Modi's dirty tactjcs?

    • @Venmash-kx9zf
      @Venmash-kx9zf 24 дня назад +1

      @@vengadachalampalaniappen5005 They may be "dirty" to you but not to Ram devotees. No wonder he has been blessed. God looks at all, not just opposition parties who don't even pray so they are even less rewarded. That's how the karma works.

  • @KshitijBhambri1
    @KshitijBhambri1 24 дня назад

    Voting Completed on 283 seats with 1 seat walkover:Surat so 284
    Anantnag postponed till 25th May:
    Till now fought seats:
    BSP-239(86+74+79)
    BJP- 217(77+69+81)
    INC -192(56+68+68)
    In Phase-3: 93 Seats
    Who Fought How Many:
    NDA:
    BJP-81
    NCP AP-3
    JDU-3
    AGP-2
    SHS ES-2
    LJP-1
    UPPL-1
    Total-93
    INDIA:
    INC -68
    SP-9
    SHS UBT-5
    NCP SP-3
    RJD-3
    AAP-2
    CPIML-1
    VIP-1
    CPM-1
    TMC(Not inside)-6(4 WB,2 AS)
    Total-93/99
    Outside:
    BSP-9
    VBA-3
    SWP-1
    BPF-1
    AIUDF-1
    Ind.-1(Vishal Patil)

  • @megh2307
    @megh2307 23 дня назад

    SG, As a responsible journalist you should publish accuracy levels of Yogendra Yadav’s predictions post election results and call out spade a spade it that’s the case..

  • @sandeepjeengar
    @sandeepjeengar 24 дня назад

    Careful and detailed analysis till the date of the election ❤

  • @samporoy
    @samporoy 22 дня назад

    Usually the opposition finds fault with the government for not doing basic things for the electorate.
    Funny enough Modi is blaming Rahul Gandhi who is an onlooker, not in government?

  • @mercury8706
    @mercury8706 24 дня назад

    Uncle Sekar Gupta daydreaming continues 😂

  • @shankargopalakrishnan1478
    @shankargopalakrishnan1478 24 дня назад +1

    What’s point of this analysis paralysis

  • @tarkeshwar.sarkar
    @tarkeshwar.sarkar 24 дня назад

    Excellent presentation of data

  • @s.t.chandrasekharbabu132
    @s.t.chandrasekharbabu132 13 дней назад

    Dear shekhar Gupta ,,you are trying to tread untreadable.No point in speculating at this point of time.

  • @jibibabu9179
    @jibibabu9179 24 дня назад

    With due respect this is not an analysis but an observation, without any inference being made on the data that is presented, throwing data points which could be interpreted in multiple ways.

  • @aYn_5Y
    @aYn_5Y 24 дня назад

    8:35 nice drill down