How to Win at Sports Betting Without Math or Computer Models - Dink Gives His Advice
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- Опубликовано: 4 июл 2024
- Legendary Gambler, Alan "Dink" Denkenson sat down for a discussion about how to win at sports gambling without using heavy math or computer models. This is great advice for anyone looking to take their sports betting to the next level.
People mentioned in the video:
Alan "Dink" Denkenson - dinkinc
Eddie DrinkYourMilkshake - walls_edward
Rob Pizzola - / robpizzola
Spanky - / spanky
Joey Tunes - / joeytunes2
I loved how you guys didn’t down talk the $5 or $10 betters we appreciate it! You guys earned a new subscriber.
@mr.alexander bro these guys aren't pros. I've heard many stories of dink and he had family inheritance and lost most of it through sports betting.
@@dreambig987 Any suggestions on other's to watch and learn from?
When i first started betting last year i lost $200 on jorge masvidal then i won it back on a grappling rematch the next day. I started betting all in except leave $100 in case i lost. I bet on the most surest rematches of fights and got all the way to $1400 then i started betting on other sports and lost it all. I came back on another betting site by betting smaller $5 $10 and $20 bets and now im at $700 would have been $900 but i got greedy again and bet straight on the last fight of the night and lost. I always end up doing that when i could risk a smaller amount for more on the underdog
The small bettors need to increase thier bankrolls to bet more. TK
@@dreambig987 yes my dad made billions working in the post office in NYC
Taking the time to watch these professionals talk is how I've learned most of my betting knowledge. This interview is amazing. When I went to read about Dink, turns out he passed away. This is very sad but I'm glad this interview has so many fews. He seemed like a pretty good guy. RIP Sir and Thank You
Great interview! Great to have reliable and wise content on Sports Betting. Appreciate the time and your effort to make the videos great. 👍
Thanks guys!
I really appreciate the great insight!!
I've just come across this fantastic video. Great advice from both of you. RIP Dink
GREAT SESSION! THANK YOU BOTH!!!!!
Alan seemed like a great guy. Full of smiles and keeping it real. Great guy!
Great advice! Great video ! Thank you 🙏!
Thank you Sir for sharing these vital information.
Thank you for this video. What a great guest you had !!! I'm a winning recreational poker player and a losing (recreational) sports bettor. I've met many people in both fields, and I don't have very good things to say about them. However, your guest Dink seems to be very kind, humble, and caring (which is rare). On top, he was very generous with the information he gave. Again, thank you for this great video.
Dink is the real deal and the kind of guy you meet and say "Wow, what a nice guy." About a year ago, I attended an event in Las Vegas where all the top names in the world of sports betting got together to socialize. My wife was with me and, predictably, bored. Dink noticed she was disinterested in the conversations being had and went over and talked to her about non-sports things. He didn't need to seek recognition from his peers, he could stop and take time to make someone else feel more welcome. That's why he's a legend.
@@CaptainJackAndrews how do I find such events? :P
Ty Dink for the tips! Right there with you almost 60 years!
Thank you both for a perspective education from someone who only recently began NFL handicapping. Although I participated in office confidence pools for 15 years, giving me plenty of trends and traps to look for. Every little bit helps in analysis and Dinks warning on chasing and parlay over moneyline math were great.
Have you ever thought about getting a real job?
Great job fellas.
thank you very much great interview with a ton of knowledge much appreciated
Full phrase of course is “A jack of all trades is a master of none, but often times better than a master of one.” It used to be a compliment.
I did not know that...interesting!
Hello,if you're having trouble with your online betting account and you aren't winning, join this group, it's a VIP fixed matches group.. winnings is assured..
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Still a complement.
A jack of all trade will beat a master of one everytime
@@hardbodytraining100negative
Learned a lot from the both of you. I felt you guys were directly talking to me. Content like this helps me improve. Information is knowledge. Great stuff so, thank you 🙏
I appreciate comments like that. Thank you very much for taking the time to watch.
Hey Jack yeah your guest here and a person I watched it on a previous video you mentioned. I saw both of them at Santa Anita race track this guest was a guest speaker giving out pics and Roxy roxboro I saw down in the dungeon lower half of Santa Anita having fish and chips didn't want to disturb him.
thanks so much for this videos.Always wanna learn sport betting
Its been 7 months what have you learned and have you given up yet.
For years, I have played professional poker, then bet sports professionally, have played daily fantasy sports professionally. In all that, I think "Don't get even today, don't get even this week, don't get even this month. You are even everyday " is the best line I have ever heard in gambling.
Facts. That hit me so deeply because I have the tendency to chase and I hate it.
@@bobsaget8761 everyone does. Don’t be hard on yourself
Great interview. Dink seems like a fascinating guy with a lot wisdom. Thanks for posting.
Glad you enjoyed it!
Thanks so much for this!
No discussion on fading the public and reverse line movements? No discussion on sharp money vs square money? I've bet the NFL for over 15 years and paying attention to those indicators is absolutely essential. Whenever 70% of the public bets are on a side watch out for the zebras in the NFL. The longer you bet on the NFL the more it's obvious that this game is as pure as Madonna and as innocent as an escort.
I'm not a fan of using published bet %'s and reverse line movement to do handicapping. It's essentially handicapping with incomplete information. You don't know what sample size the action is based on. You don't know what timeframe the RLM considers. There's a lot more information that builds a bigger picture that gets ignored when you focus on RLM and published reports of where the sharps are.
However, if it's working for you, I'm not here to rain on your parade - it's just not an approach you'll find me recommending.
Hi Scott! I would like to follow your picks if you don’t mind! Everyone have a different approach… some works and some don’t. But I like to follow whichever works. Let me know. Tks
@@johnnievuong9341 lmk if you got the plays lol
@@CaptainJackAndrews you are so right about that a lot of those specific analytics are there to psych people out when they really mean next to nothing
@@blazingben7131 no I didn’t get any plays
Awesome stuff
Good videos with excellent advice.
Excellent video guys!!! Maybe one video you can interview Scott Pritchard ??!!
Great Video I hope people listen to all of this knowledge about sports betting!!!
I hope so too!
Great insight fellas!
What a great gift to us all! Thank you. 95% are losing recreational bettors, but would enjoy very much to be slight winners. Try and make $50 a month for 6 months and it can be so much more fun.... then maybe a bit more. Thank you Capt Jack for this video
99%
If all I could make is 50 bucks a month I’d never gamble. I could deliver pizzas one day a month and profit 50 bucks.
@@jamesmathews858 Yes. I believe you could profit $50 a month delivering pizzas! I do not think you could profit $50 a month at sports betting for six months. It would be a great test for you AND if you ever got there.... 10X your bets and go for $500 a month.
I’m trying to win $25 to $50 a day average. Some bigger days, some losing days, some days off. (Trying)
Two of the best sports betting minds! Great vid 🔥
Teaserking is the best football handicapper he really simplifies it, he's like the Professor. TK
Great photos of places I bet at in Vegas, before simulcasting!
Andrews your awesome man, love the content
Cheers Alan and Happy Thanksgiving. John Gavin.
same to you my friend
I like that hat captain Jack, great image
Best advice for sports betting: don't play when you can't afford to pay. You dig yourself in a hole more.
You also find out how good you are and your bread-and-butter methods. Bet what you can *barely* afford that's best. Losing should always sting.
I tell people the same thing.
Been following “dinkinc” for years. Treasure trove of knowledge. Great interview!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Alan isn’t a tout. On random occasions he will provide some actionable information, but he only asks that you donate to the charity listed at the end of the episode. No locks, no weekly/monthly package bs, so no need to prove to anyone what his result is. Guys that do it for decades as their main source of income should be granted some base level validity.
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@@CaptainJackAndrews It's so superlative and interesting to watch your videos sir thank you for your presence 🙌🔥
Funny I use to hear that can I use the daily news line. I use to tell them call them maybe they’ll take your bet. Thanks for the memories and thanks Jack always great hearing you. Good job Dink.
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Good information
Excellent discussion.
But, let's be clear, there was "Math" in the parlay/teaser section.
Not complaining, mind you, I love math!
Well done guys!
You're right - a little mathy there, but just math you need to memorize once and remember for the future.
Horses don't care about your math and they can't read odds. Things happen in horse racing that make no sense , it's an animal. The math will tell you the takeout will crush you in the long run!
Math isn't a science. I learned recently.
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@@beavercleaver7848 However, math be required to apply the science.
Thanks guyz👍👍👍
Thanks for this. I'm a serious sports bettor not based in Nevada, so I have an offshore. I'm very active in Twitter and blogs. Live and quarter betting is where I make most my money. I just want to keep getting better
I switched to strictly live and qtrs..improved alot doing the...im cloudbet. Whats you're blog? I'd like to get insight on your strategy...
What your sportbook use. I’m very interested I am 100k bankroll
@@derrickhatten597 @coreyagre on Twitter....hit me up
@@coreyagre hi
@@nompumelelogumede3150 Hello
Rest in peace Dink. We miss you :(
The best tip I took from this is when Dink said don't handicap under immense pressure(basically betting more money than you actually have) I believe that's why I went into a tailspin. I love handicapping nothing else like it. I'm very new and still a rookie, but I am eager to learn. Thanks guys really appreciate the time and effort to help out a young bettor like myself.
Are you betting football ?
@@An_Escaped_Mind NFL yes college no because I need to get more involved in the teams/players.
@@An_Escaped_Mind what about yourself ?
@@greggillings9454 I bet college and NFL , but I am more knowledgeable on the NFL. Which teams do you like this week in the NFL?
What kind of shit ass betting is betting more money than you actually have? This isn’t for you.
great pointers
On Teasers, Is Dink saying if I take two -7 favorites & tease them down to -1 each "Through -7 & -3" it is a good bet? Please clarify
When you bet you can’t have favourite team. Check the odd. Odd given to you not to you make money How take your money. When you see easy win always question them. It’s good for you. For now.
My theory is bet with the house
Don't pay much but good to build
A roll !
what your opinion sir ?
Good video.
Great video, thanks
RIP Dink. Legend
Thanks captain jack your the man!
Is that first picture of "Dink" at the WSOP? It looks like it is :) Makes me happy when the pros are poker players too :)
What bet wins the most often? Money Line, ATS or the O/U?
Certainly very informative and helpful to a recreational sport bettor like myself. R.I.P. Dink. I wrote down some helpful notes to hopefully propel my skills. I'll definitely be having fun and checking my ego at the door. I really enjoyed the interview, so thank you Captain Jack!!
R.i.p to dink. Just found this guy and he might be the most genuine guy keeping it honest and jack as well being extremely " clear" on recreational vs professional betting. Appreciate this and all the links to other info as well.
I couldn't understand which podcast to listen. Could someone write them as a response to this comment? Thank you!
Legendary content. RIP.
This was a amazing show
Where can we find these podcasts he mentioned?
@Captain Jack Andrews I want to learn how can I contact you thanks.
LOL The Stu Feiner picture was Funny! Go Stu!!!
The Browns at home Monday night getting +2.5 against Balt. Red flag line right there
Never bet against a home underdog on primetime night games
This guy is a mark hell yeah
Hi mate. Do you know of any data analysis tool for spots other than football. A tool like Betaminic but for sports like NFL, MMA, NCAAF, NBA etc.
Just bet the opposite of your final conclusion
I bet against the public sometimes
Probably the best advice on the net, if every gambler bet the opposite of what they did they would be millionaires. 👍👊
@@dimitrimassagetherapy4155 The biggest mistake gamblers make are parlays. This strategy wouldn’t work for the average gambler playing those.
I’ve been saying this for years. Just haven’t had guts to try. I went 0-8. Week a go
@@mrcommonsense9074 I feel you
Dink, what do you think of intuitive type handicapping ... not so much crunching numbers for a small edge on a lot of games, but a huge edge on a few games?
The goal should always be more money on less games ;) thats why I advise my friend on 1-3 games a week and sometimes we have to wait 10 days before a matchup shows up.
Great job
I mess up Jack because I hit some Huge parlays
I’m now trying to avoid that
Still a novice though
Very informative
Great interview. What's the name of the monthly subscription? Fanvest ?
DonBest is the odds screen product.
@@CaptainJackAndrews I appreciate you Captain Jack Andrews
I specialize in college fb. I look mostly @ the small schools that dont get much action & apx 70% of my picks im betting against teams so i look 4 teams like umass & bet on whoever they play
Smart play against the weak teams in each conference good jpob. becareful in the NFL it's a mess now. TK
@@TheTeaserking Imagine signing off like you’re important. Shut up bozo.
You dont feel like the type of person that plays -25 -35 & -37 spreads lol.....so its easy to SAY that ahit when the season is over but im always here and ill save this and screenshot it and revist you this season so let's see if its that easy haha 😄
.....if it was that easy I would have figure college football out 6 months into my sports betting journey since I was putting in 15 hour days back then 7 days a week outworking everyone including whoever you looked up too at that time 😉
Thank you, can you point us to any boxing specialists when it comes to the principles?
I think when it comes to sports betting there will always be math......but I also think you can make a profitable betting strategy without the use of a sophisticated computer model or algorithm.
@KireRike Oh, yeah. That happened to me when I was dosed with angel dust. But then it wore off.
You can but it won't be very good 🤷♂️
You can wait for a winning team to be down at half time and pick them to win/cover at a better line *ingame* but thats the best you can do without a model *and by model i meen nothing that some random idiot created* i meen like oddsshark ect < you could eye test and ingame.....but without an oddsshark type "model" then your ass is just guessing imo
I also buy the 1 1/2 every time I bet the spread in any sport
WHAT IS GOOD PICK FOR THIS WEEK???
10 hrs is not enough for me !
Holding a sign on the corner of an expressway or intersection seems more profitable than sports betting
I WENT to H.S. with Dink .Bayside high school in queens N.Y. A really nice guy.
What does he mean by crossing the 3 and the 7 in teasers?
either moving a small dog to 7 1/2 or 8 1/2 or moving down a favorite to - 1 1/2 0r - 2 1/2 ... you now have the favorite winning by 3 or 7 working for you... try to bet two team teasers with 6 points and -110 vig
i always round off my bets....never works
Most books killed the Wong teasers. Can’t get 6 pointers moving thru the key numbers at -110 anymore except at maybe Bet Rivers.
Very informative. I like parlays but I'm smart about it. No chasing if I loose that's my lesson for the day. Otherwise I do grind.
@J Rose I’m brilliant at parlays
I don't wanna b one of those parlays are sucker bets guys cuz I play/hit em but for the long haul straight bets are the way to go
@@eastsideaction8759 ...yea, most people should at least understand that if they bet parlays you're going against what u should be doing...I'm starting to refine my betting strategy..
@@maddcapper4548 For parlays the key is being good in multiple sports! Combine your top picks in each sport and parlay them together. I’m up over $33 grand doing 12 leg parlays!
@@memphistiger7775 ...do u need a friend?? Lol
The more minutiae you know about individual players, the more likely you are to LOSE. Knowledge of reverse line movement (esp in football and basketball) is far more valuable. A lot less "point shaving" occurs in baseball & hockey when compared with football & basketball. (PRO TIP - Looking ahead & projecting what a line SHOULD be before it comes out is a great habit to acquire, you'll notice patterns more easily going forward))
Point shaving happens in all sports it’s Vegas baby !!!!
Re: reverse line movement, it ** might ** tip you off as to who the sharps are playing, but it also might not (fake leads midweek, unanticipated big square plays etc). And the sharps are only gonna hit about 54-55% to begin with. When you add in that, as a rec player not watching the line feed all day, you'll pay a point or so more than the sharps originally got, it becomes a losing angle.
rip dink
The Fun part is cool!!
Hey Cap Jack, question for you. Dink mentions having 20 outs with some being shops. My question is how do you line shop efficiently with 10-20 outs? It’s too time consuming to log into every account and look at the line for the game in that many books. By the time you find the best line it might move. And also some books prob aren’t on don best or on screen. How do you go about finding the best line out of the 20 books quickly?
There's probably not 20 different sets of lines in those 20 outs. Many different books share the same back-end lines. Often having multiple outs that are identical in their lines is useful for circumventing limits. In terms of keeping track of line moves. You know which books are good for certain situations. So if you see a line move or you get information about a game, you generally know which of your outs that scenario is probably best at. Those are the ones you check first.
Oddsjam..the best
Me come straight to the comments to know if i should watch this
If you don't know what you're doing, how could you know if he knows what he's doing? You don't. Professional gamblers are invisible and quiet. They're the ones on the other side of those games you thought were locks but lost. It takes a lot of work and a lot of money and a lot of nerve to win.
Very hard to win always upsets anyone can lose
Thanks Jack, RIP Dink
its not winning , its keeping
I know that allot of what these guys are talking about as far as having an edge and positive value is very important but I dont worry about none of that stuff. I tail some great handicappers on every sport and I crush the NFL with special teasers. Of course I dont get shit value on my 4 team super teasers but I win at least 90% of my teasers. I am patient enough to wait another week if I have to leaving an open spot or two and I look for value in taking teams that have been blown out in the previous week usually in prime time so that the line is already inflated and well adding 13 points is almost more than enough. The way I look at it is that they're professionals and dont like to be embarrassed over and over so losing by 21 points on back to back weeks seldom happens. Plus many coaches in the NFL know and or respect the other coach and usually ease up late in the game to not embarrass the other team.
Yes, and you knew when the Chiefs lost 2 in a row, there was no way they would lose the next game. Mahomes is not going to lost 3x. That is when you wait for the right bet and then step up
@@yaimavol didnt age well
@@LuisGomez-vi7jn Yeah they won that 3rd game. I make bank. This weekend sure shot is the Bills. Not gonna lose 2 in a row
@@yaimavol you pay for a handicapper?
@@LuisGomez-vi7jn No, I bet based on trends. Football is the most predictable sport to bet on.
Hi , want are your thoughts on doubling down on bets tell you win.
Generally referred to as a Martingale strategy, the problem comes when you hit a losing streak where you can no longer double your wager due to house limits. Since you’re dealing with independent events this will inevitably happen.
Only works in baseball and only on the shittiest team 👍 you can try it next year just dont share it or you will kill it.
You have to bet like $10k-20k to make it worth it BUT there's better ways to profit hommie.
@@jeremyscorpio4170whats the hot pick
Best advice is the house and the bookie ALWAYS WINS. If all bets were 50/50 that would be impossible.
jack and denk still have their hair which means they didn't lose it malding over bets so I will follow this advice
Of course people can do multiple sports at once since is the same numbers (EV, -120, -145, +220, + 155, etc etc etc) just pay attention to what spreads cover and what numbers hit!!! Example given some pro sports the +105 is stronger than others just pay attention to every single result. Paper and pencil have become my best friends. Trends vary by season and by sport. Remember that this is a psychological game, the leas info inside your head the better, keep things simple
Are u good at betting?
@@Bgl-fz3cs I am, but i dont know about that other guy lol.
I've had my one friend/client for a little over a year helping him with sports betting.
Name of the beat/ instrumentals at the beginning and end of this video
It's a song called "Corndogs in Santa Monica" by The Great North Sound Society
@@CaptainJackAndrews thanks captain, now I can sleep with nice beat, very inspiring this beat
Yes Look at WVU last night!
Sam Roth stein was the best handi capper in the mid 50s to 82
you mean frank rosenthal?
Back when the mob ran vegas and fixed games? Thats like saying someone who ran a ponzi scheme was the world most "SUCCESSFUL" INVESTOR 🤮
Eddie "Drink Your Milkshake"? Now that's one hell of a nickname!
Dink what is your formula for betting totals in all sports.
no formula... in baseball pay attention to humidity in football pay attention to weather and try to keep up with changing winds...
Place a bet.
@@dinque basically look closer at things the other bettors or the market aren't placing enough weight on or don't understand.
What is your thoughts on betting Golf?
Golf is a great sport for betting. It sets up perfectly for both pre-tournament and in-game betting. It's a good sport to focus on if you want to be ahead of the curve on what everyone's going to be betting on in a couple years.
Thanks for your insight enjoy your channel👍👍
So just bag some bets at first and then sneak in with some winners ..
Such a downer knowing a winner better gets limited....I guess you can hire runners and move to Vegas like Billy Walters...