Check out Pat Kerrane's channel here: www.youtube.com/@legendaryupside The Original Legendary RB article: www.nbcsports.com/fantasy/football/news/article-numbers-early-round-rbs-need-legendary-upside Get my 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Rankings here: www.patreon.com/ronstewart
Best video on fantasy football I’ve seen in decades. Thank you for the statistical backing to everything. Rather than the lazy analysts just spouting off opinions.
Officially retired from fantasy football but saw this in my sub box and thought I'd stop by. Insane comparing the production quality to when I first started watching in 2020 while still holding the stats and charm that hooked me initially. Cheers mate and good luck this season in your money leagues!
@@Gerson-eo7ef just don't enjoy it anymore and I don't have the time to stat crunch like I used to. Part of it is the really dumb NFL rule changes I don't agree with draining my love for the game
@@RenewedAurora damn that’s crazy u prob got sucked in huh took it too seriously n ur prob really competitive I get u tho I play 2 leagues one for a good amount of money n the other with the boys lol
Playing against CMC vs Wash in the championship was so nerve wrecking. Felt like they were at the goal line like 1000 times. He ended up with one of his lowest point totals of the year. Adams disappointed all year but he single handedly won me my title. Fantasy is so fucking random!
Hall, Bijan, Gibbs, Kyren, Achane. Nice content Ron, as always. I'm lukewarm on Kyren but the rest have tremendous appeal. If I can swing it, my ideal draft would have Breece or Bijan falling to closer to the turn (in a 10-man), and then being able to pair one with Gibbs or JT.
The problem with Achane is that we do not have a large sample size. He missed many games last season due to injury. His upside is good for Bestball, but a little risk for redraft where you have to submit your lineup every week.
I kind of disagree with this. The benefit you get out of Achane is that he is elite when he plays. Let's say he only gives you 12 starts. Assuming he completes most of these 12 games, you'd expect him to score 18+ PPG. The weeks he's injured, you would know not to start him and could likely start a waiver wire RB that gets you around 10 PPG in the other 5 games. That would give you a season long avg of about 16 PPG for that RB spot. That would serve to match or even exceed most of the running backs being drafted nearby (who you are also assuming would play a full season).
@@garrettschaaf4067 he wont have so many weighted opportunities, when the Dolphins are forced to pass a lot. His data from 2023 is also screwed up due to the 70 points Game against the Broncos.
@@garrettschaaf4067 we will see what happens. I just guess that he is a little bit overvalued. Marvin Mims had this huge yards per route run at the beginning of last season. Indeed he was really bad. Sometimes data does not show the truth when the sample size is to small.
@@torstenburkhardt6839not true. If you take out his 50 pt game. Which you shouldn’t cuz he did it. He would still avg 16.1 ppg in fantasy ….. guys electric
Just drafted 2 teams on ESPN, yes, I know it's early, but I got Williams in the 2nd and Achane in the 3rd. In the other, I went double RB and Robinson and Gibbs, 1st and 2nd. I am stoked after seeing this.
I love the Achane content. However don't fade Mostert. He is a team Captain and will be handed his share. IMO Great numbers for both. If I take Achane early I am taking Mostert late and maybe Wright later if he falls.
you keep using “supersede” instead of “exceed”. supersede is to supplant, exceed is to be greater than. sorry for the grammar lesson but love the video, love the channel plus all of your recent collabs with other creators!
Love the Kyren target. I’ve been so surprised how far he’s dropped in underdog specifically. The injury concern is the only reason I can get behind if someone wants to fade him. Assuming he’s healthy, he’s going to prove everybody wrong, yet again. Plus McVay loves his RB’s. Rams offense only getting better. Even if volume drops, I have a feeling he’ll get every single red zone touch. Also, there was one game where Stafford legit missed every single target to Kyren, the one where he had 7 I believe. I like to think of Kyren as a younger, slightly smaller Ekeler that catches less, but definitely something I can see more of this year. Great vid
For one they traded up to get a RB in the 3rd. That’s somewhat of a concern. That Blake corum is good and will carve out a role by the time fantasy playoffs come. Also kyren is slow
I'm considering him at 18, I don't usually go for players as risky as him this really. I'm at the 7 spot in the first round, I don't like the 7 pick honestly. But I could start Jefferson or Chase or Amon-Ra, and then add Achane at 18, next pick is the early 30's and aiming for drake London. London to me is discount Garrett Wilson, and that's coming from a jets fan.
Drafted today. Took Achane at #19 today. Felt a little high the more I thought about it but I didn’t LOVE anyone else. Always been a fan of higher ceiling and why I went with him.
Thanks for the awesome video Ron. I'm heading into year 5 of my fantasy league with all my college buddies. We are adding two more guys, making it a 14 team league now. Just figured out draft lottery yesterday and I have the 14th pick. Would it be smart to target Gibbs at that 14/15 turn?
Love Kyren Williams, rode him and B Hall to win my home league last year. Kyren is my 4th ranked RB this year so take my final comment in the right context (i.e. big believer in him). Kyren's receiving work is capped because he is excellent in pass protection.
Officially subscribed. Just wondering…. If you were to remove draft value from the equation and had to draft one straight up which one would you draft Kyren Williams or Davon Achane in a full PPR redraft league
You are giving me some hope for my ballsy trade for him. Literally traded CMC and london to get Henry and Achane. I’m betting on Achane to be Jamal Charles 2.0
Pacheco is only missing opps, receptions, and fpoe. More catches would lift total opps, same as Kyren. Fpoe is the only one that's way off. So maybe he doesn't hit 24 ppg, but still a good pick at current price, yeah?
Legendary content from this guy .. started listening to him 2 years ago Ron is the real deal ...He blows all Podcaster away.. won both my leagues based of his information. official my go to proper stats here 💯 💶 💯 💶 💯 12:39
I got a .5-PPR keeper-league draft coming up (1Q, 2R, 3W, 2F, 1T), Amon-Ra & Gibbs are my keepers.. I'm leaning drafting my WR2 at 3.02 (after MHJ likely goes at 3.01) but now I'm considering Achane as my RB2 then loading up on WR.
i agree with saquon and mixon, but with jacobs i feel as if for his value his opportunity between carries and targets plus talent is worth it, is there a WR or QB in the same range you would rather go?
I can pass on Puka all day but it’s hard to pass on Garret Wilson and/or AJ brown at that turn. I’ve mocked at 10 more than anything and it feels weird not getting one of those Stud WRs with the slight risk JT brings, also can Gibbs stop getting TDs stolen from him by Monty?
@@XElintocableX bro I said I would pass on Puka in the 1st or 2nd rounds and people are telling me ( Thanks for paying the rake ) 😆 and more dumb shit … he just doesn’t do anything really special . I think it’s just that Stafford is so accurate. Puka is good don’t get me wrong but I’m not taking him in the 1st or 2nd …
@@joselostx “He doesn’t do anything really special” 🤔. I’m not even drafting puka much but that’s a wild comment. Did you not watch his games? Kid is definitely special.
@@gangsterbenji he doesn’t run routes like Ceedee or Even his own teammate Cooper Kupp ! He isn’t the fastest.. he just does what he’s supposed to and Stafford finds him . Stafford is pin point accurate. Show me a game where he blew you away with raw talent ? He’s good … not worth my 1st or 2nd though . Especially when i feel it’s still Kupp for this year and maybe next year being the GUY
@@XElintocableX I just think double hero RB in ESPN leagues this year is the play. There are so many solid WR’s in the 3-5th rounds… Mike Evans, kupp, pittman, dell, amari cooper
JT in 2021 had 27 touchdowns and over 2000 all purpose yards. Year after that was the reich/saturday year and last year he sat mostly due to the contract situation. I fully expect him to return to form this season and be "lengendary" especially with a dual threat qb next to him. Good video though youre starting to sell me on achane
You're stats are so high on Achane. I don't understand waiting til the 3rd round to draft him. Who you taking over him ? ( including receivers)It seems you would trust your own formula. Thanks !
Gibbs is it. He will be the legendary Rb. He is schemed into the offense with both passing and running plays. He could go over 1000 receiving and 1000 rushing this year with multiple TD. Just to stick to my guns I took Gibbs 2 overall in a redraft league. He is my must have guy and no way was going to get him late 2nd.
This is a great video. The only thing I would change is I would lower Hall's total to 8.0. There are more ways for a QB to vulture TDs from a RB rushing attempts. Aaron Rodgers attempts more 1st down passes inside the 5 yd line than any Qb I've ever seen. If he stays healthy all year, Hall will have fewer rushing TDs, than he would've otherwise had.
Great video. I like the logic. My only criticism, Josh Jacobs is 26…. He’s 5 years younger than Henry. Why are we grouping them together as “older” RBs. I’m not saying Josh jacobs will be RB1 but of the 5 guys mentioned, 3 of them are the top 3 RBs and 4 of the top 6 in every draft. Jacobs ADP is round 4, to me that’s incredible value. Hes 26, going to a BETTER team with a good offense and good line, and was the rb1 in 2022.
I believe it would score as follows Weighted opp per game - green Not change teams - green RB 1 -12 in ADP - yellow 5+ targets per game - yellow FPOE per game - No/White Year 4 - green 25 - green Top 12 offense - No/white Fewer than 5 QB rush attempts - green
@@frostywizard2257 From a draft good players on good offenses perspective he feels like a rough click honestly just because I think he is a poor RB on a meh offense Can he repeat last season or improve on it and make me regret that? Definitely seems plausible Can he get 1,800+ scrimmage yards, 14+ TDs, and 70+ receptions for hitting the elite upside thresholds? I’d be shocked if he did, but I don’t think that is what most people take him for.
@@qazzaqstanTotally agree. I got him at good value in the 5th and Pacheco was off the board. It was either him or James Cook and I think either one is about even, but I personally rank White more. He had a pretty bad/inexperienced O-line last year for run blocking so I say he stays where he was last year or regresses slightly.
@@frostywizard2257 I have Cook above White (though looking at the auction cheat sheet I made apparently only by $1), but can't hate him in the 5th unless it is on UD where WRs are crazy and everyone pushes down RBs
I agree with all except really nervous about Gibbs. I think weighted 15.6 apps per game is his ceiling. They won't take away from Montgomery as long as he keeps producing either. He is going on the turn in regular leauges. Not worth the price.
I'm so torn. Would you keep Breece Hall with your 3rd round pick or Kyren Williams with 16th pick. Am I crazy for leaning Breece? I'm drafting 5th in a 10-man league.
I don’t think Achane will make it to round 3 in my home league. Someone is going to get anxious and grab him and I’m strongly considering it at 18 if Kyren is gone…
Only RBS I would unhesitatingly take over Achane are CMC, Hall, Bijan, Gibbs. I would take JT or Kyren over him and feel bad about it. Ain’t no way I’m taking any other RB over him, Saquon included.
Last year in 1 of my leagues I took your legendary RB video advice and drafted bijan, pollard and breece. I barely made the playoffs and got bounced rd 1 😂
@@arturomunoz3able same bro! I definitely could have picked one of those guys up but I decided to hold my drafted team instead of dropping someone. Passed up Puka too 🤦🏽♂️
Sounds like coach speak. Are the Falcons supposed to say, naw Allgeier isnt good enough to take snaps compared to Bijan? Coaches are just trained to always say positive things about their players no matter what. Next week he'll say Bijan is ultra talented and they want to find ways to get him the ball as much as possible.
With all this said.....12 team PPR. Do i keep Achane and London or trade them both for Aiyuk and keep Gibbs and Aiyuk, then Achane and London will be back in the draft pool. I'm leaning Achane and London then trying to get Gibbs back in the draft...its auction.
Hey Ron, just wanna say sick video as per usual. Sucks to have to watch these and not give a thumbs up, gotta keep you from my league mates tho - sorry dawg.
I'm sorry but I can't believe the Achane hype. He's good and I paid up for him last year, but hes still going in the 2nd on my league and Mostert is going in the 7th. If this turns into a hyper efficient RBBC like I think, I'm taking the bigger RB who was shown to really push for TDs AND is going much much later.
Taylor missed time and was eased into offense after he came back. Which messes with the touches per game and the colts were one dropped pass away from making the playoffs with minshew AR is projected to be better I think we have to take that into consideration
So I should fade CMC 1 overall and take Breece or Bijan. Don’t wanna overthink the first overall but CMC is getting older and certainly an injury risk.
Yeah every RB is an injury risk. Maybe Bijan is the safest between age and injury history but we also are only projecting his elite season, haven’t seen it. CMC is on the team with the highest projected points. I wouldn’t imagine a repeat of last years workload but he doesn’t need to crush the field like he did last year to be worthy of the first pick. For me it’s CMC or Lamb in full ppr, depending on how you like to build
Its difficult for me to pick Achane over Etienne at the 2 3 turn when I know Ettienne is the bell cow of that offense and Achane is smaller and won't get as many opportunities. Convince me why i should take Achane over Ettienne there?
![Twenty One Pilots - The Line (from Arcane Season 2) [Official Audio]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/XCz7WUotXs8/mqdefault.jpg)
Check out Pat Kerrane's channel here: www.youtube.com/@legendaryupside
The Original Legendary RB article: www.nbcsports.com/fantasy/football/news/article-numbers-early-round-rbs-need-legendary-upside
Get my 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Rankings here: www.patreon.com/ronstewart
Best video on fantasy football I’ve seen in decades. Thank you for the statistical backing to everything. Rather than the lazy analysts just spouting off opinions.
This is the kind of quality Ron always does! Hit the like & subscribe
Your running back models always make me feel like I have an unfair advantage in my home leagues! Love the content.
Officially retired from fantasy football but saw this in my sub box and thought I'd stop by. Insane comparing the production quality to when I first started watching in 2020 while still holding the stats and charm that hooked me initially. Cheers mate and good luck this season in your money leagues!
Thank you! Appreciate you stopping by!
Why u retire?? Lmaoo
@@Gerson-eo7ef just don't enjoy it anymore and I don't have the time to stat crunch like I used to. Part of it is the really dumb NFL rule changes I don't agree with draining my love for the game
@@RenewedAurora damn that’s crazy u prob got sucked in huh took it too seriously n ur prob really competitive I get u tho I play 2 leagues one for a good amount of money n the other with the boys lol
@@RenewedAurorabro u don’t need to “stat crunch” to play fantasy😂seems like u take it way too seriously so no wonder u got burnt out
Another thing I like about Breece Hall is the Jets Defense. Going to be giving the ball back to the offense to run out the clock late in games.
Playing against CMC vs Wash in the championship was so nerve wrecking. Felt like they were at the goal line like 1000 times. He ended up with one of his lowest point totals of the year. Adams disappointed all year but he single handedly won me my title. Fantasy is so fucking random!
Hall, Bijan, Gibbs, Kyren, Achane.
Nice content Ron, as always. I'm lukewarm on Kyren but the rest have tremendous appeal. If I can swing it, my ideal draft would have Breece or Bijan falling to closer to the turn (in a 10-man), and then being able to pair one with Gibbs or JT.
Kyren received something like 35% of the rams plays last year
The problem with Achane is that we do not have a large sample size. He missed many games last season due to injury. His upside is good for Bestball, but a little risk for redraft where you have to submit your lineup every week.
I kind of disagree with this. The benefit you get out of Achane is that he is elite when he plays. Let's say he only gives you 12 starts. Assuming he completes most of these 12 games, you'd expect him to score 18+ PPG. The weeks he's injured, you would know not to start him and could likely start a waiver wire RB that gets you around 10 PPG in the other 5 games. That would give you a season long avg of about 16 PPG for that RB spot. That would serve to match or even exceed most of the running backs being drafted nearby (who you are also assuming would play a full season).
@@garrettschaaf4067 he wont have so many weighted opportunities, when the Dolphins are forced to pass a lot. His data from 2023 is also screwed up due to the 70 points Game against the Broncos.
@torstenburkhardt6839 true the Broncos game appears to be an outlier, but there were also 2 games that he played
@@garrettschaaf4067 we will see what happens. I just guess that he is a little bit overvalued. Marvin Mims had this huge yards per route run at the beginning of last season. Indeed he was really bad. Sometimes data does not show the truth when the sample size is to small.
@@torstenburkhardt6839not true. If you take out his 50 pt game. Which you shouldn’t cuz he did it.
He would still avg 16.1 ppg in fantasy ….. guys electric
Just drafted 2 teams on ESPN, yes, I know it's early, but I got Williams in the 2nd and Achane in the 3rd. In the other, I went double RB and Robinson and Gibbs, 1st and 2nd. I am stoked after seeing this.
I rarely comment on RUclips vids but this video is definitely ground breaking. This will be a yearly gem.
Awesome video! Archane gonna be a beast.
I love the Achane content. However don't fade Mostert. He is a team Captain and will be handed his share. IMO Great numbers for both. If I take Achane early I am taking Mostert late and maybe Wright later if he falls.
you keep using “supersede” instead of “exceed”. supersede is to supplant, exceed is to be greater than. sorry for the grammar lesson but love the video, love the channel plus all of your recent collabs with other creators!
Man your analytics are top notch!!! Glad to have found you from another page I subscribe to!
Had my first home league draft yesterday picked at the 9 spot. First 4 rounds were Bijan, Garret Wilson, Achane, Evans.
Love the Kyren target. I’ve been so surprised how far he’s dropped in underdog specifically. The injury concern is the only reason I can get behind if someone wants to fade him. Assuming he’s healthy, he’s going to prove everybody wrong, yet again. Plus McVay loves his RB’s. Rams offense only getting better. Even if volume drops, I have a feeling he’ll get every single red zone touch. Also, there was one game where Stafford legit missed every single target to Kyren, the one where he had 7 I believe. I like to think of Kyren as a younger, slightly smaller Ekeler that catches less, but definitely something I can see more of this year. Great vid
For one they traded up to get a RB in the 3rd. That’s somewhat of a concern. That Blake corum is good and will carve out a role by the time fantasy playoffs come. Also kyren is slow
Yeah it’s like everyone forgot he was really good.
To get Acahne now you have to pick him late round 2. Is that still a good value?
I'm fine with him as early as mid round 2 (16ish overall though I have him lower), it depends on how RB hungry v WR hungry your league is though
I'm considering him at 18, I don't usually go for players as risky as him this really. I'm at the 7 spot in the first round, I don't like the 7 pick honestly. But I could start Jefferson or Chase or Amon-Ra, and then add Achane at 18, next pick is the early 30's and aiming for drake London. London to me is discount Garrett Wilson, and that's coming from a jets fan.
Drafted today. Took Achane at #19 today. Felt a little high the more I thought about it but I didn’t LOVE anyone else. Always been a fan of higher ceiling and why I went with him.
Thanks for the awesome video Ron. I'm heading into year 5 of my fantasy league with all my college buddies. We are adding two more guys, making it a 14 team league now. Just figured out draft lottery yesterday and I have the 14th pick. Would it be smart to target Gibbs at that 14/15 turn?
Loved the breakout/decline chart by number of years in the league! I've been using it for my own rankings recently. Is there one for WRs too?
Such a good video Ron
So pumped to have drafted Achane in round 3🙏🏼 picked Ceedee and Harrison jr. in rounds 1+2. Hope Ceedee gets extended
He will, your team is dope good luck.
@@joshuaphilbert7995 thank you bro🙏🏼 let’s eat
CMC is the example of RB switching teams
Lol right
Love Kyren Williams, rode him and B Hall to win my home league last year. Kyren is my 4th ranked RB this year so take my final comment in the right context (i.e. big believer in him). Kyren's receiving work is capped because he is excellent in pass protection.
The artist formerly known as Mr. June...Mr. JULY about to be CEASAR AUGUSTUS!!!!!
KEEP IT UP RON!!!
Dope vid bro big fan 💯 keep working
Officially subscribed. Just wondering…. If you were to remove draft value from the equation and had to draft one straight up which one would you draft Kyren Williams or Davon Achane in a full PPR redraft league
Ice around my body like I'm frozen!
You are giving me some hope for my ballsy trade for him. Literally traded CMC and london to get Henry and Achane. I’m betting on Achane to be Jamal Charles 2.0
Been waiting for this one to drop!
That achane graphic actually made my jaw drop
Back half of first rd Got to grab Gibbs in 1st and Achane in 2nd. Can’t let ‘em drop
Pacheco is only missing opps, receptions, and fpoe. More catches would lift total opps, same as Kyren. Fpoe is the only one that's way off. So maybe he doesn't hit 24 ppg, but still a good pick at current price, yeah?
Great video.
torn on keeping Jonathon Taylor in the 2nd or Bijan in first in my big money PPR league. think i’m leaning towards Bijan now
Legendary content from this guy .. started listening to him 2 years ago Ron is the real deal ...He blows all Podcaster away.. won both my leagues based of his information. official my go to proper stats here 💯 💶 💯 💶 💯 12:39
Ron poppin off as of late 👍
I got a .5-PPR keeper-league draft coming up (1Q, 2R, 3W, 2F, 1T), Amon-Ra & Gibbs are my keepers.. I'm leaning drafting my WR2 at 3.02 (after MHJ likely goes at 3.01) but now I'm considering Achane as my RB2 then loading up on WR.
i agree with saquon and mixon, but with jacobs i feel as if for his value his opportunity between carries and targets plus talent is worth it, is there a WR or QB in the same range you would rather go?
You da man Ron!
I'm pouring honey on you goat! Thank you for this lad, just what I was looking for
Licking my chops as the ad plays
That Gibbs & JT at the turn duo could be insane upside
I can pass on Puka all day but it’s hard to pass on Garret Wilson and/or AJ brown at that turn. I’ve mocked at 10 more than anything and it feels weird not getting one of those Stud WRs with the slight risk JT brings, also can Gibbs stop getting TDs stolen from him by Monty?
@@XElintocableX bro I said I would pass on Puka in the 1st or 2nd rounds and people are telling me ( Thanks for paying the rake ) 😆 and more dumb shit … he just doesn’t do anything really special . I think it’s just that Stafford is so accurate. Puka is good don’t get me wrong but I’m not taking him in the 1st or 2nd …
@@joselostx “He doesn’t do anything really special” 🤔. I’m not even drafting puka much but that’s a wild comment. Did you not watch his games? Kid is definitely special.
@@gangsterbenji he doesn’t run routes like Ceedee or Even his own teammate Cooper Kupp ! He isn’t the fastest.. he just does what he’s supposed to and Stafford finds him . Stafford is pin point accurate. Show me a game where he blew you away with raw talent ? He’s good … not worth my 1st or 2nd though . Especially when i feel it’s still Kupp for this year and maybe next year being the GUY
@@XElintocableX I just think double hero RB in ESPN leagues this year is the play. There are so many solid WR’s in the 3-5th rounds… Mike Evans, kupp, pittman, dell, amari cooper
Legendary upside let’s goooo baby!!
JT in 2021 had 27 touchdowns and over 2000 all purpose yards. Year after that was the reich/saturday year and last year he sat mostly due to the contract situation. I fully expect him to return to form this season and be "lengendary" especially with a dual threat qb next to him. Good video though youre starting to sell me on achane
Yeah, I think JT belongs in the legendary category as well
Would you consider taking Achane over Pacheco/Etienne mid second in PPR?
Please make a video with this EXACT same concept / chart as it pertains to WRs
Trading for Achane in a keeper league. Fingers crossed this plays out for me
Is achane worth taking at the turn after taking CMC at the 1.01
You're stats are so high on Achane. I don't understand waiting til the 3rd round to draft him. Who you taking over him ? ( including receivers)It seems you would trust your own formula. Thanks !
Best video of the year
Good vid. No thanks on Gibbs
1. Breece Hall
2. Bijon Robinson
3. Jamyr Gibbs
4. Kyren Williams
5. Devon Achane
Drafted CMC and yes I won. This guy is on to something
Excellent video.
Like the haircut! Keep that look
@RonStewartGiveawayyyy cool! What did I win?
good idea to take breece or bijan at 1.03 over ceedee?
Great video Ron 🔥👍🏾
Where can I find the ranking of projected team totals for next year? You mentioned DET was #2 but I can’t find a list anywhere online… pls help!
You got a subscriber
love these
Fantastic vid
Gibbs is it. He will be the legendary Rb. He is schemed into the offense with both passing and running plays. He could go over 1000 receiving and 1000 rushing this year with multiple TD. Just to stick to my guns I took Gibbs 2 overall in a redraft league. He is my must have guy and no way was going to get him late 2nd.
Get your guy I guess but damn Gibbs over ceedee, tyreek, breece and Bijan is crazy to me, and I'm a Gibbs truther lol.
Good ish Ron
This is a great video. The only thing I would change is I would lower Hall's total to 8.0. There are more ways for a QB to vulture TDs from a RB rushing attempts. Aaron Rodgers attempts more 1st down passes inside the 5 yd line than any Qb I've ever seen. If he stays healthy all year, Hall will have fewer rushing TDs, than he would've otherwise had.
I feel it balances out because without rodgers he likely also sees significantly less red zone trips.
not quite sure what app's adp you are using but your 1-3 picks are going in 1st round and Kyren and Achane are going round 2.
I believe in achane but it’s all about health and if the dolphins use him ill be screwed if I make him my rb1 if he is the 1B again
Somebody is going to do Breece Hall, Kyren Williams, Devon Achane. 1,2,3
Great video. I like the logic. My only criticism, Josh Jacobs is 26…. He’s 5 years younger than Henry. Why are we grouping them together as “older” RBs. I’m not saying Josh jacobs will be RB1 but of the 5 guys mentioned, 3 of them are the top 3 RBs and 4 of the top 6 in every draft. Jacobs ADP is round 4, to me that’s incredible value. Hes 26, going to a BETTER team with a good offense and good line, and was the rb1 in 2022.
Based on these requirements, did you look at Rachaad White as well? Would be interested to see/hear your take Ron
I believe it would score as follows
Weighted opp per game - green
Not change teams - green
RB 1 -12 in ADP - yellow
5+ targets per game - yellow
FPOE per game - No/White
Year 4 - green
25 - green
Top 12 offense - No/white
Fewer than 5 QB rush attempts - green
@@qazzaqstanI think that’s fairly accurate if not spot on. There needs to be a dialogue on him imo
@@frostywizard2257 From a draft good players on good offenses perspective he feels like a rough click honestly just because I think he is a poor RB on a meh offense
Can he repeat last season or improve on it and make me regret that? Definitely seems plausible
Can he get 1,800+ scrimmage yards, 14+ TDs, and 70+ receptions for hitting the elite upside thresholds? I’d be shocked if he did, but I don’t think that is what most people take him for.
@@qazzaqstanTotally agree. I got him at good value in the 5th and Pacheco was off the board. It was either him or James Cook and I think either one is about even, but I personally rank White more. He had a pretty bad/inexperienced O-line last year for run blocking so I say he stays where he was last year or regresses slightly.
@@frostywizard2257 I have Cook above White (though looking at the auction cheat sheet I made apparently only by $1), but can't hate him in the 5th unless it is on UD where WRs are crazy and everyone pushes down RBs
The intro music is so damn random🤣🤣
I’m having such a hard time not wanting to take bijan at 1.04. I’d have G.Wilson as my keeper in round 2 so I’d be betting on him having a huge year
What’s the earliest you’d take achene? If 2nd round what part of it? I’m in a boomer league who hammers rb even in ppr 2rb 3 wr.
I agree with all except really nervous about Gibbs. I think weighted 15.6 apps per game is his ceiling. They won't take away from Montgomery as long as he keeps producing either. He is going on the turn in regular leauges. Not worth the price.
OM RON
I'm so torn. Would you keep Breece Hall with your 3rd round pick or Kyren Williams with 16th pick. Am I crazy for leaning Breece? I'm drafting 5th in a 10-man league.
😂
I don’t think Achane will make it to round 3 in my home league. Someone is going to get anxious and grab him and I’m strongly considering it at 18 if Kyren is gone…
Only RBS I would unhesitatingly take over Achane are CMC, Hall, Bijan, Gibbs. I would take JT or Kyren over him and feel bad about it. Ain’t no way I’m taking any other RB over him, Saquon included.
How did kyren not hit the usage per game criteria? Is it a projection for 2024 or something?
Would you draft Devon achane next to cmc in half ppr two extra flex ?? Please help love your videos
Lets say CMC goes 1 and Hill/Lamb at 2. Would you go Breece at 3?
Fresh cut 💯
Hell yes
Last year in 1 of my leagues I took your legendary RB video advice and drafted bijan, pollard and breece. I barely made the playoffs and got bounced rd 1 😂
😂 Same. Went all in on Breece and Bijan 🙃
@@davidgutierrezjr5653 so frustrating watching guys grab kyren and achane off waivers because I certain eventually 1 of these guys would go off
@@arturomunoz3able same bro! I definitely could have picked one of those guys up but I decided to hold my drafted team instead of dropping someone. Passed up Puka too 🤦🏽♂️
@@davidgutierrezjr5653 fucking brutal lol
Bijan will disappoint again
Straight 🔥
Only took 6 months for any of the gurus of fantasy football to acknowledge old backs dont make good new bedfellows.
What about Falcons saying Tyler Allgeier will have a big role and be leaned on at certain points? Does that affect Bijan for you?
Sounds like coach speak. Are the Falcons supposed to say, naw Allgeier isnt good enough to take snaps compared to Bijan? Coaches are just trained to always say positive things about their players no matter what. Next week he'll say Bijan is ultra talented and they want to find ways to get him the ball as much as possible.
Just got devon and bijan
Teams just aren’t feeding one RB like they used to. RBBC’s are the new thing and that’s what makes them not worth it in the first round.
With all this said.....12 team PPR. Do i keep Achane and London or trade them both for Aiyuk and keep Gibbs and Aiyuk, then Achane and London will be back in the draft pool. I'm leaning Achane and London then trying to get Gibbs back in the draft...its auction.
Hey Ron, just wanna say sick video as per usual. Sucks to have to watch these and not give a thumbs up, gotta keep you from my league mates tho - sorry dawg.
I think this was kyren Williams 2nd year.. he was hurt his rookie year and didn't really play
I took Achane at the 2/3 turn, paired him with Mostert
Is there a reason not to take CMC in the 1 spot. Is it just a given at this point to take him if he’s there?
I'm sorry but I can't believe the Achane hype. He's good and I paid up for him last year, but hes still going in the 2nd on my league and Mostert is going in the 7th. If this turns into a hyper efficient RBBC like I think, I'm taking the bigger RB who was shown to really push for TDs AND is going much much later.
Taylor missed time and was eased into offense after he came back. Which messes with the touches per game and the colts were one dropped pass away from making the playoffs with minshew AR is projected to be better I think we have to take that into consideration
So I should fade CMC 1 overall and take Breece or Bijan. Don’t wanna overthink the first overall but CMC is getting older and certainly an injury risk.
No, def take CMC, hes in another tier above these guys.
I’m wondering the same thing I highly doubt he’s the rb 1 in back to back seasons but he’s def the safest option
and likely a better offense with more scoring opportunities.
Yeah every RB is an injury risk. Maybe Bijan is the safest between age and injury history but we also are only projecting his elite season, haven’t seen it. CMC is on the team with the highest projected points. I wouldn’t imagine a repeat of last years workload but he doesn’t need to crush the field like he did last year to be worthy of the first pick. For me it’s CMC or Lamb in full ppr, depending on how you like to build
Was waiting for this one!!!
Its difficult for me to pick Achane over Etienne at the 2 3 turn when I know Ettienne is the bell cow of that offense and Achane is smaller and won't get as many opportunities. Convince me why i should take Achane over Ettienne there?
Efficiency and on a much better offense. It takes Jacksonville 2+ games to score 70 points.
I don’t trust achane to durable at all
SEÑOR AUGUSTO
My only knock on him and every Miami player is they play the 49ers and Browns in the playoffs